Search Results (130)

Northwestern Türkiye (Biga Peninsula, Edremit Gulf, Saros Bay) is a highly seismically active region at the convergence of the Anatolian, Eurasian, and Aegean tectonic plates. It features numerous active faults, including the Yenice–Gönen and Edremit fault zones, in addition to offshore segments of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) in Saros Bay. Earthquakes here exhibit various mechanisms: the 2017 Ayvacik earthquake sequence (Mw 5.4) near the Tuzla Fault featured NE–SW normal faulting, reflecting regional extension. Other moderate events display strike–slips with minor normal components, indicating transtensional forces. These findings enhance our understanding of the area’s complex seismotectonic activity and stress the critical need for continuous seismic monitoring and hazard assessment in this geologically complex and densely populated part of Türkiye. Full article

This study presents an improved Nishenko–Buland (NB) model to address systematic biases in estimating the coefficient of variation for earthquake recurrence intervals based on a normalizing function ${\displaystyle \frac{\mathrm{T}}{{\mathrm{T}}_{\mathrm{a}\mathrm{v}\mathrm{e}}}}$. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we demonstrate that traditional NB methods significantly underestimate the coefficient of variation when applied to limited paleoseismic datasets, with deviations reaching between 30 and 40% for small sample sizes. We developed a linear transformation and iterative optimization approach that corrects these statistical biases by standardizing recurrence interval data from different sample sizes to conform to a common standardized distribution. Application to 26 fault segments across 15 major active faults in the Hetao graben system yields a corrected coefficient of variation of α = 0.381, representing a 24% increase over the traditional method (α₀ = 0.307). This correction demonstrates that conventional approaches systematically underestimate earthquake recurrence variability, potentially compromising seismic hazard assessments. The improved model successfully eliminates sampling bias through iterative convergence, providing more reliable parameters for probability distributions in renewal-based earthquake forecasting. Full article

The Yutian region at the southwestern termination of the Altyn Tagh Fault has experienced four moderate-to-strong earthquakes since 2008, providing an opportunity to investigate fault interactions within a transtensional tectonic setting. In this study, we derive the coseismic deformation and slip model of the 2020 Mw 6.3 Yutian earthquake using ascending and descending Sentinel-1 InSAR data. The deformation field exhibits a characteristic subsidence–uplift pattern consistent with normal faulting, and the preferred slip model indicates a north–south-striking fault with slip concentrated at depths of 6–9 km. To place this event in a broader tectonic context, we incorporate published slip models for the 2008 and 2014 earthquakes together with a simplified finite-fault model for the 2012 event to construct a unified four-event source framework. Static Coulomb stress calculations reveal complex interactions among the four earthquakes. Localized positive loading from the 2012 event partially counteracts the negative $\Delta CFS$ imposed by the 2008 and 2014 earthquakes, reshaping the stress field rather than simply promoting or inhibiting failure. The cumulative stress evolution shows persistent unclamping and repeated shear-stress reversals, indicating that the 2020 earthquake resulted from long-term extensional loading superimposed on multi-stage coseismic stress redistribution. These results demonstrate that multi-event stress analysis provides a more reliable framework for assessing seismic hazards in regions with complex local stress fields. Full article

On 7 January 2025, an Mw 7.0 earthquake struck Dingri County, Shigatse, Tibet. This was the largest event in the region in recent years. Analysis of the Dingri earthquake is urgent for understanding the coseismic slip and early postseismic deformation characteristics. In this study, the coseismic characteristics were analyzed by using Lutan-1 and Sentinel-1 data with the Differential Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar method, and then the Okada elastic half-space dislocation model was used to invert the coseismic slip distribution of the seismogenic fault. The postseismic characteristics were analyzed by Sentinel-1 ascending and descending orbits, then time-series deformation results were obtained with the Small Baseline Subset InSAR method. The main results are as follows: (1) The maximum coseismic subsidence is −2.03 m and the maximum coseismic uplift is 0.68 m, the coseismic deformation is concentrated on the west side of the new rupture trace generated by the coseismic events; (2) the ruptured fault is dominated by normal faulting with a minor strike-slip component, and the slip is mainly distributed at depths of 0–15 km, with a maximum slip of about 3.97 m; (3) the deformation characteristics of the fault in the postseismic stage are basically consistent with those during the coseismic stage. The research results play an important role in understanding the earthquake fault tectonic activities. Full article

As direct geomorphic evidence and records of earthquakes on the surface, coseismic surface ruptures have long been a key focus in earthquake research. However, compared with strike-slip and normal faults, studies on reverse-fault surface ruptures remain relatively scarce. In this study, surface rupture characteristics of the most recent earthquake on the Kumysh thrust fault in eastern Tianshan were investigated using high-resolution topographic data, including 0.5 m- and 5 cm-resolution Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) generated from the WorldView-2 satellite stereo image pairs and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) images, respectively. We carefully mapped the spatial geometry of the surface rupture and measured 120 vertical displacements along the rupture strike. Using the moving-window method and statistical analysis, both moving-mean and moving-maximum coseismic displacement curves were obtained for the entire rupture zone. Results show that the most recent rupture on the Kumysh Fault extends ~25 km with an overall NWW strike, exhibits complex spatial geometry, and can be subdivided into five secondary segments, which are discontinuously distributed in arcuate shapes across both piedmont alluvial fans and mountain fronts. Reverse fault scarps dominate the rupture pattern. The along-strike coseismic displacements generally form three asymmetric triangles, with an average displacement of 0.9–1.1 m and a maximum displacement of 2.8–3.2 m, yielding an estimated earthquake magnitude of M_w 6.6–6.7. This study not only highlights the strong potential of high-resolution remote sensing data for investigating surface earthquake ruptures, but also provides an additional example to the relatively underexplored reverse-fault surface ruptures. Full article

In the field of tunnel engineering, it is often difficult to avoid crossing active faults. During an earthquake, tunnels across faults are highly vulnerable to damage. Therefore, conducting research on their mechanical responses and failure mechanisms is of great significance. This paper takes Xianglushan Tunnel as a research example and uses finite element software to carry out numerical simulation of the tunnel under the action of the left-lateral normal fault activity. Moreover, the effectiveness of this model is verified using the actual measurement data of the damaged tunnels during the Kumamoto earthquake. By comparing the damage conditions and stress states of the tunnel under the action of left-lateral normal faults and strike-slip faults, and conducting a systematic and refined study on relevant fault parameters, the following research results are obtained: First, compared with oblique-slip faults, strike-slip faults cause more severe damage to the tunnel; second, tunnel damage is mainly concentrated in the area where the fault slip surface is located; third, an increase in fault displacement can significantly exacerbate structural damage and is the main factor leading to tunnel failure; fourth, the dip angle of the fault affects the stress distribution of the tunnel. As the dip angle increases, the damaged area gradually shrinks; fifth, the change in the width of the fault fracture zone will alter the failure mode of the tunnel. Reasonably choosing to cross a wider fault can reduce the structural damage. This research provides theoretical support and practical reference for the seismic design of tunnels across faults. Full article

On 7 January 2025, a M_S 6.8 earthquake struck Dingri County, southern Tibet, within the extensional regime of the central Himalaya–southern Tibetan Plateau. Using ascending and descending Sentinel-1A SAR data, we applied a two-pass Differential InSAR (D-InSAR) approach with SRTM DEM data to retrieve high-precision coseismic deformation fields. We observed significant LOS deformation, revealing peak displacements of −1.06 m and +0.76 m, with deformation concentrated along the Denmo Co graben and clear offsets along its western boundary fault. Nonlinear inversion using the Okada elastic dislocation model and a quadtree down-sampled dataset yields a rupture plane 28.42 km long and 12.81 km wide, striking 183.51°, dipping 55.41°, and raking −71.95°, consistent with a predominantly normal-faulting mechanism with a minor left-lateral component. Distributed-slip inversion reveals that peak slip (4.79 m) was concentrated in the upper ~10 km of the fault, with the main asperity located in the central fault segment. The seismic moment is estimated to be 4.24 × 10¹⁹ Nm, which corresponds to a magnitude of M_W 7.05. Coulomb failure stress (ΔCFS) calculations indicate stress increases (>0.01 MPa) at the northern and southern rupture terminations (5–10 km depth) and the flanks at 15–20 km depth, suggesting elevated seismic potential in these regions. This integrated InSAR–modeling–stress analysis provides new constraints on the source parameters, slip distribution, and tectonic implications of the 2025 Dingri earthquake, offering important insights for regional seismic hazard assessment. Full article

Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) is a powerful tool for imaging shallow stratigraphic and structural features. This study shows that it is particularly effective also in detecting near-surface evidence of active faulting. In the Southern Apennines (Italy), one of the most seismically active regions of the Mediterranean area, the shallow expression of active faults is often poorly constrained due to limited or ambiguous surface evidence. Low-frequency GPR profiles were acquired in the Calore River Valley (Campania Region), an area historically affected by large earthquakes and characterized by debated seismogenic sources. The surveys employed multiple antenna frequencies (30, 60, and 80 MHz) and both horizontal and vertical acquisition geometries, enabling penetration depths ranging from ~5 m to ~50 m. The acquired GPR profiles, integrated with high-precision georeferencing, were able to reveal the presence of shallow steeply dipping active normal faults striking E–W to ENE–WSW, here named the Postiglione Fault System. Therefore, this study highlights the methodological potential of low-frequency GPR for investigating active faults in carbonate substratum and fine-to-coarse-grained sedimentary units and thus contributing to refining the seismotectonic framework and improving seismic hazard assessment of seismically active areas such as the Southern Apennines. Full article

Normal faults play a key role in accommodating extensional deformation within the South Tibet Rift. The M_S 6.8 Tingri earthquake of 7 January 2025 therefore provides a rare opportunity to investigate how these normal faults accommodate east–west extension driven by India–Eurasia convergence. Using Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery, we measured coseismic surface deformation and inverted the slip distribution, revealing a maximum line-of-sight (LOS) displacement of 1.85 m. Combining Bayesian inference with joint fault-slip inversion, we constrain the seismogenic fault as a west-dipping normal fault (strike 183°, dip 42.5°, rake ~–115°), exhibiting a maximum slip of 5.36 m at shallow depth. The derived moment magnitude (M_W 7.12, seismic moment 3.32 × 10¹⁹ N·m) agrees well with the USGS estimate (M_W 7.1). Coulomb stress modeling suggests stress decreases along fault flanks and significant stress loading (>0.01 MPa) at rupture terminations and adjacent north–south trending faults, implying elevated aftershock potential and possible fault triggering. GNSS velocity fields and strain rate inversion indicate a regional stress regime with a principal compressive axis (σ₁) oriented ~341° (NNW) and extensional axis (σ₃) at ~73° (ESE), consistent with east–west extension and north–south shortening. The fault exhibits oblique-normal slip, attributed to the non-orthogonal orientation of the fault plane relative to the stress field, resulting in right-lateral shear. Within the framework of the paired general-shear (PGS) deformation, this oblique slip reflects localized extensional deformation within a distributed dextral shear zone. These findings support a model of strain partitioning under regional shear and provide insights into fault segmentation and kinematics in rift systems. Full article

In the early months of 2025, a significant seismic activity was recorded in the area between Santorini and Amorgos, raising concerns about the potential occurrence of a major earthquake and a possible tsunami. The objective of this study is to assess the earthquake-triggered tsunami hazard in the Santorini-Amorgos Tectonic Zone (SATZ) by simulating tsunami processes using the MOST (Method of Splitting Tsunami) numerical model, implemented through the ComMIT (Community Model Interface for Tsunamis). High-resolution bathymetry and topography were employed to model tsunami generation, propagation, and onshore inundation. A total of 60 simulations were conducted using a deterministic approach based on worst-case scenarios. The analysis considered six major active faults with two kinematic types, pure normal and oblique-slip, and assessed tsunami impact on five selected coastal study areas. The simulations results showed potential maximum run-up values of 4.1 m in Gialos (Ios), 2.7 m in Kamari (Santorini), 2.4 m in Perissa (Santorini), 1.5 m in Katapola (Amorgos), and 2.3 m in Chora (Astypalaea), in some cases affecting residential zones. Inundation flows also impacted the main ports of Gialos, Katapola, and Chora, highlighting the exposure of critical infrastructure. Although earthquake-triggered tsunamis represent a potential hazard in the SATZ, the results indicated that it is unlikely to cause a widespread disaster in the study areas. Full article

The long-distance high-voltage transmission tower-line system, frequently traversing active fault zones, is vulnerable to severe symmetry-breaking damage during earthquakes due to asymmetric permanent ground displacements. However, the seismic performance of such systems, particularly concerning symmetry-breaking effects caused by asymmetric fault displacements, remains inadequately studied. This study investigates the symmetry degradation mechanisms in a 1:40 scaled 500 kV tower-line system subjected to cross-fault ground motions via shaking table tests. The testing protocol incorporates representative fault mechanisms—strike-slip and normal/reverse faults—to systematically evaluate their differential impacts on symmetry response. Measurements of acceleration, strain, and displacement reveal that while acceleration responses are spectrally controlled, structural damage is highly fault-type dependent and markedly asymmetric. The acceleration of towers without permanent displacement was 35–50% lower than that of towers with permanent displacement. Under identical permanent displacement conditions, peak displacements caused by normal/reverse motions exceeded those from strike-slip motions by 50–100%. Accordingly, a fault-type-specific amplification factor of 1.5 is proposed for the design of towers in dip-slip fault zones. These results offer novel experimental insights into symmetry violation under fault ruptures, including fault-specific correction factors and asymmetry-resistant design strategies. However, the conclusions are subject to limitations such as scale effects and the exclusion of vertical ground motion components. Full article

On 8 June 2025, the Mw 6.4 Paratebueno earthquake struck the eastern foothills of the Eastern Andes, Colombia. The event occurred near the Guaicáramo fault, along the eastern margin of the Eastern Cordillera fold-and-thrust belt. To investigate its rupture characteristics and tectonic implications, we utilized ALOS-2 and Sentinel-1 SAR data to derive coseismic deformation fields. Source geometry and slip distribution were inverted with the Okada dislocation model, and static Coulomb failure stress change were calculated to assess the triggering relationship with the 2023 Mw 6.2 Meta-Cundinamarca earthquake. The results reveal maximum line-of-sight displacements of 43 cm, 23 cm and 32 cm, respectively, caused by a northwest-dipping blind reverse fault (strike ~213°, dip 58°) with ~5 m maximum slip concentrated at depths of 8–12 km, without surface rupture. Combining geological and stratigraphic evidence, including regional structures and sedimentary cover thickness, this event implies a transition from a normal fault to reverse fault due to ongoing shortening of fold-and-thrust belt, consistent with a thick-skinned tectonic origin. Coulomb stress modeling suggests the 2023 event promoted the 2025 rupture, and the combined effect of the two events further increased stress on the southeastern Guaicáramo fault, implying elevated seismic hazard. Full article

On 2 December 2020, an earthquake with a magnitude of M_w 4.5 occurred near the city of Thiva (Greece). The aftershock sequence, triggered by ruptures on or near the Kallithea fault, continued until January 2021. Seven months later, new seismic activity began a few kilometers west of the initial events, with the swarm displaying a general trend of spatiotemporal migration toward the east–southeast until the middle of 2022. In order to understand the physical and statistical pattern of the swarm, the seismicity was relocated using HypoDD, and the magnitude of completeness was determined using the frequency–magnitude distribution. In order to define the existence of spatiotemporal seismicity clusters in an objective way, the DBSCAN clustering algorithm was applied to the 2020–2022 Thiva earthquake sequence. The extracted clusters permit the analysis of the spatiotemporal scaling properties of the main clusters using the Non-Extensive Statistical Physics (NESP) approach, providing detailed insights into the nature of the long-term correlation of the seismic swarm. The statistical pattern observed aligns with a Q-exponential distribution, with q_D values ranging from 0.7 to 0.8 and q_T values from 1.44 to 1.50. Furthermore, the frequency–magnitude distributions were analyzed using the fragment–asperity model proposed within the NESP framework, providing the non-additive entropic parameter (q_M). The results suggest that the statistical characteristics of earthquake clusters can be effectively interpreted using NESP, highlighting the complexity and non-additive nature of the spatiotemporal evolution of seismicity. In addition, the analysis of the properties of the seismicity clusters extracted using the DBSCAN algorithm permits the suggestion of possible physical mechanisms that drive the evolution of the two main and larger clusters. For the cluster that activated first and is located in the west–northwest part, an afterslip mechanism activated after the 2 September 2021, M 4.0 events seems to predominately control its evolution, while for the second activated cluster located in the east–southeast part, a normal diffusion mechanism is proposed to describe its migration pattern. Concluding, we can state that in the present work the application of the DBSCAN algorithm to recognize the existence of any possible spatiotemporal clustering of seismicity could be helping to provide detailed insight into the statistical and physical patterns in earthquake swarms. Full article

Using a Bayesian framework to invert earthquake source parameters from multi-source geodetic data has become an important research direction. To address the issue of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms getting stuck in local optima during nonlinear inversion of fault geometric parameters, which is often caused by improperly set parameter bounds or large deviations in the initial values, this study proposes two strategies: ‘CFI (Converge First, Then Interval)’ and ‘IVI (Interval Value Iteration)’. Tests with 12 different experimental setups show that both strategies can prevent the chain from getting trapped in local optima. Among them, the ‘IVI’ strategy, when used with MCMC algorithms where the step size follows a normal distribution, can also significantly reduce the root-mean-square error. To verify its applicability, the ‘IVI’ strategy was applied to the Bayesian inversion of the 2022 Menyuan Mw6.6 earthquake. The results show that the inverted values for fault depth, strike, dip, and rake angles are closer to the GCMT results, with ascending and descending track fitting residuals of 2.71 cm and 2.64 cm, respectively. The conclusion of this paper is to recommend the ‘IVI’ strategy when the range of source parameters is unclear. If the approximate range of parameters is known, the ‘CFI’ strategy can be applied. The original interval constraint method is recommended when the parameter bounds are fully determinable and a reliable initial model of seismic source parameters is obtainable. Full article

The advanced determination of the type (foreshock–aftershock–swarm) of an ongoing seismic cluster is quite challenging; only retrospective solutions have thus far been proposed. In the period of January–March 2025, a seismic cluster, recorded between Santorini volcano and Amorgos Island, South Aegean Sea, caused considerable social concern. A rapid increase in both the seismicity rate and the earthquake magnitudes was noted until the mainshock of M_L = 5.3 on 10 February; afterwards, activity gradually diminished. Fault-plane solutions indicated SW-NE normal faulting. The epicenters moved with a mean velocity of ~0.72 km/day from SW to NE up to the mainshock area at a distance of ~25 km. Crucial questions publicly emerged during the cluster. Was it a foreshock–aftershock activity or a swarm of possibly volcanic origin? We performed real-time discrimination of the cluster type based on a daily re-evaluation of the space–time–magnitude changes and their significance relative to background seismicity using earthquake statistics and the topological metric betweenness centrality. Our findings were periodically documented during the ongoing cluster starting from the fourth cluster day (2 February 2025), at which point we determined that it was a foreshock and not a case of seismic swarm. The third day after the M_L = 5.3 mainshock, a typical aftershock decay was detected. The observed foreshock properties favored a cascade mechanism, likely facilitated by non-volcanic material softening and the likely subdiffusion processes in a dense fault network. This mechanism was possibly combined with an aseismic nucleation process if transient geodetic deformation was present. No significant aftershock expansion towards the NE was noted, possibly due to the presence of a geometrical fault barrier east of the Anydros Ridge. The 2025 activity offered an excellent opportunity to investigate deciphering the type of ongoing seismicity cluster for real-time discrimination between foreshocks, aftershocks, and swarms. Full article