Search Results (729)

The high spatial resolution of radar data enables the detailed resolution of typhoon vortices and their embedded structures; the assimilation of radar data in the initialization of numerical weather prediction exerts an important influence on the forecasting of typhoon track, intensity, and structures up to at least 12 h. For the case of typhoon Morakot (2009), Taiwan radar data was assimilated to adjust the dynamic and thermodynamic structures of the vortex in the model initialization by the three-dimensional variation data assimilation system in the Advanced Region Prediction System (ARPS). The radial wind was directly assimilated to tune the original unbalanced velocity fields through a 3-dimensional variation method, and complex cloud analysis was conducted by using the reflectivity data. The influence of radar data assimilation on typhoon prediction was examined at the stages of Morakot landing on Taiwan Island and subsequently going inland. The results showed that the assimilation made some improvement in the prediction of vortex intensity, track, and structures in the initialization and subsequent forecast. For example, besides deepening the central sea level pressure and enhancing the maximum surface wind speed, the radar data assimilation corrected the typhoon center movement to the best track and adjusted the size and inner-core structure of the vortex to be close to the observations. It was also shown that the specific humidity adjustment in the cloud analysis procedure during the assimilation time window played an important role, producing more hydrometeors and tuning the unbalanced moisture and temperature fields. The neighborhood-based ETS revealed that the assimilation with the specific humidity adjustment was propitious in improving forecast skill, specifically for smaller-scale reflectivity at the stage of Morakot landing, and for larger-scale reflectivity at the stage of Morakot going inland. The calculation of the intensity-scale skill score of the hourly precipitation forecast showed the assimilation with the specific humidity adjustment performed skillful forecasting for the spatial forecast-error scales of 30–160 km. Full article

The WIVERN mission promises to deliver the first global observations of the three-dimensional wind field and the associated cloud and precipitation structure in a wide range of atmospheric phenomena, including isolated thunderstorms, tropical cyclones, mid-latitude frontal systems, and polar lows. A critical element in the development of the mission’s wind products is the differentiation between stratiform and convective regions. Convective regions are defined as those where vertical wind velocities exceed 1 m/s. This work introduces CONSTRAINN, a family of U-Net-based neural network models that utilise all of WIVERN observables—including vertical profiles of reflectivity and Doppler velocity, as well as brightness temperatures—to reconstruct convective wind activity within the Earth’s atmosphere. Results show that the retrieved convective/stratiform masks are well reconstructed, with an equitable threat score exceeding 0.6. Ablation experiments further reveal that Doppler velocity signals are the most informative for the reconstruction task. Full article

Changes in habitat suitability are critical indicators of the ecological impacts of climate change. Syndiclis Hook. f., a rare and endangered genus endemic to montane limestone and cloud forest ecosystems in China, holds considerable ecological and economic value. However, knowledge of its current distribution and the key environmental factors influencing its habitat suitability remains limited. In this study, we employed the MaxEnt model, integrated with geographic information systems (ArcGIS), to predict the potential distribution of Syndiclis under current and future climate scenarios, identify dominant bioclimatic drivers, and assess temporal and spatial shifts in habitat patterns. We also analyzed spatial displacement of habitat centroids to explore potential migration pathways. The model demonstrated excellent performance (AUC = 0.988), with current suitable habitats primarily located in Hainan, Taiwan, Southeastern Yunnan, and along the Yunnan–Guangxi border. Temperature seasonality (bio7) emerged as the most important predictor (67.00%), followed by precipitation of the driest quarter (bio17, 14.90%), while soil factors played a relatively minor role. Under future climate projections, Hainan and Taiwan are expected to serve as stable climatic refugia, whereas the overall suitable habitat area is projected to decline significantly. Combined with topographic constraints, population decline, and limited dispersal ability, these changes elevate the risk of extinction for Syndiclis in the wild. Landscape pattern analysis revealed increased habitat fragmentation under warming conditions, with only 4.08% of suitable areas currently under effective protection. We recommend prioritizing conservation efforts in regions with habitat contraction (e.g., Guangxi and Yunnan) and stable refugia (e.g., Hainan and Taiwan). Conservation strategies should integrate targeted in situ and ex situ actions, guided by dominant environmental variables and projected migration routes, to ensure the long-term persistence of Syndiclis populations and support evidence-based conservation planning. Full article

By integrating EarthCARE W-band doppler cloud radar observations with GPM Ku/Ka-band dual-frequency precipitation radar data, this study constructs a novel global “pseudo tripe-frequency” radar coincidence dataset comprising 2886 coincidence events (about one-third of the events detected precipitation), aiming to systematically investigating band-dependent responses to cloud and precipitation structure. Results demonstrate that the W-band is highly sensitive to high-altitude cloud particles and snowfall (reflectivity < 0 dBZ), yet it experiences substantial signal attenuation under heavy precipitation conditions, and with low-altitude reflectivity reductions exceeding 50 dBZ, its probability density distribution is more widespread, with low-altitude peaks increasing first, and then decreasing as precipitation increases. In contrast, the Ku and Ka-band radars maintain relatively stable detection capabilities, with attenuation differences generally within 15 dBZ, but its probability density distribution exhibits multiple peaks. As the precipitation rate increases, the peak value of the dual-frequency ratio (Ka/W) gradually rises from approximately 10 dBZ to 20 dBZ, and can even reach up to 60 dBZ under heavy rainfall conditions. Several cases analyses reveal clear contrasts: In stratiform precipitation regions, W-band radar reflectivity is higher above the melting layer than below, whereas the opposite pattern is observed in the Ku and Ka bands. Doppler velocities exceeding 5 m s⁻¹ and precipitation rates surpassing 30 mm h⁻¹ exhibit strong positive correlations in convection-dominated regimes. Furthermore, the dataset confirms the impact of ice–water cloud phase interactions and terrain-induced precipitation variability, underscoring the complementary strengths of multi-frequency radar observations for capturing diverse precipitation processes. Full article

High-resolution numerical weather prediction requires accurate cloud microphysical initial conditions to enhance forecasting capabilities for high-impact severe weather events such as convective storms. This study integrated Fengyun-2 (FY-2) geostationary satellite data (equivalent blackbody temperature and total cloud cover) and next-generation 3D weather radar reflectivity from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) to construct cloud microphysical initial fields and evaluate their impact on the CMA-MESO 3 km regional model. An analysis of the catastrophic rainfall event in Henan on 20 July 2021, and a 92-day continuous experiment (May–July 2024) revealed that assimilating cloud microphysical variables significantly improved precipitation forecasting: the equitable threat scores (ETSs) for 1 h forecasts of light, moderate, and heavy rain increased from 0.083, 0.043, and 0.007 to 0.41, 0.36, and 0.217, respectively, with average hourly ETS improvements of 21–71% for 2–6 h forecasts and increases in ETSs for light, moderate, and heavy rain of 7.5%, 9.8%, and 24.9% at 7–12 h, with limited improvement beyond 12 h. Furthermore, the root mean square error (RMSE) of the 2 m temperature forecasts decreased across all 1–72 h lead times, with a 4.2% reduction during the 1–9 h period, while the geopotential height RMSE reductions reached 5.8%, 3.3%, and 2.0% at 24, 48, and 72 h, respectively. Additionally, synchronized enhancements were observed in 10 m wind prediction accuracy. These findings underscore the critical role of cloud microphysical initialization in advancing mesoscale numerical weather prediction systems. Full article

This study examines a Mei-Yu rainfall event using rain gauges (RG) and OTT Parsivel disdrometers to observe precipitation characteristics and raindrop size distributions (RSD), with comparisons made against Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulations. Results show that Parsivel-derived rain rates (RR) are slightly underestimated relative to RG measurements. Both observations and simulations identify 1–3 mm raindrops as the dominant precipitation contributors, though the model overestimates small and large drop contributions. At low RR, decreased small-drop and increased large-drop concentrations cause corresponding leftward and rightward RSD shifts with decreasing altitude—a pattern well captured by simulations. However, at elevated rainfall rates, the simulated concentration of large raindrops shows no significant increase, resulting in negligible rightward shifting of RSD in the model outputs. Autoconversion from cloud droplets to raindrops (ATcr), collision and breakup between raindrops (AGrr), ice melting (MLir), and evaporation of raindrops (VDrv) contribute more to the number density of raindrops. At 0.1 < RR < 1 mm·h⁻¹, ATcr dominates, while VDrv peaks in this intensity range before decreasing. At higher intensities (RR > 20 mm·h⁻¹), AGrr contributes most, followed by MLir. When the RR is high enough, the breakup of raindrops plays a more important role than collision, leading to a decrease in the number density of raindrops. The overestimation of raindrop breakup from the numerical parameterization may be one of the reasons why the RSD does not shift significantly to the right toward the surface under the heavy RR grade. The RSD near the surface varies with the RR and characterizes surface precipitation well. Toward the surface, ATcr and VDrv, but not AGrr, become similar when precipitation approaches. Full article

The alloying elements usually lead to the precipitation of second phases in steel, readily forming at grain boundaries, and the type and distribution of these phases significantly influence the mechanical properties of the matrix. In the present contribution, the austenitic matrix fcc-Fe, the precipitate NbN, and the interface properties between them are investigated by first-principles calculations in detail. The effects of vacancy and alloying element content on the interface performance are examined. The results indicate that the density of states (DOS) of the former is primarily contributed by the Fe d-orbitals, and both exhibit elastic anisotropy. Under a tensile strain of 20%, the maximum tensile strength of fcc-Fe reaches 32.6 GPa. For NbN, the maximum tensile strength comes to 29 GPa at a strain of 10%, after which the stress rapidly decreases with the increasing of strain. In the meantime, the uneven distribution of electron cloud density increases in both. Regarding the interface, the introduction of vacancies enhances atomic interaction and improves interface stability by altering electron cloud distribution. As the Co doping content increases, the covalent interactions between atoms strengthen at the interface, enhancing interface stability. However, excessive V doping may reduce the interface stability. Furthermore, when the vacancies coexist with alloying elements, the stronger covalent characteristics are observed due to shortened bond lengths and positive bond population values. These insights provide a data foundation and theoretical basis for designing high-performance austenitic stainless steels. Full article

Accurate projection of future climate trends in arid regions critically depends on reliable precipitation simulations. However, most Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models exhibit systematic overestimations of precipitation in Northwest China, a bias that undermines the credibility of climate projections for this vulnerable region. This persistent bias likely stems from the omission of key physical processes in traditional models. In this study, we incorporate a dust–ice-cloud interaction scheme into the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) model to investigate its role in regulating precipitation over dust-rich arid regions. This physical mechanism, which is rarely included in conventional models, is particularly relevant for Northwest China where dust aerosols are abundant. Our results show that accounting for dust-induced ice nucleation leads to a significant reduction in total precipitation, especially in the convective component, thereby alleviating the longstanding wet bias in the region. These findings underscore the critical importance of dust–ice-cloud interactions in simulating precipitation in arid environments. To improve the accuracy of future climate projections in Northwest China, climate models must incorporate realistic representations of dust-related microphysical processes. Full article

Climate models often face challenges in accurately simulating the daily precipitation cycle over tropical land areas, particularly in the Amazon. One contributing factor may be the incomplete representation of the diurnal evolution of shallow cumulus (ShCu) clouds. This study aimed to enhance the understanding of the diurnal cycles of ShCu clouds—from formation to maturation and dissipation—over the Central Amazon (CAMZ). Using observational data from the Green Ocean Amazon 2014 (GoAmazon) campaign and large eddy simulation (LES) modeling, we analyzed the diurnal cycles of six selected pure ShCu cases and their composite behavior. Our results revealed a well-defined cycle, with cloud formation occurring between 10 and 11 local time (LT), maturity from 13 to 15 LT, and dissipation by 17–18 LT. The vertical extent of the liquid water mixing ratio and the intensity of the updraft mass flux were closely associated with increases in turbulent kinetic energy (TKE), enhanced buoyancy flux within the cloud layer, and reduced large-scale subsidence. We further analyzed the diurnal cycles of the convective available potential energy (CAPE), the convective inhibition (CIN), the Bowen ratio (BR), and the vertically integrated TKE in the mixed layer (ITKE-ML), exploring their relationships with the cloud base mass flux (Mb) and cloud depth across the six ShCu cases. ITKE-ML and Mb exhibited similar diurnal trends, peaking at approximately 14–15 LT. However, no consistent relationships were found between CAPE (or BR) and Mb. Similarly, comparisons of the cloud depth with CAPE, BR, ITKE-ML, CIN, and Mb revealed no clear relationships. Smaller ShCu clouds were sometimes linked to higher CAPE and lower CIN. It is important to emphasize that these findings are preliminary and based on a limited sample of ShCu cases. Further research involving an expanded dataset and more detailed analyses of the TKE budget and synoptic conditions is necessary. Such efforts would yield a more comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing ShCu clouds’ vertical development. Full article

This study investigates the impact of desert dust on precipitation patterns using multi-model simulations. Dust-based processes of formation/removal of ice nuclei (IN) and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) are investigated by using both the online access model WRF-CHIMERE and the online integrated model WRF-Chem. Comparisons of model predictions with rainfall measurements (GRISO: Spatial Interpolation Generator from Rainfall Observations) over the Italian peninsula show the models’ ability to reproduce heavy orographic precipitation in alpine regions. To quantify the impact of the mineral dust transport concomitant to the atmospheric river (AR) on cloud formation, a sensitivity study is performed by using the WRF-CHIMERE model (i) by setting dust concentrations to zero and (ii) by modifying the settings of the Thompson Aerosol-Aware microphysics scheme. Statistical comparisons revealed that WRF-CHIMERE outperformed WRF-Chem. It achieved a correlation coefficient of up to 0.77, mean bias (MB) between +3.56 and +5.01 mm/day, and lower RMSE and MAE values (~32 mm and ~22 mm, respectively). Conversely, WRF-Chem displayed a substantial underestimation, with an MB of −25.22 mm/day and higher RMSE and MAE values. Our findings show that, despite general agreement in spatial precipitation patterns, both models significantly underestimated the peak daily rainfall in pre-alpine regions (e.g., 216 mm observed at Malga Valine vs. 130–140 mm simulated, corresponding to a 35–40% underestimation). Although important instantaneous changes in precipitation and temperature were modeled at a local scale, no significant total changes in precipitation or air temperature averaged over the entire domain were observed. These results underline the complexity of aerosol–cloud interactions and the need for improved parameterizations in coupled meteorological models. Full article

Multilayer clouds, comprising vertically stacked cloud layers with distinct microphysical characteristics, constitute a critical yet complex atmospheric phenomenon influencing regional to global climate patterns. Advances in observational techniques, particularly the application of high-resolution humidity vertical profiling via radiosondes, have significantly enhanced multilayer cloud detection capabilities. Multilayer clouds are widely distributed around the world, showing significant regional differences. Many studies have been carried out on the formation mechanism of multilayer clouds, and observational evidence indicates a close relationship between multilayer cloud development and water vapor supply, updraft, atmospheric circulation, as well as wind shear; however, a unified and comprehensive theoretical framework has not yet been constructed to fully explain the underlying mechanism. In addition, the unique vertical structure of multilayer clouds exhibits different climate effects when compared with single-layer clouds, affecting global climate patterns by regulating precipitation processes and radiative energy budgets. This article reviews the research progress related to multilayer cloud observations and their climate effects and looks forward to the research that needs to be carried out in the future. Full article

Ammonium nitrate (NH₄NO₃) is a major constituent of fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), playing a critical role in air quality and atmospheric chemistry. However, the dual regulatory role of ammonia (NH₃) in both the formation and volatilization of NH₄NO₃ under ambient atmospheric conditions remains inadequately understood. To address this gap, we conducted high-resolution field measurements at a clean tropical coastal site in China using an integrated system of Aerosol Ion Monitor-Ion Chromatography, a Scanning Mobility Particle Sizer, and online OC/EC analyzers. These observations were complemented by thermodynamic modeling (E-AIM) and source apportionment via a Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) model. The E-AIM simulations revealed persistent thermodynamic disequilibrium, with particulate NO₃⁻ tending to volatilize even under NH_3gas-rich conditions during the northeast monsoon. This suggests that NH₄NO₃ in PM_2.5 forms rapidly within fresh combustion plumes and/or those modified by non-precipitation clouds and then undergoes substantial evaporation as it disperses through the atmosphere. Under the southeast monsoon conditions, reactions constrained by sea salt aerosols became dominant, promoting the formation of particulate NO₃⁻ while suppressing NH₄NO₃ formation despite ongoing plume influence. In scenarios of regional accumulation, elevated NH₃ concentrations suppressed NH₄NO₃ volatilization, thereby enhancing the stability of particulate NO₃⁻ in PM_2.5. PMF analysis identified five source factors, with NO₃⁻ in PM_2.5 primarily associated with emissions from local power plants and the large-scale regional background, showing marked seasonal variability. These findings highlight the complex and dynamic interplay between the formation and evaporation of NH₄NO₃ in NH_3gas-rich coastal atmospheres. Full article

This study analyzes the potential of optical and radar satellite data to monitor faba bean (Vicia faba L.) phenology over six years (2016–2021) in southwestern France. Using Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and Landsat-8 data, temporal variations in NDVI and radar backscatter coefficients (γ⁰_VV, γ⁰_VH, and γ⁰_VH/VV) are examined to assess crop growth, detect anomalies, and evaluate the impact of climatic conditions and sowing strategies. The results show that NDVI and the radar ratio (γ⁰_VH/VV) were suited to monitor faba bean phenology, with distinct growth phases observed annually. NDVI provides a clear seasonal pattern but is affected by cloud cover, while radar backscatter offers continuous monitoring, making their combination highly beneficial. The signal γ⁰_VH/VV exhibits well-marked correlations with NDVI (r = 0.81) and LAI (r = 0.83), particularly in orbit 30, which provides greater sensitivity to vegetation changes. The analysis of individual fields (inter-field approach) reveals variations in sowing strategies, with both autumn and spring plantings detected. Fields sown in autumn show early NDVI (and γ⁰_VH/VV) increases, while spring-sown fields display delayed growth patterns. This study also highlights the impact of climatic factors, such as precipitation and temperature, on inter-annual variability. Moreover, faba beans used as an intercropping species exhibit a shorter and more intense growth cycle, with a rapid NDVI (and γ⁰_VH/VV) increase and an earlier end of the vegetative cycle compared to standard rotations. Double logistic modeling successfully reconstructs temporal trends, achieving high accuracy (r > 0.95 and rRMSE < 9% for γ⁰_VH/VV signals and r > 0.89 and rRMSE < 15% for NDVI). These double logistic functions are capable of reproducing the differences in phenological development observed between fields and years, providing a reference set of functions that can be used to monitor the phenological development of faba beans in real time. Future applications could extend this methodology to other crops and explore alternative radar systems for improved monitoring (such as TerraSAR-X, Cosmos-SkyMed, ALOS-2/PALSAR, NISAR, ROSE-L…). Full article

Sri Lanka typically experiences anomalously wet conditions during the summer following El Niño events, but this response varies due to El Niño complexity. This study investigates the impact of post-El Niño conditions on Sri Lanka’s Monsoon rainfall, contrasting summers after fast- and slow-decaying El Niño events. Results indicate that fast-decaying El Niño events lead to wet and cool summers while slow-decaying events result in dry and warm summers. These contrasting responses are linked to sea surface temperature (SST) changes in the central to eastern Pacific. During the fast-decaying El Niño, the transition to La Niña generates strong easterlies in the central and eastern Pacific, enhancing moisture convergence, upward motion, and cloud cover, resulting in wetter conditions over Sri Lanka. During the fast-decaying El Niño, enhanced precipitation over the Maritime Continent acts as a diabatic heating source, inducing Gill-type easterly wind anomalies over the tropical Pacific. These winds promote coupled feedbacks that accelerate the transition to La Niña, strengthening moisture convergence and upward motion over Sri Lanka. Conversely, slow-decaying El Niño events are associated with cooling in the western North Pacific and warming in the Indian Ocean, which promotes the development of the western North Pacific anticyclone, suppressing upward motion and reducing cloud cover, leading to conditions over Sri Lanka. Changes in the Walker circulation further contribute to these distinct rainfall patterns, highlighting its influence on regional climate dynamics. These findings enhance our understanding of the seasonal predictability of rainfall in Sri Lanka during post-El Niño Summers. Full article

With advancements in cloud computing and machine learning algorithms, an increasing number of cropland datasets have been developed, including the China land-cover dataset (CLCD) and GlobeLand30 (GLC). The unique climatic conditions of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) introduce significant differences and uncertainties to these datasets. Here, we used a quantitative and visual integrated assessment approach to assess the accuracy and spatial consistency of five cropland datasets around 2020 in the TP, namely the CLCD, GLC30, land-use remote sensing monitoring dataset in China (CNLUCC), Global Land Analysis and Discovery (GLAD), and global land-cover product with a fine classification system (GLC_FCS). We analyzed the impact of terrain, climate, population, and vegetation indices on cropland spatial consistency using structural equation modeling (SEM). In this study, the GLAD cropland area had the highest fit with the national land survey (R² = 0.88). County-level analysis revealed that the CLCD and GLC_FCS underestimated cropland areas in high-elevation counties, whereas the GLC and CNLUCC tended to overestimate cropland areas on the TP. Considering overall accuracy, GLC and GLAD performed the best with scores of 0.76 and 0.75, respectively. In contrast, CLCD (0.640), GLC_FCS (0.640), and CNLUCC (0.620) exhibited poor overall accuracy. This study highlights the significantly low spatial consistency of croplands on the TP, with only 10.60% consistency in high and complete agreement. The results showed substantial differences in spatial accuracy among zones, with relatively higher consistency observed in low-altitude zones and notably poorer accuracy in zones with sparse or fragmented cropland. The SEM results indicated that elevation and slope directly influenced cropland consistency, whereas temperature and precipitation indirectly affected cropland consistency by influencing vegetation indices. This study provides a valuable reference for implementing cropland datasets and future cropland mapping studies on the TP region. Full article