Abstract
In this study, we consider a system of nonlinear differential equations modeling the human immunodeficiency virus type-1 (HIV-1) in a variable environment. Infected cells were subdivided into two compartments describing both latently and productively infected cells. Thus, three routes of infection were considered including the HIV-to-cell contact, latently infected cell-to-cell contact, and actively infected cell-to-cell contact. The nonnegativity and boundedness of the trajectories of the dynamics were proved. The basic reproduction number was determined through an integral operator. The global stability of steady states is then analyzed using the Lyapunov theory together with LaSalle’s invariance principle for the case of a fixed environment. Similarly, for the case of a variable environment, we showed that the virus-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable once , while the virus will persist once . Finally, some numerical examples are provided illustrating the theoretical investigations.
Keywords:
HIV-1 dynamics; three infection routes; variable environment; periodic trajectories; Lyapunov stability; uniform persistence MSC:
34C15; 34A34; 34C60; 37C75; 92D30
1. Introduction
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is caused by two retroviruses (HIV-1 and HIV-2) that can destroy CD4 lymphocytes and disrupt the functioning of cell-mediated immunity, leading to an increased risk of some infections and certain cancers. The initial infection may result in a nonspecific febrile illness. The risk of subsequent manifestations, linked to immunodeficiency, is related to the rate of CD4 lymphocyte exhaustion. HIV destroys the brain, gonads, kidneys, and heart, provoking cognitive impairment, hypogonadism, kidney failure, and cardiomyopathy. Manifestations can range from asymptomatic forms to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS).
HIV infection has attracted the attention of several researchers from various fields. In particular, mathematical modeling permits mathematicians to use a set of concepts, methods, amd mathematical theories that facilitate the description, understanding, and prediction of the evolution of a disease, making a link between reality and mathematics.
Mathematical models of HIV-immune dynamics are widely proposed in the literature [1,2,3,4,5,6]. The interest of a range of works has focused on the description of the immunological response to HIV infection, characterizing interactions of HIV with CD expressing non-conventional T cells. Most of these references proposed mathematical models describing the host–pathogen dynamics for the principal virus strain, HIV-1, based on biological and clinical observations. All of the proposed models and studies are based on systems of ordinary-differential equations. In particular, the mathematical modeling of the behavior of HIV dynamics was studied in several recent works [7,8,9]. In [10], an HIV mutant infection model was proposed, and the feasibility and effectiveness of the optimal therapies were studied for this model in which virtual therapies for wild-type infections are incorporated. Later, in [11], the possibilities of eradication at an early stage of infection were studied on the model proposed in [10]. In [12], the authors studied an HIV infection model with fixed parameters taking into account three routes of infection, namely virus-to-cell, latently infected cell-to-cell, and actively infected cell-to-cell.
A person is more likely to have a heart attack in winter or catch a sexually transmitted infection in summer. Indeed, the frequency of many diseases varies with the seasons. Several published studies explain that the prevalence of several infectious diseases is linked to the season [13]. To establish a timeline, researchers analyzed epidemiological data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (the main federal agency in the United States for protecting public health), the World Health Organization (WHO), and the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Generally, there are, on the one hand, long-standing epidemics with low morbidity rates and, on the other hand, seasonal epidemics with high morbidity rates. Pathogens in seasonal circulation are of more interest to the population since everyone, or almost everyone, has been or will be infected one day or another. For example, seasonal flu occurs during the cold season. In spring and summer, epidemics of borreliosis (Lyme disease) and tick-borne encephalitis (summer meningoencephalitis) occur. The number of campylobacter food poisoning cases increases in winter during holidays as well as in summer during grilling time. Measles cases also follow a seasonal pattern; in this case, the elimination strategy helped reduce the chains of transmission. Thus, the season plays a major role in the occurrence of certain infectious diseases, which is evoked in several studies [14,15,16,17]. Mechanisms linked to seasonality in the occurrence of infectious diseases should be considered by the centers for disease control and prevention. This would strengthen public health policies aimed at controlling them. Several studies considered mathematical models that describe the influence of seasonality on the dynamics of several diseases. In [18], the seasonal dynamics of an SVEIR model was considered and analyzed. [19,20] consider the seasonal dynamics of HIV and chikungunya virus.
In our case, the dynamics of HIV in relation with cells will be studied for both fixed and variable environments. We provide a thorough exploration of HIV-1 dynamics through a nonlinear differential equation model. The subdivision of infected cells into two compartments, the consideration of three infection routes, and the variable environment add realism to the proposed model.
Thus, the present paper is organized as follows: in Section 2, we consider a simple mathematical model for HIV spread by considering both the variable environment and three routes of infection. In Section 3, we consider firstly the case of the fixed environment, and we express and investigate the global analysis of both the virus-free and the virus-infected steady states. Stability analyses were conducted using Lyapunov theory and LaSalle’s invariance principle. In Section 4, we investigate the stability of virus-free and virus-present periodic trajectories for the case of the variable environment. Some numerical tests are provided in Section 5, validating the given theoretical results. Finally, in Section 6, some conclusions are given.
2. Mathematical Model for HIV Dynamics
We aim in this paper to propose a dynamical system generalizing the one given in [12] to a variable environment. Let , and be the concentration of susceptible, latently infected, and productively infected cells, respectively. Let and be the free virions (HIV-1) and B cells and cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs), respectively. The proposed mathematical model is an association of five ordinary differential equations and takes the following form.
with positive initial condition .
The model’s variables and parameters are further described hereafter in Table 1.
Table 1.
Variables and parameters.
Note that the incidence rate increases once the number of susceptible cells, , increases and it is zero in the absence of the susceptible cells (). Thus, we impose some assumptions on the incidence rate f in the following assumption. We suppose also that the death rates of cells depend on the compartment to which the cell belongs. Thus, we assume that the death rate of susceptible cells is smaller than the death rate of latently infected cells, and that the death rate of latently infected cells is itself smaller than the death rate of productively infected cells. Therefore, we assume that .
3. Autonomous System
In this section, we suppose that the parameters are not influenced by the environment and thus are all constants. The dynamics of the model (1) takes the following more simple form.
with positive initial condition . In this section, we make the following assumption.
Assumption 1.
.
3.1. Basic Results
We start by proving that the state variables , and remain non-negative all the time. Let us denote , and then we obtain the following lemma.
Lemma 1.
Proof.
is invariant for (2) because , , , , and .
3.2. Basic Reproduction Number and Equilibria of the Dynamics
We denote by , the basic reproduction number, that we used the next-generation matrix method [21,22] to calculate it. Let and with , , , , , , , , , and . Then, the next-generation matrix can be calculated as follows: with , , , and . Therefore, is given by
where , , and .
Lemma 2.
Proof.
From the second equation of (4), we have
Therefore, if then and , we obtain the HIV-free equilibrium point . However, if , we divide the previous equation by , and we obtain
Consider the function g defined by
One can easily obtain
Let be the solution of the equation:
which can be written in the following form: . We then obtain:
where , , and . Then, the discriminant is given by: . Therefore, Equation (5) admits two real solutions. One of them is nonpositive and then excluded and we keep only the positive solution given by
One can see easily that . The derivative of g is calculated as follows:
Therefore, it is clear that the first term of is negative. According to Assumption 1, we have , and then the second term of is negative. Thus, which permits us to conclude the existence and uniqueness of satisfying . Then, we obtain
Then, the persistence equilibrium point exists and is unique once . □
Next, we investigate the local stability of the virus-free steady state using the Jacobian matrix. Note that, generally, the value of with respect to the unity will be decisive in whether the virus persists or goes to extinction. We give the stability result concerning the virus-free steady state .
Theorem 1.
If , then the virus-free steady state is locally asymptotically stable.
Proof.
The Jacobian matrix of (2) at the virus-free steady state is:
admits and as eigenvalues. The other three eigenvalues are the roots of:
where
It is easy to see that for , we have , , , . By applying Routh-Hurwitz criteria [23,24], all eigenvalues admit negative real parts, and is locally asymptotically stable if , and it is unstable if (See [25] for another application). □
3.3. Global Analysis
Consider the function G defined by
Theorem 2.
The virus-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable if .
Proof.
Consider the case where and consider the Lyapunov function given as follows:
Clearly, for all , and .
Furthermore, admits the following derivative along (2).
If then for all . Let . It can be easily shown that . By applying LaSalle’s invariance principle [26], one obtain that is globally asymptotically stable if (see [27] for an other application). □
We give now the following result regarding the global stability of the virus-present steady state, when .
Theorem 3.
By considering the dynamics (2), if , then is globally asymptotically stable.
Proof.
Consider the Lyapunov function defined as:
Clearly, for all and
By calculating along the dynamics (2), we obtain:
Now, since we have , , , and , we obtain
and
Therefore, we obtain
Since we have for all with positive integer n. Then we deduce that
and
Finally, we obtain for all and if and only if . By applying the LaSalle’s invariance principle [26], we conclude that is globally asymptotically stable (see [27] for other application). □
4. Variable Environment and Periodic Solution
Let us go back to the main dynamics (1) such that the positive parameters of the model are continuous and T-periodic functions. Let us denote by a continuous T-periodic irreducible and cooperative matrix function and let be the matrix solution of the equation hereafter
We denote by the spectral radius of , which has positive entries for all . By using the theorem of Perron–Frobenius [28], we can obtain that admits a principal eigenvalue , and we consider the lemma hereafter that will be used later frequently.
Lemma 3
([29]). Equation (7) admits a solution of the form where is a positive T-periodic function and .
With the aim to prove that dynamics (1) admits a unique virus-free periodic solution, let the equation
where the initial condition . Equation (8) admits a unique T-periodic solution globally attractive in , such that . Thus, the dynamics (1) admits a unique virus-free periodic solution . Consider a continuous, positive T-periodic function , let and . Let us define , and then we obtain the following Proposition.
Proposition 1.
Proof.
□
In Section 4.1, we define the basic reproduction number according to the theory in [30]. It will be proved that if , then the virus-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable and the virus goes to extinction. In Section 4.2, it will be proven that if , then the dynamics (1) will be uniformly persistent. This means that plays the role of the threshold parameter between uniform persistence and extinction of the virus.
4.1. Virus-Free Periodic Solution
According to the theory in [30] and to define the basic reproduction number , we rewrite the dynamics (1) in a more suitable form with the theory of [30]. Let , , and . We aim to satisfy Assumptions (A1)–(A7) in [30]. The dynamics (1) can be written as follows
One can easily see that Assumptions (A1)–(A5) are verified.
The dynamics (10) has a virus-free periodic solution, .
Consider the functions , and , such that and are the i-th component of and , respectively. A simple calculus allows us to obtain ; thus, . Therefore, the virus-free solution is asymptotically stable in ; given by
which means that condition (A6) of [30] is verified.
Let us consider and to be 3 by 3 matrices defined by , and , such that and are the j-th component of and , respectively. An easy calculus allows us to conclude from dynamics (10) that
Consider the equation with and , the three-by-three identity matrix, and let be its three-by-three matrix solution. Then, condition (A7) of [30] is verified.
Consider to be the linear operator given hereafter
where is the Banach space of functions that are T-periodic and defined on , equipped with the norm . Now, we can define the expression of the basic reproduction number, associated with the dynamics (1), as the spectral radius of K, defined previously,
We give in the theorem hereafter, the local stability result for the virus-free periodic solution of the dynamics (1) according to the definition of the basic reproduction number [30].
Theorem 4
([30], Theorem 2.2).
- .
- .
- .
Thus, is locally asymptotically stable once , however it is unstable once .
Theorem 5.
The virus-free trajectory is globally asymptotically stable if ; however, it is unstable once .
Proof.
By applying Theorem 4, is locally asymptotically stable once ; however, it is unstable once . Thus, we need to prove the global attractivity of the virus-free solution once . Let us concentrate on the case where . By the limit (9) in Lemma 1, for any , there exists a positive constant such that for . Therefore, , and we obtain the following subsystem
for . Let us define to be the three-by-three matrix function given hereafter.
Similarly, we use Theorem 4, we obtain , and we choose such that . Let the three-equations system hereafter be
By using Lemma 3 and by applying the comparison principle, it can easily deduced that there exists a T-periodic positive function such that with and . Therefore, . Then, we deduce that . Moreover, we obtain . Therefore, it is deduced that the virus-free periodic solution is globally attractive, which permits us to complete the proof. □
Let us now concentrate on the case for which the basic reproduction number satisfies .
4.2. Virus-Infected Periodic Solution
Let us define the Poincaré map associated with the dynamics (1) with and is the unique solution of (1) with the initial condition . Let us consider the following sets , and .
Note that both and are positively invariant from Lemma 1. Q is point dissipative. Define
To use the uniform persistence theory given by Zhao [29,31], we need to prove that
It easy to see that . To show that , let .
If and , then for any . Then, it holds that . If and , then and for any . Therefore, for any , we have
for any . Therefore, for small enough. Since is positively invariant according to Proposition 1, then we deduced Equation (15). Therefore, there exists a unique fixed point of Q in , which means that the disease will persist according to the following theorem:
Theorem 6.
Assume that . Dynamics (1) admits at least one positive periodic solution and there exists a positive constant , such that ,
Proof.
We aim to prove that Q is uniformly persistent, with respect to . This permits us to prove the uniform persistence of the solution of model (1) with respect to when applying ([31], Theorem 3.1.1). From Theorem 4, we have . Therefore, sufficiently small such that . Define the following perturbed system
By associating model (16), function Q admits a unique fixed point that it is positive and globally attractive. According to the implicit function theorem we can deduce that is continuous with respect to . Therefore, it is sufficient to choose sufficiently small and satisfying . Let . As the solutions are continuous with respect to the initial condition, satisfies with , and we deduce that
Let us prove by contradiction that
Assume that for some . In particular, assume that , . Then, we deduce that for all and . For any , assume that , with and is the greatest integer of . Then, we obtain Let . Therefore, for all and
The function Q admits the fixed point when associated with model (16), such that it is globally attractive with , then large enough such that
Thus, for all
Since we have , then by applying again Lemma 3 and the comparison principle, there exists a T-periodic positive solution that satisfies and . Thus, it can be deduced that , which contradicts the fact that the solution is bounded. Then, the inequality (17) is verified, and then the function Q is weakly uniformly persistent with respect to . By using Lemma 1, the function Q admits a global attractor. Therefore, we obtain that the set is invariant in and . All trajectories in converge to , such that it is acyclic in . According to ([31], Theorem 1.3.1 and Remark 1.3.1), we obtain the uniform persistence of the function Q with respect to . Moreover, by applying ([31], Theorem 1.3.6), the function Q has a fixed point . Note that . We aim to prove also by contradiction that . Suppose that . From the first equation of dynamics (1), satisfies
with . By using Lemma 1, , there exists large enough that satisfies . Therefore, we obtain
There exists a large enough that satisfies for all . By using the comparison principle, it can be deduced that
for all , and this is impossible. Thus, and the T-periodic trajectory is a positive solution of the dynamics (1). □
5. Numerical Examples
We illustrate the obtained theoretical results on the dynamics (1) by several numerical examples. The T-periodic functions that we used as model parameters are given hereafter.
, , , , , , , , , , , , and are the amplitudes reflecting the influence of the variations on all of the parameters where , , , , , , , , , , , , and . The phase shift is given by . All fixed constants used in the numerical examples are summarized in Table 2.
Table 2.
Constants used in the numerical examples.
Three environmental situations were considered. The first situation was dedicated to a totally fixed environment and all parameters are constants, and thus we obtain an autonomous system. We aim then to confirm the theoretical findings regarding the stability of the steady states and . The second situation was dedicated to a variable contact, which means that only the contact rates , and are T-periodic, and the rest of the parameters are fixed. The third situation deals with a total variable environment such that all the parameters are T-periodic functions.
5.1. Totally Fixed Environment
We first consider the case of a totally fixed environment, and thus all the parameters of system (1) are constants as follows:
with initial condition . We provide several numerical examples that confirm the stability of the steady states of (23). In Figure 1, we display the variables’ behavior when . The trajectory of the system (23) converges to the steady state , and this confirms the global stability of when . In Figure 2, we display the behavior of all components of the solution for several initial conditions, confirming the global stability of if . However, in Figure 3, we display the variables’ behavior when . The trajectory of the system (23) converges to the steady state , confirming the global stability of when . In Figure 4, we display the behavior of all components of the solution for different initial conditions, confirming the global stability of if .
Figure 1.
Behavior of dynamics (23) for then . The red star describe the limit (final state) of the variable .
Figure 2.
Behavior of dynamics (23) for several initial conditions where (). The different graphs (colors) reflect different initial conditions.
Figure 3.
Behavior of dynamics (23) for then . The red star describe the limit (final state) of the variable .
Figure 4.
Behavior of dynamics (23) for several initial conditions where (). The different graphs (colors) reflect different initial conditions.
5.2. Variable Contact Rates
Let us now perform numerical simulations on System (1) where only the variable forced T-periodic function depends on time, t. The other parameters are constant. Thus, the model is given by
with positive initial condition . Note that was calculated by using the time-averaged system as in [32,33]. Other definitions of can be found in [34,35]. In Figure 5, we display the variables’ behavior when . The trajectory of the system (24) converges to the steady state , and this confirms the global stability of when . In Figure 6, we display the behavior of all components of the solution for different initial conditions, confirming the global stability of if . However, in Figure 7, we display the variables’ behavior when . The trajectory of the system (24) converges to the steady state , and this confirms the global stability of when . In Figure 8, we display the behavior of all components of the solution for different initial conditions, confirming the global stability of if .
Figure 5.
Behavior of dynamics (24) for then . The red star describe the limit (final state) of the variable .
Figure 6.
Behavior of dynamics (24) for several initial conditions where (). The different graphs (colors) reflect different initial conditions.
Figure 7.
Behavior of dynamics (24) for then . The red curve describe the limit-cycle of the variable .
Figure 8.
Behavior of dynamics (24) for several initial conditions where (). The different graphs (colors) reflect different initial conditions.
5.3. Totally Variable Environment
In this subsection, we consider the dynamics (1) such that all parameters are T-periodic functions as follows:
with positive initial condition . Similarly to the case of system (24), was calculated using a time-averaged system as in [32,33]. We presented several numerical examples confirming the asymptotic stability of dynamics (25). In Figure 9, we display the variables’ behavior when . The trajectory of the system (25) converges to the free-virus periodic state , confirming the global stability of when . In Figure 10, we display the behavior of all components of the solution with several initial conditions, confirming the global stability of if . However, in Figure 11, we display the variables’ behavior when . The trajectory of the system (25) converges asymptotically to a periodic solution reflecting the virus’ persistence when . In Figure 12, we display the behavior of all components of the solution with several initial conditions. The solution converges to a periodic trajectory with persistence of the virus. when .
Figure 9.
Behavior of dynamics (25) for then . The red star describe the limit (final state) of the variable .
Figure 10.
Behavior of dynamics (25) for several initial conditions where (). The different graphs (colors) reflect different initial conditions.
Figure 11.
Behavior of dynamics (25) for (). The red curve describe the limit-cycle of the variable .
Figure 12.
Behavior of dynamics (25) for several initial conditions where (). The different graphs (colors) reflect different initial conditions.
6. Conclusions
In this study, we extended the HIV dynamics model already studied in [12] by considering a variable environment. The model explored three routes of infection including the HIV-to-cell contact, latently infected cell-to-cell contact, and actively infected cell-to-cell contact. In the first stage, we analyzed the case of a fixed environment, such that all parameters are fixed positive constants. In the second stage, we considered the case of a variable environment, where we defined the basic reproduction number . We proved the global stability of the virus-free periodic trajectory, if . However, we proved that the virus will persist if and the solution converges to a periodic trajectory. We confirmed the obtained results by several numerical examples, including the fixed environment, the variable contact rates, and the fully variable environment. The trajectories converged to one of the steady states of (2), confirming Theorems 2 and 3, in the case of the fixed environment. Since at least the contact rates are periodic, the solution of (1) will be periodic and converges to a limit cycle confirming Theorems 5 and 6.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, M.E.H. and R.M.A.; methodology, M.E.H. and R.M.A.; writing—original draft, M.E.H. and R.M.A.; writing—review and editing, M.E.H. and R.M.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This work was funded by the University of Jeddah, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia under Grant No. (UJ-23-FR-59).
Data Availability Statement
Data are contained within the article.
Acknowledgments
This work was funded by the University of Jeddah, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia under Grant No. (UJ-23-FR-59). Therefore, the authors thank the University of Jeddah for its technical and financial support. The authors are also grateful to the unknown referees for the many constructive suggestions, which helped to improve the presentation of the paper.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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