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Search Results (3,134)

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Keywords = urban resiliency

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32 pages, 3396 KiB  
Article
Enhancing Smart and Zero-Carbon Cities Through a Hybrid CNN-LSTM Algorithm for Sustainable AI-Driven Solar Power Forecasting (SAI-SPF)
by Haytham Elmousalami, Felix Kin Peng Hui and Aljawharah A. Alnaser
Buildings 2025, 15(15), 2785; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15152785 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
The transition to smart, zero-carbon cities relies on advanced, sustainable energy solutions, with artificial intelligence (AI) playing a crucial role in optimizing renewable energy management. This study evaluates state-of-the-art AI models for solar power forecasting, emphasizing accuracy, reliability, and environmental sustainability. Using operational [...] Read more.
The transition to smart, zero-carbon cities relies on advanced, sustainable energy solutions, with artificial intelligence (AI) playing a crucial role in optimizing renewable energy management. This study evaluates state-of-the-art AI models for solar power forecasting, emphasizing accuracy, reliability, and environmental sustainability. Using operational data from Benban Solar Park in Egypt and Sakaka Solar Power Plant in Saudi Arabia, two of the world’s largest solar installations, the research highlights the effectiveness of hybrid AI techniques. The hybrid Convolutional Neural Network–Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) model outperformed other models, achieving a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2.04%, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 184, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 252, and R2 of 0.99 for Benban, and an MAPE of 2.00%, RMSE of 190, MAE of 255, and R2 of 0.98 for Sakaka. This model excels at capturing complex spatiotemporal patterns in solar data while maintaining low computational CO2 emissions, supporting sustainable AI practices. The findings demonstrate the potential of hybrid AI models to enhance the accuracy and sustainability of solar power forecasting, thereby contributing to efficient, resilient, and zero-carbon urban environments. This research provides valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders aiming to advance smart energy infrastructure. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Intelligent Automation in Construction Management)
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40 pages, 87429 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Urban Mobility Through Complex Network Analysis and Big Data from Smart Cards
by Li Sun, Negin Ashrafi and Maryam Pishgar
IoT 2025, 6(3), 44; https://doi.org/10.3390/iot6030044 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Urban public transportation systems face increasing pressure from shifting travel patterns, rising peak-hour demand, and the need for equitable and resilient service delivery. While complex network theory has been widely applied to analyze transit systems, limited attention has been paid to behavioral segmentation [...] Read more.
Urban public transportation systems face increasing pressure from shifting travel patterns, rising peak-hour demand, and the need for equitable and resilient service delivery. While complex network theory has been widely applied to analyze transit systems, limited attention has been paid to behavioral segmentation within such networks. This study introduces a frequency-based framework that differentiates high-frequency (HF) and low-frequency (LF) passengers to examine how distinct user groups shape network structure, congestion vulnerability, and robustness. Using over 20 million smart-card records from Beijing’s multimodal transit system, we construct and analyze directed weighted networks for HF and LF users, integrating topological metrics, temporal comparisons, and community detection. Results reveal that HF networks are densely connected but structurally fragile, exhibiting lower modularity and significantly greater efficiency loss during peak periods. In contrast, LF networks are more spatially dispersed yet resilient, maintaining stronger intracommunity stability. Peak-hour simulation shows a 70% drop in efficiency and a 99% decrease in clustering, with HF networks experiencing higher vulnerability. Based on these findings, we propose differentiated policy strategies for each user group and outline a future optimization framework constrained by budget and equity considerations. This study contributes a scalable, data-driven approach to integrating passenger behavior with network science, offering actionable insights for resilient and inclusive transit planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue IoT-Driven Smart Cities)
22 pages, 2484 KiB  
Article
Urban Land Revenue and Common Prosperity: An Urban Differential Rent Perspective
by Fang He, Yuxuan Si and Yixi Hu
Land 2025, 14(8), 1606; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081606 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Common prosperity serves as a pivotal condition for achieving sustainable development by fostering social equity, bolstering economic resilience, and promoting environmental stewardship. Differential land revenue, as a crucial form of property based on spatial resource occupation, significantly contributes to the achievement of common [...] Read more.
Common prosperity serves as a pivotal condition for achieving sustainable development by fostering social equity, bolstering economic resilience, and promoting environmental stewardship. Differential land revenue, as a crucial form of property based on spatial resource occupation, significantly contributes to the achievement of common prosperity, though empirical evidence of its impact is limited. This study explores the potential influence of land utilization revenue disparity on common prosperity from the perspective of urban macro differential rent (UMDR). Utilizing panel data from 280 Chinese cities spanning 2007 to 2020, we discover that UMDR and common prosperity levels exhibit strikingly similar spatiotemporal evolution. Further empirical analysis shows that UMDR significantly raises urban common prosperity levels, with a 0.217 standard unit increase in common prosperity for every 1 standard unit rise in UMDR. This boost stems from enhanced urban prosperity and the sharing of development achievements, encompassing economic growth, improved public services, enhanced ecological civilization, and more equitable distribution of development gains between urban and rural areas and among individuals. Additionally, we observe that UMDR has a more pronounced effect on common prosperity in eastern cities and those with a predominant service industry. This study enhances the comprehension of the relationship between urban land revenue disparities, prosperity, and equitable sharing, presenting a new perspective for the administration to contemplate the utilization of land-based policy tools in pursuit of the common prosperity goal and ultimately achieve sustainable development. Full article
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26 pages, 2126 KiB  
Systematic Review
Interlinking Urban Sustainability, Circular Economy and Complexity: A Systematic Literature Review
by Walter Antonio Abujder Ochoa, Angela Gabriela Torrico Arce, Alfredo Iarozinski Neto, Mayara Regina Munaro, Oriana Palma Calabokis and Vladimir A. Ballesteros-Ballesteros
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7118; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157118 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Urban sustainability challenges demand integrated frameworks capable of addressing the dynamic, non-linear nature of cities. This study explores how the principles of the circular economy and complexity theory intersect to support systemic transformation in sustainable urban planning. Through a systematic literature review of [...] Read more.
Urban sustainability challenges demand integrated frameworks capable of addressing the dynamic, non-linear nature of cities. This study explores how the principles of the circular economy and complexity theory intersect to support systemic transformation in sustainable urban planning. Through a systematic literature review of 71 peer-reviewed articles published between 2015 and 2025, we analyze conceptual, methodological, and practical articulations across multiple thematic axes, including circular governance, urban metabolism, regenerative design, adaptive planning, digital integration, and environmental justice. Bibliometric and content analyses were conducted using Scopus metadata, VOSviewer for thematic clustering, and the StArt software (Version 3.4) to structure article selection. The findings reveal that circular economy provides practical tools for resource efficiency and regeneration, while complexity theory offers an adaptive framework to navigate uncertainty, emergent behaviors, and feedback dynamics. The synthesis suggests that their integration enables a more holistic and resilient approach to urban transformation. However, gaps remain in social inclusivity, long-term assessment, and the operationalization of complexity-informed planning. This study contributes to advancing a transdisciplinary agenda for circular and adaptive urban futures, offering insights for scholars, planners, and policymakers aiming to reconfigure cities within planetary boundaries. Full article
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20 pages, 876 KiB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Urban Ecological Resilience: Evidence from the Yellow River Basin, China
by Zhongjie Zhang and Yu Wu
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7114; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157114 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Improving the ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin is a crucial way to achieve ecological conservation and high-quality development in the region. Based on the panel data from 2011 to 2023 of 57 cities in the Yellow River Basin, the ecological resilience [...] Read more.
Improving the ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin is a crucial way to achieve ecological conservation and high-quality development in the region. Based on the panel data from 2011 to 2023 of 57 cities in the Yellow River Basin, the ecological resilience of each city was measured by using the Catastrophe Progression Model, and its spatial differences and dynamic evolution characteristics were analyzed by the Dagum Gini coefficient and kernel density estimation. At the same time, the STIRPAT model was integrated with the random forest model to identify the key factors influencing urban ecological resilience. The results demonstrated the following: (1) The urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin exhibited a slight upward trend during 2011–2020 and presented a gradient spatial pattern with “high in the east and low in the west”. (2) Hypervariation density is the main source of spatial difference in urban ecological resilience, with trailing and polarization phenomena across the entire basin and its three major subregions. (3) There was significant regional heterogeneity of influences in the urban ecological resilience, with upstream, midstream, and downstream regions characterized by low interference intensity, high sensitivity, and strong adaptability, respectively. Full article
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26 pages, 3194 KiB  
Article
Evolution Trends, Spatial Differentiation, and Convergence Characteristics of Urban Ecological Economic Resilience in China
by Xiaofeng Ran, Rui Ding and Bowen Zhang
Systems 2025, 13(8), 666; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080666 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Achieving a win-win situation for both economy and ecology is crucial for promoting sustainable social development and shaping new advantages in high-quality developments. This article constructs an ecological economic resilience (EER) analysis framework by integrating both ecological and economic dimensions from a resilience [...] Read more.
Achieving a win-win situation for both economy and ecology is crucial for promoting sustainable social development and shaping new advantages in high-quality developments. This article constructs an ecological economic resilience (EER) analysis framework by integrating both ecological and economic dimensions from a resilience perspective. Based on panel data from 290 cities in China, it explores the dynamic evolution characteristics, regional differences, and convergence trends of EER. The findings indicate that the EER has weakened nationwide and in the four major economic regions, overall tending towards stability. Significant disparities exist in EER, particularly pronounced in the northeast. There is σ convergence in the nation as well as in the northeast and east regions. Additionally, both absolute and conditional β convergence is evident nationwide and in all regions, with conditional convergence occurring at a faster pace. The research findings in this paper provide solid theoretical support for promoting regional coordinated development and constructing a new development paradigm. Full article
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23 pages, 313 KiB  
Article
Changing Lifestyles in Highly Urbanized Regions of Russia: Short- and Longer-Term Effects of COVID Restrictions
by Irina D. Turgel and Olga A. Chernova
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 306; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080306 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The restrictions on business and social activity during the COVID-19 pandemic have led to significant changes in consumption patterns worldwide. Such changes are causing structural shifts in the markets of goods and services, thus affecting regional resilience. In this article, we aim to [...] Read more.
The restrictions on business and social activity during the COVID-19 pandemic have led to significant changes in consumption patterns worldwide. Such changes are causing structural shifts in the markets of goods and services, thus affecting regional resilience. In this article, we aim to assess the changing structure of the consumption of goods and services in highly urbanized Russian regions under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and to analyze its effects on the lifestyle of the population. According to our results, some Russian regions demonstrate a return to previous consumption levels, while others exhibit the emergence of new dynamics. The conclusion is made that COVID restrictions have invoked a paradigm shift in consumer behavior toward investment in self-development, safety, and comfort. This observation should be taken into account when developing strategies for the recovery growth of regional economies. Full article
25 pages, 6730 KiB  
Article
Decentralized Coupled Grey–Green Infrastructure for Resilient and Cost-Effective Stormwater Management in a Historic Chinese District
by Yongqi Liu, Ziheng Xiong, Mo Wang, Menghan Zhang, Rana Muhammad Adnan, Weicong Fu, Chuanhao Sun and Soon Keat Tan
Water 2025, 17(15), 2325; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152325 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 22
Abstract
Coupled grey and green infrastructure (CGGI) offers a promising pathway toward sustainable stormwater management in historic urban environments. This study compares CGGI and conventional grey infrastructure (GREI)-only strategies across four degrees of layout centralization (0%, 33.3%, 66.7%, and 100%) in the Quanzhou West [...] Read more.
Coupled grey and green infrastructure (CGGI) offers a promising pathway toward sustainable stormwater management in historic urban environments. This study compares CGGI and conventional grey infrastructure (GREI)-only strategies across four degrees of layout centralization (0%, 33.3%, 66.7%, and 100%) in the Quanzhou West Street Historic Reserve, China. Using a multi-objective optimization framework integrating SWMM simulations, life-cycle cost (LCC) modeling, and resilience metrics, we found that the decentralized CGGI layouts reduced the total LCC by up to 29.6% and required 60.7% less green infrastructure (GI) area than centralized schemes. Under nine extreme rainfall scenarios, the GREI-only systems showed slightly higher technical resilience (Tech-R: max 99.6%) than CGGI (Tech-R: max 99.1%). However, the CGGI systems outperformed GREI in operational resilience (Oper-R), reducing overflow volume by up to 22.6% under 50% network failure. These findings demonstrate that decentralized CGGI provides a more resilient and cost-effective drainage solution, well-suited for heritage districts with spatial and cultural constraints. Full article
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24 pages, 3518 KiB  
Article
Assessing Community Perception, Preparedness, and Adaptation to Urban Flood Risks in Malaysia
by Maniyammai Kumaresen, Fang Yenn Teo, Anurita Selvarajoo, Subarna Sivapalan and Roger A. Falconer
Water 2025, 17(15), 2323; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152323 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 34
Abstract
Urban flooding has significantly impacted the livelihoods of households and communities worldwide. It highlights the urgency of focusing on both flood preparedness and adaptation strategies to understand the community’s perception and adaptive capacity. This study investigates the levels of risk perception, flood preparedness, [...] Read more.
Urban flooding has significantly impacted the livelihoods of households and communities worldwide. It highlights the urgency of focusing on both flood preparedness and adaptation strategies to understand the community’s perception and adaptive capacity. This study investigates the levels of risk perception, flood preparedness, and adaptive capacity, while also exploring the inter-relationships among these factors within the context of urban flooding in Malaysia. A quantitative approach was employed, involving a structured questionnaire administered to residents in flood-prone urban areas across Greater Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. A total of 212 responses were analysed using descriptive statistics, categorical index classification, and Spearman correlation analysis. The findings indicate that residents generally reported high levels of risk perception and preparedness, although adaptive capacity exhibited greater variability, with a mean score of 3.97 (SD = 0.64). Positive associations were found among risk perception, flood preparedness, and adaptive capacity. This study contributes to the existing knowledge by providing evidence on community resilience and highlighting key factors that can guide flood management policies and encourage adaptive planning at the community level. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources Management, Policy and Governance)
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24 pages, 4519 KiB  
Article
Aerial Autonomy Under Adversity: Advances in Obstacle and Aircraft Detection Techniques for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
by Cristian Randieri, Sai Venkata Ganesh, Rayappa David Amar Raj, Rama Muni Reddy Yanamala, Archana Pallakonda and Christian Napoli
Drones 2025, 9(8), 549; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones9080549 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 164
Abstract
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have rapidly grown into different essential applications, including surveillance, disaster response, agriculture, and urban monitoring. However, for UAVS to steer safely and autonomously, the ability to detect obstacles and nearby aircraft remains crucial, especially under hard environmental conditions. This [...] Read more.
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have rapidly grown into different essential applications, including surveillance, disaster response, agriculture, and urban monitoring. However, for UAVS to steer safely and autonomously, the ability to detect obstacles and nearby aircraft remains crucial, especially under hard environmental conditions. This study comprehensively analyzes the recent landscape of obstacle and aircraft detection techniques tailored for UAVs acting in difficult scenarios such as fog, rain, smoke, low light, motion blur, and disorderly environments. It starts with a detailed discussion of key detection challenges and continues with an evaluation of different sensor types, from RGB and infrared cameras to LiDAR, radar, sonar, and event-based vision sensors. Both classical computer vision methods and deep learning-based detection techniques are examined in particular, highlighting their performance strengths and limitations under degraded sensing conditions. The paper additionally offers an overview of suitable UAV-specific datasets and the evaluation metrics generally used to evaluate detection systems. Finally, the paper examines open problems and coming research directions, emphasising the demand for lightweight, adaptive, and weather-resilient detection systems appropriate for real-time onboard processing. This study aims to guide students and engineers towards developing stronger and intelligent detection systems for next-generation UAV operations. Full article
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26 pages, 792 KiB  
Article
From Green to Adaptation: How Does a Green Business Environment Shape Urban Climate Resilience?
by Lei Li, Xi Zhen, Xiaoyu Ma, Shaojun Ma, Jian Zuo and Michael Goodsite
Systems 2025, 13(8), 660; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080660 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 81
Abstract
Strengthening climate resilience constitutes a foundational approach through which cities adapt to climate change and mitigate associated environmental risks. However, research on the influence of economic policy environments on climate resilience remains limited. Guided by institutional theory and dynamic capability theory, this study [...] Read more.
Strengthening climate resilience constitutes a foundational approach through which cities adapt to climate change and mitigate associated environmental risks. However, research on the influence of economic policy environments on climate resilience remains limited. Guided by institutional theory and dynamic capability theory, this study employs a panel dataset comprising 272 Chinese cities at the prefecture level and above, covering the period from 2009 to 2023. It constructs a composite index framework for evaluating the green business environment (GBE) and urban climate resilience (UCR) using the entropy weight method. Employing a two-way fixed-effect regression model, it examined the impact of GBE optimization on UCR empirically and also explored the underlying mechanisms. The results show that improvements in the GBE significantly enhance UCR, with green innovation (GI) in technology functioning as an intermediary mechanism within this relationship. Moreover, climate policy uncertainty (CPU) exerts a moderating effect along this transmission pathway: on the one hand, it amplifies the beneficial effect of the GBE on GI; on the other hand, it hampers the transformation of GI into improved GBEs. The former effect dominates, indicating that optimizing the GBE becomes particularly critical for enhancing UCR under high CPU. To eliminate potential endogenous issues, this paper adopts a two-stage regression model based on the instrumental variable method (2SLS). The above conclusion still holds after undergoing a series of robustness tests. This study reveals the mechanism by which a GBE enhances its growth through GI. By incorporating CPU as a heterogeneous factor, the findings suggest that governments should balance policy incentives with environmental regulations in climate resilience governance. Furthermore, maintaining awareness of the risks stemming from climate policy volatility is of critical importance. By providing a stable and supportive institutional environment, governments can foster steady progress in green innovation and comprehensively improve urban adaptive capacity to climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Systems Practice in Social Science)
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20 pages, 5967 KiB  
Article
Inundation Modeling and Bottleneck Identification of Pipe–River Systems in a Highly Urbanized Area
by Jie Chen, Fangze Shang, Hao Fu, Yange Yu, Hantao Wang, Huapeng Qin and Yang Ping
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7065; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157065 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 114
Abstract
The compound effects of extreme climate change and intensive urban development have led to more frequent urban inundation, highlighting the urgent need for the fine-scale evaluation of stormwater drainage system performance in high-density urban built-up areas. A typical basin, located in Shenzhen, was [...] Read more.
The compound effects of extreme climate change and intensive urban development have led to more frequent urban inundation, highlighting the urgent need for the fine-scale evaluation of stormwater drainage system performance in high-density urban built-up areas. A typical basin, located in Shenzhen, was selected, and a pipe–river coupled SWMM was developed and calibrated via a genetic algorithm to simulate the storm drainage system. Design storm scenario analyses revealed that regional inundation occurred in the central area of the basin and the enclosed culvert sections of the midstream river, even under a 0.5-year recurrence period, while the downstream open river channels maintained a substantial drainage capacity under a 200-year rainfall event. To systematically identify bottleneck zones, two novel metrics, namely, the node cumulative inundation volume and the conduit cumulative inundation length, were proposed to quantify the local inundation severity and spatial interactions across the drainage network. Two critical bottleneck zones were selected, and strategic improvement via the cross-sectional expansion of pipes and river culverts significantly enhanced the drainage efficiency. This study provides a practical case study and transferable technical framework for integrating hydraulic modeling, spatial analytics, and targeted infrastructure upgrades to enhance the resilience of drainage systems in high-density urban environments, offering an actionable framework for sustainable urban stormwater drainage system management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Water Management)
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86 pages, 28919 KiB  
Article
Sustainable Risk Mapping of High-Speed Rail Networks Through PS-InSAR and Geospatial Analysis
by Seung-Jun Lee, Hong-Sik Yun and Sang-Woo Kwak
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7064; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157064 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 111
Abstract
This study presents an integrated geospatial framework for assessing the risk to high-speed railway (HSR) infrastructure, combining a persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) analysis with multi-criteria decision-making in a geographic information system (GIS) environment. Focusing on the Honam HSR corridor in [...] Read more.
This study presents an integrated geospatial framework for assessing the risk to high-speed railway (HSR) infrastructure, combining a persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) analysis with multi-criteria decision-making in a geographic information system (GIS) environment. Focusing on the Honam HSR corridor in South Korea, the model incorporates both maximum ground deformation and subsidence velocity to construct a dynamic hazard index. Social vulnerability is quantified using five demographic and infrastructural indicators, and a two-stage analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is applied with dependency correction to mitigate inter-variable redundancy. The resulting high-resolution risk maps highlight spatial mismatches between geotechnical hazards and social exposure, revealing vulnerable segments in Gongju and Iksan that require prioritized maintenance and mitigation. The framework also addresses data limitations by interpolating groundwater levels and estimating train speed using spatial techniques. Designed to be scalable and transferable, this methodology offers a practical decision-support tool for infrastructure managers and policymakers aiming to enhance the resilience of linear transport systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hazards and Sustainability)
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14 pages, 1329 KiB  
Article
Lane-Changing Risk Prediction on Urban Expressways: A Mixed Bayesian Approach for Sustainable Traffic Management
by Quantao Yang, Peikun Li, Fei Yang and Wenbo Lu
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7061; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157061 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 192
Abstract
This study addresses critical safety challenges in sustainable urban mobility by developing a probabilistic framework for lane-change risk prediction on congested expressways. Utilizing unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-captured trajectory data from 784 validated lane-change events, we construct a Bayesian network model integrated with an [...] Read more.
This study addresses critical safety challenges in sustainable urban mobility by developing a probabilistic framework for lane-change risk prediction on congested expressways. Utilizing unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-captured trajectory data from 784 validated lane-change events, we construct a Bayesian network model integrated with an I-CH scoring-enhanced MMHC algorithm. This approach quantifies risk probabilities while accounting for driver decision dynamics and input data uncertainties—key gaps in conventional methods like time-to-collision metrics. Validation via the Asia network paradigm demonstrates 80.5% reliability in forecasting high-risk maneuvers. Crucially, we identify two sustainability-oriented operational thresholds: (1) optimal lane-change success occurs when trailing-vehicle speeds in target lanes are maintained at 1.0–3.0 m/s (following-gap < 4.0 m) or 3.0–6.0 m/s (gap ≥ 4.0 m), and (2) insertion-angle change rates exceeding 3.0°/unit-time significantly elevate transition probability. These evidence-based parameters enable traffic management systems to proactively mitigate collision risks by 13.26% while optimizing flow continuity. By converting behavioral insights into adaptive control strategies, this research advances resilient transportation infrastructure and low-carbon mobility through congestion reduction. Full article
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26 pages, 6220 KiB  
Article
Estimating Urbanization’s Impact on Soil Erosion: A Global Comparative Analysis and Case Study of Phoenix, USA
by Ara Jeong, Dylan S. Connor, Ronald I. Dorn and Yeong Bae Seong
Land 2025, 14(8), 1590; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081590 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 172
Abstract
Healthy soils are an essential ingredient of land systems and ongoing global change. Urbanization as a global change process often works through the lens of urban planning, which involves urban agriculture, urban greening, and leveraging nature-based solutions to promote resilient cities. Yet, urbanization [...] Read more.
Healthy soils are an essential ingredient of land systems and ongoing global change. Urbanization as a global change process often works through the lens of urban planning, which involves urban agriculture, urban greening, and leveraging nature-based solutions to promote resilient cities. Yet, urbanization frequently leads to soil erosion. Despite recognition of this tension, the rate at which the urban growth boundary accelerates soil erosion above natural background levels has not yet been determined. Our goal here is to provide a first broad estimate of urbanization’s impact of soil erosion. By combining data on modern erosion levels with techniques for estimating long-term natural erosion rates through cosmogenic nuclide 10Be analysis, we modeled the impact of urbanization on erosion across a range of cities in different global climates, revealing an acceleration of soil erosion ~7–19x in environments with mean annual precipitation <1500 mm; growth in wetter urban centers accelerated soil erosion ~23–72x. We tested our statistical model by comparing natural erosion rates to decades of monitoring soil erosion on the margins of Phoenix, USA. A century-long expansion of Phoenix accelerated soil erosion by ~12x, an estimate that is roughly at the mid-point of model projections for drier global cities. In addition to urban planning implications of being able to establish a baseline target of natural rates of soil erosion, our findings support the urban cycle of soil erosion theory for the two USA National Science Foundation urban long-term ecological research areas of Baltimore and Phoenix. Full article
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