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Keywords = bus accident

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24 pages, 650 KiB  
Article
Investigating Users’ Acceptance of Autonomous Buses by Examining Their Willingness to Use and Willingness to Pay: The Case of the City of Trikala, Greece
by Spyros Niavis, Nikolaos Gavanas, Konstantina Anastasiadou and Paschalis Arvanitidis
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 298; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080298 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 318
Abstract
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have emerged as a promising sustainable urban mobility solution, expected to lead to enhanced road safety, smoother traffic flows, less traffic congestion, improved accessibility, better energy utilization and environmental performance, as well as more efficient passenger and freight transportation, in [...] Read more.
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have emerged as a promising sustainable urban mobility solution, expected to lead to enhanced road safety, smoother traffic flows, less traffic congestion, improved accessibility, better energy utilization and environmental performance, as well as more efficient passenger and freight transportation, in terms of time and cost, due to better fleet management and platooning. However, challenges also arise, mostly related to data privacy, security and cyber-security, high acquisition and infrastructure costs, accident liability, even possible increased traffic congestion and air pollution due to induced travel demand. This paper presents the results of a survey conducted among 654 residents who experienced an autonomous bus (AB) service in the city of Trikala, Greece, in order to assess their willingness to use (WTU) and willingness to pay (WTP) for ABs, through testing a range of factors based on a literature review. Results useful to policy-makers were extracted, such as that the intention to use ABs was mostly shaped by psychological factors (e.g., users’ perceptions of usefulness and safety, and trust in the service provider), while WTU seemed to be positively affected by previous experience in using ABs. In contrast, sociodemographic factors were found to have very little effect on the intention to use ABs, while apart from personal utility, users’ perceptions of how autonomous driving will improve the overall life standards in the study area also mattered. Full article
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29 pages, 6947 KiB  
Article
Design of a Comprehensive Intelligent Traffic Network Model for Baltimore with Consideration of Multiple Factors
by Dongxun Jiang and Zhaocheng Li
Electronics 2025, 14(11), 2222; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14112222 - 29 May 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 388
Abstract
The collapse of Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge in March 2024 has stressed the need for urban traffic network optimization within smart city initiatives. This paper utilizes the ARIMA model to forecast what traffic would have been like if the bridge had not [...] Read more.
The collapse of Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge in March 2024 has stressed the need for urban traffic network optimization within smart city initiatives. This paper utilizes the ARIMA model to forecast what traffic would have been like if the bridge had not collapsed, giving us a benchmark to assess the impact. It then identifies the roads most affected by comparing these forecasts with the actual post-collapse traffic data. To address the increased demand for efficient public transport, we propose an intelligent bus network model. This model uses principal component analysis and grid segmentation to inform decisions on increasing bus stations and adjusting bus frequencies on key routes. It aims to satisfy stakeholders by enhancing service coverage and reliability. The research also presents a comprehensive traffic model that leverages principal component analysis, genetic algorithms, and KD-tree to evaluate overall and directional traffic flow, providing strategic insights into congestion mitigation. Furthermore, it examines traffic safety issues, including accident-prone areas and traffic signal intersections, to offer recommendations. Finally, the study evaluates the effectiveness, stability, and benefits of the proposed intelligent traffic network model, aiming to improve the city’s traffic infrastructure and safety. Full article
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11 pages, 3848 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
Human Factors in Bus Accidents: A Bibliometric Analysis
by Eva Nursifa Fauziah Suwandi, Bambang Suhardi and Etika Muslimah
Eng. Proc. 2025, 84(1), 88; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025084088 - 21 Apr 2025
Viewed by 389
Abstract
This study examines human factors in bus accidents using bibliometric analysis to identify publications, research trends, and collaborative relationships between authors and institutions. Data from 1.834 publications in the Scopus database during the period 2014–2024 were analyzed using VOS viewer software to display [...] Read more.
This study examines human factors in bus accidents using bibliometric analysis to identify publications, research trends, and collaborative relationships between authors and institutions. Data from 1.834 publications in the Scopus database during the period 2014–2024 were analyzed using VOS viewer software to display network visualization and density. The results show a significant increase in publications since 2018, with a peak in 2022. Research related to human factors in bus accidents is growing, with a focus on fatigue, distraction, and driver behavior. The keyword and density analysis identified that “Human” was the most frequently discussed topic. China is the country with the highest contribution, and the medical field plays a major role in this topic. These findings highlight the importance of understanding human factors in efforts to improve transportation safety. Full article
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17 pages, 7042 KiB  
Article
Overvoltage Simulation Analysis and Suppression of Breaking in a 35 kV Shunt Reactor
by Jing Chen, Xiaoyue Chen, Siying Feng, Xinmeng Liu and Qin Liu
Energies 2025, 18(5), 1274; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18051274 - 5 Mar 2025
Viewed by 715
Abstract
When a 35 kV distribution network has the problem of insufficient reactive power, the input of a shunt reactor is a common compensation method. Vacuum circuit breakers are widely used in 35 kV distribution networks because of their superior arc extinguishing performance and [...] Read more.
When a 35 kV distribution network has the problem of insufficient reactive power, the input of a shunt reactor is a common compensation method. Vacuum circuit breakers are widely used in 35 kV distribution networks because of their superior arc extinguishing performance and convenient maintenance. However, in recent years, accidents involving vacuum circuit breakers breaking shunt reactors have occurred more frequently in China, such as high-frequency phase-to-phase short circuits, inter-turn burning losses, bus outlet short circuits, etc., which can cause serious damage and pose a greater threat to the safety of the power system. This paper focuses on the switching overvoltage generated by the vacuum circuit breaker cutting off the shunt reactor. Firstly, the mechanism of overvoltage generation is analyzed theoretically. It is concluded that the equivalent chopping current of the other two phases caused by the continuous reignition of the first open phase is the root cause of the high-amplitude interphase overvoltage. Based on the MODELS custom programming module in EMTP/ATP, according to the process of breaking and reigniting the circuit breaker, this paper uses Fortran language to compile the program and establishes a model of a vacuum circuit breaker, including power frequency current interception, high-frequency current, zero-crossing, breaking, and arc reignition modules. The vacuum circuit breaker is simulated for hundreds of continuous reignitions in milliseconds. Finally, a simulation study on the overvoltage suppression measures of a 35 kV shunt reactor is carried out. The comprehensive comparison of various suppression measures provides a reference for the reasonable selection of actual engineering conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F3: Power Electronics)
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19 pages, 20282 KiB  
Article
Design of a System for Driver Drowsiness Detection and Seat Belt Monitoring Using Raspberry Pi 4 and Arduino Nano
by Anthony Alvarez Oviedo, Jhojan Felipe Mamani Villanueva, German Alberto Echaiz Espinoza, Juan Moises Mauricio Villanueva, Andrés Ortiz Salazar and Elmer Rolando Llanos Villarreal
Designs 2025, 9(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/designs9010011 - 13 Jan 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2449
Abstract
This research explores the design of a system for monitoring driver drowsiness and supervising seat belt usage in interprovincial buses. In Peru, road accidents involving long-distance bus transportation amounted to 5449 in 2022, and the human factor plays a significant role. It is [...] Read more.
This research explores the design of a system for monitoring driver drowsiness and supervising seat belt usage in interprovincial buses. In Peru, road accidents involving long-distance bus transportation amounted to 5449 in 2022, and the human factor plays a significant role. It is essential to understand how the use of non-invasive sensors for monitoring and supervising passengers and drivers can enhance safety in interprovincial transportation. The objective of this research is to develop a system using a Raspberry Pi 4 and Arduino Nano that allows for the storage of monitoring data. To achieve this, a conventional camera and MediaPipe were used for driver drowsiness detection, while passenger supervision was carried out using a combination of commercially available sensors as well as custom-built sensors. RS485 communication was utilized to store data related to both the driver and passengers. The simulations conducted demonstrate a high level of reliability in detecting driver drowsiness under specific conditions and the correct operation of the sensors for passenger supervision. Therefore, the proposed system is feasible and can be implemented for real-world testing. The implications of this research suggest that the system’s cost is not a barrier to its implementation, thus contributing to improved safety in interprovincial transportation. Full article
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18 pages, 16918 KiB  
Article
Advancing Road Safety: A Comprehensive Evaluation of Object Detection Models for Commercial Driver Monitoring Systems
by Huma Zia, Imtiaz ul Hassan, Muhammad Khurram, Nicholas Harris, Fatima Shah and Nimra Imran
Future Transp. 2025, 5(1), 2; https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp5010002 - 1 Jan 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1846
Abstract
This paper addresses the critical issue of road safety in the indispensable role of transportation for societal well-being and economic growth. Despite global initiatives like Vision Zero, traffic accidents persist, largely influenced by driver behavior. Advanced driver monitoring systems (ADMSs) utilizing computer vision [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the critical issue of road safety in the indispensable role of transportation for societal well-being and economic growth. Despite global initiatives like Vision Zero, traffic accidents persist, largely influenced by driver behavior. Advanced driver monitoring systems (ADMSs) utilizing computer vision have emerged to mitigate this issue, but existing systems are often costly and inaccessible, particularly for bus companies. This study introduces a lightweight, deep-learning-based ADMS tailored for real-time driver behavior monitoring, addressing practical barriers to enhance safety measures. A meticulously curated dataset, encompassing diverse demographics and lighting conditions, captures 4966 images depicting five key driver behaviors: eye closure, yawning, smoking, mobile phone usage, and seatbelt compliance. Three object detection models—Faster R-CNN, RetinaNet, and YOLOv5—were evaluated using critical performance metrics. YOLOv5 demonstrated exceptional efficiency, achieving an FPS of 125, a compact model size of 42 MB, and an mAP@IoU 50% of 93.6%. Its performance highlights a favorable trade-off between speed, model size, and prediction accuracy, making it ideal for real-time applications. Faster R-CNN achieved an FPS of 8.56, a model size of 835 MB, and an mAP@IoU 50% of 89.93%, while RetinaNet recorded an FPS of 16.24, a model size of 442 MB, and an mAP@IoU 50% of 87.63%. The practical deployment of the ADMS on a mini CPU demonstrated cost-effectiveness and high performance, enhancing accessibility in real-world settings. By elucidating the strengths and limitations of different object detection models, this research contributes to advancing road safety through affordable, efficient, and reliable technology solutions. Full article
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35 pages, 5660 KiB  
Article
“Warning!” Benefits and Pitfalls of Anthropomorphising Autonomous Vehicle Informational Assistants in the Case of an Accident
by Christopher D. Wallbridge, Qiyuan Zhang, Victoria Marcinkiewicz, Louise Bowen, Theodor Kozlowski, Dylan M. Jones and Phillip L. Morgan
Multimodal Technol. Interact. 2024, 8(12), 110; https://doi.org/10.3390/mti8120110 - 5 Dec 2024
Viewed by 1569
Abstract
Despite the increasing sophistication of autonomous vehicles (AVs) and promises of increased safety, accidents will occur. These will corrode public trust and negatively impact user acceptance, adoption and continued use. It is imperative to explore methods that can potentially reduce this impact. The [...] Read more.
Despite the increasing sophistication of autonomous vehicles (AVs) and promises of increased safety, accidents will occur. These will corrode public trust and negatively impact user acceptance, adoption and continued use. It is imperative to explore methods that can potentially reduce this impact. The aim of the current paper is to investigate the efficacy of informational assistants (IAs) varying by anthropomorphism (humanoid robot vs. no robot) and dialogue style (conversational vs. informational) on trust in and blame on a highly autonomous vehicle in the event of an accident. The accident scenario involved a pedestrian violating the Highway Code by stepping out in front of a parked bus and the AV not being able to stop in time during an overtake manoeuvre. The humanoid (Nao) robot IA did not improve trust (across three measures) or reduce blame on the AV in Experiment 1, although communicated intentions and actions were perceived by some as being assertive and risky. Reducing assertiveness in Experiment 2 resulted in higher trust (on one measure) in the robot condition, especially with the conversational dialogue style. However, there were again no effects on blame. In Experiment 3, participants had multiple experiences of the AV negotiating parked buses without negative outcomes. Trust significantly increased across each event, although it plummeted following the accident with no differences due to anthropomorphism or dialogue style. The perceived capabilities of the AV and IA before the critical accident event may have had a counterintuitive effect. Overall, evidence was found for a few benefits and many pitfalls of anthropomorphising an AV with a humanoid robot IA in the event of an accident situation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cooperative Intelligence in Automated Driving-2nd Edition)
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28 pages, 11658 KiB  
Article
A Novel Battery Temperature-Locking Method Based on Self-Heating Implemented with an Original Driving Circuit While Electric Vehicle Driving: A Numerical Investigation
by Wei Li, Shusheng Xiong and Wei Shi
World Electr. Veh. J. 2024, 15(9), 408; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj15090408 - 6 Sep 2024
Viewed by 1284
Abstract
In extremely cold environments, when battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are navigating urban roads at low speeds, the limited heating capacity of the on-board heat pump system and positive temperature coefficient (PTC) device can lead to an inevitable decline in battery temperature, potentially falling [...] Read more.
In extremely cold environments, when battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are navigating urban roads at low speeds, the limited heating capacity of the on-board heat pump system and positive temperature coefficient (PTC) device can lead to an inevitable decline in battery temperature, potentially falling below its permissible operating range. This situation can subsequently result in vehicle malfunctions and, in severe cases, traffic accidents. Henceforth, a novel battery self-heating method during driving is proposed to maintain battery temperature. This approach is ingeniously embedded within the heating mechanism within the motor driving system without any necessity to alter or modify the existing driving circuitry. In the meantime, the battery voltage can be regulated to prevent it from surpassing the limit, thereby ensuring the battery’s safety. This method introduces the dead zone into the space vector pulse width modulation (SVPWM) algorithm to form the newly proposed dSVPWM algorithm, which successfully changes the direction of the bus current in a PWM period and forms AC, and the amplitude of the battery alternating current (AC) can also be controlled by adjusting the heating intensity defined by the ratio of the dead zone and the compensation vector to the original zero vector. Through the Simulink model of the motor driving system, the temperature hysteresis locking strategy, grounded in the field-oriented control (FOC) method and employing the dSVPWM algorithm, has been confirmed to provide controllable and sufficiently stable motor speed regulation. During the low-speed phase of the China Light Vehicle Test Cycle (CLTC), the battery temperature fluctuation is meticulously maintained within a range of ±0.2 °C. The battery’s minimum temperature has been successfully locked at around −10 °C. In contrast, the battery temperature would decrease by a significant 1.44 °C per minute without the implementation of the temperature-locking strategy. The voltage of the battery pack is always regulated within the range of 255~378 V. It remains within the specified upper and lower thresholds. The battery voltage overrun can be effectively avoided. Full article
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29 pages, 2505 KiB  
Article
A Comprehensive Research Agenda for Integrating Ecological Principles into the Transportation Sector
by Maria Vittoria Corazza
Sustainability 2024, 16(16), 7081; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16167081 - 18 Aug 2024
Cited by 8 | Viewed by 1961
Abstract
The paper examines the integration of novel Transportation Ecology principles into transit operations, aiming to address the environmental impacts associated with surface services in urban areas and with the purpose of creating a comprehensive agenda for integrating ecological principles into transit planning and [...] Read more.
The paper examines the integration of novel Transportation Ecology principles into transit operations, aiming to address the environmental impacts associated with surface services in urban areas and with the purpose of creating a comprehensive agenda for integrating ecological principles into transit planning and management. The research problem is to quantify the tangible benefits for transit operators, particularly in the context of mitigating wildlife-vehicle collisions and improving overall operational efficiency as a motivator for transit managers to adopt Transportation Ecology principles. The study design, after analyzing the regulatory requirements, implements scenario-based methodology, utilizing data from an average Italian bus fleet to estimate potential monetary savings and benefits. Key parameters, such as maintenance costs, insurance premiums, and collision-related expenses, are analyzed to provide a realistic assessment of the economic advantages of implementing Transportation Ecology measures. The findings reveal that significant cost reductions can be achieved by minimizing accidents involving wildlife, alongside other operational improvements. The scenario demonstrates that even a small fleet, when adopting these principles, can yield substantial financial benefits, thereby making a compelling case for broader implementation. The paper concludes that while the qualitative nature of the analysis necessitates conservative estimates, the results underscore the value of incorporating ecological considerations into transit planning and management. These insights are vital for transit operators and policymakers seeking to balance environmental sustainability with operational profitability and protect urban ecosystems. This also implies the need for a more holistic and interdisciplinary approach to transportation planning and management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Transportation and Infrastructure for Sustainability)
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14 pages, 7666 KiB  
Article
Validation of Frontal Crashworthiness Simulation for Low-Entry Type Bus Body According to UNECE R29 Requirements
by Kostyantyn Holenko, Oleksandr Dykha, Eugeniusz Koda, Ivan Kernytskyy, Yuriy Royko, Orest Horbay, Oksana Berezovetska, Vasyl Rys, Ruslan Humenuyk, Serhii Berezovetskyi, Mariusz Żółtowski, Anna Markiewicz and Tomasz Wierzbicki
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(13), 5595; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14135595 - 27 Jun 2024
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2024
Abstract
Frontal crash tests are an essential element in assessing vehicle safety. They simulate a collision that occurs when the front of the bus hits another vehicle or an obstacle. In recent years, much attention has been paid to the frontal crash testing of [...] Read more.
Frontal crash tests are an essential element in assessing vehicle safety. They simulate a collision that occurs when the front of the bus hits another vehicle or an obstacle. In recent years, much attention has been paid to the frontal crash testing of city buses, especially after a series of accidents resulting in deaths and injuries. Unlike car manufacturers, most bus bodybuilders do not include deformation zones in their designs. The next two regulations are widely used to assess whether a structure can withstand impact loading: UNECE Regulation No. 29—United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE R29) and the New Car Assessment Program (NCAP), which is more typical of car crash tests. The main goal of the research is to develop an applicable methodology for a frontal impact simulation on a city bus, considering UNECE R29 requirements for the passenger’s safety and distinctive features of the low-entry body layout. Among the contributions to current knowledge are such research results as: unlike suburban and intercity buses, city buses are characterized by lower stiffness in the event of a frontal collision, and therefore, when developing new models, it is necessary to lay deformation zones (currently absent from most city buses). Maximum deformation values in the bus front part are reached earlier for R29 (137 ms) than for most impacts tested by NCAP (170–230 ms) but have higher values: 577 mm vs. 150–250 mm for the sills tested. Such a short shock absorption time and high deformations indicate a significantly lighter front part of a low-entry and low-floor bus compared with classic layouts. Furthermore, it is unjustified to use the R29 boundary conditions of trucks to attach the bus with chains behind its frontal axe both in natural tests and appropriate finite element simulation—the scheme of fixing the city bus should be accordingly adapted and normatively revised. Full article
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34 pages, 7210 KiB  
Article
Accident Probability Prediction and Analysis of Bus Drivers Based on Occupational Characteristics
by Tongqiang Ding, Lei Yuan, Zhiqiang Li, Jianfeng Xi and Kexin Zhang
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(1), 279; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14010279 - 28 Dec 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3233
Abstract
A city bus carries a large number of passengers, and any traffic accidents can lead to severe casualties and property losses. Hence, predicting the likelihood of accidents among bus drivers is paramount. This paper considered occupational driving characteristics such as cumulative driving duration, [...] Read more.
A city bus carries a large number of passengers, and any traffic accidents can lead to severe casualties and property losses. Hence, predicting the likelihood of accidents among bus drivers is paramount. This paper considered occupational driving characteristics such as cumulative driving duration, station entry and exit features, and peak driving times, and categorical boosting (CatBoost) was used to construct an accident probability prediction model. Its effectiveness was confirmed by the daily management data of a Chongqing bus company in June. For data processing, Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations for Random Forests (MICEForest) was used for data filling. In terms of prediction, a comparative analysis of four boosted trees revealed that CatBoost exhibited superior performance. To analyze the critical factors affecting the probability of bus driver accidents, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was applied to visualize and interpret the results. In addition to the significant effects of age, rainfall, and azimuthal change, etc., we innovatively discovered that the proportion of driving duration during peak duration, the dispersion when entering and exiting stations, the proportion of driving duration within a week, and the accumulated driving duration of the previous week also had varying degrees of impact on accident probability. Our research and findings provide a new idea of accident prediction for professional drivers and direct theoretical support for the accident risk management of bus drivers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ergonomics and Human Factors in Transportation Systems)
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22 pages, 8659 KiB  
Article
Optimizing the Location of Frequency Regulation Energy Storage Systems for Improved Frequency Stability
by Jonghoon Lee, Sangwook Han and Dongho Lee
Batteries 2023, 9(12), 592; https://doi.org/10.3390/batteries9120592 - 14 Dec 2023
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 3093
Abstract
The installation of battery energy storage systems (BESSs) with various shapes and capacities is increasing due to the continuously rising demand for renewable energy. To prepare for potential accidents, a study was conducted to select the optimal location for installing an input BESS [...] Read more.
The installation of battery energy storage systems (BESSs) with various shapes and capacities is increasing due to the continuously rising demand for renewable energy. To prepare for potential accidents, a study was conducted to select the optimal location for installing an input BESS in terms of frequency stability when the index assumes the backup input of the BESS. This study builds on the premise that installing a BESS on a bus in an area where active power absorption and transmission are the most active can significantly contribute to increasing the frequency recovery of the power system. Based on this premise, the magnitude of the active power flow and the proportional characteristics of the phase difference between buses were mathematically confirmed. This study also calculated the effective power sensitivity index of a bus with 13 FR-ESSs installed in a domestic system and reviewed the frequency output by establishing a table for each failure scenario. The results indicated that the effect of frequency rise can be estimated at the level of tidal current calculation. Thus, the study suggested a direction for subsequent studies to improve the sensitivity index. Full article
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14 pages, 8715 KiB  
Review
Retrofitting of Bridge Slabs for Safety Railing Refurbishment in Italy: A State-of-the-Art Review
by Giuseppe Santarsiero
Appl. Sci. 2023, 13(21), 12051; https://doi.org/10.3390/app132112051 - 5 Nov 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2213
Abstract
The recent accident of Mestre (northern Italy), which caused 21 fatalities due to a bus falling from a bridge, strongly highlighted the safety problem related to the presence of old railings along Italian roads. Bridge railings, also known as guardrails or parapets, serve [...] Read more.
The recent accident of Mestre (northern Italy), which caused 21 fatalities due to a bus falling from a bridge, strongly highlighted the safety problem related to the presence of old railings along Italian roads. Bridge railings, also known as guardrails or parapets, serve the crucial function of preventing vehicles from accidentally driving off the edge of a bridge. Performance requirements of safety railings have been recently increased due to laws and technical standards enforced in Italy and Europe. However, many bridges along important roads, such as motorways and highways, are currently equipped with outdated safety railings since they were built before these regulations came into force. Therefore, many people are daily exposed to the risk of heavy accidents due to railing failures as well as vehicles and people eventually present below such structures. This paper aims to outline the technical problems and solutions in bridge refurbishment interventions devoted to increasing traffic safety as, for example, the installation of code-conforming railings, which often require the structural retrofit of bridge elements supporting the railing. To this end, several technical solutions are described and critically compared, and, finally, an economic analysis is reported to highlight the slab retrofit influence on the total intervention cost. Full article
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17 pages, 2716 KiB  
Article
Towards a Sustainable and Safe Future: Mapping Bike Accidents in Urbanized Context
by Ahmed Jaber and Bálint Csonka
Safety 2023, 9(3), 60; https://doi.org/10.3390/safety9030060 - 1 Sep 2023
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2673
Abstract
This manuscript presents a study on the spatial relationships between bike accidents, the built environment, land use, and transportation network characteristics in Budapest, Hungary using geographic weighted regression (GWR). The sample period includes bike crash data between 2017 and 2022. The findings provide [...] Read more.
This manuscript presents a study on the spatial relationships between bike accidents, the built environment, land use, and transportation network characteristics in Budapest, Hungary using geographic weighted regression (GWR). The sample period includes bike crash data between 2017 and 2022. The findings provide insights into the spatial distribution of bike crashes and their severity, which can be useful for designing targeted interventions to improve bike safety in Budapest and be useful for policymakers and city planners in developing effective strategies to reduce the severity of bike crashes in urban areas. The study reveals that built environment features, such as traffic signals, road crossings, and bus stops, are positively correlated with the bike crash index, particularly in the inner areas of the city. However, traffic signals have a negative correlation with the bike crash index in the suburbs, where they may contribute to making roads safer for cyclists. The study also shows that commercial activity and PT stops have a higher impact on bike crashes in the northern and western districts. GWR analysis further suggests that one-way roads and higher speed limits are associated with more severe bike crashes, while green and recreational areas are generally safer for cyclists. Future research should be focused on the traffic volume and bike trips’ effects on the severity index. Full article
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15 pages, 12694 KiB  
Article
Severity Predictions for Intercity Bus Crashes on Highway Using a Random Parameter Ordered Probit Model
by Kanghyun Kim and Jungyeol Hong
Sustainability 2023, 15(17), 13131; https://doi.org/10.3390/su151713131 - 31 Aug 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1942
Abstract
As intercity buses are a mode that moves large-scale occupancy between regions, it accounts for the mode share-means for mid- to long-distance movement in South Korea. However, the study of intercity bus safety needs to be more extensive, and safety policies are carried [...] Read more.
As intercity buses are a mode that moves large-scale occupancy between regions, it accounts for the mode share-means for mid- to long-distance movement in South Korea. However, the study of intercity bus safety needs to be more extensive, and safety policies are carried out based on traditional probability models without considering the data characteristics of bus accidents. Therefore, in this study, the Random Parameter Ordered Logit model was applied to derive fixed parameter factors that have the same effect on the severity of intercity bus accidents and Random Parameters that consider the heterogeneity of unique attributes by accident. It also analyzed the marginal effect of intercity bus accident severity. As a result of this study, the influencing factors that reflect heterogeneity with random parameters were driver’s condition: drowsiness, vehicle size: medium, crash type: vehicle–pedestrian accident, road condition: wet pavement, and log form of AADT. The random parameter ordered logit model was traditionally found to be more suitable than the ordinal logit model, which only reflects fixed factors and more reliable predictions considering the heterogeneity of accident characteristics for each observation. Full article
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