Western Siberia is one of the largest high-latitude lowland peatland regions on Earth and stores vast amounts of organic carbon in landscapes where vegetation, hydrology and fire are strongly regulated by permafrost. However, the long-term interactions among fire disturbance, permafrost dynamics, peatland development
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Western Siberia is one of the largest high-latitude lowland peatland regions on Earth and stores vast amounts of organic carbon in landscapes where vegetation, hydrology and fire are strongly regulated by permafrost. However, the long-term interactions among fire disturbance, permafrost dynamics, peatland development and forest–mire vegetation change remain insufficiently resolved. Here, we reconstructed regional vegetation dynamics, local mire succession, permafrost evolution and fire activity in the subarctic Pur–Taz interfluve, Western Siberia, during the Early to Middle Holocene from 11.2 to 4.4 cal kyr BP. The study combines pollen, non-pollen palynomorphs, microcharcoal records, principal component analysis and comparison with modern surface-sample analogues. The record documents a transition from Early Holocene larch–birch forest-tundra with no close modern analogue to increasingly heterogeneous forest–mire and shrub-tundra landscapes. After 9.5 cal kyr BP,
Betula pubescens declined and
Picea obovata pollen increased, with the strongest spruce signal between ca. 5.5 and 4.7 cal kyr BP. However, this pattern did not necessarily reflect a uniform regional expansion of spruce. Integrated fire reconstruction, based on microcharcoal peaks,
Gelasinospora-type and declines in
Betula pubescens-type pollen, indicates that recurrent fires after 8.0 cal kyr BP preferentially affected well-drained birch–larch uplands, whereas wetter riparian habitats acted as refugia for spruce. This landscape contrast increased the relative contribution of
Picea pollen from fire-protected valleys, producing an apparent, partly artefactual spruce expansion signal. Locally, an open lake present at 11.2 cal kyr BP was transformed into a peatland after ca. 9.7 cal kyr BP. Cooling associated with the 8.2 cal kyr BP event promoted permafrost aggradation and polygonal mire initiation, whereas subsequent thaw and subsidence favoured waterlogging and mesotrophic fen development. Repeated alternation between permafrost aggradation, oligotrophication, degradation and renewed waterlogging culminated in polygonal microrelief by 6.1–5.3 cal kyr BP. These results show that Holocene vegetation change in the Pur–Taz interfluve was not controlled by climate alone, but by spatially heterogeneous feedbacks among permafrost state, peatland hydrology, fire disturbance and pollen-source structure. The West Siberian record provides a palaeoecological analogue for anticipating nonlinear vegetation and fire-regime responses in permafrost lowlands under ongoing Arctic warming.
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