Search Results (239)

Focusing on the Lingshan section of Guangxi’s Pinglu Canal, this study addresses frequent waterlogging during construction under subtropical monsoon rainfall. Human disturbances alter hydrological processes, causing project delays and economic losses. We developed a coupled Storm Water Management Model (SWMM 1D hydrological) and Hydrologic Engineering Center—River Analysis System 2D (HEC-RAS 2D hydrodynamic) model. High-resolution Unmanned Aerial Vehicle—Light Detection and Ranging (UAV-LiDAR) Digital Elevation Model (DEM) delineated sub-catchments, while the Green-Ampt model quantified soil conductivity decay. Synchronized runoff data drove high-resolution HEC-RAS 2D simulations of waterlogging evolution under design storms (1–100-year return periods) and a real event (10 May 2025). Key results: Water depth exhibits nonlinear growth with return period—slow at low intensities but accelerating beyond 50-year events, particularly at temporary road junctions where embankments impede flow. Additionally, intensive intermittent rainfall causes significant ponding at excavation pit-road intersections, and optimized drainage drastically shortens recession time. The study reveals a “rapid runoff generation–restricted convergence–prolonged ponding” mechanism under construction disturbance, validates the model’s capability for complex scenarios, and provides critical data for real-time waterlogging risk prediction and drainage optimization during the canal’s construction. Full article

This study presents a two-dimensional (2D) hydro-morphodynamic simulation of sediment dynamics in the Gemenc floodplain, a critical ecological zone along Hungary’s Danube River. The 60 km study area has a mean discharge of approximately 2300 m³/s, with peak floods exceeding 8000 m³/s. The objective was to analyze sediment transport, deposition, and flood hydrodynamics to support future floodplain restoration. The HEC-RAS 2D model was calibrated using water levels (Baja station), 2024 flood discharges, suspended sediment measurements, and visual stratigraphy surveys conducted after the event. A roughness sensitivity analysis was conducted to optimize Manning’s n values for various land covers. The hydrodynamic model showed strong agreement with observed hydrographs and discharge distributions across multiple cross-sections, capturing complex bidirectional flow between the main River and side branches. Sediment dynamics during the September 2024 Danube flood were effectively simulated, with SSC calibration showing a decreasing concentration trend, highlighting the floodplain’s function as a sediment trap. Predicted deposition patterns aligned with field-based visual stratigraphy, confirming high sediment accumulation near riverbanks and reduced deposition in distal zones. The model reproduced deposition thickness with acceptable variation, demonstrating spatial reliability and predictive strength. This study underscores the value of 2D modeling for integrating hydrodynamics and sediment transport to inform sustainable floodplain rehabilitation. Full article

Human activities and river course change have a complex reciprocal interaction. The river channel is altered by human activity, and these alterations have an impact on the activities and settlements along the riverbank. Understanding the relationship between urbanization and changes in river morphology is crucial for effective river management, safeguarding the urban environment, and mitigating flood hazards. In this context, this study has been conducted to investigate the interrelationship between morphological dynamics, built-up growth, and urban flood risk along the Manohara River in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal. The Sinuosity Index was used to analyze variation in river courses and instability from 1996 to 2023. Built-up change analysis is carried out using supervised maximum likelihood classification method and rate of change is calculated for built-up area growth (2003–2023) and building construction between 2003 and 2021. Flood hazard risk manning was carried out using flood frequency estimation method integrating HEC-GeoRAS modeling. Linear regression and spatial overlay analysis was carried out to examine the interrelationship between river morphology, urban growth, and fold hazed risk. In recent years (2016–2023), the Manohara River has straightened, particularly after 2011. Before 2011, it had significant meandering with pronounced curves and bends, indicating a mature river system. However, the SI value of 1.45 in 2023 and 1.80 in 2003 indicates a significant straightening of high meandering over 20 years. A flood hazard modeling carried out within the active floodplain of the Manohara River shows that 26.4% of the area is under high flood risk and 21% is under moderate risk. Similarly, over 10 years from 2006 to 2016, the rate of built-up change was found to be 9.11, while it was 7.9 between 2011 and 2021. The calculated R² value of 0.7918 at a significance level of 0.05 (with a p value of 0.0175, and a standard error value of 0.07877) indicates a strong positive relationship between decreasing sinuosity and increasing built-up, which demonstrates the effect of built-up expansion on river morphology, particularly the anthropogenic activities of encroachment and haphazard constructions, mining, dumping wastes, and squatter settlements along the active floodplain, causing instability on the river course and hence, lateral shift. The riverbank and active floodplain are not defined scientifically, which leads to the invasion of the river area. These activities, together with land use alteration in the floodplain, show an increased risk of flood hazards and other natural calamities. Therefore, sustainable protection measures must be prioritized in the active floodplain and flood risk areas, taking into account upstream–downstream linkages and chain effects caused by interaction between natural and adverse anthropogenic activities. Full article

The present study explores the application of RNNs for the prediction and propagation of flood waves along a section of the Bârsa River, Romania, as a fast alternative to classical hydraulic models, aiming to identify new ways to alert the population. Five neural architectures were analyzed as follows: S-RNN, LSTM, GRU, Bi-LSTM, and Bi-GRU. The input data for the neural networks were derived from 2D hydraulic simulations conducted using HEC-RAS software, which provided the necessary training data for the models. It should be mentioned that the input data for the hydraulic model are synthetic hydrographs, derived from the statistical processing of recorded floods. Performance evaluation was based on standard metrics such as NSE, $R^2$ MSE, and RMSE. The results indicate that all studied networks performed well, with NSE and $R^2$ values close to 1, thus validating their capacity to reproduce complex hydrological dynamics. Overall, all models yielded satisfactory results, making them useful tools particularly the GRU and Bi-GRU architectures, which showed the most balanced behavior, delivering low errors and high stability in predicting peak discharge, water level, and flood wave volume. The GRU and Bi-GRU networks yielded the best performance, with RMSE values below 1.45, MAE under 0.3, and volume errors typically under 3%. On the other hand, LSTM architecture exhibited the most significant instability and errors, especially in estimating the flood wave volume, often having errors exceeding 9% in some sections. The study concludes by identifying several limitations, including the heavy reliance on synthetic data and its local applicability, while also proposing solutions for future analyses, such as the integration of real-world data and the expansion of the methodology to diverse river basins thus providing greater significance to RNN models. The final conclusions highlight that RNNs are powerful tools in flood risk management, contributing to the development of fast and efficient early warning systems for extreme hydrological and meteorological events. Full article

Flooding due to dam failures is a critical issue with significant impacts on human safety, infrastructure, and the environment. This study assessed the potential flood hazard that could be generated from breaching of the Alacranes dam in Villa Clara, Cuba. Thirteen reservoir breaching scenarios were simulated under several criteria for modeling the flood wave through the 2D Saint Venant equations using the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System (HEC-RAS). A sensitivity analysis was performed on Manning’s roughness coefficient, demonstrating a low variability of the model outputs for these events. The results show that, for all modeled scenarios, the terrain topography of the coastal plain expands the flood wave, reaching a maximum width of up to 105,057 km. The most critical scenario included a 350 m breach in just 0.67 h. Flood, velocity, and hazard maps were generated, identifying populated areas potentially affected by the flooding events. The reported depths, velocities, and maximum flows could pose extreme danger to infrastructure and populated areas downstream. These types of studies are crucial for both risk assessment and emergency planning in the event of a potential dam breach. Full article

Quantifying future changes in extreme events and associated flooding is challenging yet fundamental for stormwater managers. Along the U.S. Atlantic Coast, Eastern North Carolina (ENC) is frequently exposed to catastrophic floods from extreme rainfall that is typically associated with tropical cyclones. This study presents a novel approach that uses rainfall data from five dynamically and statistically downscaled (DD and SD) global climate models under two scenarios to visualize a potential future extent of flooding in ENC. Here, we use DD data (at 36-km grid spacing) to compute future changes in precipitation intensity–duration–frequency (PIDF) curves at the end of the 21st century. These PIDF curves are further applied to observed rainfall from Hurricane Matthew—a landfalling storm that created widespread flooding across ENC in 2016—to project versions of “Matthew 2100” that reflect changes in extreme precipitation under those scenarios. Each Matthew-2100 rainfall distribution was then used in hydrologic models (HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS) to simulate “2100” discharges and flooding extents in the Neuse River Basin (4686 km²) in ENC. The results show that DD datasets better represented historical changes in extreme rainfall than SD datasets. The projected changes in ENC rainfall (up to 112%) exceed values published for the U.S. but do not exceed historical values. The peak discharges for Matthew-2100 could increase by 23–69%, with 0.4–3 m increases in water surface elevation and 8–57% increases in flooded area. The projected increases in flooding would threaten people, ecosystems, agriculture, infrastructure, and the economy throughout ENC. Full article

This study presents a scenario-based, two-dimensional flood modeling approach to assess the potential downstream impacts of a piping-induced dam failure triggered by seismic activity. The case study focuses on the Doğantepe Dam in northwestern Türkiye, located near an active branch of the North Anatolian Fault. Critical deformation zones were previously identified through PLAXIS 2D seismic analyses, which served as the physical basis for a dam break scenario. This scenario was modeled using the HEC-RAS 2D platform, incorporating high-resolution topographic data, reservoir capacity, and spatially varying Manning’s roughness coefficients. The simulation results show that the flood wave reaches downstream settlements within the first 30 min, with water depths exceeding 3.0 m in low-lying areas and flow velocities surpassing 6.0 m/s, reaching up to 7.0 m/s in narrow sections. Inundation extents and hydraulic parameters such as water depth and duration were spatially mapped to assess flood hazards. The study demonstrates that integrating physically based seismic deformation data with hydrodynamic modeling provides a realistic and applicable framework for evaluating flood risks and informing emergency response planning. Full article

Non-Newtonian debris flows represent a critical challenge for hydraulic infrastructure in mountainous regions, often causing significant damage and service disruption. However, current models typically simplify these flows as Newtonian, leading to inaccurate design assumptions. This study addresses this gap by comparing the hydraulic behavior of Newtonian and non-Newtonian flows in an alluvial fan, using the Amoray Gully in Apurímac, Peru, as a case study. This gully intersects the Interoceánica Sur national highway via a low-water crossing (baden), making it a relevant site for evaluating debris flow impacts on critical road infrastructure. The methodology integrates hydrological analysis, rheological characterization, and hydraulic modeling. QGIS 3.16 was used for watershed delineation and extraction of physiographic parameters, while a high-resolution topographic survey was conducted using an RTK drone. Rainfall-runoff modeling was performed in HEC-HMS 4.7 using 25 years of precipitation data, and hydraulic simulations were executed in HEC-RAS 6.6, incorporating rheological parameters and calibrated with the footprint of a historical event (5-year return period). Results show that traditional Newtonian models underestimate flow depth by 17% and overestimate velocity by 54%, primarily due to unaccounted particle-collision effects. Based on these findings, a multi-barrel circular culvert was designed to improve debris flow management. This study provides a replicable modeling framework for debris-prone watersheds and contributes to improving design standards in complex terrain. The proposed methodology and findings offer practical guidance for hydraulic design in mountainous terrain affected by debris flows, especially where infrastructure intersects active alluvial fans. Full article

Flood hazards have increasingly threatened the East Kazakhstan region in recent decades due to climate change and growing anthropogenic pressures, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This article considers an approach to modeling and forecasting river runoff using the example of the small Kurchum River in the East Kazakhstan region. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the numerical performance of the flood hazard model by comparing simulated flood extents with observed flood data. Two types of data were used as initial data: topographic data (digital elevation models and topographic maps) and hydrological data, including streamflow time series from stream gauges (hourly time steps) and lateral inflows along the river course. Spatially distributed rainfall forcing was not applied. To build the model, we used the software packages of HEC-RAS version 5.0.5 and MIKE version 11. Using retrospective data for 3 years (2019–2021), modeling was performed, the calculated boundaries of possible flooding were obtained, and the highest risk zones were identified. A dynamic map of depth changes in the river system is presented, showing the process of flood wave propagation, the dynamics of depth changes, and the expansion of the flood zone. Temporal flood inundation mapping and performance metrics were evaluated for each individual flood event (2019, 2020, and 2021). The simulation outcomes closely correlate with actual flood events. The assessment showed that the model data coincide with the real ones by 91.89% (2019), 89.09% (2020), and 95.91% (2021). The obtained results allow for a clarification of potential flood zones and can be used in planning measures to reduce flood risks. This study demonstrates the importance of an integrated approach to modeling, combining various software packages and data sources. Full article

Under the influence of global climate change, water conservancy projects located in the high-latitude cold regions of the world are facing severe challenges. This study addresses the contradiction between water supply stability and ecological flow during the dry season in cold regions. Taking Linhai Reservoir as the core, it integrates the HEC-RAS hydrodynamic model with multi-source data such as basin topography, hydro-meteorological data, and water conservancy project parameters to construct a multi-scenario water supply scheduling model during the dry season. The aim is to provide scientific recommendations for different reservoir operation strategies in response to varying frequencies of upstream inflow, based on simulations conducted after the reservoir’s completion. Taking into account winter runoff reduction characteristics and engineering parameters, we simulated the relationships between water level and flow, ecological flow requirements, and urban water shortages. The results indicate that in both flood and normal years, dynamic coordination of storage and discharge can achieve a daily water supply of 120,000 cubic meters, with 100% compliance for the ecological flow rate. For mild and moderate drought years, additional water diversion becomes necessary to achieve 93.5% and 89% supply reliability, respectively. During severe and extreme droughts, significantly reduced reservoir inflows lower ecological compliance rates, necessitating emergency measures, such as utilizing dead storage capacity and exploring alternative water sources. The study proposes operational strategies tailored to different drought intensities: initiating storage adjustments in September for mild droughts and implementing peak-shifting measures by mid-October for extreme droughts. These approaches enhance storage efficiency and mitigate ice blockage risks. This research supports the water supply security and river ecological health of urban and rural areas in Mudanjiang City and Hailin City and provides a certain scientific reference basis for the multi-objective coordinated operation of reservoirs in the same type of high-latitude cold regions. Full article

During heavy rainfalls, overflowing sewage water flows from the Combined Sewer Overflow (CSO) chambers and pollutes the Trnávka River in Trnava, Slovakia. This paper aims to propose water retention measures for the Trnávka River as a remediation technique for CSO-affected watercourses, which can contribute to the ‘flushing’ of the riverbed. During heavy rainfalls, the Trnávka River is polluted by solid, non-soluble materials, which produce unpleasant odors and are the subject of numerous complaints by citizens, particularly during low water levels. Three inflatable rubber weirs were designed, and their design was verified using a 1D numerical model of the Trnávka River. The simulations of the proposed measures performed in the HEC-RAS 5.0 software excluded the adverse effect of the backwater on the functioning of the CSO chambers in the city of Trnava during normal flow rates and confirmed that, even after installation of the weirs, the transition of the flood wave will pass in the riverbed, not causing the flooding of the adjacent area. The chemical–physical study of the Trnávka River confirmed our assumption that higher flow rates, which can be secured by the regulation of the proposed weirs, can contribute to the purity of the watercourse in the city of Trnava. Full article

This study presents a flood risk assessment of five rural bridges along the monsoon-prone Khar–Mohmand Gat corridor in Northwestern Pakistan using an integrated hydrologic and hydraulic modeling framework. Hydrologic simulations for 50- and 100-year design storms were performed using the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS), with watershed delineation conducted via Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Calibration was based on regional rainfall data from the Peshawar station using a Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) of 86 and time of concentration calculated using Kirpich’s method. The resulting hydrographs were used in two-dimensional hydraulic simulations using the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) to evaluate water surface elevations, flow velocities, and Froude numbers at each bridge site. The findings reveal that all bridges can convey peak flows without overtopping under current climatic conditions. However, Bridges 3 to 5 experience near-critical to supercritical flow conditions, with velocities ranging from 3.43 to 4.75 m/s and Froude numbers between 0.92 and 1.04, indicating high vulnerability to local scour. Bridge 2 shows moderate risk, while Bridge 1 faces the least hydraulic stress. The applied modeling framework effectively identifies structures requiring priority intervention and demonstrates a practical methodology for assessing flood risk in ungauged, data-scarce, and semi-arid regions. Full article

Non-Newtonian mud and debris flows include a wide range of physical processes depending on the setting, concentration, and soil properties. Numerical modelers have developed a variety of non-Newtonian algorithms to simulate this range of physical processes. However, the assumptions and limitations in any given model or software package can be difficult to replicate. This diversity in the physical processes and algorithmic approach to non-Newtonian numerical modeling makes a modular computation library approach advantageous. A computational library consolidates the algorithms for each process. This work presents a flexible numerical library framework (DebrisLib) that has a diverse range of software implemented to simulate geophysical flows using steady flow, kinematic wave, diffusion wave, and shallow-water models with finite difference, finite element, and finite volume computational schemes. DebrisLib includes a variety of non-Newtonian closures that predict a range of geophysical flow conditions and modular code designed to operate with any Newtonian parent-code architecture. This paper presents the DebriLib algorithms and framework and laboratory validation simulation. The simulations demonstrate the utility of the algorithms and the value of the library architecture by calling it from different modeling frameworks developed by the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). We present results with the one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) Hydrologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) and the 2D Adaptive Hydraulics (AdH) numerical models, each calling the same library. Full article

Floods pose a substantial threat to both life and property, with their frequency and intensity escalating due to climate change. A comprehensive hydrological and hydraulic modeling approach is essential for understanding flood dynamics and developing effective future flood risk management strategies. The accuracy of Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) directly impacts the reliability of hydrologic simulations. This study focuses on evaluating the efficacy of two DEMs in hydrological modeling, specifically investigating their potential for daily discharge simulation in the Periyar River Basin, Kerala, India. Recognizing the limitations of the Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) with the available dataset, a novel hybrid model was developed by integrating HEC-HMS outputs with an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). While precipitation, lagged precipitation, and lagged discharge served as inputs to the ANN, the hybrid model also incorporated HEC-HMS simulations as an additional input. The results demonstrated improved performance of the hybrid model in simulating daily discharge. The Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) was employed to predict flood inundation areas for both historical and future scenarios in the Aluva region of the Periyar River Basin, which was severely impacted during the 2018 Kerala floods. By integrating hydrological and hydraulic modeling approaches, this study aims to enhance flood prediction accuracy and contribute to the development of effective flood mitigation strategies. Full article

Flood events have become more frequent as a result of seasonal changes, global warming, and changes in sea level. In terms of basin management, it is necessary to know the hydrodynamics of the basin in order to produce faster solutions in emergency action plans. The Filyos River is one of the two most important floodplains in the western Black Sea basin and has so far only been analyzed to a limited extent using modern hydrological and hydraulic models. In order to analyze the flood dynamics and determine the flood risks in the Filyos River. In this context, flood hydrographs, rainfall depths, peak flows, and excess water volumes were calculated for different return periods (2, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 years) using HEC-RAS, HEC-HMS, and Hyfran Plus software. The analyses showed that the rainfall depth and peak flow rate increased significantly as the return period increased. It was also observed that although the volume of precipitation increased, the amount of water converted into surface runoff remained limited due to infiltration and other losses. The results of the study contribute to the identification of high flood-risk areas in the Filyos River basin, the improvement of flood prevention infrastructure, and the development of sustainable water management policies. Analyses using modeling tools such as HEC-RAS and HEC-HMS provide a scientific basis to help local governments and decision makers strengthen flood prevention strategies, update risk maps, and make emergency response plans more effective while making flood scenarios more reliable. Full article