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22 January 2026

Electric Vehicle Remaining Range in Real Traffic: Fleet Data Completion and Operating Factors Analysis

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1
School of Future Technology, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 511442, Guangdong, China
2
Guangdong Artificial Intelligence and Digital Economy Laboratory (Guangzhou), Guangzhou 510335, Guangdong, China
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Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Future Transp.2026, 6(1), 24;https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp6010024 
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Abstract

Electric vehicles (EVs) are central to low-carbon urban mobility, but range anxiety persists. In real fleet operations, vehicles are rarely discharged to low State-of-Charge (SOC), so the remaining driving range (RDR) labels are incomplete, hindering accurate RDR prediction and analysis of operating conditions. This paper proposes a label completion framework that reconstructs low SOC mileage and a hybrid mileage-factor-oriented residual regressor (MF-CMR) to learn mileage factors under SOC imbalance. Applied to one year of data from eight EVs in Guangzhou, China, the method achieves a mean absolute error of 0.88 and a coefficient of determination of 0.64, yielding completed trip-level RDR labels whose distribution centers around 241.73 km. Using the completed labels, a two-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) with ambient temperature and driving style as factors shows that temperature is the dominant determinant of RDR, while driving style exerts a secondary but substantial effect, with a significant interaction. Together, the label completion framework and the quantified impacts of temperature and driving style enable more reliable RDR estimation from fleet logs, offering a quantitative basis for dispatching policies, charging margins, and eco-driving guidance in EV fleet services involving long distance trips or low SOC deep discharge scenarios.

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