Search Results (52)

This paper addresses the problem of optimizing obesity, which has been a challenging issue in the last decade based on recent data revealed in 2024 by the World Health Organization (WHO). The current work introduces a new mathematical model of the dynamics of weight over time with embedded control parameters to optimize the number of obese, overweight, and comorbidity populations. The mathematical formulation of the model is developed under certain sufficient conditions that guarantee the positivity and boundedness of solutions over time. The model structure exhibits inherent symmetry in population group transitions, particularly around the equilibrium state, which allows the application of analytical tools such as the Routh–Hurwitz and Metzler criteria. Then, the analysis of local and global stability of the obesity-free equilibrium state is discussed based on these criteria. Based on the Pontryagin maximum principle (PMP), the deviation from the obesity-free equilibrium state is controlled. The model’s effectiveness is demonstrated through simulation using the Forward–Backward Sweeping algorithm with parameters derived from recent research in human health. Incorporating symmetry considerations in the model enhances the understanding of system behavior and supports balanced intervention strategies. Results suggest that the model can effectively inform strategies to mitigate obesity prevalence and associated health risks. Full article

In this paper, we develop an HIV/AIDS epidemic model that incorporates a saturated incidence rate to reflect the limited transmission capacity and the impact of behavioral saturation in contact patterns. The model is formulated as a system of seven non-linear ordinary differential equations representing key population compartments. In addition to model formulation, we introduce an optimal control problem involving three control measures: educational campaigns, screening of unaware infected individuals, and antiretroviral treatment for aware infected individuals. We begin by establishing the positivity and boundedness of the model solutions under constant control inputs. The existence and local and global stability of both the disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are analyzed, depending on the effective reproduction number (${\mathcal{R}}_e$). Bifurcation analysis reveals that the model undergoes a forward bifurcation at ${\mathcal{R}}_e=1$. A local sensitivity analysis of ${\mathcal{R}}_e$ identifies the disease transmission rate as the most sensitive parameter. The optimal control problem is then formulated by incorporating the dynamics of infected subpopulations, control costs, and time-dependent controls. The existence of optimal control solutions is proven, and the necessary conditions for optimality are derived using Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle. Numerical simulations support the theoretical analysis and confirm the stability of the equilibrium points. The optimal control strategies, evaluated using the Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER), indicate that implementing both screening and treatment (Strategy D) is the most cost-effective intervention. These results provide important insights for designing effective and economically sustainable HIV/AIDS intervention policies. Full article

This study establishes a fractional-order model (FOM) to describe the rumor spreading process. Members of society in this FOM are classified into three categories that change with time—the population that is ignorant of the rumors and does not know them, the population that is aware of the truth of the rumors but does not believe them, and the spreaders of rumors—taking into consideration awareness programs (APs) through media reports as a subcategory that changes over time where paying attention to these APs makes ignorant individuals avoid believing rumors and become better-informed individuals. We prove the positivity and boundedness of the FOM solutions. The feasible equilibrium points (EPs) and their local asymptotical stability (LAS) are analyzed based on the control reproduction number (CRN). Then, we examine the influence of model parameters that emerge with the CRN through a sensitivity analysis.A fractional optimal control problem (FOCP) is formulated by considering three time-dependent control measures in the suggested FOM to capture the spread of rumors; $u_1$, $u_2$, and $u_3$ represent the contact control between rumor spreaders and ignorant people, control media reports, and control rumor spreaders, respectively. We derive the necessary optimality conditions (NOCs) by applying Pontryagin’s maximum principle (PMP). Different optimal control strategies are proposed to reduce the negative effects of rumor spreading and achieve the maximum social benefit. Numerical simulation is implemented using a forward–backward sweep (FBS) approach based on the predictor–corrector method (PCM) to clarify the efficiency of the proposed strategies in order to decrease the number of rumor spreaders and increase the number of aware populations. Full article

The main objective of this study was to investigate the effects of control measures on the diffusion of corruption in the population using a fractional order approach with optimal control theory and cost-benefit analysis. The associated fractional order optimal control problem using three time-dependent control measures was reformulated. Qualitative analysis of the model investigated the model solutions that exist uniquely, the equilibrium points and their stabilities, and the corruption threshold number. Furthermore, we utilized Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle to determine the optimal solution’s existence for the fractional order optimal control problem. Through completing numerical simulations, the study also verified the theoretical results and showed that the implementation of all the proposed control measures greatly reduced corruption diffusion in the community. Eventually, the cost-effectiveness investigation proved that strategy 1, which entailed implementing protection control measures, was the most cost-effective control strategy suggested to the stakeholders for reducing and managing the corruption diffusion problem in the population. Full article

This purely theoretical study considers two new geometric state-space properties of the classical linear time-optimal control problem with one input and real non-positive eigenvalues of the system, with constraints only on the control input and without constraints on the state-space variables, following from Pontryagin’s maximum principle. These properties complement the well-known facts from the maximum principle about the number of switchings of the control function and the character of the optimal phase trajectories of the system leading it to the state-space origin. They lay the foundation of a new method for synthesizing the time-optimal control without the need to describe the switching hyper-surfaces. The new technique is demonstrated on two examples. The so-called “axes initialization” and the synthesis technique are illustrated on the double integrator system in its entirety. The second one is on a hypothetical seventh-order system. Full article

A deterministic model for controlling the neglected tropical filariasis disease known as elephantiasis, caused by a filarial worm, is developed. The model incorporates drug resistance in human and insecticide-resistant vector populations. An investigation into whether the model is of biological importance reveals that it is positively invariant, mathematically well posed, and tractable for epidemiological studies. The filariasis-free and filariasis-present equilibrium points were obtained. The next-generation matrix technique is used to derive the basic reproduction number $R_0$, which is then used to determine the local stability analysis of the model. It is established that the system is locally asymptotically stable when $R_0<1$. The technique by Castillo-Chavez and a Lyapunov function were employed to prove the global stability of the model’s fixed points. The results of this analysis of filariasis-free equilibrium show that the system is globally asymptotically stable when $R_0<1$ and unstable when $R_0>1$. Similarly, the filariasis-present equilibrium point is proved to be globally asymptotically stable when $R_0>1$ and unstable otherwise. This indicates that the fight against the spread of the disease is achievable. It is observed that increasing human-infected mosquito contacts or mosquito-infected human contacts raises the value of $R_0$, whereas decreasing the progression of micro-filaria into infective larva and killing more mosquitoes will decrease the $R_0$ value according to the sensitivity analysis of the model. The variable precision arithmetic technique executed in MATLAB R2014a was used to determine the elasticity indices of the parameters of $R_0$, which showed that the value of $R_0=0.94639$. Further investigations revealed that ${\omega }_2$ has a significant influence on the reproduction number, suggesting that treatment of acute infections is crucial in the control of the disease. Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle (PMP) is used for optimal control analysis. The numerical result revealed that strategy D is the most effective based on the infection averted ratio (IAR) value. Full article

The mathematical modeling of infectious diseases plays a vital role in understanding and predicting disease transmission, as underscored by recent global outbreaks; to delve deep into the dynamic of infectious disease considering latent period presciently is inevitable as it bridges the gap between realistic nature and mathematical modeling. This study extended the classical Susceptible–Infected–Recovered (SIR) model by incorporating vaccination strategies during incubation. We introduced multiple time delays to an account incubation period to capture realistic disease dynamics better. The model is formulated as a system of delay differential equations that describe the transmission dynamics of diseases such as polio or COVID-19, or diseases for which vaccination exists. Critical aspects of the study include proving the positivity of the model’s solutions, calculating the basic reproduction number (${\mathcal{R}}_0$) using next-generation matrix theory, and identifying disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. The local stability of these equilibria is then analyzed using the Routh–Hurwitz criterion. Due to the complexity introduced by the delay components, we examine the stability by studying the roots of a fourth-degree exponential polynomial. The effects of educational campaigns and vaccination efficacy are also investigated as control measures. Furthermore, an optimization problem is formulated, based on Pontryagin’s maximum principle, to minimize the number of infections and associated intervention costs. Numerical simulations of the delay differential equations are conducted, and a modified Runge–Kutta method with delays is used to solve the optimal control problem. Finally, we present a few simulation results to illustrate the analytical findings. Full article

In this paper, we conducted a study on the optimal control problem of an epidemic model which consists of two strain with different types of incidence rates: bilinear and non-monotonic. We also considered use of the saturation treatment function. Two basic regeneration numbers are calculated from the epidemic model, which are denoted as $R_1$ and $R_2$. The global stability of the disease-free equilibrium point was studied by the Lyapunov method, and it was proved that the disease-free equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable when $R_1$ and $R_2$ are less than one. Finally, we formulated a time-dependent optimal control problem by Pontryagin’s maximum principle. Numerical simulations were performed to establish the effects of model parameters for disease transmission as well as the effects of control. Full article

In this paper, a mathematical analysis of fractional order fishery model with stage structure for predator is carried out under the background of prey refuge and protected area. First, it is demonstrated that the solution exists and is unique. The paper aims to analyze predator-prey dynamics in a fishery model through the application of fractional derivatives. It is worth emphasizing that we explicitly examine how fractional derivatives affect the dynamics of the model. The existence of each equilibrium point and the stability of the system at the equilibrium point are proved. The theoretical results are proved by numerical simulation. Alternatively, allocate harvesting efforts within an improved model aimed at maximizing economic benefits and ecologically sustainable development. The ideal solution is obtained by applying Pontryagin’s optimal control principle. A large number of numerical simulations show that the optimal control scheme can realize the sustainable development of the ecosystem. Full article

Huanglongbing (HLB), also known as citrus greening disease, represents a severe and imminent threat to the global citrus industry. With no complete cure currently available, effective control strategies are crucial. This article presents a transmission model of HLB, both with and without nutrient injection, to explore methods for controlling disease spread. By calculating the basic reproduction number ($R_0$) and analyzing threshold dynamics, we demonstrate that the system remains globally stable when $R_0<1$, but persists when $R_0>1$. Sensitivity analyses reveal factors that significantly impact HLB spread on both global and local scales. We also propose a comprehensive optimal control model using the pontryagin minimum principle and validate its feasibility through numerical simulations. Results show that while removing infected trees and spraying insecticides can significantly reduce disease spread, a combination of measures, including the production of disease-free budwood and nursery trees, nutrient solution injection, removal of infected trees, and insecticide application, provides superior control and meets the desired control targets. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers in understanding and managing HLB outbreaks. Full article

This present work develops a nonlinear SIRS fractional-order model with a system of four equations in the Caputo sense. This study examines the impact of positive and negative attitudes towards vaccination, as well as the role of government actions, social behavior and public reaction on the spread of infectious diseases. The local stability of the equilibrium points is analyzed. Sensitivity analysis is conducted to calculate and discuss the sensitivity index of various parameters. It has been established that the illness would spread across this system when the basic reproduction number is larger than 1, the system becomes infection-free when the reproduction number lies below its threshold value of 1. Numerical figures depict the effects of positive and negative attitudes towards vaccination to make the system disease-free sooner. A comprehensive study regarding various values of the order of fractional derivatives together with integer-order derivatives has been discussed in the numerical section to obtain some useful insights into the intricate dynamics of the proposed system. The Pontryagin principle is used in the formulation and subsequent discussion of an optimum control issue. The study also reveals the significant role of government actions in controlling the epidemic. A numerical analysis has been conducted to compare the system’s behavior under optimal control and without optimal control, aiming to discern their differences. The policies implemented by the government are regarded as the most adequate control strategy, and it is determined that the execution of control mechanisms considerably diminishes the ailment burden. Full article

The following article presents the task of optimizing the control of an autonomous object within a group of other passing objects using Pontryagin’s bounded maximum principle. The basis of this principle is a multidimensional nonlinear model of the control process, with state constraints reflecting the motion of passing objects. The analytical synthesis of optimal multi-object control became the basis for the algorithm for determining the optimal and safe object trajectory. Simulation tests of the algorithm on the example of real navigation situations with various numbers of objects illustrate their safe trajectories in changing environmental conditions. The optimal object trajectory obtained using Pontryagin’s maximum principle was compared with the trajectory calculated using the Bellman dynamic programming method. The analysis of the research allowed for the formulation of valuable conclusions and a plan for further research in the field of autonomous vehicle control optimization. The maximum principle algorithm allows one to take into account a larger number of objects whose data are derived from ARPA anti-collision radar systems. Full article

This paper demonstrates the utilization of Pontryagin Neural Networks (PoNNs) to acquire control strategies for achieving fuel-optimal trajectories. PoNNs, a subtype of Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), are tailored for solving optimal control problems through indirect methods. Specifically, PoNNs learn to solve the Two-Point Boundary Value Problem derived from the application of the Pontryagin Minimum Principle to the problem’s Hamiltonian. Within PoNNs, the Extreme Theory of Functional Connections (X-TFC) is leveraged to approximate states and costates using constrained expressions (CEs). These CEs comprise a free function, modeled by a shallow neural network trained via Extreme Learning Machine, and a functional component that consistently satisfies boundary conditions analytically. Addressing discontinuous control, a smoothing technique is employed, substituting the sign function with a hyperbolic tangent function and implementing a continuation procedure on the smoothing parameter. The proposed methodology is applied to scenarios involving fuel-optimal Earth−Mars interplanetary transfers and Mars landing trajectories. Remarkably, PoNNs exhibit convergence to solutions even with randomly initialized parameters, determining the number and timing of control switches without prior information. Additionally, an analytical approximation of the solution allows for optimal control computation at unencountered points during training. Comparative analysis reveals the efficacy of the proposed approach, which rivals state-of-the-art methods such as the shooting technique and the adaptive Gaussian quadrature collocation method. Full article

A co-infection model for onchocerciasis and Lassa fever (OLF) with periodic variational vectors and optimal control is studied and analyzed to assess the impact of controls against incidence infections. The model is qualitatively examined in order to evaluate its asymptotic behavior in relation to the equilibria. Employing a Lyapunov function, we demonstrated that the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is globally asymptotically stable; that is, the related basic reproduction number is less than unity. When it is bigger than one, we use a suitable nonlinear Lyapunov function to demonstrate the existence of a globally asymptotically stable endemic equilibrium (EE). Furthermore, the necessary conditions for the presence of optimum control and the optimality system for the co-infection model are established using Pontryagin’s maximum principle. The model is quantitatively analyzed by studying how sensitive the basic reproduction number is to the model parameters and the model simulation using Runge–Kutta technique of order 4 is also presented to study the effects of the treatments. We deduced from the quantitative analysis that, if there is an effective treatment and diagnosis of those exposed to and infected with the disease, the spread of the viral disease can be effectively managed. The results presented in this work will be useful for the proper mitigation of the disease. Full article

The world has been fighting against the COVID-19 Coronavirus which seems to be constantly mutating. The present wave of COVID-19 illness is caused by the Omicron variant of the coronavirus. The vaccines against the five variants (α, β, γ, δ, and ω) have been quickly developed using mRNA technology. The efficacy of the vaccine developed for one of the strains is not the same as the efficacy of the vaccine developed for the other strains. In this study, a mathematical model of the spread of COVID-19 was made by considering asymptomatic population, symptomatic population, two infected populations and quarantined population. An analysis of basic reproduction numbers was made using the next-generation matrix method. Global asymptotic stability analysis was made using the Lyapunov theory to measure stability, showing an equilibrium point’s stability, and examining the model with the fact of COVID-19 spread in Thailand. Moreover, an analysis of the sensitivity values of the basic reproduction numbers was made to verify the parameters affecting the spread. It was found that the most common parameter affecting the spread was the initial number in the population. Optimal control problems and social distancing strategies in conjunction with mask-wearing and vaccination control strategies were determined to find strategies to give better control of the spread of disease. Lagrangian and Hamiltonian functions were employed to determine the objective function. Pontryagin’s maximum principle was employed to verify the existence of the optimal control. According to the study, the use of social distancing in conjunction with mask-wearing and vaccination control strategies was able to achieve optimal control rather than controlling just one or another. Full article