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29 pages, 2200 KB  
Article
Method of Comparative Analysis of Energy Consumption in Passenger Car Fleets with Internal Combustion, Hybrid, Battery Electric, and Hydrogen Powertrains in Long-Term European Operating Conditions
by Lech J. Sitnik and Monika Andrych-Zalewska
Energies 2026, 19(3), 616; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19030616 (registering DOI) - 25 Jan 2026
Abstract
Accurately determining actual energy consumption is essential for guiding technological developments in the transport sector, assessing vehicle development outcomes, and designing effective energy and climate policies. Although laboratory driving cycles such as the WLTP provide standardized benchmarks, they do not reflect the complex [...] Read more.
Accurately determining actual energy consumption is essential for guiding technological developments in the transport sector, assessing vehicle development outcomes, and designing effective energy and climate policies. Although laboratory driving cycles such as the WLTP provide standardized benchmarks, they do not reflect the complex interactions between human behavior, environmental conditions, and vehicle dynamics under real-world operating conditions. This article presents an integrated framework for assessing long-term, actual energy carrier consumption in four main vehicle categories: internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (H2EVs), and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). The entire discussion here is based on the results of data analysis from natural operation using the so-called vehicle energy footprint. This framework provides a method for determining the average energy carrier consumption for each group of vehicles with the specified drivetrains. This information formed the basis for assessing the total energy demand for the operation of the analyzed vehicle types in normal operation. The simulations show that among mid-range passenger vehicles, ICEVs are the most energy-intensive in normal operation, followed by H2EVs and HEVs, and BEVs are the least. This study highlights the methodological challenges and implications of accurately quantifying energy consumption. The presented method for assessing energy demand in vehicle operation can be useful for manufacturers, consumers, fleet operators, and policymakers, particularly in terms of energy efficiency, emission reduction, and public health protection. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section E: Electric Vehicles)
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20 pages, 6065 KB  
Article
Ground-Based Doppler Asymmetric Spatial Heterodyne Interferometer: Instrument Performance and Thermospheric Wind Observations
by Zhenqing Wen, Di Fu, Guangyi Zhu, Dexin Ren, Xiongbo Hao, Hengxiang Zhao, Jiuhou Lei, Yajun Zhu and Yutao Feng
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 395; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030395 (registering DOI) - 24 Jan 2026
Abstract
The thermosphere serves as a pivotal region for Sun–Earth interactions, and thermospheric winds are of great scientific importance for deepening insights into atmospheric dynamics, climate formation mechanisms, and space environment evolution. This study designed and developed a Ground-based Doppler Asymmetric Spatial Heterodyne Interferometer [...] Read more.
The thermosphere serves as a pivotal region for Sun–Earth interactions, and thermospheric winds are of great scientific importance for deepening insights into atmospheric dynamics, climate formation mechanisms, and space environment evolution. This study designed and developed a Ground-based Doppler Asymmetric Spatial Heterodyne Interferometer (GDASHI). Targeting the nightglow of the oxygen atomic red line (OI 630.0 nm), this instrument enables high-precision observation of thermospheric winds. The GDASHI was deployed at Gemini Astronomical Manor (26.7°N, 100.0°E), and has obtained one year of nighttime meridional and zonal wind data. To verify the reliability of GDASHI-derived winds, a collocated observation comparison was performed against the Dual-Channel Optical Interferometer stationed at Binchuan Station (25.6°N, 100.6°E), Yunnan. The winds of the two instruments are basically consistent in both their diurnal variation trends and amplitudes. Further Deming regression and correlation analysis were conducted for the two datasets, with the meridional and zonal winds yielding fitting slopes of 0.808 and 0.875 and correlation coefficients of 0.754 and 0.771, respectively. An uncertainty analysis of the inter-instrument comparison was also carried out, incorporating instrumental measurement uncertainties, instrumental parameter errors, and small-scale perturbations induced by observational site differences; the synthesized total uncertainties of zonal and meridional winds are determined to be 20.24 m/s and 20.77 m/s, respectively. This study not only verifies the feasibility and reliability of GDASHI for ground-based thermospheric wind detection but also provides critical observational support for analyzing the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of mid-low latitude thermospheric wind fields and exploring their underlying physical mechanisms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Remote Sensing)
12 pages, 250 KB  
Article
Quality of Prison Life and Physical Environment: What Is Predictive of Prisoners’ Overall Satisfaction with the Prison?
by Hilde Pape and Berit Johnsen
Healthcare 2026, 14(3), 299; https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14030299 (registering DOI) - 24 Jan 2026
Abstract
Background/Objectives: This study examines prisoners’ quality of life by investigating which aspects of imprisonment conditions—including perceptions of the physical environment—best predict overall satisfaction with the prison (OSP). A key question is whether the staff–prisoner relationship is the single most important dimension, which [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: This study examines prisoners’ quality of life by investigating which aspects of imprisonment conditions—including perceptions of the physical environment—best predict overall satisfaction with the prison (OSP). A key question is whether the staff–prisoner relationship is the single most important dimension, which is frequently emphasized in the literature but has scarcely been tested quantitatively. Methods: Data stemmed from a survey conducted in three closed prisons in Norway in 2022 (response rate: 63%, n = 163). The dependent variable was assessed by asking: “Generally speaking, on a scale from 1 to 10, how satisfied are you with this prison?” This outcome was regressed on seven subscales from the Prison Climate Questionnaire and four single-item measures of the physical environment that have been shown to influence health and well-being. Results: As expected, the quality of staff–prisoner relationships had a unique statistical impact on OSP. Ratings of the outdoor areas and the view from the cell were about equally strong predictors. No statistically independent effects were observed for perceived quality of relationships with fellow prisoners, reintegration measures, receiving visits, personal safety, autonomy, access to natural light and a global rating of the prison building (noise, temperature, layout, etc.). Conclusions: This study further emphasizes the importance of staff–prisoner relationships in shaping prisoners’ experiences and perceptions of imprisonment. Moreover, it provides new insights into the significance of the physical environment for prisoners’ overall perceptions of prison quality, which is likely to affect their mental health and well-being. These findings have potential implications for the design and siting of new correctional facilities and for improving the quality of existing ones. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Prisoner Health)
18 pages, 1651 KB  
Article
Possibilities of Producing Agricultural Biogas from Animal Manure in Poland
by Dorota Janiszewska and Luiza Ossowska
Agriculture 2026, 16(3), 301; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16030301 (registering DOI) - 24 Jan 2026
Abstract
Biogas production from agricultural residues is a promising solution for renewable energy production, improved waste management, and beneficial impact on climate change mitigation. The aim of this study is to assess the actual use and theoretical potential of agricultural biogas produced from animal [...] Read more.
Biogas production from agricultural residues is a promising solution for renewable energy production, improved waste management, and beneficial impact on climate change mitigation. The aim of this study is to assess the actual use and theoretical potential of agricultural biogas produced from animal manure in Poland at the local level. The potential and actual use of agricultural biogas are presented regionally (16 voivodeships) and locally (314 districts). The theoretical potential of agricultural biogas was estimated based on data from the Agricultural Census conducted by the Central Statistical Office in Poland in 2020. Actual biogas production is based on data from the Register of Agricultural Biogas Producers maintained by the National Support Center for Agriculture. The study shows that Poland is only tapping into the existing potential for agricultural biogas production to a limited extent. Furthermore, both actual agricultural biogas production and the identified theoretical potential vary spatially (greater potential in the northern part of the country, significantly lower in the southern part). This situation is attributed to existing barriers that hinder the utilization of existing potential. Therefore, it is crucial to seek new solutions to reduce existing barriers of an organizational, legal, technical, economic, environmental, spatial, and social nature. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Biomass in Agricultural Circular Economy)
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35 pages, 1297 KB  
Article
Load-Dependent Shipping Emission Factors Considering Alternative Fuels, Biofuels and Emission Control Technologies
by Achilleas Grigoriadis, Theofanis Chountalas, Evangelia Fragkou, Dimitrios Hountalas and Leonidas Ntziachristos
Atmosphere 2026, 17(2), 122; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17020122 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Shipping is a high-energy-intensive sector and a major source of climate-relevant and harmful air pollutant emissions. In response to growing environmental concerns, the sector has been subject to increasingly stringent regulations, promoting the uptake of alternative fuels and emission control technologies. Accurate and [...] Read more.
Shipping is a high-energy-intensive sector and a major source of climate-relevant and harmful air pollutant emissions. In response to growing environmental concerns, the sector has been subject to increasingly stringent regulations, promoting the uptake of alternative fuels and emission control technologies. Accurate and diverse emission factors (EFs) are critical for quantifying shipping’s contribution to current emission inventories and projecting future developments under different policy scenarios. This study advances the development of load-dependent EFs for ships by incorporating alternative fuels, biofuels and emission control technologies. The methodology combines statistical analysis of data from an extensive literature review with newly acquired on-board emission measurements, including two-stroke propulsion engines and four-stroke auxiliary units. To ensure broad applicability, the updated EFs are expressed as functions of engine load and are categorized by engine and fuel type, covering conventional marine fuels, liquified natural gas, methanol, ammonia and biofuels. The results provide improved resolution of shipping emissions and insights into the role of emission control technologies, supporting robust, up-to-date emission models and inventories. This work contributes to the development of effective strategies for sustainable maritime transport and supports both policymakers and industry stakeholders in their decarbonization efforts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Air Pollution from Shipping: Measurement and Mitigation)
29 pages, 1439 KB  
Article
Pathogenicity of Diplodia fraxini and Other Botryosphaeriaceae Identified on Fraxinus excelsior with Dieback Symptoms in Poland
by Piotr Bilański, Bartłomiej Grad and Tadeusz Kowalski
Forests 2026, 17(2), 150; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020150 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
In the current work, the analysis covered 70 isolates of fungi belonging to Botryosphaeriaceae obtained in the years 2007–2017 during research on the mycobiota of F. excelsior trees with dieback symptoms in various regions of Poland. Five botryosphaeriaceous species were identified: Diplodia fraxini [...] Read more.
In the current work, the analysis covered 70 isolates of fungi belonging to Botryosphaeriaceae obtained in the years 2007–2017 during research on the mycobiota of F. excelsior trees with dieback symptoms in various regions of Poland. Five botryosphaeriaceous species were identified: Diplodia fraxini, D. seriata, D. sapinea, Dothiorella omnivora, and Do. sarmentorum, supported by morphological characteristics and nucleotide sequence data from three genes. The effect of temperature on the in vitro growth of colonies of five identified botryosphaeriaceous species was assessed. Dothiorella omnivora achieved optimal growth at 19.0 °C, while the other four species have shown optimal growth between 22.8 °C (Do. sarmentorum) and 25.7 °C (D. seriata). The pathogenicity test was performed in field conditions on nine-year-old F. excelsior seedlings. In total, wound inoculation was performed on 176 shoots, using 22 isolates of five identified fungal species. Each isolate was inoculated onto eight F. excelsior shoots. The symptoms on shoots were examined at 12 weeks after the inoculation. Among the tested fungal species, necrotic lesion was caused by D. fraxini, D. seriata, and Do. sarmentorum. The extent of damage they caused showed statistically significant differences. The highest pathogenic properties were demonstrated by D. fraxini, which caused necrotic lesion with a length of 34.25–50.50 mm (mean 40.13 mm) on inoculated trees. D. seriata showed the lowest degree of virulence. Half of its strains caused necrotic lesions, which did not differ significantly from the control. Diplodia sapinea and Do. omnivora did not cause any visible lesions. None of the control shoots developed necrosis. The role of Botryosphaeriaceae species in intensifying disease symptoms in ash trees in the context of Hymenoscyphus fraxineus invasion and climate changes was discussed. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Health)
27 pages, 3358 KB  
Article
Ecosystem Services Evaluation of Mediterranean Woodlands: A Case Study of El Pardo, Spain
by Mónica Escudero, Elena Carrió and Sara Mira
Forests 2026, 17(2), 152; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020152 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Mediterranean peri-urban forests play a crucial role in urban sustainability, yet their ecosystem services remain underexplored. This study quantifies and maps six regulating ecosystem services—carbon sequestration, air pollutant removal, surface runoff retention, precipitation interception, soil water regulation, and wildlife refuge—in a representative Mediterranean [...] Read more.
Mediterranean peri-urban forests play a crucial role in urban sustainability, yet their ecosystem services remain underexplored. This study quantifies and maps six regulating ecosystem services—carbon sequestration, air pollutant removal, surface runoff retention, precipitation interception, soil water regulation, and wildlife refuge—in a representative Mediterranean peri-urban forest, Monte de El Pardo (Spain). The analysis integrates cartographic and environmental data, biophysical modelling (i-Tree), and field surveys to provide a spatially explicit assessment. The results reveal that riparian formations and mixed stone pine–broadleaved woodlands provide the highest values across most services, while holm oak forests and dehesas contribute substantially due to their extensive coverage. Total annual carbon sequestration was estimated at 27,917,803 kg C yr−1, equivalent to 102,329,511 kg CO2e yr−1. Hydrological regulation was also significant, with 94.5% of the area showing medium soil permeability and over half the territory presenting complex, multi-layered vegetation structure. Overall, Mediterranean peri-urban forests function as major carbon sinks, hydrological regulators, and biodiversity cores, reinforcing their importance as ecological and climatic stabilisers in metropolitan regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Ecology and Management)
28 pages, 8104 KB  
Article
Spatial and Temporal Dynamics and Climate Contribution of Forest Ecosystem Carbon Sinks in Guangxi During 2000–2023
by Jianfei Mo, Hao Yan, Bei Hu, Cheng Chen, Xiyuan Zhou and Yanli Chen
Forests 2026, 17(2), 151; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020151 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
To clarify the spatial–temporal evolution patterns and climate-driven mechanisms of carbon sinks of forest ecosystems under climate change, we calculated the net ecosystem productivity (NEP) of forests in the Guangxi region using remote sensing and meteorological data from 2000 to 2023. By employing [...] Read more.
To clarify the spatial–temporal evolution patterns and climate-driven mechanisms of carbon sinks of forest ecosystems under climate change, we calculated the net ecosystem productivity (NEP) of forests in the Guangxi region using remote sensing and meteorological data from 2000 to 2023. By employing trend analysis, spatial clustering, the Hurst index, and climate contribution evaluation, we analyzed the spatial and temporal changes, sustainability, and the relative contribution of climate impacts on forest carbon sinks. The results are as follows: The carbon sink capacity of forests in Guangxi increased continuously from 2000 to 2023, at a rate of 3.57 g C·m−2·a−1, reaching 39.19% higher in 2023 than in 2000. The carbon sink capacity was higher in the southwest and lower in the northeast, with hotspots mainly located in evergreen/deciduous broad-leaved forest areas. The Hurst index indicates that 84.44% of regions are likely to maintain this increasing trend, suggesting stability in forest carbon sink function. The climate contribution rate to forest carbon sinks was moderate, with significant temporal fluctuations. Temperature governed annual variation in forest carbon sinks, influencing up to 36.37% of the area. The annual average contribution rate of climate change to forest carbon sinks was 30.28%, but there were temporal fluctuations and spatial heterogeneity. Over time, climate contributions had a positive driving impact; however, extreme climate events tended to produce a negative effect. The pattern of forest carbon sinks in Guangxi showed a “heat sink-coupling” phenomenon, with 16.23% of the hotspots of forest carbon sinks coinciding with temperature control zones, highlighting the enhancing effect of temperature rise on carbon sinks against a background of water and heat synergy. This study provides a scientific basis for the assessment of forest carbon sink potential and climate suitability management in Guangxi. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Inventory, Modeling and Remote Sensing)
23 pages, 6711 KB  
Article
A Numerical Modeling Framework for Assessing Hydrodynamic Risks to Support Sustainable Port Development: Application to Extreme Storm and Tide Scenarios Within Takoradi Port Master Plan
by Dianguang Ma and Yu Duan
Sustainability 2026, 18(3), 1177; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031177 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Sustainable port development in coastal regions necessitates robust frameworks for quantifying hydrodynamic risks under climate change. To bridge the gap between generic guidelines and site-specific resilience planning, this study proposes and applies a numerical modeling-based risk assessment framework. Within the context of the [...] Read more.
Sustainable port development in coastal regions necessitates robust frameworks for quantifying hydrodynamic risks under climate change. To bridge the gap between generic guidelines and site-specific resilience planning, this study proposes and applies a numerical modeling-based risk assessment framework. Within the context of the Port Master Plan, the framework is applied to the critical case of Takoradi Port in West Africa, employing a two-dimensional hydrodynamic model to simulate current fields under three current regimes, “Normal”, “Stronger”, and “Estimated Extreme” scenarios, for the first time. The model quantifies key hydrologic parameters such as current velocity and direction in critical zones (the approach channel, port basin, and berths), providing actionable data for the Port Master Plan. Key new findings include the following: (1) Northeastward surface currents, driven by the southwest monsoon, dominate the study area; breakwater sheltering creates a prominent circulation zone north of the port entrance. (2) Under extreme conditions, the approach channel exhibits amplified currents (0.3–0.7 m/s), while inner port areas maintain stable conditions (<0.1 m/s). (3) A stark spatial differentiation in designed current velocities for 2–100 years return periods, where the 100-year extreme current velocity in the external approach channel (0.87 m/s at P1) exceeds the range in the internal zones (0.01–0.15 m/s) by approximately 5 to 86 times. The study validates the framework’s utility in assessing hydrodynamic risks. By integrating numerical simulation with risk assessment, this work provides a scalable methodological contribution that can be adapted to other port environments, directly supporting the global pursuit of sustainable and resilient ports. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Oceans)
26 pages, 2406 KB  
Article
Ecological Change in Minnesota’s Carbon Sequestration and Oxygen Release Service: A Multidimensional Assessment Using Multi-Temporal Remote Sensing Data
by Donghui Shi
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 391; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030391 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Carbon sequestration and oxygen release (CSOR) are core regulating functions of terrestrial ecosystems. However, regional assessments often fail to (i) separate scale-driven high supply from per-area efficiency, (ii) detect structural instability and degradation risk from long-term trajectories, and (iii) provide evidence that is [...] Read more.
Carbon sequestration and oxygen release (CSOR) are core regulating functions of terrestrial ecosystems. However, regional assessments often fail to (i) separate scale-driven high supply from per-area efficiency, (ii) detect structural instability and degradation risk from long-term trajectories, and (iii) provide evidence that is comparable across units for management prioritization. Using Minnesota, USA, we integrated satellite-derived net primary productivity (NPP; 1998–2021) with a Quantity–Intensity–Structure (Q–I–S) framework to quantify CSOR, detect trends and change points (Mann–Kendall and Pettitt tests), map spatial clustering and degradation risk (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis, ESDA), and attribute natural and human drivers (principal component regression and GeoDetector). CSOR increased overall from 1998 to 2021, with a marked shift around 2013 from a slight, variable decline to sustained recovery. Spatially, CSOR showed a persistent north–south gradient, with higher and improving services in northern Minnesota and lower, more degraded services in the south; persistent degradation was concentrated in a central high-risk belt. The Q–I–S framework also revealed inconsistencies between total supply and condition, identifying high-supply yet degrading areas and low-supply areas with recovery potential that are not evident from the totals alone. Climate variables primarily controlled CSOR quantity and structure, whereas human factors more strongly influenced intensity; the interactions of the two further shaped observed patterns. These results provide an interpretable and transferable basis for diagnosing degradation and prioritizing restoration under long-term environmental change. Full article
51 pages, 1843 KB  
Systematic Review
Remote Sensing of Woody Plant Encroachment: A Global Systematic Review of Drivers, Ecological Impacts, Methods, and Emerging Innovations
by Abdullah Toqeer, Andrew Hall, Ana Horta and Skye Wassens
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 390; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030390 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Globally, grasslands, savannas, and wetlands are degrading rapidly and increasingly being replaced by woody vegetation. Woody Plant Encroachment (WPE) disrupts natural landscapes and has significant consequences for biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and key ecosystem services. This review synthesizes findings from 159 peer-reviewed studies identified [...] Read more.
Globally, grasslands, savannas, and wetlands are degrading rapidly and increasingly being replaced by woody vegetation. Woody Plant Encroachment (WPE) disrupts natural landscapes and has significant consequences for biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and key ecosystem services. This review synthesizes findings from 159 peer-reviewed studies identified through a PRISMA-guided systematic literature review to evaluate the drivers of WPE, its ecological impacts, and the remote sensing (RS) approaches used to monitor it. The drivers of WPE are multifaceted, involving interactions among climate variability, topographic and edaphic conditions, hydrological change, land use transitions, and altered fire and grazing regimes, while its impacts are similarly diverse, influencing land cover structure, water and nutrient cycles, carbon and nitrogen dynamics, and broader implications for ecosystem resilience. Over the past two decades, RS has become central to WPE monitoring, with studies employing classification techniques, spectral mixture analysis, object-based image analysis, change detection, thresholding, landscape pattern and fragmentation metrics, and increasingly, machine learning and deep learning methods. Looking forward, emerging advances such as multi-sensor fusion (optical– synthetic aperture radar (SAR), Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR)–hyperspectral), cloud-based platforms including Google Earth Engine, Microsoft Planetary Computer, and Digital Earth, and geospatial foundation models offer new opportunities for scalable, automated, and long-term monitoring. Despite these innovations, challenges remain in detecting early-stage encroachment, subcanopy woody growth, and species-specific patterns across heterogeneous landscapes. Key knowledge gaps highlighted in this review include the need for long-term monitoring frameworks, improved socio-ecological integration, species- and ecosystem-specific RS approaches, better utilization of SAR, and broader adoption of analysis-ready data and open-source platforms. Addressing these gaps will enable more effective, context-specific strategies to monitor, manage, and mitigate WPE in rapidly changing environments. Full article
19 pages, 1026 KB  
Article
Impact of Climate Change Awareness and Perception on Pro-Environmental Behaviour in Türkiye: A Structural Equation Modelling Approach
by Cengiz Gazeloğlu
Sustainability 2026, 18(3), 1175; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031175 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study investigated the influence of awareness, knowledge, and risk perceptions on environmental attitudes and behaviours in Türkiye, specifically in the context of climate change, using structural equation modelling (SEM). Data were collected from all 81 provinces covering the seven geographical regions of [...] Read more.
This study investigated the influence of awareness, knowledge, and risk perceptions on environmental attitudes and behaviours in Türkiye, specifically in the context of climate change, using structural equation modelling (SEM). Data were collected from all 81 provinces covering the seven geographical regions of the country. The results revealed that awareness and risk perception have the strongest direct impact on pro-environmental behaviour. Environmental attitudes also demonstrated a significant positive effect, though the findings suggest that high awareness and risk perception can directly drive action even independently of attitude. Uniquely, this study fills a critical gap in the developing country literature by demonstrating that in Türkiye, perceiving the risk translates directly into action, contrasting with the ‘value-action gap’ often observed in Western contexts. Practically, the findings suggest that policymakers should prioritize risk-communication strategies and disaster-preparedness drills over passive information campaigns to effectively stimulate pro-environmental behaviours. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air, Climate Change and Sustainability)
26 pages, 6479 KB  
Article
Smart Solutions for Mitigating Eutrophication in the Romanian Black Sea Coastal Waters Through an Integrated Approach Using Random Forest, Remote Sensing, and System Dynamics
by Luminita Lazar, Elena Ristea and Elena Bisinicu
Earth 2026, 7(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010013 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Eutrophication remains a persistent challenge in the Romanian Black Sea coastal zone, driven by excess nutrient inputs from riverine and coastal sources and further intensified by climate change. This study assesses eutrophication dynamics and explores mitigation options using an integrated framework that combines [...] Read more.
Eutrophication remains a persistent challenge in the Romanian Black Sea coastal zone, driven by excess nutrient inputs from riverine and coastal sources and further intensified by climate change. This study assesses eutrophication dynamics and explores mitigation options using an integrated framework that combines in situ observations, satellite-derived chlorophyll a data, machine learning, and system dynamics modelling. Water samples collected during two field campaigns (2023–2024) were analyzed for nutrient concentrations and linked with chlorophyll a products from the Copernicus Marine Service. Random Forest analysis identified dissolved inorganic nitrogen, phosphate, salinity, and temperature as the most influential predictors of chlorophyll a distribution. A system dynamics model was subsequently used to explore relative ecosystem responses under multiple management scenarios, including nutrient reduction, enhanced zooplankton grazing, and combined interventions. Scenario-based simulations indicate that nutrient reduction alone produces a moderate decrease in chlorophyll a (45% relative to baseline conditions), while restoration of grazing pressure yields a comparable response. The strongest reduction is achieved under the combined scenario, which integrates nutrient reduction with biological control and lowers normalized chlorophyll a levels by approximately two thirds (71%) relative to baseline. In contrast, a bloom-favourable scenario results in a several-fold increase in chlorophyll a of 160%. Spatial analysis highlights persistent eutrophication hotspots near the Danube mouths and urban discharge areas. These results demonstrate that integrated strategies combining nutrient source control with ecological restoration are substantially more effective than single-measure interventions. The proposed framework provides a scenario-based decision-support tool for ecosystem-based management and supports progress toward achieving Good Environmental Status under the Marine Strategy Framework Directive. Full article
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38 pages, 3712 KB  
Article
A Framework for Profitability-Focused Land Use Transitions Between Agriculture and Forestry: A Case Study of Latvia
by Kristine Bilande, Una Diana Veipane, Aleksejs Nipers and Irina Pilvere
Land 2026, 15(2), 204; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15020204 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Understanding when and where to shift land from agriculture to forestry is essential for designing sustainable land use strategies that align with climate, biodiversity, and rural development goals. However, traditional profitability comparisons rely on long-term discounting, which is highly sensitive to assumptions and [...] Read more.
Understanding when and where to shift land from agriculture to forestry is essential for designing sustainable land use strategies that align with climate, biodiversity, and rural development goals. However, traditional profitability comparisons rely on long-term discounting, which is highly sensitive to assumptions and often misaligned with the shorter-term decision-making horizons that are relevant for policymakers. This study presents a deposit-based framework that interprets annual timber biomass growth as accumulating economic value, enabling direct, per-hectare comparisons with yearly agricultural profits. The framework integrates parcel-level spatial data, land quality indicators, national statistics, and expert inputs to produce high-resolution maps of annual profitability for both agriculture and forestry. Applied to the case of Latvia, the results show strong spatial variation in agricultural returns, particularly in low-quality areas where profits are marginal or negative. By contrast, forestry provides more stable, though modest, economic gains across a wide range of biophysical conditions. These insights help identify where afforestation becomes a financially viable land use alternative. The framework is designed to be transferable to other regions by substituting local data on land quality, prices and growth. It complements policy instruments such as performance-based CAP payments and afforestation support, offering a future-oriented tool for spatially explicit and economically grounded land use planning. Full article
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19 pages, 5547 KB  
Article
Multiscale Analysis of Drought Characteristics in China Based on Precipitable Water Vapor and Climatic Response Mechanisms
by Ruohan Liu, Qiulin Dong, Lv Zhou, Fei Yang, Yue Sun, Yanru Yang and Sicheng Zhang
Atmosphere 2026, 17(2), 119; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17020119 - 23 Jan 2026
Abstract
Droughts are recognized as one of the most devastating extreme climate events, leading to severe socioeconomic losses and ecological degradation globally under climate change. With global warming, the frequency and intensity of extreme droughts are increasing, posing critical challenges to water resource management. [...] Read more.
Droughts are recognized as one of the most devastating extreme climate events, leading to severe socioeconomic losses and ecological degradation globally under climate change. With global warming, the frequency and intensity of extreme droughts are increasing, posing critical challenges to water resource management. The Standardized Precipitation Conversion Index (SPCI) has demonstrated potential in drought monitoring; however, its applicability across diverse climatic zones and multiple temporal scales remains inadequately validated. This study addresses this gap by establishing a novel multi-scale inversion analysis using ERA5-based precipitable water vapor (PWV) and precipitation data. SPCI is selected for its advantage in eliminating climatic background biases through probability normalization, overcoming limitations of traditional indices such as the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). We systematically evaluated the spatiotemporal evolution of Precipitation Efficiency (PE) and SPCI across four climatic zones in China. Results show that the first two principal components explain over 85% of the spatiotemporal variability of PE, with PC1 independently contributing from 82.05% to 83.80%. This high variance contribution underscores that the spatiotemporal patterns of PE are dominated by a few key climatic drivers, validating the robustness of the principal component analysis. SPCI exhibits strong correlation with SPI, exceeding 0.95 in the Tropical Monsoon Zone (TMZ) at scales of 1–6 months, indicating its utility for short-to-medium-term drought monitoring. Distinct zonal differentiation in PE patterns is revealed, such as the bimodal annual cycle in the Tropical-Subtropical Monsoon Composite Zone (TSMCZ). This study evaluates the performance of the SPCI against the widely used SPI and SPEI across four major climatic zones in China. It validates the SPCI’s applicability across China’s complex climates, providing a scientific basis for region-specific drought early warning and water resource optimization. Full article
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