Search Results (341)

Based on the panel data of daily meteorological stations and winter wheat yield in Henan Province from 2000 to 2023, this study comprehensively used the Mann–Kendall trend test, wavelet coherence analysis (WTC), and other methods to reveal the temporal and spatial evolution of extreme precipitation and its multi-scale stress mechanism on grain yield. The results showed the following: (1) Extreme precipitation showed the characteristics of ‘frequent fluctuation-gentle trend-strong spatial heterogeneity’, and the maximum daily precipitation in spring (RX1DAY) showed a significant uplift. The increase in rainstorm events (R95p/R99p) in the southern region during the summer is particularly prominent; at the same time, the number of consecutive drought days (CDDs > 15 d) in the middle of autumn was significantly prolonged. It was also found that 2010 is a significant mutation node. Since then, the synergistic effect of ‘increasing drought days–increasing rainstorm frequency’ has begun to appear, and the short-period coherence of super-strong precipitation (R99p) has risen to more than 0.8. (2) The spatial pattern of winter wheat in Henan is characterized by the three-level differentiation of ‘stable core area, sensitive transition zone and shrinking suburban area’, and the stability of winter wheat has improved but there are still local risks. (3) There is a multi-scale stress mechanism of extreme precipitation on winter wheat yield. The long-period (4–8 years) drought and flood events drive the system risk through a 1–2-year lag effect (short-period (0.5–2 years) medium rainstorm intensity directly impacted the production system). This study proposes a ‘sub-scale governance’ strategy, using a 1–2-year lag window to establish a rainstorm warning mechanism, and optimizing drainage facilities for high-risk areas of floods in the south to improve the climate resilience of the agricultural system against the background of climate change. Full article

The application of satellite-derived sea surface temperature in coastal regions is critical for resolving the dynamics of frontal features and coastal upwelling. Here, we examine and compare sea surface temperature (SST) gradients derived from two satellite products, the Multi-Scale Ultra-High Resolution SST Product (MUR, 0.01° grid scale) and the Operational SST and Ice Analysis (OSTIA, 0.05° grid scale), available through the Group for High Resolution SST (GHRSST). Both products show similar seasonal variability, with maxima occurring in the summer time frame. Additionally, both products show an increasing trend of SST gradients near the coast. However, differences exist between the two products (maximum gradient intensities were around 0.11 and 0.06 °C/km for OSTIA and MUR, respectively). The potential contributions of both cloud cover and the collocation of the MUR SST onto the OSTIA SST grid product to these differences were examined. Spectra and coherences were examined at two specific latitudes along the coast where upwelling can occur. A major conclusion is that future work needs to focus on cloud cover and its impact on the derivation of SST in coastal regions. Future comparisons also need to apply collocation methodologies that maintain, as much as possible, the spatial variability of the high-resolution product. Full article

Optical Coherence Tomography (OCT) is a further light-based intravascular imaging modality and provides a high-resolution, cross-sectional view of coronary arteries. It has a useful anatomic and increasingly physiological evaluation in light of coronary artery disease (CAD). This review provides a critical examination of the increased application of the OCT in assessing coronary artery physiology, beyond its initial mainstay application in anatomical imaging. OCT provides precise information on plaque morphology, which can help identify vulnerable plaques, and is most important in informing percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs), including implanting a stent and optimizing it. The combination of OCT and functional measurements, such as optical flow ratio and OCT-based fractional flow reserve (OCT-FFR), permits a more complete assessment of coronary stenoses, which may provide increased diagnostic accuracy and better revascularization decision-making. The recent developments in OCT technology have also enhanced the accuracy in the measurement of coronary functions. The innovations may support the optimal treatment of patients as they provide more personalized and individualized treatment options; however, it is critical to recognize the limitations of OCT and distinguish between the hypothetical advantages and empirical outcomes. This review evaluates the existing uses, technological solutions, and future trends in OCT-based physiological imaging and evaluation, and explains how such an advancement will be beneficial in the treatment of CAD and gives a fair representation concerning other imaging applications. Full article

Customer sentiment analysis plays a pivotal role in the digital economy by offering comprehensive insights that inform strategic business decisions, optimize digital marketing initiatives, and improve overall customer satisfaction. We propose a large language model-based topic-level sentiment analysis framework. We employ a BERT-based model to generate contextualized vector representations of the documents, and then clustering algorithms are automatically applied to group documents into topics. Once the topics are formed, a GPT model is used to perform sentiment classification on the content related to each topic. The simulations show the effectiveness of this approach, where selecting appropriate clustering techniques yields more semantically coherent topics. Furthermore, topic-level sentiment polarization shows that 31.7% of all negative sentiment concentrates on the shopping experience, despite an overall positive sentiment trend. Full article

Regional ecological environmental quality (EEQ) is a vital indicator for environmental management and supporting sustainable development. However, the absence of robust and accurate EEQ prediction models has hindered effective environmental strategies. This study proposes a novel approach to address this gap by integrating the ecological index (EI) model with several predictive models, including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and cellular automata (CA), to forecast regional EEQ. Initially, the spatiotemporal evolution of the input data used to calculate the EI score was analyzed. Subsequently, tailored prediction models were developed for each dataset. These models were sequentially trained and validated, and their outputs were integrated into the EI model to enhance the accuracy and coherence of the final EEQ predictions. The novelty of this methodology lies not only in integrating existing predictive models but also in employing an innovative fusion technique that significantly improves prediction accuracy. Despite data quality issues in the case study dataset led to higher prediction errors in certain regions, the overall results exhibit a high degree of accuracy. A comparison of long-term EI predictions with EI assessment results reveals that the R² value for the EI score exceeds 0.96, and the kappa value surpasses 0.76 for the EI level, underscoring the robust performance of the integrated model in forecasting regional EEQ. This approach offers valuable insights into exploring regional EEQ trends and future challenges. Full article

Climate change intensifies hydrological cycles, leading to an increased variability in terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSAs) and a heightened drought risk. Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of TWSAs and their driving factors is crucial for sustainable water management. While previous studies have primarily attributed TWSAs to regional factors, this study employs wavelet coherence, partial correlation analysis, and multiple linear regression to comprehensively analyze TWSA dynamics and their drivers in the Hengduan Mountains (HDM) region from 2003 to 2022, incorporating both regional and global influences. Additionally, dry–wet variations were quantified using the GRACE-based Drought Severity Index (GRACE-DSI). Key findings include the following: The annual mean TWSA showed a non-significant decreasing trend (−2.83 mm/y, p > 0.05), accompanied by increased interannual variability. Notably, approximately 36.22% of the pixels in the western HDM region exhibited a significantly decreasing trend. The Nujiang River Basin (NRB) (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) and the Lancang (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) River Basin experienced the most pronounced declines. Regional factors—particularly precipitation (PRE)—drove TWSA in 59% of the HDM region, followed by potential evapotranspiration (PET, 28%) and vegetation dynamics (13%). Among global factors, the North Atlantic Oscillation showed a weak correlation with TWSAs (r = −0.19), indirectly affecting it via winter PET (r = −0.56, p < 0.05). The decline in TWSAs corresponds to an elevated drought risk, notably in the NRB, which recorded the largest GRACE-DSI decline (slope = −0.011, p < 0.05). This study links TWSAs to climate drivers and drought risk, offering a framework for improving water resource management and drought preparedness in climate-sensitive mountain regions. Full article

Food security constitutes a fundamental pillar of future sustainable development. A systematic evaluation of the impact of urban expansion on food security is critical to advancing the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly “Zero Hunger” (SDG 2). Drawing on bibliographic data from the Web of Science Core Collection, this study employs the bibliometrix package in R to conduct a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of the literature on the “urban expansion–food security” nexus spanning from 1982 to 2024. The analysis focuses on knowledge production, collaborative structures, and thematic research trends. The results indicate the following: (1) The publication trajectory in this field exhibits a generally increasing trend with three distinct phases: an incubation period (1982–2000), a development phase (2001–2014), and a phase of rapid growth (2015–2024). Land Use Policy stands out as the most influential journal in the domain, with an average citation rate of 43.5 per article. (2) China and the United States are the leading contributors in terms of publication output, with 3491 and 1359 articles, respectively. However, their international collaboration rates remain relatively modest (0.19 and 0.35) and considerably lower than those observed for the United Kingdom (0.84) and Germany (0.76), suggesting significant potential for enhanced global research cooperation. (3) The major research hotspots cluster around four core areas: urban expansion and land use dynamics, agricultural systems and food security, environmental and climate change, and socio-economic and policy drivers. These focal areas reflect a high degree of interdisciplinary integration, particularly involving land system science, agroecology, and socio-economic studies. Collectively, the field has established a relatively robust academic network and coherent knowledge framework. Nonetheless, it still confronts several limitations, including geographical imbalances, fragmented research scales, and methodological heterogeneity. Future efforts should emphasize cross-regional, interdisciplinary, and multi-scalar integration to strengthen the systematic understanding of urban expansion–food security interactions, thereby informing global strategies for sustainable development. Full article

This paper presents a novel formulation of Ordered Fuzzy Numbers (OFNs), referred to as Vectorial Ordered Fuzzy Numbers (vOFNs). In contrast to the traditional definition based on a pair of functions, the vOFN framework employs a pair of vectors, offering a more concise and structurally coherent representation. This reformulation addresses the key limitations of classical OFNs, such as non-convexity and difficulties in handling curvilinear boundaries during multiplication and division. The vOFN model retains compatibility with commonly used fuzzy number types—triangular, trapezoidal, and singleton—and preserves directional properties that are essential for modeling fuzzy trends. Furthermore, it simplifies comparison operations and supports a complete algebraic structure. Due to its mathematical consistency, low computational complexity, and ease of implementation, the vOFN framework is well-suited for applications in intelligent systems, particularly in domains that require reasoning under uncertainty. Full article

The El Bola mafic–ultramafic intrusion (EBMU) in Egypt’s Northern Eastern Desert represents an example of Neoproterozoic post-collisional layered mafic–ultramafic magmatism in the Arabian–Nubian Shield (ANS). The intrusion is composed of pyroxenite, olivine gabbro, pyroxene gabbro, pyroxene–hornblende gabbro, and hornblende-gabbro, exhibiting adcumulate to heter-adcumulate textures. Mineralogical and geochemical analyses reveal a coherent trend of fractional crystallization. Compositions of whole rock and minerals indicate a parental magma of ferropicritic affinity, derived from partial melting of a hydrous, metasomatized spinel-bearing mantle source, likely modified by subduction-related fluids. Geothermobarometric calculations yield crystallization temperatures from ~1120 °C to ~800 °C and pressures from ~5.2 to ~3.1 kbar, while oxygen fugacity estimates suggest progressive oxidation (log fO₂ from −17.3 to −15.7) during differentiation. The EBMU displays Light Rare Earth element (LREE) enrichment, trace element patterns marked by Large Ion Lithophile Element (LILE) enrichment, Nb-Ta depletion and high LILE/HFSE (High Field Strength Elements) ratios, suggesting a mantle-derived source that remained largely unaffected by crustal contribution and was metasomatized by slab-derived fluids. Tectonic discrimination modeling suggests that EBMU magmatism was triggered by asthenospheric upwelling and slab break-off. Considering these findings alongside regional geologic features, we propose that the mafic–ultramafic intrusion from the ANS originated in a tectonic transition between subduction and collision (slab break-off) following the assembly of Gondwana. Full article

This study investigated the influence of long-term climatic phenomena on the hydroclimatic dynamics of the Grey River Basin in Chilean Patagonia. By analyzing hydroclimatological datasets from the last four decades (1980 to 2020), including precipitation, temperature, wind speed, potential evapotranspiration, and streamflow, we identified key trends and correlations with three large-scale climate indices: the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), El Niño—Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Statistical methods such as the Mann–Kendall test, Sen’s slope, PCA, and wavelet coherence were applied. The results indicate a significant upward trend in streamflow, with Sen’s slope of 0.710 m³/s/year (p-value = 0.020), particularly since 2002, while other variables showed limited or no significant trends. AAO exhibited the strongest correlations with streamflow and wind speed, while ENSO 3.4 was the most influential ENSO index, especially during the two extreme El Niño events in 1982, 1997, and 2014. PDO showed weaker relationships overall. Wavelet analysis revealed coherent periodicities at 1- and 2-year frequencies between AAO and flow (wavelet coherence = 0.44), and at 2- to 4-year intervals between ENSO and precipitation (wavelet coherence = 0.63). These findings highlight the sensitivity of the Grey River basin to climatic variability and reinforce the need for integrated water resource management in the face of ongoing climate change. Full article

This paper reinforces the previously proposed moving linear (ML) model approach for time series analysis by introducing theoretically grounded enhancements. The ML model flexibly decomposes a time series into constrained and remaining components, enabling the extraction of trends and fluctuations with minimal structural assumptions. Building on this framework, we present two key improvements. First, we develop a theoretically justified evaluation criterion that facilitates coherent estimation of model parameters, particularly the width of the time interval. Second, we enhance the extended ML (EML) model by introducing a new outlier detection and estimation method that identifies both the number and locations of outliers by maximizing the reduction in AIC. Unlike the earlier version, the reinforced EML model simultaneously estimates outlier effects and improves model fit within a unified, likelihood-based framework. Empirical applications to economic time series illustrate the method’s superior ability to detect meaningful anomalies and produce stable, interpretable decompositions. These contributions offer a generalizable and theoretically supported approach to modeling nonstationary time series with structural disturbances. Full article

Recent evidence suggests that SARS-CoV-2 may induce subtle anatomical changes in the retina, detectable through advanced imaging techniques. This retrospective case–control study utilized optical coherence tomography (OCT) to assess medium-term retinal alterations in 55 healthcare workers, including 25 individuals with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 and 30 non-COVID-19 controls, all of whom had worked in COVID-19 clinical settings. Comprehensive ophthalmological examinations, including OCT imaging, were conducted six months after infection. The analysis considered demographic variables, comorbidities, COVID-19 severity, risk factors, and treatments received. Central macular thickness (CMT) was significantly increased in the post-COVID-19 group (p < 0.05), with a weak but statistically significant positive correlation between CMT and disease severity (r = 0.245, p < 0.05), suggesting potential post-inflammatory retinal responses. No significant differences were observed in retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) or ganglion cell complex (GCL + IPL) thickness. However, mild negative trends in inferior RNFL and average GCL+IPL thickness may indicate early neurodegenerative changes. Notably, patients with comorbidities exhibited a significant reduction in superior and inferior RNFL thickness, pointing to possible long-term neurovascular impairment. These findings underscore the value of OCT imaging in identifying subclinical retinal alterations following COVID-19 and highlight the need for continued surveillance in recovered patients, particularly those with pre-existing systemic conditions. Full article

Background: Cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN) is a common yet frequently underdiagnosed complication of diabetes. While our previous study demonstrated the utility of multiscale cross-approximate entropy (MS-CXApEn) in detecting early CAN, the present study further investigates the use of frequency-domain coherence analysis between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and R-R intervals (RRI) and evaluates the effects of insulin treatment on autonomic function in diabetic rats. Methods: At the onset of diabetes induced by streptozotocin (STZ), rats were assessed for cardiovascular autonomic function both before and after insulin treatment. Spectral and coherence analyses were performed to evaluate baroreflex function and autonomic regulation. Parameters assessed included low-frequency power (LFP) and high-frequency power (HFP) of heart rate variability, coherence between SBP and RRI at low and high-frequency bands (LF_Coh and HF_Coh), spontaneous and phenylephrine-induced baroreflex sensitivity (BRS_spn and BRS_phe), HRV components derived from fast Fourier transform, and MS-CXApEn at multiple scales. Results: Compared to normal controls (LF_Coh: 0.14 ± 0.07, HF_Coh: 0.19 ± 0.06), early diabetic rats exhibited a significant reduction in both LF_Coh (0.08 ± 0.04, p < 0.05) and HF_Coh (0.16 ± 0.10, p > 0.05), indicating impaired autonomic modulation. Insulin treatment led to a recovery of LF_Coh (0.11 ± 0.04) and HF_Coh (0.24 ± 0.12), though differences remained statistically insignificant (p > 0.05 vs. normal). Additionally, low-frequency LFP increased at the onset of diabetes and decreased after insulin therapy in most rats significantly, while MS-CXApEn at all scale levels increased in the early diabetic rats, and MS-CXApEn_large declined following hyperglycemia correction. The BRS_spn and BRS_phe showed no consistent trend. Conclusions: Coherence analysis provides valuable insights into autonomic dysfunction in early diabetes. The significant reduction in LF_Coh in early diabetes supports its role as a potential marker for CAN. Although insulin treatment partially improved coherence, the lack of full recovery suggests persistent autonomic impairment despite glycemic correction. These findings underscore the importance of early detection and long-term management strategies for diabetic CAN. Full article

Effectively managing carbon monoxide (CO) pollution in complex industrial cities like Jubail remains challenging due to the diversity of emission sources and local environmental dynamics. This study analyzes spatiotemporal CO patterns and builds accurate predictive models using five years (2018–2022) of data from ten monitoring stations, combined with meteorological variables. Exploratory analysis revealed distinct diurnal and moderate weekly CO cycles, with prevailing northwesterly winds shaping dispersion. Spatial correlation of CO was low (average 0.14), suggesting strong local sources, unlike temperature (0.92) and wind (0.5–0.6), which showed higher spatial coherence. Seasonal Trend decomposition (STL) confirmed stronger seasonality in meteorological factors than in CO levels. Low wind speeds were associated with elevated CO concentrations. Key predictive features, such as 3-h rolling mean and median values of CO, dominated feature importance. Spatiotemporal analysis highlighted persistent hotspots in industrial areas and unexpectedly high levels in some residential zones. A range of models was tested, with ensemble methods (Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Categorical Boosting (CatBoost)) achieving the best performance ($R^2>0.95$) and XGBoost producing the lowest Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.0371 ppm. This work enhances understanding of CO dynamics in complex urban–industrial areas, providing accurate predictive models ($R^2>0.95$) and highlighting the importance of local sources and temporal patterns for improving air quality forecasts. Full article

Based on Graph Balancing Theory, this study proposes an anomaly detection algorithm, the Supply Chain Proof of Relation (PoR), applied to enterprise procurement networks formalized as weighted directed graphs. A mathematical framework is constructed by integrating Laplacian flow conservation and the Sheaf topological coherence principle to identify anomalous nodes whose local characteristics deviate significantly from the global features of the supply network. PoR was empirically implemented on a dataset comprising 856 Taiwanese enterprises, successfully detecting 56 entities exhibiting abnormal behavior. Anomaly intensity was visualized through trend plots, revealing nodes with rapidly increasing deviations. To validate the effectiveness of this detection, the study further analyzed the correlation between internal and external performance metrics. The results demonstrate that anomalous nodes exhibit near-zero correlations, in contrast to the significant correlations observed in normal nodes—indicating a disruption of information consistency. This research establishes a graph-theoretic framework for anomaly detection, presents a mathematical model independent of training data, and highlights the linkage between structural deviations and informational distortions. By incorporating Sheaf Theory, the study enhances the analytical depth of topological consistency. Moreover, this work demonstrates the observability of flow conservation violations within a highly complex, non-physical system such as the supply chain. It completes a logical integration of Sheaf Coherence, Graph Balancing, and High-Dimensional Anomaly Projection, and achieves a cross-mapping between Graph Structural Deviations and Statistical Inconsistencies in weighted directed graphs. This contribution advances the field of graph topology-based statistical anomaly detection, opening new avenues for the methodological integration between physical systems and economic networks. Full article