Search Results (364)

Air–sea interactions play a pivotal role in shaping cyclone development and evolution. In this context, this study investigates the role of ocean optical properties and solar radiation penetration in modulating subsurface heat content and their subsequent influence on the intensity of Mediterranean cyclones. Using a regional coupled ocean–wave–atmosphere model, we conducted sensitivity experiments for Storm Daniel (2023) comparing two solar radiation penetration schemes in the ocean model component: one with a constant light attenuation depth and another with chlorophyll-dependent attenuation based on satellite estimates. Results show that the chlorophyll-driven radiative heating scheme consistently produces warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) prior to cyclone onset, leading to stronger cyclones characterized by deeper minimum mean sea-level pressure, intensified convective activity, and increased rainfall. However, post-storm SST cooling is also amplified due to stronger wind stress and vertical mixing, potentially influencing subsequent local atmospheric conditions. Overall, this work demonstrates that ocean bio-optical processes can meaningfully impact Mediterranean cyclone behavior, highlighting the importance of using appropriate underwater light attenuation schemes and ocean color remote sensing data in coupled models. Full article

Accurate prediction of key ocean elements (e.g., chlorophyll-a concentration, sea surface temperature, etc.) is imperative for maintaining marine ecological balance, responding to marine disaster pollution, and promoting the sustainable use of marine resources. Existing spatio-temporal prediction models primarily rely on either physical or data-driven approaches. Physical models are constrained by modeling complexity and parameterization errors, while data-driven models lack interpretability and depend on high-quality data. To address these challenges, this study proposes OKG-ConvGRU, a domain knowledge-guided remote sensing prediction framework for ocean elements. This framework integrates knowledge graphs with the ConvGRU network, leveraging prior knowledge from marine science to enhance the prediction performance of ocean elements in remotely sensed images. Firstly, we construct a spatio-temporal knowledge graph for ocean elements (OKG), followed by semantic embedding representation for its spatial and temporal dimensions. Subsequently, a cross-attention-based feature fusion module (CAFM) is designed to efficiently integrate spatio-temporal multimodal features. Finally, these fused features are incorporated into an enhanced ConvGRU network. For multi-step prediction, we adopt a Seq2Seq architecture combined with a multi-step rolling strategy. Prediction experiments for chlorophyll-a concentration in the eastern seas of China validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework. The results show that, compared to baseline models, OKG-ConvGRU exhibits significant advantages in prediction accuracy, long-term stability, data utilization efficiency, and robustness. This study provides a scientific foundation and technical support for the precise monitoring and sustainable development of marine ecological environments. Full article

As economically important sympatric species in the Northwest Pacific, the Japanese sardine (Sardinops melanostictus) and Chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) exhibit significant biological interactions. Understanding the impact of interspecies competition on their habitat dynamics can provide crucial insights for the sustainable development and management of these interconnected species resources. This study utilizes fisheries data of S. melanostictus and S. japonicus from the Northwest Pacific, collected from June to November between 2017 and 2020. We integrated various environmental parameters, including temperature at different depths (0, 50, 100, 150, and 200 m), eddy kinetic energy (EKE), sea surface height (SSH), chlorophyll-a concentration (Chl-a), and the oceanic Niño index (ONI), to construct interspecific competition species distribution model (icSDM) for both species. We validated these models by overlaying the predicted habitats with fisheries data from 2021 and performing cross-validation to assess the models’ reliability. Furthermore, we conducted correlation analyses of the habitats of these two species to evaluate the impact of interspecies relationships on their habitat dynamics. The results indicate that, compared to single-species habitat models, the interspecific competition species distribution model (icSDM) for these two species exhibit a significantly higher explanatory power, with R² values increasing by up to 0.29; interspecific competition significantly influences the habitat dynamics of S. melanostictus and S. japonicus, strengthening the correlation between their habitat changes. This relationship exhibits a positive correlation at specific stages, with the highest correlations observed in June, July, and October, at 0.81, 0.80, and 0.88, respectively; interspecific competition also demonstrates stage-specific differences in its impact on the habitat dynamics of S. melanostictus and S. japonicus, with the most pronounced differences occurring in August and November. Compared to S. melanostictus, interspecific competition is more beneficial for the expansion of the optimal habitat (HIS ≥ 0.6) for S. japonicus and, to some extent, inhibits the habitat expansion of S. melanostictus. The variation in migratory routes and predatory interactions (with larger individuals of S. japonicus preying on smaller individuals of S. melanostictus) likely constitutes the primary factors contributing to these observed differences. Full article

Massachusetts Bay in the northeastern United States is highly vulnerable to ocean acidification (OA) due to reduced buffering capacity from significant freshwater inputs. We hypothesize that acidification varies across temporal and spatial scales, with short-term variability driven by seasonal biological respiration, precipitation–evaporation balance, and river discharge, and long-term changes linked to global warming and river flux shifts. These patterns arise from complex nonlinear interactions between physical and biogeochemical processes. To investigate OA variability, we applied the Northeast Biogeochemistry and Ecosystem Model (NeBEM), a fully coupled three-dimensional physical–biogeochemical system, to Massachusetts Bay and Boston Harbor. Numerical simulation was performed for 2016. Assimilating satellite-derived sea surface temperature and sea surface height improved NeBEM’s ability to reproduce observed seasonal and spatial variability in stratification, mixing, and circulation. The model accurately simulated seasonal changes in nutrients, chlorophyll-a, dissolved oxygen, and pH. The model results suggest that nearshore areas were consistently more susceptible to OA, especially during winter and spring. Mechanistic analysis revealed contrasting processes between shallow inner and deeper outer bay waters. In the inner bay, partial pressure of pCO₂ (pCO₂) and aragonite saturation (Ω_a) were influenced by sea temperature, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), and total alkalinity (TA). TA variability was driven by nitrification and denitrification, while DIC was shaped by advection and net community production (NCP). In the outer bay, pCO₂ was controlled by temperature and DIC, and Ω_a was primarily determined by DIC variability. TA changes were linked to NCP and nitrification–denitrification, with DIC also influenced by air–sea gas exchange. Full article

This study evaluated how the summer circulation pattern in the Southern Gulf of California influences copepod communities. The evaluation was based on hydrographic data and zooplankton samples collected during a multidisciplinary research cruise conducted in June and July of 2019. The results revealed the presence of a cyclonic circulation with a diameter of approximately 100 km, located near the entrance of the Gulf, affecting the upper 200 m layer. A total of 30 copepod species were identified, including 20 from the order Calanoida and 10 from Cyclopoida. The most abundant Calanoida species were Canthocalanus pauper, Clausocalanus furcatus, and Subeucalanus subcrassus, with respective densities of 2316.80, 1593.60, and 1584.64 ind m⁻³. The most abundant Cyclopoida species were Oithona setigera, Dioithona rigida, and Oncaea venusta, which had densities of 963.44, 290.56, and 235.52 ind m⁻³, respectively. The horizontal distribution of these species showed variations influenced by the cyclonic circulation. Specifically, low abundance values were observed at the center of cyclonic circulation, while higher values were found at its periphery. This pattern was consistent among the dominant species, indicating that they do not benefit from the cold subsurface waters induced by circulation. In fact, the distribution of some species was higher in a band of warm water located in the eastern portion of the study area. Overall, our findings shed light on how the summer cyclonic circulation in the Southern Gulf of California affects the copepod community, an aspect that has not been previously explored. This research enhances our understanding of the processes influencing this group of organisms in a highly dynamic environment. Full article

This dataset presents environmental observations collected in August 2021 from 18 port and harbor sites located around Jeju Island, Korea. It includes physical, biogeochemical, and greenhouse gas (GHG) variables measured in surface seawater, such as temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, nutrients, chlorophyll-a, pH, total alkalinity, and dissolved inorganic carbon. Concentrations and air–sea fluxes of nitrous oxide (N₂O), methane (CH₄), and carbon dioxide (CO₂) were also quantified. All measurements were conducted following standardized analytical protocols, and certified reference materials and duplicate analyses were used to ensure data accuracy. Consequently, the dataset revealed that elevated nutrient accumulation in port and harbor waters and GHG concentrations tended to be higher at sites with stronger land-based influence. During August 2021, most sites functioned as sources of N₂O, CH₄, and CO₂ to the atmosphere. This integrated dataset offers valuable insights into the influence of anthropogenic and hydrological factors on coastal GHG dynamics and provides a foundation for future studies across diverse semi-enclosed marine systems. Full article

Fixed automated (unmanned) above-water radiometric measurements are subject to unavoidable sky conditions and surface perturbations, leading to significant uncertainties in retrieved water surface remote sensing reflectances (R_rs(λ), sr⁻¹). This study evaluates various above-water R_rs(λ) glint correction methods using a comprehensive dataset collected at the Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ) Jetty Station located in the Marsdiep tidal inlet of the Dutch Wadden Sea, the Netherlands. The dataset includes in-situ water constituent concentrations (2006–2020), inherent optical properties (IOPs) (2006–2007), and above-water hyperspectral (ir)radiance observations collected every 10 min (2006–2023). The bio-optical models were validated using in-situ IOPs and utilized to generate glint-free remote sensing reflectances, R_rs,ref(λ), using a robust IOP-to-R_rs forward model. The R_rs,ref(λ) spectra were used as a benchmark to assess the accuracy of glint correction methods under various environmental conditions, including different sun positions, wind speeds, cloudiness, and aerosol loads. The results indicate that the three-component reflectance model (3C) outperforms other methods across all conditions, producing the highest percentage of high-quality R_rs(λ) spectra with minimal errors. Methods relying on fixed or lookup-table-based glint correction factors exhibited significant errors under overcast skies, high wind speeds, and varying aerosol optical thickness. The study highlights the critical importance of surface-reflected skylight corrections and wavelength-dependent glint estimations for accurate above-water R_rs(λ) retrievals. Two showcases on chlorophyll-a and total suspended matter retrieval further demonstrate the superiority of the 3C model in minimizing uncertainties. The findings highlight the importance of adaptable correction models that account for environmental variability to ensure accurate R_rs(λ) retrieval and reliable long-term water quality monitoring from hyperspectral radiometric measurements. Full article

The selection of environmental variables with different spatial resolutions is a critical factor affecting the accuracy of machine learning-based fishery forecasting. In this study, spring-season survey data of Decapterus macarellus in the South China Sea from 2016 to 2024 were used to construct six machine learning models—decision tree (DT), extra trees (ETs), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB)—based on seven environmental variables (e.g., sea surface temperature (SST), chlorophyll-a concentration (CHL)) at four spatial resolutions (0.083°, 0.25°, 0.5°, and 1°), filtered using Pearson correlation analysis. Optimal models were selected under each resolution through performance comparison. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were employed to interpret the contribution of environmental predictors, and the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to perform habitat suitability mapping. Results showed that the XGB model at 0.083° resolution achieved the best performance, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC_AUC) = 0.836, accuracy = 0.793, and negative predictive value = 0.862, outperforming models at coarser resolutions. CHL was identified as the most influential variable, showing high importance in both the SHAP distribution and the cumulative area under the curve contribution. Predicted suitable habitats were mainly located in the northern and central-southern South China Sea, with the latter covering a broader area. This study is the first to systematically evaluate the impact of spatial resolution on environmental variable selection in machine learning models, integrating SHAP-based interpretability with MaxEnt modeling to achieve reliable habitat suitability prediction, offering valuable insights for fishery forecasting in the South China Sea. Full article

A reliable ocean surface current (OSC) estimate is difficult to retrieve from synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data due to the challenge of accurately partitioning the Doppler shifts induced by wind waves and OSC. Recent research on SAR-based OSC retrieval is typically based on the assumption that the SAR Doppler shifts caused by wind waves and OSC are linearly superimposed. However, this assumption may lead to large errors in regions where nonlinear wave–current interactions are significant. To address this issue, we developed a novel deep learning model, OSCNet, for OSC retrieval. The model leverages Sentinel-1 Interferometric Wide (IW) Level 2 Ocean products collected from July 2023 to September 2024, combined with wave data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and geostrophic currents from newly available SWOT Level 3 products. The OSCNet model is optimized by refining input ocean surface physical parameters and introducing a ResNet structure. Moreover, the Normalized Radar Cross-Section (NRCS) is incorporated to account for wave breaking and backscatter effects on Doppler shift estimates. The retrieval performance of the OSCNet model is evaluated using SWOT data. The mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) are found to be 0.15 m/s and 0.19 m/s, respectively. This result demonstrates that the OSCNet model enhances the retrieval of OSC from SAR data. Furthermore, a mesoscale eddy detected in the OSC map retrieved by OSCNet is consistent with the collocated sea surface chlorophyll-a observation, demonstrating the capability of the proposed method in capturing the variability of mesoscale eddies. Full article

The Arabian Sea has undergone significant warming since the mid-20th century, highlighting the importance of assessing how decadal climate patterns influence chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and broader marine ecosystem dynamics. This study investigates the variability of Chl-a, sea surface temperature (SST), and sea level anomaly (SLA) over the past three decades, and their relationships with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). The mean Chl-a concentration was 1.10 mg/m³, with peak levels exceeding 2 mg/m³ between 2009 and 2013, and the lowest value (0.6 mg/m³) was recorded in 2014. Elevated Chl-a levels were consistently observed in February and March across both coastal and offshore regions. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis revealed distinct spatial patterns in Chl-a and SST, indicating dynamic regional variability. The SST increased by 0.709 °C over the past four decades, accompanied by a steady rise in the SLA of approximately 1 cm. The monthly mean Chl-a exhibited a strong inverse relationship with both the SST and SLA and a positive correlation with SST gradients (R² > 0.5). A positive correlation (R² > 0.5) was found between the PDO and Chl-a, whereas the PDO was negatively correlated with the SST and SLA. In contrast, the AMO was negatively correlated with Chl-a but positively associated with warming and SLA rise. These findings underline the contrasting roles of the PDO and AMO in modulating productivity and ocean dynamics in the Arabian Sea. This study emphasizes the need for continued monitoring to improve predictions of ecosystem responses under future climate change scenarios. Full article

Overfishing and climate change have led to the depletion of fishery resources in the offshore South China Sea. The purpleback flying squid (Sthenoteuthis oualaniensis) has emerged as a promising alternative due to its ecological and economic value. However, information on its preferred habitat conditions remains scarce. This study integrates geostatistical and fisheries oceanographic approaches to explore optimal spatial–temporal scales for habitat modeling and to assess habitat changes under warming scenarios. Utilizing fishery data from 2013 to 2017, environmental variables including SST, sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA), and chlorophyll-a concentration (CHL) were analyzed. Fishing effort data revealed significant seasonal differences, with the highest vessel numbers in summer and the lowest in autumn. Among the six modeling schemes, the combination of 0.5° × 0.5° spatial resolution and seasonal temporal resolution yielded the highest HSI model accuracy (84.02%). Optimal environmental ranges varied by season. Simulations of SST deviations (±0.2 °C, ±0.5 °C, and ±1 °C) showed that extreme warming or cooling could eliminate suitable habitats. These findings highlight the vulnerability of squid habitats to thermal shifts and support adaptive fishery strategies in the South China Sea. Full article

This study, based on the vessel position data of pump-suction beam trawlers and the integrated species distribution model (ISDM), deeply analyzes the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of the habitat of Antarctic krill and the contributions of key environmental factors. The Convolutional Neural Network–attention model (CNN–attention model) was used to identify the fishing status of the vessel position data of Norwegian pump-suction beam trawlers for Antarctic krill during the fishing seasons from 2021 to 2023. Variables of marine environment, including sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface height (SSH), chlorophyll concentration (CHL), sea ice concentration (SIC), sea surface salinity (SSS), and spatial factor Geographical Offshore Linear Distance (GLD) were combined and input into the ISDM for simulating and predicting the spatial distribution of the habitat. The model results show that the Area Under the Curve (AUC) and True Skill Statistic (TSS) indices for all months exceed 0.9, with an average AUC of 0.997 and a TSS of 0.973, indicating extremely high accuracy of the model in habitat prediction. Further analysis of environmental factors reveals that Geographical Offshore Linear Distance (GLD) and chlorophyll concentration (CHL) are the main factors affecting habitat suitability, contributing 34.9% and 25.2%, respectively, and their combined contribution exceeds 60%. In addition, factors such as sea surface height (SSH), sea surface temperature (SST), sea ice concentration (SIC), and sea surface salinity (SSS) have impacts on the habitat distribution to varying degrees, and each factor exhibits different suitability response characteristics in different seasons and sub-regions. There is no significant correlation between the habitat area of Antarctic krill and catch (p > 0.05), while there is a significant positive correlation between the fishing duration and the catch (p < 0.001), indicating that a longer fishing duration can effectively increase the Antarctic krill catch. Full article

This work introduces the use of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for inferring chlorophyll-a concentration ([CHL-a]) from remotely sensed data. BNNs are probabilistic models that associate a probability distribution to the neural network parameters and rely on Bayes’ rule for training. The performance of the proposed probabilistic model is compared to that of standard ocean color algorithms, namely ocean color 4 (OC4) and ocean color index (OCI). An extensive in situ bio-optical dataset was used to train and validate the ocean color models. In contrast to established methods, the BNN allows for enhanced modeling flexibility, where different variables that affect phytoplankton phenology or describe the state of the ocean can be used as additional input for enhanced performance. Our results suggest that BNNs perform at least as well as established methods, and they could achieve 20–40% lower mean squared errors when additional input variables are included, such as the sea surface temperature and its climatological mean alongside the coordinates of the prediction. The BNNs offer means for uncertainty quantification by estimating the probability distribution of [CHL-a], building confidence in the [CHL-a] predictions through the variance of the predictions. Furthermore, the output probability distribution can be used for risk assessment and decision making through analyzing the quantiles and shape of the predicted distribution. Full article

Accurate prediction of the spatiotemporal distribution of chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) is essential for evaluating marine ecosystem health and predicting ecological disasters. Current methods struggle to capture short-term variability and periodic trends in Chl-a, especially in noise-prone coastal regions. This study aims to enhance the prediction of marine Chl-a concentrations by introducing the chlorophyll-a concentration prediction model (ChlaPM), which was developed on the basis of a convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) network. The model integrates recent spatiotemporal feature extraction (RSTFE), periodic feature extraction (PFE), and denoising fusion (DNF) modules to effectively capture short-term spatiotemporal changes and periodic variations in Chl-a concentrations. In this study, the performance of ChlaPM in single-step and multistep predictions was evaluated using monthly average Chl-a remote sensing data spanning 1998–2023. The results indicate that compared with the RSTFE model, the ChlaPM model achieves substantial reductions in the root mean square error (RMSE) of 53.84%, 53.58%, and 49.70% for predicting Chl-a concentrations 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months into the future, respectively. These findings highlight the effectiveness of ChlaPM in addressing short-term variability and periodic trends and significantly enhances the accuracy of Chl-a prediction. Future work will focus on integrating additional relevant marine variables into the prediction model to further improve its prediction capabilities. Full article

Particulate organic carbon (POC) plays a crucial role in oceanic climate change. However, existing research is limited by several factors, including the scarcity of long-term data, extensive datasets, and a comprehensive understanding of POC dynamics. This study utilizes monthly average POC remote sensing data from the MODIS/AQUA satellite to analyze the spatiotemporal variations of POC in the East China Sea from 2003 to 2022. Employing correlation analysis, spatial autocorrelation models, and the Geodetector model, we explore responses to key influencing factors such as climatic elements. The results indicate that POC concentrations are higher in the western nearshore areas and lower in the eastern offshore regions of the East China Sea (ECS). Additionally, concentrations are observed to be lower in southern regions compared to northern ones. From 2003 to 2022, POC concentrations exhibited a fluctuating downward trend with an average annual concentration of 121.05 ± 4.57 mg/m³. Seasonally, monthly average POC concentrations ranged from 105.48 mg/m³ to 158.36 mg/m³; notably higher concentrations were recorded during spring while summer showed comparatively lower levels. Specifically, POC concentrations peaked in April before rapidly declining from May to June—reaching a minimum—and then gradually increasing again from June through December. Correlation analysis revealed significant influences on POC levels by particulate inorganic carbon (PIC), sea surface temperature (SST), chlorophyll (Chl), and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR). The Geodetector model further elucidated that these factors vary in their impact: Chl was identified as having the strongest influence (q = 0.84), followed by PIC (q = 0.75) and SST (q = 0.64) as primary influencing factors; PAR was recognized as a secondary factor with q = 0.30. This study provides new insights into marine carbon cycling dynamics within the context of climate change. Full article