Search Results (248)

The increasing penetration of renewable energy into power systems has intensified transient power quality (PQ) disturbances, demanding efficient detection and classification methods to enable timely operational decisions. This paper introduces a hybrid framework combining an Improved Adaptive S-Transform (IAST) with a Random Forest (RF) classifier to address these challenges. The IAST employs a globally adaptive Gaussian window as its kernel function, which automatically adjusts window length and spectral resolution based on real-time frequency characteristics, thereby enhancing time–frequency localization accuracy while reducing algorithmic complexity. To optimize computational efficiency, window parameters are determined through an energy concentration maximization criterion, enabling rapid extraction of discriminative features from diverse PQ disturbances (e.g., voltage sags and transient interruptions). These features are then fed into an RF classifier, which simultaneously mitigates model variance and bias, achieving robust classification. Experimental results show that the proposed IAST–RF method achieves a classification accuracy of 99.73%, demonstrating its potential for real-time PQ monitoring in modern grids with high renewable energy penetration. Full article

With the large-scale integration of renewable energy into distribution networks, traditional fixed-setting overcurrent protection strategies struggle to adapt to rapid fluctuations in renewable energy (e.g., wind and photovoltaic) output. Optimizing current settings is crucial for enhancing the stability of modern distribution networks. This paper proposes an adaptive overcurrent protection method based on an improved NSGA-II algorithm. By dynamically detecting renewable power fluctuations and generating adaptive solutions, the method enables the online optimization of protection parameters, effectively reducing misoperation rates, shortening operation times, and significantly improving the reliability and resilience of distribution networks. Using the rate of renewable power variation as the core criterion, renewable power changes are categorized into abrupt and gradual scenarios. Depending on the scenario, either a random solution injection strategy (DNSGA-II-A) or a Gaussian mutation strategy (DNSGA-II-B) is dynamically applied to adjust overcurrent protection settings and time delays, ensuring real-time alignment with grid conditions. Hard constraints such as sensitivity, selectivity, and misoperation rate are embedded to guarantee compliance with relay protection standards. Additionally, the convergence of the Pareto front change rate serves as the termination condition, reducing computational redundancy and avoiding local optima. Simulation tests on a 10 kV distribution network integrated with a wind farm validate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Full article

The article investigates the accuracy of nonparametric univariate density estimation methods applied to various Gaussian mixture models. A comprehensive comparative analysis is performed for four popular estimation approaches: adaptive kernel density estimation, projection pursuit, log-spline estimation, and wavelet-based estimation. The study is extended with modified versions of these methods, where the sample is first clustered using the EM algorithm based on Gaussian mixture components prior to density estimation. Estimation accuracy is quantitatively evaluated using MAE and MAPE criteria, with simulation experiments conducted over 100,000 replications for various sample sizes. The results show that estimation accuracy strongly depends on the density structure, sample size, and degree of component overlap. Clustering before density estimation significantly improves accuracy for multimodal and asymmetric densities. Although no formal statistical tests are conducted, the performance improvement is validated through non-overlapping confidence intervals obtained from 100,000 simulation replications. In addition, several decision-making systems are compared for automatically selecting the most appropriate estimation method based on the sample’s statistical features. Among the tested systems, kernel discriminant analysis yielded the lowest error rates, while neural networks and hybrid methods showed competitive but more variable performance depending on the evaluation criterion. The findings highlight the importance of using structurally adaptive estimators and automation of method selection in nonparametric statistics. The article concludes with recommendations for method selection based on sample characteristics and outlines future research directions, including extensions to multivariate settings and real-time decision-making systems. Full article

This study explores the presence of hidden market regimes in a sector-specific stock index within the Thai equity market. The behavior of such indices often deviates from broader macroeconomic trends, making it difficult for conventional models to detect regime changes. To overcome this limitation, the study employs a multivariate Gaussian mixture hidden Markov model, which enables the identification of unobservable states based on daily and intraday return patterns. These patterns include open-to-close, open-to-high, and low-to-open returns. The model is estimated using various specifications, and the best-performing structure is chosen based on the Akaike Information Criterion and the Bayesian Information Criterion. The final model reveals three statistically distinct regimes that correspond to bullish, sideways, and bearish conditions. Statistical tests, particularly the Kruskal–Wallis method, confirm that return distributions, trading volume, and open interest differ significantly across these regimes. Additionally, the analysis incorporates risk measures, including expected shortfall, maximum drawdown, and the coefficient of variation. The results indicate that the bearish regime carries the highest risk, whereas the bullish regime is relatively stable. These findings offer practical insights for regime-aware portfolio management in sectoral equity markets. Full article

This work presents the theoretical design and finite element modeling of high-sensitivity microcantilevers for biosensing applications, integrating piezoelectric actuation with novel ultrananocrystalline diamond (UNCD) structures. Microcantilevers were designed based on projections to grow a multilayer metal/AlN/metal/UNCD stack on silicon substrates, optimized to detect adsorption of biomolecules on the surface of exposed UNCD microcantilevers at the picogram scale. A central design criterion was to match the microcantilever’s eigenfrequency with the resonant frequency of the AlN-based piezoelectric actuator, enabling efficient dynamic excitation. The beam length was tuned to ensure a ≥2 kHz resonant frequency shift upon adsorption of 1 pg of mass distributed on the exposed surface of a UNCD-based microcantilever. Subsequently, a Gaussian distribution mass function with a variance of 5 µm was implemented to evaluate the resonant frequency shift upon mass addition at a certain point on the microcantilever where a variation from 600 Hz to 100 Hz was observed when the mass distribution center was located at the tip of the microcantilever and the piezoelectric borderline, respectively. Both frequency and time domain analyses were performed to predict the resonance behavior, oscillation amplitude, and quality factor. To ensure the reliability of the simulations, the model was first validated using experimental results reported in the literature for an AlN/nanocrystalline diamond (NCD) microcantilever. The results confirmed that the AlN/UNCD architecture exhibits higher resonant frequencies and enhanced sensitivity compared to equivalent AlN/Si structures. The findings demonstrate that using a UNCD-based microcantilever not only improves biocompatibility but also significantly enhances the mechanical performance of the biosensor, offering a robust foundation for the development of next-generation MEMS-based biochemical detection platforms. The research reported here introduces a novel design methodology that integrates piezoelectric actuation with UNCD microcantilevers through eigenfrequency matching, enabling efficient picogram-scale mass detection. Unlike previous approaches, it combines actuator and cantilever optimization within a unified finite element framework, validated against experimental data published in the literature for similar piezo-actuated sensors using materials with inferior biocompatibility compared with the novel UNCD. The dual-domain simulation strategy offers accurate prediction of key performance metrics, establishing a robust and scalable path for next-generation MEMS biosensors. Full article

This study presents numerical analyses of the thermal, metallurgical, and mechanical processes involved in welding. The temperature fields were computed by solving the transient heat transfer equation using the ABAQUS/Standard 2024 finite element solver. Two types of moving heat sources were applied: a surface Gaussian distribution and a volumetric model, both implemented via DFLUX subroutines to simulate welding on butt-jointed plates. The simulation accounted for key welding parameters, including current, voltage, welding speed, and plate dimensions. The thermophysical properties of the INC 738 LC nickel superalloy were used in the model. Solidification characteristics, such as dendritic arm spacing, were estimated based on cooling rates around the weld pool. The model also calculated transverse residual stresses and applied a hot cracking criterion to identify regions vulnerable to cracking. The peak transverse stress, recorded in the heat-affected zone (HAZ), reached 1.1 GPa under Goldak’s heat input model. Additionally, distortions in the welded plates were evaluated for both heat source configurations. Full article

This paper investigates the distributed state estimation problem for the linear system against non-Gaussian noise, where every sensor commutates information only within its adjacent sensors without the need for a fusion center. Correntropy is a similarity metric based on a kernel function that has symmetry. Symmetry means that for any two data points, the output value of the kernel function does not depend on the order of the data points. By adopting a correntropy cost function based on the rational quadratic kernel function approximation to restrain non-Gaussian heavy-tailed noise, a centralized maximum correntropy Kalman filter is first derived for the linear sens+or network system at first. Then the corresponding centralized maximum correntropy information filter is attained by employing the information matrices, which is a foundation for further designing distributed information algorithms under multi-sensor networks. Thirdly, the distributed rational quadratic maximum correntropy information filter and distributed adaptive rational quadratic maximum correntropy information filter are designed by exploiting the weighted census average to solve the non-Gaussian heavy-tailed noise interference in sensor networks. Finally, the performance of the proposed algorithms is illustrated through numerical simulations on the sensor network system. Full article

This study proposes an extension of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average models with exogenous regressors (SARIMAX) by incorporating skew-normal and zero-inflated skew-normal error structures to better accommodate asymmetry and excess zeros in time series data. The proposed framework demonstrates improved flexibility and robustness compared to traditional Gaussian-based models. Simulation experiments reveal that the skewness parameter significantly affect forecasting accuracy, with reductions in mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) observed across both positively and negatively skewed scenarios. Notably, in negative-skew contexts, the model achieved an MAE of 0.40 and RMSE of 0.49, outperforming its symmetric-error counterparts. The inclusion of zero-inflation probabilities further enhances model performance in sparse datasets, yielding superior values in goodness-of-fit criteria such as the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). To illustrate the practical value of the methodology, a real-world case study is presented involving the modeling of optical density (OD₆₀₀) data from Escherichia coli during stationary-phase growth. A SARIMAX(1,1,1) model with skew-normal errors was fitted to 200 time-stamped absorbance measurements, revealing significant positive skewness in the residuals. Bootstrap-derived confidence intervals confirmed the significance of the estimated skewness parameter ($\alpha =14.033$ with 95% CI [12.07, 15.99]). The model outperformed the classical ARIMA benchmark in capturing the asymmetry of the stochastic structure, underscoring its relevance for biological, environmental, and industrial applications in which non-Gaussian features are prevalent. Full article

Accurate extraction of weak fault information from non-stationary vibration signals collected by vibration sensors is challenging due to severe noise and interference. While variational mode decomposition (VMD) has been effective in fault diagnosis, its reliance on predefined parameters, such as center frequencies and mode number, limits its adaptability and performance across different signal characteristics. To address these limitations, this paper proposes an improved variational mode decomposition (IVMD) method that enhances diagnostic performance by adaptively determining key parameters based on scale space representation. In concrete, the approach constructs a scale space by computing the inner product between the signal’s Fourier spectrum and a Gaussian function, and then identifies both the mode number and initial center frequencies through peak detection, ensuring more accurate and stable decomposition. Moreover, a multipoint kurtosis (MKurt) criterion is further employed to identify fault-relevant components, which are then merged to suppress redundancy and enhance diagnostic clarity. Experimental validation on locomotive bearings with inner race faults and compound faults demonstrates that IVMD outperforms conventional VMD by effectively extracting fault features obscured by noise. The results confirm the robustness and adaptability of IVMD, making it a promising tool for fault diagnosis in complex industrial environments. Full article

Aimed at the problem of navigation performance degradation in inertial navigation system/global navigation satellite system (INS/GNSS)-integrated navigation systems due to measurement anomalies and non-Gaussian measurement noise in complex navigation environments, an adaptive unscented Kalman filter (AUKF) algorithm based on the maximum versoria criterion (MVC) is developed. The proposed method is designed to enhance INS/GNSS-integrated navigation system robustness and accuracy by addressing the limitations of conventional filtering approaches. An adaptive unscented Kalman filter is constructed to enable dynamic adjustment of filter parameters, allowing for real-time adaptation to measurement anomalies. This ensures accurate tracking of navigation parameter states, thereby improving the robustness of the INS/GNSS-integrated navigation system in the presence of abnormal measurements. On this basis, fully considering the high-order moments of estimation errors, the maximum versoria criterion is introduced as the optimization criterion to construct a novel cost function, further effectively suppressing deviations caused by non-Gaussian disturbances and improving system navigation accuracy. The effectiveness of the proposed method was verified through vehicle navigation experiments. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms traditional approaches, effectively handling measurement anomalies and non-Gaussian measurement noise while maintaining robust navigation performance. Specifically, compared to the EKF, UKF, and MCCUKF, the proposed method reduces the root mean square error of velocity and position by over 60%, 50%, and 30%, respectively, under complex navigation conditions. The algorithm exhibits good accuracy and stability in complex environments, showcasing its practical applicability in real-world navigation systems. Full article

Background/Objectives: Healthcare utilization is a behavioral phenomenon influenced by psychosocial factors. This study took place in South Tyrol, a culturally diverse autonomous province in northern Italy, and aimed to identify latent profiles of primary healthcare users based on health literacy, patient activation, sleep quality, and service use, and to examine the sociodemographic and health-related predictors of profile membership. Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted with a representative adult sample (n = 2090). The participants completed the questionnaire in German or Italian. Latent profiles were identified via model-based clustering using Gaussian mixture modeling and four z-standardized indicators: total primary healthcare contacts (general practice and emergency room visits), HLS-EU-Q16 (health literacy), PAM-10 (patient activation), and B-PSQI (sleep quality). The optimal cluster solution was selected using the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Kruskal–Wallis and chi-square tests were used for between-cluster comparisons of the data. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the predictors of cluster membership. Results: Among the 1645 respondents with complete data, a three-cluster solution showed a good model fit (BIC = 19,518; silhouette = 0.130). The identified profiles included ‘Balanced Self-Regulators’ (72.8%), ‘Struggling Navigators’ (25.8%), and ‘Hyper-Engaged Users’ (1.4%). Sleep quality could be used to differentiate between different levels of service use (p < 0.001), while low health literacy and patient activation were key features of the high-utilization groups. Poor sleep and inadequate health literacy were associated with increased healthcare contact. Conclusions: The latent profiling revealed distinct patterns in health care engagement. Behavioral segmentation can inform more tailored and culturally sensitive public health interventions in diverse settings such as South Tyrol. Full article

Online monitoring of partial discharge (PD) is a complex task traditionally requiring specialized expertise. However, recent advancements in signal processing and machine learning have facilitated the development of automated tools to identify and categorize PD patterns, aiding those without extensive experience. This paper aims to identify PD types and estimate the density distribution of frequency characteristics for three PD types, internal PD, surface PD, and corona PD, using verified PD data. The proposed method employs a findpeaks algorithm based on Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) to extract frequency key features, denoted as f₁ and f₂, from the frequency spectrum. These features are used to estimate model parameters for each PD type, enabling the representation of their frequency density distributions in a 2D map (f₁, f₂) via Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs). The optimal number of Gaussian components, determined as five using the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), ensures accurate modeling. For PD identification, log-likelihood and softmax functions are applied, achieving an evaluation accuracy of 96.68%. The model also demonstrates robust performance in identifying unknown PD data, with accuracy ranging from 78.10% to 95.11%. This approach enhances the distinction between PD types based on their frequency characteristics, providing a reliable tool for PD signal analysis and identification. Full article

The increasing complexity of artificial intelligence and machine learning models has raised concerns about balancing model accuracy and interpretability. While advanced software tools facilitate model design, they also introduce challenges in selecting models that offer both high quality and manageable complexity. Validation techniques such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) enable quantitative assessment, but empirical studies indicate that higher complexity does not always improve predictive performance. This study proposes an approach to evaluate model complexity versus accuracy in predicting the absorption properties of composite materials with varying textile fibre content (10%, 20%, 30%, 40%). Using MATLAB’s Curve Fitting Toolbox, we assessed polynomial, Fourier, and Gaussian regression models. The Gaussian regression model with six parameters (Gauss6) achieved the best balance between complexity and accuracy (R² = 0.9429; RMSE = 0.013537; MAE = 0.004885). Increasing parameters beyond six showed diminishing returns, as confirmed by AIC (−2806.93 for Gauss6 vs. −2847.17 for Gauss7). These findings emphasise that higher model complexity does not necessarily enhance quality, highlighting the importance of structured model validation. This study provides insights for optimising predictive modelling in material science and other domains. Full article

This study investigates the effect of active control on a quarter-vehicle suspension system. The car suspension system was modeled using the Lagrange–Euler method. The linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) and fuzzy linear quadratic Gaussian (FLQG) control methods were designed and used for active control to increase vehicle handling and passenger comfort, with the aim of reducing or eliminating vibrations by performing active control of passive suspension systems using these methods. The optimum values of the coefficients of the points where the membership functions of the LQG and Fuzzy LQG methods touch were obtained using the grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm. The success of the control performance rate of the applied methods was compared based on the passive suspension system. In addition, the obtained results were compared with each other and with other studies using the integral time-weighted absolute error (ITAE) performance criterion. The proposed control method yielded significant improvements in vehicle parameters compared with the passive suspension system. Vehicle body movement, vehicle acceleration, suspension deflection, and tire deflection improved by approximately 88.2%, 91.5%, 88%, and 89.4%, respectively. Thus, vehicle driving comfort was significantly enhanced based on the proposed system. Full article

Recent single-cell experiments that measure copy numbers of over 40 proteins in thousands of individual cells at different time points [time-stamped snapshot (TSS) data] exhibit cell-to-cell variability. Because the same cells cannot be tracked over time, TSS data provide key information about the statistical time-evolution of protein abundances in single cells, information that could yield insights into the mechanisms influencing the biochemical signaling kinetics of a cell. However, when multiple candidate models (i.e., mechanistic models applied to initial protein abundances) can potentially explain the same TSS data, selecting the best model (i.e., model selection) is often challenging. For example, popular approaches like Kullback–Leibler divergence and Akaike’s Information Criterion are often difficult to implement largely because mathematical expressions for the likelihoods of candidate models are typically not available. To perform model selection, we introduce an entropy-based approach that uses split-sample techniques to exploit the availability of large data sets and uses (1) existing generalized method of moments (GMM) software to estimate model parameters, and (2) standard kernel density estimators and a Gaussian copula to estimate candidate models. Using simulated data, we show that our approach can select the ”ground truth” from a set of competing mechanistic models. Then, to assess the relative support for a candidate model, we compute model selection probabilities using a bootstrap procedure. Full article