Search Results (245)

Wildfires have become increasingly frequent and intense due to climate change, posing severe threats to ecosystems, infrastructure, and human lives. As a result, accurate wildfire spread prediction is critical for effective risk mitigation, resource allocation, and decision making in disaster management. In this study, we develop a deep learning model to predict wildfire spread using remote sensing data. We propose LinU-Mamba, a model with a U-Net-based vision Mamba architecture, with light spatial attention in skip connections, and an efficient linear attention mechanism in the encoder and decoder to better capture salient fire information in the dataset. The model is trained and evaluated on the two-dimensional remote sensing dataset Next Day Wildfire Spread (NDWS), which maps fire data across the United States with fire entries, topography, vegetation, weather, drought index, and population density variables. The results demonstrate that our approach achieves superior performance compared to existing deep learning methods applied to the same dataset, while showing an efficient training time. Furthermore, we highlight the impacts of pre-training and feature selection in remote sensing, as well as the impacts of linear attention use in our model. As far as we know, LinU-Mamba is the first model based on Mamba used for wildfire spread prediction, making it a strong foundation for future research. Full article

Acacia mearnsii De Wild. has been introduced to over 150 countries for its economic value. However, it easily escapes from plantations and establishes monospecific stands across plains, hills, valleys, and riparian habitats, including protected areas such as national parks and forest reserves. Due to its negative ecological impact, A. mearnsii has been listed among the world’s 100 worst invasive alien species. This species exhibits rapid stem growth in its sapling stage and reaches reproductive maturity early. It produces a large quantity of long-lived seeds, establishing a substantial seed bank. A. mearnsii can grow in different environmental conditions and tolerates various adverse conditions, such as low temperatures and drought. Its invasive populations are unlikely to be seriously damaged by herbivores and pathogens. Additionally, A. mearnsii exhibits allelopathic activity, though its ecological significance remains unclear. These characteristics of A. mearnsii may contribute to its expansion in introduced ranges. The presence of A. mearnsii affects abiotic processes in ecosystems by reducing water availability, increasing the risk of soil erosion and flooding, altering soil chemical composition, and obstructing solar light irradiation. The invasion negatively affects biotic processes as well, reducing the diversity and abundance of native plants and arthropods, including protective species. Eradicating invasive populations of A. mearnsii requires an integrated, long-term management approach based on an understanding of its invasive mechanisms. Early detection of invasive populations and the promotion of public awareness about their impact are also important. More attention must be given to its invasive traits because it easily escapes from cultivation. Full article

The southern conifer Agathis australis (D.Don) Lindl. is a large and long-lived species endemic to Aotearoa New Zealand. It is threatened due to past logging activities, pathogen attack and potentially climate change, with increasing severity and frequency of drought and heatwaves across its distribution. Like many large tree species, little is known about the carbon dynamics of this ecologically and culturally significant species. We explored seasonal variations in non-structural carbohydrates (NSCs) and growth in trees ranging from 20 to 175 cm diameter at breast height (DBH). NSCs were seasonally stable with no measurable pattern across seasons. However, we found growth rates standardised to basal area and sapwood area (growth efficiency) declined with tree age and stem NSC concentrations (including total NSCs, sugars and starch) all increased as trees aged. Total NSC concentrations were 0.3%–0.6% dry mass for small trees and 0.8%–1.8% dry mass for larger trees, with strong relationships between DBH and total NSC, sugar and starch in stems but not roots. Cumulative growth efficiency across the two-year study period declined as tree size increased. Furthermore, there was an inverse relationship between growth efficiency across the two-year study period and NSC concentrations of stems. This relationship was driven by differences in carbon dynamics in trees of different sizes, with trees progressing to a more conservative carbon strategy as they aged. Simultaneously declining growth efficiency and increasing NSC concentrations as trees age could be evidence for active NSC accumulation to buffer against carbon starvation in larger trees. Our study provides new insights into changing carbon dynamics as trees age and may be evidence for active carbon accumulation in older trees. This may provide the key for understanding the role of carbon processes in tree longevity. Full article

Non-invasive Micro-test Technology (NMT) represents a pioneering approach in the study of physiological functions within living organisms. This technology possesses the remarkable capability to monitor the flow rates and three-dimensional movement directions of ions or molecules as they traverse the boundaries of living organisms without sample destruction. The advantages of NMT are multifaceted, encompassing real-time, non-invasive assessment, a wide array of detection indicators, and compatibility with diverse sample types. Consequently, it stands as one of the foremost tools in contemporary plant physiological research. This comprehensive review delves into the applications and research advancements of NMT within the field of plant abiotic stress physiology, including drought, salinity, extreme temperature, nutrient deficiency, ammonium toxicity, acid stress, and heavy metal toxicity. Furthermore, it offers a forward-looking perspective on the potential applications of NMT in plant physiology research, underscoring its unique capacity to monitor the flux dynamics of ions/molecules (e.g., Ca²⁺, H⁺, K⁺, and IAA) in real time, reveal early stress response signatures through micrometer-scale spatial resolution measurements, and elucidate stress adaptation mechanisms by quantifying bidirectional nutrient transport across root–soil interfaces. NMT enhances our understanding of the spatiotemporal patterns governing plant–environment interactions, providing deeper insights into the molecular mechanism of abiotic stress resilience. Full article

One of the most significant factors shaping the formation of new urban structures is climate change—including global warming and the associated emerging issues—heatwaves, storms, hurricanes, floods, droughts, fires and others. In recent times, new threats have emerged, including war risks, radiation, pandemics and other potential factors, whose devastating consequences are no less severe than those of climate change. Concerning these and other potential threats, this work aims to develop a new, sustainable urban structure element—a territorial unit or complex to be used in creating a new city planning framework. The formation of this sustainable urban unit or complex is based on three fundamental sustainability principles—social, ecological and economic—the harmonious interaction of which can enable the creation of a safe, healthy and convenient urban environment for living, working and leisure. Such a structural urban complex would consist of a group of neighbourhoods with various building densities, enclosed by public transport streets that integrate the complex into the city’s overall spatial structure. To support the complex’s functioning, a structural element—a green core—is planned at its centre, serving as a space for residents’ recreation, protection from various threats and social interaction. Given that this technical, structural and urban territorial unit, in terms of its autonomous functionality, structure, composition, significance and other characteristics, is identical to a natural cell, it is proposed (based on the principles of bionics) to name this structural urban territorial unit an ‘urban cell’ or ‘urbocell’ for semantic clarity. Full article

Blocking anticyclones are important atmospheric phenomena generally associated with extreme weather (e.g., droughts and cold air surges). Blockings also constitute large-scale indicators of climate change. The study of blockings in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) has been traditionally carried out utilizing reanalysis products. This paper is aimed at presenting an updated, comprehensive climatology of blockings in the SH as extracted from the ERA5 and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets in the 1940–2022 and 1948–2022 periods, respectively. Blockings were located by means of a unidimensional index at 500 hPa. The results were stratified by season, longitude, region, persistence, and intensity, and the climatology from both datasets was compared. The primary location of blockings was close to the Date Line in every season. Additionally, depending on the season, up to fourth-rank maxima could be located. Generally, the secondary maxima were found in the south Atlantic; lower-order maxima were located in the south-eastern Pacific, west of South America, and in the south-western Indian Ocean east of South Africa. The most intense blockings were concentrated in the Pacific and in the south Atlantic in both datasets, and they were also located in the Indian Ocean, but in the ERA5 reanalysis only. The longest-lived blockings occurred in the south Pacific and in the south Atlantic during southern winter. Full article

Case studies of climate adaptation approaches are needed to inform the broader use of these strategies across longleaf pine (Pinus palustris Mill.) ecosystems in the Southern US. To address this need, we evaluated overstory structure and tree regeneration in longleaf pine-hardwood stands, and a transition approach was implemented to intentionally facilitate change to encourage adaptive responses. Stand density reduction and species selection were prescribed to reduce tree vulnerability to drought stress. Turkey oaks (Quercus laevis W.) were also planted as a part of an assisted population migration strategy. After the treatments, Hurricane Michael impacted the study stands. The percent reduction in large overstory longleaf pines due to the hurricane was 6.3 ± 6.1% (grand mean ± standard deviation, which was derived from the stand means). At least one live planted turkey oak was present in 74 ± 26% of the planted clusters of turkey oaks that could be located six years after planting them. Our findings demonstrate the ability of transition stands to accommodate a large-scale disturbance event and maintain ecosystem functionality, the desired stand structure, and species composition. The relative success of forestry assisted migration plantings of turkey oaks may alleviate some concerns about the risk of maladaptation. Full article

Various high-throughput screening methods have been developed to explore plant phenotypes, primarily at the organ and whole plant levels. There is a need to develop phenomics methods at the cellular level to narrow down the genotype to phenotype gap. This study used double-resonator piezoelectric cytometry biosensors to capture the dynamic changes in mechanical phenotypes of living cells of two rice species, drought-resistant Lvhan No. 1 and drought-sensitive 6527, under PEG6000 drought stress. In rice cells of Lvhan No. 1 and 6527, mechanomics parameters, including cell-generated surface stress (ΔS) and viscoelastic parameters (G′, G″, G″/G′), were measured and compared under 5–25% PEG6000. Lvhan No. 1 showed larger viscoelastic but smaller surface stress changes with the same concentration of PEG6000. Moreover, Lvhan No. 1 cells showed better wall–plasma membrane–cytoskeleton continuum structure maintaining ability under drought stress, as proven by transient tension stress (ΔS > 0) and linear G′~ΔS, G″~ΔS relations at higher 15–25% PEG6000, but not for 6527 cells. Additionally, two distinct defense and drought resistance mechanisms were identified through dynamic G″/G′ responses: (i) transient hardening followed by softening recovery under weak drought, and (ii) transient softening followed by hardening recovery under strong drought. The abilities of Lvhan No. 1 cells to both recover from transient hardening to softening and to recover from transient softening to hardening are better than those of 6527 cells. Overall, the dynamic mechanomics phenotypic patterns (ΔS, G′, G″, G″/G′, G′~ΔS, G″~ΔS) verified that Lvhan No. 1 has better drought resistance than that of 6527, which is consistent with the field data. Full article

Live fuel moisture content (LFMC) significantly influences fire activity and behavior over different spatial and temporal scales. The ability to estimate LFMC is important to improve our capability to predict when and where large wildfires may occur. Currently, there is a gap in providing reliable near-real-time LFMC estimates which can contribute to better operational decision-making. The objective of this work was to develop near-real-time LFMC estimates for operational purposes in Portugal. We modelled LFMC using Random Forests for Portugal using a large set of potential predictor variables. We validated the model and analyzed the relationships between estimated LFMC and both fire size and behavior. The model predicted LFMC with an R² of 0.78 and an RMSE of 12.82%, and combined six variables: drought code, day-of-year and satellite vegetation indices. The model predicted well the temporal LFMC variability across most of the sampling sites. A clear relationship between LFMC and fire size was observed: 98% of the wildfires larger than 500 ha occurred with LFMC lower than 100%. Further analysis showed that 90% of these wildfires occurred for dead and live fuel moisture content lower than 10% and 100%, respectively. Fast-spreading wildfires were coincident with lower LFMC conditions: 92% of fires with rate of spread larger than 1000 m/h occurred with LFMC lower than 100%. The availability of spatial and temporal LFMC information for Portugal will be relevant for better fire management decision-making and will allow a better understanding of the drivers of large wildfires. Full article

The resilience and regeneration of cork oak (Quercus suber L.) play a central role in sustaining the European oak landscape, particularly within the socio-economic and ecological frameworks of the Western Mediterranean. This species has a noticeable ability to withstand drought and temperature extremes. However, its natural regeneration is increasingly challenged by climate change and associated extreme weather events, as well as by competition among individuals for light, water, and nutrients. Monitoring this process in the field can be time-consuming, requiring the use of sampling techniques and the identification of appropriate inventory sampling design (ISD) schemes. Line transect (LT) and radial cluster (RC) inventory designs are widely used in ecological studies, botanical research, and plant species distribution assessments, as well as other environmental forestry studies. This research compares two inventory sampling designs (line transect vs. radial cluster) for inventorying and monitoring the dynamics of natural regeneration at the initial development stages of cork oak. In particular, this study evaluates the influences of inventory sampling design, time, and acorn density on the total living and dead seedlings over a two-year period, using the cork oak as a reference species in the Mediterranean climate of Northern Portugal. The results confirm the critical role of acorn availability in seedling regeneration dynamics within cork oak ecosystems and emphasize a temporal increase in the death of seedlings, markedly influenced by the day of year. The temporal component had a substantial impact on seedling mortality, which increased by 5.00‰ per day, meaning that one seedling died approximately every 200 days, whereas mortality spikes occur on specific days, suggesting temporal factors affecting seedling viability. The study also shows differences in regeneration estimates between the inventory designs. The line transect design records lower acorn density and seedlings than the radial cluster design. The results highlight an important but often overlooked source of variation in forest regeneration studies, emphasizing the need for careful consideration of inventory methods to ensure effective data collection and accurate representation of natural regeneration dynamics, ultimately supporting efforts to enhance cork oak regeneration and resilience against climate change and competitive pressures. Full article

It is well understood that climate change is a major cause of the environmental shifts that are significantly impacting human lives. The floods caused by climate change are not only occurring more frequently each year, but they also bring up the problem of access to clean water for drinking and other daily usage for the affected communities. The Swat district of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province in Pakistan is one of the impacted regions and the growing concern for clean water access is yet to be resolved. This study aims to propose a sustainable solution to water access during the emergencies, particularly in flood and drought situations. While the roof water harvesting system (RWHS) is well established and functional in many developed regions, its potential remains underexplored in Pakistan. This research study analyzed the climate change projection data for the Saidu Sharif region of Swat. The regional climate data are gathered from the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) for the period from 2015 to 2045. Five general circulation models (GCMs) were selected based on their performance in South Asian climate simulations. Analysis of the regional forecasted climate data indicates that almost all of the five climate models have predicted the periods of excessive rainfall to occur in the months of July, August, and September, while prolonged dry seasons may last between 271 and 325 days annually. Hydrological modeling was used to estimate RWHS performance, which incorporated the key parameters such as catchment area, runoff coefficient, and rainfall intensity. The findings suggest that the proposed RWHS could meet basic drinking water needs during the floods and even during the drought periods near around 100% satisfaction of water demand under certain conditions. For example, for an average drought period of 273 days, a household of seven people with a per capita daily water demand of 17 L requires a storage capacity of 33 m³. On the other hand, for a maximum drought duration of 325 days, the required storage volume increases to 39 m³. Demand satisfaction calculations are also used to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed model. This research contributes to addressing the growing water scarcity challenge posed by climate change in the Swat region and offers a sustainable and practical solution. Full article

Arid and semiarid ecosystems face significant water scarcity due to high evaporation rates exceeding precipitation. This study examines temporal variations in water relations of two woody species, Vachellia schaffneri (S. Watson) Seigler & Ebinger, and Prosopis laevigata (Humb. & Bonpl. ex Willd.) M.C. Johnst, and one epiphyte, Tillandsia recurvata (L.) L. (Bromeliaceae), to assess their drought tolerance and water storage capacity. We hypothesized that species with greater water storage capacity would exhibit lower drought tolerance due to reduced osmotic adjustments, whereas species with lower storage capacity would maintain turgor through osmotic regulation and cell wall rigidity. Predawn and midday water potentials (Ψ_pd, Ψ_md) were measured, and pressure–volume (P–V) curves were used to derive parameters such as saturated water content (SWC), osmotic potential (π_o), turgor loss point (Ψ_TLP), relative water content at Ψ_TLP (RWC_TLP), bulk modulus of elasticity (ε), and full turgor capacitance (C_FT). Significant correlations were found between C_FT and Ψ_TLP (positive), π_o (positive), and ε (negative). P. laevigata and T. recurvata exhibited higher water storage capacities (41.46 and 26.45 MPa⁻¹, respectively) but had a lower ability to maintain cell turgor under drought conditions. In contrast, V. schaffneri exhibited the lowest water storage capacity (11.88 MPa⁻¹) but demonstrated the highest ability to maintain cell turgor (Ψ_TLP = −1.31 MPa) and superior osmotic adjustments (π_o = −0.59 MPa). Both V. schaffneri and P. laevigata exhibited rigid cell walls, whereas T. recurvata displayed greater elasticity in its cell structures. The lowest moisture content in V. schaffneri suggests increased flammability and fire spread potential. Future studies should focus on live fuel moisture content across more species, explore seasonal variations in hydraulic traits, and integrate these physiological parameters into fire risk models to enhance wildfire prediction and management. Full article

This study examines the effects of drought timing on height growth and seasonal leaf phenology in pedunculate oak (Quercus robur L.) seedlings. Drought represents a significant threat to long-lived tree species, impacting growth, phenology, and recovery potential. This research aims to assess whether the timing of drought stress influences height growth and leaf phenology while also investigating possible compensatory mechanisms. The experiment involved five groups of seedlings: four exposed to drought at different periods during the 2022 and 2023 growing seasons, and one regularly irrigated control group. The key monitored parameters included height growth, spring flushing, autumn leaf senescence, and photosynthesis. Preliminary results revealed that late-spring and summer drought had a significant negative impact on height growth and delayed autumn senescence, whereas mid-spring drought allowed for compensatory growth. Spring leaf phenology remained largely unaffected by drought treatments. None of the drought-stressed plants showed increased photosynthesis during the recovery phase compared to the control. These findings highlight the critical role of drought timing in determining growth and phenological outcomes. Relatively late-season droughts were particularly detrimental, limiting recovery and resource allocation, while early-season droughts provided better opportunities for compensation. Further research on drought recovery mechanisms and nutrient interactions is needed to refine forestry management strategies under climate change. Full article

Droughts are a major driver of global environmental degradation, threatening lives and causing significant economic losses, with approximately 80% of these losses linked to agricultural drought, characterized by soil moisture deficits. Remote sensing technology offers high spatiotemporal resolution data for continuous monitoring of soil moisture and drought severity. However, the effectiveness of remote sensing drought indices across different soil depths remains unclear. This study assessed the performance of eight widely used drought indices—Perpendicular Drought Index (PDI), Modified Perpendicular Drought Index (MPDI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Vegetation Health Index (VHI), Normalized Vegetation Supply Water Index (NVSWI), Temperature–Vegetation Dryness Index (TVDI), and Standardized Precipitation–Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at multiple timescales—in monitoring soil moisture at five depths (0–50 cm, at 10 cm intervals) across nine agricultural regions of China from 2001 to 2020. Results reveal that the monitoring performance of drought indices varies significantly across regions and soil depths, with a general decline in performance as soil depth increases. For soil depths between 10–40 cm, VCI and NVSWI exhibited the highest accuracy, while PDI, MPDI, and VHI performed optimally in the Northeast China Plain. At 50 cm depth, however, optical remote sensing indices struggled to accurately capture soil moisture conditions. Additionally, TCI and TVDI showed notable lag effects, with 4-month and 5-month delays, respectively, while SPEI exhibited cumulative effects over 3–6 months. These findings provide critical insights to guide the selection of appropriate drought indices for soil moisture monitoring, aiding agricultural drought management and decision-making. Full article

Seasonally dry mature and old-growth (MOG) forests in the western USA face increasing threats from catastrophic wildfire and drought due to historical fire exclusion and climate change. The Emerald Point forest at Lake Tahoe in the Sierra Nevada of California, one of the last remaining old-growth stands at lake level, is at high risk due to elevated fuels and tree densities. The stand supports huge trees and the highest tree diversity in the Lake Tahoe Basin and protects important raptor habitat. In this study, we simulate forest response to vegetation management and wildfire to assess the impacts of four fuel-reduction scenarios on fire behavior and stand resilience at Emerald Point. Results: Our results demonstrate that restorative forest management can greatly improve an MOG forest’s resistance to catastrophic fire. Thinning to the natural range of variation for density, basal area, and fuel loads, followed by a prescribed burn, was most effective at reducing large-tree mortality, maintaining basal area, and retaining live tree carbon post-wildfire, while reducing secondary impacts. Conclusions: Our findings highlight the value of proactive management in protecting old-growth forests in seasonally dry regions from severe fire events, while also enhancing their ecological integrity and biodiversity. Full article