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Sustainability
  • Article
  • Open Access

6 May 2016

Evaluating the Influence of Criteria to Attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to Develop Supporting Industries in Vietnam by Utilizing Fuzzy Preference Relations

,
and
1
Department of International Business, National Kaohsiung University of Applied Sciences, No.415, Chien Kung Road, Sanmin District, Kaohsiung 80778, Taiwan
2
Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, National Kaohsiung University of Applied Sciences, No.415, Chien Kung Road, Sanmin District, Kaohsiung 80778, Taiwan
3
Faculty of Economic, Hung Yen University of Technology and Education, Khoai Chau District, Hung Yen Province, Vietnam
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
This article belongs to the Special Issue How Better Decision-Making Helps to Improve Sustainability - Part II

Abstract

In the early 2000s, Vietnam’s government concentrated on the promotion of supporting industries which can be seen as a “key” solution to sustaining economic growth, thereby improving the national welfare. However, Vietnam’s supporting industries still exhibit lower development and competitive weakness. The main reason for this condition is due to a lack of capital, technological innovation, and necessary management skills for development. Therefore, attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) for developing supporting industries offers the best strategy to realize this solution. However, attracting FDI to develop supporting industries represents a weakness which lies in both the quantity (total capital and projects) and quality of investment. So which factors are effective to attract FDI for developing supporting industries in Vietnam? This investigation establishes an analytical hierarchy framework available to the Vietnamese government and to policymakers in order to evaluate the influence of criteria needed to attract FDI for developing supporting industries based on eight main criteria. They include legal and institutional criteria, the market size of supporting industries, human resources, infrastructure facilities, technological development and innovation, domestic supply capacity, international cooperation and competition, and other criteria. This paper uses fuzzy preference relations (FPR) to evaluate the influence of criteria necessary to attract FDI for developing supporting industries, and these analytical results demonstrate that legal and institutional criteria, domestic supply capacity, human resources, technology development and innovation are all major considerations for attracting FDI.

1. Introduction

Vietnam has been late in developing its economy, which it started to reform in 1986 [1] and became emergent in the early 1990s [2]. The Vietnamese government decided, until 2020, to follow the process of industrialization and modernization to achieve success [3]. The government’s policy changed in 1991, and since then Vietnam has been pursuing an economic policy to join the global economy, such as the lifting of the United States (US) trade embargo in 1994, joining the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asia Nations) in 1995 and the WTO (World Trade Organization) in 2007 [4]. Therefore, to successfully implement the process of industrialization and modernization, along with international economic integration, it is necessary to reduce dependence on imported goods and a burgeoning trade deficit [5]. Instead, Vietnam should actively pursue the supply of goods in the chain of production [6]. Competitive supporting industries may consistently contribute to the economic development and national welfare [7]. Such development causes a dynamic effect to occur that will promote technological innovation and human resources [8]. Moreover, the most important aspect for developing countries to improve economic self-sufficiency is to establish competitive supporting industries for foreign direct investment (FDI)-driven economic growth [9]. So, in the early 2000s, the Vietnamese government began to concentrate on promoting supporting industries which can be seen as a “key” solution towards economic sustainability for the development of the country, and thereby improve national welfare [5]. It is expressed in the decisions and policies that have been made [10,11,12,13,14].
Currently, the term “supporting industries” is using widely, especially in East Asia. It is interpreted differently in various fields of activity [15,16]. Supporting industries may be defined as a group of producers of manufactured inputs in which finished goods are produced through manufacturing processes consisting of both manufacturing inputs and assembly processes [5]. Supporting industries produce these inputs, more specifically, as intermediate and finished capital goods. The White Paper on Economic Cooperation of the Ministry of International Trade and Industry of Japan (MITI) defined supporting industries as the supply of raw materials, and those parts and capital goods used in assembly-type industries [17]. The United States (US) Department of Energy has defined supporting industries as those which supply materials and processes that are necessary to form and fabricate products before they are marketed to end-use industries [18]. In Vietnam, supporting industries are defined in accordance with Decision No. 12/2011/QĐ-TTg, promulgated by the Prime Minister: “The supporting industries are industries producing materials, spare parts, components, accessories or semi-finished products as means of the production of final products in production and assembly industries or of consumer products” [14]. The list of supporting industry products which are given priority for development are found under Decision No. 1483/QĐ-TTg by the Prime Minister, on 26 August 2011, including six industries: textile and apparel, leather and footwear, electronic and information industries, the manufacturing and assembly of automobiles, the mechanical industry, and supporting industry products for high-tech industries [13].
Vietnam’s supporting industries are still in the process of slowly developing. The situation of supporting industries in Vietnam is one of competitive weakness [9,19]. Due to the underdeveloped state of the local supporting industry in Vietnam, increased production costs, the risk of bigger trade deficits with foreign partners, lowered competitiveness of local products compared with regional peers, and imports of more expensive components and spare parts mostly purchased from Asian markets have greatly weakened Vietnam’s supporting industries [19,20]. The weakness of these industries is viewed to be one of the primary factors preventing industrial development and economic growth from taking place, as well as benefiting national welfare [5]. Some of the major factors leading to the weakness of supporting industries in Vietnam are a lack of capital, technological innovation, and the dearth of management skills for leading development [6]. While FDI is an important vehicle for the transfer of technology, contributing relatively more to growth than domestic investment [21,22], FDI significantly increases economic growth of recipient countries by bringing physical, advanced technological, and management expertise to bear [23,24,25]. Moreover, FDI is considered to increase domestic capital, to create employment and to raise incomes, to promote technology and to generate the transfer of skills through foreign technology and technical know-how, to boost host country economies, and investment, seen as the engine of economic growth in the long-term [26,27]. Therefore, attracting FDI for developing supporting industries is the best strategy to solve the problem of insufficient capitalization; however, attracting FDI for developing supporting industries in Vietnam is also a show of weakness, both in terms of quantity (total capital and projects) and quality [9]. As such, this study demonstrates which main factors are effective to attract FDI for developing supporting industries in Vietnam.
This study concentrates on identifying the main factors influencing the attraction of FDI for developing supporting industries in Vietnam and for evaluating them. This theoretical study involves personal interviews of involved policymakers, economists, foreign investors, and managers of six supporting industries, and practical considerations of the real situation of developing supporting industries hoping to attract FDI for developing supporting industries; the result indicates that there are eight main criteria influencing to attract FDI for developing supporting industry. These eight main criteria include the following: (1) the legal and institutional framework; (2) the market size of supporting industries; (3) domestic supply capacity; (4) technological development and innovation; (5) human resources; (6) infrastructure facilities; (7) international cooperation and competition; and (8) other criteria [28,29,30,31,32]. From those results, an analytical hierarchy framework to help Vietnam’s government and responsible policymakers to evaluate the influence of criteria to attract FDI to develop supporting industries based on the eight main criteria is established.
Accordingly, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method performs complicated pairwise comparison among the criteria [33], and it takes considerable time to obtain a convincing consistency index with an increasing number of criteria. In the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (fuzzy AHP) method, establishing a pairwise comparison matrix requires n(n − 1)/2 judgments for a level with n criteria (alternatives). The number of comparisons increases as the number of criteria increases [33,34]. However, fuzzy preference relations was proposed method yields consistent decision rankings from only (n − 1) pairwise comparisons [35]. Therefore, the presented fuzzy preference relations method is an easy and practical way of making decisions. This study uses the fuzzy preference relations (FPR) [35,36,37,38,39] to calculate the criteria weights. This result will make clear the most important criteria.

3. Research Methodology

In this study, the proposed procedure utilizes the fuzzy preference relations (FPR) process to evaluate the influence of criteria useful to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) for developing supporting industries in Vietnam. It will give the brief descriptions of the FPR method.
Herrera-Viedma et al. [35] proposed the fuzzy preference relations, and in accordance with fuzzy preference relation [36,37,38,39].

3.1. Fuzzy Preference Relation

Expert preferences over a set of alternatives where X is denoted by a positive preference relation matrix P X × X with membership function: α p : X × X [ 0 , 1 ] , where p i j = α ( x i , x j ) indicates the ratio of the preference intensity of alternative xi to that of xj. Moreover, if pij = i = 1 n p i j implies indifference between xi and xj (xi ~ xj), p ij = 1 indicates that xi is absolutely preferred to xj, p ij = 0 indicates xj is absolutely preferred to xi, and pij > 1 2 indicates that xi is preferred to x i , x i > x j . Meanwhile, P is assumed to be an additive reciprocal, that is:
p i j + p j i = 1     i , j { 1 , ... , n }
Proposition 3.1. Suppose that there is a set of alternatives, X = { x 1 , ... , x n } , and is associated with it a reciprocal multiplicative preference relation A = ( a i j ) with a i j [ 1 9 , 9 ] . Then, the corresponding reciprocal fuzzy preference relation, P = ( p ij ) with, p ij [ 0 , 1 ] , associated with A is given as follows:
p ij = g ( a ij ) = 1 2 ( 1 + log 9 a ij )
With this type of transformation function g, it can be related the research issues obtained for both kinds of preference relations.

3.2. On the Consistency of the Fuzzy Preference Relations

Proposition 3.2. Let A = ( a ij ) be a consistent multiplicative preference relations, then the corresponding reciprocal fuzzy preference relations, P = g ( A ) , verifies the additive transitivity property.
Proof. For being A = ( a ij ) consistent it has that a ij a j k = a i k i , j , k , or equivalently a ij a j k a k i = 1 i , j , k . Taking logarithms on both sides, it has
log 9 a ij + log 9 a j k + log 9 a k i = 0     i , j , k
Adding Equation (3) and dividing by Equation (2) on both sides then
1 2 ( 1 + log 9 a ij ) + 1 2 ( 1 + log 9 a j k ) + 1 2 ( 1 + log 9 a k i ) = 3 2     i , j , k .
The fuzzy preference relations P = g ( A ) , being p ij = 1 2 ( 1 + log 9 a ij ) , verifies
p ij + p j k + p i k = 3 2     i , j , k
It follows that P = g ( A ) verifies the additive transitivity property.
In such a way, in this paper, it considers the following definition of the consistent fuzzy preference relation:
Definition 3.1. A reciprocal fuzzy preference relation P = ( p ij ) is consistent if
p ij + p j k + p k i = 3 2     i , j , k = 1 , ... n .
In what follows, it will be using the term additive consistency to refer to consistency for fuzzy preference relations based on the additive transitivity property.

3.3. Additive Transitivity Consistency of the Fuzzy Preference Relations

Proposition 3.3-1. For a reciprocal fuzzy preference relation P = ( p ij ) , the following statements are equivalent:
p ij + p j k + p k i = 3 2     i , j , k
p ij + p j k + p k i = 3 2     i < j < k
Proposition 3.3-2. A fuzzy preference relation P = ( p ij ) is consistent if and only if
p i j + p j k + p i k = 3 2     i j k .
Proposition 3.3-3. For a reciprocal additive fuzzy preference relation P = ( p ij ) , the following statements are equivalent:
p i j + p j k + p k i = 3 2     i < j < k
p i ( i + 1 ) + p ( i + 1 ) ( i + 2 ) + ... p ( j 1 ) j + p j i = j i + 1 2     i < j

4. Framework for Evaluating the Influence of Criteria to Attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for Developing Supporting Industries in Vietnam under a Multi-Criteria Decision Making Process

4.1. Evaluated Criteria and Framework of the Evaluation Model

This study interviewed policymakers, economists, and foreign investors and managers of six supporting industries, together with the real situation of developing supporting industries and attracting FDI for developing supporting industries. It identified criteria and their attributes to be summarized as follows: C 1 the legal and institutional; C 2 the market size of supporting industries (total consumption of supporting industries product); C 3 domestic supply capacity (as total supply, quantity and size of supporting industries firms); C 4 the technological development and innovation; C 5 the human resources (i.e., quantity, salary, education, skill and moral); C 6 the infrastructure facilities (i.e., transport, power supply, information and communication,…); C 7 international cooperation and competition; C 8 the other criteria (culture, tax policy, land support, corruption, environment, etc.). An analytical hierarchy framework based on eight main criteria is established as the Figure 1.
Figure 1. The analytical framework of this study.
Within the framework of attracting FDI for developing supporting industries, there are eight main criteria that influence the attraction of FDI.

4.2. Hierarchical Analytical Process to Evaluate the Influence of Criteria to Attract Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for Developing Supporting Industries

4.2.1. Linguistic Variables

This paper compares pairs of criteria using expressions such as ‘‘Equally important (EQ)”, ‘‘Moderately important (MO)”, ‘‘Strongly important (ST)”, ‘‘Very strong importance (VS)”, and ‘‘Absolutely important (AB)”, using a five-level scale with values indicated by actual numbers (see Table 1).
Table 1. Linguistic terms for priority weights of influential factors.

4.2.2. Reciprocal Additive Consistent Fuzzy Preference Relations for Prioritizing the Evaluation Criteria

AHP separates a complex decision issue that creates elemental problems to produce a hierarchical model. Each of these preference relations is required the completion of all n ( n + 1 ) 2 judgments for a preference matrix containing n elements to be formed. To reduce the judgment times, this paper employs the reciprocal additive consistent fuzzy preference relations designed by Herrera-Viedma et al. [11], because it only requires n 1 judgments from a set of n elements.
The procedures of the reciprocal additive consistent fuzzy preference relations for prioritizing the assessment criteria are given below:
(1) This study establishes pairwise comparison matrices for all the criteria ( C i , i = 1 , 2 , ... , n ) in the dimensions of the hierarchy system. The evaluators ( E k , k = 1 , 2 , ... , m ) provide the more important of each of the pairs of considered criteria for a set of n-1 preference values ( a 12 , a 23 , ... , a ( n 1 ) n ) , for
A k = C 1 C 2 C n 1 C n C 1 C 2 C n 1 C n [ 1 a 12 k x x x 1 a 23 k x x x x 1 a ( n 1 ) n k x x x 1 ]
where a ij k denotes the preference intensity toward considered criteria i and j are assessed by evaluator k, a ij = 1 indicates no difference between considered criteria i and j, a ij = 3 , 5 , 7 , 9 reveals that criteria i relatively important to criteria j, and a ij = 1 3 , 1 5 , 1 7 , 1 9 indicates that considered criteria i is less important than criteria j. The sign ‘‘x” indicates the remaining a ij k , which can be done via inverse comparison.
(2) Transform the preference value a ij k into p ij k using an interval scale [ 0 , 1 ] , then derive the remaining p ij k based on the reciprocal transitivity property, as follows:
p k = 1 2 ( 1 + log 9 A k ) = C 1 C 2 C n C 1 C 2 C n [ 0.5 p 12 k x x x 0.5 p 23 k x x x 0.5 ]
where p ij = 0.5 indicates no difference between criteria i and j, p ij = 1 demonstrates that criteria i is absolutely important to criteria j, and p ij = 0 illustrates that the criteria is absolutely less important to criteria j. The remaining p ij k can be calculated using Equations (1) and (11), but in an interval [ a , 1 + a ] , and a transformed function is necessary to preserve the reciprocity and additive transitivity. The transformation function is, as follows:
f ( p ij k ) = p ij k + a 1 + 2 a
where a denotes the absolute value of the minimum negative value or maximum positive value minus one in this preference matrix.
(3) Base on the opinions of evaluators will be obtained the aggregated weights of the criteria. Moreover, let p ij k denote transforming the fuzzy preference value of evaluator k for assessing the criteria i and j. This paper uses the notation of the average value to integrate the judgment values of m evaluators, namely:
p ij = ( p ij 1 + p ij 2 + ... + p ij m ) / m
(4) Normalizing the aggregated fuzzy preference relation matrices q ij is used to indicate the normalized fuzzy preference values of each considered criteria, such as
q ij = p ij / i = 1 n p ij
(5) Using the ϖ i denoting the average priority weight of considered criteria, the priority of each criteria can be obtained, that is
ϖ i = 1 n i = 1 n q ij
where n denotes the number of criteria considered.

5. Results

This study made use of six supporting industries in Vietnam as an example to demonstrate the framework. A total of 15 questionnaires were dispatched, and survey candidates included policymakers, economists, foreign investors and managers from six supporting industries.
Eight major evaluation criteria are useful to assess the problem of how FDI attracts developing supporting industries. The pairwise comparisons for these eight criteria are obtainable via interviews with the assessment representatives mentioned above.
The following examples will be clarify the computational process used to receive the priority weights utilizing a reciprocal additive consistent with the fuzzy preference relation approach:
(1) Based on interviews with 15 representatives regarding the importance of eight evaluation criteria, Table 2 lists the pairwise comparison matrices for a set of n 1 neighboring criteria { a 12 , a 23 , ... , a 78 } into the corresponding number.
Table 2. The linguistic terms into corresponding numbers toward eight factors assessed by evaluators.
(2) The assessment of evaluator 1 (E1) can be served as an example and listed in Table 3. The linguistic terms, which can be transferred into corresponding numbers.
Table 3. Interval pairwise comparisons of the criteria.
(3) Equation (2) was used to transform the elements (listed in Table 3) into an interval [0, 1], yielding the following values:
  • p 12 = ( 1 + log 9 7.0000 ) / 2 = 0.9428
  • p 23 = ( 1 + log 9 0.3333 ) / 2 = 0.2500
  • p 34 = ( 1 + log 9 5.0000 ) / 2 = 0.8662
  • p 45 = ( 1 + log 9 0.2500 ) / 2 = 0.1845
  • p 56 = ( 1 + log 9 3.0000 ) / 2 = 0.7500
  • p 67 = ( 1 + log 9 5.0000 ) / 2 = 0.8662
  • p 78 = ( 1 + log 9 0.3333 ) / 2 = 0.2500 .
The remaining value then can be calculated using Equations (1) and (11) with p 21 , p 31 , p 81 , p 82 , and p 28 being used as examples:
  • p 21 = 1 p 12 = 1 0.9428 = 0.0572
  • p 31 = 3 1 + 1 2 p 12 p 13 = 1.5 0.9428 0.2500 = 0.3072
  • p 81 = 8 1 + 1 2 p 12 p 23 p 34 p 45 p 56 p 67 p 78 = 4 0.9428 0.2500 0.8662 0.1845 0.7500 0.8662 0.2500 = 0.1098
  • p 82 = 8 2 + 1 2 p 23 p 34 p 45 p 56 p 67 p 78 = 3.5 0.2500 0.8662 0.1845 0.7500 0.8662 0.2500 = 0.3330
  • p 28 = 1 p 82 = 1 0.3330 = 0.6670
The fuzzy preference relation matrix for eight evaluation criteria assessed by evaluator 1 is established in Table 4.
Table 4. Consistent fuzzy preference relation matrix of criteria E1.
Table 4 lists p 14 , p 41 , p 17 , p 71 , p 18 , p 81 , p 37 , p 73 , p 57 , p 75 elements not in the interval [0,1]. Therefore, a linear transformation stated in Equation (14) will be employed to ensure the reciprocity and additive transitivity for the preference relation matrix. Table 5 lists the transformation matrix.
Table 5. The transformation matrix of criteria by linear solution.
(4) Likewise, the above computational procedures have calculated the fuzzy preference relation matrices of the other 14 evaluators; therefore, using Equation (15), the aggregated pairwise comparison matrix of 15 evaluators will be derived, as listed in Table 6.
Table 6. Aggregated pairwise comparison matrices of 15 evaluators.
(5) Equation (16) is applied to normalize the aggregated pairwise comparison matrix. Taking q 11 as an example:
q 11 = 0.5000 / ( 0.5000 + 0.2567 + 0.4230 + 0.2843 + 0.3817 + 0.2779 + 0.0640 + 0.0345 ) = 0.2250 .
The priority weight of each evaluation criteria can then be obtained by Equation (17). The priority weight and rank of each influence assessed by 15 evaluators is listed in Table 7.
Table 7. Normalized matrix of priority weight and rank of influential factors.
The ranks of the evaluation criteria weights are thus substituted as:
C1(0.1862) > C3(0.1650) > C5(0.1536) > C4(0.1268) > C6(0.1251) > C2(0.1192) > C8(0.0661) > C7(0.0580).
The results show that the five main assessment attributes are legal and institutional framework (0.1862), domestic supply capacity (0.1650), human resources (0.1536), technological development and innovation (0.1268), and infrastructure facilities (0.1251). Meanwhile, the three least important attributes are market size of supporting industries (0.1192), international cooperation and competition (0.0661), and other criteria (0.0580).

6. Conclusions

This study surveyed approximately 15 policymakers, managers and economists to identify their assessment criteria discussed above. Based on the opinions derived from all survey respondents, this study finding were obtained:
The legal and institutional framework is the most important criteria for influencing the attraction of FDI for developing supporting industries, and which is considered by supporting industries to attract FDI. Vietnam has chosen to join AFTA (ASEAN Free Trade Area) and the WTO, which means that the Vietnamese government should concentrate on building special policies for the promotion of supporting industries involved with the change and improvement of the legal and institutional framework.
Domestic supply capacity, human resources, technological development and innovation, and infrastructure facilities have also received heavy-weight influence to attract FDI for the development of supporting industries. Notably, international co-operation and competition along with other criteria have not been taken seriously.
The fuzzy preference relations (FPR) method used to evaluate the influence of criteria to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) for developing supporting industries in Vietnam presented here is clearly applicable to the evaluation process. This paper proposed evaluation also reveals the concerns and preferences of all supporting industries and main industries. The results of this study provide a valuable reference for the Vietnamese government and policymakers to improve the legal and institutional framework, domestic supply capacity, human resources, technological development and innovation, and infrastructure facilities assistance, leading to the kind of environmental investment requisite to attracting FDI to develop supporting industries. Together, based on these results, we are continuing to survey on a large scale for future research to select a strategy for attracting FDI for supporting industries in Vietnam.

Supplementary Materials

The following are available online at www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/8/5/447/s1.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the reviewers for their constructive comments on this article.

Author Contributions

Tien-Chin Wang, Chia-Nan Wang, and Nguyen-Xuan Huynh designed the research and methodology; Nguyen-Xuan Huynh collected and analyzed the data; Tien-Chin Wang, Chia-Nan Wang, and Nguyen-Xuan Huynh wrote and revised the paper; Tien-Chin Wang, and Nguyen-Xuan Huynh corrected the final manuscript.

Conflicts of Interest

The author declares no conflict of interest.

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