Search Results (181)

Glaciers and glacierets of the Kuznetsky Alatau Mountains are distributed at altitudes of 1200–1500 m above sea level, which is not typical for continental areas. The main factor contributing to the persistence of glaciation here is abundant winter precipitation. According to ground surface temperature measurements, the negative annual values are typical for upper glacier boundaries only. Since intensive study during the compilation of the USSR Glacier Inventory (1965–1980), the glaciation of the region has undergone notable changes. To assess the current state of glaciation, Sentinel-2 satellite images were used; contours of the glaciers were traced on the basis of images from 2021 to 2023. In total, 78 glaciers and 57 glacierets were identified. UAV imagery and field inspection were used for validation. The total glaciated area has reduced from 8.5 to 3.1 km², which is 50–75% for selected river basins, with slope morphological types decreasing the most. According to our opinion, the morphological classification requires clarification due to absence of hanging glaciers, described previously. Full article

Image analysis is a valuable approach in a wide array of environmental applications. Mapping land cover categories depicted from satellite images enables the monitoring of landscape dynamics. Such a technique plays a key role for land management and predictive ecosystem modelling. Satellite-based mapping of environmental dynamics enables us to define factors that trigger these processes and are crucial for our understanding of Earth system processes. In this study, a reclassification scheme of image analysis was developed for mapping the adjusted categorisation of land cover types using multispectral remote sensing datasets and Geographic Resources Analysis Support System (GRASS) Geographic Information System (GIS) software. The data included four Landsat 8–9 satellite images on 2015, 2019, 2021 and 2023. The sequence of time series was used to determine land cover dynamics. The classification scheme consisting of 17 initial land cover classes was employed by logical workflow to extract 10 key land cover types of the coastal areas of Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, southern Red Sea. Special attention is placed to identify changes in the land categories regarding the thermal saline lake, Lake Assal, with fluctuating salinity and water levels. The methodology included the use of machine learning (ML) image analysis GRASS GIS modules ‘r.reclass’ for the reclassification of a raster map based on category values. Other modules included ‘r.random’, ‘r.learn.train’ and ‘r.learn.predict’ for gradient boosting ML classifier and ‘i.cluster’ and ‘i.maxlik’ for clustering and maximum-likelihood discriminant analysis. To reveal changes in the land cover categories around the Lake of Assal, this study uses ML and reclassification methods for image analysis. Auxiliary modules included ‘i.group’, ‘r.import’ and other GRASS GIS scripting techniques applied to Landsat image processing and for the identification of land cover variables. The results of image processing demonstrated annual fluctuations in the landscapes around the saline lake and changes in semi-arid and desert land cover types over Djibouti. The increase in the extent of semi-desert areas and the decrease in natural vegetation proved the processes of desertification of the arid environment in Djibouti caused by climate effects. The developed land cover maps provided information for assessing spatial–temporal changes in Djibouti. The proposed ML-based methodology using GRASS GIS can be employed for integrating techniques of image analysis for land management in other arid regions of Africa. Full article

Mangrove forests serve as critical ecological barriers in coastal zones and play a vital role in global blue carbon sequestration strategies. In recent decades, China’s mangrove ecosystems have experienced complex interactions between degradation and restoration under intense coastal urbanization and systematic conservation efforts. However, the long-term spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms of mangrove ecosystem health changes remain insufficiently quantified. This study developed a multi-temporal analytical framework using Landsat imagery (1986–2021) to derive kernel normalized difference vegetation index (kNDVI) time series—an advanced phenological indicator with enhanced sensitivity to vegetation dynamics. We systematically characterized mangrove growth patterns along China’s southeastern coast through integrated Theil–Sen slope estimation, Mann–Kendall trend analysis, and Hurst exponent forecasting. A Deep Forest regression model was subsequently applied to quantify the relative contributions of environmental drivers (mean annual sea surface temperature, precipitation, air temperature, tropical cyclone frequency, and relative sea-level rise rate) and anthropogenic pressures (nighttime light index). The results showed the following: (1) a nationally significant improvement in mangrove vitality (p < 0.05), with mean annual kNDVI increasing by 0.0072/yr during 1986–2021; (2) spatially divergent trajectories, with 58.68% of mangroves exhibiting significant improvement (p < 0.05), which was 2.89 times higher than the proportion of degraded areas (15.10%); (3) Hurst persistence analysis (H = 0.896) indicating that 74.97% of the mangrove regions were likely to maintain their growth trends, while 15.07% of the coastal zones faced potential degradation risks; and (4) Deep Forest regression id the relative rate of sea-level rise (importance = 0.91) and anthropogenic (nighttime light index, importance = 0.81) as dominant drivers, surpassing climatic factors. This study provides the first national-scale, 30 m resolution assessment of mangrove growth dynamics using kNDVI, offering a scientific basis for adaptive management and blue carbon strategies in subtropical coastal ecosystems. Full article

Global mean sea level has been rising steadily since the early 1990s, yet regional sea level changes exhibit complex spatial variability that frequently contrasts with global trends. Investigating sea level variations in semi-enclosed basins such as the Black Sea is crucial for elucidating regional responses to climate change and characterizing its unique spatiotemporal evolution patterns. In this study, we employ satellite altimetry (SA) data to study sea level changes, spatial variability, and seasonal patterns in the Black Sea over eight distinct time periods with temporally correlated noise, and our results show good consistency with existing studies. The results show that sea level changes are non-linear over time and exhibit spatial variability in the Black Sea. The estimated sea level trend fluctuates over brief intervals, but extended time series provide reduced uncertainty in the trend and more precise estimation over a 28-year time series. The annual amplitude and phase derived from virtual altimetry data (1993–2020) exhibit a distinct seasonal pattern, with peak sea levels typically occurring between November and February. Furthermore, to reduce the uncertainty induced by noise in the sea surface height (SSH) time series, principal component analysis (PCA) was utilized to denoise the SSH data from 1993 to 2020, yielding a sea level trend of 1.76 ± 0.56 mm/yr. Denoising reduced the trend uncertainty by 57%, decreased the root mean square error of the SSH series by 5.06 mm, and decreased the annual amplitude by 23.35%. Full article

This study assesses the exposure of the 155 Greek seaports to marine flooding and extreme heat under climate change. Flood exposure was estimated through a threshold approach that compared projected mean and extreme sea levels to high-resolution port quay elevation data. It was found that while relatively few ports will face quay inundation, the majority will experience operational disruptions due to insufficient freeboard for berthing of commercial vessels under both the mean (80%) and extreme sea (96%) levels by 2050. For selected ports, 2-D flood modelling was undertaken that showed that the used ‘static’ flood threshold approach likely underestimates flood exposure. Future heat exposure was studied through the comparison of extreme temperature and humidity projections to operational and health/safety thresholds. Port infrastructure and personnel/users will be exposed to large material, operational and health risks, whereas energy demand will rise steeply. Deadly heat days (due to mean temperature/humidity combination) will increase, particularly at island ports: 20% of Greek ports might face more than 50 such days annually by end-century. As ports are associated with large urban clusters, these findings suggest a broader health risk. Our findings suggest an urgent climate adaptation need given the strategic socio-economic importance of ports. Full article

Phytoplankton size classes (PSC), which categorize phytoplankton into pico- (<2 µm), nano- (2–20 µm), and microphytoplankton (>20 µm), have been widely used to describe functional group responses to environmental variability. Distribution of PSCs heavily influences marine ecosystems and biogeochemical processes. Despite the importance of PSC distributions, especially in the face of climate change, long-term studies on PSC variability and its driving factors are lacking. This study aimed to identify the key environmental drivers affecting summer PSC variability in the northern East China Sea (NECS) by analyzing 27 years (1998–2024) of satellite-derived data. Statistical analyses using random forest and multiple linear regression models revealed that euphotic depth (Z_eu) and suspended particulate matter (SPM) were the primary factors influencing PSC variation; deeper Z_eu values favored smaller picophytoplankton, whereas higher SPM concentrations supported larger PSCs. Long-term trend analysis showed a clear shift toward increasing picophytoplankton contributions (+2.4% per year), with corresponding declines in nano- and microphytoplankton levels (2.2% and 0.4% annually, respectively). These long-term changes are hypothesized to result from a persistent decline in SPM concentrations, which modulate light attenuation and nutrient dynamics in the euphotic zone. Marine heat waves intensify these shifts by promoting picophytoplankton dominance through enhanced stratification and reduced nutrient availability. These findings underscore the need for continuous monitoring to inform ecosystem management and predict the impacts of climate change in the NECS. Full article

This study analyzes sea-level changes in the Yellow and Bohai Seas from 1993 to 2023 based on satellite altimetry data. After reconstructing the gridded sea-level data using local mean decomposition (LMD), the annual mean sea level was estimated at 28.86 mm, with an average rise rate of 2.21 mm per year (mm/a). Temporal and spatial variations were examined through nonlinear least squares fitting to capture interannual variability and decadal amplitude distributions. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis identified the first three modes, explaining 90.40%, 2.78%, and 1.47% of the total variance, respectively, and their spatial patterns and temporal coefficients were derived. The first mode was strongly correlated with sea surface temperature (SST) and precipitation, showing distinct spatial structures. Temperature and salinity profiles revealed a decadal-scale trend of increasing temperature and decreasing salinity with depth. Seasonal variations of sea-level anomaly (SLA) were evident, with mean values and trends of −11.47 mm (2.19 mm/a) in spring, 57.12 mm (2.29 mm/a) in summer, 75.68 mm (2.24 mm/a) in autumn, and −13.90 mm (2.11 mm/a) in winter. Seasonal correlations among SLA, SST, salinity, and precipitation were assessed, highlighting interannual amplitude variations. This integrated analysis provides a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics and drivers of sea-level fluctuations, offering insights for future research. Full article

The state of Florida has both a great dependency on groundwater and susceptibility to climate change and thus provides a good case study to examine the amount and quality of information on the potential impacts to groundwater supplies and demands that is available and accessible to decision makers to guide their planning. Decision makers responsible for making and implementing adaptation plans require actionable information that is in a format that they can access and understand and can be used to guide decisions over the usual 20- to 50-year planning periods in the state. The existing climate change projections of higher temperatures and associated evapotranspiration, a modest and geographically variable change in annual rainfall, and sea level rise at close to the global rate provide only limited guidance to the very small segment of society responsible for making adaptation decisions. Instead, decision makers in the water sector will need to increase the resiliency of their systems to be able to handle a wide range of possible future conditions. Full article

Particulate organic carbon (POC) plays a crucial role in oceanic climate change. However, existing research is limited by several factors, including the scarcity of long-term data, extensive datasets, and a comprehensive understanding of POC dynamics. This study utilizes monthly average POC remote sensing data from the MODIS/AQUA satellite to analyze the spatiotemporal variations of POC in the East China Sea from 2003 to 2022. Employing correlation analysis, spatial autocorrelation models, and the Geodetector model, we explore responses to key influencing factors such as climatic elements. The results indicate that POC concentrations are higher in the western nearshore areas and lower in the eastern offshore regions of the East China Sea (ECS). Additionally, concentrations are observed to be lower in southern regions compared to northern ones. From 2003 to 2022, POC concentrations exhibited a fluctuating downward trend with an average annual concentration of 121.05 ± 4.57 mg/m³. Seasonally, monthly average POC concentrations ranged from 105.48 mg/m³ to 158.36 mg/m³; notably higher concentrations were recorded during spring while summer showed comparatively lower levels. Specifically, POC concentrations peaked in April before rapidly declining from May to June—reaching a minimum—and then gradually increasing again from June through December. Correlation analysis revealed significant influences on POC levels by particulate inorganic carbon (PIC), sea surface temperature (SST), chlorophyll (Chl), and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR). The Geodetector model further elucidated that these factors vary in their impact: Chl was identified as having the strongest influence (q = 0.84), followed by PIC (q = 0.75) and SST (q = 0.64) as primary influencing factors; PAR was recognized as a secondary factor with q = 0.30. This study provides new insights into marine carbon cycling dynamics within the context of climate change. Full article

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are increasingly affecting tropical seas, causing mass coral bleaching and mortality in the wider Caribbean (WC) and eastern tropical Pacific (ETP). This leads to significant coral loss, reduced biodiversity, and impaired ecological functions. Climate models forecast a troubling future for Latin American coral reefs, but downscaled projections for the WC and ETP remain limited. Understanding regional temperature thresholds that threaten coral reef futures and restoration efforts is critical. Our goals included analyzing historical trends in July–August–September–October (JASO) temperature anomalies and exploring future projections at subregional and country levels. From 1940 to 2023, JASO air and ocean temperature anomalies showed significant increases. Projections indicate that even under optimistic scenario 4.5, temperatures may exceed the +1.5 °C air threshold beyond pre-industrial levels by the 2040s and the +1.0 °C ocean threshold beyond historical annual maximums by the 2030s, resulting in severe coral bleaching and mortality. Business-as-usual scenario 8.5 suggests conditions will become intolerable for coral conservation and restoration by the 2030s, with decadal warming trends largely surpassing historical rates, under unbearable conditions for corals. The immediate development of regional and local adaptive coral reef conservation and restoration plans, along with climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, is essential to provide time for optimistic scenarios to materialize. Full article

In the context of sea levels rising, monitoring spatial and temporal topographic changes along coastal dunes is crucial to understand their dynamics since they represent natural barriers against coastal flooding and large sources of sediment that can mitigate coastal erosion. Different technologies are currently used to monitor coastal dune topographic changes (GNSS, UAV, airborne LiDAR, etc.). Satellites recently emerged as a new source of topographic data by providing high-resolution images with a rather short revisit time at the global scale. Stereoscopic or tri-stereoscopic acquisition of some of these images enables the creation of 3D models using stereophotogrammetry methods. Here, the Ames Stereo Pipeline was used to produce digital elevation models (DEMs) from tri-stereo panchromatic and high-resolution Pleiades images along three 19 km long stretches of coastal dunes in SW France. The vertical errors of the Pleiades-derived DEMs were assessed by comparing them with DEMs produced from airborne LiDAR data collected a few months apart from the Pleiades images in 2017 and 2021 at the same three study sites. Results showed that the Pleiades-derived DEMs could reproduce the overall dune topography well, with averaged root mean square errors that ranged from 0.5 to 1.1 m for the six sets of tri-stereo images. The differences between DEMs also showed that Pleiades images can be used to monitor multi-annual coastal dune morphological changes. Strong erosion and accretion patterns over spatial scales ranging from hundreds of meters (e.g., blowouts) to tens of kilometers (e.g., dune retreat) were captured well, and allowed to quantify changes with reasonable errors (30%). Furthermore, relatively small averaged root mean square errors (0.63 m) can be obtained with a limited number of field-collected elevation points (five ground control points) to perform a simple vertical correction on the generated Pleiades DEMs. Among different potential sources of errors, shadow areas due to the steepness of the dune stoss slope and crest, along with planimetric errors that can also occur due to the steepness of the terrain, remain the major causes of errors still limiting accurate enough volumetric change assessment. However, ongoing improvements on the stereo matching algorithms and spatial resolution of the satellite sensors (e.g., Pleiades Neo) highlight the growing potential of Pleiades images as a cost-effective alternative to other mapping techniques of coastal dune topography. Full article

Climate during the Late Cretaceous is characterized by a long-term cooling trend interrupted by several periods of increased warming. This study focuses on the terrestrial response to two rapid climate events just prior to the K-Pg boundary marked by the Chicxulub impact: the Mid-Maastrichtian Event (MME) and the Late Maastrichtian Warming Event (LMWE). These hyperthermals caused widespread biotic and greenhouse gas-related disturbances, and clarification about their timing and environmental character reveals the independent nature of all three events. Using element concentrations in bulk paleosols, as well as element concentrations in pedogenic calcite from paleosols in the Tornillo Basin of West Texas, we reconstruct mean annual precipitation (MAP) and the character of soil weathering across the K-Pg boundary. Modelled MAP indicates increased precipitation during the first half of the MME and rapid high amplitude changes in precipitation during the second half of the MME. The Tornillo Basin became increasingly dry during the LMWE followed by wet conditions that continued across the K-Pg boundary. This study documents the co-occurrence of sedimentation patterns, sea level change, and climate change caused by separate tectonic events prior to the K-Pg boundary. Full article

As global temperatures rise, the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) is undergoing accelerating mass loss, with significant implications for sea level rise and climate systems. Using GRACE and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) RL06 data from April 2002 to May 2023, alongside MARv3.14 regional climate model outputs (ice melting, runoff, rainfall, snowfall, and land surface temperature (LST)), we investigated the drivers of GrIS mass changes. Continuous wavelet transform analysis revealed significant annual signals in all variables except snowfall, with wavelet decomposition showing the largest annual amplitudes for ice melting (58.8 Gt/month) and runoff (44.5 Gt/month), surpassing those of GRACE/GRACE-FO (31.1 Gt/month). Cross-correlation analysis identified ice melting, runoff, rainfall, snowfall, and LST as significantly correlated with GrIS mass changes, with ice melting, runoff, and LST emerging as primary drivers, while snowfall and runoff exerted secondary influences. Temporal lags of 3, 4, 4, 7, and 4 months were observed for ice melting, runoff, rainfall, snowfall, and LST, respectively. These findings highlight the complex interplay of climatic and hydrological processes driving GrIS mass loss. Full article

Rising sea levels, warming ocean temperatures, and other climate change impacts threaten the German North Sea coast, making monitoring of this system even more critical. This study reviews the potential of remote sensing for the German North Sea coast, analyzing 97 publications from 2000 to 2024. Publications fell into four main research topics: coastal morphology (33), water quality (34), ecology (22), and sediment (8). More than two-thirds of these papers (69%) used satellite platforms, whereas about one third (29%) used aircrafts and very few (4%) used uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs). Multispectral data were the most used data type in these studies (59%), followed by synthetic aperture radar data (SAR) (23%). Studies on intertidal topography were the most numerous overall, making up one-fifth (21%) of articles. Research gaps identified in this review include coastal morphology and ecology studies over large areas, especially at scales that align with administrative or management areas such as the German Wadden Sea National Parks. Additionally, few studies utilized free, publicly available high spatial resolution imagery, such as that from Sentinel-2 or newly available very high spatial resolution satellite imagery. This review finds that remote sensing plays a notable role in monitoring the German North Sea coast at local scales, but fewer studies investigated large areas at sub-annual temporal resolution, especially for coastal morphology and ecology topics. Earth Observation, however, has the potential to fill this gap and provide critical information about impacts of coastal hazards on this region. Full article

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands experience a climate characterized by consistently high humidity, substantial annual precipitation, and moderate temperature fluctuations. The region’s susceptibility to extreme weather events—such as cyclones, heavy precipitation, and rising sea levels - highlights the need for a thorough understanding of its climatic patterns. In light of this, this study provides a comprehensive analysis of spatiotemporal variability and trends in mean and extreme precipitation across the Andaman and Nicobar Islands using long-term (i.e., 1981–2023) high-resolution Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS). Our findings indicate a significant increase in monsoonal precipitation, particularly in South Andaman, where the mean precipitation trend is 11.10 mm/year, compared to 6.54 mm/year in Nicobar. Light-to-moderate precipitation events occur more frequently than heavy precipitation across all districts, although heavy precipitation is more frequent in Andaman than in Nicobar. Significant decadal increases in light-to-moderate precipitation events are found across most of Nicobar, while parts of Andaman showed a rise in the frequency of moderate-to-heavy precipitation events. Trend analysis of the highest single-day precipitation annually reveals mixed patterns, with increases noted in North and Middle Andaman (3.66 mm per decade) and South Andaman (1.13 mm per decade), while Nicobar shows a slight decrease (−0.63 mm per decade). Maximum consecutive five-day precipitation trends indicate significant annual increases in North and Middle Andaman (14.98 mm per decade) and South Andaman (3.49 mm per decade), highlighting the variability in extreme precipitation events. The observed trends in precipitation and its extremes highlight the heterogeneity of precipitation patterns, which are critical for water resource management, agriculture, and disaster risk mitigation in the region, particularly in the context of increasing precipitation variability and intensity driven by climate change. Further investigation is needed to understand the physical mechanisms driving the increase in frequency and intensity of precipitation, which will be addressed in a separate paper. Full article