Search Results (2,198)

As the most frequent dust event in the Tarim Basin (TB), persistent floating dust significantly impacts the regional weather and climate. Long-term analysis (2015–2024) showed that the occurrence of persistent floating dust is significantly associated with the presence of the nocturnal low-level jet (NLLJ). To investigate this potential linkage, the Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) was used to simulate the persistent floating dust event accompanied by the NLLJ in the TB from 29 to 31 July 2006. Results indicated that a typical NLLJ occurred during the event, with an easterly jet core (>12 m/s) near 850-hPa facilitating the westward dust transport and accumulation within the TB, as well as strong convergence and vertical uplift on its front side elevating the dust layer height (DLH). Quantification showed that the NLLJ enhanced dust column concentrations (mean maximum > 100 mg/m²) and DLH (mean maximum > 300 m) over the central and western TB, and the cumulative maximum increase in dust emissions exceeded 200 mg/m², in the NLLJ region. Furthermore, nocturnal dust radiative forcing intensified the NLLJ by up to 1 m/s, thereby establishing a positive feedback mechanism. These results reveal the crucial role of the NLLJ in persistent floating dust events and enrich our understanding of such events in the TB. Full article

Baroclinic wave resonance, particularly Rossby waves, has attracted great interest in ocean and atmospheric physics since the 1970s. Research on Rossby wave resonance covers a wide variety of phenomena that can be unified when focusing on quasi-stationary Rossby waves traveling at the interface of two stratified fluids. This assumes a clear differentiation of the pycnocline, where the density varies strongly vertically. In the atmosphere, such stationary Rossby waves are observable at the tropopause, at the interface between the polar jet and the ascending air column at the meeting of the polar and Ferrel cell circulation, or between the subtropical jet and the descending air column at the meeting of the Ferrel and Hadley cell circulation. The movement of these air columns varies according to the declination of the sun. In oceans, quasi-stationary Rossby waves are observable in the tropics, at mid-latitudes, and around the subtropical gyres (i.e., the gyral Rossby waves GRWs) due to the buoyant properties of warm waters originating from tropical oceans, transported to high latitudes by western boundary currents. The thermocline oscillation results from solar irradiance variations induced by the sun’s declination, as well as solar and orbital cycles. It is governed by the forced, linear, inviscid shallow water equations on the β-plane (or β-cone for GRWs), namely the momentum, continuity, and potential vorticity equations. The coupling of multi-frequency wave systems occurs in exchange zones. The quasi-stationary Rossby waves and the associated zonal/polar and meridional/radial geostrophic currents modify the geostrophy of the basin. Here, it is shown that the ubiquity of resonant forcing in (sub)harmonic modes of Rossby waves in stratified media results from two properties: (1) the natural period of Rossby wave systems tunes to the forcing period, (2) the restoring forces between the different multi-frequency Rossby waves assimilated to inertial Caldirola–Kanai (CK) oscillators are all the stronger when the imbalance between the Coriolis force and the horizontal pressure gradients in the exchange zones is significant. According to the CK equations, this resonance mode ensures the sustainability of the wave systems despite the variability of the forcing periods. The resonant forcing of quasi-stationary Rossby waves is at the origin of climate variations, as well-known as El Niño, glacial–interglacial cycles or extreme events generated by cold drops or, conversely, heat waves. This approach attempts to provide some new avenues for addressing climate and weather issues. Full article

Understanding mechanisms of asphalt in the process of natural aging is crucial for predicting its long-term durability and optimizing performance under diverse environmental conditions. Despite its importance, the microstructural and micromechanical changes induced by natural aging remain poorly understood, particularly under varying climatic influences. This study addresses this gap by analyzing the effects of natural aging on asphalt’s microscopic properties and identifying key indicators that govern its degradation. Asphalt samples were subjected to natural aging across five climatically distinct regions over 6, 12, and 18 months. Atomic force microscopy (AFM) was employed to characterize surface roughness, adhesion forces, and DMT modulus, while correlation analysis and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to identify relationships among micromechanical indicators and streamline the dataset. The results reveal that natural aging induces irreversible transformations in asphalt’s microstructure, driven by the combined effects of temperature, UV radiation, humidity, and oxygen. These processes promote the evolution of “Bee structures,” increase surface roughness, and accelerate phase separation, alongside chemical modifications such as oxidation and polymerization, leading to progressive material hardening and stiffness. Significant regional and temporal variations in adhesion forces and DMT modulus were observed, reflecting the cumulative impact of environmental factors on asphalt’s aging dynamics. Correlation analysis demonstrated strong associations between surface roughness and “Bee structure” area, while mechanical properties such as stiffness and adhesion were largely decoupled from morphological features. Environmental factors interact in complex ways to drive asphalt aging. Humidity enhances adhesion and stiffness via water-induced capillary forces, while temperature reduces surface roughness and adhesion through molecular reorganization. UV radiation accelerates oxidative degradation, promoting surface erosion and stiffness loss, while altitude modulates these dynamics by influencing temperature and UV exposure. Full article

It is imperative to continuously monitor public awareness, attitudes, and environmental actions to adjust policy to promote and support transition processes given the ongoing phenomenon of climate change. Insights into poorly investigated domains, such as rural areas, are particularly valuable in this context. Responding to this challenge, we aimed to diagnose the efforts in which individuals engage for the benefit of their local communities in rural areas of a selected region of Poland (Małopolskie Voivodeship) in the context of climate change and the energy transition. The study concerns a specific region, one with the most intensive deployment of climate and energy policy in Poland. It is also highly diversified in terms of the environment and population, from the densely urbanised Kraków Metropolitan Area to scattered rural areas where institutional resources are scarce. This diversity affects how local populations engage in climate and energy efforts. The study involves a literature review and an original 2024 survey among 300 people from five rural districts of Małopolskie Voivodeship selected to reflect the region’s diversity. The CAPI (Computer-Assisted Personal Interviewing) survey sample was built with chain referral. The in-depth analyses were performed in IBM SPSS, v.25. We employed statistical analyses, including one-way ANOVA to assess between-group variance, χ2 tests, Sidak tests, and Fisher’s tests. The results show that most respondents recognised an association between energy and climate, but the awareness is fragmented and varied. These conclusions call for amplifying environmental awareness, particularly regarding energy transition. We have also confirmed a significant spatial diversification of environmental attitudes and practices among the public regarding the energy transition. It has been confirmed by all indicators, from the state of the environment to the perceived agency to the structure of home heating systems. Additionally, the importance of local governments in pro-climate activities was indicated. This is particularly important in the context of the ‘Anti-smog resolution for Małopolska’, which has been in force in the Małopolska Province since 2019 and plays a leading role in climate policy in the region. What is particularly important is that the vast majority of respondents from all districts declared their support for these changes, for which local governments are responsible. Full article

The emergence of artificial intelligence as a transformative force in the field of information technology has exerted a significant impact on the development of renewable energy. In-depth analysis of the impact of AI on renewable energy development is crucial for promoting energy transition and facilitating sustainable development. This research utilizes a dataset comprising 30 provincial panels spanning from 2010 to 2023. This study found that AI technology can promote renewable energy development, a conclusion that still holds after robustness and endogeneity tests. An examination of the mechanism reveals that AI technology facilitates the advancement of renewable energy through the enhancement of trade openness and the concentration of manufacturing activities. The analysis of the moderating effect indicates that environmental regulation and environmental protection expenditures positively moderated the relationship between AI technology and renewable energy development and climate policy uncertainty negatively moderated the relationship between AI technology and renewable energy development. Further analysis revealed that AI technology has the potential to substantially improve the development of local renewable energy resources while also facilitating the advancement of renewable energy in adjacent areas, exhibiting spatial spillover effects. This study verifies the positive effects of AI technology on renewable energy development and enriches existing research perspectives in the field of energy economics. Full article

Taking climate funds (e.g., the Green Climate Fund) as the main financial mechanism for providing funding to developing countries, this paper examines a long-term climate funding relationship between two parties—the rich country and the poor country. Conflicts between the rich and poor countries arise when determining (1) the size of climate funding that the rich country contributes to the poor country and (2) the funding allocation between climate adaptation and mitigation projects in the poor country. In addition, the rich country cannot be forced to commit contractual contributions to the poor country, and in each period, there is a probability that the countries can renegotiate the contract. This paper derives two main dynamic comparative–static results: (1) climate funds converge to the first-best in the long run, both in the size of climate funding in adaptation and mitigation projects, if and only if climate damage becomes sufficiently severe; (2) fewer renegotiations between the rich and poor countries make climate funding contracts more efficient, remedying inequality between the poor and rich countries. These results highlight how increasing climate damages and reducing the frequency of renegotiation can push climate funds closer to a first-best allocation, suggesting design principles for climate funding mechanisms like the Green Climate Fund. Full article

Accurate lightning data are critical for disaster warning and climate research. This study systematically compares the Fengyun-4A Lightning Mapping Imager (FY-4A LMI) satellite and the Advanced Time-of-arrival and Direction (ADTD) lightning location network in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region (April–August, 2020–2023) using coefficient of variation (CV) analysis, Welch’s independent samples t-test, Pearson correlation analysis, and inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation. Key results: (1) A significant systematic discrepancy exists between the two datasets, with an annual mean ratio of 0.0636 (t = −5.1758, p < 0.01); FY-4A LMI shows higher observational stability (CV = 5.46%), while ADTD excels in capturing intense lightning events (CV = 28.01%). (2) Both datasets exhibit a consistent unimodal monthly pattern peaking in July (moderately strong positive correlation, r = 0.7354, p < 0.01) but differ distinctly in diurnal distribution. (3) High-density lightning areas of both datasets concentrate south of the Yanshan Mountains and east of the Taihang Mountains, shaped by topography and water vapor transport. This study reveals the three-factor (climatic background, topographic forcing, technical characteristics) coupled regulatory mechanism of data discrepancies and highlights the complementarity of the two datasets, providing a solid scientific basis for satellite-ground data fusion and regional lightning disaster defense. Full article

Recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer following the ban on ozone-depleting substances represents one of the most successful examples of international environmental policy. However, the long-term fate of ozone under continuing climate change remains uncertain. We present the first multi-century projections of ozone evolution to 2200 using emission-driven CMIP7 scenarios in the SOCOL-MPIOM chemistry-climate model. Our results show that despite the elimination of halogenated compounds, total column ozone exhibits non-monotonic evolution, with an initial increase of 8–12% by 2080–2100, followed by a decline to 2200, remaining 4.5–7% above the 2020 baseline. Stratospheric ozone at 50 hPa shows a monotonic decline of 2–11% by 2200 across all scenarios, with no recovery despite ongoing Montreal Protocol implementation. Critically, even in the high-overshoot scenario where CO₂ concentrations decline from 830 to 350 ppm between 2100 and 2200, stratospheric ozone continues to decrease. Intensification of the Brewer-Dobson circulation in warmer climates reduces ozone residence time in the tropical stratosphere, decreasing photochemical production efficiency. This dynamic effect outweighs the reduction in ozone-depleting substances, leading to persistent stratospheric ozone depletion despite total column ozone enhancements in polar regions. Spatial analysis reveals pronounced regional differentiation: Antarctic regions show sustained total column enhancement of +18–26% by 2190–2200, while tropical regions decline to levels below baseline (−4 to −5%). Our results reveal fundamental asymmetry between climate forcing and ozone response, with characteristic adjustment timescales of 100–200 years, and have critical implications for long-term atmospheric protection policy. Full article

The erratic nature, increasing prevalence, and intensity of extreme meteorological phenomena are forcing researchers and farmers to urgently develop adaptation practices to enhance the resilience of agroecosystems to climate change. It is strategically crucial to identify farming systems that have successfully endured recent climatic disturbances and understand the agroecological attributes that enabled them to resist and/or recover from droughts and hurricanes. This paper describes a number of methodologies utilized by Latin American researchers to assess agroecosystem resilience by estimating the vulnerability and the response capacity of selected farming systems to cope with climatic threats. The methodologies utilize a set of socio-ecological indicators that can be easily evaluated in the field, allowing farmers to determine whether their farms can withstand a drought or a major storm and, based on this information, select agroecological practices able to enhance the resiliency of their farms in preparation for future events. The principles and practices of resilience identified on successful, climate-resistant farms can be shared with thousands of producers, facilitating the broader adoption and scaling up of agroecological adaptation strategies. Full article

The pressure of climate change on water resources has made the development of reliable hydrological models increasingly important, especially for data-scarce regions. However, due to the limited availability of ground-based observations, it considerably affects the accuracy of models developed using these inputs. This also limits the ability to investigate future hydrological behavior. Satellite-based data sources have emerged as an alternative to address this challenge and have received significant attention. However, the transferability of these datasets across different model classes has not been widely explored. This paper evaluates the transferability of satellite-derived inputs to eleven types of models, including process-based (SWAT), data-driven methods (XGBoost and WGAN), and hybrid model structures that utilize SWAT outputs with AI models. SHAP has been applied to overcome the black-box limitations of AI models and gain insights into fundamental hydrometeorological processes. In addition, uncertainty analysis was performed for all models, enabling a more comprehensive evaluation of performance. The results indicate that hybrid models using SWAT combined with WGAN can achieve better predictive accuracy than the SWAT model based on ground observation. While the baseline SWAT model achieved satisfactory performance during the validation period (NSE ≈ 0.86, KGE ≈ 0.80), the hybrid SWAT + WGAN framework improved simulation skill, reaching NSE ≈ 0.90 and KGE ≈ 0.89 during validation. Models forced with satellite-derived meteorological inputs additionally performed as well as those forced using station-based observations, validating the feasibility of using satellite products as alternative data sources. The future hydrological status of the basin was assessed based on the best-performing hybrid model and CMIP6 climate projections, showing a clear drought signal in the flows and long-term reductions in average flows reaching up to 58%. Overall, the findings indicate that the proposed framework provides a consistent approach for data-scarce basins. Future applications may benefit from integrating spatio-temporal learning frameworks and ensemble-based uncertainty quantification to enhance robustness under changing climate conditions. Full article

Introduction: Extreme precipitation events in the Ayeyarwady River Basin, Myanmar, exhibit pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity and non-stationarity, yet their linkages to large-scale climate oscillations remain poorly understood. Objective: This study aimed to characterize distinct rainfall regimes, quantify non-stationary extreme event dynamics, and identify teleconnections with oceanic-atmospheric variability over 66 years (1958–2023). Materials and Methods: A hybrid analytical framework integrating K-means clustering, non-stationary Generalized Pareto Distribution modeling, and wavelet coherence analysis was applied to gridded monthly precipitation data from TerraClimate. Results: Four spatiotemporal rainfall clusters were delineated, exhibiting fundamentally different monsoonal characteristics with mean seasonal peaks ranging from 188 mm to 686 mm. Extreme precipitation behavior demonstrated substantial heterogeneity, with 100-year return periods varying from 501 mm in subdued northern zones to 983 mm in hyper-intense coastal regions. Wavelet coherence analysis revealed regime-specific teleconnections: Cluster 2 exhibited the strongest ENSO influence (0.536 coherence strength, 64-month median duration, 1960 peak), while Cluster 4 demonstrated unique IOD dominance (0.479 strength, 74-month duration) extending beyond annual timescales. Teleconnection effectiveness varied substantially across regimes (0.428–0.536 strength) with significant decadal non-stationarity. Limitations and Perspectives: Basin-wide precipitation averages obscure critical regional variations in extreme event magnitudes and climate forcing mechanisms, necessitating regime-differentiated approaches for flood risk assessment and climate-informed water resources management in Myanmar’s most vital river basin. Full article

Understanding how global climate drivers manifest at regional scales is critical for designing targeted adaptation strategies, particularly in vulnerable mountainous countries. This study provides an integrated assessment of atmospheric CO₂ concentrations, surface temperature, and precipitation trends at both global and Armenian levels from the early 20th century to 2024. Using long-term observational datasets and ordinary least squares regression models with HAC-robust errors, this study quantifies the magnitude and statistical significance of historical climate shifts. Results confirm pronounced global warming (+0.021 °C/year) alongside a moderate rise in global precipitation (+1.13 mm/year). Armenia, however, exhibits substantially accelerated warming (+0.052 °C/year) coupled with a non-significant and spatially heterogeneous precipitation trend, including notable declines in humid regions. CO₂ emissions per capita strongly predict temperature change both globally (0.59 °C/ton) and, even more prominently, in Armenia (1.33 °C/ton), indicating heightened regional climate sensitivity. These findings align closely with Armenia’s Fourth National Communication to the UNFCCC, reinforcing the robustness of the analysis. By revealing how global climate forcings translate into region-specific outcomes—and by discussing the emerging thermal contribution of digital infrastructure—this study underscores the urgency of localized climate adaptation, water resource planning, and agricultural resilience measures. Full article

The water yield (WY) service is a critical ecosystem service in arid regions, and understanding its spatiotemporal heterogeneity and controls is important for sustainable watershed management. Annual water yield (WY) in the Aksu River Basin (ARB), China, from 2000 to 2020 was simulated using the InVEST model, with validation against observed runoff (NSE = 0.840, R² = 0.846, RMSE = 1.787). The results revealed a decline in WY from 66.49 mm in 2000 to 43.15 mm in 2015, while retaining a clear north–south gradient, with higher values in the north. Areas showing decreasing and increasing trends accounted for 45.34% and 3.14% of the basin, respectively. WY exhibited strong spatial autocorrelation (global Moran’s I = 0.912–0.941), with high-value clusters in the north and low-value clusters in the south. GeoDetector identified precipitation, temperature, and potential evapotranspiration as key drivers (q = 0.889, 0.880, and 0.832, respectively), with precipitation-related interactions generally exceeding 0.9, indicating enhanced explanatory power through multi-factor coupling. After variable screening and collinearity control, MGWR revealed spatially varying effects of drivers and significant spatial non-stationarity. Overall, despite the declining trend, WY in the ARB maintained a relatively stable spatial structure, with its heterogeneity primarily driven by the coupling of climatic forcing and topographic constraints, providing a scientific basis for zonal water resource management in arid river basins. Full article

Ecosystem health assessment is essential for informing ecological protection and sustainable management, yet current evaluation frameworks often overlook the foundational role of natural background conditions and struggle with methodological uncertainties in indicator weighting, particularly in ecologically fragile regions. To address these dual challenges, this study proposes a novel Base–Pressure–State–Response (BPSR) framework that systematically integrates key natural background factors as a fundamental “Base” layer. Focusing on the Qinling Mountains—a critical ecological barrier in China—we implemented this framework at the county scale using multi-source data (2000–2023) and introduced a Monte Carlo simulation with triangular probability distributions to quantify and synthesize weight uncertainties from multiple methods, thereby enhancing assessment robustness. Furthermore, the Geodetector method was employed to quantitatively identify the driving forces behind the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of ecosystem health. Supported by 3S technology, our analysis demonstrates a sustained improvement in ecosystem health: the composite index rose from 0.723 to 0.916, healthy areas expanded from 60.17% to 68.48%, and nearly half of the region achieved a higher health grade. Spatially, a persistent “low–south, high–north” pattern was observed, shaped by human disturbance gradients, while temporally, the region evolved from localized improvement (2000–2010) to broad-scale recovery (2010–2023), despite lingering degradation in human-dominated zones. Driving force analysis revealed a shift from early dominance by natural and land use factors to a later complex interplay where urbanization pressure and climatic conditions jointly shaped the health pattern. The BPSR framework, combined with probabilistic weight optimization and driving force quantification, offers a methodologically robust and spatially explicit tool that advances ecosystem health evaluation and supports targeted ecological governance, policy formulation, and sustainable management in fragile mountain ecosystems, with transferable insights for similar regions globally. Full article

Plastic waste is a global issue due to the popularity of the product. Over time, plastic degrades into smaller particles known as microplastics and becomes harder to deal with as it easily disperses and can be missed by physical catches. Conventional degradation involves environmental forces like ultraviolet (UV) light, water, temperature, and physical abrasion. However, there is increasing interest in microbial plastic degradation, which could positively impact the transformation of (micro)plastics in various environmental matrices. Most of the available research has focused on bacterial degradation, but there is mounting evidence on the impact of fungal degradation. This review discusses conventional and bacterial degradation, then discusses the advantages of fungal involvement in the degradation of microplastics. Biodegradation enhanced by fungal enzymes is a valuable tool that could greatly improve the removal of these microplastic pollutants from the environment. Due to some biochemical complexities, fungi are naturally omnipresent in marine and terrestrial environments under all sorts of climates. Fungi could thrive by themselves or in association with other microorganisms, which could also be applied in non-biotic plastic degradation processes as an alternative to other forms of plastic management in the environment. Full article