Search Results (2,221)

Particulate matter (PM) concentration, especially PM_2.5, is a major culprit of environmental pollution from unreasonable energy system emissions that significantly affects visibility, climate, and public health. The prediction of PM_2.5 concentration holds significant importance in the early warning and management of severe air pollution, since it enables the provision of guidance for scientific decision-making through the estimation of impending PM_2.5 concentration. However, due to diversified human activities, seasonal factors and industrial emissions, the air quality data not only show local anomalous mutability, but also global dynamic change characteristics. This hinders existing PM_2.5 prediction models from fully capturing the aforementioned characteristics, thereby deteriorating the model performance. To address these issues, this study proposes a framework integrating multi-scale temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) and a transformer network (called MSTTNet) for PM_2.5 concentration prediction. Specifically, MSTTNet uses multi-scale TCNs to capture the local correlations of meteorological and pollutant data in a fine-grained manner, while using transformers to capture the global temporal relationships. The proposed MSTTNet’s performance has been validated on various air quality benchmark datasets in the cities of China, including Beijing, Shanghai, Chengdu, and Guangzhou, by comparing to its eight compared models. Comprehensive experiments confirm that the MSTTNet model can improve the prediction performance of 2.42%, 2.17%, 2.87%, and 0.34%, respectively, with respect to four evaluation indicators (i.e., Mean Absolute Error, Root Mean Square Error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, and R-square), relative to the optimal baseline model. These results confirm MSTTNet’s effectiveness in improving the accuracy of PM_2.5 concentration prediction. Full article

Short-term passenger flow prediction provides critical data-driven support for optimizing resource allocation, guiding passenger mobility, and enhancing risk response capabilities in urban rail transit systems. To further improve prediction accuracy, this study proposes a hybrid SMA-VMD-Informer-BiLSTM prediction model. Addressing the challenge of error propagation caused by non-stationary components (e.g., noise and abrupt fluctuations) in conventional passenger flow signals, the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) method is introduced to decompose raw flow data into multiple intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). A Slime Mould Algorithm (SMA)-based optimization mechanism is designed to adaptively tune VMD parameters, effectively mitigating mode redundancy and information loss. Furthermore, to circumvent error accumulation inherent in serial modeling frameworks, a parallel prediction architecture is developed: the Informer branch captures long-term dependencies through its ProbSparse self-attention mechanism, while the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network extracts localized short-term temporal patterns. The outputs of both branches are fused via a fully connected layer, balancing global trend adherence and local fluctuation characterization. Experimental validation using historical entry flow data from Weihouzhuang Station on Xi’an Metro demonstrated the superior performance of the SMA-VMD-Informer-BiLSTM model. Compared to benchmark models (CNN-BiLSTM, CNN-BiGRU, Transformer-LSTM, ARIMA-LSTM), the proposed model achieved reductions of 7.14–53.33% in $f_{mse}$, 3.81–31.14% in $f_{rmse}$, and 8.87–38.08% in $f_{mae}$, alongside a 4.11–5.48% improvement in $R^2$. Cross-station validation across multiple Xi’an Metro hubs further confirmed robust spatial generalizability, with prediction errors bounded within $f_{mse}$: 0.0009–0.01, $f_{rmse}$: 0.0303–0.1, $f_{mae}$: 0.0196–0.0697, and $R^2$: 0.9011–0.9971. Furthermore, the model demonstrated favorable predictive performance when applied to forecasting passenger inflows at multiple stations in Nanjing and Zhengzhou, showcasing its excellent spatial transferability. By integrating multi-level, multi-scale data processing and adaptive feature extraction mechanisms, the proposed model significantly mitigates error accumulation observed in traditional approaches. These findings collectively indicate its potential as a scientific foundation for refined operational decision-making in urban rail transit management, thereby significantly promoting the sustainable development and long-term stable operation of urban rail transit systems. Full article

Biomaterials can be defined as materials that interact positively with living tissues, restoring compromised functions, or enhancing tissue regeneration. Currently, biomaterial research often relies on a “trial-and-error method”, involving numerous experiments driven largely by experience. This strategy leads to a substantial waste of resources, such as manpower, time, materials, and finances. Optimizing the process is therefore essential. A recent and promising approach to this challenge involves artificial intelligence (AI), as demonstrated by the growing number of studies in this field. AI algorithms rely on data and empower computers with decision-making capabilities, mimicking aspects of the human mind and solving complex tasks with little to no human intervention. Due to their potential, AI and its derivatives are now widely used both in everyday life and in scientific research. In biomaterials science, AI models enable data analysis, pattern recognition, and property prediction. The aim of this review article is to highlight the key results achieved through the application of AI in the field of polymers for biomedical applications and, more broadly, in the development of advanced biomaterials. An overview will be provided on how an AI algorithm works, the differences between traditional programming and AI-based approaches, and their main limitations. Finally, the core topic will be addressed by categorizing biomaterials according to material class. Full article

In recent decades, simulation has emerged as a pivotal educational tool, bolstering scientific knowledge and honing decision-making skills across diverse disciplines. Surgery and flight simulators are well-known tools used to practice and train safely in surgeries and piloting. Meanwhile, the development of simulation games advances in other scientific fields, such as economics, management, engineering, and mathematics. These simulations offer learners a risk-free virtual platform to apply and refine their knowledge, leveraging animations, graphics, and interactive environments to enrich the learning experience. In engineering, while simulation is widely utilized as a powerful training tool for heavy equipment and process handling, the creation of strategy games for educational purposes is less frequent. This gap primarily stems from the challenge of converting complex engineering concepts and theories into a user-friendly yet comprehensive setup that preserves the more difficult aspects. This study adopts a design-based research approach to develop and evaluate an educational simulation game aimed at enhancing probabilistic and spatial reasoning in mineral exploration. The application generates random scenarios, within which users deploy strategies based on their knowledge, while accommodating the randomness of physical phenomena. The simulation game is adopted as an educational tool in the course “Introduction to Mineral Exploration” in the School of Mining and Metallurgical Engineering of the National Technical University of Athens. Additionally, we present the outcomes of game analytics and a qualitative evaluation derived from three workshops at higher education institutions in Greece. Full article

Mining, mineral processing, and power generation are just a few of the industries that have made extensive use of pneumatic conveying systems in recent years. The market for pneumatic conveying is anticipated to grow to a value of $30 billion by 2025. However, problems with the pneumatic conveying process are common and include coal particle damage, pipe wall wear, and excessive system energy consumption. A new systematic framework for decision-making is created by combining the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving (TRIZ) with the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL). This methodology employs TRIZ-Ishikawa to determine the underlying causes of issues from six different perspectives. It then suggests remedies based on TRIZ technical contradictions and uses DEMATEL to examine how the solutions interact to determine the best course of action. This study confirms the viability of this approach in recognizing fundamental contradictions, producing workable solutions, and reaching scientific conclusions in challenging issues by using instances such as wear and tear, obstructions, and low conveying efficiency in pneumatic conveying system elbows. It offers particular references for real engineering projects and suggests practical solutions like employing quick-release flanges and installing multiple sets of airflow regulators. Full article

The insufficient effectiveness of the European packaging waste policy has prompted the European Union to adopt more decisive measures in 2025. The Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation of 2024 obliges Member States to use deposit–return systems to achieve high collection rates for beverage packaging and, as a result, to enhance packaging circularity. As evidence supporting this approach, i.e., that deposit systems indeed are an efficient solution for packaging waste collection, is still scattered, this article provides a systematic review of the evidence on various aspects of the use of deposit systems. A key finding of our review is that both scientific and empirical evidence support the European Union’s decision to make deposit–return systems mandatory: in European countries that have fully operational systems, the collection rates of packaging covered by these systems exceeded 85%. In addition to this positive contribution to packaging circularity, a significant (40–60%) reduction in littering is reported after implementation of the deposit systems. A significant novelty of this review is the presentation of the latest empirical data suggesting that deposit systems may be comparable to alternative collection methods in terms of costs to producers. Comprehensive assessments conducted using the cost–benefit analysis methods confirm that deposit systems generate net social benefits. It is suggested that innovations in logistics contribute to reduced environmental impacts of transport and transport-related costs. For this reason, updated life cycle assessments and cost–benefit analyses of deposit systems are needed to assess the role of deposit systems within the European circular economy framework. Full article

The increasing frequency of extreme climate events (ECEs) is expected to significantly affect crop yields in the future, threatening regional and global food security. However, uncertainties in yield projections persist due to regional variability, model differences, and scenario assumptions. Leveraging historical agricultural disaster and meteorological data from China (1995–2014), this study employs the vulnerability curve assessment to determine the most appropriate models for assessing crop yields affected by different ECEs (drought, extreme precipitation, extreme low temperature, and extreme wind) across six regions. By integrating multi-model and multi-scenario (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) future climate data from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), we conducted pooled prediction of the individual and combined impacts of different ECEs on crop yields for the near-term (2020–2040) and mid-term (2041–2060). The median of multi-model prediction of crop yield reductions in China was −16.0% (range: −32.5% to −2.6%), with more severe losses in Northeast, Northwest, and North China, particularly under higher radiative forcing scenarios. Drought is the most destructive of the four types of ECEs. These results will aid decision-makers in identifying high-risk zones for crop yields affected by ECEs and provide a scientific basis for the developing targeted adaptation strategies in various regions. Full article

The escalating consequences of human activities and global warming have markedly increased the frequency and intensity of geological disasters worldwide, posing a formidable threat to human life and property. In the southern mountainous region of Ningxia, China—an area characterized by complex topography, interlaced ravines, and pronounced ecological fragility—recurrent geological disasters have substantially constrained rural revitalization and development. This study introduces the integration of the Information Value (IV) method with Random Forest (RF) and XGBoost models, identifying IV + XGBoost as the optimal model through rigorous ROC-curve validation. The results reveal that low- and lower-risk areas account for 58.63% of the total area (7644.20 km² and 4038.08 km²), medium-risk areas cover 29.24% (5825.76 km²), and high-risk regions constitute 12.13% (2417.28 km²). The latter are predominantly in river valleys with high population density and intensive economic activities. These findings provide practical recommendations for scientifically informed disaster management and decision-making by relevant authorities. Furthermore, the proposed methodology offers valuable insights for disaster risk assessment in other regions with similar complex terrains and ecological vulnerabilities, contributing to developing more effective and sustainable disaster mitigation strategies. Full article

Hailstorms are a major climatic threat to apple production, causing substantial economic losses in orchards worldwide. Anti-hail nets have been increasingly adopted to mitigate this risk, but the scientific literature on their effectiveness and future applications remains scattered, especially considering advances in digital agriculture. This study synthesizes current knowledge on the use of anti-hail nets in apple orchards through a systematic review and explores future perspectives involving digital technologies. A PRISMA-based review was conducted using three databases, revealing information regarding the studied countries, netting colors, and apple varieties, among others. A clear research gap was identified in integrating anti-hail nets with remote sensing and Artificial Intelligence (AI). This paper also analyzes studies from Vacaria, Brazil, a key apple-producing region and part of the Semear Digital project, highlighting local efforts to use hail netting in commercial orchards. Potential applications of AI algorithms and remote sensing are proposed for hail netting assessment, orchard monitoring, and decision-making support. These technologies can improve predictive modeling, quantify areas, and enhance precision management. Findings suggest combining traditional protective methods with technological innovations to strengthen orchard resilience in regions exposed to extreme weather. Full article

The Yellow River Basin (YRB), a pivotal ecoregion in China, has long been plagued by a range of ecological problems, including water loss, soil erosion, and ecological degradation. Despite previous reports on the ecological environment of YRB, systematic studies on the multi-factor driving mechanism and the coupling between the ecological and hydrological systems remain scarce. In this study, with multi-source remote-sensing imagery and measured hydrological data, the random forest (RF) model and the geographical detector (GD) technique were employed to quantify the dynamic spatiotemporal changes in the ecological environment of YRB in 2000–2024 and identify the driving factors. The variables analyzed in this study included gross primary productivity (GPP), fractional vegetation cover (FVC), land use and cover change (LUCC), meteorological statistics, as well as runoff and sediment data measured at hydrological stations in YRB. The main findings are as follows: first, the GPP and FVC increased significantly by 37.9% and 18.0%, respectively, in YRB in 2000–2024; second, LUCC was the strongest driver of spatiotemporal changes in the ecological environment of YRB; third, precipitation and runoff contributed positively to vegetation growth, whereas the sediment played a contrary role, and the response of ecological variables to the hydrological processes exhibited a time lag of 1–2 years. This study is expected to provide scientific insights into ecological conservation and water resources management in YRB, and offer a decision-making basis for the design of sustainability policies and eco-restoration initiatives. Full article

The scientific site selection for pallet pooling systems is pivotal to enhancing logistics efficiency and environmental performance. However, previous studies mainly adopt single-objective optimization approaches, which fail to simultaneously account for economic, environmental, and operational performance factors. The contribution of this paper lies in proposing an integrated decision-making method based on BWM-GIS-DEA to address the site selection problem for pallet pooling service centers. First, the Best-Worst Method (BWM) determines the weights of 13 criteria across 5 dimensions: economic, transportation, geographical location, technological, and service coverage. These criteria include factors such as the distribution density of pallet manufacturers and potential customers. Then, suitability maps are generated using Geographic Information System (GIS) spatial overlay technology to identify 6 alternative cities. Finally, a two-layer Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model is applied to measure the efficiency of the alternative sites. This method is applied in Inner Mongolia, China, and Ejin Horo Banner is identified as the optimal site with an efficiency score of 1.156, demonstrating superior resource allocation characterized by lower land costs and higher pallet turnover rates. The proposed framework not only fills a methodological gap in sustainable facility location research but also provides a replicable and policy-ready tool to guide practical decision-making. Full article

As global economic integration deepens, import and export trade plays an increasingly vital role in China’s economy. To enhance regulatory efficiency and achieve scientific, transparent credit supervision, this study proposes a trade credit risk evaluation model based on interpretable machine learning, incorporating loss preferences. Key risk features are identified through a comprehensive interpretability framework combining SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), forming an optimal feature subset. Using Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) as the base model, a weight adjustment strategy is introduced to reduce costly misclassification of high-risk enterprises, effectively improving their recognition rate. However, this adjustment leads to a decline in overall accuracy. To address this trade-off, a Bagging ensemble framework is applied, which restores and slightly improves accuracy while maintaining low misclassification costs. Experimental results demonstrate that the interpretability framework improves transparency and business applicability, the weight adjustment strategy enhances high-risk enterprise detection, and Bagging balances the overall classification performance. The proposed method ensures reliable identification of high-risk enterprises while preserving overall model robustness, thereby providing strong practical value for enterprise credit risk assessment and decision-making. Full article

Improving the water productivity and sustainability of global food supplies and reducing water stress worldwide requires a comprehensive and consistent assessment of water use in global food production systems, including livestock production and supply chains. Presented here is a systematic review of relevant livestock water use studies, published over two periods: “Period 1993–2017” and “Period 2018–2024”, assessing consistency in their approaches and identifying opportunities for advancing and harmonizing the assessment of livestock water use worldwide. However, the review highlights that a comprehensive and consistent assessment of livestock water use remains a challenge. The reviewed studies (a total of 317) differ in terms of their accounting of different water flows, setting the system boundaries, and quantification of water productivity and impact metrics. This makes it difficult to compare potential water productivity and environmental impacts of livestock production systems at different scales and locations. Case studies are required to further develop and implement a robust and consistent methodological approach, based on locally calibrated models and databases, of different livestock production systems in different agroclimatic conditions. Also, further communication and training are required to help build the capability to apply a comprehensive and consistent assessment of livestock water use locally and globally. The adoption of a scientifically robust and practically applicable methodological framework will support researchers, policy managers, farmers, and business leaders in sound decision-making to improve the productivity and sustainability of water use in livestock production systems locally and globally. Full article

Skeleton is an extreme sliding sport in the Winter Olympics, where formulating targeted sliding strategies, based on training videos to navigate complex tracks, is particularly important. To make in-depth use of training video records, this study proposes an analytical method based on Mixture of Gaussians (MoG) and K-means clustering to extract and analyze trajectories from recorded videos for sliding performance evaluation and strategy development. A case study was conducted using data from the Chinese national skeleton team at the Yanqing Sliding Center, obtaining 741, 834, and 726 sliding trajectories from three representative curves. These trajectories were divided into groups based on sliding completion time (fast, medium, and slow groups). The consistency of trajectories within each group was calculated to evaluate sliding stability, while trajectory patterns in the fast group were clustered and described based on the average values of multiple features (starting position, ending position, and apex orthogonal offset). The results showed that more skilled athletes exhibited greater sliding stability (lower ${\rho }_C$-values), and on each curve, there were sliding patterns that performed significantly better than others. This research quantifies the characteristics of athletes’ sliding trajectories on curves, facilitating the visual tracking of training effects and the development of personalized strategies. It provides coaches and athletes with scientific decision-making support and clear directions for improvement, ultimately enabling precise enhancements in training efficiency and competitive performance, while also laying a technical foundation for the future development of intelligent training systems. Full article

Urban development is the planned growth of cities that takes into account ecological issues, the needs of urban life, social and technical equipment standards, and quality of life. However, as a result of policies implemented by decision-makers and users, both planned and unplanned, urban space is expanding spatially outwards from the city, while also experiencing densification in vacant areas within the city and functional transformations in land use. This process, known as urban sprawl, has been intensely debated over the past century. Making the negative effects of urban sprawl measurable and understandable from a scientific perspective is critically important for sustainable urban planning and management. Transportation surfaces hold a significant share in the land use patterns of expanding cities in physical space, and accessibility is one of the main driving forces behind land use change. Therefore, the most significant consequence of urban sprawl is the increase in urban mobility, which is shaped by the needs of urban residents to access urban functions. This increase poses risk factors for the planning period in terms of time, cost, and especially environmental impact. Urban space has a dynamic and complex structure. Planning is based on being able to guess how this structure will change over time. At first, geometric models were used to study cities, but as time went on and the network of relationships became more complicated, more modern and technological methods were needed. Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines, Agent-Based Models, Markov Chain Models, and Cellular Automata, developed using computer-aided design technologies, can be cited as examples of these approaches. In this study, the temporal change in urban sprawl and its relationship with influencing factors will be revealed using the SLEUTH model, which is one of the cellular automata-based urban simulation models. Erzurum, one of the medium-sized metropolitan cities that gained importance after the conversion of provincial borders into municipal borders with the Metropolitan Law No. 6360, has been selected as the case study area for this research. The urban sprawl process and determining factors of Erzurum will be analyzed using the SLEUTH model. By creating a simulation model of the current situation within the specified time periods and generating future scenarios, the aim is to develop planning decisions with sustainable, ecological, and optimal size and density values. Full article