A Co-Infection Model for Onchocerciasis and Lassa Fever with Optimal Control Analysis
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. OLF Co-Infection Model
- Every person is born with the ability to catch Lassa fever and onchocerciasis, implying that humans are at risk of contracting the diseases.
- Once susceptible people become sick, they transform into exposed people with immunity but are not yet contagious.
- Only individuals who are exposed to the virus become contagious.
- Infectious individuals can die naturally or as a consequence of the disease, and if they do otherwise, they can recover as a result of treatment.
- That person could simultaneously contract both Lassa fever and onchocerciasis.
- All rodents including black flies have vulnerability during birth.
- Each type of rodent species may perish spontaneously or as a result of hunting and the application of pesticides.
- Infected sensitive rodents are exposed but not contagious rodents.
- Only exposed rodents and black flies become infected.
- Infected rodents become infected when they consume or consume fluids from ill rodents.
- Afflicted rodents and black flies are infectious for life, implying that there is no recovered class for rodent and black fly populations.
Basic Model Features Model (1) without Controls
3. Analysis of Model (1) with Non-Controls
3.1. Disease-Free Equilibrium
3.2. Basic Reproduction Number, and
3.2.1. Analysis of the ’s Sensitivity,
3.2.2. Sensitivity Analysis of Basic Reproduction Number,
3.3. Existence of Endemic Equilibrium
4. OLF Co-Infection Model Optimal Control
4.1. Global Stability Analysis
4.2. Invasion and Co-Existence
4.3. Analysis of Optimal Control
4.4. Existence of an Optimal Control
- (i)
- The set of controls and the corresponding state variables are non-empty;
- (ii)
- The control set is convex and closed;
- (iii)
- The right-hand side of the state system is bounded by a linear function in the state and control;
- (iv)
- The integrand of the functional is convex on and is bounded below by where and .
4.5. The Optimal System
5. Numerical Simulation of the Model and Discussion of Results
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Definition | Symbols |
---|---|
Susceptible to human recruitment | |
Susceptible to black fly recruitment | |
Susceptible term for rodent recruitment | |
Rate of black fly biting | b |
Rodent interaction rate | |
Human interaction rate | |
Onchocerciasis transmission rate in humans | |
Onchocerciasis transmission rate in black flies | |
Lassa fever transmission rate in individuals by infectious individuals | |
Lassa fever transmission rate in individuals by infectious rodents | |
Lassa fever transmission rate in rodents by infected rodents | |
Human mortality rate per capita | |
Black fly mortality rate per capita | |
Rodent death rate per capita | |
Rodent mortality rate due to hunting | |
Black fly seasonal variation | |
Rodent seasonal fluctuation | |
Lassa fever progression rate in an exposed individual | |
Onchocerciasis progression rate in the exposed human host | |
Lassa fever progression rate in exposed rodents | |
Onchocerciasis progression rate in exposed black flies | |
The proportion of effective human onchocerciasis treatment | |
Infectious human onchocerciasis treatment rate | |
Proportion of successful Lassa fever treatment for exposed humans | |
Lassa fever diagnostic tests for humans who have been exposed | |
Proportion of successful Lassa fever treatment for infected humans | |
Infectious human Lassa fever treatment rate | |
Force of infection for Lassa fever in humans by infectious humans | |
Force of infection for Lassa fever in humans by infectious rodents | |
Force of infection for Lassa fever in rodent population by infectious rodents | |
Onchocerciasis infection rate | |
Rate of recovery from Lassa fever | |
Rate of recovery from onchocerciasis | |
Rate of loss of immunity to onchocerciasis |
Symbols | Value | Source |
---|---|---|
0.000212 | Estimated | |
0.065 | [11] | |
0.0054 | [16] | |
b | 0.8 | Fixed |
0.75 | Assumed | |
0.55 | Assumed | |
0.099 | [22] | |
0.089 | [22] | |
0.00814 | [22] | |
0.055 | [16] | |
0.073 | Assumed | |
0.0000545 | Estimated | |
0.0665 | Estimated | |
0.058 | [23] | |
0.295 | Assumed | |
0.5 | Assumed | |
0.00021 | Assumed | |
0.082 | [24] | |
0.0585 | Assumed | |
0.83 | Assumed | |
0.0554 | Assumed | |
0–0.1 | Assumed to vary | |
0–0.1 | Assumed to vary | |
0.09 | Assumed | |
0.049 | Assumed | |
0–0.189 | Assumed to vary | |
0.43 | Assumed | |
0.0013692 | Assumed | |
0–0.2 | Assumed to vary | |
0–0.3 | Assumed to vary | |
0–0.2 | Assumed to vary | |
0–0.3 | Assumed to vary | |
0–0.5 | Assumed to vary | |
0–0.4 | Assumed to vary |
Parameters | Sensitivity Index |
---|---|
1 | |
1 | |
Parameters | Sensitivity Index |
---|---|
b | |
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Adeyemo, K.M.; Oshinubi, K.; Adam, U.M.; Adeniji, A. A Co-Infection Model for Onchocerciasis and Lassa Fever with Optimal Control Analysis. AppliedMath 2024, 4, 89-119. https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath4010006
Adeyemo KM, Oshinubi K, Adam UM, Adeniji A. A Co-Infection Model for Onchocerciasis and Lassa Fever with Optimal Control Analysis. AppliedMath. 2024; 4(1):89-119. https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath4010006
Chicago/Turabian StyleAdeyemo, Kabiru Michael, Kayode Oshinubi, Umar Muhammad Adam, and Adejimi Adeniji. 2024. "A Co-Infection Model for Onchocerciasis and Lassa Fever with Optimal Control Analysis" AppliedMath 4, no. 1: 89-119. https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath4010006
APA StyleAdeyemo, K. M., Oshinubi, K., Adam, U. M., & Adeniji, A. (2024). A Co-Infection Model for Onchocerciasis and Lassa Fever with Optimal Control Analysis. AppliedMath, 4(1), 89-119. https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath4010006