Search Results (57)

On 18 December 2023, a M_w 6.2 earthquake occurred in close proximity to Jishishan County, located on the northeastern edge of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. The event struck the structural intersection of the Haiyuan fault, Lajishan fault, and West Qinling fault, providing empirical evidence for investigating the crustal compression mechanisms associated with the northeastward expansion of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. In this study, we successfully acquired a high-resolution coseismic deformation field of the earthquake by employing interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technology. This was accomplished through the analysis of image data obtained from both the ascending and descending orbits of the Sentinel-1A satellite, as well as from the ascending orbit of the ALOS-2 satellite. Our findings indicate that the coseismic deformation is predominantly localized around the Lajishan fault zone, without leading to the development of a surface rupture zone. The maximum deformations recorded from the Sentinel-1A ascending and descending datasets are 7.5 cm and 7.7 cm, respectively, while the maximum deformation observed from the ALOS-2 ascending data reaches 10 cm. Geodetic inversion confirms that the seismogenic structure is a northeast-dipping thrust fault. The geometric parameters indicate a strike of 313° and a dip angle of 50°. The slip distribution model reveals that the rupture depth predominantly ranges between 5.7 and 15 km, with a maximum displacement of 0.47 m occurring at a depth of 9.6 km. By integrating the coseismic slip distribution and aftershock relocation, this study comprehensively elucidates the stress coupling mechanism between the mainshock and its subsequent aftershock sequence. Quantitative analysis indicates that aftershocks are primarily located within the stress enhancement zone, with an increase in stress ranging from 0.12 to 0.30 bar. It is crucial to highlight that the structural units, including the western segment of the northern margin fault of West Qinling, the eastern segment of the Daotanghe fault, the eastern segment of the Linxia fault, and both the northern and southern segment of Lajishan fault, exhibit characteristics indicative of continuous stress loading. This observation suggests a potential risk for fractures in these areas. Full article

This study investigates pre-seismic ionospheric anomalies preceding the 2023 Jishishan Ms6.2 earthquake using total electron content (TEC) data derived from BDS geostationary orbit (GEO) satellites. Multi-scale analysis integrating Butterworth filtering and wavelet transforms resolved TEC disturbances into three distinct frequency regimes: (1) high-frequency perturbations (0.56–3.33 mHz) showed localized disturbances (amplitude ≤ 4 TECU, range < 300 km), potentially associated with near-field acoustic waves from crustal stress adjustments; (2) mid-frequency signals (0.28–0.56 mHz) exhibited anisotropic propagation (>1200 km) with azimuth-dependent N-shaped waveforms, consistent with the characteristics of acoustic–gravity waves (AGWs); and (3) low-frequency components (0.18–0.28 mHz) demonstrated phase reversal and power-law amplitude attenuation, suggesting possible lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere (LAI) coupling oscillations. The stark contrast between near-field residuals and far-field weak fluctuations highlighted the dominance of large-scale atmospheric gravity waves over localized acoustic disturbances. Geometry-based velocity inversion revealed incoherent high-frequency dynamics (5–30 min) versus anisotropic mid/low-frequency traveling ionospheric disturbance (TID) propagation (30–90 min) at 175–270 m/s, aligning with theoretical AGW behavior. During concurrent G1-class geomagnetic storm activity, spatial attenuation gradients and velocity anisotropy appear primarily consistent with seismogenic sources, providing insights for precursor discrimination and contributing to understanding multi-scale coupling in seismo-ionospheric systems. Full article

High-resolution seismic reflection profiles from the offshore segment of the Littoral Fault Zone (LFZ) near Nan’ao Island were analyzed to investigate fault activity and its potential link to the 1918 M7.3 earthquake. The data reveal a ~19 km-wide graben bounded by seaward- and landward-dipping normal faults, with fault-propagation folds and growth faults reaching the seafloor. Forward modeling of the fault-propagation fold indicates three discrete episodes of normal dip-slip displacement (~20 m per phase), separated by prolonged quiescent periods, suggesting episodic fault activity and seismic-scale strain accumulation. Despite the regional NW–SE compressional stress regime, active normal faulting is observed, implying vertical stress as the dominant driving force. A gravitational seismic model driven by upper crustal loading is proposed to explain both the fault motion and the down-draw tsunami observed during the 1918 event. These findings offer new insights into intraplate seismogenic mechanisms and associated hazards along the South China coast. Full article

On 22 July 2020, an Mw 6.4 earthquake occurred in Nima County in the Qiangtang Terrane of the central Tibetan Plateau. This event, caused by normal faulting, remains controversial in terms of its rupture process and causative fault due to the complex tectonics of the region. In this study, we analyzed the coseismic and postseismic deformation using differential interferometric synthetic aperture radar (D-InSAR). The coseismic slip distribution was independently estimated through InSAR inversion and teleseismic waveform analysis, while the afterslip distribution was inferred from postseismic deformation. Coulomb stress failure analysis was conducted to assess the potential seismic hazard. Our results showed a maximum line-of-sight (LOS) coseismic deformation of about 29 cm away from the satellite, with quasi-vertical subsidence peaking at 35 cm. Four distinct deformation zones were observed in the quasi-east–west direction. Coseismic deformation and slip models based on InSAR and teleseismic data indicate that the Nima earthquake ruptured the West Yibu Chaka fault. The seismogenic fault had a strike of 26°, an eastward dip of 43°, and a rake of −87.28°, with rupture patches at depths of 3–13 km and a maximum slip of 1.1 m. Postseismic deformation showed cumulative LOS displacement of up to 0.05 m. Afterslip was concentrated in the up-dip and down-dip areas of the coseismic rupture zone, reaching a maximum of 0.11 m. Afterslip was also observed along the East Yibu Caka fault. Coulomb stress modeling indicates an increased seismic risk between the Yibu Caka fault and the Jiangai Zangbu fault, highlighting the vulnerability of the region to future seismic activity. Full article

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the effect of earthquake (EQ) preparation on changes in meteorological parameters. The two physical quantities of temperature (T)/relative humidity (Hum) and atmospheric chemical potential (ACP) have been investigated with the use of the Japanese meteorological “open” data of AMeDAS (Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System), which is a very dense “ground-based” network of meteorological stations with higher temporal and spatial resolutions than the satellite remote sensing open data. In order to obtain a clearer identification of any seismogenic effect, we have used the AMeDAS station data at local midnight (LT = 01 h) and our initial target EQ was chosen to be the famous 1995 Kobe EQ of 17 January 1995 (M = 7.3). Initially, we performed conventional statistical analysis with confidence bounds and it was found that the Kobe station (very close to the EQ epicenter) exhibited conspicuous anomalies in both physical parameters on 10 January 1995, just one week before the EQ, exceeding m (mean) + 3σ (standard deviation) in T/Hum and well above m + 2σ in ACP within the short-term window of one month before and two weeks after an EQ. When looking at the whole period of over one year including the day of the EQ, in the case of T/Hum only we detected three additional extreme anomalies, except in winter, but with unknown origins. On the other hand, the anomalous peak on 10 January 1995 was the largest for ACP. Further, the spatial distributions of the anomaly intensity of the two quantities have been presented using about 40 stations to provide a further support to the close relationship of this peak with the EQ. The above statistical analysis has been compared with an analysis with recent machine/deep learning methods. We have utilized a combinational use of NARX (Nonlinear Autoregressive model with eXogenous inputs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, which was successful in objectively re-confirming the anomalies in both parameters on the same day prior to the EQ. The combination of these analysis results elucidates that the meteorological anomalies on 10 January 1995 are considered to be a notable precursor to the EQ. Finally, we suggest a joint examination of our two meteorological quantities for their potential use in real short-term EQ prediction, as well as in the future lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (LAIC) studies as the information from the bottom part of LAIC. Full article

This study provides a comprehensive investigation into ionospheric perturbations associated with the Mw 7.5 earthquake on the Noto Peninsula in January 2024, utilizing data from the International GNSS Service (IGS) network. Focusing on Total Electron Content (TEC), the analysis incorporates spatial mapping and temporal pattern assessments over a 30-day period before the earthquake. The time series for TEC at the closest station to the epicenter, USUD, reveals a localized decline, with a significant negative anomaly exceeding 5 TECU observed 22 and 23 days before the earthquake, highlighting the potential of TEC variations as seismic precursors. Similar patterns were observed at a nearby station, MIZU, strengthening the case for a seismogenic origin. Positive anomalies were linked to intense space weather episodes, while the most notable negative anomalies occurred under geomagnetically calm conditions, further supporting their seismic association. Using Kriging interpolation, the anomaly zone was shown to closely align with the earthquake’s epicenter. To assess the consistency of TEC anomalies in different seismic events, the study also examines the Mw 7.1 Nichinan earthquake in August 2024. The results reveal a prominent negative anomaly, reinforcing the reliability of TEC depletions in seismic precursor detection. Additionally, spatial correlation analysis of Pearson correlation across both events demonstrates that TEC coherence diminishes with increasing distance, with pronounced correlation decay beyond 1000–1600 km. This spatial decay, consistent with Dobrovolsky’s earthquake preparation area, strengthens the association between TEC anomalies and seismic activity. This research highlights the complex relationship between ionospheric anomalies and seismic events, underscoring the value of TEC analysis as tool for earthquake precursor detection. The findings significantly enhance our understanding of ionospheric dynamics related to seismic events, advocating for a comprehensive, multi-station approach in future earthquake prediction efforts. Full article

The AD 1209 M6.5 Fushan earthquake caused significant casualties and damage. The Fushan Fault, forming the boundary between the Linfen Faulted Basin and uplifted Taihang Mountains, may have been the seismogenic fault, but research is lacking. Based on UAV and field surveys, we found that the Fushan Fault has a surface exposure length of 24 km and displaces Holocene strata. Samples from offset layers within a trench showed that the most recent event occurred within the last 7 ka (i.e., Holocene activity) and that the fault has the potential to generate earthquakes exceeding magnitude 7. Since 17 ka (late Quaternary), two significant paleoearthquakes have been identified: (1) between 17 and 7 ka (displacement: 2.04 m, average slip: 0.2 mm/yr) and (2) within the last 7 ka (displacement: 3.93 m, average slip: 0.56 mm/yr). Since the Late Pleistocene, the displacement rate has increased, indicating an increasing potential seismic hazard. These results were confirmed by terrestrial LiDAR; the bedrock fault surface fractal dimensions are consistent with two paleoearthquake events since the late Quaternary (coseismic displacements of 2.51 and 3.18 m). This article uses an empirical formula to evaluate the potential maximum magnitude of the Fushan Fault based on the relationship between the distribution range of the fault surface and the magnitude. Therefore, the maximum assessed earthquake magnitudes of the Fushan Fault are Ms = 7.07, 6.94, and 7.31. This assessment result basically matches the strength of the 6.5 magnitude Fushan earthquake in 1209 AD. By comparing with historical records, our results confirm that the Fushan Fault was the seismogenic structure responsible for the AD 1209 M6.5 Fushan earthquake. Full article

The Eastern Tianshan region, influenced by the far-field effect of northward compression and expansion of the Qinghai-Xizang block, features highly developed Late Quaternary active faults that exhibit significant neotectonic activity. Historically, the Barkol-Yiwu Basin, located to the north of the Eastern Tianshan, experienced two major earthquakes in 1842 and 1914, each with a magnitude of M7¹/₂. In contrast, the Hami Basin on the southern margin of the Eastern Tianshan has no historical records of any major earthquakes, and its seismic potential, mechanisms, and future earthquake hazards remain unclear. Based on satellite image interpretation and field surveys, this study identified a relatively recent and well-preserved seismic surface rupture zone with good continuity in the Liushugou area of the western segment of the Northern Margin Fault of the Hami Basin (HMNF), which is the seismogenic structure responsible for the rupture. The surface rupture zone originates at Kekejin in the east, extends intermittently westward through Daipuseke Bulake and Liushugou, and terminates at Wuzun Bulake, with a total length of approximately 21 km. The rupture zone traverses the youngest geomorphic surface units, such as river beds or floodplains and first-order terraces (platforms), and is characterized by a series of single or multiple reverse fault scarps. The morphology of fault scarps is clear, presenting a light soil color with heights ranging from 0.15 m to 2.13 m and an average displacement of 0.56 m, suggesting that this surface rupture zone likely represents the most recent seismic event. Comparison with historical earthquake records in the Eastern Tianshan region suggests that the rupture zone may have been formed simultaneously with the Xiongkuer rupture zone by the 1842 M7¹/₂ earthquake along the boundary faults on both sides of the Barkol Mountains, exhibiting a flower-like structural pattern. Alternatively, it might represent a separate, unrecorded seismic event occurring shortly after the 1842 earthquake. The estimated magnitude of the associated earthquake is about 6.6~6.9. Given that surface-rupturing earthquakes have already occurred in the western segment, the study indicates that the Erdaogou–Nanshankou section of the HMNF has surpassed the average recurrence interval for major earthquakes, indicating a potential future earthquake hazard. Full article

Over the past few years, there has been a noticeable change in the occurrence of seismic disasters in Sichuan, China. The focus has shifted from Western Sichuan to the previously more stable Southeastern Sichuan. The recent Ms6.0 earthquake in Luxian, Southeastern Sichuan, on 16 September 2021, has once again captured the interest of scholars, who are closely examining the seismogenic environment and potential seismic hazards in the region. We conducted a magnetotelluric (MT) array survey in the Luxian earthquake area to explore the deep seismogenic environment of the 2021 Luxian Ms6.0 earthquake zone and understand the potential effects of industrial extraction on seismic activities. Here are the insights we obtained: Underneath the anticline in the Luxian Ms6.0 earthquake area, there is a structure that mainly exhibits high resistance. On the other hand, beneath the syncline, a structure with medium to low resistance is observed. The epicenter of the mainshock was identified near the intersection of high- and low-resistance media within the Fuji syncline area. Smaller aftershocks that followed the mainshock were mainly concentrated in the low-resistance layers at depths of 3–5 km in the Fuji syncline area. MT survey results have confirmed the existence of a detachment zone in the shallow crust near the epicenter of the Luxian Ms6.0 earthquake. It is believed that this detachment layer played a significant role in the seismogenic process of the Luxian Ms6.0 earthquake. During different stress conditions, this layer became active and caused the compression and faulting of a hidden fault below, resulting in the Luxian Ms6.0 earthquake. After the main earthquake, a series of smaller aftershocks with varying focal mechanisms occurred as the stress fields continued to release. It is important to note that the Luxian Ms6.0 earthquake highlights the ongoing high stress levels in the southern region of the Sichuan Basin. This emphasizes the need for continued monitoring and consideration of potential seismic hazards in the southern Sichuan area. Full article

The Lithospheric–Atmospheric–Ionospheric Coupling (LAIC) mechanism stands as the leading model for the prediction of seismic activities. It consists of a cascade of physical processes that are initiated days before a major earthquake. The onset is marked by the discharge of ionized gases, such as radon, through subterranean fissures that develop in the lead-up to the quake. This discharge augments the ionization at the lower atmospheric layers, instigating disturbances that extend from the Earth’s surface to the lower ionosphere. A critical component of the LAIC sequence involves the distinctive perturbations of Extremely Low Electromagnetic Frequencies (ELF) within the Schumann Resonances (SR) spectrum of 2 to 50 Hz, detectable days ahead of the seismic event. Our study examines 10 earthquakes that transpired over a span of 3.5 months—averaging nearly three quakes monthly—which concurrently generated 45 discernible potential precursor seismic signals. Notably, each earthquake originated in Southern Greece, within a radius of 30 to 250 km from the observatory on Mount Parnon. Our research seeks to resolve two important issues. The first concerns the association between specific ELF signals and individual earthquakes—a question of significant importance in seismogenic regions like Greece, where earthquakes occur frequently. The second inquiry concerns the parameters that determine the detectability of an earthquake by a given station, including the requisite proximity and magnitude. Initial findings suggest that SR signals can be reliably linked to a particular earthquake if the observatory is situated within the earthquake’s preparatory zone. Conversely, outside this zone, the correlation becomes indeterminate. Additionally, we observe a differentiation in SR signals based on whether the earthquake took place over land or offshore. The latter category exhibits unique signal behaviors, potentially attributable to the water layers above the epicenter acting as a barrier to the ascending gases, thereby affecting the atmospheric–ionospheric ionization process. Full article

The 2017 Jiuzhaigou earthquake (Ms = 7.0) struck the eastern Tibetan Plateau and caused extensive concern. However, the reported slip models of this earthquake have distinct discrepancies and cannot provide a good fit for GPS data. The Jiuzhaigou earthquake also presents a good opportunity to investigate the question of how to avoid overfitting of InSAR observations for co-seismic slip inversions. To comprehend this shock, we first used pre-seismic satellite optical images to extract a surface trace of the seismogenic fault, which constitutes the northern segment of the Huya Fault. Then, we collected GPS observations as well as to measure the co-seismic displacements. Lastly, joint inversions were carried out to obtain the slip distribution. Our results showed that the released moment was 5.3 × 10¹⁸ N m, equivalent to Mw 6.4 with a rigidity of 30 GPa. The maximum slip at a depth of ~6.8 km reached up to 1.12 m, dominated by left-lateral strike-slip. The largest potential surface rupture occurred in the center of the seismogenic fault with strike- and dip-slip components of 0.4 m and 0.2 m, respectively. Comparison with the focal mechanisms of the 1973 Ms 6.5 earthquake and the 1976 triplet of earthquakes (Mw > 6) on the middle and south segments of the Huya Fault indicated different regional motion and slip mechanisms on the three segments. The distribution of co-seismic landslides had a strong correlation with surface displacements rather than surface rupture. Full article

The Penacova-Régua-Verin (PRV) and the Manteigas-Vilariça-Bragança (MVB) are two of the longest faults of the Iberian Peninsula. These faults striking NNE–SSW, over lengths of >200 km, were developed during late-Variscan Orogeny and reactivated in response to the Alpine Cycle tectonics. Their tectonic evolution during Alpine compression (Cenozoic) and their implication in the active tectonic activity of Iberia are under discussion. Their recent tectonic activity is recorded in the vertical offset of geomorphological surfaces, in the associated pull-apart basins, and in M > 7 paleoseismic events. Based on the vertical surface offset of Pliocene surfaces (140–300 m for the MVB fault and 150–200 m for the PRV), together with the horizontal offset (1300–1600 m for MVBF fault and 600–1400 m for PRVF), we can conclude that they were reactivated as left-lateral strike-slip faults with a reverse component during the Pliocene (3.6 Ma)–present. These results indicate that these faults are not related to the strain transmission during the collision with Eurasia (Eocene–Oligocene). However, they are related to the intraplate strain of the southern collision with the African plate during the Upper Neogene. The estimated slip-rate is 0.2–0.5 mm/a for both faults. These slip-rates evidence important implications for the seismic hazard of this intraplate region. Full article

The southern margin of the South Tian Shan has drawn attention due to the intense compressional deformation and seismic activity associated with its thrust structures. However, the deformation and seismic activity in the thick-skinned thrust sheets of the root zones are minimal. The Mw 7.1 Wushi earthquake on 23 January 2024 serves as a window to reveal these unknown aspects of the seismic mechanisms in this structural setting. Using the Leveraging Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) technique, we unlock critical insights into the coseismic deformation fields. The seismogenic fault is an unmapped segment within the Maidan Fault system, exhibiting a strike ranging from 241° to 222°. It is characterized by a shallow dip angle of 62° and a deeper dip angle of 56°. Remarkably, the seismic rupture did not propagate to the Earth’s surface. The majority of slip distribution is concentrated within a range of 4 to 26 km along the strike, indicating that this earthquake was a thrust event on a blind fault within the thick-skinned tectonics of the South Tian Shan. Coulomb stress changes indicate that aftershocks primarily occur in the stress-loading region. Interestingly, some aftershocks are very shallow, causing clear surface deformation. Inversion results show that the fault planes of two aftershocks are located above the main shock fault plane at extremely shallow depths (<6 km). Combining geophysical profile data, we infer that ruptures in the deep-seated thick-skinned structures during the main shock triggered ruptures in the shallow thrust structures. This triggering relationship highlights the potential for combined ruptures of the main shocks and aftershocks in the deep-seated thick-skinned structures beneath the South Tian Shan to result in larger disasters than typical seismic events. Full article

Coseismic landslides have the potential to cause catastrophic disasters. Thus, it is of crucial importance to conduct a comprehensive regional assessment of susceptibility to coseismic landslides. This study rigorously interprets 13,759 coseismic landslides triggered by the 2022 Luding earthquake within the seismic zone. Employing the Newmark method, we systematically assess the susceptibility to coseismic landslides through the application of six distinct displacement regression models. The efficacy of these models is validated against the actual landslide inventory using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. A hazard map of coseismic landslides is generated based on the displacement regression model with the highest degree of fit. The results show that Moxi Town, Detuo Town, the flanks of the Daduhe River, Wandonghe River, Hailuogou River, and Yanzigou River are high-susceptibility areas for coseismic landslides. This study explores factors influencing model fit, revealing that the inclusion of the epicentral distance and the distance to the seismogenic fault in displacement prediction enhances model performance. Nevertheless, in close proximity to fault zones, the distance to the seismogenic fault exerts a more significant influence on the spatial distribution density of coseismic landslides compared to the epicentral distance. Conversely, in regions situated further from fault zones, the epicentral distance has a greater impact on the spatial distribution density of coseismic landslides compared to the distance to the seismogenic fault. These findings contribute to a nuanced understanding of coseismic landslide susceptibility and offer valuable insights for future Newmark method-based coseismic landslide displacement calculations. Full article

The Haiyuan fault system plays a crucial role in accommodating the eastward expansion of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and is currently slipping at a rate of several centimeters per year. However, limited seismic activities have been observed using geodetic techniques in this area, impeding the comprehensive investigation into regional tectonics. In this study, the geometric structure and source models of the 2022 Mw 6.7 and the 2016 Mw 5.9 Menyuan earthquakes were investigated using Sentinel-1A SAR images. By implementing an atmospheric error correction method, the signal-to-noise ratio of the 2016 interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) coseismic deformation field was significantly improved, enabling InSAR observations with higher accuracy. The results showed that the reliability of the source models for those events was improved following the reduction in observation errors. The Coulomb stress resulting from the 2016 event may have promoted the strike-slip movement of the western segment of the Lenglongling fault zone, potentially expediting the occurrence of the 2022 earthquake. The coseismic slip distribution and the spatial distribution of aftershocks of the 2022 event suggested that the seismogenic fault may connect the western segment of the Lenglongling fault (LLLF) and the eastern segment of the Tuolaishan fault (TLSF). Additionally, the western segment of the surface rupture zone of the northern branch may terminate in the secondary branch close to the Sunan-Qilian fault (SN-QL) strike direction, and the earthquake may have triggered deep aftershocks and accelerated stress release within the deep seismogenic fault. Full article