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Search Results (384)

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Keywords = long-term urban development strategies

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17 pages, 6833 KB  
Article
Hydrogen-Blended Natural Gas Leakage and Diffusion Characteristics Simulation and Ventilation Strategy in Utility Tunnels
by Penghui Xiao, Xuan Zhang and Xuemei Wang
Energies 2025, 18(17), 4504; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18174504 (registering DOI) - 25 Aug 2025
Abstract
To ensure the safe and reliable operation of hydrogen-blended natural gas (HBNG) pipelines in urban utility tunnels, this study conducted a comprehensive CFD simulation of the leakage and diffusion characteristics of HBNG in confined underground environments. Utilizing ANSYS CFD software (2024R1), a three-dimensional [...] Read more.
To ensure the safe and reliable operation of hydrogen-blended natural gas (HBNG) pipelines in urban utility tunnels, this study conducted a comprehensive CFD simulation of the leakage and diffusion characteristics of HBNG in confined underground environments. Utilizing ANSYS CFD software (2024R1), a three-dimensional physical model of a utility tunnel was developed to investigate the influence of key parameters, such as leak sizes (4 mm, 6 mm, and 8 mm)—selected based on common small-orifice defects in utility tunnel pipelines (e.g., corrosion-induced pinholes and minor mechanical damage) and hydrogen blending ratios (HBR) ranging from 0% to 20%—a range aligned with current global HBNG demonstration projects (e.g., China’s “Medium-Term and Long-Term Plan for Hydrogen Energy Industry Development”) and ISO standards prioritizing 20% as a technically feasible upper limit for existing infrastructure, on HBNG diffusion behavior. The study also evaluated the adequacy of current accident ventilation standards. The findings show that as leak orifice size increases, the diffusion range of HBNG expands significantly, with a 31.5% increase in diffusion distance and an 18.5% reduction in alarm time as the orifice diameter grows from 4 mm to 8 mm. Furthermore, hydrogen blending accelerates gas diffusion, with each 5% increase in HBR shortening the alarm time by approximately 1.6 s and increasing equilibrium concentrations by 0.4% vol. The current ventilation standard (12 h−1) was found to be insufficient to suppress concentrations below the 1% safety threshold when the HBR exceeds 5% or the orifice diameter exceeds 4 mm—thresholds derived from simulations showing that, under 12 h−1 ventilation, equilibrium concentrations exceed the 1% safety threshold under these conditions. To address these gaps, this study proposes an adaptive ventilation strategy that uses variable-frequency drives to adjust ventilation rates in real time based on sensor feedback of gas concentrations, ensuring alignment with leakage conditions, thereby ensuring enhanced safety. These results provide crucial theoretical insights for the safe design of HBNG pipelines and ventilation optimization in utility tunnels. Full article
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23 pages, 5087 KB  
Article
A Study on the Associative Regulation Mechanism Based on the Water Environmental Carrying Capacity and Its Impact Indicators in the Songhua River Basin in Harbin City, China
by Zhongbao Yao, Xuebing Wang, Nan Sun, Tianyi Wang and Hao Yan
Sustainability 2025, 17(17), 7636; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17177636 - 24 Aug 2025
Abstract
With intensifying watershed pollution pressures and growing ecological vulnerability, scientifically revealing and enhancing the water environmental carrying capacity is crucial for ensuring the long-term health of the basin and the sustainable socioeconomic development of the region. However, the dynamic regulatory mechanisms linking narrow-sense [...] Read more.
With intensifying watershed pollution pressures and growing ecological vulnerability, scientifically revealing and enhancing the water environmental carrying capacity is crucial for ensuring the long-term health of the basin and the sustainable socioeconomic development of the region. However, the dynamic regulatory mechanisms linking narrow-sense and broad-sense water environmental carrying capacity remain poorly understood, limiting the development of integrated management strategies. This study systematically investigated the changing trends of both the narrow-sense and broad-sense water environmental carrying capacity in the Harbin section of the Songhua River basin through model calculations, along with the regulatory mechanisms of its key influence indicators. The results of the study on the carrying capacity of the water environment in the narrow sense show that permanganate, total phosphorus, and ammonia nitrogen exhibited partial carrying capacity across water periods, while dissolved oxygen decreased during flat and dry periods, with only limited capacity remaining at the Ash River estuary and in the Hulan River. The biochemical oxygen demand in the Ash River was consistently overloaded, and total nitrogen showed insufficient capacity except during the abundant water period. Broad-sense analysis indicated that improving urbanization quality, water supply infrastructure, and drinking water safety could effectively reduce future overload risks, with projections suggesting a transition from critical to loadable levels by 2030, though latent threats persist. Correlation analysis between narrow- and broad-sense indicators informed targeted control strategies, including stricter regulation of nitrogen- and phosphorus-rich industrial discharges, restoration of aquatic vegetation, and periodic dredging of riverbed sediments. This work is the first to dynamically integrate pollutant and socio-economic indicators through a hybrid modelling framework, providing a scientific basis and actionable strategies for improving water quality and achieving sustainable management in the Songhua River Basin. Full article
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28 pages, 5969 KB  
Article
Geospatial Analysis of Chloride Hot Spots and Groundwater Vulnerability in Southern Ontario, Canada
by Ceilidh Mackie, Rachel Lackey and Jana Levison
Water 2025, 17(16), 2484; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17162484 - 21 Aug 2025
Viewed by 220
Abstract
Elevated chloride (Cl) concentrations in surface water and groundwater are an increasing concern in cold region urban environments, largely due to long-term road salt application. This study investigates the Cl distribution across southern Ontario, Canada, using geospatial methods to identify [...] Read more.
Elevated chloride (Cl) concentrations in surface water and groundwater are an increasing concern in cold region urban environments, largely due to long-term road salt application. This study investigates the Cl distribution across southern Ontario, Canada, using geospatial methods to identify contamination hot spots and assess groundwater vulnerability at both regional and watershed scales. Chloride data from 2001 to 2010 and 2011 to 2020 were compiled from public sources and interpolated using inverse distance weighting. A regional-scale vulnerability index was developed using slope (SL), surficial geology (SG), and land use (LU) (SL-SG-LU), and compared it to a more detailed DRASTIC-LU index within the Credit River watershed. Results show that Cl hot spots are concentrated in urbanized areas, including the Greater Toronto Area and Golden Horseshoe, with some rural zones also exhibiting elevated concentrations. Vulnerability mapping corresponded well with the observed Cl patterns and highlighted areas at risk for groundwater discharge to surface waters. While the DRASTIC-LU method offered finer resolution, the simplified SL-SG-LU index effectively captured broad vulnerability trends and is suitable for data-limited regions. This work provides a transferable framework for identifying Cl risk areas and supports long-term monitoring and management strategies in cold climate watersheds. Full article
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22 pages, 2593 KB  
Review
Therapeutic Vaccines for Non-Communicable Diseases: Global Progress and China’s Deployment Pathways
by Yifan Huang, Xiaohang Lyu and Yiu-Wing Kam
Vaccines 2025, 13(8), 881; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13080881 - 20 Aug 2025
Viewed by 296
Abstract
Background: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) have become a major threat to global public health, with the disease burden particularly severe in developing countries, China being one of them. The preventive and control effects of traditional treatment methods on NCDs are limited, and innovative strategies [...] Read more.
Background: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) have become a major threat to global public health, with the disease burden particularly severe in developing countries, China being one of them. The preventive and control effects of traditional treatment methods on NCDs are limited, and innovative strategies are urgently needed. In recent years, vaccine technology has expanded from the field of infectious diseases to non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Therapeutic vaccines have shown the potential to intervene in chronic diseases through immunomodulation, but their research and development (R & D), as well as promotion, still face multiple challenges. Methods: This article systematically reviews the current development status of NCD vaccines worldwide and points out the imbalance in their matching with disease burden: current research focuses on the field of cancer, while there is a lack of targeted vaccines for high-burden diseases such as hypertension and chronic kidney disease; the progress of independent R & D in China lags behind, and there are implementation obstacles such as uneven distribution of medical resources between urban and rural areas and low public willingness to be vaccinated. Results: By analyzing the biological mechanisms of NCD vaccines and non-biological challenges, phased solutions are proposed: In the short term, focus on target discovery and improvement of vaccine accessibility. In the medium term, strengthen multi-center clinical trials and international technology sharing. In the long term, build a digital health monitoring system and a public–private partnership financing model. Conclusions: The breakthrough of NCD vaccines requires interdisciplinary collaboration and systematic policy support. Their successful application will reshape the paradigm of chronic disease prevention and control, providing a new path for global health equity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Virus Pandemics and Vaccinations)
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26 pages, 7557 KB  
Article
Toward Resilience: Assessing Retail Location’s Complex Impact Mechanism Using PLS-SEM Aided by Machine Learning
by Jingyuan Zhang, Jusheng Song and Jiaming Zeng
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7461; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167461 - 18 Aug 2025
Viewed by 219
Abstract
Because urban retail faces challenges in sustaining vitality and viability, risking decay in urban centers, retail space resilience (RSR) has become a pressing concern. Retail location presents an opportunity because it aligns with RSR in maximizing store vitality and adopting a long-term perspective. [...] Read more.
Because urban retail faces challenges in sustaining vitality and viability, risking decay in urban centers, retail space resilience (RSR) has become a pressing concern. Retail location presents an opportunity because it aligns with RSR in maximizing store vitality and adopting a long-term perspective. This study uses PLS-SEM to examine the complex impact mechanism of retail location attributes (LAs) on retail space resilience (RSR), based on 304 retail spaces in central Shanghai. LAs and RSR are assessed based on a metrics system, followed by Random Forest for variable selection. An impact pathway framework grounded in key theoretical models is then constructed. The results from the PLS-SEM analysis show that Amenity exerts the strongest direct influence on RSR (β = 0.383), followed by Agglomeration (β = 0.294) and Accessibility (β = 0.291), while the results of the mediation effect further reveal that RSR is primarily shaped by consumers’ trip-chaining behaviors, with agglomeration effects and the spatial interaction model playing secondary roles. Notably, the scale of the retail space negatively affects RSR (β = −0.016), suggesting that large retail centers may be less resilient due to weaker consumer attachment. Overall, our research suggests that consumers’ perceptions and behaviors play key roles in RSR. Based on this insight, this study proposes placemaking strategies aimed at fostering consumer attachment and developing neighborhood-oriented retail nodes aligned with consumers’ preferences. Full article
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16 pages, 1497 KB  
Article
A Preliminary Analysis of the Relationships Between Rising Temperatures and Residential Rental Rates in the USA
by Michael A. Garvey and Tony G. Reames
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7459; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167459 - 18 Aug 2025
Viewed by 394
Abstract
Climate change poses significant challenges to the economic and social sustainability of urban dwellers, particularly in the real estate market, where rising temperatures are affecting property values. While most research focuses on how climate change impacts buyers and sellers, this study shifts attention [...] Read more.
Climate change poses significant challenges to the economic and social sustainability of urban dwellers, particularly in the real estate market, where rising temperatures are affecting property values. While most research focuses on how climate change impacts buyers and sellers, this study shifts attention to renters, who may be more vulnerable to climate-induced price increases. By analyzing rental price and climate data, this study uses ordinary least squares (OLS) and fixed-effects regressions to assess the impact of temperature fluctuations on rental rates across 50 major U.S. metropolitan areas. The findings reveal a positive and significant relationship between rising temperatures and rental rates, particularly in the Northeastern and Southern U.S. These results suggest that targeted policy interventions may help ease financial pressures on vulnerable renters and support more sustainable urban development over time. The analysis also highlights the potential role of energy efficiency measures in rental housing to lower energy costs and alleviate rent burdens. Additionally, the findings indicate that local policymakers may consider rent stabilization strategies and investments in urban green infrastructure to protect low-income renters, reduce localized heat exposure, and promote long-term urban resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Urban and Rural Development)
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20 pages, 6837 KB  
Article
Identifying Zones of Threat to Groundwater Resources Under Combined Climate and Land-Use Dynamics in a Major Groundwater Reservoir (MGR 406, Poland)
by Sebastian Zabłocki, Katarzyna Sawicka, Dorota Porowska and Ewa Krogulec
Land 2025, 14(8), 1659; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081659 - 16 Aug 2025
Viewed by 291
Abstract
This study addresses the effects of climate variability and land-use change on groundwater recharge in Major Groundwater Reservoir 406 (MGR 406) in southeastern Poland, a key strategic water resource. It focuses on how regional shifts in precipitation patterns and spatial development influence the [...] Read more.
This study addresses the effects of climate variability and land-use change on groundwater recharge in Major Groundwater Reservoir 406 (MGR 406) in southeastern Poland, a key strategic water resource. It focuses on how regional shifts in precipitation patterns and spatial development influence the volume and distribution of renewable groundwater resources. The analysis integrates meteorological data (1951–2024), groundwater modeling outputs, groundwater-use data, and land cover changes from CORINE datasets (1990–2018). A spatial assessment of hydrogeological conditions was performed using the Groundwater Resources Assessment Index (GRAI), combining drought frequency, recharge conditions, land-use classes, and groundwater extraction levels. Results indicate a long-term increase in annual precipitation alongside more frequent but shorter drought episodes. Urban expansion and land sealing were found to reduce infiltration efficiency, particularly in and around the city of Lublin, where the highest extraction rates were recorded. The assessment identified several zones of high threat to groundwater resources, which have no sufficient legal protection. These findings highlight the need to integrate groundwater management into local spatial planning and land management strategies. The study concludes that balancing water use and recharge potential under evolving climate and land-use pressures are essential to ensuring the sustainability of groundwater resources in MGR 406. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Land Use, Impact Assessment and Sustainability)
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28 pages, 1433 KB  
Article
Residential Green Infrastructure: Unpacking Motivations and Obstacles to Single-Family-Home Tree Planting in Diverse, Low-Income Urban Neighborhoods
by Ivis García
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7412; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167412 - 16 Aug 2025
Viewed by 418
Abstract
Urban tree planting on single-family-home lots represents a critical yet underexplored component of municipal greening strategies. This study examines residents’ perceptions of tree planting in Westpointe, a diverse neighborhood in Salt Lake City, Utah, as part of the city’s Reimagine Nature Public Lands [...] Read more.
Urban tree planting on single-family-home lots represents a critical yet underexplored component of municipal greening strategies. This study examines residents’ perceptions of tree planting in Westpointe, a diverse neighborhood in Salt Lake City, Utah, as part of the city’s Reimagine Nature Public Lands Master Plan development effort. Through a mixed-methods approach combining qualitative interviews (n = 24) and a tree signup initiative extended to 86 residents, with 51 participating, this research explores the complex interplay of demographic, economic, social, and infrastructure factors influencing residents’ willingness to plant trees on single-family-home lots. The findings reveal significant variations based on gender, with women expressing more positive environmental and aesthetic motivations, while men focused on practical concerns including maintenance and property damage. Age emerged as another critical factor, with older adults (65+) expressing concerns about long-term maintenance capabilities, while younger families (25–44) demonstrated future-oriented thinking about shade and property values. Property characteristics, particularly yard size, significantly influenced receptiveness, with owners of larger yards (>5000 sq ft) showing greater willingness compared to those with smaller properties, who cited space constraints. Additional barriers, i.e., maintenance, financial, and knowledge barriers, included irrigation costs, lack of horticultural knowledge, pest concerns, and proximity to underground utilities. Geographic analysis revealed that Spanish-speaking social networks were particularly effective in promoting tree planting. The study contributes to urban forestry literature by providing nuanced insights into single-family homeowners’ tree-planting decisions and offers targeted recommendations for municipal programs. These include gender-specific outreach strategies, age-appropriate support services, sliding-scale subsidy programs based on property size, and comprehensive education initiatives. The findings inform evidence-based approaches to increase urban canopy coverage through private property plantings, ultimately supporting climate resilience and environmental justice goals in diverse urban neighborhoods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Forest Technology and Resource Management)
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16 pages, 516 KB  
Review
Pathways to Business Financing in South Africa: Exploring Microloans, Venture Capital, and Gender-Responsive Grants
by Kanayo Ogujiuba, Kholofelo Makhubupetsi and Lethabo Maponya
Adm. Sci. 2025, 15(8), 319; https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci15080319 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 440
Abstract
Business financing involves supplying funds or capital to initiate, expand, or maintain a business. This study investigates entrepreneurial funding in South Africa, emphasizing microloans, venture capital, and gender-sensitive grants as tools to facilitate inclusive business growth. Using a qualitative desktop research methodology, this [...] Read more.
Business financing involves supplying funds or capital to initiate, expand, or maintain a business. This study investigates entrepreneurial funding in South Africa, emphasizing microloans, venture capital, and gender-sensitive grants as tools to facilitate inclusive business growth. Using a qualitative desktop research methodology, this study relies on policy documents, institutional reports, and peer-reviewed studies to assess how these funding strategies tackle access barriers for marginalized populations, specifically women, youth, and rural entrepreneurs. Guided by Access to Finance Theory, Gender Finance Theory, and Innovation Ecosystems Theory, this study indicates that microloans offer immediate funding for informal businesses but show minimal long-term effects without additional assistance. Venture capital promotes rapid innovation, yet it is predominantly based in urban regions and unattainable for underrepresented populations. Grants that address gender issues foster equity but are obstructed by institutional fragmentation and insufficient scale. The results highlight the necessity for unified financing frameworks that merge financial and non-financial assistance, facilitating scalable and inclusive business ventures. Policy suggestions involve aligning public financing tools with the National Integrated Small Enterprise Development Masterplan, integrating gender-sensitive budgeting frameworks, and utilizing digital financial platforms to enhance access. Future studies should utilize mixed-methods or longitudinal approaches to assess the ongoing developmental effects of coordinated financing models within the South African setting. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Women Financial Inclusion and Entrepreneurship Development)
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32 pages, 3134 KB  
Article
Examining Sustainable Mobility Planning and Design for Smart Urban Development in Metropolitan Areas
by Anthony Jnr. Bokolo
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 314; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080314 - 12 Aug 2025
Viewed by 365
Abstract
Meeting the European Green Deal’s goal of climate neutrality by 2050 calls for a 90 percent decrease in emissions from the transportation sector. Thus, there is need to accelerate the shift to more sustainable mobility for integrated and smarter multimodal and intermodal mobility. [...] Read more.
Meeting the European Green Deal’s goal of climate neutrality by 2050 calls for a 90 percent decrease in emissions from the transportation sector. Thus, there is need to accelerate the shift to more sustainable mobility for integrated and smarter multimodal and intermodal mobility. In European countries, more than 70% of the inhabitants live in metropolitan areas. Achieving low-carbon and more sustainable mobility is important to ensuring sustainable urban infrastructure. However, current mobility planning frameworks do not consider the key factors and strategies that encourage residents to choose sustainable transport modes. Hence, there is a need to identify the most efficient actions that should be employed either in the short or long term to achieve accessible, safe, cost-effective, and green transport systems specifically through the development of sustainable public transportation. Moreover, a paradigm shift is needed to explore the synergy between transportation and its relationship to the city. Accordingly, this article presents an action plan as an approach to assess key strategies needed to foster sustainable and smart mobility planning and design by deploying effective strategies and design solutions that support different green means of transportation for smart urban development. Qualitative data on sustainable mobility planning and design strategies was collected via secondary sources from the literature, and descriptive data analysis was carried out. Findings from this study identify internal and external factors required to promote sustainable multimodal and intermodal mobility based on the city’s transport policies and actions. Implications from this study provide a use case for the technological requirements required for electric mobility planning, design, and system operation for the actualization of sustainable public transportation to improve smart urban development. Full article
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24 pages, 638 KB  
Article
Diversity in Young Talent Mobility and Retention Dynamics in China’s Sustainable Rural Economic Transformation: A Case Study of Yuan Village
by Chen Shi and Yunlong Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(16), 7250; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167250 - 11 Aug 2025
Viewed by 419
Abstract
To mitigate persistent urban–rural disparities and facilitate comprehensive rural development, the Chinese government institutionalized the Rural Revitalization Strategy. This national policy framework systematically addresses five critical domains of rural development: (1) industrial revitalization, (2) talent revitalization, (3) organizational capacity building, (4) cultural heritage [...] Read more.
To mitigate persistent urban–rural disparities and facilitate comprehensive rural development, the Chinese government institutionalized the Rural Revitalization Strategy. This national policy framework systematically addresses five critical domains of rural development: (1) industrial revitalization, (2) talent revitalization, (3) organizational capacity building, (4) cultural heritage preservation, and (5) ecological conservation. Among them, talent cultivation serves as both a fundamental objective and critical resource for the sustainable rural economic transformation. However, the existing research and practice have disproportionately emphasized industrial and ecological aspects, largely neglecting the acute talent shortage. This study bridges this gap by adopting a population mobility lens to categorize young talent types contributing to Chinese rural economic transformation and analyze their mobility trajectories and resource exchange dynamics. Drawing on an integrated theoretical framework combining Push–Pull Theory and Existence–Relatedness–Growth Theory, as well as empirical evidences from Yuan Village in Shaanxi Province, this research has four key findings. First, there are three distinct young talent categories that have emerged in Chinese rural economic transformation: urban-to-rural young talents, native young talents, and rural-to-rural young talents. It is noteworthy that the rural-to-rural young talent represents a novel flow pattern that can expand our conventional understandings of Chinese population mobility. Second, differential push–pull factors shape each category’s migration decisions, subsequently influenced by their existence needs, social relatedness, and growth requirements as outlined in ERG Theory. Third, through heterogeneous resource exchanges with villagers, committees, and communities, these talents negotiate their positions and satisfy their expectations within the rural socio-economic system. Fourth, unmet exchange expectations may precipitate talent outflow, which will further pose sustainability challenges to revitalization efforts. Additionally, the long-term impacts of the intensified social interactions between talent groups and local residents, as well as their generalizability, require further examination. Full article
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23 pages, 3193 KB  
Perspective
The First Thirty Years of Green Stormwater Infrastructure in Portland, Oregon
by Michaela Koucka, Cara Poor, Jordyn Wolfand, Heejun Chang, Vivek Shandas, Adrienne Aiona, Henry Stevens, Tim Kurtz, Svetlana Hedin, Steve Fancher, Joshua Lighthipe and Adam Zucker
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7159; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157159 - 7 Aug 2025
Viewed by 753
Abstract
Over the past 30 years, the City of Portland, Oregon, USA, has emerged as a national leader in green stormwater infrastructure (GSI). The initial impetus for implementing sustainable stormwater infrastructure in Portland stemmed from concerns about flooding and water quality in the city’s [...] Read more.
Over the past 30 years, the City of Portland, Oregon, USA, has emerged as a national leader in green stormwater infrastructure (GSI). The initial impetus for implementing sustainable stormwater infrastructure in Portland stemmed from concerns about flooding and water quality in the city’s two major rivers, the Columbia and the Willamette. Heavy rainfall often led to combined sewer overflows, significantly polluting these waterways. A partial solution was the construction of “The Big Pipe” project, a large-scale stormwater containment system designed to filter and regulate overflow. However, Portland has taken a more comprehensive and long-term approach by integrating sustainable stormwater management into urban planning. Over the past three decades, the city has successfully implemented GSI to mitigate these challenges. Low-impact development strategies, such as bioswales, green streets, and permeable surfaces, have been widely adopted in streetscapes, pathways, and parking areas, enhancing both environmental resilience and urban livability. This perspective highlights the history of the implementation of Portland’s GSI programs, current design and performance standards, and challenges and lessons learned throughout Portland’s recent history. Innovative approaches to managing runoff have not only improved stormwater control but also enhanced green spaces and contributed to the city’s overall climate resilience while addressing economic well-being and social equity. Portland’s success is a result of strong policy support, effective integration of green and gray infrastructure, and active community involvement. As climate change intensifies, cities need holistic, adaptive, and community-centered approaches to urban stormwater management. Portland’s experience offers valuable insights for cities seeking to expand their GSI amid growing concerns about climate resilience, equity, and aging infrastructure. Full article
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25 pages, 4751 KB  
Article
Dynamic Evolution and Resilience Enhancement of the Urban Tourism Ecological Health Network: A Case Study in Shanghai, China
by Man Wei and Tai Huang
Systems 2025, 13(8), 654; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13080654 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 396
Abstract
Urban tourism has evolved into a complex adaptive system, where unregulated expansion disrupts the ecological balance and intensifies resource stress. Understanding the dynamic evolution and resilience mechanisms of the tourism ecological health network (TEHN) is essential for supporting sustainable urban tourism as a [...] Read more.
Urban tourism has evolved into a complex adaptive system, where unregulated expansion disrupts the ecological balance and intensifies resource stress. Understanding the dynamic evolution and resilience mechanisms of the tourism ecological health network (TEHN) is essential for supporting sustainable urban tourism as a coupled human–natural system. Using Shanghai as a case study, we applied the “vigor–organization–resilience–services” (VORS) framework to evaluate ecosystem health, which served as a constraint for constructing the TEHN, using the minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model for the period from 2001 to 2023. A resilience framework integrating structural and functional dimensions was further developed to assess spatiotemporal evolution and guide targeted enhancement strategies. The results indicated that as ecosystem health degraded, particularly in peripheral areas, the urban TEHN in Shanghai shifted from a dispersed to a centralized structure, with limited connectivity in the periphery. The resilience of the TEHN continued to grow, with structural resilience remaining at a high level, while functional resilience still required enhancement. Specifically, the low integration and limited choice between the tourism network and the transportation system hindered tourists from selecting routes with higher ecosystem health indices. Enhancing functional resilience, while sustaining structural resilience, is essential for transforming the TEHN into a multi-centered, multi-level system that promotes efficient connectivity, ecological sustainability, and long-term adaptability. The results contribute to a systems-level understanding of tourism–ecology interactions and support the development of adaptive strategies for balancing network efficiency and environmental integrity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Complex Systems and Cybernetics)
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25 pages, 19905 KB  
Article
Assessing Urban Park Accessibility via Population Projections: Planning for Green Equity in Shanghai
by Leiting Cen and Yang Xiao
Land 2025, 14(8), 1580; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081580 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 447
Abstract
Rapid urbanization and demographic shifts present significant challenges to spatial justice in green space provision. Traditional static assessments have become increasingly inadequate for guiding park planning, which now requires a dynamic, future-oriented analytical approach. To address this gap, this study incorporates population dynamics [...] Read more.
Rapid urbanization and demographic shifts present significant challenges to spatial justice in green space provision. Traditional static assessments have become increasingly inadequate for guiding park planning, which now requires a dynamic, future-oriented analytical approach. To address this gap, this study incorporates population dynamics into urban park planning by developing a dynamic evaluation framework for park accessibility. Building on the Gaussian-based two-step floating catchment area (Ga2SFCA) method, we propose the human-population-projection-Ga2SFCA (HPP-Ga2SFCA) model, which integrates population forecasts to assess park service efficiency under future demographic pressures. Using neighborhood-committee-level census data from 2000 to 2020 and detailed park spatial data, we identified five types of population change and forecast demographic distributions for both short- and long-term scenarios. Our findings indicate population decline in the urban core and outer suburbs, with growth concentrated in the transitional inner-suburban zones. Long-term projections suggest that 66% of communities will experience population growth, whereas short-term forecasts indicate a decline in 52%. Static models overestimate park accessibility by approximately 40%. In contrast, our dynamic model reveals that accessibility is overestimated in 71% and underestimated in 7% of the city, highlighting a potential mismatch between future population demand and current park supply. This study offers a forward-looking planning framework that enhances the responsiveness of park systems to demographic change and supports the development of more equitable, adaptive green space strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Spatial Justice in Urban Planning (Second Edition))
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15 pages, 1071 KB  
Article
A Synthetic Difference-in-Differences Approach to Assess the Impact of Shanghai’s 2022 Lockdown on Ozone Levels
by Yumin Li, Jun Wang, Yuntong Fan, Chuchu Chen, Jaime Campos Gutiérrez, Ling Huang, Zhenxing Lin, Siyuan Li and Yu Lei
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6997; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156997 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 378
Abstract
Promoting sustainable development requires a clear understanding of how short-term fluctuations in anthropogenic emissions affect urban environmental quality. This is especially relevant for cities experiencing rapid industrial changes or emergency policy interventions. Among key environmental concerns, variations in ambient pollutants like ozone (O [...] Read more.
Promoting sustainable development requires a clear understanding of how short-term fluctuations in anthropogenic emissions affect urban environmental quality. This is especially relevant for cities experiencing rapid industrial changes or emergency policy interventions. Among key environmental concerns, variations in ambient pollutants like ozone (O3) are closely tied to both public health and long-term sustainability goals. However, traditional chemical transport models often face challenges in accurately estimating emission changes and providing timely assessments. In contrast, statistical approaches such as the difference-in-differences (DID) model utilize observational data to improve evaluation accuracy and efficiency. This study leverages the synthetic difference-in-differences (SDID) approach, which integrates the strengths of both DID and the synthetic control method (SCM), to provide a more reliable and accurate analysis of the impacts of interventions on city-level air quality. Using Shanghai’s 2022 lockdown as a case study, we compare the deweathered ozone (O3) concentration in Shanghai to a counterfactual constructed from a weighted average of cities in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) that did not undergo lockdown. The quasi-natural experiment reveals an average increase of 4.4 μg/m3 (95% CI: 0.24–8.56) in Shanghai’s maximum daily 8 h O3 concentration attributable to the lockdown. The SDID method reduces reliance on the parallel trends assumption and improves the estimate stability through unit- and time-specific weights. Multiple robustness checks confirm the reliability of these findings, underscoring the efficacy of the SDID approach in quantitatively evaluating the causal impact of emission perturbations on air quality. This study provides credible causal evidence of the environmental impact of short-term policy interventions, highlighting the utility of SDID in informing adaptive air quality management. The findings support the development of timely, evidence-based strategies for sustainable urban governance and environmental policy design. Full article
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