Search Results (741)

Flood disasters are increasing worldwide due to climate change, posing growing risks to infrastructure and human life. Korea, where nearly 70% of annual rainfall occurs during the summer monsoon, is particularly vulnerable to extreme precipitation events intensified by El Niño and La Niña. This study investigates how terrain resolution influences flood simulation accuracy by comparing a 1 m LiDAR digital elevation model (DEM) with a DEM generated from a 1:5000 topographic map. Flood depth and velocity fields produced by the two DEMs show notable quantitative differences: for final flood depth, the 1:5000 DEM yields a mean absolute error of approximately 56.9 cm and an RMSE of 76.4 cm relative to LiDAR results, with substantial local over- and underestimations. Flow velocity and maximum velocity also show significant deviations, with RMSE values of 58.0 cm/s and 68.4 cm/s, respectively. Although the 1:5000 DEM captures the general inundation pattern, these discrepancies—particularly in narrow channels and urbanized floodplains—demonstrate that coarse-resolution terrain data cannot reliably reproduce hydrodynamic behavior. We conclude that while 1:5000 DEMs may be acceptable for reconnaissance-level hazard screening, high-resolution LiDAR DEMs are essential for accurate flood depth and velocity simulation, supporting their integration into engineering design, urban flood risk assessment, and disaster management frameworks. Full article

Urban underpasses are critical flood-prone hotspots during extreme rainfall, posing significant threats to urban resilience and infrastructure safety. However, a scale gap persists between catchment-scale hydrological models, which often oversimplify local geometry, and high-fidelity hydrodynamic models, which typically lack realistic boundary conditions. To bridge this gap, this study develops a multi-scale framework that integrates the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) with 3D Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD). The framework employs a unidirectional integration (one-way forcing), utilizing SWMM-simulated runoff hydrographs as dynamic inlet boundaries for a detailed CFD model of a 2.8 km underpass in Shanghai. Simulations across six design rainfall events (2- to 50-year return periods) revealed two distinct flooding mechanisms: a systemic response at the hydraulic low point, governed by cumulative inflow; and a localized response at entrance concavities, where water depth is rapidly capped by micro-topography. Informed by these mechanisms, an intensity-graded drainage strategy was developed. Simulation results show significant differences between different drainage strategies. Through this framework and optimized drainage system design, significant water accumulation within the underpass can be prevented, enhancing its flood resistance and reducing the severity of disasters. This integrated framework provides a robust tool for enhancing the flood resilience of urban underpasses and offers a basis for the design of proactive disaster mitigation systems. Full article

Climate change and the resulting projected rise in sea level put densely populated urban communities at risk of river flooding, storm surges, and subsurface flooding. Miami finds itself in an increasingly vulnerable position, as compound inundation seems to be a constant and unavoidable occurrence due to its low elevation and limestone geomorphology. Several recent studies on compound overflows have been conducted in Miami-Dade County. However, in-depth research has yet to be conducted on its economic epicenter. Owing to the lack of resilience to tidal surges and extreme precipitation events, Miami’s infrastructure and the well-being of its population may be at risk of flooding. This study applied HEC-RAS 2D to develop one- and two-dimensional water flow models to understand and estimate Miami’s vulnerability to extreme flood events, such as 50- and 100-year return storms. It used Hurricane Irma as a validation and calibration event for extreme event reproduction. The study also explores novel machine learning metamodels to produce a robust sensitivity analysis for the hydrologic model. This research is expected to provide insights into vulnerability thresholds and inform flood mitigation strategies, particularly in today’s unprecedented and intensified weather events. The study revealed that Miami’s inner bay coastline, particularly the downtown coastline, is severely impacted by extreme hydrometeorological events. Under extreme event circumstances, the 35.4 km² area of Miami is at risk of flooding, with 38% of the areas classified as having medium to extreme risk by FEMA, indicating severe infrastructural and community vulnerability. Full article

Climate change has exacerbated flood risks for urban infrastructure, rendering sewage treatment facilities (STFs) particularly vulnerable due to their typical low-lying topographic placement. However, conventional flood risk assessment methodologies often rely solely on physical hazard parameters such as inundation depth, neglecting the functional interdependencies and operational criticality of individual treatment units. To address this limitation, this study proposes the Integrated Hydro-Operational Risk Assessment (IHORA) framework. The IHORA framework synthesizes 2D hydrodynamic modeling with a modified Hazard and Operability Study(HAZOP) study to systematically identify unit-specific physical failure thresholds and employs the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to quantify the relative operational importance of each process based on expert elicitation. The framework was applied to an underground STF under both fluvial flooding and internal structural breach scenarios. The results revealed a significant risk misalignment in traditional assessments; vital assets like electrical facilities were identified as high-risk hotspots despite moderate physical exposure, due to their high operational weight. Furthermore, Cause–Consequence Analysis (CCA) was utilized to trace cascading failure modes, bridging the gap between static risk metrics and dynamic emergency response protocols. This study demonstrates that the IHORA framework provides a robust scientific basis for prioritizing mitigation resources and enhancing the operational resilience of environmental facilities. Full article

Rapid urbanization and increasingly frequent extreme rainfall events have intensified stormwater challenges, underscoring the need for watershed-scale strategies that integrate blue-green infrastructure (BGI). This study evaluates the stormwater control performance of combined initial reservoir storage level regulation, river water level adjustment, and green infrastructure (GI) implementation in the 42.4 km² Baihuayong watershed of Guangzhou, China. A coupled stormwater model (SWMM) was developed, calibrated, and coupled with TELEMAC-2D to simulate schemes varying initial reservoir storage levels (30.6 m to 27.6 m), river water levels (11 m to 8 m), and GI proportions (0–45%) under 2- to 100-year rainfall events. Results show that lowering initial reservoir storage levels from 30.6 m to 27.6 m enhanced runoff reduction by ~40% and reduced discharged water volume by ~30%, though overflow mitigation remained limited. Decreasing river water levels from 11 m to 8 m reduced flooded areas by up to 8.3%, with diminishing benefits below 9 m. Increasing GI coverage from 0% to 45% reduced overflow nodes from 236 to 192 and flood extent from 10.76 ha to 9.20 ha under moderate storms, but improvements were modest during extreme events. A synergistic configuration, combining a low initial reservoir storage level (27.6 m), low river water level (8 m), and a high GI proportion (35–45%), yielded the most comprehensive improvements. These findings demonstrate the strong potential of integrated BGI for watershed-scale flood resilience and provide quantitative guidance for sponge city planning. Full article

Floods are among the most catastrophic natural disasters, causing severe impact on human lives and ecosystems. The proposed methodology integrates Geographic Information Systems, 2D hydraulic modeling, and deep learning techniques to develop a computational simulation approach for flood extent prediction and was implemented in the Enipeas River basin, located within the Thessalia River Basin District, Greece. Hydrological analysis was performed using the HEC-HMS software (version 4.12), while hydraulic simulations were conducted with HEC-RAS 2D. The hydraulic modeling produced synthetic flood scenarios for a 1000-year return period, generating spatially distributed outputs of flood extents. The deep learning algorithm was based on a U-Net (CNN) architecture. The model was trained using multi-channel raster tiles, including open access geospatial data such as Digital Elevation Model, slope, flow direction, stream centerline, land use, and simulated flood extents. Model validation was carried out in two independent domains (TS1 and TS2) located within the same river basin. Model outputs are adequately compared with both 2D hydraulic simulations and official Flood Risk Management Plan maps, and the comparison indicates close spatial and quantitative agreement, with flood extent area differences below 8%. Based on the results, the proposed methodology presents a potential and efficient tool for rapid flood risk mapping. Full article

The accurate estimation of outflow discharge from Piano Key Weirs (PKWs) under unsteady flow conditions is critical for effective flood management and the safety of dams. While extensive research exists on PKWs under steady flow, their hydraulic behavior during unsteady flow remains poorly understood. This study addresses this gap by investigating a Type-A PKW using combined physical and numerical modeling. A total of eight steady-flow and fifty-three unsteady-flow experiments were conducted. The steady flow experiments covered a range of Q = 5.13–40.76 L/s (H = 1.29–10.45 cm), while the unsteady experiments employed hydrographs with peak discharges up to ~68 L/s. Outflow was estimated via the Modified Puls method (hydrological routing) and a validated 3D numerical model (hydraulic routing). The results revealed significant discrepancies between steady and unsteady stage-discharge relationships, with a mean relative error of up to 41.37% and instantaneous errors exceeding 150% during the rising limbs of hydrographs with high rates of change in discharge, associated with intensified unsteady flow effects. A validated looped stage-discharge curve was observed under unsteady conditions, showing lower discharge on the rising limb for the same head. The Modified Puls method exhibited high accuracy, with relative errors below 5% when compared to hydraulic routing results. Additionally, three comparative indices were proposed and used to evaluate the performance of outflow estimation methods. The findings underscore the importance of incorporating unsteady flow conditions in the design and analysis of PKWs, particularly in the context of climate change and increasing flood uncertainties. Full article

The Iraqi coastline in the northern Persian Gulf is highly vulnerable to the impacts of future sea level rise. This study introduces a novel approach in the Arc Geographic Information System (ArcGIS) for inundation risk of the 58 km Iraqi coast of the northern Persian Gulf through a combination of multi-data sources, machine-learning predictions, and hydrological connectivity by Landsat. The Prophet/Neural Prophet time-series framework was used to extrapolate future sea level rise with 11 satellite altimetry missions that span 1993–2023. The coastline was obtained by using the Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) imagery based on the Normalised Difference Water Index (NDWI), and topography was obtained by using the ALOS World 3D 30 m DEM. Global Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) projections (2020–2100) and population projections (2020–2100) were used as future inundation values. Two scenarios were compared, one based on an altimeter-based projection of sea level rise (SLR) and the other based on the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) high-emission scenario, Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5). It is found that, by the IPCC AR6 end-of-century projection horizon (relative to 1995–2014), 154,000 people under the altimeter case and 181,000 people under RCP8.5 will have a risk of being inundated. The highest flooded area is the barren area (25,523–46,489 hectares), then the urban land (5303–5743 hectares), and finally the cropland land (434–561 hectares). Critical infrastructure includes 275–406 km of road, 71–99 km of electricity lines, and 73–82 km of pipelines. The study provides the first hydrologically verified Digital Elevation Model (DEM)-refined inundation maps of Iraq that offer a baseline, in the form of a comprehensive and quantitative base, to the coastal adaptation and climate resilience planning. Full article

High-resolution satellite precipitation products are key inputs for basin-scale rainfall estimation, but they still exhibit substantial biases in complex terrain and during heavy rainfall. Recent multi-source fusion studies have shown that simply stacking multiple same-type microwave satellite products yields only limited additional gains for high-quality precipitation estimates and may even introduce local degradation, suggesting that targeted correction of a single, widely validated high-quality microwave product (such as IMERG) is a more rational strategy. Focusing on the mountainous, gauge-sparse Lüshui River basin with pronounced relief and frequent heavy rainfall, we use GPM IMERG V07 as the primary microwave product and incorporate CHIRPS, ERA5 evaporation, and a digital elevation model as auxiliary inputs to build a daily attention-enhanced CNN–LSTM (A-CNN–LSTM) bias-correction framework. Under a unified IMERG-based setting, we compare three network architectures—LSTM, CNN–LSTM, and A-CNN–LSTM—and test three input configurations (single-source IMERG, single-source CHIRPS, and combined IMERG + CHIRPS) to jointly evaluate impacts on corrected precipitation and SWAT runoff simulations. The IMERG-driven A-CNN–LSTM markedly reduces daily root-mean-square error and improves the intensity and timing of 10–50 mm·d⁻¹ rainfall events; the single-source IMERG configuration also outperforms CHIRPS-including multi-source setups in terms of correlation, RMSE, and performance across rainfall-intensity classes. When the corrected IMERG product is used to force SWAT, daily Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency increases from about 0.71/0.70 to 0.85/0.79 in the calibration/validation periods, and RMSE decreases from 87.92 to 60.98 m³ s⁻¹, while flood peaks and timing closely match simulations driven by gauge-interpolated precipitation. Overall, the results demonstrate that, in gauge-sparse mountainous basins, correcting a single high-quality, widely validated microwave product with a small set of heterogeneous covariates is more effective for improving precipitation inputs and their hydrological utility than simply aggregating multiple same-type satellite products. Full article

An integrated early warning system (EWS) for compound coastal and fluvial flooding is developed for Pyrgos, Western Greece, where low-lying geomorphology and past storm events highlight the need for rapid, impact-based forecasting. The methodology couples historical and climate-informed metocean and river discharge datasets within a numerical modeling framework consisting of a mild-slope wave model, the CSHORE coastal profile model, and HEC-RAS 2D inundation simulations. A weighted K-Means clustering approach is used to generate representative extreme scenarios, yielding more than 4000 coupled simulations that train and validate Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). The optimal feed-forward ANN accurately predicts spatially distributed flood depths across the HEC-RAS grid using only offshore wave characteristics, water level, and river discharge as inputs, reducing computation time from hours to seconds. Blind tests demonstrate close agreement with full numerical simulations, with average differences typically below 5% and minor deviations confined to negligible water depths. These results confirm the ANN’s capability to emulate complex compound flooding dynamics with high computational efficiency. Deployed as a web application (EWS_CoCoFlood), the system provides actionable, near-real-time inundation forecasts to support local civil protection authorities. The framework is modular and scalable, enabling future integration of urban and rainfall-induced flooding processes and coastal morphological change. Full article

Water inrush from flooded goaf under high hydraulic head seriously threatens deep coal mining, especially where roadways must be driven close to old workings. This study investigates the seepage and load-bearing behavior of a combined coal pillar and rigid cutoff wall system under coupled mining-excavation-seepage processes. A three-dimensional hydro-mechanical model based on Biot poroelasticity and a stress-damage-permeability relationship is developed in FLAC3D, using a field case from the Yuwu Coal Mine. Different wall thicknesses and mining stages are simulated, and pillar performance is quantified by the elastic-core volume fraction and a permeability-connectivity index. Similar-material shear tests are further carried out to examine sliding behavior at the wall–pillar interface. Simulations show that the composite system reduces peak vertical stress in the pillar by 12–20% during panel retreat (from 54.2 MPa without a wall to 47.7–45.0 MPa with 0.5–2.5 m walls), while the elastic core volume fraction increases from 16.7% to 30.4–50.4% and the minimum elastic core width improves from 0.5 m to 1.5–2.0 m. The wall provides strong lateral confinement, increasing lateral stress within the pillar by up to 50% and preventing hydraulic penetration for wall thicknesses ≥1.0 m. Shear tests reveal critical distances for safe load transfer and support the use of targeted reinforcement at the interface. The findings offer a quantitative basis for designing safe water-control structures in high-pressure goaf environments. Full article

In flooded soils, the concentrations of exchangeable Mn²⁺ and, especially, Fe²⁺ can be high and must be considered when determining the cation exchange capacity (CEC) of the soil under flooded conditions. However, these reduced forms of Mn and Fe are oxidized and precipitated during the extraction process used in traditional CEC methods. This procedure underestimates the exchangeable portion of these cations and, consequently, the CEC value of the flooded soil. We introduce a pH-gradient-based model to predict ECEC and exchangeable Fe²⁺ in flooded soils, circumventing oxidation artifacts inherent in conventional methods. The objective of this study is to propose an alternative to estimate the exchangeable Fe²⁺ and the effective CEC (ECEC) of flooded soils. To achieve this goal, 21 surface samples (0–20 cm) of soil from rice fields were collected and distributed in the cultivation regions of southern Brazil. The soils were flooded for 50 days. The soil solution was collected on the first day and after 50 days of flooding and pH, Na, K, Ca, Mg, Fe and Mn were determined. In these samples, exchangeable cations (K, Na, Ca, Mg, Mn, Al and H + Al) were determined to calculate ECEC and CEC at pH 7 of unflooded soil and after 50 days of flooding. There was a wide range of variation in the exchangeable cation contents among the soil samples. The K contents ranged from 0.12 to 0.54 cmol_c kg⁻¹, the Na contents from 0.00 to 1.18 cmol_c kg⁻¹, the Ca contents from 0.48 to 37.31 cmol_c kg⁻¹, the Mg contents from 0.10 to 15.53 cmol_c kg⁻¹, the Mn contents from 0.01 to 0.36 cmol_c kg⁻¹, the Al contents from 0.10 to 1.74 cmol_c kg⁻¹ and the H + Al contents from 2.01 to 8.42 cmol_c kg⁻¹. The results were used to develop models to predict ECEC and exchangeable Fe content after 50 days of flooding. Estimating the ECEC after flooding using the pH gradient before and after flooding yielded values closer to CEC pH 7.0, correcting for the possible underestimation of the ECEC during flooding. The amount of exchangeable Fe estimated was higher than the exchangeable Fe determined, correcting the possible underestimation of these quantities determined during flooding. It is concluded that the estimations of ECEC after flooding through the equation ${ECEC}_{after}=ECEC+\left({pH}_{sol.after}-{pH}_{sol.before}\right)\times {\displaystyle \frac{({CEC}_{pH7}-ECEC)}{(7-{pH}_{sol.before})}}$, where pH_sol.before is pre-flooding soil pH, pH_sol.after is after flooding pH, ECEC_after is effective CEC after flooding and the exchangeable Fe²⁺ after flooding through the equation ${Fe}_{exc.after.estimated}={ECEC}_{after}-\left(Ca+Mg+K+Na+Mn\right)$ where Fe_{exc.after.estimated} is estimated exchangeable Fe²⁺ after flooding corrected the problem of underestimating the values of these variables by analytical methods, demonstrating its viability for use in flood-prone soils. Full article

This article develops a hybrid neural network method for detecting UDP flooding in critical infrastructure microgrid protection systems. This method combines sequential statistics (CUSUM) and a multimodal convolutional 1D-CNN architecture with a composite scoring criterion. Input features are generated using packet-aggregated one-minute vectors with metrics for packet count, average size, source entropy, and HHI concentration index, as well as compact sketches of top sources. To ensure forensically relevant incident recording, a greedy artefact selection policy based on the knapsack problem with a limited forensic buffer is implemented. The developed method is theoretically justified using a likelihood ratio criterion and adaptive threshold tuning, which ensures control over the false alarm probability. Experimental validation on traffic datasets demonstrated high efficiency, with an overall accuracy of 98.7%, a sensitivity of 97.4%, an average model inference time of 5.3 ms (2.5 times faster than its LSTM counterpart), a controlled FPR of 0.96%, and a reduction in asymptotic detection latency with an increase in intensity from 35 to 12 s. Moreover, with a storage budget of 10 MB, 28 priority bins were selected (their total size was 7.39 MB), ensuring the approximate preservation of 85% of the most informative packets for subsequent examination. This research contribution involves the creation of a ready-to-deploy, resource-efficient detector with low latency, explainable statistical layers, and a built-in mechanism for generating a standardized evidence package to facilitate rapid law enforcement response. Full article

With the accelerating pace of urbanization, cities are increasingly affected by rainstorm and flood disasters, which pose severe threats to the safety of residents’ lives and property. Existing models are increasingly inadequate in meeting the accuracy requirements for flood simulation in highly urbanized regions. Thus, it is urgent to develop a new method for flood inundation simulation based on high-resolution urban hydrological units. The novelty of the model lies in the novel structure of the high-resolution Urban Hydrological Units model (HRGM), which replaces coarse sub-catchments with a fine-grained network of urban hydrological units. The primary innovation is the node-based coupling strategy, in which the HRGM provides precise overflow hydrographs at drainage inlets as point sources for LISFLOOD-FP, rather than relying on diffuse runoff inputs from larger areas. In this paper, a high-resolution hydraulic model (HRGM) based on urban hydrological units coupled with a 2D hydrodynamic model (LISFLOOD-FP) was constructed and successfully applied in the Chebeichong watershed. Results show that the model’s simulations align well with observed data, achieving a Nash efficiency coefficient above 0.8 under typical rainfall events. Compared with the SWMM model, the simulation results of HRGM were significantly improved and more consistent with measured results. Taking the rainstorm event on 10 August 2021 as an example, the Nash coefficient increased from 0.7 to 0.85, while the peak flow error decreased markedly from 15.8% to 3.1%. It should be emphasized that urban waterlogging distribution is not continuous but appears as patchy, discontinuous, and fragmented patterns due to the segmentation and blocking effects of roads and buildings in urban areas. The framework presented in this study shows potential for application in other regions requiring flood risk assessment at urban agglomeration scales, offering a valuable reference for advancing flood prediction methodologies and disaster mitigation strategies. Full article

As the last critical hydrological control station on the Lancang River before it flows out of China, the daily runoff variations at the Yunjinghong Hydrological Station are directly linked to agricultural irrigation, hydropower development, and ecological security in downstream Mekong River riparian countries such as Laos, Myanmar, and Thailand. Aiming at the core issues of the runoff sequence in the Lancang–Mekong Basin, which is characterized by prominent nonlinearity, non-stationarity, and coupling of multi-scale features, this study proposes a synergistic prediction framework of “multi-scale decomposition-model improvement-parameter optimization”. Firstly, Regenerated Phase-Shifted Sine-Assisted Empirical Mode Decomposition (RPSEMD) is adopted to adaptively decompose the daily runoff data. On this basis, a Convolutional Sparse Attention Transformer (CSAT) model is constructed. A one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) module is embedded in the input layer to enhance local feature perception, making up for the deficiency of traditional Transformers in capturing detailed information. Meanwhile, the sparse attention mechanism replaces the multi-head attention, realizing efficient focusing on key time-step correlations and reducing computational costs. Additionally, an Improved Multi-Verse Optimizer (IMVO) is introduced, which optimizes the hyperparameters of CSAT through a spiral update mechanism, exponential Travel Distance Rate (T_DR), and adaptive compression factor, thereby improving the model’s accuracy in capturing short-term abrupt patterns such as flood peaks and drought transition points. Experiments are conducted using measured daily runoff data from 2010 to 2022, and the proposed model is compared with mainstream models such as LSTM, GRU, and standard Transformer. The results show that the RPSEMD-IMVO-CSAT model reduces the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by 15.3–28.7% and 18.6–32.4%, respectively, compared with the comparative models. Full article