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13 pages, 1506 KB  
Article
Energy and Environmental Impacts of Sludge Management in the Integrated Water Service: A Comparative Life Cycle Assessment
by Sara Pennellini, Vittorio Di Federico and Alessandra Bonoli
Water 2026, 18(3), 343; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18030343 - 30 Jan 2026
Abstract
Growing pressures on water resources, exacerbated by climate change, resource depletion, and population growth, underline the need for sustainable and energy-efficient wastewater management. Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) are among the most energy-intensive elements of the Integrated Water Service, and their environmental performance depends [...] Read more.
Growing pressures on water resources, exacerbated by climate change, resource depletion, and population growth, underline the need for sustainable and energy-efficient wastewater management. Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) are among the most energy-intensive elements of the Integrated Water Service, and their environmental performance depends on infrastructure design, resource availability, and treatment configuration. Improving resource efficiency while reducing energy demand and environmental impacts is therefore a priority for water utilities seeking innovative decision-support tools. Within the national project “WATERGY—Energy Efficiency of the Integrated Water Service”, this study proposes a life-cycle-based framework to assess the sustainability of technological interventions in WWTPs. A comparative gate-to-grave Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) was applied to the municipal WWTP of Potenza (Southern Italy). Three sludge End-of-Life Scenarios were assessed: the current landfill-based configuration, an enhanced oxygenation–nitrification setup, and anaerobic digestion with biogas-based cogeneration. Compared to the current scenario, anaerobic digestion with cogeneration reduces Global Warming Potential by 17% and decreases freshwater ecotoxicity by approximately 30%. Compost production shows the highest reduction in ecotoxicity (−51%) but increases fossil resource depletion and acidification due to higher energy demand. Overall, energy recovery pathways, particularly anaerobic digestion with cogeneration, provide the most balanced environmental benefits, supporting more sustainable WWTP operation within the Integrated Water Service. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Wastewater Treatment and Reuse)
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30 pages, 5621 KB  
Article
Driving Mechanisms of Blue–Green Infrastructure in Enhancing Urban Sustainability: A Spatial–Temporal Assessment from Zhenjiang, China
by Pengcheng Liu, Cheng Lei, Haobing Wang, Junxue Zhang, Sisi Xia and Jun Cao
Land 2026, 15(2), 233; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15020233 - 29 Jan 2026
Abstract
(1) Background: Under the dual pressures of global climate change and rapid urbanization, blue–green infrastructure as a nature-based solution is crucial for enhancing urban sustainability. However, there is still a significant cognitive gap regarding the synergy mechanism between its blue and green components [...] Read more.
(1) Background: Under the dual pressures of global climate change and rapid urbanization, blue–green infrastructure as a nature-based solution is crucial for enhancing urban sustainability. However, there is still a significant cognitive gap regarding the synergy mechanism between its blue and green components and its nonlinear combined impact on sustainability. (2) Method: To fill this gap, this study takes Zhenjiang, a national sponge pilot city in China, as a case and constructs a comprehensive assessment framework. The framework combines multi-source spatio-temporal big data (remote sensing images, point of interest data, mobile phone signaling data) with spatial analysis techniques (geodetectors, Getis-Ord Gi*) to quantify the synergistic effects of blue–green infrastructure on environmental, economic, and social sustainability. (3) Results: The main findings include the following: (1) urban sustainability presents a spatial differentiation pattern of “high in the center, low in the periphery, and multi-core”, and there is a significant positive spatial correlation with the distribution of blue–green infrastructure. (2) The economic dimension, especially daytime population vitality, contributes the most to overall sustainability. (3) Crucially, the co-configuration of sponge facility density and park facility density was identified as the most influential driving mechanism (q = 0.698). In addition, the interaction between the blue infrastructure and the green sponge facilities showed obvious nonlinear enhancement characteristics. Based on spatial matching analysis, the study area was divided into three priority intervention zones: high, medium, and low. (4) Conclusions: This study confirms that it is crucial to view blue–green infrastructure as an interrelated collaborative system. The findings deepen the theoretical understanding of the synergistic empowerment mechanism of blue–green infrastructure and provide scientifically based and actionable policy support for the precise planning of ecological spaces in high-density urbanized areas. Full article
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22 pages, 8200 KB  
Review
An Overview and Lessons Learned from the Implementation of Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) Initiatives in West and Central Africa
by Gbedehoue Esaïe Kpadonou, Komla K. Ganyo, Marsanne Gloriose B. Allakonon, Amadou Ngaido, Yacouba Diallo, Niéyidouba Lamien and Pierre B. Irenikatche Akponikpe
Sustainability 2026, 18(3), 1351; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031351 - 29 Jan 2026
Abstract
From adaptation to building effective resilience to climate change is critical for transforming West and Central Africa (WCA) agricultural system. Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) is an approach initiated by leading international organizations to ensure food security, increased adaptation to climate change and mitigation. Its [...] Read more.
From adaptation to building effective resilience to climate change is critical for transforming West and Central Africa (WCA) agricultural system. Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) is an approach initiated by leading international organizations to ensure food security, increased adaptation to climate change and mitigation. Its application spans from innovative policies, practices, technologies, innovations and financing. However, CSA initiatives lack scientific-based assessment prior to implementation to ensure their effectiveness. To fill this gap, future interventions should not only be assessed using rigorous methodology but should also be built on lessons learned from previous initiatives. Although there are a lot of climate related agricultural initiatives in WCA, most of them have not been analyzed through a CSA lens and criteria to capitalize on their experiences to improve future interventions. In this study we mapped previous climate-related initiatives in WCA, highlighted their gaps and lessons learned to accelerate the implementation of CSA in the region. The study covered 20 countries in WCA: Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Côte d’Ivoire, Congo, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo. CSA initiatives were reviewed using a three-steps methodology: (i) national data collection, (ii) regional validation of the national database, (iii) data analysis including spatial mapping. Data was collected from the websites of international, regional and national organizations working in the field of agricultural development in the region. Each initiative was analyzed using a multicriteria analysis based on CSA principles. A total of 1629 CSA related initiatives were identified in WCA. Over 75% of them were in the form of projects/programs with more of a focus on the first CSA pillar (productivity and food security), followed by adaptation. The mitigation pillar is less covered by the initiatives. Animal production, fisheries, access to markets, and energy are poorly included. More than half of these initiatives have already been completed, calling for more new initiatives in the region. Women benefit very little from the implementation of the identified CSA initiatives, despite the substantial role they play in agriculture. CSA initiatives mainly received funding from technical and financial partners and development partners (45%), banks (22%), and international climate financing mechanisms (20%). Most of them were implemented by government institutions (48%) and development partners (23%). In total, more than 600 billion EUR have been disbursed to implement 83 of the 1629 initiatives identified. These initiatives contributed to reclaiming and/or rehabilitating almost 2 million ha of agricultural land in all countries between 2015 and 2025. Future initiatives should ensure the consideration of the three CSA pillars right from their formulation to the implementation. These initiatives should consider investing in mixed production systems like crop-animal-fisheries. Activities should be built around CSA innovation platforms to encourage networking among actors for more sustainability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Agriculture, Food, and Resources for Sustainable Economic Development)
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26 pages, 4272 KB  
Article
Potential Pathways and Solutions to Acute Food System Crisis in the UK
by Sarah Bridle, Elta Smith, Aled Jones, Pete Falloon, Vanessa Pilley, Saher Hasnain, Lucy Stanbrough, Christina Vogel, Caitlin Douglas, Bob Doherty, Philip Tovey, Pete Smith, Simon Pearson, S. J. Beard, Neil Ward, Dan Crossley, H. Charles J. Godfray, Monika Zurek, Julie Pierce, Dominic Watters, Davide Natalini, Tim Benton, Riaz Bhunnoo, Ben Dare, Juan Pablo Cordero, Molly Watson, Barnaby Coupe, Judith Batchelar, Ella Taylor, John Ingram, Jude Irons, Tim Lang, Tom Macmillan, Daniel Morton, Sue Pritchard, Angelina Sanderson Bellamy, Eike Sindlinger, Alec Taylor and Kerry Whitesideadd Show full author list remove Hide full author list
Sustainability 2026, 18(3), 1342; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031342 - 29 Jan 2026
Abstract
There is increasing concern in many advanced economies about the risks of disruption and crises in agri-food systems. Government departments and non-governmental organisations are working to identify and understand specific risks but struggle to take broad, holistic perspectives and therefore underestimate the potential [...] Read more.
There is increasing concern in many advanced economies about the risks of disruption and crises in agri-food systems. Government departments and non-governmental organisations are working to identify and understand specific risks but struggle to take broad, holistic perspectives and therefore underestimate the potential for civil unrest. In the interests of helping move from understanding to action, we convened a group of experts through a Delphi process to map out potential pathways to acute UK food system crises and identify interventions that would build resilience and sustainability. To this end, we consulted 31 experts, carrying out 15 expert interviews, followed by three surveys and two workshops with a further 16 experts. The experts highlighted the many existing chronic issues creating a tinderbox for an acute risk to lead to a food crisis in the UK. These chronic issues include climate change, poor policy implementation, rising inequality, food supply chain consolidation and the risks from just-in-time supply of food. They voted to include three acute triggers—(a) cyber-attack, (b) a major extreme weather event and (c) a major new international conflict—and described how any combination of these could lead to (d) a UK food availability and/or price shock that could result in widespread fear of unsafe or inadequate food, leading to violence. A total of 7 system-wide interventions were prioritised to help address these pathway elements together and build sustainability, and a further 21 were identified to address elements individually. Full article
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25 pages, 6175 KB  
Article
Effects of Nitrogen Addition and Mowing on Plant–Soil Stoichiometric Characteristics and Homeostasis in Degraded Grasslands Dominated by Sophora alopecuroides L.
by Yunhao Wu, Dong Cui, Shuqi Liu, Zhicheng Jiang, Zezheng Liu, Luyao Liu, Yaxin Han, Jinfeng Guo and Haijun Yang
Agronomy 2026, 16(3), 332; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16030332 - 28 Jan 2026
Abstract
Grassland degradation, exacerbated by climate change and anthropogenic disturbances, poses a substantial barrier to ecological restoration, largely due to the invasion of toxic weeds. In the degraded grasslands of the Ili River Valley, Xinjiang, Sophora alopecuroides has emerged as the dominant toxic species; [...] Read more.
Grassland degradation, exacerbated by climate change and anthropogenic disturbances, poses a substantial barrier to ecological restoration, largely due to the invasion of toxic weeds. In the degraded grasslands of the Ili River Valley, Xinjiang, Sophora alopecuroides has emerged as the dominant toxic species; yet, its expansion mechanisms and sensitivity to management interventions remain poorly understood. This study utilized a three-year (2023–2025) field experiment to evaluate the impacts of nitrogen addition (N), mowing (M), and their combination (NM) on the stoichiometric characteristics and homeostasis of the plant–soil system. The results demonstrated that while M suppressed aboveground biomass, it facilitated the accumulation of root carbon (RC) and phosphorus (RP). Nitrogen enrichment significantly lowered soil C:N and C:P ratios, thereby alleviating phosphorus limitation. Crucially, the NM treatment effectively counteracted N-induced weed proliferation and mitigated M-induced biomass reductions. Analysis of stoichiometric homeostasis revealed that NM optimized plant adaptive strategies, maintaining strict homeostasis for RC and RP (H > 4) while preserving the sensitivity of the root N:P ratio of S. alopecuroides (RN:P). Structural equation modeling further indicated that soil C:P and N:P indirectly regulated total biomass by modulating the root C:P ratio of S. alopecuroides (RC:P). Consequently, stoichiometric coupling within the plant–soil system is essential for maintaining ecosystem functions. Integrated management (NM) optimizes soil nutrient balance and harnesses compensatory growth to suppress weed expansion, providing a robust scientific framework for the restoration of S. alopecuroides-invaded grasslands. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Soil and Plant Nutrition)
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19 pages, 6352 KB  
Article
Integrated Spatio-Temporal Drought Vulnerability and Risk Assessment in Iran
by Pejvak Rastgoo, Atefeh Torkaman Pary, Ayoub Moradi, Dirk Zeuss and Temesgen Alemayehu Abera
Water 2026, 18(3), 315; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18030315 - 27 Jan 2026
Viewed by 134
Abstract
Arid and semi-arid regions are highly vulnerable to drought and depend heavily on rainfed agriculture. To minimize the impact of drought, a transition from crisis management to risk management is necessary, which requires a comprehensive risk assessment that accounts for not only drought [...] Read more.
Arid and semi-arid regions are highly vulnerable to drought and depend heavily on rainfed agriculture. To minimize the impact of drought, a transition from crisis management to risk management is necessary, which requires a comprehensive risk assessment that accounts for not only drought hazard but also drought vulnerability and population exposure. However, integrated studies that account for socio-economic, agricultural, demographic, and climate factors are currently lacking in Iran. The objective of this study is to comprehensively assess the spatio-temporal changes in drought risk from 2000 to 2019 across Iran. We used the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and multiple socio-economic and demographic data to compute drought risk. In particular, we used the SPEI to map drought hazard, an analytical hierarchical process method to assess drought vulnerability, and population density data to compute population exposure. Drought risk increased in 57% of the area of Iran, mainly in the northwest, west, and central regions, at a rate of up to 10% per year. In 21% of the area of Iran, drought risk declined by up to 10% per year, predominantly in the northern and southern regions of the Alborz Mountains, encompassing the provinces of Tehran, Gilan, Mazandaran, and Khorasan Razavi. Our results show that the spatial patterns of drought risk vary across Iran and are modulated by the interaction between climatic and socio-economic factors. The results of this study provide useful information for drought risk management and intervention in Iran. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate Change Uncertainties in Integrated Water Resources Management)
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29 pages, 3011 KB  
Systematic Review
Climate-Related Extreme Weather and Urban Mental Health: A Traditional and Bayesian Meta-Analysis
by Teerachai Amnuaylojaroen, Nichapa Parasin and Surasak Saokaew
Earth 2026, 7(1), 14; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010014 - 25 Jan 2026
Viewed by 104
Abstract
Climate change-induced extreme weather events increasingly threaten public health, with a particularly acute impact on the mental well-being of urban populations. This study evaluates regional disparities in mental health outcomes associated with climate-induced extreme weather in urban environments, where social and infrastructural vulnerabilities [...] Read more.
Climate change-induced extreme weather events increasingly threaten public health, with a particularly acute impact on the mental well-being of urban populations. This study evaluates regional disparities in mental health outcomes associated with climate-induced extreme weather in urban environments, where social and infrastructural vulnerabilities exacerbate environmental stressors. We synthesized data from cohort and cross-sectional studies using both traditional frequentist and Bayesian meta-analytic frameworks to assess the mental health sequelae of extreme weather events (e.g., heatwaves, floods, droughts, and storms). The traditional meta-analysis indicated a significant increase in the odds of adverse mental health outcomes (OR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.07–1.57). However, this global estimate was characterized by extreme heterogeneity (I2 = 95.8%), indicating that the risk is not uniform but highly context-dependent. Subgroup analyses revealed that this risk is concentrated in specific regions; the strongest associations were observed in Africa (OR = 2.23) and Europe (OR = 2.26). Conversely, the Bayesian analysis yielded a conservative estimate, suggesting a slight reduction in odds (mean OR = 0.92, 95% CrI: 0.87–0.98). This divergence is driven by the Bayesian model’s shrinkage of high-magnitude outliers toward the high-precision data observed in resilient, high-income settings (e.g., USA). Given the extreme heterogeneity observed (I2 = 95.8%), we caution against interpreting either pooled estimate as a universal effect size. Instead, the regional subgroup findings—particularly the consistently elevated risks in Africa and Europe—offer more stable and policy-relevant conclusions. These findings emphasize urgent, context-specific interventions in urban areas facing compounded climate social risks. Full article
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32 pages, 1831 KB  
Systematic Review
A Systematic Review of the Constraints, Food, and Income Contribution of Indigenous Leafy Vegetables by Small-Scale Farming Households in Sub-Saharan Africa
by Nkosingimele Ndwandwe, Melusi Sibanda and Nolwazi Zanele Khumalo
Sustainability 2026, 18(3), 1187; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031187 - 24 Jan 2026
Viewed by 111
Abstract
Food security and income generation remain a critical issue for small-scale farming households in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) due to population growth, climate change, and market instability. Indigenous leafy vegetables (ILVs) offer high nutritional value and have the capability to mitigate food insecurity but [...] Read more.
Food security and income generation remain a critical issue for small-scale farming households in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) due to population growth, climate change, and market instability. Indigenous leafy vegetables (ILVs) offer high nutritional value and have the capability to mitigate food insecurity but are underutilized due to social stigma. This review aims to systematically analyze the food and income contribution of cultivation and utilization of ILVs by small-scale farming households in Sub-Saharan Africa. This review analyses the literature on the role of ILV cultivation in enhancing food security and household income over the past two decades. A systematic search across five databases was conducted and identified 53 relevant studies. Findings indicate that ILVs contribute significantly to household nutrition and income through consumption and surplus sales. However, ILV cultivation faces barriers such as climate change, pest infestations, land degradation, water scarcity, insecure land tenure, limited agricultural training, poor communication networks, and restricted market access. Policy interventions are necessary to support small-scale farmers in ILV cultivation by providing agricultural extension services, promoting sustainable farming practices, and integrating ILVs into food security strategies. Further research should examine policy frameworks and supply chain mechanisms to enhance farmer participation and economic benefits from ILV production. Full article
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25 pages, 3019 KB  
Review
A Review of the Literature on Wildfires in the Context of Climate Change
by Corinne Curt and Thomas Curt
Fire 2026, 9(2), 52; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9020052 - 23 Jan 2026
Viewed by 183
Abstract
Wildfires are one of the main natural hazards around the world, and are becoming increasingly important in the current context of climate change. To limit the impacts of fires, policies are implemented following various phases of risk management. These concern prevention (risk communication [...] Read more.
Wildfires are one of the main natural hazards around the world, and are becoming increasingly important in the current context of climate change. To limit the impacts of fires, policies are implemented following various phases of risk management. These concern prevention (risk communication and information, forest monitoring, fuel management, the installation of firewalls, etc.) and suppression (firefighting interventions) measures. This article presents a systematic literature review analyzed through the prism of climate change and policy. It is carried out using a textometric approach. The corpus is composed of 720 articles published from 1997. A marked increase is evident from 2021. The analysis enables the clustering of the main issues. Six main themes were revealed by Reinert Clustering: Health issues, Disaster risk management, Natural environment, Management of the natural environment, Fire characteristics, and Fire modeling. These themes are composed of 36 sub-themes. In addition, the article shows that some issues (anthropogenic health and management/governance issues, and natural environment issues around fire and natural environment characterization) remain constant over time while others increase/decrease in importance (air quality, carbon storage and CO2 emissions, ecosystems and biodiversity, and the effects of fires on the natural environment at the expense of anthropogenic issues). Full article
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26 pages, 6479 KB  
Article
Smart Solutions for Mitigating Eutrophication in the Romanian Black Sea Coastal Waters Through an Integrated Approach Using Random Forest, Remote Sensing, and System Dynamics
by Luminita Lazar, Elena Ristea and Elena Bisinicu
Earth 2026, 7(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010013 - 23 Jan 2026
Viewed by 248
Abstract
Eutrophication remains a persistent challenge in the Romanian Black Sea coastal zone, driven by excess nutrient inputs from riverine and coastal sources and further intensified by climate change. This study assesses eutrophication dynamics and explores mitigation options using an integrated framework that combines [...] Read more.
Eutrophication remains a persistent challenge in the Romanian Black Sea coastal zone, driven by excess nutrient inputs from riverine and coastal sources and further intensified by climate change. This study assesses eutrophication dynamics and explores mitigation options using an integrated framework that combines in situ observations, satellite-derived chlorophyll a data, machine learning, and system dynamics modelling. Water samples collected during two field campaigns (2023–2024) were analyzed for nutrient concentrations and linked with chlorophyll a products from the Copernicus Marine Service. Random Forest analysis identified dissolved inorganic nitrogen, phosphate, salinity, and temperature as the most influential predictors of chlorophyll a distribution. A system dynamics model was subsequently used to explore relative ecosystem responses under multiple management scenarios, including nutrient reduction, enhanced zooplankton grazing, and combined interventions. Scenario-based simulations indicate that nutrient reduction alone produces a moderate decrease in chlorophyll a (45% relative to baseline conditions), while restoration of grazing pressure yields a comparable response. The strongest reduction is achieved under the combined scenario, which integrates nutrient reduction with biological control and lowers normalized chlorophyll a levels by approximately two thirds (71%) relative to baseline. In contrast, a bloom-favourable scenario results in a several-fold increase in chlorophyll a of 160%. Spatial analysis highlights persistent eutrophication hotspots near the Danube mouths and urban discharge areas. These results demonstrate that integrated strategies combining nutrient source control with ecological restoration are substantially more effective than single-measure interventions. The proposed framework provides a scenario-based decision-support tool for ecosystem-based management and supports progress toward achieving Good Environmental Status under the Marine Strategy Framework Directive. Full article
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18 pages, 1891 KB  
Review
Reducing Close Encounters with Insect Pests and Vectors: The Past, Present and Future of Insect Repellents
by Luis A. Martinez and Laurence J. Zwiebel
Insects 2026, 17(2), 130; https://doi.org/10.3390/insects17020130 - 23 Jan 2026
Viewed by 198
Abstract
Insects acting as agricultural pests or disease vectors represent some of the greatest challenges to global health, food security and economics. Diverse technologies to combat insects of economic and medical importance have been and are continually being developed. These include natural and synthetic [...] Read more.
Insects acting as agricultural pests or disease vectors represent some of the greatest challenges to global health, food security and economics. Diverse technologies to combat insects of economic and medical importance have been and are continually being developed. These include natural and synthetic chemical insecticides and repellents, mass-trapping approaches and, more recently, an increasingly wide range of biological as well as genetic manipulations of insect vectors/pests. The increase in biological resistance and cross-resistance to many insecticides and repellents, the rapid expansion of human populations, as well as escalating climate change have extended or shifted the active periods and habitats of many insect species, creating new hurdles for attempts to defend humans from insects. At the same time, environmental, ecological and socio-political concerns continue to impact the utility of both current interventions as well as newly emerging innovative strategies. The near exponential increase in insect-based threats highlights the importance of basic and translational studies to design and develop novel technologies to combat detrimental insect populations. This review outlines the history of these challenges and describes the evolution of chemical insect control technologies, while highlighting existing and contemporary approaches to develop and deploy chemical repellents to address this threat to human health and agriculture. Full article
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33 pages, 22017 KB  
Article
Mapping Grassland Suitability Through GIS and AHP for Sustainable Management: A Case Study of Hunedoara County, Romania
by Luminiţa L. Cojocariu, Nicolae Marinel Horablaga, Cosmin Alin Popescu, Adina Horablaga, Monica Bella-Sfîrcoci and Loredana Copăcean
Sustainability 2026, 18(3), 1155; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18031155 - 23 Jan 2026
Viewed by 132
Abstract
Grasslands represent an essential resource for rural economies and for the provision of ecosystem services, yet they are increasingly affected by anthropogenic pressures, functional land-use changes, and institutional constraints. This study develops a geospatial decision-support framework for assessing grassland suitability in Hunedoara County, [...] Read more.
Grasslands represent an essential resource for rural economies and for the provision of ecosystem services, yet they are increasingly affected by anthropogenic pressures, functional land-use changes, and institutional constraints. This study develops a geospatial decision-support framework for assessing grassland suitability in Hunedoara County, Romania, by integrating the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Weighted Overlay Analysis (WOA) within a GIS environment. The assessment is based on nine criteria thematically grouped into three dimensions: (A) physical-geographical, including topographic suitability, climatic pressure, and hydrological risk exposure; (B) ecological and conservation-related, reflected by ecological conservation value, ecological carrying capacity, and the anthropic pressure index; and (C) socio-economic and functional, represented by spatial accessibility, recreational value, and policy support mechanisms. Suitability is defined as the integrated capacity of grasslands to sustain productive and multifunctional uses compatible with ecological conservation and the existing policy framework. Results indicate that 0.43% of the grassland area exhibits very high suitability (Class 1), 44.51% high suitability (Class 2), and 54.75% moderate suitability (Class 3), while unfavorable areas account for only 0.31% of the total (Class 4). The proposed methodology is reproducible and transferable, providing support for prioritizing management interventions, agri-environmental payments, and rural planning in mountainous and hilly regions. Full article
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21 pages, 4302 KB  
Article
The Mechanisms Driving Vegetation Changes in Riparian and Typical Floodplains Under Cascade Hydropower Development in the Middle Reach of Hanjiang River
by Yiwen Liu, Xiaorong Lu, Zhiyuan Liu, Xuelei Wang and Qing Yang
Plants 2026, 15(3), 347; https://doi.org/10.3390/plants15030347 - 23 Jan 2026
Viewed by 109
Abstract
Vegetation within riparian and floodplain undergoes significant alterations driven by climatic factors and human interventions, particularly influenced by cascade hydropower development. This study investigated the dynamics of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in riparian and representative floodplains vegetation under cascade hydropower development [...] Read more.
Vegetation within riparian and floodplain undergoes significant alterations driven by climatic factors and human interventions, particularly influenced by cascade hydropower development. This study investigated the dynamics of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in riparian and representative floodplains vegetation under cascade hydropower development in the middle reach of Hanjiang River by using Landsat imagery and hydroclimatic station data. The vegetation NDVI of the riparian increased significantly (p < 0.01) during the growing season, and the vegetation NDVI of the riparian and typical floodplains also increased after the hydropower developments. In terms of the key driving factors, the increased annual water level may explain the reduction in most floodplains. Increasing temperature, especially in March, can promote vegetation growth of riparian and typical floodplains. The development of cascade hydropower may result in different contributions of climate and hydrology to vegetation at different periods, and it was found that the climate is the major contributor to the changes in the vegetation NDVI after the construction of the dam. This research will help clarify the impact of cascade hydropower development on vegetation in riparian and floodplain ecosystems. It also provides a scientific basis for vegetation protection and environmental restoration in the basin. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Plant Response to Abiotic Stress and Climate Change)
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32 pages, 2929 KB  
Article
Policy Plateau and Structural Regime Shift: Hybrid Forecasting of the EU Decarbonisation Gap Toward 2030 Targets
by Oksana Liashenko, Kostiantyn Pavlov, Olena Pavlova, Olga Demianiuk, Robert Chmura, Bożena Sowa and Tetiana Vlasenko
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 1114; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18021114 - 21 Jan 2026
Viewed by 126
Abstract
This study investigates the structural evolution and projected trajectory of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across the EU27 from 1990 to 2030, with a particular focus on their implications for the effectiveness of European climate policy. Drawing on official sectoral data and employing a [...] Read more.
This study investigates the structural evolution and projected trajectory of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across the EU27 from 1990 to 2030, with a particular focus on their implications for the effectiveness of European climate policy. Drawing on official sectoral data and employing a multi-method framework combining time series modelling (ARIMA), machine learning (Random Forest), regime-switching analysis, and segmented linear regression, we assess past dynamics, detect structural shifts, and forecast future trends. Empirical findings, based on Markov-switching models and segmented regression analysis, indicate a statistically significant regime change around 2014, marking a transition to a new emissions pattern characterised by a deceleration in reduction rates. While the energy sector experienced the most significant decline, agriculture and industry have gained relative prominence, underscoring their growing strategic importance as targets for policy interventions. Hybrid ARIMA–ML forecasts indicate that, under current trajectories, the EU is unlikely to meet its 2030 Fit for 55 targets without adaptive and sector-specific interventions, with a projected shortfall of 12–15 percentage points relative to 1990 levels, excluding LULUCF. The results underscore critical weaknesses in the EU’s climate policy architecture and reveal a clear need for transformative recalibration. Without accelerated action and strengthened governance mechanisms, the post-2014 regime risks entrenching a plateau in emissions reductions, jeopardising long-term climate objectives. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air, Climate Change and Sustainability)
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25 pages, 9263 KB  
Article
Altitudinal Gradient and Influencing Factors of Carbon Storage in the Gonghe Basin of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
by Ailing Sun, Xingsheng Xia, Yanqin Wang, Haifeng Zhang and Xuechang Zheng
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2026, 15(1), 48; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi15010048 - 21 Jan 2026
Viewed by 98
Abstract
Investigating the spatial distribution and dynamics of terrestrial carbon storage is vital for climate change mitigation. However, horizontal spatial analyses often overlook heterogeneity in complex terrains. Here, we focused on the Gonghe Basin on the northeastern margin of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, where resource [...] Read more.
Investigating the spatial distribution and dynamics of terrestrial carbon storage is vital for climate change mitigation. However, horizontal spatial analyses often overlook heterogeneity in complex terrains. Here, we focused on the Gonghe Basin on the northeastern margin of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, where resource exploitation and ecological conservation interact. By using land use and DEM data and integrating the InVEST model, Geoda, and a geographical detector, we showed the altitudinal gradient effect and spatiotemporal evolution of carbon storage in the Gonghe Basin from 2000 to 2020 and identified the key factors influencing these patterns. Results show the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, carbon storage in the Gonghe Basin exhibited a distinct pattern of “high at mid-elevations, low at both summit and valley” along the elevation gradient. High-value areas were concentrated in the forest–grassland zone between 2800–4400 m, while low-value areas were distributed in the human activity-intensive zone of 2100–2800 m and the alpine desert zone of 4400–5000 m. (2) The synergistic drivers of carbon storage differed markedly across elevation gradients. The low-elevation zone (2100–2800 m) was characterized by strengthened interactions between vegetation cover and precipitation as well as human activity variables, indicating a coupled natural–anthropogenic driving regime. In the mid-elevation zone (2800–4400 m), interactive effects shifted from vegetation–natural factor coupling to enhanced synergy with social factors such as population density. In the high-elevation zone (4400–5000 m), stable long-term interactions between vegetation and temperature predominated, while sensitivity to interactions involving human activity factors increased. (3) Although natural factors remained dominant, the explanatory power of human activity factors—including GDP density, land-use intensity, and grazing intensity—increased over time across all elevation gradients, suggesting progressively stronger human intervention in carbon cycling. (4) Based on these findings, this study proposes a “three belts–three strategies” synergistic governance framework—“regulation and restoration” for the low-elevation belt, “conservation and efficiency enhancement” for the mid-elevation belt, and “monitoring and early warning” for the high-elevation belt—aiming to enhance regional carbon sink capacity and ecological resilience through zone-specific, targeted interventions. These findings offer a scientific basis for reinforcing regional ecological security and improving carbon sink management. Full article
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