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26 pages, 8088 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Underlying Mechanisms of Sustainable Urban Land Use Efficiency: Evidence from China’s Canal Cities
by Yingying Liu, Yalan Shi, Chunyu Liu and Lili Lang
Sustainability 2026, 18(12), 6325; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126325 (registering DOI) - 19 Jun 2026
Abstract
The measurement and improvement of urban land use efficiency (ULUE) are crucial for sustainable development in China’s Canal Cities (CCCs). Drawing on the theories of production factors, spatial externalities, and agglomeration economy, this study proposes a framework that explicitly addresses the trade-offs and [...] Read more.
The measurement and improvement of urban land use efficiency (ULUE) are crucial for sustainable development in China’s Canal Cities (CCCs). Drawing on the theories of production factors, spatial externalities, and agglomeration economy, this study proposes a framework that explicitly addresses the trade-offs and synergies of sustainable land use. A comprehensive ULUE evaluation index system was established. The super-SBM (Slack-Based Measure) and Global Malmquist–Luenberger (GML) index models were employed to assess the green efficiency of urban land use from 2002 to 2023, while Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) and the optimal parameters-based geographical detector (OPGD) model were used to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of ULUE. The results reveal a distinctive V-shaped trend in efficiency, marked by significant spatial disequilibrium and predominantly technology-driven sustainable growth. Furthermore, ULUE exhibits a spatial distribution characterized by bipolar and multipolar differentiation, accompanied by concurrent concentration and dispersion, with high-value clusters dominating the spatial clustering type. Government regulation emerges as the dominant factor influencing ULUE, underscoring the pivotal role of policy intervention in guiding the sustainable development of land use. The interactions among pairs of influencing factors strengthened over time; notably, the interaction between government regulation and other factors is the strongest. Four-quadrant analysis profoundly reveals the underlying mechanism, distinguishing a high-quality, sustainable development model driven by technological innovation and a resource-dependent economic growth model. The findings provide valuable insights for promoting green development and formulating sustainable land use policies in CCCs. Full article
38 pages, 1761 KB  
Article
The Friendly Interaction Between Humans and Forest Ecology: A Hybrid Model Reveals the Mechanism of Sensory Impressions Influencing Environmental Responsibility Behavior
by Bin Zhao, Shijin Cui and Xuesong Cheng
Sustainability 2026, 18(12), 6313; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126313 (registering DOI) - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
The sustainable development of forest ecotourism relies on the effective stimulation of tourists’ environmentally responsible behavior, and the intervention of participatory art and aesthetics provides a new driving force for this process. Taking Xiqiaoshan National Forest Park (Nanhai Land Art Festival) as a [...] Read more.
The sustainable development of forest ecotourism relies on the effective stimulation of tourists’ environmentally responsible behavior, and the intervention of participatory art and aesthetics provides a new driving force for this process. Taking Xiqiaoshan National Forest Park (Nanhai Land Art Festival) as a case study, we propose an extended stimulus–organism–response (S-O-R) theoretical framework to reveal the psychological perception and transmission mechanism of participatory art and aesthetic experience in empowering the sustainable development of ecotourism. We used a hybrid approach combining PLS-SEM and artificial neural networks (ANNs) to analyze survey data from 596 Chinese tourists. The study found that sensory impressions driven by art and aesthetics significantly and positively influence tourists’ natural connections, perceived value, and ecotourism attitudes. These three constructs function as significant parallel mediators between sensory impressions and environmentally responsible behavior, while chain mediation effects are statistically significant but of small magnitude. The new environmental paradigm (NEP), conceptualized as an individual trait boundary condition, exhibits a significant negative moderating effect on the relationship between sensory impressions and connectedness to nature. ANN sensitivity analysis further complements the findings by demonstrating the prominent nonlinear predictive role of ecotourism attitudes in behavioral transformation. This study extends the application boundaries of the S-O-R theory to art-integrated ecotourism research, clarifies the internalization process of tourist experiences from sensory perception to behavioral enactment, and provides empirical evidence for forest tourism managers to optimize experience design and implement differentiated guidance strategies. Full article
18 pages, 1708 KB  
Article
Cross-Scale U-Net: A Deep Transfer Learning Framework for Automated High-Resolution Urban Land Cover Mapping
by Zhe Wang, Chao Fan, Shoukun Sun, Haifeng (Felix) Liao, Min Xian, Xiaogang Ma and Xiang Que
Buildings 2026, 16(12), 2441; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings16122441 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Accurate and scalable urban land cover mapping is critical for sustainable urban planning and environmental management. While deep learning models offer powerful tools for this task, their performance is often constrained by the need for vast, manually labeled datasets, which are costly and [...] Read more.
Accurate and scalable urban land cover mapping is critical for sustainable urban planning and environmental management. While deep learning models offer powerful tools for this task, their performance is often constrained by the need for vast, manually labeled datasets, which are costly and challenging to acquire for diverse urban environments. To address this limitation, we propose the Cross-Scale U-Net, an original, highly adaptable operational framework that systematically exploits the inherent scale effects of remote-sensing imagery to optimize transfer learning. By operationalizing prior theoretical findings on receptive fields, this workflow provides an actionable method for users to manipulate spatial resolution, identify an optimal scale to bridge the domain gap, and subsequently automate feature extraction with significantly reduced manual effort. Using the well-annotated ISPRS Potsdam dataset as the source domain, our framework transfers learned knowledge to classify National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) data from Phoenix, AZ (2015), into four primary land cover classes. We systematically evaluated the framework’s performance across spatial resolutions ranging from 15 cm to 100 cm, achieving a peak overall accuracy (OA) of 82.45%. To assess generalizability, the model was applied in a label-free transfer scenario to NAIP imagery from Las Vegas, NV (2015), and Phoenix, AZ (2013 and 2019), consistently delivering OA values above 70%. In a comparative analysis, the Cross-Scale U-Net significantly outperformed traditional classification techniques. While our current empirical validation is focused on arid urban environments due to experimental constraints, the framework introduces a highly flexible, actionable scale-adjustment process. This approach offers a scalable workflow that can be tailored to various landscape scales—such as expanding to coarser resolutions for large-scale forests or protected areas—delivering high-fidelity maps while mitigating data scarcity. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Architectural Design, Urban Science, and Real Estate)
21 pages, 7712 KB  
Article
Assessment of Changes in Climatic Resources in the Zhetysu Region, Republic of Kazakhstan, for Sustainable Agricultural Land Use
by Zhumakhan Mustafayev, Irina Skorintseva, Gulnar Aldazhanova, Amanzhol Kuderin, Aidos Omarov, Askhat Toletayev and Galym Berkinbayev
Sustainability 2026, 18(12), 6306; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126306 (registering DOI) - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
This article presents the results of a study assessing changes in climatic resources in various natural zones of the Zhetysu region, Republic of Kazakhstan, conducted based on long-term climate data for the period 1966 to 2024 (from 12 meteorological stations). The study examines [...] Read more.
This article presents the results of a study assessing changes in climatic resources in various natural zones of the Zhetysu region, Republic of Kazakhstan, conducted based on long-term climate data for the period 1966 to 2024 (from 12 meteorological stations). The study examines current trends in climatic indicators in spatial and temporal aspects that influence agricultural land use within the region. The first part of this study examines current trends in climate indicators from both spatial and temporal perspectives within the Zhetysu Region of the Republic of Kazakhstan; the second part focuses on studying trends in climate indicators using the non-parametric Mann–Kendall test and the Sen’s slope test, as well as Fisher’s t-test. The authors identified divergent trends in relative air humidity and precipitation and detected a steady trend toward an increase in the average annual air temperature across the region. Based on the analysis of time series of climate-forming and climate–environment-forming indicators, a persistent increasing trend in mean annual air temperature was identified, while relative humidity, precipitation, and evaporation exhibited divergent (both positive and negative) trends across the territory of the region. The developed climate–resource-forming models and a series of estimated applied maps of climate indicators for 1966–1975 and 2016–2024 serve as the scientific basis for climate change forecasting and can be used by administrative bodies to improve agricultural land use strategies in the region. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air, Climate Change and Sustainability)
34 pages, 3776 KB  
Article
Spatial Coupling Characteristics and Driving Mechanisms of Population–Land–Housing Based on Multi-Source Data: A Case Study of Guangzhou, China
by Chunshan Zhou, Shuyuan Liu, Huiming Huang, Xiong He and Xiaodie Yuan
Land 2026, 15(6), 1085; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15061085 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Against the backdrop of the transition of new-type urbanization towards high-quality development, the triple contradictions of population agglomeration, land constraints, and housing supply-demand imbalance have become increasingly prominent. The conventional binary framework of human–land relations can no longer meet the requirements of coordinated [...] Read more.
Against the backdrop of the transition of new-type urbanization towards high-quality development, the triple contradictions of population agglomeration, land constraints, and housing supply-demand imbalance have become increasingly prominent. The conventional binary framework of human–land relations can no longer meet the requirements of coordinated development within human settlement systems, creating an urgent need to examine the multi-system interactions among population, land, and housing in order to resolve spatial mismatch. Taking Guangzhou as a case study, this research integrates 2020 population census data, land-use data from the European Space Agency (ESA), housing-price data from the Anjuke platform, and multi-source data on related influencing factors, and conducts a systematic empirical analysis by combining coupling coordination analysis, a relative development model, and the geographical detector. The findings reveal that the coupling coordination level of population, land and housing in Guangzhou exhibits a concentric, ring-shaped distribution pattern with central agglomeration and peripheral decline. The relative development among the three systems can be classified into matching types including the core-differentiated type, the peripheral-imbalanced type, and the surrounding-equilibrium type. With respect to influencing factors, all pairwise interactions are of the bi-factor enhancement type, and the driving mechanism displays a three-stage dynamic evolution. This study enriches research on human–land relations, provides precise guidance for optimizing spatial allocation and alleviating housing mismatch conflicts in Guangzhou, and offers transferable practical experience for comparable cities in China seeking to advance the high-quality development of new-type urbanization. Full article
24 pages, 9969 KB  
Article
Multisource Satellite Data-Driven Machine Learning Approach for Rice Yield Prediction
by Sudheer Kumar Tiwari, Vinay Kumar Srivastava and Sonam Agrawal
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2026, 15(6), 275; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi15060275 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Estimation of rice crop yield at the village level is essential because village is the Insurance Unit (IU) for rice crop in many regions in India, and timely and accurate yield information at this scale supports timely and transparent claim settlements for farmers [...] Read more.
Estimation of rice crop yield at the village level is essential because village is the Insurance Unit (IU) for rice crop in many regions in India, and timely and accurate yield information at this scale supports timely and transparent claim settlements for farmers and supports local agricultural planning. To achieve this, a multi-source satellite data-based machine learning approach was used to estimate rice yield at the village level using optical and SAR data, climatic data and land surface model-derived parameters in Kakinada of Andhra Pradesh, India. The predictor dataset included seasonal cumulative rainfall, seasonal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)-Max, seasonal NDVI-Mean, seasonal Land Surface Water Index (LSWI)-Max, seasonal LSWI-Mean, season total Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (fAPAR) and season total Root Zone Soil Moisture (RZSM), and season total backscatter of the Sentinel-1 VH polarization were used to represent crop greenness, moisture status, photosynthetic activity, soil water availability, canopy structure, and seasonal water supply. For model development and validation, village-level rice yield data from 2017 to 2023 was used, which was collected through Crop Cutting Experiment (CCE) at the maturity stage of Kharif season. In this study, four machine learning models such as Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Gradient Boosting (GB) were evaluated. The multi-source satellite data and yield data for the period 2017–2021 were used to train the models, which were independently tested on 2022 data and then applied to predict the rice yield in 2023. Leave-One-Year-Out (LOYO) cross-validation was also conducted on the 2017–2022 data to assess temporal robustness and generalization capability across years. Among the evaluated models, Random Forest exhibited the best overall performance. For the independent test year 2022, RF achieved an R2 of 0.465, RMSE of 415.34 kg ha−1, MAE of 322.22 kg ha−1, and MAPE of 10.36%. For the prediction year 2023, RF achieved improved accuracy with an R2 of 0.838, RMSE of 325.75 kg ha−1, MAE of 262.21 kg ha−1, and MAPE of 7.68%. Further, LOYO cross-validation also showed the robustness of RF, achieving the highest mean R2 of 0.702 and mean RMSE of 384.73 kg ha−1. The results illustrate that multi-source satellite data combined with machine learning can be a reliable and operationally useful tool in predicting village-level rice yield, which can be used for crop insurance claim settlement. Full article
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20 pages, 7893 KB  
Article
Substantial Divergence in the Evolutionary Trajectories of Water Conservation Function Under Different Land Use and Climate Change Scenarios
by Ligang Wang, Suqiong Li, Kangwen Zhu, Demei Zhao, Dan Song, Wei Huang, Sheng Zhang and Xiangyuan Su
Land 2026, 15(6), 1084; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15061084 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Focusing on contrasting climate and land use pathways, this analysis explores the changing trajectories of water conservation function over time. An integrated framework combining the PLUS and InVEST models with Spearman’s correlation analysis and geographically weighted regression (GWR) was applied to examine the [...] Read more.
Focusing on contrasting climate and land use pathways, this analysis explores the changing trajectories of water conservation function over time. An integrated framework combining the PLUS and InVEST models with Spearman’s correlation analysis and geographically weighted regression (GWR) was applied to examine the spatiotemporal heterogeneity and underlying drivers of water conservation function in the Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Zone during the period 2000–2020. Thus, it further predicted the evolution trend under two scenarios, namely SSP1-1.9 (Sustainable Development Pathway) and SSP2-4.5 (Medium Development Pathway), for the period 2030–2050. The findings reveal that: (1) Between 2000 and 2020, the spatial distribution of water conservation function shifted markedly, with low-value areas contracting and high-value zones expanding, alongside a progressive transition toward a predominantly medium-to-high functional structure. (2) In mountainous and hilly transition zones, precipitation (PRE) and forest cover proportion (FCP) exhibited notably positive effects, whereas evapotranspiration (PET) exerted a negative effect. In contrast, in plain and urbanized areas, built-up land proportion (BUP), population density (POP), and gross domestic product density (GDP) demonstrated pronounced negative effects. (3) Future simulations indicate that under the sustainable development pathway (SSP1-1.9), the combined area of high and extreme functional zones will recover by 2050, whereas under the moderate development pathway (SSP2-4.5), such extreme functional zones will be nearly eliminated. These results underscore the substantial impact of development pathways on regional water security and sustainability. Full article
43 pages, 4497 KB  
Article
OATS-RS: Ontology-Aware Adaptive and Selective Zero-Shot Scene Classification for Remote Sensing
by János Horváth
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(12), 2038; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18122038 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Zero-shot remote sensing is attractive for scene classification because new regions, sensors, and label taxonomies often appear before sufficient annotated data are available for supervised adaptation. We present OATS-RS, an inference-centric framework that keeps a remote sensing vision–language model (VLM) backbone frozen and [...] Read more.
Zero-shot remote sensing is attractive for scene classification because new regions, sensors, and label taxonomies often appear before sufficient annotated data are available for supervised adaptation. We present OATS-RS, an inference-centric framework that keeps a remote sensing vision–language model (VLM) backbone frozen and improves zero-shot decisions through ontology-aware prompt construction, hierarchical and contrastive scoring, adaptive multi-view aggregation, unlabeled transductive refinement, ambiguity-aware local re-ranking, and selective prediction. The method targets the common remote sensing regime in which neighboring classes such as annual crop, permanent crop, forest, pasture, herbaceous vegetation, river, and sea or lake overlap strongly in red–green–blue (RGB) appearance, meaning that they require more than a single class-name prompt. On the supplied final EuroSAT RGB evaluation with a GeoRSCLIP Contrastive Language–Image Pre-training (CLIP)-family Vision Transformer Base with 32 × 32-pixel patches (ViT-B-32) backbone, the complete pipeline obtains top-1 accuracy of 0.522, balanced accuracy of 0.522, macro-averaged F1 score (macro-F1) of 0.535, and top-3 accuracy of 0.887. The strongest classes are industrial area, residential area, river, highway, and pasture, whereas the weakest classes remain herbaceous vegetation and several fine-grained vegetation categories. Selective prediction increases accepted-example accuracy to 0.538 at 0.934 coverage, but the expected calibration error (ECE) remains high at 0.384. These results support a qualified conclusion: ontology-guided zero-shot inference can already recover useful semantic shortlists for structured remote-sensing scenes, but fine-grained natural-class disambiguation, calibrated confidence, multi-dataset transfer, component-level ablations, and measured runtime remain essential before dependable deployment claims can be made. Full article
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18 pages, 18982 KB  
Article
Assessment of Shoreline Dynamics in a Hurricane-Impacted Arid Region Using CoastSat and GIS Techniques
by Luis Valderrama-Landeros, Samuel Velázquez-Salazar and Francisco Flores-de-Santiago
Coasts 2026, 6(2), 25; https://doi.org/10.3390/coasts6020025 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Coastal zones are dynamic interfaces where land, ocean, and atmosphere interact, making them sensitive indicators of environmental change. However, quantifying shoreline movement across long distances and over multi-year timescales remains challenging using traditional ground-based methods alone. We conducted an analysis of environmental factors [...] Read more.
Coastal zones are dynamic interfaces where land, ocean, and atmosphere interact, making them sensitive indicators of environmental change. However, quantifying shoreline movement across long distances and over multi-year timescales remains challenging using traditional ground-based methods alone. We conducted an analysis of environmental factors and shoreline dynamics along a 58 km stretch of the arid Cabo Pulmo shoreline in Mexico from 2020 to 2026 using the CoastSat tool. The landscape is characterized by a diverse array of geographical features, including sandy beaches, granite cliffs, estuarine systems, and various anthropogenic structures. Results indicated a sea-level rise of 2 mm/year over the last 27 years, which is consistent with the reported range for the Pacific (1.8 to 3.8 mm/year). Notably, we observed an increasing trend of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes in the Mexican Pacific, with an average of 1 additional hurricane per decade (1950–2023). A total of 457 Sentinel-2 satellite images were used for automated analysis using the CoastSat platform, all of which were acquired under tidal conditions not exceeding 1 m. Our findings indicate that the granite cliffs show no detectable horizontal changes in the satellite images; however, their minimal vertical erosion contributes sediment to adjacent beaches. The most significant shoreline erosion was observed north of a marina breakwater, measuring −19.7 m, attributed to the disruption of littoral transport toward the southeast. In contrast, sandy beaches located in front of streams and estuaries—characterized by a lack of infrastructure (houses and breakwaters) and gentle slopes of 2° to 4°—demonstrated positive accretion of up to 5.9 m. According to the autoregressive distributed lag model, wave energy and hurricane-driven wind gusts are the primary agents of shoreline retreat, displacing sediment seaward to the continental shelf. Sea level rise exacerbates this retreat, while rainfall plays a minor but contributing role by transporting sediment during hurricanes in this arid region. This study highlights the effectiveness of CoastSat as a neural network-based tool for analyzing shoreline changes; however, we faced certain limitations, such as the absence of in situ beach profiles due to restricted access. Full article
24 pages, 3289 KB  
Article
Extreme Streamflow and Sediment Yield Responses and Seasonal Eco-Hydrological Stress in the Koshi River Basin Under a Warming and Wetting Climate
by Chengjiang Deng, Bo Kong, Huan Yu, Han Wang, Jianan Li, Kangkang Li and Yunfeng Gao
Water 2026, 18(12), 1502; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18121502 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
This study established a refined, distributed SWAT modeling framework that integrates elevation-band and snowmelt modules to reconstruct the alpine hydrological and sediment cycles of the Koshi River Basin (KRB) over the period 1990–2024, with climate scenarios constructed using the delta change approach. The [...] Read more.
This study established a refined, distributed SWAT modeling framework that integrates elevation-band and snowmelt modules to reconstruct the alpine hydrological and sediment cycles of the Koshi River Basin (KRB) over the period 1990–2024, with climate scenarios constructed using the delta change approach. The KRB, a major transboundary watershed traversing China, Nepal, and India, was selected owing to its critical hydro-climatic role under the destabilizing “Asian Water Tower”; it generates substantial sediment yield, hosts the densest concentration of hydropower potential within the Ganges system, and spans an extreme vertical gradient from Mount Everest to the southern alluvial plains. Results reveal accelerated warming at a rate of 0.21 °C per decade and an overall warming–wetting trend, punctuated by an abrupt interdecadal shift around 2015. Precipitation dominated interannual streamflow variability, with enhanced rainfall triggering basin-wide sediment surges that overwhelmed the natural buffering capacity of the land surface. Conversely, rising temperatures intensified actual evapotranspiration, markedly depleting soil water and reducing total water yield and monsoon runoff, although sustained snow and glacier melt effectively elevated the dry-season low-flow baseline. The integrated climate forcing reshaped the disparity between hydrological extremes, imposing severe seasonal eco-hydrological stress that manifested as a pre-monsoon deficit in terrestrial green water and acute summer sediment outbursts for aquatic habitats. Furthermore, the flood regime exhibited an altered distribution, with mid-to-high frequency floods enhanced while low-frequency extreme flood peaks declined. The hydro-sedimentological regime consequently exhibits pronounced nonlinear responses to climate change, providing a critical, threshold-based scientific foundation for adaptive transboundary water resource management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water and Climate Change)
38 pages, 3753 KB  
Article
Robust Semi-Active Control of Quadrotor UAV–Landing Gear for Touchdown-Induced Vibration Suppression Under Uncertain Conditions
by Aslı Durmuşoğlu
Mathematics 2026, 14(12), 2195; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14122195 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
The vertical landing of quadrotor unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) involves highly transient impact dynamics that generate significant vibrations on the UAV body, particularly under uncertain touchdown conditions such as uneven terrain, asymmetric ground contact, and high-impact landing. In this study, a robust semi-active [...] Read more.
The vertical landing of quadrotor unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) involves highly transient impact dynamics that generate significant vibrations on the UAV body, particularly under uncertain touchdown conditions such as uneven terrain, asymmetric ground contact, and high-impact landing. In this study, a robust semi-active vibration control framework is proposed for a quadrotor UAV equipped with a four-point soft landing gear system. The UAV is modeled as a three-degree-of-freedom rigid body including heave, pitch, and roll motions, while each landing gear leg is represented by an equivalent spring-damper mechanism with adaptively controllable damping characteristics. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed framework, PID (Proportional–Integral–Derivative), GA-PID (Genetic Algorithm-Based Proportional–Integral–Derivative), Fuzzy–PID (Fuzzy Logic-Based Proportional–Integral–Derivative), and ANFIS-PID (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System-Based Proportional–Integral–Derivative) controllers are comparatively investigated under five different landing scenarios. The nonlinear touchdown dynamics are implemented in the MATLAB/Simulink environment using a state-space-based simulation model. The results demonstrate that intelligent adaptive control methods significantly improve landing stability and vibration attenuation compared to the conventional PID controller. Among all methods, the ANFIS-PID controller achieved the best overall performance. Under the most severe landing condition, the peak vertical displacement was reduced from 0.114 m to 0.025 m, while the maximum pitch and roll angles decreased from approximately 11° to nearly 2°. Additionally, the settling time was reduced from nearly 10 s to below 3 s. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Nonlinear Dynamical Systems: Modeling, Control and Applications)
26 pages, 1695 KB  
Article
How Does Land Use Mix Drive Urban Vitality? Deconstructing the Systemic Mechanisms of “Ignite”, “Boost”, and “Cap-Siphon”
by Yuefei Zhuo, Hangang Hu and Guan Li
Systems 2026, 14(6), 699; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems14060699 (registering DOI) - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Urban vitality is regarded as a cornerstone of sustainable urban development. While land use mix (LUM) is widely acknowledged for fostering vitality, most empirical evidence relies on mean-effect models, neglecting the heterogeneous impacts across different vitality levels. This overlooks the complex, context-dependent nature [...] Read more.
Urban vitality is regarded as a cornerstone of sustainable urban development. While land use mix (LUM) is widely acknowledged for fostering vitality, most empirical evidence relies on mean-effect models, neglecting the heterogeneous impacts across different vitality levels. This overlooks the complex, context-dependent nature of LUM and risks perpetuating one-size-fits-all planning. Based on a theoretical framework that links LUM analysis with contemporary urban revitalization, public governance, and smart city development discussions, this study leverages a Spatial Durbin Quantile Regression (SDQR) framework with multi-source geospatial data from 511 blocks in Ningbo, China, to systematically investigate the distributional heterogeneity of LUM’s effects on urban vitality. We decompose LUM into “diversity”, “proximity”, and “coordination” dimensions, revealing three distinct mechanisms across the vitality spectrum. Results show “coordination” acts as a fundamental “ignite” mechanism, consistently driving vitality across all quantiles, especially in new towns and low-vitality areas. “Diversity” primarily serves as a “boost” mechanism, enhancing vitality in medium-to-high vitality areas, demonstrating a non-linear, conditional effect. Crucially, “proximity” exhibits a novel “cap & siphon” mechanism: its direct effect is often insignificant or negative in low-vitality areas (suggesting structural mismatch), while its significant negative spatial spillover effect (siphon effect) across all quantiles, particularly in low-vitality zones, highlights intense inter-area competition. Furthermore, LUM’s direct effects tend to diminish in high-vitality areas, indicating a saturation or “cap” effect. By revealing these heterogeneous impacts and spatial spillover dynamics, this research refines the boundary conditions of classic mixed-use propositions and provides a differentiated planning paradigm, moving from universal zoning to context-specific, stage-calibrated interventions that address areas based on their current vitality levels, spatial interactions and governance contexts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Systemic Governance in Smart Cities: Rethinking Urban Complexity)
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29 pages, 13140 KB  
Article
Modeling of Climate-Driven Socioeconomic Landslide Risk in a Tropical Andean Region
by Daniel Camilo Ortiz-Hernández, Carlos Alfonso Zafra-Mejía and Amed Bonilla Pérez
Hydrology 2026, 13(6), 161; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13060161 - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Landslides constitute one of the most lethal and costly hydrometeorological hazards at the global scale. There is a growing trend associated with the increase in extreme precipitation and the expansion of urban development on unstable slopes. In the tropical Andes, this problem is [...] Read more.
Landslides constitute one of the most lethal and costly hydrometeorological hazards at the global scale. There is a growing trend associated with the increase in extreme precipitation and the expansion of urban development on unstable slopes. In the tropical Andes, this problem is intensified under climate change scenarios. The objective of this study is to develop a logistic regression model to analyze socioeconomic risk due to landslides in the Bogotá Savannah (Colombia). An integrated risk model was developed using binary logistic regression and a socioeconomic vulnerability index. A total of 12 physical–biotic variables and SSP climate projections (2021–2040) were used. A GIS-based environment was implemented to generate prospective spatial risk scenarios. The model demonstrated high robustness and predictive capability, with an improvement in statistical goodness-of-fit of 8.2% (AIC: 2574–2367), adequate probabilistic calibration (Pseudo-R2: 0.675; Brier Score: 0.084), and excellent predictive performance (AUC: 0.935; sensitivity: 84.7%; specificity: 90.0%). Simulations estimated maximum risk probabilities close to 0.600 (scale between 0 and 1), concentrated in geomorphologically critical sectors. Simulations under SSP scenarios showed a progressive increase in risk toward 2040 (up to 0.673), associated with precipitation increases between 10 and 30%. Integrated modeling constitutes a reliable technical tool for land-use planning, climate adaptation, and prospective landslide risk management in urbanized Andean regions. Full article
24 pages, 4006 KB  
Article
Benchmarking Landsat-8 Collection 2 Level-2 Land Surface Temperature Accuracy Using SURFRAD Stations: Effects of Seasonality and Atmospheric Water Vapor
by Almustafa Abd Elkader Ayek, Mohannad Ali Loho, Nasser Ibrahem, Afnan Abdullah Alturki, Youssef M. Youssef and Mayada Abdelkader Abdelaziz
Atmosphere 2026, 17(6), 615; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17060615 (registering DOI) - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Land Surface Temperature (LST) is essential for climate monitoring, drought assessment, and urban heat analysis. Despite its importance, the Landsat-8 Collection 2 Level-2 (C2L2) LST product has not been rigorously validated using ground measurements—a critical gap this study addresses. We present the first [...] Read more.
Land Surface Temperature (LST) is essential for climate monitoring, drought assessment, and urban heat analysis. Despite its importance, the Landsat-8 Collection 2 Level-2 (C2L2) LST product has not been rigorously validated using ground measurements—a critical gap this study addresses. We present the first comprehensive accuracy assessment using 382 coincident satellite–ground observations collected from seven Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD) stations distributed across diverse climatic regions of the United States during the period 2023–2025. The validation results indicate strong overall agreement between satellite-derived and ground-measured temperatures, yielding an RMSE of 4.20 °C, a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.91, and a Pearson correlation coefficient (r) of 0.98. These statistics demonstrate the high reliability of the C2L2 LST product across a wide range of environmental conditions. Nevertheless, a systematic warm bias of 1.75 °C was observed, indicating a tendency toward temperature overestimation. Model performance exhibited pronounced seasonal variability. The highest accuracy was achieved during winter conditions (RMSE = 2.17 °C; r = 0.99), whereas performance declined considerably during summer months (RMSE = 5.84 °C; r = 0.91). Analysis of atmospheric water vapor content revealed significant associations with retrieval errors at high-elevation and arid locations, particularly at FPK (r = 0.78) and DRA (r = 0.75), based on 106 matched observations. These relationships provide important insight into the atmospheric factors contributing to seasonal variations in retrieval accuracy. Temperature-dependent analyses further demonstrated that retrieval uncertainty increases with surface temperature. Performance progressively deteriorated from cooler to warmer thermal regimes, with RMSE values increasing from approximately 2.05 °C for temperatures below 20 °C to 5.71 °C for temperatures exceeding 40 °C. Spatial evaluation also revealed substantial differences among stations. Relatively homogeneous, low-elevation sites exhibited superior performance (GWN: RMSE = 2.60 °C; SXF: RMSE = 2.55 °C), whereas stations located in mountainous or topographically complex environments showed reduced accuracy (TBL: RMSE = 5.14 °C; FPK: RMSE = 5.62 °C). These outcomes emphasize the influence of terrain complexity and atmospheric heterogeneity on LST retrieval performance. Overall, this study establishes the first comprehensive benchmark for evaluating the reliability of Landsat-8 C2L2 LST products. The results provide valuable guidance for their application in climate research, precision agriculture, hydrological modeling, and environmental monitoring. Furthermore, the findings identify specific environmental conditions requiring enhanced validation efforts and suggest opportunities for future algorithm refinement through improved atmospheric correction procedures and more accurate surface emissivity characterization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
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Abstract
Rethinking Species Distribution Modelling for Freshwater Fish Under Environmental Changes
by Ana Filipa Filipe, Janine da Silva and Virgilio Hermoso
Proceedings 2026, 146(1), 73; https://doi.org/10.3390/proceedings2026146073 (registering DOI) - 18 Jun 2026
Abstract
Introduction: Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are widely used to infer environmental drivers of freshwater fish distributions and to project biodiversity responses to climate and land-use change. However, freshwater ecosystems present specific conceptual and methodological challenges, including dendritic network structure, strong spatial autocorrelation, [...] Read more.
Introduction: Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are widely used to infer environmental drivers of freshwater fish distributions and to project biodiversity responses to climate and land-use change. However, freshwater ecosystems present specific conceptual and methodological challenges, including dendritic network structure, strong spatial autocorrelation, dispersal constraints, and scale mismatches between biological processes and environmental predictors that remain insufficiently addressed. At the same time, emerging data sources such as environmental DNA (eDNA) and high-resolution remote sensing offer new opportunities to improve data coverage and ecological realism in SDMs. Methodology: Focusing on Iberian systems as illustrative case studies, here, we synthesize the following recent advances and challenges in SDM applications to freshwater fishes: (i) the implications of using presence–absence versus abundance data; (ii) the integration of hydrological and connectivity metrics as predictors; (iii) approaches to explicitly account for spatial structure and biotic interactions; and (iv) the contribution of novel datasets, including eDNA and remote sensing. Furthermore, we examine the performance and transferability of correlative models under analogue and non-analogue climate conditions. Results: Our synthesis highlights the importance of incorporating network topology, seasonality, dispersal constraints, and novel data sources to improve ecological realism and predictive performance. The integration of emerging biodiversity and environmental data can substantially reduce data gaps and improve model calibration and validation, particularly in poorly sampled systems. Nonetheless, model transferability remains a challenge, particularly for endemic and range-restricted species. Advancing freshwater SDMs through the integration of hydrologically explicit frameworks and novel data sources will strengthen their capacity to support evidence-based management of freshwater fish assemblages facing accelerating environmental changes. Full article
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