Search Results (256)

High-resolution numerical weather prediction requires accurate cloud microphysical initial conditions to enhance forecasting capabilities for high-impact severe weather events such as convective storms. This study integrated Fengyun-2 (FY-2) geostationary satellite data (equivalent blackbody temperature and total cloud cover) and next-generation 3D weather radar reflectivity from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) to construct cloud microphysical initial fields and evaluate their impact on the CMA-MESO 3 km regional model. An analysis of the catastrophic rainfall event in Henan on 20 July 2021, and a 92-day continuous experiment (May–July 2024) revealed that assimilating cloud microphysical variables significantly improved precipitation forecasting: the equitable threat scores (ETSs) for 1 h forecasts of light, moderate, and heavy rain increased from 0.083, 0.043, and 0.007 to 0.41, 0.36, and 0.217, respectively, with average hourly ETS improvements of 21–71% for 2–6 h forecasts and increases in ETSs for light, moderate, and heavy rain of 7.5%, 9.8%, and 24.9% at 7–12 h, with limited improvement beyond 12 h. Furthermore, the root mean square error (RMSE) of the 2 m temperature forecasts decreased across all 1–72 h lead times, with a 4.2% reduction during the 1–9 h period, while the geopotential height RMSE reductions reached 5.8%, 3.3%, and 2.0% at 24, 48, and 72 h, respectively. Additionally, synchronized enhancements were observed in 10 m wind prediction accuracy. These findings underscore the critical role of cloud microphysical initialization in advancing mesoscale numerical weather prediction systems. Full article

This study aims to develop a high-resolution temperature dataset from 40 km to 110 km over China by machine learning techniques, with a horizontal resolution of 0.5° × 0.5° and vertical resolution of 1 km, utilizing measurements from SABER onboard the Thermosphere, Ionosphere, Mesosphere Energetics, and Dynamics (TIMED) and Fengyun 4A (FY-4A) satellites. Accurate temperature profiles play a critical role in understanding the atmospheric dynamics and climate change. However, because of the limitation of traditional detecting methods, the measurements of the upper stratosphere and mesosphere are rare. In this study, a new method is developed to construct a high-resolution temperature dataset over China in the middle atmosphere based on the XGBoost technique. The model’s performance is also validated based on rocket observations and ERA5 reanalysis data. The results indicate that the model effectively captures the characteristics of the vertical and seasonal variations in temperature, which provide a valuable opportunity for further research and improvement of climate models. The model demonstrates the highest accuracy below 80 km with RMSE < 12 K, while its performance decreases above 100 km, where RMSE can exceed 20 K, indicating optimal performance in the upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere regions. Full article

All-sky radiance assimilation can increase the utilization of satellite observations in cloudy regions and improve typhoon forecasts. This study focuses on the newly launched FengYun-3F satellite equipped with the Microwave Humidity Sounder II (MWHS-II) and develops an all-sky assimilation capability for its radiance data. A series of assimilation experiments were conducted to evaluate their impacts on the forecast of Typhoon Yagi (2024), demonstrating that all-sky assimilation leads to reductions in track error (23.14%) and improvements in precipitation forecasts (Equitable Threat Score increase of 16.92%) compared to clear-sky assimilation. Furthermore, a detailed comparison of assimilation experiments shows that using only the 183 GHz humidity channels yields limited improvement in tropospheric humidity, whereas assimilating the 118 GHz temperature channels significantly enhances temperature and wind forecasts. Combined assimilation of both frequency bands synergistically maintains accurate track and intensity predictions while further improving precipitation prediction. These findings demonstrate the value of multichannel all-sky assimilation and inform future satellite data assimilation strategies. Full article

PM_2.5 pollution poses significant risks to human health and the environment, underscoring the importance of accurate PM_2.5 simulation. This study simulated a representative PM_2.5 pollution event using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem), incorporating the assimilation of infrared atmospheric motion vector (AMV) data from the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) satellite. A comprehensive analysis was conducted to examine the meteorological characteristics of the event and their influence on PM_2.5 concentration simulations. The results demonstrate that the assimilation of FY-4A infrared AMV data significantly enhanced the simulation performance of meteorological variables, particularly improving the wind field and capturing local and small-scale wind variations. Moreover, PM_2.5 concentrations simulated with AMV assimilation showed improved spatial and temporal agreement with ground-based observations, reducing the root mean square error (RMSE) by 8.2% and the mean bias (MB) by 15.2 µg/m³ relative to the control (CTL) experiment. In addition to regional improvements, the assimilation notably enhanced PM_2.5 simulation accuracy in severely polluted cities, such as Tangshan and Tianjin. Mechanistic analysis revealed that low wind speeds and weak atmospheric divergence restricted pollutant dispersion, resulting in higher near-surface concentrations. This was exacerbated by cooler nighttime temperatures and a lower planetary boundary layer height (PBLH). These findings underscore the utility of assimilating satellite-derived wind products to enhance regional air quality modeling and forecasting accuracy. This study highlights the potential of FY-4A infrared AMV data in improving regional pollution simulations, offering scientific support for the application of next-generation Chinese geostationary satellite data in numerical air quality forecasting. Full article

Land Surface Temperature (LST), as a core variable in the coupling of land–atmosphere energy transfers and ecological responses, relies heavily on the global coverage capacity of thermal infrared remote sensing (TIR-LST) for dynamic monitoring. Currently, the time reconstruction method of the TIR-LST products from China’s Fengyun polar-orbiting satellite under dynamic cloud interference remains under exploration. This study focuses on the Heihe River Basin in western China, and addresses the issue of cloud coverage in relation to the Fengyun-3C (FY-3C) satellite TIR-LST. An innovative spatiotemporal reconstruction framework based on multi-source data collaboration was developed. Using a hybrid ensemble learning framework of random forest and ridge regression, environmental parameters such as vegetation index (NDVI), land cover type (LC), digital elevation model (DEM), and terrain slope were integrated. A downscaling and multi-factor collaborative representation model for land surface temperature was constructed, thereby integrating the passive microwave LST and thermal infrared VIRR-LST from the FY-3C satellite. This produced a seamless LST dataset with 1 km resolution for the period of 2017–2019, with temporal continuity across space. The validation results show that the reconstructed data significantly improves accuracy compared to the original VIRR-LST and demonstrates notable spatiotemporal consistency with MODIS LST at the daily scale (annual R² ≥ 0.88, RMSE < 2.3 K). This method successfully reconstructed the FY-3C satellite’s 1 km level all-weather LST time series, providing reliable technical support for the use of domestic satellite data in remote sensing applications such as ecological drought monitoring and urban heat island tracking. Full article

The satellite remote sensing of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) products is crucial in environmental monitoring and atmospheric pollution research. However, data gaps in AOD products from satellites like Fengyun significantly hinder continuous, seamless environmental monitoring capabilities, posing challenges for the long-term analysis of atmospheric pollution trends, responses to sudden ecological events, and disaster management. This study aims to develop a high-precision method to fill spatial AOD missing values and generate daily full-coverage AOD products for the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region in 2021 by integrating multi-dimensional data, including meteorological models, multi-source remote sensing, surface conditions, and nighttime light parameters, and applying machine learning methods. A comparison of five machine learning models showed that the random forest model performed optimally in AOD inversion, achieving a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.11 and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.93. Seasonal evaluation further indicated that the model’s simulation was best in winter. Variable importance analysis identified relative humidity (RH) as the most critical factor influencing model results. The reconstructed full-coverage AOD product exhibited a spatial distribution trend of significantly higher values in the southern plain areas compared to mountainous regions, consistent with the actual aerosol distribution patterns in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei area. Moreover, the product demonstrated overall smoothness and high accuracy. This research lays the foundation for establishing a long-term, 1 km resolution, daily spatially continuous AOD product for the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region and beyond, providing more robust data support for addressing regional and larger-scale environmental challenges. Full article

The Total Precipitable Water (TPW) is a key variable of atmospheres, and its spatiotemporal distribution is of great importance in global climate change. This paper addresses the TPW retrieval over both sea and land surfaces from the data acquired by the Microwave Humidity Sounder II (MWHS-II) on Fengyun 3D (FY-3D) satellite. First, the Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) algorithms are developed with the spatiotemporal matching samples of the MWHS-II data with the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5) data. Then, the TPWs at spatial resolutions of 0.25° in longitude and latitude between 65°S and 65°N over both sea and land surfaces are retrieved from the pixel-aggregated FY-3D MWHS-II data in 2022. Finally, the TPWs retrieved in this work are validated with the radiosonde TPWs over both sea and land surfaces, and they are also compared to the F18 Special Sensor Microwave Imager Sounder (SSMIS) TPWs over sea surfaces. The results indicate that the BPNN algorithms developed in this work are valid and superior to the D-matrix method, the Ridge method, the Lasso method, the physical method, the random forest (RF) method, the support vector machine (SVM) method, and the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) method. Against the radiosonde TPWs, the mean error (ME), the root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) of the TPWs retrieved in this work are −1.17 mm, 3.46 mm, and 2.63 mm over sea surfaces, respectively, and they are −0.80 mm, 4.04 mm, and 3.13 mm over land surfaces, respectively. The TPWs retrieved in this work are much more accurate than the F18 SSMIS TPWs. Full article

Microwave sounding observations obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the European Meteorological Operational Satellite Program (METOP) satellites have been used for retrieving the cloud ice water path (IWP). However, the IWP algorithms developed in the past cannot be applied to the Fengyun-3F (FY-3F) microwave radiometers due to the differences in frequency of the primary channels and the fields of view. In this study, the IWP algorithm was tailored for the FY-3F satellite, and the retrieved IWP was compared with the fifth generation of reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ERA5) and the Meteorological Operational Satellite-C (METOP-C) products. The results indicate that the IWP distribution retrieved from FY-3F observations demonstrates strong consistency with the cloud ice distributions in ERA5 data and METOP-C products in low-latitude regions. However, discrepancies are observed among the three datasets in mid- to high-latitude regions. ERA5 data underestimate the frequency of high IWP values and overestimate the frequency of low IWP values. The IWP retrieval results from satellite datasets demonstrate a high level of consistency. Furthermore, an analysis of the IWP time series reveals that the retrieval algorithm used in this study better captures variability and seasonal characteristics of IWP compared to ERA5 data. Additionally, a comparison of FY-3F retrieval results with METOP-C products shows a high correlation and generally consistent distribution characteristics across latitude bands. These findings confirm the high accuracy of IWP retrieval from FY-3F data, which holds significant value for advancing IWP research in China. Full article

A new quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) method for Himawari-9 (H9) and Fengyun-4B (FY4B) satellites has been developed based on cloud top brightness temperature (TBB). The 24-hour, 6-hour, and hourly rainfall estimates of H9 and FY4B have been compared with rain gauge datasets and precipitation estimation data from the GPM IMERG V07 (IMERG) and Global Precipitation Satellite (GSMaP) products, especially based on the case study of landfalling super typhoon “Doksuri” in 2023. The results indicate that the bias-corrected QPE algorithm substantially improves precipitation estimation accuracy across multiple temporal scales and intensity categories. For extreme precipitation events (≥100 mm/day), the FY4B-based estimates exhibit markedly better performance. Furthermore, in light-to-moderate rainfall (0.1–24.9 mm/day) and heavy rain to rainstorm ranges (25.0–99.9 mm/day), its retrievals are largely comparable to those from IMERG and GSMaP, demonstrating robust consistency across varying precipitation intensities. Therefore, the new QPE retrieval algorithm in this study could largely improve the accuracy and reliability of satellite precipitation estimation for extreme weather events such as typhoons. Full article

This study presents an objective scheme to construct hurricane bogus vortices based on satellite microwave scatterometer observations of sea surface wind vectors. When specifying a bogus vortex using Fujita’s formula, the required parameters include the center position and the radius of the maximum gradient of sea level pressure (R₀). We first propose determining the tropical cyclone (TC) center position as the cyclonic circulation center obtained from sea surface wind observations and then establishing a regression model between R₀ and the radius of 34-kt sea surface wind of scatterometer observations. The radius of 34-kt sea surface wind (R₃₄) is commonly used as a measure of TC size. The center positions determined from HaiYang-2B/2C/2D Scatterometers, MetOp-B/C Advanced Scatterometers, and FengYun-3E Wind Radar compared favorably with the axisymmetric centers of hurricane rain/cloud bands revealed by Advanced Himawari Imager observations of brightness temperature for the western Pacific landfalling typhoons Doksuri, Khanun, and Haikui in 2023. Furthermore, regression equations between R₀ and the scatterometer-determined radius of 34-kt wind are developed for tropical storms and category-1, -2, -3, and higher hurricanes over the Northwest Pacific (2022–2023). The bogus vortices thus constructed are more realistic than those built without satellite sea surface wind observations. Full article

As China’s second operational Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder, Fengyun-4B/GIIRS can provide temporally and spatially continuous atmospheric temperature profile (ATP) and atmospheric humidity profile (AHP) information, which can be used in cold wave monitoring and other meteorological applications. In this study, radiosonde observations and ERA5 reanalysis are used to assess the quality of operational Fengyun-4B/GIIRS ATP and AHP products released by the National Satellite Meteorological Centre (NSMC). The results are as follows: (1) Compared to Fengyun-4A/GIIRS, due to the improvement in the instruments, the usability of Fengyun-4B/GIIRS is enhanced, and the influence of clouds and land surfaces reduces its usability under clear-sky conditions and below 900 hPa. (2) The current operational quality-flagged algorithm can identify the Fengyun-4B/GIIRS ATP and AHP products with different accuracies well, providing beneficial information to users. Taking radiosonde observations as a reference, the RMSEs of the Fengyun-4B/GIIRS ATP and AHP products with the best quality (with the quality flag of “very good”) are around 1.5K and below 2 kg/kg, respectively, which is better than those of the Fengyun-4A/GIIRS ATP product. (3) Compared to the ERA5 reanalysis, due to the different coefficients in the retrieval algorithm, systematic overestimation and underestimation occur for the Fengyun-4B/GIIRS ATP product under clear-sky conditions and cloudy-sky conditions, respectively. (4) The biases and RMSEs of the Fengyun-4B/GIIRS ATP and AHP products have significant dependence on the satellite zenith angles when the angles are larger than 50°, but when the angles are smaller than 50°, the dependence is negligible. Full article

Fengyun-3G (FY-3G), successfully launched on 16 April 2023, is China’s first and the third in the world satellite dedicated to precipitation measurement. In this study, the reflectivity factors of the FY-3G satellite Precipitation Measurement Radar (PMR) are analyzed and compared with ground-based S-band dual-polarized radar (GR) data for typical precipitation events in parts of southern China during April–August 2024. By performing preprocessing and spatiotemporal matching, 169,657 matched pairs of FY-3G PMR and GR datasets are obtained, from which the agreement of reflectivity between FY-3G PMR and GR and the sensitivities to different precipitation types and phase states are evaluated. The results show that the reflectivity factors of FY-3G PMR and GR have a strong positive correlation, with an overall correlation coefficient of 0.82, especially in the stratiform precipitation. In addition, FY-3G PMR agrees with GR well in moderate precipitation, but systematically underestimates reflectivity in heavy rain rates and overestimates in light rain rates. Furthermore, FY-3G PMR has high accuracy in detecting liquid precipitation below the bright band, although with some underestimation of reflectivity for ice-phase precipitation above the bright band. Nevertheless, FY-3G PMR still provides valuable information on ice-phase precipitation. Overall, PMR has great potential for application in the monitoring of stratiform and liquid precipitation, but more complete processing is needed when applying PMR observations to heavy precipitation and complex meteorological conditions. Full article

Accurate cloud detection is critical for quantitative applications of satellite-based advanced imager observations, yet nighttime cloud detection presents challenges due to the lack of visible and near-infrared spectral information. Nighttime cloud detection using infrared (IR)-only information needs to be improved. Based on a collocated dataset from Fengyun-3D Medium Resolution Spectral Imager (FY-3D MERSI) Level 1 data and CALIPSO CALIOP lidar Level 2 product, this study proposes a novel framework leveraging Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LGBM), integrated with grey level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) features extracted from IR bands, to enhance nighttime cloud detection capabilities. The LGBM model with GLCM features demonstrates significant improvements, achieving an overall accuracy (OA) exceeding 85% and an F1-Score (F1) of nearly 0.9 when validated with an independent CALIOP lidar Level 2 product. Compared to the threshold-based algorithm that has been used operationally, the proposed algorithm exhibits superior and more stable performance across varying solar zenith angles, surface types, and cloud altitudes. Notably, the method produced over 82% OA over the cryosphere surface. Furthermore, compared to LGBM models without GLCM inputs, the enhanced model effectively mitigates the thermal stripe effect of MERSI L1 data, yielding more accurate cloud masks. Further evaluation with collocated MODIS-Aqua cloud mask product indicates that the proposed algorithm delivers more precise cloud detection (OA: 90.30%, F1: 0.9397) compared to that of the MODIS product (OA: 84.66%, F1: 0.9006). This IR-alone algorithm advancement offers a reliable tool for nighttime cloud detection, significantly enhancing the quantitative applications of satellite imager observations. Full article

A spaceborne microwave radiometer has a low spatial resolution limited by its antenna size. Enhancing the spatial resolution of data acquired by such sensors can improve the quality of subsequent applications. To improve the spatial resolution of the Microwave Radiation Imager (MWRI) onboard the Fengyun 3D satellite, this study used a Scatterometer Image Reconstruction (SIR) algorithm to generate resolution-enhanced swath brightness temperature data based on redundant information from overlaps between scanning points. These swath data have a higher pixel resolution that can reach 1/4 of the sampling frequency. The quality of reconstructed images, evaluated through visual comparison and quantitative analysis, revealed reasonable potential for providing more detailed depictions of surface information. Statistical analysis revealed a lower root mean square deviation of 0.8 K and a bias of 0.04 K following the SIR process. Analysis of the pixel spatial response function confirmed that the enhanced data have substantially finer spatial resolution than that of Level-1 data for 10–89 GHz vertical/horizontal channels, with an improvement of 9–39% in effective resolution. The findings of this study show that the SIR algorithm has potential for enhancing the quality of MWRI data and for widening the application domain to satellite product development, satellite data assimilation for numerical weather prediction, and other related fields. Full article

Accurate prediction of the on-orbit positions of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites is essential for mission success, operational efficiency, and safety. Nevertheless, the non-stationary nature of orbital data and sensor noise presents significant challenges for accurate prediction. To address these challenges, we propose a novel forecasting model, EMD-ICA-DLinear, which combines trend-residual representation with EMD-ICA in an innovative manner. By integrating the TSR (Trend, Seasonality, and Residual) framework with the EMD-ICA dual perspective, this approach provides a comprehensive understanding of time series data and outperforms traditional models in capturing subtle nonlinear relationships. When predicting the orbital position of the Fengyun-3C satellite, the model uses MSE and MAE as evaluation metrics. Experimental results indicate that the proposed EMD-ICA-DLinear hybrid model achieves MSE and MAE values of 0.1101 and 0.1567, respectively, when predicting the orbital position of the Fengyun-3C satellite 6 h in advance, representing reductions of 37.87% and 19.85% compared to the best baseline model, TimesNet. This advancement enhances satellite orbit prediction accuracy, supports operational stability, and enables timely adjustments, thereby improving mission efficiency and safety. Full article