1. Introduction
Rapid urban expansion and increased imperviousness have significantly reduced the capacity of conventional drainage systems, which rely solely on rapid conveyance. Consequently, these systems are increasingly unable to manage extreme rainfall and compound flooding [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5]. Traditional gray drainage systems, such as pipes and concrete channels, are typically designed according to the principle of rapid discharge, with the primary goal of efficiently conveying stormwater away from urban areas [
6,
7,
8]. However, this approach has proven inadequate for addressing increasingly frequent extreme rainfall events. Not only does it fail to effectively mitigate urban flooding, but it also exacerbates issues such as runoff pollution, insufficient groundwater recharge, and the degradation of urban ecological functions [
9,
10]. Moreover, traditional drainage systems are often overloaded during heavy rainfall, resulting in significant water loss and a failure to fully utilize rainwater as a valuable resource [
11,
12,
13]. Urban water cycles and the ecological balance are, in turn, adversely affected. Under the combined pressures of global climate change and urbanization, conventional single-structure engineering approaches have become increasingly inadequate to meet the requirements of sustainable urban development [
14,
15]. Therefore, there is an urgent need to explore integrated, nature-based solutions that can enhance urban resilience and ecological sustainability. Blue-Green Infrastructure (BGI) has emerged as a key strategy for sustainable urban development. It integrates both natural and engineered systems to mitigate the challenges posed by rapid global urbanization, increasingly frequent extreme rainfall events, and the limitations of traditional drainage systems [
16,
17,
18]. By integrating green spaces (such as vegetation, green areas, and wetlands) with blue water bodies (such as rain gardens, artificial lakes, and infiltration ponds), BGI establishes multifunctional ecological networks across urban landscapes. This approach not only effectively mitigates stormwater runoff and improves water quality but also strengthens the resilience and biodiversity of urban ecosystems [
19,
20,
21,
22]. Compared to traditional gray infrastructure, BGI emphasizes the utilization of natural processes. By mimicking natural hydrological cycles, it facilitates rainwater retention, infiltration, and reuse are facilitated, thereby effectively addressing urban flooding, reducing environmental pollution, and enhancing the quality of urban living environments [
23,
24,
25]. Under the complex background, BGI has emerged as a key strategy for sustainable urban water management, offering integrated ecological, social, and economic benefits [
26,
27].
Hydrological models are commonly utilized to simulate stormwater processes [
28,
29,
30]. Widely used models include SWMM, SWAT, MIKE SHE, and HEC-HMS [
31,
32,
33,
34,
35,
36]. Among these, SWMM has been extensively applied in urban stormwater management and sponge city development owing to its comprehensive functionality and high flexibility. The Low Impact Development (LID) modules within SWMM, including bio-retention cells, permeable pavements, and green roofs, are capable of accurately simulating the physical characteristics and hydrological processes of green infrastructure (GI) [
37,
38]. Essamlali et al. [
39] conducted simulations of various LID facility configurations using the SWMM and found that combined LID schemes achieved higher runoff reduction and pollutant removal rates. Similarly, Suresh et al. [
40] utilized the SWMM to compare the hydrological effects of LID facilities on runoff depth and peak runoff, thereby supporting urban policymakers in identifying optimal LID measures for flood risk mitigation. It was concluded by Zhuang et al. [
5] that when LID measures are implemented across the entirety of the study area, total runoff and peak runoff can be reduced by 35% to 45% during rainfall events with return periods of 2, 10, and 50 years. Blue Infrastructure (BI) is primarily composed of large-scale water conservancy projects and natural water systems, which play a vital role in urban stormwater regulation and storage. These facilities are typically located upstream or along the periphery of urban areas and operate synergistically with GI to establish an integrated urban stormwater management system.
Research on BGI has been progressively expanded from the evaluation of individual facilities to the analysis of integrated effects across multiple scales and processes. In terms of stormwater management performance, previous studies have primarily focused on runoff reduction, peak flow delay, and water quality improvement. Field monitoring and hydrological modeling have been widely employed in quantifying the water storage, infiltration, and purification capacities of BGI systems. Li et al. [
41] found that centralized BGI facilities can effectively regulate the number of drainage units and the total runoff volume in the study area. For instance, under the scenario of extreme rainfall and increased impervious surfaces in the future, the centralized BGI can regulate 25.7% of the total runoff. The hydrological benefits of BGI were assessed by Mugume et al. [
42] through one-dimensional and two-dimensional hydrological modeling. This assessment indicated that, considering the initial state of a failing urban drainage system, the average flood duration could be reduced by over 13% through the implementation of rainwater harvesting, infiltration trenches, and bio-retention cells. Additionally, research on the role of BGI in urban resilience assessments is growing, with a primary focus on the development of indicator systems to evaluate their contributions to urban resilience, such as flood risk reduction, ecological restoration, and community adaptation. Thorsson et al. [
43] demonstrated that integrated BGI combinations can simultaneously support urban stormwater management, heat stress mitigation, and recreational functions while accounting for construction and maintenance costs. Battemarco et al. [
44] proposed an alternative future land-use strategy based on BGI implementation, and their simulations demonstrated that BGI approaches were capable of reducing flooding risk while enhancing watershed environmental quality and offering strategic guidance for the spatial layout of BGI.
Urban stormwater management is no longer considered to be confined within city boundaries but must instead be integrated into larger-scale watershed water resource and water security systems. The interplay between urban flooding and waterlogging presents a key challenge in stormwater management, which necessitates a systematic approach to address urban water issues from a watershed perspective. The sponge city concept necessitates the coordinated planning of BGI and the investigation of the hydrological effects of integrated blue-green systems at the watershed scale. However, few studies have examined the hydrological impacts of such integrated systems from a whole-watershed perspective. Existing research has been primarily focused on the analysis of localized areas or site-scale components (e.g., individual facilities, communities, or small plots). Xu et al. [
45] evaluated the effectiveness of LID facilities in stormwater management and microclimate improvement at the residential scale under varying weather conditions. The study demonstrated that LID facilities have greater benefits than conventional residential green spaces lacking such installations. Zhuang et al. [
5] developed SWMM for a high-density built-up area in Hong Kong to investigate the effects of LID facilities on runoff control. Do Lago et al. [
46] integrated the SWMM with the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) to identify optimal placement of LID facilities in small urban watersheds. The watershed-scale perspective encompasses the interactions among upstream and downstream areas, spatial heterogeneity, and hydrodynamic connectivity [
47]. The effectiveness of LID measures is strongly influenced by the geology, topography, climate, land cover, and anthropogenic factors of the study area. Flooding in the upper reaches of urban river basins exerts a significant influence on downstream urban flooding. However, few studies have examined the effects of floodwater originating from upstream catchment areas on stormwater management in downstream urban drainage zones. Hu et al. [
48] evaluate the flood control and disaster reduction effects of BGI networks with different spatial configurations and structural layouts. The results show that the small decentralized regulating and storage tanks upstream significantly reduce the peak water depth and alleviate the drainage pressure of the main channel. Existing studies [
49,
50] have largely been confined to the scales of individual construction projects or neighborhoods, without considering the integrated layout of BGI at the basin scale and its implications for stormwater control in sponge city development. Meanwhile, existing research has shown that GI effectively regulates stormwater during high-frequency, low-intensity rainfall events. However, it is less effective when operating independently under extreme rainfall conditions and large-scale flood events. Therefore, a holistic watershed systems perspective must be adopted to investigate the hydrological effects of integrated BGI layouts and combined applications under extreme rainfall and upstream river backflow conditions. This approach provides new insights and methodological frameworks for urban flood prevention and disaster mitigation.
Although numerous studies [
51,
52,
53] have examined the hydrological benefits of GI or BI individually, the synergistic effects of integrated reservoir operation, river water level regulation, and GI at the watershed scale remain insufficiently quantified. This study employs the Baihuayong creek watershed in Zengcheng District, Guangzhou, China, as a representative case study. A watershed and urban stormwater model were constructed based on the SWMM and TELEMAC-2D, using the entire watershed as the foundation and BGI as the research subject. The study evaluates the stormwater control performance of BGI under six rainfall events, varying initial reservoir storage levels, river water levels, and proportions of GI construction. Based on the quantitative results of this study, a scientific basis can be provided for urban watersheds in the Pearl River Delta region or other cities with similar natural geographical conditions and urbanization development patterns.
3. Results
To evaluate the stormwater response under extreme rainfall, all schemes were simulated using the calibrated SWMM to obtain runoff, discharge, and overflow conditions. These outputs were subsequently transferred into TELEMAC-2D for flood propagation and inundation analysis. Six 1 h design storms (2-, 5-, 10-, 20-, 50-, and 100-year return periods) were applied consistently across all scheme groups. The following subsections present the comparative results for different initial reservoir storage levels, river water levels, and GI implementation proportions.
Although the hydrological simulation includes the entire Baihuayong watershed, the resulting flooding analysis primarily focused on the built-up areas. This is because rural and upstream green-space regions typically possess higher infiltration capacities, natural drainage, and are less vulnerable to surface ponding. Moreover, flooding in non-urban areas often does not result in significant economic loss or infrastructure damage. Therefore, the focus of this study on analyzing the inundation extent of built-up areas is considered more relevant and can better guide the improvement of urban flood resilience and the optimization of infrastructure deployment.
3.1. The Influence of Different Initial Reservoir Storage Level on Stormwater Control Effect
Based on the constructed SWMM, runoff reduction and node overflow conditions in the study area were simulated under various rainfall events and different initial reservoir storage levels (Schemes 1–4). The river water level was set at 11 m based on historical flood records. Based on these results, we calculated and analyzed the flood control effectiveness of Schemes 2–4. The drainage capacity of Scheme 1 was utilized as the baseline representing the current situation. The results were summarized in
Table 5. The flood inundation conditions in the downstream built-up area under different initial reservoir storage levels during the 1 h rainfall events with six return periods in Scheme 4 are presented in
Figure 5.
As shown in
Table 5, under identical rainfall return periods, the runoff reduction in the study area gradually decreases with increasing rainfall duration and return period, regardless of the initial reservoir storage level. Taking Scheme 1 as the baseline, under the 2-year rainfall event, the runoff reduction rates for Scheme 2 to 4 were 21.3%, 38.7%, and 54.8%, respectively. A comparison among Schemes 1–4 indicates that each 1 m decrease in the initial reservoir storage level increases the runoff reduction rate by an average of 16.7%. Under the 100-year 1 h rainfall event, the runoff reduction rates for Schemes 2 to 4 were 14.4%, 29.1%, and 43.3%, respectively. These results demonstrate that, under high-intensity rainfall conditions, the marginal improvement in runoff reduction achieved by lowering the initial reservoir storage level becomes less pronounced.
The initial reservoir storage level is inversely correlated with the discharged water volume. The absolute reduction in discharge becomes more pronounced under higher cumulative rainfall. For instance, under the 2-year, 1 h rainfall event, the outfall volume decreased by approximately 1.077 × 109 L from Scheme 1 to Scheme 4. This reduction in discharged volume reflects the enhanced buffering capacity of the reservoir associated with lower initial storage levels during prolonged or intense rainfall events. However, the relative effectiveness slightly decreases with increasing rainfall return periods, while the rate of decline moderates under higher-intensity events.
The number of overflow nodes increases with increasing rainfall return periods. For instance, under a 2-year rainfall event, the numbers of overflow nodes for Schemes 1–4 were 259, 255, 252, and 250, respectively. Based on the comparison among schemes, each 1 m reduction in the initial reservoir storage level corresponds to an average decrease of approximately 1.5 overflow nodes. Flooded area increases monotonically with the rainfall return period and decreases significantly with lower initial reservoir storage levels. For instance, under the 2-year rainfall event, the flooded areas for Schemes 1–4 were 12.41, 12.04, 11.89, and 11.88 ha, respectively. Under low-return-period rainfall conditions, this comparison indicates that each 1 m reduction in the initial reservoir storage level reduces the flooded area by approximately 0.2 ha.
In summary, lowering the initial reservoir storage level can effectively reduce the discharged water volume, the number of overflow nodes, and the flooded area, while enhancing the runoff reduction rate. Specifically, a reduction in the level from 30.6 m to 27.6 m resulted in an average reduction of approximately 30% in discharged water volume, an average increase of approximately 40% in the runoff reduction rate, an average decrease of roughly 5% in the number of overflow nodes, and an average reduction of approximately 5% in the area of urban flooding. Under intense rainfall events, the reduced marginal benefits observed in runoff reduction and flooded area indicate that reservoir regulation alone is insufficient once the drainage network approaches or exceeds its hydraulic capacity. Consequently, the combined results on runoff, overflow, and flooding suggest that reservoir management should be coordinated with drainage network upgrades and GI implementation.
3.2. The Influence of Different River Water Levels on Storm Flood Control Effect
Based on the constructed SWMM, runoff reduction and overflow node were simulated under various rainfall events and different river water levels (Schemes 4–7). The river water level was set at 8 m based on historical flood records. Based on these simulation results, we calculated and analyzed the stormwater control effectiveness of Schemes 4–7, as shown in
Table 6. The flooded area in the downstream built-up area under different river water levels during the 1 h rainfall events with six return periods in Scheme 4 are presented in
Figure 6.
As shown in
Table 6, under the same rainfall return period, the runoff reduction in the study area gradually decreases with increasing rainfall duration across varying river water levels. Under the 2-year rainfall event, the runoff reduction rates for Schemes 4–7 were 54.8%, 49.0%, 49.7%, and 50.6%, respectively. A comparison among Schemes 4–7 shows that lower river water levels are associated with reduced runoff reduction rates; however, this decline tends to stabilize once the river water level falls below a certain threshold. Under the 100-year, 1 h heavy rainfall event, the runoff reduction rates for Schemes 4–7 were 43.3%, 38.0%, 37.7%, and 38.6%, respectively. These results demonstrate that, under high-intensity rainfall conditions, variations in river water levels exert a more pronounced influence on runoff reduction performance. Compared with Scheme 4, lower river water levels (Schemes 5–7) increase the discharged water volume by approximately 5–15% on average. Among these schemes, Scheme 5 exhibited the largest increase (approximately 1.13 × 10
8 L under the 2-year, 1 h rainfall event), followed by slight decreases in Schemes 6 and 7, although discharged volumes in both cases remained higher than that of Scheme 4. The observed increase in discharged volume suggests that lowering river water levels enhances drainage gradients, thereby accelerating outflow and shortening upstream retention time.
The number of overflow nodes under each scheme increases with longer rainfall return periods and gradually decreases as river water levels decline. For example, under the 2-year rainfall event, the number of overflow nodes for Schemes 4–7 were 250, 241, 236, and 236, respectively. Based on this comparison, lowering the river water level effectively reduces the number of overflow nodes, although the magnitude of reduction stabilizes once the water level falls below a threshold. Flooded area increases monotonically with the rainfall return period and decreases significantly with lower river water levels. For instance, under the 2-year rainfall event, the flooded areas for Schemes 4–7 were 11.88, 10.91, 10.80, and 10.76 ha, respectively, indicating that reduced river water levels contribute to a measurable decrease in flooded area under low-return-period rainfall conditions. Under the 100-year, 1 h rainfall event, the flooded areas for Schemes 4–7 were 23.19, 22.89, 22.81, and 22.82 ha, respectively, suggesting that the effect of river water level reduction on flood mitigation becomes more evident during prolonged heavy rainfall events.
In summary, adjustments in river water levels significantly influence flood control performance. Lowering river water levels effectively reduces discharged outflow volume, the number of overflow nodes, and the flooded area. However, this effect diminishes once river water level drop below a certain threshold. Under identical rainfall events, a river water level of 11 m results in a higher number of overflow nodes than lower external water levels, whereas overflow node counts remain relatively consistent when river water levels range between 8 m and 10 m. The combined results on runoff reduction, overflow nodes, and flooded area indicate that regulating river water levels is particularly effective during intense rainfall events, highlighting the importance of river-level control as a component of integrated stormwater management strategies.
3.3. The Influence of Different GI Proportion on Stormwater Control Effect
Based on the constructed SWMM, runoff reduction and node overflow conditions in the study area were simulated under various rainfall events and different proportions of GI (Schemes 7–11). The river water level was set at 8 m, based on historical flood records. Based on these simulation results, we calculated and analyzed the stormwater control effectiveness of Schemes 7–11, as shown in
Table 7.
Figure 7 shows flooded area under the 100-year, 1 h rainfall event for different GI implementation proportions.
As shown in
Table 7, under identical rainfall events, runoff reduction in the study area gradually decreases with increasing rainfall intensity, regardless of the proportion of GI implemented. This observed trend is consistent with findings reported by Essamlali et al. and Fei et al. [
39,
63]. For instance, the 100-year, 1 h heavy rainfall event, runoff reduction rates for Schemes 7–11 were 38.6%, 41.5%, 41.5%, 39.8%, and 40.2%, respectively. A comparison among Schemes 7–11 indicates that, under high-intensity rainfall conditions, increasing the proportion of GI yields diminishing improvements in runoff reduction rates. Discharged water volume increases with longer return periods and decreases significantly with higher proportions of GI. For example, in Scheme 7 (0% GI proportion), the discharged water volume increases from 9.71 × 10
8 L under a 2-year rainfall event to 1.60 × 10
9 L under a 100-year, 1 h rainfall event, representing a 64.3% increase.
The number of overflow nodes increases monotonically with the rainfall return period and decreases significantly with higher proportions of GI. Under Scheme 7, the number of overflow nodes increased from 236 during a 2-year rainfall event to 519 during a 100-year, 1 h rainfall event. Under the 2-year rainfall event, increasing the GI proportion markedly reduces the number of overflow nodes, decreasing the count from 236 (Scheme 7) to 192 (Scheme 11). In contrast, under extreme rainfall conditions, the limited changes in overflow-node counts across Schemes 7–11 demonstrate that the storage and retention capacity of GI becomes insufficient to substantially improve system-wide flooding conditions. Nevertheless, GI facilities can still provide localized mitigation by reducing overflow occurrence at specific nodes. Flooded area increases with longer rainfall return periods but decreases with higher proportions of GI. Under Scheme 7, the flooded area increased from 10.76 ha during a 2-year rainfall event to 22.82 ha during a 100-year rainfall event. Under the 2-year rainfall event, the flooded area decreased from 10.76 ha in Plan 7 to 9.20 ha in Scheme 11.
In summary, based on the combined results on runoff reduction, discharged water volume, overflow nodes, and flooded area, increasing the proportion of GI effectively improves stormwater control under low and moderate intensity rainfall events. However, under intense rainfall conditions, the marginal benefits of further increasing GI proportion diminish, particularly in terms of runoff reduction and flood mitigation.