Search Results (493)

While there are studies on bicycle crashes, no study has investigated the spatial analysis of fatal and injury bicycle crashes in the state of Ohio. This study fills this gap in the literature by mapping and investigating the bicycle crash-prone areas in the state. It analyzes fatal and injury bicycle crashes from 2014 to 2023 by utilizing four exploratory spatial data analysis techniques: nearest neighbor index, global Moran’s I index, hotspot and cold spot analysis, and local Moran’s I index at the state, county, census tract, and block group levels. Results vary slightly across techniques and spatial scales but consistently show that bicycle crash locations are clustered statewide, particularly in the state’s major metropolitan areas such as Columbus, Cincinnati, Toledo, Cleveland, and Akron. These urban centers have emerged as hotspots, indicating a higher vulnerability to bicycle crashes. While global Moran’s I analysis at the county level does not reveal significant spatial autocorrelation, a strong positive autocorrelation is observed at both the census tract (p = 0.01) and block group (p = 0.00) levels, indicating significant high clustering, signifying that finer geographical units yield more robust results. Identifying specific hotspots and vulnerable areas provides valuable insights for policymakers and urban planners to implement effective safety measures and improve conditions for non-motorized road users in Ohio. The study highlights the need for targeted mitigation strategies in high-risk areas, including comprehensive safety measures, infrastructure improvements, policy changes, and community-focused initiatives to reduce crash risk and create safer environments for cyclists throughout Ohio’s urban fabric. Full article

To ensure water source security and sustainability of the national major strategic project “South-to-North Water Diversion”, this study aims to evaluate the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the ecosystem service value (ESV) in its water source area from 2002 to 2022. This study reveals its changing trends and main influencing factors, and thereby provides scientific support for the ecological protection and management of the water source area. Quantitative assessment of the ESV of the region was carried out using the Equivalence Factor Method (EFM), aiming to provide scientific support for ecological protection and resource management decision-making. In the past 20 years, the ESV has shown an upward trend year by year, increasing by 96%. The regions with the highest ESV were Garzê Prefecture and Aba Prefecture, which increased by 130.3% and 60.6%, respectively. The ESV of Xinlong county, Danba county, Rangtang county, and Daofu county increased 4.8 times, 1.5 times, 12.5 times, and 8.9 times, respectively. In the last two decades, arable land has decreased by 91%, while the proportions of bare land and water have decreased by 84% and 91%, respectively. Grassland had the largest proportion. Forests and grasslands, vital for climate regulation, water cycle management, and biodiversity conservation, have expanded by 74% and 43%, respectively. It can be seen from Moran’s I index values that the dataset as a whole showed a slight positive spatial autocorrelation, which increased from −0.041396 to 0.046377. This study reveals the changing trends in ESV and the main influencing factors, and thereby provides scientific support for the ecological protection and management of the water source area. Full article

Carbon emissions from freshwater aquaculture can exacerbate the greenhouse effect, thereby impacting human life and health. Consequently, it is of great significance to explore the carbon peak process and the role of emission reduction data in China’s freshwater aquaculture industry. This study innovatively employs the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index model (LMDI) and the Tapio decoupling model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the relationship between carbon emissions and output values in the freshwater aquaculture industry, accurately identifying the main driving factors. Meanwhile, the global and local Moran’s I indices are introduced to analyze its spatial correlation from a new perspective. The results indicate that from 2013 to 2023, carbon emissions from China’s freshwater aquaculture industry exhibited a quasi-“N”-shaped trend, reaching a peak of 38 million tons in 2015. East China was the primary contributor to carbon emissions, accounting for 46%, while South China, Central China, and Northeast China each had an average annual share of around 14%, with Southwest, North China, and Northwest China contributing relatively small proportions. The global Moran’s I index showed a decreasing trend, with a p-value ≤ 0.0010 and a z-score > 3.3, indicating a 99% significant spatial correlation. High-high clusters were concentrated in some provinces of East China, while low-low clusters were found in Northwest, North, and Southwest China. The level of fishery economic development positively drove carbon emissions, whereas freshwater aquaculture production efficiency, industrial structure, and the scale of the aquaculture population had negative effects on carbon emissions. During the study period, carbon emissions exhibited three states: weak decoupling, strong decoupling, and expansive negative decoupling, with alternating strong and weak decoupling occurring after 2015. Full article

Achieving carbon emission reductions in the residential building sector while maintaining economic growth represents a global challenge, particularly in rapidly developing regions with internal disparities. This study examines Jiangsu Province in eastern China—a economic hub with north-south development gradients—to develop an integrated framework for differentiated carbon reduction pathways. The methodology combines spatial autocorrelation analysis, logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) decomposition, system dynamics modeling, and Tapio decoupling analysis to examine urban residential building emissions across three regions from 2016–2022. Results reveal significant spatial clustering of emissions (Moran’s I peaking at 0.735), with energy consumption per unit area as the dominant driver across all regions (contributing 147.61%, 131.82%, and 147.57% respectively). Scenario analysis demonstrates that energy efficiency policies can reduce emissions by 10.1% while maintaining 99.2% of economic performance, enabling carbon peak achievement by 2030. However, less developed northern regions emerge as binding constraints, requiring technology investments. Decoupling analysis identifies region-specific optimal pathways: conventional development for advanced regions, balanced approaches for transitional areas, and subsidies for lagging regions. These findings challenge assumptions about environment-economy trade-offs and provide a replicable framework for designing differentiated climate policies in heterogeneous territories, offering insights for similar regions worldwide navigating the transition to sustainable development. Full article

With the digital economy continuing to integrate deeply into the agricultural sector, agricultural digital transformation has emerged as a pivotal driver of rural revitalization and the development of a robust agricultural economy. Although existing studies have affirmed the positive role of agricultural digital transformation in promoting rural development and enhancing agricultural efficiency, its spatiotemporal evolution patterns, regional disparities, and underlying driving factors have not yet been systematically and thoroughly investigated. This study seeks to fill that gap. Based on provincial panel data from China spanning 2011 to 2023, this study employs the Theil index, kernel density estimation, Moran’s index, and quantile regression to systematically assess the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of agricultural digital transformation at both national and regional levels. The results reveal a steady overall improvement in agricultural digital transformation, yet regional development imbalances remain prominent, with a shift from inter-regional disparities to intra-regional disparities over time. The four major regions exhibit a stratified evolutionary trajectory marked by internal differentiation: the eastern region retains its lead, while central and western regions show potential for catch-up, and the northeastern region faces a “balance trap.” Economic development foundation, human capital quality, and policy environment support are identified as the core driving forces of transformation, while other factors demonstrate pronounced regional and phase-specific variability. This study not only deepens theoretical understanding of the uneven development and driving logic of agricultural digital transformation but also provides empirical evidence to support policy optimization and promote more balanced and sustainable development in the agricultural sector. Full article

Ensuring food security necessitates a high level of coordinated development between agricultural trade and production. Based on China’s provincial panel data from 2010 to 2023, this study constructs an evaluation index system for agricultural trade and production, employing an entropy-weighted TOPSIS model to measure their development levels. On this basis, a coupling coordination degree model and Moran’s I indices are used to analyze the coordinated development level’s temporal changes and spatial effects. The research finds that the development levels of China’s agricultural trade and production show an upward trend but currently still exhibit the pattern of higher levels in Eastern China and lower levels in Western China. The coupling coordination level between them demonstrates an increasing trend, yet the overall level remains relatively low, with an average value of only 0.445, consistently staying in a marginal disorder “running-in stage” and spatially presenting a distinct “east-high–west-low” stepped distribution pattern. Furthermore, from a spatial perspective, the Global Moran’s index decreased from 0.293 to 0.280. The coupling coordination degree of agricultural trade and production in China generally exhibits a positive spatial autocorrelation, but this effect has been weakening over time. Most provinces show spatial clustering characteristics of high–high and low–low agglomeration in local space, and this feature is relatively stable. Building on these insights, this study proposes a refinement of the coordination mechanisms between agricultural trade and production, alongside the implementation of differentiated regional coordinated development strategies, to promote the coupled and coordinated advancement of agricultural trade and production. Full article

Urban heat islands (UHIs) present a growing environmental issue in swiftly urbanizing regions, where impermeable surfaces and a lack of vegetation increase local temperatures. This research analyzes the spatial distribution of urban heat islands in Zagreb, Croatia, utilizing remote sensing data, urban planning metrics, and spatial-statistical analysis. Composite rasters of land surface temperature (LST) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were generated from four cloud-free Landsat 9 images obtained in the summer of 2024. The data were consolidated into regulatory planning units through zonal statistics, facilitating the evaluation of the impact of built-up density and designated green space on surface temperatures. A composite UHI index was developed by combining normalized land surface temperature (LST) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) measurements, while spatial clustering was examined with Local Moran’s I and Getis-Ord Gi*. The results validate spatial patterns of heat intensity, with high temperatures centered in densely built residential areas. This research addresses the gap in past UHI studies by providing a reproducible approach for detecting thermal stress zones, linking satellite data with spatial planning variables. The results support the development of localized climate adaptation methods and highlight the importance of integrating green infrastructure into urban planning methodologies. Full article

To provide safe drinking water in contaminated hydrogeological environments, it is essential to have precise geochemical information on contamination hotspots. In this study, Geographic Information System (GIS) and multivariate statistics were utilized to analyze the spatial patterns, occurrence, and major factors controlling uranium (U) concentrations in groundwater. The global and local Moran’s I indices were utilized to detect hotspots and cool spots of U distribution. The substantial positive global Moran’s I index (at a p-value of 0.05) revealed a geographical pattern in U occurrences. The spatial clusters displayed patterns of drinking water source with U concentrations below and above the WHO limit, categorized as “regional U cool spots” and “regional U hotspots”, respectively. Spatial autocorrelation plots revealed that the high–high potential spatial patterns for U were situated in the northeastern region of the study area. As the order of queen’s contiguity increased, prospective low–high spatial patterns transitioned from the Faridkot district to the Muktsar district for U. Further, the multivariate statistical analysis methods such as correlation and principal component analysis (PCA) plots revealed substantial positive associations (p-value < 0.05) between U and total dissolved solids (TDS), salinity (SL), bicarbonate (HCO₃⁻), and sodium (Na) in groundwater from both shallow and deeper depth, indicating that these water quality parameters can significantly influence the occurrence of U in the groundwater. The output of the random forest model shows that among the groundwater parameters, TDS is the most influential variable for enrichment of U in groundwater, followed by HCO₃⁻, Na, F⁻, SO₄²⁻, Mg, Cl⁻, pH, NO₃⁻, and K concentrations. Additionally, the results of health risk assessment indicate that 47.86% and 41.3% of samples pose risks to children and adults, respectively, due to F⁻−contamination. About 93.49% and 89.14% of samples pose a risk to children and adults, respectively, due to U contamination, whereas 51.08% and 39.13% of samples pose a risk to children and adults, respectively, from NO₃⁻ contamination. The current data indicates an urgent need to create cost-effective and efficient remediation techniques for groundwater contamination in this region. Full article

This study focuses on the Dongting Lake region in China and evaluates ecological vulnerability using the Sensitivity–Resilience–Pressure (SRP) framework, integrated with Spatial Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) to calculate the Ecological Vulnerability Index (EVI). The EVI values were classified into five levels using the Natural Breaks (Jenks) method, and spatial autocorrelation analysis was applied to reveal spatial differentiation patterns. The Geodetector model was used to analyze the driving mechanisms of natural and socioeconomic factors on EVI, identifying key influencing variables. Furthermore, the LightGBM algorithm was used for feature optimization, followed by the construction of six machine learning models—Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Extremely Randomized Trees (ET), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), LightGBM, and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)—to conduct multi-class classification of ecological vulnerability. Model performance was assessed using ROC–AUC, accuracy, recall, confusion matrix, and Kappa coefficient, and the best-performing model was interpreted using SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations). The results indicate that: ① ecological vulnerability increased progressively from the core wetlands and riparian corridors to the transitional zones in the surrounding hills and mountains; ② a significant spatial clustering of ecological vulnerability was observed, with a Moran’s I index of 0.78; ③ Geodetector analysis identified the interaction between NPP (q = 0.329) and precipitation (PRE, q = 0.268) as the dominant factor (q = 0.50) influencing spatial variation of EVI; ④ the Random Forest model achieved the best classification performance (AUC = 0.954, F1 score = 0.78), and SHAP analysis showed that NPP and PRE made the most significant contributions to model predictions. This study proposes a multi-method integrated decision support framework for assessing ecological vulnerability in lake wetland ecosystems. Full article

The Dabie Mountain area in Anhui Province is an essential ecological security barrier and a critical protected area in East China. It is very important to assess its ecological environment quality and identify its key driving forces. Five indicators, including Greenness, Wetness, Dryness, Heat, and Biological Richness, were used to construct an improved remote sensing ecological Index (IRSEI) to assess ecological environment quality. The weights of the five indicators were determined by coupling the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the entropy weight method (EWM). The optimal parameters-based geographical detector (OPGD) was used to recognize driving factors. The main conclusions were as follows: (1) the overall rank of ecological environment quality was mainly good and excellent. The ecological quality of forest land was excellent, that of farmland was good, and that of built-up areas was poor. (2) The change in ecological environment quality was mainly stable from 2000 to 2020. The ecological quality of some forests and farmlands improved, with a deteriorating trend in the built-up areas. (3) The Moran’s Index of ecological quality ranged from 0.77 to 0.85, indicating high spatial agglomeration. (4) The OPGD indicated that the DEM had the most explanatory power for ecological quality, and the interactive relationship between the DEM and population density had the most significant impact. (5) In comparison to the conventional remote sensing ecological Index (RSEI), the IRSEI exhibited higher congruence with observed circumstances and improved ecological interpretability. Full article

Background/Objectives: In the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 have progressively displayed a range of symptoms linked to protracted COVID during the post-acute phase of illness. Concurrently, in several nations globally, the phenomenon of population aging has been intensifying. In this scenario, the aged population has become both vulnerable and high-risk during the acute phase of COVID-19, and faces significant dangers associated with long-COVID. This study seeks to analyze the incidence and spatial distribution of health complications in older people affected by COVID-19, in the first year of the pandemic (2020), in the State of Paraná, as well as to identify the factors associated with the development of cardiovascular, neurological, respiratory, and metabolic diseases. Method: An observational and retrospective study was carried out in the Brazilian state of Paraná. Participants were randomly selected from two databases. A total of 893 older people (≥60 years) participated in the study 12 months after acute COVID-19 infection. Telephone questionnaires were applied between March and December 2021. The Moran index test, logistic regression, and Poisson models were used to analyze the data. Results: In terms of age, most participants (66%) were between 60 and 69 years old, 25.8% were between 70 and 79 years old, and 8.2% were 80 years old or older. Most participants were female (51.2%), white (98.1%), had a partner (69.8%), and had been hospitalized due to COVID-19 (59.3%). Cardiovascular diseases were the most frequent in the population (39.5%), followed by metabolic diseases (27.3%). The long-term use of medication was associated with the development of metabolic diseases (aOR = 9.8), cardiovascular diseases (aOR = 6.6), and diseases in multiple organic systems (aOR = 3.2); living alone was associated with neurological diseases (aOR = 2.5), and the age group of 80 years or older (aOR = 2.4) was associated with cardiovascular events. The spatial distribution showed that complications in body groups are distributed randomly among the health regions of the state, with no influence from neighboring locations. Conclusions: Post-COVID-19 health complications are more frequent in older adults who have comorbidities and long-term medication use. Therefore, long-term monitoring of these individuals and investment in public policies for rehabilitation and prevention of complications are necessary. Full article

The evolutionary patterns and influencing factors of the coupling coordination among multiple functions of cultivated land serve as an important basis for emphasizing the value of cultivated land utilization and promoting coordinated regional development. The entropy weight TOPSIS model, coupling coordination degree (CCD) model, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and Geodetector were employed in this study along with panel data from 125 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) for 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2022. Three key aspects in the region were investigated: the spatiotemporal evolution of cultivated land functions, characteristics of coupling coordination, and their underlying influencing factors. The results show the following: (1) The functions of cultivated land for food production, social support, and ecological maintenance are within the ranges of [0.023, 0.460], [0.071, 0.451], and [0.134, 0.836], respectively. The grain production function (GPF) shows a continuous increase, the social carrying function (SCF) first decreases and then increases, and the ecological maintenance function (EMF) first increases and then decreases. Spatially, these functions exhibit non-equilibrium characteristics: the grain production function is higher in the central and eastern regions and lower in the western region; the social support function is higher in the eastern and western regions and lower in the central region; and the ecological maintenance function is higher in the central and eastern regions and lower in the western region. (2) The coupling coordination degree of multiple functions of cultivated land is within the range of [0.158, 0.907], forming a spatial pattern where the eastern region takes the lead, the central region is rising, and the western region is catching up. (3) Moran’s I index increased from 0.376 in 2010 to 0.437 in 2022, indicating that the spatial agglomeration of the cultivated land multifunctionality coupling coordination degree has been continuously strengthening over time. (4) The spatial evolution of the coupling coordination of cultivated land multifunctionality is mainly influenced by the average elevation and average slope. However, the explanatory power of socioeconomic factors is continuously increasing. Interaction detection reveals characteristics of nonlinear enhancement or double-factor enhancement. The research results enrich the study of cultivated land multifunctionality and provide a decision-making basis for implementing the differentiated management of cultivated land resources and promoting mutual enhancement among different functions of cultivated land. Full article

Jilin Province is an important ecological security barrier and major grain-producing region in northeast China, playing a crucial role in ensuring ecological security and promoting regional sustainable development. This study examines ecological resilience from three dimensions: resistance, adaptability, and resilience. Based on multi-source data from 2000 to 2020, an ecological resilience indicator system was constructed. Spatial autocorrelation and OPGD models were employed to analyze temporal and spatial evolution and the driving mechanisms. The results indicate that ER exhibits an overall spatial pattern of “high in the east, low in the west, and under pressure in the central region.” The eastern mountainous areas demonstrate high and stable resilience, while the central plains and western ecologically fragile regions exhibit weaker resilience. In terms of resistance, the eastern mountainous regions are primarily forested, with high and sustained ESV, while the western sandy edge regions primarily have low ESV, making ecosystems susceptible to disturbance. In terms of adaptability, the large-scale farmland landscapes in the central regions exhibit strong disturbance resistance, while water resource adaptability in the western ecologically fragile regions has locally improved. However, adaptability in the eastern mountainous regions is relatively low due to development impacts. In terms of resilience, the eastern core regions possess stable recovery capabilities, while the central and western regions generally exhibit lower resistance with fluctuating changes. Between 2000 and 2020, the ecological resilience Moran’s I index slightly decreased from 0.558 to 0.554, with the spatial aggregation pattern remaining largely stable. Among the driving factors, DEM remains the most stable. The influence of NDVI has weakened, while temperature (TEM) and NPP-VIIRS have become more significant. Overall, factor interactions have grown stronger, as reflected by the q-value rising from 0.507 to 0.5605. This study provides theoretical support and decision-making references for enhancing regional ecological resilience, optimizing ecological spatial layout, and promoting sustainable ecosystem management. Full article

This study investigates the coupling coordination between carbon emission efficiency (CEE) and carbon balance (CB) in the Yellow River Basin (YRB), aiming to support high-quality regional development and the realization of China’s “dual carbon” goals. Based on panel data from 74 cities in the YRB between 2006 and 2022, the Super-SBM model, Ecological Support Coefficient (ESC), and coupling coordination degree (CCD) model are applied to evaluate the synergy between CEE and CB. Spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms are analyzed using kernel density estimation, Moran’s I index, the Dagum Gini coefficient, Markov chains, and the XGBoost algorithm. The results reveal a generally low and declining level of CCD, with the upstream and midstream regions performing better than the downstream. Spatial clustering is evident, characterized by significant positive autocorrelation and high-high or low-low clusters. Although regional disparities in CCD have narrowed slightly over time, interregional differences remain the primary source of variation. The likelihood of leapfrog development in CCD is limited, and high-CCD regions exhibit weak spillover effects. Forest coverage is identified as the most critical driver, significantly promoting CCD. Conversely, population density, urbanization, energy structure, and energy intensity negatively affect coordination. Economic development demonstrates a U-shaped relationship with CCD. Moreover, nonlinear interactions among forest coverage, population density, energy structure, and industrial enterprise scale further intensify the complexity of CCD. These findings provide important implications for enhancing regional carbon governance and achieving balanced ecological-economic development in the YRB. Full article

Healthcare accessibility is among the most critical challenges affecting millions, reflecting profound geospatial disparities in Latin America. This study aims to evaluate healthcare service geospatial accessibility patterns, comparing the geospatial coverage between public and private healthcare facilities in Santiago district, Panama. We first apply the Two-Step Floating Catchment Area (2SFCA) method and its extended variant (E2SFCA) to calculate geospatial accessibility indexes at public and private healthcare facilities. We then use Getis–Ord Gi* and Local Moran geospatial statistical analysis to identify significant clusters of high and low accessibility. The results reveal that public healthcare facilities still offer higher geospatial coverage than private healthcare facilities, with higher geospatial accessibility in the central zone and lower geospatial accessibility in the south zone of Santiago. These findings highlighted the location of new healthcare facilities in zones with lower geospatial accessibility coverage. This study provides reproducible methodological tools for other geographical contexts. It also contributes to improving decision-making and formulating public policies to reduce spatial disparities in healthcare services in Panama and other Caribbean and Latin American countries. Full article