Search Results (357)

Effective management of cascade reservoir systems is essential for balancing hydropower generation, flood control, and ecological sustainability, especially under increasingly uncertain runoff conditions driven by climate change. Traditional optimization methods, while widely used, often struggle with high dimensionality and fail to adequately address inflow variability. This study introduces a novel deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework that tightly couples probabilistic runoff forecasting with adaptive reservoir scheduling. We integrate a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network to model runoff uncertainty and generate probabilistic inflow forecasts, which are then embedded into a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithm via Monte Carlo sampling. This unified forecast–optimize architecture allows for dynamic policy adjustment in response to stochastic hydrological conditions. A case study on China’s Xiluodu–Xiangjiaba cascade system demonstrates that the proposed LSTM-PPO framework achieves superior performance compared to traditional baselines, notably improving power output, storage utilization, and spillage reduction. The results highlight the method’s robustness and scalability, suggesting strong potential for supporting resilient water–energy nexus management under complex environmental uncertainty. Full article

Strengthening climate resilience constitutes a foundational approach through which cities adapt to climate change and mitigate associated environmental risks. However, research on the influence of economic policy environments on climate resilience remains limited. Guided by institutional theory and dynamic capability theory, this study employs a panel dataset comprising 272 Chinese cities at the prefecture level and above, covering the period from 2009 to 2023. It constructs a composite index framework for evaluating the green business environment (GBE) and urban climate resilience (UCR) using the entropy weight method. Employing a two-way fixed-effect regression model, it examined the impact of GBE optimization on UCR empirically and also explored the underlying mechanisms. The results show that improvements in the GBE significantly enhance UCR, with green innovation (GI) in technology functioning as an intermediary mechanism within this relationship. Moreover, climate policy uncertainty (CPU) exerts a moderating effect along this transmission pathway: on the one hand, it amplifies the beneficial effect of the GBE on GI; on the other hand, it hampers the transformation of GI into improved GBEs. The former effect dominates, indicating that optimizing the GBE becomes particularly critical for enhancing UCR under high CPU. To eliminate potential endogenous issues, this paper adopts a two-stage regression model based on the instrumental variable method (2SLS). The above conclusion still holds after undergoing a series of robustness tests. This study reveals the mechanism by which a GBE enhances its growth through GI. By incorporating CPU as a heterogeneous factor, the findings suggest that governments should balance policy incentives with environmental regulations in climate resilience governance. Furthermore, maintaining awareness of the risks stemming from climate policy volatility is of critical importance. By providing a stable and supportive institutional environment, governments can foster steady progress in green innovation and comprehensively improve urban adaptive capacity to climate change. Full article

Willow stands (Salix spp.) are an essential part of riparian ecosystems, as they sustain biodiversity and provide bioenergy solutions. The present review synthesizes the global scientific literature about the management of willow stands. In order to achieve this goal, we used a dual approach combining bibliometric analysis with traditional literature review. As such, we consulted 416 publications published between 1978 and 2024. This allowed us to identify key species, ecosystem services, conservation strategies, and management issues. The results we have obtained show a diversity of approaches, with an increase in short-rotation coppice (SRC) systems and the multiple roles covered by willow stands (carbon sequestration, biomass production, riparian restoration, and habitat provision). The key trends we have identified show a shift toward topics such as climate resilience, ecological restoration, and precision forestry. This trend has become especially pronounced over the past decade (2014–2024), as reflected in the increasing use of these keywords in the literature. However, as willow systems expand in scale and function—from biomass production to ecological restoration—they also raise complex challenges, including invasive tendencies in non-native regions and uncertainties surrounding biodiversity impacts and soil carbon dynamics over the long term. The present review is a guide for forest policies and, more specifically, for future research, linking the need to integrate and use adaptive strategies in order to maintain the willow stands. Full article

The transition to sustainable agriculture is a critical challenge for the U.S. food system. A sustainable food system must support the production of healthy and nutritious food while ensuring economic sustainability for farmers and ranchers. It should also reduce negative environmental impacts on soil, water, biodiversity, and climate, and promote equitable and inclusive access to land, farming resources, and food. This narrative review synthesizes U.S. social science literature to identify the key factors that support or impede the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices in the U.S. Our analysis reveals seven overarching factors that influence producer decision-making: awareness and knowledge, social factors, psychological factors, technologies and tools, economic factors, implementation capacity, and policies and regulations. The review highlights the critical role of social science in navigating complexity and uncertainty. Key priorities emerging from the literature include developing measurable, outcome-based programs; ensuring credible communication through trusted intermediaries; and designing tailored interventions. The findings demonstrate that initiatives will succeed when they emphasize measurable benefits, address uncertainties, and develop programs that capitalize on identified opportunities while overcoming existing barriers. Full article

Drawing on a panel dataset of 27,972 firm-year observations from Chinese A-share listed companies spanning 2009 to 2022, this study employs fixed-effects models to examine the nonlinear relationship between firm-level climate policy uncertainty (FCPU) and corporate green governance expenditure (GGE). The results reveal a robust inverted U-shaped pattern: moderate levels of FCPU encourage firms to increase GGE, while excessive uncertainty discourages it. Financing constraints mediate this relationship; specifically, FCPU exhibits a U-shaped impact on financing constraints, initially easing and then tightening them. Older top management teams accelerate the GGE downturn, while government environmental expenditure delays it, acting as a buffer. Heterogeneity analyses reveal the inverted U-shaped effect is more pronounced for non-polluting firms and state-owned enterprises (SOEs). This study highlights the complex dynamics of FCPU on corporate green behavior, underscoring the importance of climate policy stability and transparency for advancing corporate environmental engagement in China. Full article

Accurate methane emission estimates are essential for climate policy, yet current field methods often struggle with spatial constraints and source complexity. Ground-based mobile approaches frequently miss key plume features, introducing bias and uncertainty in emission rate estimates. This study addresses these limitations by using small unmanned aerial systems equipped with precision gas sensors to measure methane alongside co-released tracers. We tested whether arc-shaped flight paths and alternative ratio estimation methods could improve the accuracy of tracer-based emission quantification under real-world constraints. Controlled releases using ethane and nitrous oxide tracers showed that (1) arc flights provided stronger plume capture and higher correlation between methane and tracer concentrations than traditional flight paths; (2) the cumulative sum method yielded the lowest relative error (as low as 3.3%) under ideal mixing conditions; and (3) the arc flight pattern yielded the lowest relative error and uncertainty across all experimental configurations, demonstrating its robustness for quantifying methane emissions from downwind plume measurements. These findings demonstrate a practical and scalable approach to reducing uncertainty in methane quantification. The method is well-suited for challenging environments and lays the groundwork for future applications at the facility scale. Full article

Heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems account for the largest share of energy consumption in European Union (EU) buildings, representing approximately 40% of the final energy use and contributing significantly to carbon emissions. Latent thermal energy storage (LTES) using phase change materials (PCMs) has emerged as a promising strategy to enhance HVAC efficiency. This review systematically examines the role of latent thermal energy storage using phase change materials (PCMs) in optimizing HVAC performance to align with EU climate targets, including the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) and the Energy Efficiency Directive (EED). By analyzing advancements in PCM-enhanced HVAC systems across residential and commercial sectors, this study identifies critical pathways for reducing energy demand, enhancing grid flexibility, and accelerating the transition to nearly zero-energy buildings (NZEBs). The review categorizes PCM technologies into organic, inorganic, and eutectic systems, evaluating their integration into thermal storage tanks, airside free cooling units, heat pumps, and building envelopes. Empirical data from case studies demonstrate consistent energy savings of 10–30% and peak load reductions of 20–50%, with Mediterranean climates achieving superior cooling load management through paraffin-based PCMs (melting range: 18–28 °C) compared to continental regions. Policy-driven initiatives, such as Germany’s renewable integration mandates for public buildings, are shown to amplify PCM adoption rates by 40% compared to regions lacking regulatory incentives. Despite these benefits, barriers persist, including fragmented EU standards, life cycle cost uncertainties, and insufficient training. This work bridges critical gaps between PCM research and EU policy implementation, offering a roadmap for scalable deployment. By contextualizing technical improvement within regulatory and economic landscapes, the review provides strategic recommendations to achieve the EU’s 2030 emissions reduction targets and 2050 climate neutrality goals. Full article

This paper presents a numerical simulation study evaluating carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS) feasibility for the Turceni Power Plant in Oltenia, Romania, using the nearby depleted Bibești-Bulbuceni gas reservoir. A comprehensive reservoir model was developed using Petrel software, integrating geological and reservoir engineering data for the formations of the Bibești-Bulbuceni structure, which is part of the western Moesian Platform. The static model incorporated realistic petrophysical inputs for the Meotian reservoirs. Dynamic simulations were performed using Eclipse compositional simulator with Peng–Robinson equation of state for a CH4-CO₂ system. The model was initialized with natural gas initially in place at 149 bar reservoir pressure, then produced through depletion to 20.85 bar final pressure, achieving 80% recovery factor. CO₂ injection simulations modeled a phased 19-well injection program over 25 years, with individual well constraints of 100 bar bottom-hole pressure and 200,000 Sm³/day injection rates. Results demonstrate successful injection of a 60 Mt CO₂, with final reservoir pressure reaching 101 bar. The modeling framework validates the technical feasibility of transforming Turceni’s power generation into a net-zero process through CCS implementation. Key limitations include simplified geochemical interactions and relying on historical data with associated uncertainties. This study provides quantitative evidence for CCS viability in depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs, supporting industrial decarbonization strategies. The strategy not only aligns with the EU’s climate-neutral policy but also enhances local energy security by repurposing existing geological resources. The findings highlight the potential of CCS to bridge the gap between current energy systems and a sustainable, climate-neutral future. Full article

Wetlands are critical components of the global carbon cycle, yet their carbon sink dynamics under hydrological fluctuations remain insufficiently understood. This study employed the Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA) model to estimate the net ecosystem productivity (NEP) of the Dongting Lake wetland and explored the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving mechanisms of carbon sinks from 2000 to 2022, utilizing the Theil-Sen median trend, Mann-Kendall test, and attribution based on the differentiating equation (ADE). Results showed that (1) the annual mean spatial NEP was 50.24 g C/m²/a, which first increased and then decreased, with an overall trend of −1.5 g C/m²/a. The carbon sink was strongest in spring, declined in summer, and shifted to a carbon source in autumn and winter. (2) Climate variability and human activities contributed +2.17 and −3.73 g C/m²/a to NEP, respectively. Human activities were the primary driver of carbon sink degradation (74.30%), whereas climate change mainly promoted carbon sequestration (25.70%). However, from 2000–2011 to 2011–2022, climate change shifted from enhancing to limiting carbon sequestration, mainly due to the transition from water storage and lake reclamation to ecological restoration policies and intensified climate anomalies. (3) NEP was negatively correlated with precipitation and water level. Land use adjustments, such as forest expansion and conversion of cropland and reed to sedge, alongside maintaining growing season water levels between 24.06~26.44 m, are recommended to sustain and enhance wetland carbon sinks. Despite inherent uncertainties in model parameterization and the lack of sufficient in situ flux validation, these findings could provide valuable scientific insights for wetland carbon management and policy-making. Full article

This study conducts a comprehensive bibliometric analysis and predictive modeling of financial risk research from 2015 to 2024, integrating conceptual, knowledge, and collaboration perspectives. Utilizing the PRISMA framework for literature screening, the study identifies publications, research areas, and research institutions. A co-citation network approach reveals the intellectual structure and milestone works, while emergent keyword detection highlights cutting-edge topics such as economic policy uncertainty, climate risk, and green innovation. Furthermore, the study proposes a novel semantic forecasting model, SEF-ACLSTM (Semantic Evolution Forecasting with Aligned Clustered LSTM), to predict the evolution of research themes through 2030. The results identify three major thematic clusters: methodological innovation, traditional risk management, and green finance. The predictive analysis indicates a growing emphasis on methodological and sustainability-oriented topics, suggesting a paradigmatic shift in financial risk research. The findings offer theoretical insights and strategic guidance for future academic inquiry and policy formulation. Full article

In the context of the intensifying global climate crisis, the power industry, as a significant carbon emitter, urgently needs to promote low-carbon transformation using market mechanisms. In this paper, a multi-objective stochastic optimization scheduling framework for regional power grids integrating carbon trading (CET) and green certificate trading (GCT) is proposed to coordinate the conflict between economic benefits and environmental objectives. By building a deterministic optimization model, the goal of maximizing power generation profit and minimizing carbon emissions is combined in a weighted form, and the power balance, carbon quota constraint, and the proportion of renewable energy are introduced. To deal with the uncertainty of power demand, carbon baseline, and the green certificate ratio, Monte Carlo simulation was further used to generate random parameter scenarios, and the CPLEX solver was used to optimize scheduling schemes iteratively. The simulation results show that when the proportion of green certificates increases from 0.35 to 0.45, the proportion of renewable energy generation increases by 4%, the output of coal power decreases by 12–15%, and the carbon emission decreases by 3–4.5%. At the same time, the tightening of carbon quotas (coefficient increased from 0.78 to 0.84) promoted the output of gas units to increase by 70 MWh, verifying the synergistic emission reduction effect of the “total control + market incentive” policy. Economic–environmental tradeoff analysis shows that high-cost inputs are positively correlated with the proportion of renewable energy, and carbon emissions are significantly negatively correlated with the proportion of green certificates (correlation coefficient −0.79). This study emphasizes that dynamic adjustments of carbon quota and green certificate targets can avoid diminishing marginal emission reduction efficiency, while the independent carbon price mechanism needs to enhance its linkage with economic targets through policy design. This framework provides theoretical support and a practical path for decision-makers to design a flexible market mechanism and build a multi-energy complementary system of “coal power base load protection, gas peak regulation, and renewable energy supplement”. Full article

Climate change risk has significant impacts on corporate financial activities. Using firm-level data from A-share listed companies in China from 2010 to 2022, we examine how climate risk affects corporate debt financing capacity. We find that climate change risk significantly weakens firms’ ability to raise debt, leading to lower leverage and higher financing costs. These results remain robust across various checks for endogeneity and alternative specifications. We also show that reducing corporate carbon emission intensity can mitigate the negative impact of climate risk on debt financing, suggesting that supply-side credit policies are more effective than demand-side capital structure choices. Furthermore, we identify three channels through which climate risk impairs debt capacity: reduced competitiveness, increased default risk, and diminished resilience. Our heterogeneity analysis reveals that these adverse effects are more pronounced for non-state-owned firms, firms with weaker internal controls, and companies in highly financialized regions, and during periods of heightened environmental uncertainty. We also apply textual analysis and machine learning to the measurement of climate change risks, partially mitigating the geographic biases and single-dimensional shortcomings inherent in macro-level indicators, thus enriching the quantitative research on climate change risks. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and financial institutions in promoting corporate green transition, guiding capital allocation, and supporting sustainable development. Full article

Climate change increasingly threatens heritage-rich river basins, yet the integration of traditional ecological knowledge into formal environmental governance remains underexplored. This study investigates how historically embedded water management practices in Tuscany’s Arno River and New York’s Hudson River can inform adaptive strategies under conditions of climate uncertainty. Employing a Triangulated mixed-methods approach—including a systematic narrative literature review, variable coding (hydrological dynamics, cultural heritage, governance structures, economic livelihoods, and adaptive knowledge), and effect size analysis—we conducted a comparative assessment to uncover regional challenges, capacities, and implementation dynamics. The findings reveal that while both basins contend with hydrological volatility and fragmented governance, the Arno benefits from legally embedded heritage practices that continue to shape canal-based agriculture and flood mitigation. In contrast, the Hudson showcases strong multi-level stakeholder engagement and ecological restoration, though with less institutional reliance on traditional land stewardship. By integrating codified traditional practices with participatory governance and applying a weighted implementation structure, this study illustrates how resilience planning can be more context-sensitive, operationally feasible, and socially inclusive. Ultimately, this research positions cultural landscapes as active infrastructure for climate adaptation—provided they are institutionally supported and community-endorsed—offering a transferable model for policy innovation in similarly vulnerable riverine systems. Full article

CCS/CCUS is considered vital for global climate mitigation, especially in decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors like upstream oil and gas. In Indonesia, however, its deployment remains limited due to fragmented stakeholder views and lack of integrated policy support. This study explores multi-stakeholder perspectives, including government, academia, business, finance, media, and civil society, on the role and feasibility of CCS/CCUS in achieving the country’s net zero emissions (NZE) target. Using a mixed-method approach, we conducted structured surveys (n = 39) and in-depth interviews (n = 34). Findings reveal broad support for CCS/CCUS but highlight ongoing concerns about economic viability, regulatory uncertainty, and environmental risks. Stakeholders emphasize the need for stronger government incentives and cross-border financing mechanisms. The study underscores the importance of inclusive policymaking, enhanced fiscal support, and integration of CCS/CCUS into Indonesia’s carbon economic value framework to ensure a more participatory and sustainable climate policy pathway. Full article

The reducing streamflow is a major concern in the Yilong Lake Basin (YLB), which supplies water for agriculture and the growing population in the basin and to maintain the health of the regional ecosystem. The YLB has experienced remarkable land use/land cover change (LUCC) and climate change (CC) in recent years. To understand the drivers of the streamflow change in this basin, the effects of the land use change and climate variation on the temporal flow variability were studied using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The calibration and validation results indicated that the SWAT simulated the streamflow well. Then the streamflow responses to the land use change between 2010 and 2020 and climate change with future climate projections (SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585) were evaluated. Results showed that the LUCC in the YLB caused a marginal decline in the annual streamflow at the whole basin scale but significantly altered rainfall–runoff relationships and intra-annual discharge patterns; e.g., monthly streamflows decreased by up to 3% in the dry season under the surface modification, with subbasins of the YLB exhibiting divergent responses attributed to spatial heterogeneity in land surface transitions. Under future climate scenarios, streamflow projections revealed general declining trends with significant uncertainties, particularly under high-emission pathways, e.g., SSP370 and SSP585, in which the streamflow could be projected to reduce by up to 5.9% in the mid-future (2031–2045). In addition, droughts were expected to intensify, exacerbating seasonal water stress in the future. It suggests that integrated water governance should synergize climate-resilient land use policies with adaptive infrastructure to address regional water resources challenges. Full article