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Search Results (688)

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Keywords = coastal resilience

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2199 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Analysis of Multi-Decadal Shoreline Changes at Topocalma Beach (O’Higgins Region, Chile) Using Satellite Imagery
by Waldo Pérez-Martínez, Idania Briceño de Urbaneja, Joaquín Valenzuela-Jara and Isidora Díaz-Quijada
Eng. Proc. 2025, 94(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025094016 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study presents a 39-year spatiotemporal analysis of shoreline variability at Topocalma Beach (Chile) using satellite-derived data collected between 1985 and 2024. A total of 350 satellite images were processed with CoastSat and DSAS v6.0 to quantify erosional and accretional trends across distinct [...] Read more.
This study presents a 39-year spatiotemporal analysis of shoreline variability at Topocalma Beach (Chile) using satellite-derived data collected between 1985 and 2024. A total of 350 satellite images were processed with CoastSat and DSAS v6.0 to quantify erosional and accretional trends across distinct beach sectors. The results show persistent erosion in the proximal zone near the Topocalma wetland and localized accretion in the distal (southern) segment. These changes are closely associated with the 2010 Maule earthquake and tsunami, strong ENSO phases, and an increase in storm surge activity since 2015. The spatiotemporal beach width model reveals distinct phases of retreat and short-term post-seismic stabilization, followed by a shift to sustained erosion. Overall, this study underscores the limited natural recovery capacity of the beach and highlights the utility of satellite-based monitoring tools for coastal resilience planning in data-limited regions. Full article
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19 pages, 30180 KiB  
Article
Evaluating Distributed Hydrologic Modeling to Assess Coastal Highway Vulnerability to High Water Tables
by Bruno Jose de Oliveira Sousa, Luiz M. Morgado and Jose G. Vasconcelos
Water 2025, 17(15), 2327; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152327 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Due to increased precipitation intensity and sea-level rise, low-lying coastal roads are increasingly vulnerable to subbase saturation. Widely applied lumped hydrological approaches cannot accurately represent time and space-varying groundwater levels in some highly conductive coastal soils, calling for more sophisticated tools. This study [...] Read more.
Due to increased precipitation intensity and sea-level rise, low-lying coastal roads are increasingly vulnerable to subbase saturation. Widely applied lumped hydrological approaches cannot accurately represent time and space-varying groundwater levels in some highly conductive coastal soils, calling for more sophisticated tools. This study assesses the suitability of the Gridded Surface Subsurface Hydrologic Analysis model (GSSHA) for representing hydrological processes and groundwater dynamics in a unique coastal roadway setting in Alabama. A high-resolution model was developed to assess a 2 km road segment and was calibrated for hydraulic conductivity and aquifer bottom levels using observed groundwater level (GWL) data. The model configuration included a fixed groundwater tidal boundary representing Mobile Bay, a refined land cover classification, and an extreme precipitation event simulation representing Hurricane Sally. Results indicated good agreement between modeled and observed groundwater levels, particularly during short-duration high-intensity events, with NSE values reaching up to 0.83. However, the absence of dynamic tidal forcing limited its ability to replicate certain fine-scale groundwater fluctuations. During the Hurricane Sally simulation, over two-thirds of the segment remained saturated for over 6 h, and some locations exceeded 48 h of pavement saturation. The findings underscore the importance of incorporating shallow groundwater processes in hydrologic modeling for coastal roads. This replicable modeling framework may assist DOTs in identifying critical roadway segments to improve drainage infrastructure in order to increase resiliency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Natural Hazards and Disaster Risks Reduction, 2nd Edition)
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21 pages, 3013 KiB  
Article
Determining Early Warning Thresholds to Detect Tree Mortality Risk in a Southeastern U.S. Bottomland Hardwood Wetland
by Maricar Aguilos, Jiayin Zhang, Miko Lorenzo Belgado, Ge Sun, Steve McNulty and John King
Forests 2025, 16(8), 1255; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16081255 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 234
Abstract
Prolonged inundations are altering coastal forest ecosystems of the southeastern US, causing extensive tree die-offs and the development of ghost forests. This hydrological stressor also alters carbon fluxes, threatening the stability of coastal carbon sinks. This study was conducted to investigate the interactions [...] Read more.
Prolonged inundations are altering coastal forest ecosystems of the southeastern US, causing extensive tree die-offs and the development of ghost forests. This hydrological stressor also alters carbon fluxes, threatening the stability of coastal carbon sinks. This study was conducted to investigate the interactions between hydrological drivers and ecosystem responses by analyzing daily eddy covariance flux data from a wetland forest in North Carolina, USA, spanning 2009–2019. We analyzed temporal patterns of net ecosystem exchange (NEE), gross primary productivity (GPP), and ecosystem respiration (RE) under both flooded and non-flooded conditions and evaluated their relationships with observed tree mortality. Generalized Additive Modeling (GAM) revealed that groundwater table depth (GWT), leaf area index (LAI), NEE, and net radiation (Rn) were key predictors of mortality transitions (R2 = 0.98). Elevated GWT induces root anoxia; declining LAI reduces productivity; elevated NEE signals physiological breakdown; and higher Rn may amplify evapotranspiration stress. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed critical early warning thresholds for tree mortality: GWT = 2.23 cm, LAI = 2.99, NEE = 1.27 g C m−2 d−1, and Rn = 167.54 W m−2. These values offer a basis for forecasting forest mortality risk and guiding early warning systems. Our findings highlight the dominant role of hydrological variability in ecosystem degradation and offer a threshold-based framework for early detection of mortality risks. This approach provides insights into managing coastal forest resilience amid accelerating sea level rise. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Water and Carbon Cycles and Their Coupling in Forest)
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18 pages, 1587 KiB  
Article
Urban Mangroves Under Threat: Metagenomic Analysis Reveals a Surge in Human and Plant Pathogenic Fungi
by Juliana Britto Martins de Oliveira, Mariana Barbieri, Dario Corrêa-Junior, Matheus Schmitt, Luana Lessa R. Santos, Ana C. Bahia, Cláudio Ernesto Taveira Parente and Susana Frases
Pathogens 2025, 14(8), 759; https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens14080759 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 216
Abstract
Coastal ecosystems are increasingly threatened by climate change and anthropogenic pressures, which can disrupt microbial communities and favor the emergence of pathogenic organisms. In this study, we applied metagenomic analysis to characterize fungal communities in sediment samples from an urban mangrove subjected to [...] Read more.
Coastal ecosystems are increasingly threatened by climate change and anthropogenic pressures, which can disrupt microbial communities and favor the emergence of pathogenic organisms. In this study, we applied metagenomic analysis to characterize fungal communities in sediment samples from an urban mangrove subjected to environmental stress. The results revealed a fungal community with reduced richness—28% lower than expected for similar ecosystems—likely linked to physicochemical changes such as heavy metal accumulation, acidic pH, and eutrophication, all typical of urbanized coastal areas. Notably, we detected an increase in potentially pathogenic genera, including Candida, Aspergillus, and Pseudoascochyta, alongside a decrease in key saprotrophic genera such as Fusarium and Thelebolus, indicating a shift in ecological function. The fungal assemblage was dominated by the phyla Ascomycota and Basidiomycota, and despite adverse conditions, symbiotic mycorrhizal fungi remained present, suggesting partial resilience. A considerable fraction of unclassified fungal taxa also points to underexplored microbial diversity with potential ecological or health significance. Importantly, this study does not aim to compare pristine and contaminated environments, but rather to provide a sanitary alert by identifying the presence and potential proliferation of pathogenic fungi in a degraded mangrove system. These findings highlight the sensitivity of mangrove fungal communities to environmental disturbance and reinforce the value of metagenomic approaches for monitoring ecosystem health. Incorporating fungal metagenomic surveillance into environmental management strategies is essential to better understand biodiversity loss, ecological resilience, and potential public health risks in degraded coastal environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Fungal Pathogens)
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8 pages, 222 KiB  
Perspective
Exploring the Potential of European Brown Shrimp (Crangon crangon) in Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture: Towards Achieving Sustainable and Diversified Coastal Systems
by Ángel Urzúa and Marina Gebert
Oceans 2025, 6(3), 47; https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans6030047 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 114
Abstract
Global marine coastal aquaculture increased by 6.7 million tons in 2024, with whiteleg shrimp (Penaeus vannamei) dominating crustacean production. However, reliance on a single species raises sustainability concerns, particularly in the face of climate change. Diversifying shrimp farming by cultivating native [...] Read more.
Global marine coastal aquaculture increased by 6.7 million tons in 2024, with whiteleg shrimp (Penaeus vannamei) dominating crustacean production. However, reliance on a single species raises sustainability concerns, particularly in the face of climate change. Diversifying shrimp farming by cultivating native species, such as the European brown shrimp (Crangon crangon), presents an opportunity to develop a sustainable blue bioeconomy in Europe. C. crangon holds significant commercial value, yet overexploitation has led to population declines. Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture (IMTA) offers a viable solution by utilizing fish farm wastewater as a nutrient source, reducing both costs and environmental impact. Research efforts in Germany and other European nations are exploring IMTA’s potential by co-culturing shrimp with species like sea bream, sea bass, and salmon. The physiological adaptability and omnivorous diet of C. crangon further support its viability in aquaculture. However, critical knowledge gaps remain regarding its lipid metabolism, early ontogeny, and reproductive biology—factors essential for optimizing captive breeding. Future interdisciplinary research should refine larval culture techniques and develop sustainable co-culture models. Expanding C. crangon aquaculture aligns with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals by enhancing food security, ecosystem resilience, and economic stability while reducing Europe’s reliance on seafood imports. Full article
32 pages, 2291 KiB  
Article
Impact of Green Financial Reform on Urban Economic Resilience—A Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on Green Financial Reform and Innovation Pilot Zones
by Yahui Chen, Yi An, Zixun Nie, Yuanying Chi and Xinyue Jia
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6969; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156969 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 334
Abstract
As a key engine driving China’s green financial transformation, the Green Financial Reform and Innovation Pilot Zones have demonstrated significant achievements in enhancing the capacity of financial services to support green real economies, preventing and mitigating green financial risks, and bolstering national and [...] Read more.
As a key engine driving China’s green financial transformation, the Green Financial Reform and Innovation Pilot Zones have demonstrated significant achievements in enhancing the capacity of financial services to support green real economies, preventing and mitigating green financial risks, and bolstering national and urban economic resilience. On this basis, a spatial Markov chain model is applied to further analyze the economic toughness of prefecture-level cities. This study treats the establishment of these pilot zones as a quasi-natural experiment, using panel data from 269 prefecture-level cities in China from 2013 to 2023 and employing a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) model to empirically examine the impact of green financial reform on urban economic resilience and its underlying mechanisms. The results reveal that the establishment of these pilot zones significantly enhances urban economic resilience. Specifically, green financial reforms primarily improve urban economic resilience by increasing credit accessibility and capital allocation efficiency in the pilot cities. Furthermore, the policy effects are more pronounced in large cities and resource-dependent cities compared to small and medium-sized cities and non-resource-dependent cities, with stronger impacts observed in southern and coastal regions than in northern inland areas. Additionally, the policy effects are significantly greater in environmentally prioritized cities than in non-prioritized cities. By integrating green financial reforms and urban economic resilience into a unified analytical framework, this study provides valuable insights for policymakers to refine green financial strategies and design resilience-enhancing policies. Full article
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20 pages, 753 KiB  
Article
Has the Free Trade Zone Enhanced the Regional Economic Resilience? Evidence from China
by Henglong Zhang and Congying Tian
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6951; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156951 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 233
Abstract
This study examines the impact of free trade zone (FTZ) establishment on regional economic resilience (RER) in China, using provincial-level panel data spanning from 2010 to 2022 and a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) approach. The empirical results indicate that FTZ implementation significantly enhances regional [...] Read more.
This study examines the impact of free trade zone (FTZ) establishment on regional economic resilience (RER) in China, using provincial-level panel data spanning from 2010 to 2022 and a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) approach. The empirical results indicate that FTZ implementation significantly enhances regional economic resilience by 3.46%, with the development of green finance acting as a key moderating mechanism that amplifies this positive effect. Heterogeneity analysis uncovers notable disparities across policy cohorts and geographical regions: the first wave of FTZs demonstrates the most pronounced resilience-enhancing impact, whereas later cohorts exhibit weaker or even adverse effects. Coastal regions experience substantial benefits from FTZ policies, in contrast to statistically insignificant outcomes observed in inland areas. These findings suggest that strategically expanding the FTZ network, when paired with tailored implementation mechanisms and the integration of green finance, could serve as a powerful policy tool for post-COVID economic recovery. Importantly, by strengthening economic resilience through institutional openness and green investment, this study offers valuable insights into balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability. It provides empirical evidence to support the optimization of FTZ spatial governance and institutional innovation pathways, thereby contributing to the pursuit of sustainable regional development. Full article
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19 pages, 5284 KiB  
Article
Integrating Dark Sky Conservation into Sustainable Regional Planning: A Site Suitability Evaluation for Dark Sky Parks in the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area
by Deliang Fan, Zidian Chen, Yang Liu, Ziwen Huo, Huiwen He and Shijie Li
Land 2025, 14(8), 1561; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081561 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 347
Abstract
Dark skies, a vital natural and cultural resource, have been increasingly threatened by light pollution due to rapid urbanization, leading to ecological degradation and biodiversity loss. As a key strategy for sustainable regional development, dark sky parks (DSPs) not only preserve nocturnal environments [...] Read more.
Dark skies, a vital natural and cultural resource, have been increasingly threatened by light pollution due to rapid urbanization, leading to ecological degradation and biodiversity loss. As a key strategy for sustainable regional development, dark sky parks (DSPs) not only preserve nocturnal environments but also enhance livability by balancing urban expansion and ecological conservation. This study develops a novel framework for evaluating DSP suitability, integrating ecological and socio-economic dimensions, including the resource base (e.g., nighttime light levels, meteorological conditions, and air quality) and development conditions (e.g., population density, transportation accessibility, and tourism infrastructure). Using the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) as a case study, we employ Delphi expert consultation, GIS spatial analysis, and multi-criteria decision-making to identify optimal DSP locations and prioritize conservation zones. Our key findings reveal the following: (1) spatial heterogeneity in suitability, with high-potential zones being concentrated in the GBA’s northeastern, central–western, and southern regions; (2) ecosystem advantages of forests, wetlands, and high-elevation areas for minimizing light pollution; (3) coastal and island regions as ideal DSP sites due to the low light interference and high ecotourism potential. By bridging environmental assessments and spatial planning, this study provides a replicable model for DSP site selection, offering policymakers actionable insights to integrate dark sky preservation into sustainable urban–regional development strategies. Our results underscore the importance of DSPs in fostering ecological resilience, nighttime tourism, and regional livability, contributing to the broader discourse on sustainable landscape planning in high-urbanization contexts. Full article
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29 pages, 4258 KiB  
Review
Corrosion Performance of Atmospheric Corrosion Resistant Steel Bridges in the Current Climate: A Performance Review
by Nafiseh Ebrahimi, Melina Roshanfar, Mojtaba Momeni and Olga Naboka
Materials 2025, 18(15), 3510; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18153510 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 507
Abstract
Weathering steel (WS) is widely used in bridge construction due to its high corrosion resistance, durability, and low maintenance requirements. This paper reviews the performance of WS bridges in Canadian climates, focusing on the formation of protective patina, influencing factors, and long-term maintenance [...] Read more.
Weathering steel (WS) is widely used in bridge construction due to its high corrosion resistance, durability, and low maintenance requirements. This paper reviews the performance of WS bridges in Canadian climates, focusing on the formation of protective patina, influencing factors, and long-term maintenance strategies. The protective patina, composed of stable iron oxyhydroxides, develops over time under favorable wet–dry cycles but can be disrupted by environmental aggressors such as chlorides, sulfur dioxide, and prolonged moisture exposure. Key alloying elements like Cu, Cr, Ni, and Nb enhance corrosion resistance, while design considerations—such as drainage optimization and avoidance of crevices—are critical for performance. The study highlights the vulnerability of WS bridges to microenvironments, including de-icing salt exposure, coastal humidity, and debris accumulation. Regular inspections and maintenance, such as debris removal, drainage system upkeep, and targeted cleaning, are essential to mitigate corrosion risks. Climate change exacerbates challenges, with rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and ocean acidification accelerating corrosion in coastal regions. Future research directions include optimizing WS compositions with advanced alloys (e.g., rare earth elements) and integrating climate-resilient design practices. This review highlights the need for a holistic approach combining material science, proactive maintenance, and adaptive design to ensure the longevity of WS bridges in evolving environmental conditions. Full article
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24 pages, 3509 KiB  
Article
Water: The Central Theme of the Proposed Sonora Estuarine Biocultural Corridor of Northwestern Mexico
by Diana Luque-Agraz, Martha A. Flores-Cuamea, Alessia Kachadourian-Marras, Lara Cornejo-Denman and Arthur D. Murphy
Water 2025, 17(15), 2227; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152227 - 26 Jul 2025
Viewed by 373
Abstract
The Sonora Estuarine Biocultural Corridor (CBES) is made up of six coastal wetlands with mangrove forest, internationally certified as Ramsar Sites. Four are part of indigenous territories whose inhabitants have serious development lags and low water security. Five are within one or more [...] Read more.
The Sonora Estuarine Biocultural Corridor (CBES) is made up of six coastal wetlands with mangrove forest, internationally certified as Ramsar Sites. Four are part of indigenous territories whose inhabitants have serious development lags and low water security. Five are within one or more of six irrigation districts of national relevance. The objective is to learn about the socio-environmental problems of the CBES, focused on the issue of water, as well as community proposals for solutions. Intercultural, mixed methodology approach. Prospecting visits were carried out in the six estuaries of the CBES, and 84 semi-structured interviews were conducted with experts from all social sectors who know the problems of the CBES in three (out of six) estuaries associated with indigenous territories. The main problem is centered on the issue of water: they receive contaminated water from agroindustry, aquaculture, and the municipal service; the fresh water of the rivers is almost nil, rainfall has decreased while the heat increases, and marine and terrestrial biodiversity decreases. This affects the food and economic security of the local population and generates conflicts between the different productive activities. A multisectoral organization that integrates the six estuaries would improve community wellbeing and, in turn, climate resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources Management, Policy and Governance)
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19 pages, 2278 KiB  
Article
Interplay Between Vegetation and Urban Climate in Morocco—Impact on Human Thermal Comfort
by Noura Ed-dahmany, Lahouari Bounoua, Mohamed Amine Lachkham, Mohammed Yacoubi Khebiza, Hicham Bahi and Mohammed Messouli
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 289; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080289 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 528
Abstract
This study examines diurnal surface temperature dynamics across major Moroccan cities during the growing season and explores the interaction between urban and vegetated surfaces. We also introduce the Urban Thermal Impact Ratio (UTIR), a novel metric designed to quantify urban thermal comfort as [...] Read more.
This study examines diurnal surface temperature dynamics across major Moroccan cities during the growing season and explores the interaction between urban and vegetated surfaces. We also introduce the Urban Thermal Impact Ratio (UTIR), a novel metric designed to quantify urban thermal comfort as a function of the surface urban heat island (SUHI) intensity. The analysis is based on outputs from a land surface model (LSM) for the year 2010, integrating high-resolution Landsat and MODIS data to characterize land cover and biophysical parameters across twelve land cover types. Our findings reveal moderate urban–vegetation temperature differences in coastal cities like Tangier (1.8 °C) and Rabat (1.0 °C), where winter vegetation remains active. In inland areas, urban morphology plays a more dominant role: Fes, with a 20% impervious surface area (ISA), exhibits a smaller SUHI than Meknes (5% ISA), due to higher urban heating in the latter. The Atlantic desert city of Dakhla shows a distinct pattern, with a nighttime SUHI of 2.1 °C and a daytime urban cooling of −0.7 °C, driven by irrigated parks and lawns enhancing evapotranspiration and shading. At the regional scale, summer UTIR values remain below one in Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima, Rabat-Sale-Kenitra, and Casablanca-Settat, suggesting that urban conditions generally stay within thermal comfort thresholds. In contrast, higher UTIR values in Marrakech-Safi, Beni Mellal-Khénifra, and Guelmim-Oued Noun indicate elevated heat discomfort. At the city scale, the UTIR in Tangier, Rabat, and Casablanca demonstrates a clear diurnal pattern: it emerges around 11:00 a.m., peaks at 1:00 p.m., and fades by 3:00 p.m. This study highlights the critical role of vegetation in regulating urban surface temperatures and modulating urban–rural thermal contrasts. The UTIR provides a practical, scalable indicator of urban heat stress, particularly valuable in data-scarce settings. These findings carry significant implications for climate-resilient urban planning, optimized energy use, and the design of public health early warning systems in the context of climate change. Full article
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8 pages, 2843 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Coastal Erosion in Tsunami and Storm Surges-Exposed Areas in Licantén, Maule, Chile: Case Study Using Remote Sensing and In-Situ Data
by Joaquín Valenzuela-Jara, Idania Briceño de Urbaneja, Waldo Pérez-Martínez and Isidora Díaz-Quijada
Eng. Proc. 2025, 94(1), 10; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025094010 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 312
Abstract
This study examines urban expansion, coastal erosion, and extreme wave events in Licantén, Maule Region, following the 2010 earthquake and tsunami. Using multi-source data—Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery, ERA5 reanalysis, high-resolution Maxar images, UAV surveys, and the CoastSat algorithm—we detected significant urban growth in [...] Read more.
This study examines urban expansion, coastal erosion, and extreme wave events in Licantén, Maule Region, following the 2010 earthquake and tsunami. Using multi-source data—Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery, ERA5 reanalysis, high-resolution Maxar images, UAV surveys, and the CoastSat algorithm—we detected significant urban growth in tsunami-prone areas: Iloca (36.88%), La Pesca (33.34%), and Pichibudi (20.78%). A 39-year shoreline reconstruction (1985–2024) revealed notable changes in erosion rates and shoreline dynamics using DSAS v6.0, influenced by tides, storm surges, and wave action modeled in R to quantify storm surge events over time. Results underscore the lack of urban planning in hazard-exposed areas and the urgent need for resilient coastal management under climate change. Full article
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25 pages, 6316 KiB  
Article
Integration of Remote Sensing and Machine Learning Approaches for Operational Flood Monitoring Along the Coastlines of Bangladesh Under Extreme Weather Events
by Shampa, Nusaiba Nueri Nasir, Mushrufa Mushreen Winey, Sujoy Dey, S. M. Tasin Zahid, Zarin Tasnim, A. K. M. Saiful Islam, Mohammad Asad Hussain, Md. Parvez Hossain and Hussain Muhammad Muktadir
Water 2025, 17(15), 2189; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152189 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 725
Abstract
The Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) delta, characterized by complex topography and hydrological conditions, is highly susceptible to recurrent flooding, particularly in its coastal regions where tidal dynamics hinder floodwater discharge. This study integrates Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery with machine learning (ML) techniques to assess [...] Read more.
The Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) delta, characterized by complex topography and hydrological conditions, is highly susceptible to recurrent flooding, particularly in its coastal regions where tidal dynamics hinder floodwater discharge. This study integrates Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery with machine learning (ML) techniques to assess near real-time flood inundation patterns associated with extreme weather events, including recent cyclones between 2017 to 2024 (namely, Mora, Titli, Fani, Amphan, Yaas, Sitrang, Midhili, and Remal) as well as intense monsoonal rainfall during the same period, across a large spatial scale, to support disaster risk management efforts. Three machine learning algorithms, namely, random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN), were applied to flood extent data derived from SAR imagery to enhance flood detection accuracy. Among these, the SVM algorithm demonstrated the highest classification accuracy (75%) and exhibited superior robustness in delineating flood-affected areas. The analysis reveals that both cyclone intensity and rainfall magnitude significantly influence flood extent, with the western coastal zone (e.g., Morrelganj and Kaliganj) being most consistently affected. The peak inundation extent was observed during the 2023 monsoon (10,333 sq. km), while interannual variability in rainfall intensity directly influenced the spatial extent of flood-affected zones. In parallel, eight major cyclones, including Amphan (2020) and Remal (2024), triggered substantial flooding, with the most severe inundation recorded during Cyclone Remal with an area of 9243 sq. km. Morrelganj and Chakaria were consistently identified as flood hotspots during both monsoonal and cyclonic events. Comparative analysis indicates that cyclones result in larger areas with low-level inundation (19,085 sq. km) compared to monsoons (13,829 sq. km). However, monsoon events result in a larger area impacted by frequent inundation, underscoring the critical role of rainfall intensity. These findings underscore the utility of SAR-ML integration in operational flood monitoring and highlight the urgent need for localized, event-specific flood risk management strategies to enhance flood resilience in the GBM delta. Full article
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34 pages, 26037 KiB  
Article
Remote Sensing-Based Analysis of the Coupled Impacts of Climate and Land Use Changes on Future Ecosystem Resilience: A Case Study of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region
by Jingyuan Ni and Fang Xu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2546; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152546 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 489
Abstract
Urban and regional ecosystems are increasingly challenged by the compounded effects of climate change and intensive land use. In this study, a predictive assessment framework for ecosystem resilience in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region was developed by integrating multi-source remote sensing data, with the aim [...] Read more.
Urban and regional ecosystems are increasingly challenged by the compounded effects of climate change and intensive land use. In this study, a predictive assessment framework for ecosystem resilience in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region was developed by integrating multi-source remote sensing data, with the aim of quantitatively evaluating the coupled effects of climate change and land use change on future ecosystem resilience. In the first stage of the study, the SD-PLUS coupled modeling framework was employed to simulate land use patterns for the years 2030 and 2060 under three representative combinations of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). Building upon these simulations, ecosystem resilience was comprehensively evaluated and predicted on the basis of three key attributes: resistance, adaptability, and recovery. This enabled a quantitative investigation of the spatio-temporal dynamics of ecosystem resilience under each scenario. The results reveal the following: (1) Temporally, ecosystem resilience exhibited a staged pattern of change. From 2020 to 2030, an increasing trend was observed only under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, whereas, from 2030 to 2060, resilience generally increased in all scenarios. (2) In terms of scenario comparison, ecosystem resilience typically followed a gradient pattern of SSP1-2.6 > SSP2-4.5 > SSP5-8.5. However, in 2060, a notable reversal occurred, with the highest resilience recorded under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. (3) Spatially, areas with high ecosystem resilience were primarily distributed in mountainous regions, while the southeastern plains and coastal zones consistently exhibited lower resilience levels. The results indicate that climate and land use changes jointly influence ecosystem resilience. Rainfall and temperature, as key climate drivers, not only affect land use dynamics but also play a crucial role in regulating ecosystem services and ecological processes. Under extreme scenarios such as SSP5-8.5, these factors may trigger nonlinear responses in ecosystem resilience. Meanwhile, land use restructuring further shapes resilience patterns by altering landscape configurations and recovery mechanisms. Our findings highlight the role of climate and land use in reshaping ecological structure, function, and services. This study offers scientific support for assessing and managing regional ecosystem resilience and informs adaptive urban governance in the face of future climate and land use uncertainty, promotes the sustainable development of ecosystems, and expands the applicability of remote sensing in dynamic ecological monitoring and predictive analysis. Full article
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23 pages, 5397 KiB  
Article
A Systematic Analysis of Influencing Factors on Wind Resilience in a Coastal Historical District of China
by Bo Huang, Zhenmin Ou, Gang Zhao, Junwu Wang, Lanjun Liu, Sijun Lv, Bin Huang and Xueqi Liu
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 8116; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15148116 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 279
Abstract
Historical districts are the mark of the continuity of urban history and are non-renewable. Typhoon disasters rank among the most serious and frequent natural threats to China’s coastal regions. Improving the wind resilience of China’s coastal historical districts is of great significance for [...] Read more.
Historical districts are the mark of the continuity of urban history and are non-renewable. Typhoon disasters rank among the most serious and frequent natural threats to China’s coastal regions. Improving the wind resilience of China’s coastal historical districts is of great significance for their protection and inheritance. Accurately analyzing the different characteristics of the influencing factors of wind resilience in China’s coastal historical districts can provide a theoretical basis for alleviating the damage caused by typhoons and formulating disaster prevention measures. This paper accurately identifies the main influencing factors of wind resilience in China’s coastal historical districts and constructs an influencing factor system from four aspects: block level, building level, typhoon characteristics, and emergency management. An IIM model for the systematic analysis of influencing factors of wind resilience in China’s coastal historical districts based on the Improved Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (IDEMATEL), Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM), and Matrices Impacts Croises-Multiplication Appliance Classement (MICMAC) methods is established. This allows us to explore the mechanism of action of internal influencing factors of typhoon disasters and construct an influencing factor system, in order to propose prevention measures from the perspective of typhoon disaster characteristics and the overall perspective of China’s coastal historical districts. The results show that the driving force of a building’s windproof design in China’s coastal historical districts is low, but its dependence is strong; the driving forces of block morphology, typhoon level, and emergency plan are strong, but their dependence is low. A building’s windproof design is a direct influencing factor of the wind resilience of China’s coastal historical districts; block morphology, typhoon level, and emergency plan are the most fundamental and key influencing factors of the wind resilience of China’s coastal historical districts. Full article
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