Search Results (79)

Ravine forests are key to conserving biodiversity and maintaining ecosystem processes in fragmented landscapes. Here, we evaluated the phenology of plant species in the Los Nogales Nature Sanctuary (Lo Barnechea, Chile) using Sentinel-2 images (2019–2024) and the Alos Palsar DEM (12.5 m). We calculated the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), the Topographic Position Index (TPI), and Diurnal Anisotropic Heat (DAH) to assess vegetation dynamics across different topographic and thermal gradients. Generalized Additive Models (GAM) revealed that tree species exhibited more stable, regular seasonal NDVI trajectories, while shrubs showed moderate fluctuations, and herbaceous species displayed high interannual variability, likely reflecting sensitivity to climatic events. Spatial analysis indicated that trees predominated on steep slopes and higher elevations, herbs were concentrated in low-lying, moisture-retaining areas, and shrubs were more common in areas with higher thermal load. These findings highlight the significant role of terrain and temperature in shaping plant phenology and distribution, underscoring the utility of remote sensing and topographic indices for monitoring ecological processes in complex mountainous environments. Full article

This study evaluated the wind speed simulation performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model at three resolutions in Hebei Province based on wind speed data from 2022. The results show that the simulation effectiveness of the WRF model for wind speeds at different heights varies significantly under different seasons and topographic conditions. In general, the model simulates the wind speed at the high level most accurately, followed by the mid level, and the simulation of low level wind speed shows the largest bias. Increasing the model resolution significantly improves the simulation of low-level wind speed, and the 5 km resolution performs best at most stations; while for the mid-level and high-level wind speeds, increasing the resolution does not significantly improve the simulation effect, and the high-resolution simulation has a greater bias at some stations. In terms of topographic features, wind speeds are generally better simulated in mountainous areas than in the plains during spring, summer, and autumn, while the opposite is true in winter. These findings provide scientific reference for WRF model optimal resolution selection and wind resource assessment. Full article

Reliable gridded precipitation products (GPPs) are essential for effective hydrological simulations, particularly in mountainous regions with limited ground-based observations. This study evaluates the performance of two widely used GPPs, CHIRPS and ERA5, in estimating precipitation and supporting runoff generation using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) across three headwater catchments (Sill, Drava and Isel) in the Austrian Alps from 1991 to 2018. The region’s complex topography and climatic variability present a rigorous test for GPP application. The evaluation methods combined point-to-point comparisons with gauge observations and assessments of generated runoff and runoff trends at annual, seasonal and monthly scales. CHIRPS showed a lower precipitation error (RMAE = 25%) and generated more consistent runoff results (RMAE = 12%), particularly in smaller catchments, whereas ERA5 showed higher spatial consistency but higher overall precipitation bias (RMAE = 37%). Although both datasets successfully reproduced the seasonal runoff regime, CHIRPS outperformed ERA5 in trend detection and monthly runoff estimates. Both GPPs systematically overestimate annual and seasonal precipitation amounts, especially at lower elevations and during the cold season. The results highlight the critical influence of GPP spatial resolution and its alignment with catchment morphology on model performance. While both products are viable alternatives to observed precipitation, CHIRPS is recommended for hydrological modelling in smaller, topographically complex alpine catchments due to its higher spatial resolution. Despite its higher precipitation bias, ERA5’s superior correlation with observations suggests strong potential for improved model performance if bias correction techniques are applied. The findings emphasize the importance of selecting GPPs based on the scale and geomorphological and climatic conditions of the study area. Full article

The lower Yarlung Zangbo River Basin’s Great Bend region, characterized by extreme topography and intense orographic precipitation processes, presents significant challenges for accurate precipitation estimation using reanalysis products. Therefore, this study evaluates four widely used products (ERA5-Land, MSWEP, CMA, and TPMFD) against station observations (2014–2022) in this critical area. Performance was rigorously assessed using correlation analysis, error metrics (RMSE, MAE, RBIAS), and spatial regression. The region exhibits strong seasonality, with 62.1% of annual rainfall occurring during the monsoon (June-October). Results indicate TPMFD performed best overall, capturing spatiotemporal patterns effectively (correlation coefficients 0.6–0.8, low RBIAS). Conversely, ERA5-Land significantly overestimated precipitation, particularly in rugged northeast areas, suggesting poor representation of orographic effects. MSWEP and CMA underestimated rainfall with variable temporal consistency. Topographic analysis confirmed slope, aspect, and longitude strongly control precipitation distribution, aligning with classical orographic mechanisms (e.g., windward enhancement, lee-side rain shadows) and monsoonal moisture transport. Spatial regression revealed terrain features explain 15.4% of flood-season variation. TPMFD most accurately captured these terrain-precipitation relationships. Consequently, findings underscore the necessity for terrain-sensitive calibration and data fusion strategies in mountainous regions to improve precipitation products and hydrological modeling under orographic influence. Full article

Forest fires pose significant threats to ecosystems, economies, and human lives. However, existing forest fire risk assessments are over-reliant on field data and expert-derived indices. Here, we assessed the nationwide forest fire risk in South Korea using a dataset of 2289 and 4578 fire and non-fire events between 2020 and 2023. Twelve remote sensing-based environmental variables were exclusively derived from Google Earth Engine, including climate, vegetation, topographic, and socio-environmental factors. After removing the snow equivalent variable owing to high collinearity, we trained three machine learning models: random forest, XGBoost, and artificial neural network, and evaluated their ability to predict forest fire risks. XGBoost showed the best performance (F1 = 0.511; AUC = 0.76), followed by random forest (F1 = 0.496) and artificial neural network (F1 = 0.468). DEM, NDVI, and population density consistently ranked as the most influential predictors. Spatial prediction maps from each model revealed consistent high-risk areas with some local prediction differences. These findings demonstrate the potential of integrating cloud-based remote sensing with machine learning for large-scale, high-resolution forest fire risk modeling and have implications for early warning systems and effective fire management in vulnerable regions. Future predictions can be improved by incorporating seasonal, real-time meteorological, and human activity data. Full article

The evaluation of raindrop size distribution (DSD) is a crucial subject in radar meteorology, as it determines the relationship between radar reflectivity (Z) and rainfall rate (R). The coefficients (a and b) of the Z-R relationship vary significantly due to several factors (e.g., climate and rainfall intensity), rendering the characterization of local DSD essential for improving radar quantitative precipitation estimation. This study used a unique network of 21 disdrometers with high spatio-temporal resolution in Mexico City to investigate changes in the local drop size distribution (DSD) resulting from seasonal fluctuations, rain rates, and topographical regions (flat urban and mountainous). The results indicate that the DSD modeling utilizing the normalized gamma distribution provides an adequate fit in Mexico City, regardless of geographical location and season. Regional variation in DSD’s slope, shape, and parameters was detected in flat urban and mountainous areas, indicating that distinct precipitation mechanisms govern rainfall in each season. Severe rain intensities (R > 20 mm/h) exhibited a more uniform and flatter DSD shape, accompanied by increased dispersion of DSD parameter values among disdrometer locations, particularly for intensities exceeding R > 60 mm/h. The coefficients a and b of the Z-R relationship exhibit significant geographic variability, dependent on the city’s topographic gradient, underscoring the necessity for regionalization of both coefficients within the metropolis. Full article

Accurately monitoring forest canopy height is crucial for sustainable forest management, particularly in southeastern North Carolina, USA, where dense forests and limited accessibility pose substantial challenges. This study presents an explainable machine learning framework that integrates sparse GEDI LiDAR samples with multi-sensor remote sensing data to improve both the accuracy and interpretability of forest canopy height estimation. This framework incorporates multitemporal optical observations from Sentinel-2; C-band backscatter and InSAR coherence from Sentinel-1; quad-polarization L-Band backscatter and polarimetric decompositions from the Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Synthetic Aperture Radar (UAVSAR); texture features from the National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) aerial photography; and topographic data derived from an airborne LiDAR-based digital elevation model. We evaluated four machine learning algorithms, K-nearest neighbors (KNN), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGB), and found consistent accuracy across all models. Our evaluation highlights our method’s robustness, evidenced by closely matched R² and RMSE values across models: KNN (R² of 0.496, RMSE of 5.13 m), RF (R² of 0.510, RMSE of 5.06 m), SVM (R² of 0.544, RMSE of 4.88 m), and XGB (R² of 0.548, RMSE of 4.85 m). The integration of comprehensive feature sets, as opposed to subsets, yielded better results, underscoring the value of using multisource remotely sensed data. Crucially, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) revealed the multi-seasonal red-edge spectral bands of Sentinel-2 as dominant predictors across models, while volume scattering from UAVSAR emerged as a key driver in tree-based algorithms. This study underscores the complementary nature of multi-sensor data and highlights the interpretability of our models. By offering spatially continuous, high-quality canopy height estimates, this cost-effective, data-driven approach advances large-scale forest management and environmental monitoring, paving the way for improved decision-making and conservation strategies. Full article

Traditional methods for estimating tea yield mainly rely on manual sampling surveys and empirical estimation, which are labor-intensive and time-consuming. Accurately estimating fresh tea production in different seasons has become a challenging task. It is possible to estimate the seasonal yield of tea at the field scale by using the spatial resolution of 10 m, 5-day revisit period and rich spectral information of Sentinel-2 imagery. This study integrated Sentinel-2 images and uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) RGB imagery to develop six regression models at the field scale, which were employed for the estimation of seasonal and annual fresh tea yields of the Yunlong Tea Cooperatives in Yixiang Town, Pu’er City, China. Firstly, we gathered fresh tea production data from 133 farmers in the cooperative over the past five years and obtained UAV RGB and Sentinel-2 imagery. Secondly, 23 spectral features were extracted from Sentinel-2 images. Based on the UAV images, the parcel of each farmer was positioned and three topographic features of slope, aspect, and elevation were extracted. Subsequently, these 26 features were screened using the random forest algorithm and Pearson correlation analysis. Thirdly, we applied six different regression algorithms to establish fresh tea yield models for each season and evaluated their estimation accuracy. The results showed that random forest regression models were the optimal choice for estimating spring and summer yields, with the spring model achieving an R² value of 0.45, an RMSE of 40.38 kg/acre, and an rRMSE of 40.79%. Similarly, the summer model achieved an R² value of 0.5, an RMSE of 78.46 kg/acre, and an rRMSE of 39.81%. For autumn and annual yield estimation, voting regression models demonstrated superior performance, with the autumn model achieving an R² value of 0.42, an RMSE of 70.6 kg/acre, and an rRMSE of 39.77%, and the annual model attained an R² value of 0.47, an RMSE of 168.7 kg/acre, and an rRMSE of 34.62%. This study provides a promising new method for estimating fresh tea yield in different seasons at the field scale. Full article

One of the main differences between regional climate model and convection-permitting model simulations is not just how well topographic characteristics are represented, but also how deep convection is treated. The convection process frequently occurs within hours, thus a sub-daily scale becomes appropriate to evaluate these changes. To do this, a series of simulations has been carried out at different spatial resolutions (0.11$°$ and 0.025$°$) using the COSMO-CLM (CCLM) climate model forced by the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) between 2011 and 2020 over a domain covering northwestern Türkiye. Hourly precipitation and heavy precipitation simulated by both models were compared with the observations by Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS) stations and Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG). Subsequently, we aimed to identify the reasons behind these differences by computing several atmospheric stability parameters and conducting event-scale analysis using atmospheric sounding data. CCLM12 displays notable discrepancies in the timing of the diurnal cycle, exhibiting a premature shift of several hours when compared to the TSMS. CCLM2.5 offers an accurate representation of the peak times, considering all hours and especially those occurring during the wet hours of the warm season. Despite this, there is a tendency for peak intensities to be overestimated. In both seasons, intensity and extreme precipitation are highly underestimated by CCLM12 compared to IMERG. In terms of statistical metrics, the CCLM2.5 model performs better than the CCLM12 model under extreme precipitation conditions. The comparison between CCLM12 and CCLM2.5 at 12:00 UTC reveals differences in atmospheric conditions, with CCLM12 being wetter and colder in the lower troposphere but warmer at higher altitudes, overestimating low-level clouds and producing lower TTI and KI values. These conditions can promote faster air saturation in CCLM12, resulting in lower LCL and CCL, which foster the development of low-level clouds and frequent low-intensity precipitation. In contrast, the simulation of higher TTI and KI values and a steeper lapse rate in CCLM2.5 enables air parcels to enhance instability, reach the LFC more rapidly, increase EL, and finally promote deeper convection, as evidenced by higher CAPE values and intense low-frequency precipitation. Full article

Bridge foundation settlement monitoring is crucial for infrastructure safety management, as uneven settlement can lead to stress redistribution, structural damage, and potentially catastrophic collapse. While traditional contact sensors provide reliable measurements, their deployment is labor-intensive and costly, especially for long-span bridges. Current remote sensing methods have not been thoroughly evaluated for their capability to detect and analyze complex foundation settlement patterns in challenging environments with multiple influencing factors. Here, we applied Small Baseline Subsets Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (SBAS-InSAR) technology to monitor foundation settlement of a long-span bridge. Our analysis revealed distinct deformation patterns: uplift in the north bank approach bridge foundation and the left-side main bridge foundation (maximum rate: 36.97 mm/year), concurrent with subsidence in the right-side main bridge foundation and south bank approach bridge foundation (maximum rate: 35.59 mm/year). We then investigated the relationship between these settlement patterns and various environmental factors, including geological conditions, Sediment Transport Index (STI), Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), precipitation, and temperature. The observed settlement patterns were attributed to the combined effects of stratigraphic heterogeneity, dynamic hydrological conditions, and seasonal climate variations. These findings demonstrate that SBAS-InSAR technology can effectively capture complex bridge foundation deformation processes, offering a cost-effective alternative to traditional monitoring methods. This advancement in bridge monitoring technology could enable more widespread and frequent assessment of bridge foundation stability, ultimately improving infrastructure safety management. Full article

In vegetated areas, soil pH impacts plant growth, soil properties, and spectral characteristics. Remote sensing enables soil pH mapping by delivering detailed surface data, and while high-resolution satellite images show great potential in complex terrains, research in this area is still limited. This study evaluated PlanetScope (high-resolution) and Sentinel-2 (medium-resolution) images in estimating soil pH across diverse land use types in southwestern China’s hilly areas. It examined how spectral variables from four seasonal images affect prediction accuracy. We integrated topographic and spectral variables at seven spatial resolutions (3 m, 10 m, 20 m, 30 m, 40 m, 50 m, and 60 m), using extreme gradient boosting (XGboost) for orchards, dry land, and paddy fields. We found that the models developed with PlanetScope images tended to achieve better prediction accuracy compared to those utilizing Sentinel-2 images. For each satellite, single-temporal images showed greater predictive power under each land use type. In particular, the spring spectral data showed desirable predictive performance for the orchards and the paddy fields, while the autumn spectral data contributed more effectively to the models for the dry land. Specifically, PlanetScope provided the best prediction accuracy for soil pH at 3 m resolution (orchard: R² = 0.72, MAE = 0.24, RMSE = 0.30, RPD = 1.91; dry land: R² = 0.77, MAE = 0.37, RMSE = 0.40, RPD = 2.09; paddy field: R² = 0.66, MAE = 0.35, RMSE = 0.41, RPD = 1.71), while Sentinel-2 performed better at 10 m resolution (orchard: R² = 0.67, MAE = 0.29, RMSE = 0.33, RPD = 1.75; dry land: R² = 0.70, MAE = 0.39, RMSE = 0.47, RPD = 1.83; paddy field: R² = 0.64, MAE = 0.34, RMSE = 0.42, RPD = 1.66). Our findings demonstrate that sensor selection, land use, temporal phases, and modeling resolution significantly impact outputs. High-resolution PlanetScope images prove effective for predicting soil pH in complex terrains. Full article

Global precipitation products (GPPs) are vital in weather forecasting, efficient water management, and monitoring floods and droughts. However, the precision of these datasets varies considerably across different climatic regions and topographic conditions. Therefore, the accuracy assessment of the precipitation dataset is crucial at the local scale before its application. The current study initially compared the performance of recently modified and upgraded precipitation datasets, including Climate Research Unit Time-Series (CRU TS v4.08), fifth-generation ERA5-Land (ERA-5), Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) final run (IMERG v07B), and Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP v2.8), against ground observations on the provincial basis across Pakistan from 2003 to 2020. Later, the study area was categorized into four regions based on the elevation to observe the impact of elevation gradients on GPPs’ skills. The monthly and seasonal precipitation estimations of each product were validated against in situ observations using statistical matrices, including the correlation coefficient (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), percent of bias (PBias), and Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). The results reveal that IMERG7 consistently outperformed across all the provinces, with the highest CC and lowest RMSE values. Meanwhile, the KGE (0.69) and PBias (−0.65%) elucidated, comparatively, the best performance of MSWEP2.8 in Sindh province. Additionally, all the datasets demonstrated their best agreement with the reference data toward the southern part (0–500 m elevation) of Pakistan, while their performance notably declined in the northern high-elevation glaciated mountain regions (above 3000 m elevation), with considerable overestimations. The superior performance of IMERG7 in all the elevation-based regions was also revealed in the current study. According to the monthly and seasonal scale evaluation, all the precipitation products except ERA-5 showed good precipitation estimation ability on a monthly scale, followed by the winter season, pre-monsoon season, and monsoon season, while during the post-monsoon season, all the datasets showed weak agreement with the observed data. Overall, IMERG7 exhibited comparatively superior performance, followed by MSWEP2.8 at a monthly scale, winter season, and pre-monsoon season, while MSWEP2.8 outperformed during the monsoon season. CRU TS showed a moderate association with the ground observations, whereas ERA-5 performed poorly across all the time scales. In the current scenario, this study recommends IMERG7 and MSWEP2.8 for hydrological and climate studies in this region. Additionally, this study emphasizes the need for further research and experiments to minimize bias in high-elevation regions at different time scales to make GPPs more reliable for future studies. Full article

Groundwater discharge is critical for maintaining river flow during dry seasons, especially in lowland areas. Despite its significance, groundwater resources have often been overlooked highlighting the need for comprehensive studies amidst growing pressure to develop new water resources. This study focuses on the Soyang River Basin, South Korea, including its ungauged northern regions, the nearby DMZ (Demilitarized Zone), using the physically based Gridded Surface Subsurface Hydrologic Analysis (GSSHA) model. A three-year simulation was conducted to examine variable aquifer depth distribution patterns by assuming an inverse relationship between surface elevation and aquifer bottom depth. Three case studies (i.e., equal distribution, linear regression, and logarithmic regression) were evaluated and compared. The method to identity optimal aquifer depth distributions to enhance groundwater simulation accuracy in regions with significant topographical variation was incorporated. Groundwater levels at six monitoring sites showed that altitude-based variable aquifer depths outperformed the equal distribution case. The results showed strong agreement between simulated and observed values, particularly in the linear regression case with an R-squared statistic of 0.858 and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency index of 0.789, indicating that linear regression-based aquifer depth estimation can significantly improves long-term runoff modeling and groundwater simulation accuracy. The logarithmic regression case had the lowest relative peak error in peak flow. These findings highlight the importance of adjusting aquifer depth distributions in physically based hydrologic models to better reflect real-world conditions. Overall, this study contributes to advance groundwater modeling by integrating variable aquifer depth distributions into a physically based hydrologic model for large scale watersheds. Full article

Surface albedo plays a pivotal role in the Earth’s energy balance and climate. This study conducted an analysis of the spatial distribution patterns and temporal evolution of albedo, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference snow index snow cover (NSC), and land surface temperature (LST) within the Qilian Mountains (QLMs) from 2001 to 2022. This study evaluated the spatiotemporal correlations of albedo with NSC, NDVI, and LST at various temporal scales. Additionally, the study quantified the driving forces and relative contributions of topographic and natural factors to the albedo variation of the QLMs using geographic detectors. The findings revealed the following insights: (1) Approximately 22.8% of the QLMs exhibited significant changes in albedo. The annual average albedo and NSC exhibited a minor decline with rates of −0.00037 and −0.05083 (Sen’s slope), respectively. Conversely, LST displayed a marginal increase at a rate of 0.00564, while NDVI experienced a notable increase at a rate of 0.00178. (2) The seasonal fluctuations of NSC, LST, and vegetation collectively influenced the overall albedo changes in the Qilian Mountains. Notably, the highly similar trends and significant correlations between albedo and NSC, whether in intra-annual monthly variations, multi-year monthly anomalies, or regional multi-year mean trends, indicate that the changes in snow albedo reflected by NSC played a major role. Additionally, the area proportion and corresponding average elevation of PSI (permanent snow and ice regions) slightly increased, potentially suggesting a slow upward shift of the high mountain snowline in the QLMs. (3) NDVI, land cover type (LCT), and the Digital Elevation Model (DEM, which means elevation) played key roles in shaping the spatial pattern of albedo. Additionally, the spatial distribution of albedo was most significantly influenced by the interaction between slope and NDVI. Full article

Drought, characterized by frequent occurrences, an extended duration, and a wide range of destruction, has become one of the natural disasters posing a significant threat to both socioeconomic progress and agricultural livelihoods. Large-scale geographical environments often exhibit obvious spatial heterogeneity, leading to significant spatial differences in drought’s development and outcomes. However, traditional drought monitoring models have not taken into account the impact of regional spatial heterogeneity on drought, resulting in evaluation results that do not match the actual situation. In response to the above-mentioned issues, this study proposes the establishment of ecological–geographic zoning to adapt to the spatially stratified heterogeneous characteristics of large-scale drought monitoring. First, based on the principles of ecological and geographical zoning, an appropriate index system was selected to carry out ecological and geographical zoning for Yunnan Province. Second, based on the zoning results and using data from NASA’s Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B43, the vegetation condition index (VCI), the temperature condition index (TCI), the precipitation condition index (TRCI), and three topographic factors including the digital elevation model (DEM), slope (SLOPE), and aspect (ASPECT) were selected as model parameters. Multiple linear regression models were then used to establish integrated drought monitoring frameworks at different eco–geographical zoning scales. Finally, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) was used to evaluate the monitoring effects of the model, and the spatiotemporal variation patterns and characteristics of winter and spring droughts in Yunnan Province from 2008–2019 were further analyzed. The results show that (1) compared to the traditional non-zonal models, the drought monitoring model constructed based on ecological–geographic zoning has a higher correlation and greater accuracy with the SPEI and (2) Yunnan Province experiences periodic and seasonal drought patterns, with spring being the peak period of drought occurrence and moderate drought and light drought being the main types of drought in Yunnan Province. Therefore, we believe that ecological–geographic zoning can better adapt to geographical spatial heterogeneity characteristics, and the zonal drought monitoring model constructed can more effectively identify the actual occurrence of drought in large regions. This research finding can provide reference for the formulation of drought response policies in large-scale regions. Full article