Search Results (167)

In early May 2025, extreme wildfires swept across Manitoba, Canada, fueled by unseasonably warm temperatures, prolonged drought, and stressed vegetation. We explore how multi-source satellite indicators—such as anomalies in snow cover, precipitation, temperature, vegetation indices, and soil moisture in April–May—jointly signal landscape preconditioning for fire, highlighting the potential of these compound anomalies to inform fire risk awareness in boreal regions. Results indicate that rainfall deficits and diminished snowpack significantly reduced soil moisture, which subsequently decreased vegetative greenness and created a flammable environment prior to ignition. This concept captures how multiple moderate anomalies, when occurring simultaneously, can converge to create high-impact fire conditions that would not be flagged by individual thresholds alone. These findings underscore the importance of integrating climate and biosphere anomalies into wildfire risk monitoring to enhance preparedness in boreal regions under accelerating climate change. Full article

Climate change intensifies hydrological cycles, leading to an increased variability in terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSAs) and a heightened drought risk. Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of TWSAs and their driving factors is crucial for sustainable water management. While previous studies have primarily attributed TWSAs to regional factors, this study employs wavelet coherence, partial correlation analysis, and multiple linear regression to comprehensively analyze TWSA dynamics and their drivers in the Hengduan Mountains (HDM) region from 2003 to 2022, incorporating both regional and global influences. Additionally, dry–wet variations were quantified using the GRACE-based Drought Severity Index (GRACE-DSI). Key findings include the following: The annual mean TWSA showed a non-significant decreasing trend (−2.83 mm/y, p > 0.05), accompanied by increased interannual variability. Notably, approximately 36.22% of the pixels in the western HDM region exhibited a significantly decreasing trend. The Nujiang River Basin (NRB) (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) and the Lancang (−17.17 mm/y, p < 0.01) River Basin experienced the most pronounced declines. Regional factors—particularly precipitation (PRE)—drove TWSA in 59% of the HDM region, followed by potential evapotranspiration (PET, 28%) and vegetation dynamics (13%). Among global factors, the North Atlantic Oscillation showed a weak correlation with TWSAs (r = −0.19), indirectly affecting it via winter PET (r = −0.56, p < 0.05). The decline in TWSAs corresponds to an elevated drought risk, notably in the NRB, which recorded the largest GRACE-DSI decline (slope = −0.011, p < 0.05). This study links TWSAs to climate drivers and drought risk, offering a framework for improving water resource management and drought preparedness in climate-sensitive mountain regions. Full article

Over the past few decades, occurrences of extreme climatic events have escalated significantly, with severe repercussions for global ecosystems and socio-economics. northern China (NC), characterized by its complex topography and diverse climatic conditions, represents a typical ecologically vulnerable region where vegetation is highly sensitive to climate change. Therefore, monitoring vegetation dynamics and analyzing the influence of extreme climatic events on vegetation are crucial for ecological conservation efforts in NC. Based on extreme climate indicators and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), this study employed trend analysis, Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, all subsets regression analysis, and random forest to quantitatively investigate the spatiotemporal variations in historical and projected future NDVI trends in NC, as well as their responses to extreme climatic conditions. The results indicate that from 1982 to 2018, the NDVI in NC generally exhibited a recovery trend, with an average growth rate of 0.003/a and a short-term variation cycle of approximately 3 years. Vegetation restoration across most areas was primarily driven by short-term high temperatures and long-term precipitation patterns. Future projections under different emission scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) suggest that extreme climate change will continue to follow historical trends. However, increased radiative forcing is expected to constrain both the rate of vegetation growth and its spatial expansion. These findings provide a scientific basis for mitigating the impacts of climate anomalies and improving ecological quality in NC. Full article

This study presents an integrated spatiotemporal assessment of drought conditions in the Thung Kula Ronghai region of Northeastern Thailand from 2001 to 2023. Multiple satellite-derived drought indices, including SPI, SPEI, RDI, and AI, together with NDVI anomalies, were used to detect seasonal and long-term drought dynamics affecting rainfed Hom Mali rice production. The results show that dry season droughts now affect up to 17 percent of the region’s agricultural land in some years, while severe drought zones persist across more than 2.5 million hectares over the 20-year period. In the most recent 5 years, approximately 50 percent of cultivated areas experienced moderate to severe drought conditions. The RDI showed the strongest correlation with NDVI anomalies (r = 0.22), indicating its relative value for assessing vegetation response to moisture deficits. The combined index approach delineated high-risk sub-regions, particularly in central Thung Kula Ronghai and lower Surin, where drought frequency and severity have intensified. These findings underscore the region’s increasing exposure to dry-season water stress and highlight the need for site-specific irrigation development and adaptive cropping strategies. The methodological framework demonstrated here provides a practical basis for improving drought monitoring and early warning systems to support the resilience of Thailand’s high-value rice production under changing climate conditions. Full article

Grass-covered levees commonly protect river and estuarine areas against flooding. Climate-induced water level changes may increasingly expose these levees to overflow events. This study investigates whether grass-covered levees can withstand such events, and under what conditions failure may occur. Between 2020 and 2022, full-scale overflow tests were conducted at the Living Lab Hedwige-Prosperpolder along the Dutch–Belgian Scheldt Estuary to assess erosion resistance under varying hydraulic conditions and vegetation states. A custom-built overflow generator was used, with instrumentation capturing flow velocity, water levels, and erosion progression. The results show that well-maintained levees with intact grass cover endured overflow durations up to 30 h despite high terminal flow velocities (4.9–7.7 m/s), without structural damage. In contrast, levee sections with pre-existing surface anomalies, such as animal burrows, slope irregularities, surface damage, or reed-covered soft soils, failed rapidly, often within one to two hours. Animal burrows facilitated subsurface flow and internal erosion, initiating fast, retrograde failure. These findings highlight the importance of preventive maintenance, particularly the timely detection and repair of anomalies. Once slope failure begins, the process unfolds rapidly, leaving no practical window for intervention. Full article

Wildfires threaten ecosystems, biodiversity, and human livelihood while exacerbating climate change. Accurate identification and monitoring of burned areas (BA) are critical for effective post-fire recovery and management. Although satellite multi-spectral imagery offers a practical solution for BA monitoring, existing methods often prioritize specific spectral bands while neglecting full spectral shape information, which encapsulates overall spectral characteristics. This limitation compromises adaptability to diverse vegetation types and environmental conditions, particularly across varying spatial scales. To address these challenges, we propose the time-series spectral-angle-normalized burn index (TSSA-NBR). This unsupervised BA extraction method integrates normalized spectral angle and normalized burn ratio (NBR) to leverage full spectral shape and temporal features derived from Sentinel-2 time-series data. Seven globally distributed study areas with diverse climatic conditions and vegetation types were selected to evaluate the method’s adaptability and scalability. Evaluations compared Sentinel-2-derived BA with moderate-resolution products and high-resolution PlanetScope-derived BA, focusing on spatial scale and methodological performance. TSSA-NBR achieved a Dice Coefficient (DC) of 87.81%, with commission (CE) and omission errors (OE) of 8.52% and 15.58%, respectively, demonstrating robust performance across all regions. Across diverse land cover types, including forests, grasslands, and shrublands, TSSA-NBR exhibited high adaptability, with DC values ranging from 0.53 to 0.97, CE from 0.03 to 0.27, and OE from 0.02 to 0.61. The method effectively captured fire scars and outperformed band-specific and threshold-dependent approaches by integrating spectral shape features with fire indices, establishing a data-driven framework for BA detection. These results underscore its potential for fire monitoring and broader applications in detecting surface anomalies and environmental disturbances, advancing global ecological monitoring and management strategies. Full article

The northern foothills of the Qinling Mountains, a critical ecological barrier and urban–rural transition zone in China, face intensifying rainstorm–flood disasters under climate extremes and rapid urbanization. This study pioneers a remote sensing-driven, dynamically coupled framework by integrating multi-source satellite data, system resilience theory, and spatial modeling to develop a novel “risk identification–resilience assessment–scenario simulation” chain. This framework quantitatively evaluates the nonlinear response mechanisms of town–village systems to flood disasters, emphasizing the synergistic effects of spatial scale, morphology, and functional organization. The proposed framework uniquely integrates three innovative modules: (1) a hybrid risk identification engine combining normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) temporal anomaly detection and spatiotemporal hotspot analysis; (2) a morpho-functional resilience quantification model featuring a newly developed spatial morphological resilience index (SMRI) that synergizes landscape compactness, land-use diversity, and ecological connectivity through the entropy-weighted analytic hierarchy process (AHP); and (3) a dynamic scenario simulator embedding rainfall projections into a coupled hydrodynamic model. Key advancements over existing methods include the multi-temporal SMRI and the introduction of a nonlinear threshold response function to quantify “safe-fail” adaptation capacities. Scenario simulations reveal a reduction in flood losses under ecological priority strategies, outperforming conventional engineering-based solutions by resilience gain. The proposed zoning strategy prioritizing ecological restoration, infrastructure hardening, and community-based resilience units provides a scalable framework for disaster-adaptive spatial planning, underpinned by remote sensing-driven dynamic risk mapping. This work advances the application of satellite-aided geospatial analytics in balancing ecological security and socioeconomic resilience across complex terrains. Full article

This study analyzes the potential of optical and radar satellite data to monitor faba bean (Vicia faba L.) phenology over six years (2016–2021) in southwestern France. Using Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and Landsat-8 data, temporal variations in NDVI and radar backscatter coefficients (γ⁰_VV, γ⁰_VH, and γ⁰_VH/VV) are examined to assess crop growth, detect anomalies, and evaluate the impact of climatic conditions and sowing strategies. The results show that NDVI and the radar ratio (γ⁰_VH/VV) were suited to monitor faba bean phenology, with distinct growth phases observed annually. NDVI provides a clear seasonal pattern but is affected by cloud cover, while radar backscatter offers continuous monitoring, making their combination highly beneficial. The signal γ⁰_VH/VV exhibits well-marked correlations with NDVI (r = 0.81) and LAI (r = 0.83), particularly in orbit 30, which provides greater sensitivity to vegetation changes. The analysis of individual fields (inter-field approach) reveals variations in sowing strategies, with both autumn and spring plantings detected. Fields sown in autumn show early NDVI (and γ⁰_VH/VV) increases, while spring-sown fields display delayed growth patterns. This study also highlights the impact of climatic factors, such as precipitation and temperature, on inter-annual variability. Moreover, faba beans used as an intercropping species exhibit a shorter and more intense growth cycle, with a rapid NDVI (and γ⁰_VH/VV) increase and an earlier end of the vegetative cycle compared to standard rotations. Double logistic modeling successfully reconstructs temporal trends, achieving high accuracy (r > 0.95 and rRMSE < 9% for γ⁰_VH/VV signals and r > 0.89 and rRMSE < 15% for NDVI). These double logistic functions are capable of reproducing the differences in phenological development observed between fields and years, providing a reference set of functions that can be used to monitor the phenological development of faba beans in real time. Future applications could extend this methodology to other crops and explore alternative radar systems for improved monitoring (such as TerraSAR-X, Cosmos-SkyMed, ALOS-2/PALSAR, NISAR, ROSE-L…). Full article

Global vegetation growth is dynamically influenced and regulated by hydrological processes. Understanding vegetation responses to terrestrial water storage (TWS) dynamics is crucial for predicting ecosystem resilience and guiding water resource management under climate change. This study investigated global vegetation responses to a terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA) using NDVI and TWSA datasets from January 2004 to December 2023. We proposed a Pearson-ACF time lag analysis method that combined dynamic windowing and enhanced accuracy to capture spatial correlations and temporal lag effects in vegetation responses to TWS changes. The results showed the following: (1) Positive NDVI-TWSA correlations were prominent in low-latitude tropical regions, whereas negative responses occurred mainly north of 30°N and in South American rainforest, covering 38.96% of the global vegetated land. (2) Response patterns varied by vegetation type: shrubland, grassland, and cropland exhibited short lags (1–4 months), while tree cover, herbaceous wetland, mangroves, and moss and lichen typically presented delayed responses (8–9 months). (3) Significant bidirectional Granger causality was identified in 16.39% of vegetated regions, mainly in eastern Asia, central North America, and central South America. These findings underscored the vital role of vegetation in the global water cycle, providing support for vegetation prediction, water resource planning, and adaptive water management in water-scarce regions. Full article

Water–sediment evolution and attribution analysis in watersheds is one of the research focuses of hydrogeology. An in-depth investigation into the spatiotemporal variation of water and sediment at multiple spatial scales within the basin, along with a systematic assessment of the respective impacts of climate change and human activities, provides a scientific foundation for formulating effective soil and water conservation practices and integrated water resource management strategies. This research holds significant implications for the sustainable development and ecological management of the basin. In this study, the Mann–Kendall nonparametric test method, double cumulative curve method, cumulative anomaly method, and cumulative slope change rate analysis method were used to quantitatively study the effects of climate change and human activities on runoff and sediment load changes at different spatial scales in the Huangfuchuan River basin. The results show that (1) from 1966 to 2020, the annual runoff and annual sediment load discharge in the Huangfuchuan River basin showed a significant decreasing trend. Among them, the reduction in runoff and sediment in the control sub-basin of Shagedu Station in the upper reaches was more obvious than that in the whole basin. The mutation points of runoff and sediment load in the two basins were 1979 and 1998. The water–sediment relationship exhibits a power function pattern. (2) After the abrupt change, in the change period B (1980–1997), the contribution rates of climate change and human activities to runoff and sediment load reduction in the Huangfuchuan River basin were 24.12%, 75.88% and 20.05%, 79.95%, respectively. In the change period C (1998–2020), the contribution rates of the two factors to the runoff and sediment load reduction in the Huangfuchuan River basin were 18.91%, 81.09% and 15.61%, 84.39%, respectively. Among them, the influence of precipitation in the upper reaches of the Huangfuchuan River basin on the change in runoff and sediment load is higher than that of the whole basin, and the influence on the decrease of sediment load discharge is more significant before 1998. There are certain stage differences and spatial scale effects. (3) Human activities such as large-scale vegetation restoration and construction of silt dam engineering measures are the main reasons for the reduction in runoff and sediment load in the Huangfuchuan River basin and have played a greater role after 1998. Full article

Quantifying extreme weather events (EWEs) and understanding their impacts on vegetation phenology is crucial for assessing ecosystem stability under climate change. This study systematically investigated the ecosystem growing season length (GL) response to four types of EWEs—extreme heat, extreme cold, extreme wetness (surplus precipitation), and extreme drought (lack of precipitation). The EWE extremity thresholds were found statistically using detrended long time series (2000–2022) ERA5 meteorological data through z-score transformation. The analysis was based on a grassland ecosystem in the Mongolian Plateau (MP) from 2000 to 2022. Using solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence data and event coincidence analysis, we evaluated the probability of GL anomalies coinciding with EWEs and assessed the vegetation sensitivity to climate variability. The analysis showed that 83.7% of negative and 87.4% of positive GL anomalies were associated with one or more EWEs, with extreme wetness (27.0%) and extreme heat (25.4%) contributing the most. These findings highlight the dominant role of EWEs in shaping phenological shifts. Negative GL anomalies were more strongly linked to EWEs, particularly in arid and cold regions where extreme drought and cold shortened the growing season. Conversely, extreme heat and wetness had a greater influence in warmer and wetter areas, driving both the lengthening and shortening of GL. Furthermore, background hydrothermal conditions modulated the vegetation sensitivity, with warmer regions being more susceptible to heat stress and drier regions more vulnerable to drought. These findings emphasize the importance of regional weather variability and climate characteristics in shaping vegetation phenology and provide new insights into how weather extremes impact ecosystem stability in semi-arid and arid regions. Future research should explore extreme weather events and the role of human activities to enhance predictions of vegetation–climate interactions in grassland ecosystems of the MP. Full article

Mountain grassland ecosystems around the globe are highly sensitive to seasonal extreme climate events, which thus highlights the critical importance of understanding how such events have affected vegetation dynamics over recent decades. However, research on the time-lag of the effects of seasonal extreme climate events on vegetation has been sparse. This study focuses on Tajikistan, which is characterized by a typical alpine meadow–steppe ecosystem, as the research area. The net primary productivity (NPP) values of Tajikistan’s grasslands from 2001 to 2022 were estimated using the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model. In addition, 20 extreme climate indices (including 11 extreme temperature indices and 9 extreme precipitation indices) were calculated. The spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the grassland NPP and these extreme climate indices were further analyzed. Using geographic detector methods, the impact factors of extreme climate indices on grassland NPP were identified along a gradient of different altitudinal bands in Tajikistan. Additionally, a time-lag analysis was conducted to reveal the lag time of the effects of extreme climate indices on grassland NPP across different elevation levels. The results revealed that grassland NPP in Tajikistan exhibited a slight upward trend of 0.01 gC/(m²·a) from 2001 to 2022. During this period, extreme temperature indices generally showed an increasing trend, while extreme precipitation indices displayed a declining trend. Notably, extreme precipitation indices had a significant impact on grassland NPP, with the interaction between Precipitation anomaly (PA) and Max Tmax (TXx) exerting the most pronounced influence on the spatial variation of grassland NPP (q = 0.53). Additionally, it was found that the effect of extreme climate events on grassland NPP had no time-lag at altitudes below 500 m. In contrast, in mid-altitude regions (1000–3000 m), the effect of PA on grassland NPP had a significant time-lag of two months (p < 0.05). Knowing the lag times until the effects of seasonal extreme climate events on grassland NPP will appear in Tajikistan provides valuable insight for those developing adaptive management and restoration strategies under current seasonal extreme climate conditions. Full article

The interplay between terrestrial water storage and vegetation dynamics in arid regions is critical for understanding ecohydrological responses to climate change and human activities. This study examines the coupling between total water storage anomaly (TWSA) and vegetation greenness changes in the Hexi Corridor, an arid region in northwestern China consisting of three inland river basins—Shule, Heihe, and Shiyang—from 2002 to 2022. Utilizing TWSA data from GRACE/GRACE-FO satellites and MODIS Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) data, we applied a trend analysis and partial correlation statistical techniques to assess spatiotemporal patterns and their drivers across varying aridity gradients and land cover types. The results reveal a significant decline in TWSA across the Hexi Corridor (−0.10 cm/year, p < 0.01), despite a modest increase in precipitation (1.69 mm/year, p = 0.114). The spatial analysis shows that TWSA deficits are most pronounced in the northern Shiyang Basin (−600 to −300 cm cumulative TWSA), while the southern Qilian Mountain regions exhibit accumulation (0 to 800 cm). Vegetation greening is strongest in irrigated croplands, particularly in arid and hyper-arid regions of the study area. The partial correlation analysis highlights distinct drivers: in the wetter semi-humid and semi-arid regions, precipitation plays a dominant role in driving TWSA trends. Such a rainfall dominance gives way to temperature- and human-dominated vegetation greening in the arid and hyper-arid regions. The decoupling of TWSA and precipitation highlights the importance of human irrigation activities and the warming-induced atmospheric water demand in co-driving the TWSA dynamics in arid regions. These findings suggest that while irrigation expansion cause satellite-observed greening, it exacerbates water stress through increased evapotranspiration and groundwater depletion, particularly in most water-limited arid zones. This study reveals the complex ecohydrological dynamics in drylands, emphasizing the need for a holistic view of dryland greening in the context of global warming, the escalating human demand of freshwater resources, and the efforts in achieving sustainable development. Full article

Wildfires represent an increasing threat to ecosystems and communities, driven by climate change, fuel dynamics, and human activities. In Ambato, Ecuador, a city in the Andean highlands, these risks are exacerbated by prolonged droughts, vegetation dryness, and urban expansion into fire-prone areas within the Wildland–Urban Interface (WUI). This study integrates climatic, ecological, and socio-economic data from 2017 to 2023 to assess wildfire risks, employing advanced geospatial tools, thematic mapping, and machine learning models, including Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR), Random Forest, and XGBoost. By segmenting the study area into 1 km² grid cells, microscale risk variations were captured, enabling classification into five categories: ‘Very Low’, ‘Low’, ‘Moderate’, ‘High’, and ‘Very High’. Results indicate that temperature anomalies, reduced fuel moisture, and anthropogenic factors such as waste burning and unregulated land-use changes significantly increase fire susceptibility. Predictive models achieved accuracies of 76.04% (MLR), 77.6% (Random Forest), and 76.5% (XGBoost), effectively identifying high-risk zones. The highest-risk areas were found in Izamba, Pasa, and San Fernando, where over 884.9 ha were burned between 2017 and 2023. The year 2020 recorded the most severe wildfire season (1500 ha burned), coinciding with extended droughts and COVID-19 lockdowns. Findings emphasize the urgent need for enhanced land-use regulations, improved firefighting infrastructure, and community-driven prevention strategies. This research provides a replicable framework for wildfire risk assessment, applicable to other Andean regions and beyond. By integrating data-driven methodologies with policy recommendations, this study contributes to evidence-based wildfire mitigation and resilience planning in climate-sensitive environments. Full article

Arid and semi-arid regions are highly sensitive and vulnerable to climate change and human activities. Clarifying their spatial distribution is of great significance for understanding regional drought dynamics. This research examines the Shendong mining region, employing time series data of vegetation growth anomalies derived from total primary productivity data to delineate ecological drought. The SPI dataset, representing meteorological drought, is utilized to identify drought frequency, duration, and intensity for both types of droughts based on the run theory. The drought characteristics of different land use patterns are analyzed, and the center of gravity of meteorological and ecological droughts in the study area are calculated. The results show the following: (1) The frequency, duration, and intensity of meteorological drought in the Shendong mining area are 0.74 times per year, 9.2 months, and 0.91, respectively. The frequency, duration, and intensity of ecological drought are 0.33 times per year, 18.2 months, and 0.09, respectively. (2) The intensity of meteorological and ecological droughts is generally consistent across different land use types. The frequency of meteorological drought is minimal for croplands and high-coverage grasslands. The duration of meteorological drought is shortest for high-coverage grasslands. High- and medium-to-high-coverage grasslands and cultivated lands have lower ecological drought frequencies. Low- and medium-to-low-coverage grasslands have relatively shorter ecological drought durations. (3) In regions where land use alterations are evident, the frequency and duration of meteorological drought in areas where cropland has been converted to grassland are relatively low. The frequency, duration, and intensity of ecological drought for croplands converted to grasslands and grasslands converted to croplands are similar. (4) The average incidence of meteorological drought transitioning into ecological drought in the study area is roughly 55%, with areas of stable land use demonstrating a more robust correlation between meteorological and ecological drought in croplands. In the converted areas, the correlation between meteorological drought and ecological drought is higher for croplands converted to grasslands. (5) The transition frequency from meteorological drought to ecological drought exceeds 60% in mining areas. Compared to other mining areas, the meteorological drought intensity near Jitu well and Daliuta well is notably higher. The research findings reveal the spatial distribution attributes and transition dynamics of meteorological and ecological droughts in the Shendong coal mining region, providing reference for the implementation of ecological restoration projects and protection measures in the area. Full article