Navigating Economic Volatility: Predictive Models and Risk Analysis of Business Cycles

A special issue of Journal of Risk and Financial Management (ISSN 1911-8074). This special issue belongs to the section "Economics and Finance".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 1 August 2024 | Viewed by 93

Special Issue Editor

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Guest Editor
Department of Transportation, Logistics, and Finance College of Business, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND 58108, USA
Interests: risk management and insurance; mathematical optimization; business cycle prediction; tail risk analysis; moment problems; portfolio management
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Understanding and predicting business cycles are crucial for risk assessment and financial management for both public and private sectors. As the world is facing more post-pandemic uncertainties, including inflation, government deficits, stagnant housing markets, and more catastrophic events driven by global warming, the prediction of business cycles and the assessment of associated risks have become more indispensable. This Special Issue aims to collate research that advances our understanding of business cycle dynamics, predictive models, and the corresponding risks that affect various sectors (including finance, risk management and insurance, investment, etc.).

Original research or practitioner papers may explore the following topics:

  • Advanced models for business cycles forecasting;
  • Quantitative and qualitative risk assessments at different phases of business cycles;
  • The role of fiscal and monetary policy in mitigating risks caused by business cycles;
  • The impact of business cycles on risk management strategies;
  • The interaction between international economic activities and domestic business cycles.

We hope submissions in the Special Issue advance theoretical modelling, present empirical evidence, and provide constructive insights to professionals and policymakers.

Dr. Ruilin Tian
Guest Editor

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Journal of Risk and Financial Management is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 1400 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.


  • business cycle forecasting
  • risk assessment
  • economic volatility
  • financial management
  • predictive modelling

Published Papers

This special issue is now open for submission.
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