Search Results (26)

Baroclinic wave resonance, particularly Rossby waves, has attracted great interest in ocean and atmospheric physics since the 1970s. Research on Rossby wave resonance covers a wide variety of phenomena that can be unified when focusing on quasi-stationary Rossby waves traveling at the interface of two stratified fluids. This assumes a clear differentiation of the pycnocline, where the density varies strongly vertically. In the atmosphere, such stationary Rossby waves are observable at the tropopause, at the interface between the polar jet and the ascending air column at the meeting of the polar and Ferrel cell circulation, or between the subtropical jet and the descending air column at the meeting of the Ferrel and Hadley cell circulation. The movement of these air columns varies according to the declination of the sun. In oceans, quasi-stationary Rossby waves are observable in the tropics, at mid-latitudes, and around the subtropical gyres (i.e., the gyral Rossby waves GRWs) due to the buoyant properties of warm waters originating from tropical oceans, transported to high latitudes by western boundary currents. The thermocline oscillation results from solar irradiance variations induced by the sun’s declination, as well as solar and orbital cycles. It is governed by the forced, linear, inviscid shallow water equations on the β-plane (or β-cone for GRWs), namely the momentum, continuity, and potential vorticity equations. The coupling of multi-frequency wave systems occurs in exchange zones. The quasi-stationary Rossby waves and the associated zonal/polar and meridional/radial geostrophic currents modify the geostrophy of the basin. Here, it is shown that the ubiquity of resonant forcing in (sub)harmonic modes of Rossby waves in stratified media results from two properties: (1) the natural period of Rossby wave systems tunes to the forcing period, (2) the restoring forces between the different multi-frequency Rossby waves assimilated to inertial Caldirola–Kanai (CK) oscillators are all the stronger when the imbalance between the Coriolis force and the horizontal pressure gradients in the exchange zones is significant. According to the CK equations, this resonance mode ensures the sustainability of the wave systems despite the variability of the forcing periods. The resonant forcing of quasi-stationary Rossby waves is at the origin of climate variations, as well-known as El Niño, glacial–interglacial cycles or extreme events generated by cold drops or, conversely, heat waves. This approach attempts to provide some new avenues for addressing climate and weather issues. Full article

Long-term wind speed changes over the Yangtze River waterway have critical implications for inland shipping efficiency, emission dispersion, and renewable energy potential. This study utilizes a high-resolution 5 km gridded reanalysis dataset spanning 1979–2018 to conduct a comprehensive spatiotemporal analysis of surface wind climatology, variability, and trends along China’s primary inland waterway. A pivotal regime shift was identified around 2000, marking a transition from terrestrial stilling to a recovery phase characterized by wind speed intensification. Multiple change-point detection algorithms consistently identify 2000 as a pivotal turning point, marking a transition from the late 20th century “terrestrial stilling” to a recovery phase characterized by wind speed intensification. Post-2000 trends reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity: the upstream section exhibits sustained strengthening (+0.02 m/s per decade, p = 0.03), the midstream shows weak or non-significant trends with localized afternoon stilling in complex terrain (−0.08 m/s per decade), while the downstream coastal zone demonstrates robust intensification exceeding +0.10 m/s per decade during spring–autumn daytime hours. Three distinct wind regimes emerge along the 3000 km corridor: a high-energy maritime-influenced downstream sector (annual means > 3.9 m/s, diurnal peaks > 6.0 m/s) dominated by sea breeze circulation, a transitional midstream zone (2.3–2.7 m/s) exhibiting bimodal spatial structure and unique summer-afternoon thermal enhancement, and a topographically suppressed upstream region (<2.0 m/s) punctuated by pronounced channeling effects through the Three Gorges constriction. Critically, the observed recovery contradicts widespread basin greening (97.9% of points showing significant positive NDVI trends), which theoretically should enhance surface roughness and suppress wind speeds. Correlation analysis reveals that wind variability is systematically controlled by large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns, including the Northern Hemisphere Polar Vortex (r ≈ 0.35), Western Pacific Subtropical High (r ≈ 0.38), and East Asian monsoon systems (r > 0.60), with distinct seasonal phase-locking between baroclinic spring dynamics and monsoon-thermal summer forcing. These findings establish a comprehensive, fine-scale climatological baseline essential for optimizing pollutant dispersion modeling, and evaluating wind-assisted propulsion feasibility to support shipping decarbonization goals along the Yangtze Waterway. Full article

The spatial and seasonal characteristics of submesoscales in the Northwest Pacific Subtropical Ocean are thoroughly investigated here using a submesoscale-permitting model within a localized multiscale energetics framework, in which three scale windows termed background, mesoscale, and submesoscale are decomposed. It is found that submesoscale energetics are highly geographically inhomogeneous. In the Luzon Strait, baroclinic and barotropic instabilities are the primary mechanisms for generating submesoscale available potential energy (APE) and kinetic energy (KE), and they exhibit no significant seasonal variations. Although buoyancy conversion experiences pronounced seasonal cycles and serves as the main sink of submesoscale APE in winter and spring, its contribution to submesoscale KE is negligible. The major sinks of submesoscale KE are advection, horizontal pressure work, and dissipation. In the Western Boundary Current transition and Subtropical Countercurrent (STCC) interior open ocean zone, submesoscales undergo significant seasonality, with large magnitudes in winter and spring. In spring and winter, baroclinic instability dominates the generation of submesoscale APE via forward cascades, while KE is mainly energized by buoyancy conversion and dissipated by the residual term. Meanwhile, in summer and autumn, submesoscales are considerably weak. Additionally, submesoscale energetics in the Western Boundary Current transition zone are slightly greater than those in the STCC interior open ocean zone, which is attributed to the strengthened straining of the Western Boundary Current and mesoscale eddies. Full article

Although numerous observational and theoretical studies have examined the mean and turbulent structure of the tropical cyclone boundary layer (TCBL) over the open ocean, there have been comparatively fewer studies that have examined the kinematic and thermal structure of the TCBL across the land–ocean interface. This study examines the impact of different continental environments on the thermodynamic evolution of the TCBL during the landfall transition using high-resolution, full-physics numerical simulations. During landfall, the changes in the wind field within the TCBL due to the development of the internal boundary layer (IBL), combined with the formation of a surface cold pool, generates a pronounced thermal asymmetry in the boundary layer. As a result, the maximum thermodynamic boundary layer height occurs in the rear-right quadrant of the storm relative to its motion. In addition, azimuthal and vertical advection by the mean flow lead to enhanced turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) in front of the vortex (enhancing dissipative heating immediately onshore) and onshore precipitation to the left of the storm track (stabilizing the environment). The strength and depth of thermal asymmetry in the boundary layer depend on the contrast in temperature and moisture between the continental and storm environments. Dry air intrusion enhances cold pool formation and stabilizes the onshore boundary layer, reducing mechanical mixing and accelerating the decay of the vortex. The temperature contrast between the continental and storm environments establishes a coastal baroclinic zone, producing stronger baroclinicity and inflow on the left of the track and weaker baroclinicity on the right. The resulting gradient imbalance in the front-right quadrant triggers radial outflow through a gradient adjustment process that redistributes momentum and mass to restore dynamical balance. Therefore, the surface thermodynamic conditions over land play a critical role in shaping the evolution of the TCBL during landfall, with the strongest asymmetries in thermodynamic boundary layer height emerging when there are large thermal contrasts between the hurricane and the continental environment. Full article

On 3 February 2006, a powerful Mediterranean cyclone instigated a widespread dust storm across Saudi Arabia. Meteorological observations from one station recorded strong westerly to southwesterly winds, with gusts reaching 40 m/s, accompanied by thunderstorms and dust storms. This study delves into the formation and development of this significant Mediterranean cyclone, which impacted the Mediterranean basin and the Arabian Peninsula from 26 January to 4 February 2006. Utilizing ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis data, this research analyzes the synoptic and dynamic conditions that contributed to the cyclone’s evolution and intensification. The cyclone originated over the North Atlantic as cold air from higher latitudes and was advected southward, driven by a strong upper-level trough. The initial phase of cyclogenesis was triggered by baroclinic instability, facilitated by an intense upper-level jet stream interacting with a pre-existing low-level baroclinic zone over coastal regions. Upper-level dynamics enhanced surface frontal structures, promoting the formation of the intense cyclone. As the system progressed, low-level diabatic processes became the primary drivers of its evolution, reducing the influence of upper-level baroclinic mechanisms. The weakening of the upper-level dynamics led to the gradual distortion of the low-level baroclinicity and frontal structures, transitioning the system to a more barotropic state during its mature phase. Vorticity analysis revealed that positive vorticity advection and warm air transport toward the developing cyclone played key roles in its intensification, leading to the development of strong low-level winds. Atmospheric kinetic energy analysis showed that the majority of the atmospheric kinetic energy was concentrated at 400 hPa and above, coinciding with intense jet stream activity. The generation of the atmospheric kinetic energy was primarily driven by cross-contour flow, acting as a major energy source, while atmospheric kinetic energy dissipation from grid to subgrid scales served as a major energy sink. The dissipation pattern closely mirrored the generation pattern but with the opposite sign. Additionally, the horizontal flux of the atmospheric kinetic energy was identified as a continuous energy source throughout the cyclone’s lifecycle. Full article

Cyclone Mocha, classified as an Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS), followed an unusual northeastward trajectory while exhibiting a well-defined eyewall structure. It experienced rapid intensification (RI) before making landfall along the Myanmar coast. It caused heavy rainfall (~90 mm) and gusty winds (~115 knots) over the coastal regions of Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) countries, such as the coasts of Bangladesh and Myanmar. The factors responsible for the RI of the cyclone in lower latitudes, such as sea surface temperature (SST), tropical cyclone heat potential (TCHP), vertical wind shear (VWS), and mid-tropospheric moisture content, are studied using the National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) SST and National Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) Unified Model (NCUM) global analysis. The results show that SST and TCHP values of 30 °C and 100 (KJ cm⁻²) over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) favored cyclogenesis. However, a VWS (ms⁻¹) and relative humidity (RH; %) within the range of 10 ms⁻¹ and >70% also provided a conducive environment for the low-pressure system to transform into the ESCS category. The physical mechanism of RI and recurvature of the Mocha cyclone have been investigated using forecast products and compared with Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) and Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) satellite observations. The key results indicate that a dry air intrusion associated with a series of troughs and ridges at a 500 hPa level due to the western disturbance (WD) during that time was very active over the northern part of India and adjoining Pakistan, which brought north-westerlies at the 200 hPa level. The existence of troughs at 500 and 200 hPa levels are significantly associated with a Rossby wave pattern over the mid-latitude that creates the baroclinic zone and favorable for the recurvature and RI of Mocha cyclone clearly represented in the NCUM analysis. Moreover the Q-vector analysis and steering flow (SF) emphasize the vertical motion and recurvature of the Mocha cyclone so as to move in a northeast direction, and this has been reasonably well represented by the NCUM model analysis and the 24, 7-, and 120 h forecasts. Additionally, a quantitative assessment of the system indicates that the model forecasts of TC tracks have an error of 50, 70, and 100 km in 24, 72, and 120 h lead times. Thus, this case study underscores the capability of the NCUM model in representing the physical mechanisms behind the recurving and RI over the BoB. Full article

Based on statistical analyses of long-term reanalysis data, we have investigated the interdecadal variations of autumn precipitation in central China (APC-d) and the associated atmospheric teleconnection. It reveals that the increased autumn rainfall in central China during the last decade is a portion of the APC-d, which exhibits a high correlation coefficient of 0.7 with the interdecadal variations of the Europe–China pattern (EC-d pattern) teleconnection. The EC-d pattern teleconnection presents in a “+-+” structure over Eurasia, putting central China into the periphery of a quasi-barotropic anticyclonic high-pressure anomaly. Driven by positive vorticity advection and the inflow of warmer and moist air from the south, central China experiences enhanced ascending motion and abundant water vapor supply, resulting in increased rainfall. Further analysis suggests that the EC-d pattern originates from the exit of the North Atlantic jet and propagates eastward. It is captured by the Asian westerly jet stream and proceeds towards East Asia through the wave–mean flow interaction. The wave train acquires effective potential energy from the mean flow by the baroclinic energy conversion and simultaneously obtains kinetic energy from the basic westerly jet zones across the North Atlantic and the East Asian coasts. The interdecadal variation of the mid-latitude North Atlantic sea surface temperature (MAT-d) exhibits a significant negative relationship with EC-d, serving as a modulating factor for the EC-d pattern teleconnection. Experiments with CMIP6 models predict that the interdecadal variations in APC-d, EC-d, and MAT-d will maintain stable high correlations for the rest of the 21st century. These findings may contribute to forecasting the interdecadal autumn dry–wet conditions in central China. Full article

The Maipo River estuary is a low-inflow bar-built estuary that includes a protected wetland, which harbors a rich ecosystem. The estuary and wetland have been threatened by a persistent drought for more than a decade, which has resulted in greater salinity intrusion and increased residence times. Previous studies have described salinity and pollutants in estuaries; however, almost all have focused on deeper and/or wider estuaries with dimensions much larger than those of the small-scale Maipo River estuary. In this study, we used the numerical model FVCOM to simulate the dynamics of the Maipo River estuary under drought scenarios and explored the interactions between river discharge and tides in terms of saline intrusion and particle dispersal. The model was validated against observations collected during a field campaign near the river mouth. The simulations successfully reproduced the water surface elevation but underestimated salinity values, such that the vertical salinity structure observed in the field was not captured by the model in this shallow and morphologically complex estuary. Consequently, our model results provide qualitative insight related to salinity and baroclinic dynamics. Results of maximum saline intrusion showed an exponential decay with increasing river discharge, and the analysis of salinity intrusion time series revealed that droughts may cause permanent non-zero salinity levels in the estuary, potentially affecting ecological cycles. The incorporation of passive tracers showed that decreasing river discharge increases the residence time of particles by allowing the tracers to re-enter the estuary. Model results showed the formation of accumulation zones (hotspots) in the shallower zones of the estuary. Full article

The turbidity maximum zone (TMZ) plays an important role in the morphology and ecosystems of estuaries. The distributions of TMZ in Hangzhou Bay (HZB) and mechanisms of sediment fluxes in TMZ have been studied by applying a fully calibrated three-dimensional baroclinic model that considers salinity, high turbidity, sediment flocculation, and density coupling between water and sediment. Based on the method of SSC thresholds, the TMZ is mainly distributed from YG (Yanguan, toponymy in HZB) to ZP (Zhapu, toponymy in HZB). S1 and S2 are the cross-sections within the TMZ. Along the estuary, there is an ascending-to-descending trend observed in the monthly averaged bed current shear stress, while the monthly averaged density displays a descending-to-ascending pattern. The orientation of the monthly averaged surface fluxes of suspended sediment within the TMZ shows a clockwise circular pattern. Moreover, the net flux of suspended sediment along the estuary at section S1 is seaward, while at the section S2, it is landward. The high bottom stress and the sediment fluxes facilitate the retention, deposition, and enrichment of sediment within the TMZ. The suspended sediment fluxes at the two cross-sections was primarily influenced by Eulerian transport, Stokes transport, and tidal pumping transport. At cross-section S1, the sediment transport is dominated by tidal pumping. At cross-section S2, advective transport controls the sediment transportation near the deep northern bank; while near the southern bank of cross-section S2, tidal pumping is still the dominant factor. The outcome of this study provides a foundation for TMZ research in similar macro-tidal turbid estuaries around the world. Full article

Ianos originated from a shallow low in Libya, which formed on the tip of a warm tongue of Saharan air on 12 September 2020, a couple of days before its transformation to a Medicane. The genesis of the incipient cyclone was associated with strong warm air advection, across the Saharan low-level baroclinic zone, ahead of an amplifying thermal wave. On 13 September, when the baroclinic zone weakened, the upper levels played a significant role in the maintenance of the low. The relative position of the upper-level jet favoured downward cyclonic vorticity advection towards the cyclone, which apparently acted to reinforce the cyclonic circulation until the low entered the sea on 14 September 2020. Full article

Upwelling is a widespread phenomenon in the ocean and plays key roles in the marine environment, marine fishery and air–sea carbon exchange. In coastal regions, the upwelling is usually modulated by tides and complex topography, but the dynamical mechanism is still unclear and yet to be quantified. In this study, a three-dimensional (3D) regional ocean model is used to investigate tide-induced upwelling and its mechanisms quantitatively in the mouth of a semi-closed bay, the Bohai Strait, which is a tide-dominated coastal region. The results show that the upwelling mainly occurs near the tidal front in the north of the Laotieshan Channel and the southern region of the front, with the most active upwelling existing off promontories and small islands. Numerical sensitivity experiments indicate that the upwelling in the study area is mainly caused by tides, accounting for approximately 86% of the total. The 3D balance of the vertical component of the vorticity based on the model results quantifies the dynamic processes of the upwelling and reveals that tides induce the upwelling through tidal mixing and nonlinear effects. In the tidal front zone, the upwelling is mainly caused by baroclinic processes related to tidal mixing. Off promontories and small islands, we first reveal that the upwelling is driven by both the tidal mixing and nonlinear effect related to centrifugal force rather than just one of the two mechanisms, and the latter plays a dominant role in producing the upwelling. The strong nonlinear effect is attributed to the periodic movement of barotropic tidal currents rather than the mean flow. Full article

Much of the Southeastern United States (SeUS) has experienced an increasing number of extreme precipitation events in recent decades. Characterizing these extreme precipitation events is critical for assessing risk from future hydroclimatic extremes and potential flash flooding. A threshold of one inch per hour (1IPH) was used to indicate an extreme precipitation event. Non-parametric tests were run to identify trends in 1IPH event frequency and locate time series change points. In the last 20 years, 1IPH events increased by 53 percent in the SeUS, and 21/61 stations recorded significant increasing trends. A change point is identified in 15/61 stations. June, July, and August are generally the peak time for 1IPH events, but Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi recorded longer peak seasons. For the time between events, 17/61 stations recorded significant decreasing trends, implying that 1IPH events are increasing in frequency. Four teleconnection indices were positively correlated with 1IPH events. The SeUS experiences considerable tropical cyclone-induced extreme precipitation, yet only seven percent of 1IPH events overlapped with tropical cyclones. Therefore, the increasing frequency of 1IPH events is likely the result of a combination of baroclinic frontal zones or regional and mesoscale convective features. Causes for the increasing frequency of 1IPH events require further research. Full article

This study attempts to investigate how future sea surface temperature increases will affect the size (radius of gale-force [17 ${\mathrm{m} \mathrm{s}}^{-1}$] wind at 10 m height; i.e., R17) evolution of tropical cyclones that undergo extratropical transition (ET) through sensitivity experiments of sea surface temperature (SST) for Typhoon Songda (2016) in the northwestern Pacific. Two numerical experiments were carried out, including a control simulation (control) and a sensitivity experiment (SST4.5) with SST increased by 4.5 degrees in the entire domain. The results showed that Songda tended to be stronger and larger with projected higher SSTs. Moreover, the momentum equation for tangential wind was utilized to study the mechanism of R17 evolution in different SST scenarios, in which the radial absolute vorticity flux term played a dominant role in generating a positive tendency of tangential wind. The results indicate that before ET, higher SSTs in the entire domain led to more active rainbands in both inner-core and outer-core regions. As a result, stronger secondary circulation and low-level inflow extended outward, and the absolute angular momentum (AAM) importing from the outer region increased, which led to a larger R17 in SST4.5. During the ET, the peripheral baroclinically driven frontal convection induced extensive boundary layer inflow, which accelerated the tangential flow in the outer frontal region through strong inward AAM transport. However, due to the lower latitude of the cyclone and the strong frontolysis at the outer side of the cold pool in SST4.5, the peripheral frontal convection reached the location of R17 later; thus, the increase in the cyclone size lagged behind that in the control. Full article

This paper investigates the gas flow and the mass transport in simplified axial-symmetric vertical HVPE reactors for the growth of GaN bulk crystals through numerical simulations. We evaluate the relative significance of different flow and transport phenomena in dependence on the direction of gravity. The performed simulations show that buoyancy effects due to density differences between neighboring gas lines are the main factor causing the deformation of laminar flow patterns and the formation of recirculation cells within the growth zone. Baroclinic instabilities have been identified as the source for these phenomena. In contrast, typical vertical temperature gradients show only a minor impact on the stability of the gas flow within the growth zone in the vicinity of the growing crystal. Based on these results, major differences of the species transport in vertical HVPE reactors, where the flow is parallel or anti-parallel to the direction of gravity, referred to as down-flow and up-flow, respectively, are summarized. The performed analysis of the interplay and relative significance of different flow effects in the HVPE environment allows a general recommendation for reactor design and scaling with respect to stable gas flow conditions within the growth zone. Full article

This research evaluates the performance of the Short-Range Forecast System (SisPI by its acronym in Spanish) to represent the North Atlantic subtropical anticyclone over the parent domain during the 2020 wet season. For this, an average for the 2010–2019 decade was calculated using data from the ERA5 reanalysis at different levels of the troposphere for variables of geopotential height, relative humidity, temperature and wind to characterize the main systems that disturb the weather in the study area, to obtain the corresponding anomalies and to determine if the errors influence these anomalies or the SisPI configuration. For this, it was necessary to interpolate SisPI data to make them match the resolution of ERA5 reanalysis and to be able to perform the calculations and generate the maps, for which a Python code was designed. The results suggest that SisPI tends to locate the high geopotential areas further south of their real position, which modifies the synoptic flow forecasted. On the other hand, the northern and southern borders of the domain have the largest errors, mainly to the north, where, according to the decadal mean and the anomalies obtained in 2020, a baroclinic zone that creates additional noise tends to be generated. To the south, this baroclinic zone lies on segments of the ITCZ which may also be the reason for additional errors in the model. Full article