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Technologies for Forecasting Volcanic Hazards: From Remote Sensing to Modeling

A special issue of Remote Sensing (ISSN 2072-4292). This special issue belongs to the section "Environmental Remote Sensing".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 10 May 2025 | Viewed by 2793

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Etna Volcano Observatory, 95125 Catania, Italy
Interests: physical volcanology; hazard assessment; remote sensing: artificial intelligence
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Etna Volcano Observatory, 95125 Catania, Italy
Interests: artificial intelligence; machine learning; volcano monitoring; satellite remote sensing
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Etna Volcano Observatory, 95125 Catania, Italy
Interests: computational dynamics; complex systems

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Forecasting volcanic hazards presents extraordinarily challenging problems, for reasons that span from the inherent complexity characterizing volcanic phenomena to the magnitude of associated risks. However, there is significant progress in forecasting volcanic hazards and, in specific circumstances, in making predictions. Improvements in forecasting are closely related to a wealth of data from enhanced monitoring techniques, such as satellite observations, and tremendous advances in computing power, leading to the increased use of data-driven approaches, including artificial intelligence (AI) techniques, to solve problems of volcanic hazards. Machine learning, a type of AI in which computers learn from data, is gaining importance in volcanology, not only for monitoring purposes (i.e., in real-time) but also for later hazards analysis (e.g., modelling tools). Looking to the future, AI models can be combined with physical constraints to bridge the gap between data-driven methods and physical modeling and to increase the interpretability of AI predictions, offering an alternative path to deal with the strongly nonlinear and time-dependent character of volcanic phenomena. This Special Issue invites contributions (original research articles and reviews are welcome) on the improvement of traditional ground-based volcano monitoring systems with technological innovation from satellite remote sensing, and of computational methods, blending deep-learning, data-driven approaches, and physics-based simulations, for developing a better understanding of volcanic hazards.

Dr. Ciro Del Negro
Dr. Claudia Corradino
Dr. Vito Zago
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Remote Sensing is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2700 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • data collection
  • spatial analysis
  • temporal analysis
  • mathematical modeling
  • sensitivity analysis
  • validation and calibration
  • uncertainty assessment
  • decision support

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

17 pages, 3972 KiB  
Article
Quantitative Assessment of Volcanic Thermal Activity from Space Using an Isolation Forest Machine Learning Algorithm
by Claudia Corradino, Arianna Beatrice Malaguti, Micheal S. Ramsey and Ciro Del Negro
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(11), 2001; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16112001 - 1 Jun 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1939
Abstract
Understanding the dynamics of volcanic activity is crucial for volcano observatories in their efforts to forecast volcanic hazards. Satellite imager data hold promise in offering crucial insights into the thermal behavior of active volcanoes worldwide, facilitating the assessment of volcanic activity levels and [...] Read more.
Understanding the dynamics of volcanic activity is crucial for volcano observatories in their efforts to forecast volcanic hazards. Satellite imager data hold promise in offering crucial insights into the thermal behavior of active volcanoes worldwide, facilitating the assessment of volcanic activity levels and identifying significant changes during periods of volcano unrest. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor, aboard NASA’s Terra and Aqua satellites, provides invaluable data with high temporal and spectral resolution, enabling comprehensive thermal monitoring of eruptive activity. The accuracy of volcanic activity characterization depends on the quality of models used to relate the relationship between volcanic phenomena and target variables such as temperature. Under these circumstances, machine learning (ML) techniques such as decision trees can be employed to develop reliable models without necessarily offering any particular or explicit insights. Here, we present a ML approach for quantifying volcanic thermal activity levels in near real time using thermal infrared satellite data. We develop an unsupervised Isolation Forest machine learning algorithm, fully implemented in Google Colab using Google Earth Engine (GEE) which utilizes MODIS Land Surface Temperature (LST) data to automatically retrieve information on the thermal state of volcanoes. We evaluate the algorithm on various volcanoes worldwide characterized by different levels of volcanic activity. Full article
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