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28 pages, 712 KB  
Review
Next-Generation Wastewater Treatment: Omics and AI-Driven Microbial Strategies for Xenobiotic Bioremediation and Circular Resource Recovery
by Prabhaharan Renganathan and Lira A. Gaysina
Processes 2025, 13(10), 3218; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13103218 - 9 Oct 2025
Abstract
Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) function as engineered ecosystems in which microbial consortia mediate nutrient cycling, xenobiotic degradation, and heavy metal detoxification. This review discusses a forward-looking roadmap that integrates microbial ecology, multi-omics diagnostics, and artificial intelligence (AI) for next-generation treatments. Meta-analyses suggest that [...] Read more.
Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) function as engineered ecosystems in which microbial consortia mediate nutrient cycling, xenobiotic degradation, and heavy metal detoxification. This review discusses a forward-looking roadmap that integrates microbial ecology, multi-omics diagnostics, and artificial intelligence (AI) for next-generation treatments. Meta-analyses suggest that a globally conserved core microbiome indicates sludge functions, with high predictive value for treatment stability. Multi-omics approaches, including metagenomics, metatranscriptomics, and environmental DNA (eDNA) profiling, have integrated microbial composition with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, showing that WWTPs contribute 2–5% of anthropogenic nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions. Emerging AI-enhanced eDNA models have achieved >90% predictive accuracy for effluent quality and antibiotic resistance gene (ARG) prevalence, facilitating near-real-time monitoring and adaptive control of effluent quality. Key advances include microbial strategies for degrading organic pollutants, pesticides, and heavy metals and monitoring industrial effluents. This review highlights both translational opportunities, including engineered microbial consortia, AI-driven digital twins and molecular indices, and persistent barriers, including ARG dissemination, resilience under environmental stress and regulatory integration. Future WWTPs are envisioned as adaptive, climate-conscious biorefineries that recover resources, mitigate ecological risks, and reduce their carbon footprint. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Review Papers in Section "Environmental and Green Processes")
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24 pages, 4428 KB  
Article
Landscape Patterns and Carbon Emissions in the Yangtze River Basin: Insights from Ensemble Models and Nighttime Light Data
by Banglong Pan, Qi Wang, Zhuo Diao, Jiayi Li, Wuyiming Liu, Qianfeng Gao, Ying Shu and Juan Du
Atmosphere 2025, 16(10), 1173; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16101173 - 9 Oct 2025
Abstract
Land use patterns are a critical driver of changes in carbon emissions, making it essential to elucidate the relationship between regional carbon emissions and land use types. As a nationally designated economic strategic zone, the Yangtze River Basin encompasses megacities, rapidly developing medium-sized [...] Read more.
Land use patterns are a critical driver of changes in carbon emissions, making it essential to elucidate the relationship between regional carbon emissions and land use types. As a nationally designated economic strategic zone, the Yangtze River Basin encompasses megacities, rapidly developing medium-sized cities, and relatively underdeveloped regions. However, the mechanism underlying the interaction between landscape patterns and carbon emissions across such gradients remains inadequately understood. This study utilizes nighttime light, land use and carbon emissions datasets, employing XGBoost, CatBoost, LightGBM and a stacking ensemble model to analyze the impacts and driving factors of land use changes on carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Basin from 2002 to 2022. The results showed: (1) The stacking ensemble learning model demonstrated the best predictive performance, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.80, a residual prediction deviation (RPD) of 2.22, and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 4.46. Compared with the next-best models, these performance metrics represent improvements of 19.40% in R2 and 28.32% in RPD, and a 22.16% reduction in RMSE. (2) Based on SHAP feature importance and Pearson correlation analysis, the primary drivers influencing CO2 net emissions in the Yangtze River Basin are GDP per capita (GDPpc), population density (POD), Tertiary industry share (TI), land use degree comprehensive index (LUI), dynamic degree of water-body land use (Kwater), Largest patch index (LPI), and number of patches (NP). These findings indicate that changes in regional landscape patterns exert a significant effect on carbon emissions in strategic economic regions, and that stacked ensemble models can effectively simulate and interpret this relationship with high predictive accuracy, thereby providing decision support for regional low-carbon development planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Carbon Emissions: Measurement and Modeling)
18 pages, 982 KB  
Article
Model Construction and Scenario Analysis for Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Consumption in Jiangsu Province: Based on the STIRPAT Extended Model
by Ying Liu, Lvhan Yang, Meng Wu, Jinxian He, Wenqiang Wang, Yunpeng Li, Renjiang Huang, Dongfang Liu and Heyao Tan
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8961; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198961 (registering DOI) - 9 Oct 2025
Abstract
Against the backdrop of China’s “dual carbon” strategy (carbon peaking and carbon neutrality), provincial-level carbon emission research is crucial for the implementation of related policies. However, existing studies insufficiently cover the driving mechanisms and scenario prediction for energy-importing provinces. This study can provide [...] Read more.
Against the backdrop of China’s “dual carbon” strategy (carbon peaking and carbon neutrality), provincial-level carbon emission research is crucial for the implementation of related policies. However, existing studies insufficiently cover the driving mechanisms and scenario prediction for energy-importing provinces. This study can provide theoretical references for similar provinces in China to conduct research on carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption. The carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in Jiangsu Province between 2000 and 2023 were calculated using the carbon emission coefficient method. The Tapio decoupling index model was adopted to evaluate the decoupling relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in Jiangsu. An extended STIRPAT model was established to predict carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in Jiangsu, and this model was applied to analyze the emissions under three scenarios (baseline scenario, low-carbon scenario, and enhanced low-carbon scenario) during 2024–2030. The results show the following: (1) During 2000–2023, the carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in Jiangsu Province ranged from 215.22428 million tons to 783.94270 million tons, with an average of 549.96280 million tons. (2) The decoupling status between carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption and economic development in Jiangsu was dominated by weak decoupling, accounting for 91.304%, while a small proportion (8.696%) of expansive coupling was also observed. (3) Under the baseline scenario, the carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in Jiangsu in 2030 will reach 796.828 million tons; under the low-carbon scenario, the emissions will be 786.355 million tons; and under the enhanced low-carbon scenario, the emissions will be 772.293 million tons. Furthermore, countermeasures and suggestions for reducing carbon dioxide emissions from energy consumption in Jiangsu are proposed, mainly including strengthening the guidance of policies and institutional systems, optimizing the energy consumption structure, intensifying technological innovation efforts, and enhancing government promotion and publicity. Full article
25 pages, 4741 KB  
Article
Deep Learning Prediction of Exhaust Mass Flow and CO Emissions for Underground Mining Application
by Ivan Panteleev, Mikhail Semin, Evgenii Grishin, Denis Kormshchikov, Anastasiya Iziumova, Mikhail Verezhak, Lev Levin and Oleg Plekhov
Algorithms 2025, 18(10), 630; https://doi.org/10.3390/a18100630 - 6 Oct 2025
Viewed by 176
Abstract
Diesel engines power much of the heavy-duty equipment used in underground mines, where exhaust emissions pose acute environmental and occupational health challenges. However, predicting the amount of air required to dilute these emissions is difficult because exhaust mass flow and pollutant concentrations vary [...] Read more.
Diesel engines power much of the heavy-duty equipment used in underground mines, where exhaust emissions pose acute environmental and occupational health challenges. However, predicting the amount of air required to dilute these emissions is difficult because exhaust mass flow and pollutant concentrations vary nonlinearly with multiple operating parameters. We apply deep learning to predict the total exhaust mass flow and carbon monoxide (CO) concentration of a six-cylinder gas–diesel (dual-fuel) turbocharged KAMAZ 910.12-450 engine under controlled operating conditions. We trained artificial neural networks on the preprocessed experimental dataset to capture nonlinear relationships between engine inputs and exhaust responses. Model interpretation with Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) identifies torque, speed, and boost pressure as dominant drivers of exhaust mass flow, and catalyst pressure, EGR rate, and boost pressure as primary contributors to CO concentration. In addition, symbolic regression yields an interpretable analytical expression for exhaust mass flow, facilitating interpretation and potential integration into control. The results indicate that deep learning enables accurate and interpretable prediction of key exhaust parameters in dual-fuel engines, supporting emission assessment and mitigation strategies relevant to underground mining operations. These findings support future integration with ventilation models and real-time monitoring frameworks. Full article
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45 pages, 5989 KB  
Review
A Review of Hybrid-Electric Propulsion in Aviation: Modeling Methods, Energy Management Strategies, and Future Prospects
by Feifan Yu, Jiajie Chen, Panao Gao, Yu Kong, Xiaokang Sun, Jiqiang Wang and Xinmin Chen
Aerospace 2025, 12(10), 895; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12100895 - 3 Oct 2025
Viewed by 516
Abstract
Aviation is under increasing pressure to reduce carbon emissions in conventional transports and support the growth of low-altitude operations such as long-endurance eVTOLs. Hybrid-electric propulsion addresses these challenges by integrating the high specific energy of fuels or hydrogen with the controllability and efficiency [...] Read more.
Aviation is under increasing pressure to reduce carbon emissions in conventional transports and support the growth of low-altitude operations such as long-endurance eVTOLs. Hybrid-electric propulsion addresses these challenges by integrating the high specific energy of fuels or hydrogen with the controllability and efficiency of electrified powertrains. At present, the field of hybrid-electric aircraft is developing rapidly. To systematically study hybrid-electric propulsion control in aviation, this review focuses on practical aspects of system development, including propulsion architectures, system- and component-level modeling approaches, and energy management strategies. Key technologies in the future are examined, with emphasis on aircraft power-demand prediction, multi-timescale control, and thermal integrated energy management. This review aims to serve as a reference for configuration design, modeling and control simulation, as well as energy management strategy design of hybrid-electric propulsion systems. Building on this reference role, the review presents a coherent guidance scheme from architectures through modeling to energy-management control, with a practical roadmap toward flight-ready deployment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Aeronautics)
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51 pages, 9358 KB  
Review
Machine Learning-Driven Design of Fluorescent Materials: Principles, Methodologies, and Future Directions
by Qihang Bian and Xiangfu Wang
Nanomaterials 2025, 15(19), 1495; https://doi.org/10.3390/nano15191495 - 30 Sep 2025
Viewed by 156
Abstract
Dual-mode fluorescent materials are vital in bioimaging, sensing, displays, and lighting, owing to their efficient emission of visible or near-infrared light. Traditional optimization methods, including empirical experiments and quantum chemical computations, suffer from high costs, high labor intensities, and difficulties capturing complex relationships [...] Read more.
Dual-mode fluorescent materials are vital in bioimaging, sensing, displays, and lighting, owing to their efficient emission of visible or near-infrared light. Traditional optimization methods, including empirical experiments and quantum chemical computations, suffer from high costs, high labor intensities, and difficulties capturing complex relationships among molecular structures, synthesis parameters, and key photophysical properties. In this review, fundamental principles, key methodologies, and representative applications of machine learning (ML) in predicting fluorescent material performance are systematically summarized. The core ML techniques covered include supervised regression, neural networks, and physics-informed hybrid frameworks. The representative fluorescent materials analyzed encompass aggregation-induced emission (AIE) luminogens, thermally activated delayed fluorescence (TADF) emitters, quantum dots, carbon dots, perovskites, and inorganic phosphors. This review details the modeling approaches and typical workflows—such as data preprocessing, descriptor selection, and model validation—and highlights algorithmic optimization strategies such as data augmentation, physical constraints embedding, and transfer learning. Finally, prevailing challenges, including limited high-quality data availability, weak model interpretability, and insufficient model transferability, are discussed. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Theory and Simulation of Nanostructures)
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37 pages, 523 KB  
Review
Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Approaches for Indoor Air Quality Prediction: A Comprehensive Review of Methods and Applications
by Dominik Latoń, Jakub Grela, Andrzej Ożadowicz and Lukasz Wisniewski
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5194; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195194 - 30 Sep 2025
Viewed by 364
Abstract
Indoor air quality (IAQ) is a critical determinant of health, comfort, and productivity, and is strongly connected to building energy demand due to the role of ventilation and air treatment in HVAC systems. This review examines recent applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and [...] Read more.
Indoor air quality (IAQ) is a critical determinant of health, comfort, and productivity, and is strongly connected to building energy demand due to the role of ventilation and air treatment in HVAC systems. This review examines recent applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) for IAQ prediction across residential, educational, commercial, and public environments. Approaches are categorized by predicted parameters, forecasting horizons, facility types, and model architectures. Particular focus is given to pollutants such as CO2, PM2.5, PM10, VOCs, and formaldehyde. Deep learning methods, especially the LSTM and GRU networks, achieve superior accuracy in short-term forecasting, while hybrid models integrating physical simulations or optimization algorithms enhance robustness and generalizability. Importantly, predictive IAQ frameworks are increasingly applied to support demand-controlled ventilation, adaptive HVAC strategies, and retrofit planning, contributing directly to reduced energy consumption and carbon emissions without compromising indoor environmental quality. Remaining challenges include data heterogeneity, sensor reliability, and limited interpretability of deep models. This review highlights the need for scalable, explainable, and energy-aware IAQ prediction systems that align health-oriented indoor management with energy efficiency and sustainability goals. Such approaches directly contribute to policy priorities, including the EU Green Deal and Fit for 55 package, advancing both occupant well-being and low-carbon smart building operation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Energy Efficiency and Environmental Issues)
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28 pages, 4334 KB  
Article
Analysis of Carbon Emissions and Ecosystem Service Value Caused by Land Use Change, and Its Coupling Characteristics in the Wensu Oasis, Northwest China
by Yiqi Zhao, Songrui Ning, An Yan, Pingan Jiang, Huipeng Ren, Ning Li, Tingting Huo and Jiandong Sheng
Agronomy 2025, 15(10), 2307; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15102307 - 29 Sep 2025
Viewed by 224
Abstract
Oases in arid regions are crucial for sustaining agricultural production and ecological stability, yet few studies have simultaneously examined the coupled dynamics of land use/cover change (LUCC), carbon emissions, and ecosystem service value (ESV) at the oasis–agricultural scale. This gap limits our understanding [...] Read more.
Oases in arid regions are crucial for sustaining agricultural production and ecological stability, yet few studies have simultaneously examined the coupled dynamics of land use/cover change (LUCC), carbon emissions, and ecosystem service value (ESV) at the oasis–agricultural scale. This gap limits our understanding of how different land use trajectories shape trade-offs between carbon processes and ecosystem services in fragile arid ecosystems. This study examines the spatiotemporal interactions between land use carbon emissions and ESV from 1990 to 2020 in the Wensu Oasis, Northwest China, and predicts their future trajectories under four development scenarios. Multi-period remote sensing data, combined with the carbon emission coefficient method, modified equivalent factor method, spatial autocorrelation analysis, the coupling coordination degree model, and the PLUS model, were employed to quantify LUCC patterns, carbon emission intensity, ESV, and its coupling relationships. The results indicated that (1) cultivated land, construction land, and unused land expanded continuously (by 974.56, 66.77, and 1899.36 km2), while grassland, forests, and water bodies declined (by 1363.93, 77.92, and 1498.83 km2), with the most pronounced changes occurring between 2000 and 2010; (2) carbon emission intensity increased steadily—from 23.90 × 104 t in 1990 to 169.17 × 104 t in 2020—primarily driven by construction land expansion—whereas total ESV declined by 46.37%, with water and grassland losses contributing substantially; (3) carbon emission intensity and ESV exhibited a significant negative spatial correlation, and the coupling coordination degree remained low, following a “high in the north, low in the south” distribution; and (4) scenario simulations for 2030–2050 suggested that this negative correlation and low coordination will persist, with only the ecological protection scenario (EPS) showing potential to enhance both carbon sequestration and ESV. Based on spatial clustering patterns and scenario outcomes, we recommend spatially differentiated land use regulation and prioritizing EPS measures, including glacier and wetland conservation, adoption of water-saving irrigation technologies, development of agroforestry systems, and renewable energy utilization on unused land. By explicitly linking LUCC-driven carbon–ESV interactions with scenario-based prediction and evaluation, this study provides new insights into oasis sustainability, offers a scientific basis for balancing agricultural production with ecological protection in the oasis of the arid region, and informs China’s dual-carbon strategy, as well as the Sustainable Development Goals. Full article
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15 pages, 1942 KB  
Article
Predictive URANS/PDF Modeling of Unsteady-State Phenomena in Turbulent Hydrogen–Air Flames
by Mohamed Boukhelef, Mohammed Senouci, Mounir Alliche, Habib Merouane and Abdelhamid Bounif
Fluids 2025, 10(10), 258; https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10100258 - 29 Sep 2025
Viewed by 219
Abstract
The escalating global demand for primary energy—still predominantly met by conventional carbon-based fuels—has led to increased atmospheric pollution. This underscores the urgent need for alternative energy strategies capable of reducing carbon emissions while meeting global energy requirements. Hydrogen, as a clean combustible fuel, [...] Read more.
The escalating global demand for primary energy—still predominantly met by conventional carbon-based fuels—has led to increased atmospheric pollution. This underscores the urgent need for alternative energy strategies capable of reducing carbon emissions while meeting global energy requirements. Hydrogen, as a clean combustible fuel, offers a promising alternative to hydrocarbons, producing neither soot, CO2, nor unburned hydrocarbons. Although nitrogen oxides (NOx) are the primary combustion by-products, their formation can be mitigated by controlling flame temperature. This study investigates the viability of hydrogen as a clean energy vector by simulating an unsteady, turbulent, non-premixed hydrogen jet flame interacting with an air co-flow. The numerical simulations employ the Unsteady Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (URANS) framework for efficient and accurate prediction of transient flow behavior. Turbulence is modeled using the Shear Stress Transport (SST k-ω) model, which enhances accuracy in high Reynolds number reactive flows. The combustion process is described using a presumed Probability Density Function (PDF) model, allowing for a statistical representation of turbulent mixing and chemical reaction. The simulation results are validated by comparison with experimental temperature and mixture fraction data, demonstrating the reliability and predictive capability of the proposed numerical approach. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Turbulence and Combustion)
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30 pages, 2477 KB  
Article
Multi-Province Collaborative Carbon Emission Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Based on the Spatio-Temporal Attention Mechanism—Empowering the Green and Low-Carbon Transition of the Transportation Sector Through Technological Innovation
by Shukai Li, Jifeng Chen, Wei Dai, Fangyuan Li, Yuting Gong, Hongmei Gong and Ziyi Zhu
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8711; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198711 - 28 Sep 2025
Viewed by 302
Abstract
As one of the primary contributors to carbon emissions in China, the transportation sector plays a pivotal role in achieving green and low-carbon development. Considering the spatio-temporal dependency characteristics of transportation carbon emissions driven by economic interactions and population mobility among provinces, this [...] Read more.
As one of the primary contributors to carbon emissions in China, the transportation sector plays a pivotal role in achieving green and low-carbon development. Considering the spatio-temporal dependency characteristics of transportation carbon emissions driven by economic interactions and population mobility among provinces, this study proposes a predictive framework for transportation carbon emissions based on a spatio-temporal attention mechanism from the perspective of multi-province spatio-temporal synergy. First, the study conducts transportation carbon emission accounting by considering both transportation fuel consumption and electricity usage, followed by feature selection using an enhanced STIRPAT model. Second, it integrates the spatio-temporal attention mechanism with graph convolutional neural networks to construct a multi-province transportation carbon emission collaborative prediction model. Comparative experiments highlight the superior performance of deep learning methods and spatio-temporal correlation modeling in multi-province transportation carbon emission collaborative prediction. Finally, three future development scenarios are designed to analyze the evolution paths of transportation carbon emissions. The results indicate that technological innovation can significantly improve the efficiency of transportation emission reduction. Moreover, given that the eastern region and the central and western regions are at distinct stages of development, it is essential to develop differentiated emission reduction strategies tailored to local conditions to facilitate a green and low-carbon transformation in the transportation sector. Full article
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31 pages, 6023 KB  
Article
A Multimodal Ensemble Deep Learning Model for Wildfire Prediction in Greece Using Satellite Imagery and Multi-Source Remote Sensing Data
by Ioannis Papakis, Vasileios Linardos and Maria Drakaki
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(19), 3310; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17193310 - 26 Sep 2025
Viewed by 441
Abstract
Wildfire events pose significant threats to global ecosystems, with Greece experiencing substantial economic losses exceeding EUR 1.7 billion in 2023 alone, generating immediate financial burdens while contributing to atmospheric carbon dioxide emissions and accelerating climate change effects. This study presents a group of [...] Read more.
Wildfire events pose significant threats to global ecosystems, with Greece experiencing substantial economic losses exceeding EUR 1.7 billion in 2023 alone, generating immediate financial burdens while contributing to atmospheric carbon dioxide emissions and accelerating climate change effects. This study presents a group of classification models for Greece wildfires utilizing historical datasets spanning 2017 to 2021, incorporating satellite-derived remote sensing data, topographical characteristics, and meteorological observations through a multimodal methodology that integrates satellite imagery processing with traditional numerical data analysis techniques. The framework encompasses multiple deep learning architectures, specifically implementing four standalone models comprising two convolutional neural networks optimized for spatial image processing and long short-term memory networks designed for temporal pattern recognition, extending classification approaches by incorporating visual satellite data alongside established numerical datasets to enable the system to leverage both spatial visual patterns and temporal numerical trends. The implementation employs an ensemble methodology that combines individual model classifications through systematic voting mechanisms, harnessing the complementary strengths of each architectural approach to deliver enhanced predictive capabilities and demonstrate the substantial benefits achieved through multimodal data integration for comprehensive wildfire risk assessment applications. Full article
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16 pages, 2026 KB  
Article
Carbon Emission Prediction and the Reduction Pathway in Huairou District (China): A Scenario Analysis Based on the LEAP Model
by Xuezhi Liu, Tingting Qiu, Yi Xie and Qiuyue Yin
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8660; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198660 - 26 Sep 2025
Viewed by 192
Abstract
With increasingly severe global climate change, reducing carbon emissions has become an important way to promote sustainable development. However, few scholars have researched carbon emissions and carbon reduction in the Huairou district, Beijing, China. Based on the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) [...] Read more.
With increasingly severe global climate change, reducing carbon emissions has become an important way to promote sustainable development. However, few scholars have researched carbon emissions and carbon reduction in the Huairou district, Beijing, China. Based on the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) model, this study sets four scenarios, including a baseline scenario (BAS), an industrial structure upgrading scenario (Indus), a technological progress scenario (Tech), and a comprehensive transformation scenario (COM), to simulate the long-term annual carbon emissions of Huairou district from 2021 to 2060. The results indicate that all four scenarios could realize the target of carbon peaking by 2030. Among them, the peak carbon emissions under the Indus scenario are the highest (2608.26 kilotons), while the peak under the COM scenario is the lowest (2126.58 kilotons). Moreover, by distinguishing the carbon emissions of sectors, it can be found that the commercial sector is the largest source of carbon emissions. The proportion of carbon emissions from the industrial sector will decline, while that from the urban household sector will increase. Furthermore, the analysis of the carbon emission reduction potential of sectors reveals that the commercial and industrial sectors have the greatest potential for carbon emission reduction in the medium term. However, the focus of carbon emission reduction needs to shift towards the commercial and urban household sectors in the long term. This study could provide references for formulating carbon emission reduction pathways and realizing sustainable development. Full article
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23 pages, 592 KB  
Article
Economic and Environmental Analysis of Aluminium Recycling from Retired Commercial Aircraft
by Holly Page, Christian A. Griffiths and Andrew J. Thomas
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8556; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198556 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 308
Abstract
Aviation’s sustainability discourse often centres on flight emissions, but production and end-of-life phases also carry material, energy, and pollution impacts that are large enough to merit systematic intervention. With ~13,000 aircraft projected to retire over the next two decades—roughly 44% of the global [...] Read more.
Aviation’s sustainability discourse often centres on flight emissions, but production and end-of-life phases also carry material, energy, and pollution impacts that are large enough to merit systematic intervention. With ~13,000 aircraft projected to retire over the next two decades—roughly 44% of the global fleet—the sector must scale responsible dismantling and material recovery to avoid lost opportunities for meeting future sustainability goals and to harness economic value from secondary parts and recycled feedstocks. Embedding major sustainability and circular economy principles into aircraft design, operations, and retirement can reduce waste, conserve critical materials, and lower lifecycle emissions while contributing directly to multiple SDGs. Furthermore, when considering particular aircraft types, thousands of narrow-body aircraft such as the Airbus A320 and Boeing 737 are due to reach their end of life over the next two decades. This research evaluates the economic and environmental feasibility of aluminium recycling from these aircraft, integrating material flow analysis, cost–benefit modelling, and a lifecycle emissions assessment. An economic assessment framework is developed and applied, with the results showing that approximately 24.7 tonnes of aluminium can be recovered per aircraft, leading to emissions savings of over 338,000 kg of CO2e, a 95% reduction compared to primary aluminium production. However, scrap value alone cannot offset dismantling costs; the break-even scrap price is over USD 4200 per tonne. When additional revenue streams such as component resale and carbon credit incentives are incorporated, the model predicts a net profit of over USD 59,000 per aircraft. The scenario analysis confirms that aluminium recycling only becomes financially viable through multi-stream revenue models, supported by Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) and carbon pricing. While barriers remain, aluminium recovery is a strategic opportunity to align aviation with circular economy and decarbonisation goals. Full article
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21 pages, 1833 KB  
Review
A Review of Green Hydrogen Technologies and Their Role in Enabling Sustainable Energy Access in Remote and Off-Grid Areas Within Sub-Saharan Africa
by Nkanyiso Msweli, Gideon Ude Nnachi and Coneth Graham Richards
Energies 2025, 18(18), 5035; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18185035 - 22 Sep 2025
Viewed by 617
Abstract
Electricity access deficits remain acute in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where more than 600 million people lack reliable supply. Green hydrogen, produced through renewable-powered electrolysis, is increasingly recognized as a transformative energy carrier for decentralized systems due to its capacity for long-duration storage, sector [...] Read more.
Electricity access deficits remain acute in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where more than 600 million people lack reliable supply. Green hydrogen, produced through renewable-powered electrolysis, is increasingly recognized as a transformative energy carrier for decentralized systems due to its capacity for long-duration storage, sector coupling, and near-zero carbon emissions. This review adheres strictly to the PRISMA 2020 methodology, examining 190 records and synthesizing 80 peer-reviewed articles and industry reports released from 2010 to 2025. The review covers hydrogen production processes, hybrid renewable integration, techno-economic analysis, environmental compromises, global feasibility, and enabling policy incentives. The findings show that Alkaline (AEL) and PEM electrolyzers are immediately suitable for off-grid scenarios, whereas Solid Oxide (SOEC) and Anion Exchange Membrane (AEM) electrolyzers present high potential for future deployment. For Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the levelized costs of hydrogen (LCOH) are in the range of EUR5.0–7.7/kg. Nonetheless, estimates from the learning curve indicate that these costs could fall to between EUR1.0 and EUR1.5 per kg by 2050, assuming there is (i) continued public support for the technology innovation, (ii) appropriate, flexible, and predictable regulation, (iii) increased demand for hydrogen, and (iv) a stable and long-term policy framework. Environmental life-cycle assessments indicate that emissions are nearly zero, but they also highlight serious concerns regarding freshwater usage, land occupation, and dependence on platinum group metals. Namibia, South Africa, and Kenya exhibit considerable promise in the early stages of development, while Niger demonstrates the feasibility of deploying modular, community-scale systems in challenging conditions. The study concludes that green hydrogen cannot be treated as an integrated solution but needs to be regarded as part of blended off-grid systems. To improve its role, targeted material innovation, blended finance, and policies bridging export-oriented applications to community-scale access must be established. It will then be feasible to ensure that hydrogen contributes meaningfully to the attainment of Sustainable Development Goal 7 in SSA. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A: Sustainable Energy)
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29 pages, 2906 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network-Based Long Short-Term Memory Model with A* Search Path Navigation and Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Carbon Monoxide Prediction in Northern Cape Province, South Africa
by Israel Edem Agbehadji and Ibidun Christiana Obagbuwa
Atmosphere 2025, 16(9), 1107; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16091107 - 21 Sep 2025
Viewed by 395
Abstract
Background: The emission of air pollutants into the atmosphere is a global issue as it contributes to global warming and climate-related issues. Human activities like the burning of fossil fuel influence changes in weather patterns—resulting in issues such as a rise in sea [...] Read more.
Background: The emission of air pollutants into the atmosphere is a global issue as it contributes to global warming and climate-related issues. Human activities like the burning of fossil fuel influence changes in weather patterns—resulting in issues such as a rise in sea levels, among other things. Identifying road network routes within Northern Cape Province in South Africa that are less exposed to air pollutants like carbon monoxide is the issue this study seeks to address. Methods: The method used for our predictions is based on a graph convolutional network (GCN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). The GCN extracts geospatial characteristics, and the LSTM captures both nonlinear relationships and temporal dependencies in an air pollutant and meteorological dataset. Furthermore, an A* search strategy identifies the path from one location to another with the lowest carbon monoxide concentrations within a road network. The explainable artificial intelligence (xAI) technique is used to describe the nonlinear relationship between the target variable and features. Meteorological and air pollutant data in the form of statistical mean, minimum, and maximum values were leveraged, and a random sampling technique was utilized to fill the data gap to help train the predictive model (GCN-LSTM-A*). Results: The predictive model was evaluated with mean squared error (MSE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) values within two multi-time steps (8 and 16 h) with MSEs of 0.1648 and 0.1701, respectively. The LIME technique, which provides explanations of features, shows that Wind_speed and NO2 and NOx concentrations decreased the predicted CO, whereas PM2.5, PM10, relative humidity, and O3 increased the predicted CO of the route. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
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