Search Results (34)

This research addresses urban heat island intensification driven by urbanization using Dianchi Lake in Kunming, China, as a case study, aiming to quantitatively evaluate the spatial extent, intensity, and land cover sensitivity differences in the cooling effects of large urban water bodies across dry/wet seasons and complex urban landscapes (forest, cropland, and impervious surfaces) to provide a scientific basis for optimizing thermal environments in low-latitude plateau cities. Based on Landsat 8/9 satellite data from dry (January) and wet (May) seasons in 2020 and 2023 used for land surface temperature (LST) retrieval combined with land use data, buffer zone gradient analysis was adopted to quantify the spatial heterogeneity of key cooling indicators within 0–1500 m lakeshore buffers. The results demonstrated significant seasonal differences. The wet season showed a greater cooling extent (600 m) and higher intensity (6.0–6.6 °C) compared with the dry season (400 m; 2.4–3.9 °C). The land cover responses varied substantially, with cropland having the largest influence (600 m), followed by impervious surfaces (400 m), while forest exhibited a minimal effective cooling range (100 m) but localized warming anomalies at 200–400 m. Sensitivity analysis confirmed that impervious surfaces were the most sensitive to water-cooling, followed by cropland, whereas forest showed the lowest sensitivity. Full article

The increasing frequency, intensity, and duration of heatwaves and droughts pose significant societal and environmental challenges across Europe. This study analyzes land surface temperature (LST) observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) between 2003 and 2023 to identify thermal anomalies associated with heatwaves. Additionally, this study examines the role of different land cover types in modulating heatwave impacts, employing turbulent flux observations from micrometeorological towers. The interaction between heatwaves and droughts is further explored using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and soil moisture data, highlighting the amplifying role of water stress through land–atmosphere feedbacks. The results reveal a statistically significant upward trend in LST-derived thermal anomalies, with the 2022 heatwave identified as the most extreme event, when approximately 75% of Europe experienced strong positive anomalies. On average, 91% of heatwave episodes identified in reanalysis-based air temperature records coincided with LST-defined anomaly events, confirming LST as a robust proxy for heatwave detection. Flux tower observations show that, during heatwaves, evergreen coniferous and mixed forests predominantly enhance sensible heat fluxes (mean anomalies during midday of 74 W/m² and 62 W/m², respectively), while grasslands exhibit increased latent heat flux (89 W/m²). Notably, under extreme compound heat–drought conditions, this pattern reverses for grassed sites due to rapid soil moisture depletion. Overall, the findings underscore the combined influence of surface temperature and drought in driving extreme heat events and introduce a novel, multi-source approach that integrates satellite, reanalysis, and ground-based data to assess heatwave dynamics across scales. Full article

The 1688 Sannio–Matese earthquake, with a macroseismically derived magnitude of M_w = 7 and an epicentral intensity of I_MCS = XI, had a deep impact on Southern Italy, causing thousands of casualties, extensive damage and significant environmental effects (EEEs) in the epicentral area. Despite a comprehensive knowledge of its economic and social impacts, information regarding the earthquake’s environmental effects remains poorly studied and far from complete, hindering accurate intensity calculations by the Environmental Seismic Intensity Scale (ESI-07). This study aims to address this knowledge gap by compiling a thorough dataset of the EEEs induced by the earthquake. By consulting over one hundred historical, geological and scientific reports, we have collected and classified, using the ESI-07 scale, its primary and secondary EEEs, most of which were previously undocumented in the literature. We verified the historical sources regarding some of these effects through reconnaissance field mapping. Analysis of the obtained dataset reveals some primary effects (surface faulting) and extensive secondary effects, such as slope movements, ground cracks, hydrological anomalies, liquefaction and gas exhalation, which affected numerous towns. These findings enabled us to reassess the Sannio earthquake intensity, considering its environmental impact and comparing traditional macroseismic scales with the ESI-07. Our analysis allowed us to provide an epicentral intensity ESI of I = X, one degree lower than the published I_MCS = XI. This study highlights the importance of combining traditional scales with the ESI-07 for more accurate hazard assessments. The macroseismic revision provides valuable insights for seismic hazard evaluation and land-use planning in the Sannio–Matese region, especially considering the distribution of the secondary effects. Full article

Every year about fifty volcanoes erupt on average, posing a serious threat for populations living in the neighboring areas. To mitigate the volcanic risk, many satellite monitoring systems have been developed. Information from the medium infrared (MIR) and thermal infrared (TIR) bands of sensors such as the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) is commonly exploited for this purpose. However, the potential of daytime shortwave infrared (SWIR) observations from the Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR) aboard Sentinel-3 satellites in supporting the near-real-time monitoring of thermal volcanic activity has not been fully evaluated so far. In this work, we assess this potential by exploring the contribution of a normalized hotspot index (NHI) in the monitoring of the recent Home Reef (Tonga Islands) eruption. By analyzing the time series of the maximum NHI_SWIR value, computed over the Home Reef area, we inferred information about the waxing/waning phases of lava effusion during four distinct subaerial eruptions. The results indicate that the first eruption phase (September–October 2022) was more intense than the second one (September–November 2023) and comparable with the fourth eruptive phase (June–August 2024) in terms of intensity level; the third eruption phase (January 2024) was more difficult to investigate because of cloudy conditions. Moreover, by adapting the NHI algorithm to daytime SLSTR SWIR data, we found that the detected thermal anomalies complemented those in night-time conditions identified and quantified by the operational Level 2 SLSTR fire radiative power (FRP) product. This study demonstrates that NHI-based algorithms may contribute to investigating active volcanoes located even in remote areas through SWIR data at 500 m spatial resolution, encouraging the development of an automated processing chain for the near-real-time monitoring of thermal volcanic activity by means of night-time/daytime Sentinel-3 SLSTR data. Full article

Land surface anomalies refer to various activities on the Earth’s surface that consist of short-term and sudden changes due to external disturbances. These anomalies are closely related to the safety of human life and property. Remote sensing offers irreplaceable advantages such as broad coverage, high temporal dynamics, and comprehensive observations, so it is the most effective tool for monitoring land surface anomalies and measuring their intensities. However, existing studies have limitations such as unclear sensitivity features, uncertain applicability, and a lack of quantitative expression at different scales. Therefore, this study develops a quantitative assessment framework for land surface anomaly intensity across four scales: the pixel scale, structure scale, object scale, and scene scale. This framework enables an adaptive and flexible weight determination of the intensity of land surface anomalies from a satellite perspective. Using the Chongqing fire as an example of a land surface anomaly, this study evaluates its land surface anomaly intensity. Moreover, we demonstrate the method’s applicability to other land surface anomaly events, such as floods and earthquakes. The experiments reveal that the land surface anomaly intensity evaluation framework, which is constructed based on pixel-scale, structure-scale, object-scale, and scene-scale features, can quantitatively express the land surface anomaly intensity with an accuracy of 75.25% and more effectively represent severely affected areas. The weights of the features at the four scales sequentially decrease: structure scale (0.2974), pixel scale (0.3225), object scale (0.1867), and scene scale (0.1932). The extensive application of this method to other land surface anomaly events provides accurate quantitative expressions of the land surface anomaly intensity. This remote sensing-based multiscale feature assessment method is adaptable and applicable to various land surface anomalies and offers critical decision support for land surface anomaly intensity warning systems. Full article

Naples is the most densely populated Italian city (7744 inhabitants per km²). It is located in a particular geological context: the presence of Mt Vesuvius characterizes the eastern part, and the western part is characterized by the presence of the Phlegrean Fields, making Naples a high-geothermal-gradient region. This endogenous heat, combined with the anthropogenic heat due to intense urbanization, has defined Naples as an ideal location for Surface Urban Heat Island (SUHI) analysis. SUHI analysis was effectuated by acquiring the Land Surface Temperature (LST) over Naples municipality by processing Landsat 8 (L8) Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS) images in the 2013–2023 time series by employing Google Earth Engine (GEE). In GEE, two different approaches have been followed to analyze thermal images, starting from the Statistical Mono Window (SMW) algorithm, which computes the LST based on the brightness temperature (Tb), the emissivity value, and the atmospheric correction coefficients. The first one is used for the LST retrieval from daytime images; here, the emissivity component is derived using, firstly, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and then the Vegetation Cover Method (VCM), defining the Land Surface Emissivity (LSɛ), which considers solar radiation as the main source of energy. The second approach is used for the LST retrieval from nighttime images, where the emissivity is directly estimated from the Advance Spaceborne Thermal Emission Radiometer database (ASTER-GED), as, during nighttime without solar radiation, the main source of energy is the energy emitted by the Earth’s surface. From these two different algorithms, 123 usable daytime and nighttime LST images were downloaded from GEE and analyzed in Quantum GIS (QGIS). The results show that the SUHI is more concentrated in the eastern part, characterized by intense urbanization, as shown by the Corine Land Cover (CLC). At the same time, lower SUHI intensity is detected in the western part, defined by the Land Cover (LC) vegetated class. Also, in the analysis, we highlighted 40 spots (10 hotspots and 10 coldspots, both for daytime and nighttime collection) that present positive or negative temperature peaks for all the time series. Due to the huge amount of data, this work considered only the five representative spots that were most representative for SUHI analysis and determination of thermal anomalies in the urban environment. Full article

Surface urban heat islands (SUHIs) can extend beyond the urban boundaries and greatly affect the thermal environment of continuous regions over an agglomeration. Traditional urban-rural dichotomy depending on the built-up and non-urban lands is challenged in characterizing regional SUHIs, such as how to accurately quantify the intensity, spatial pattern, and scales of SUHIs, which are vulnerable to SUHIs, and what the optimal scale for conducting measures to mitigate the SUHIs. We propose a machine-learning-assisted solution to address these problems based on the thermal similarity in the Yangtze River Delta of China. We first identified the regional-level SUHI zone of approximately 42,328 km² and 38,884 km² and the areas that have no SUHI effects from the annual cycle of land surface temperatures (LSTs) retrieved from Terra and Aqua satellites. Defining SUHI as an anomaly on background condition, random forest (RF) models were further adopted to fit the LSTs in the areas without the SUHI effects and estimate the LST background and SUHI intensity at each grid point in the SUHI zone. The RF models performed well in fitting rural LSTs with a simulation error of approximately 0.31 °C/0.44 °C for Terra/Aqua satellite data and showed a good generalization ability in estimating the urban LST background. The RF-estimated daytime Aqua/SUHI intensity peaked at approximately 6.20 °C in August, and the Terra/SUHI intensity had two peaks of approximately 3.18 and 3.81 °C in May and August, with summertime RF-estimated SUHIs being more reliable than other SUHI types owing to the smaller simulation error of less than 1.0 °C in July–September. This machine-learning-assisted solution identified an optimal SUHI scale of 30,636 km² and a zone of approximately 23,631 km² that is vulnerable to SUHIs, and it provided the SUHI intensity and statistical reliability for each grid point identified as being part of the SUHI. Urban planners and decision-makers can focus on the statistically reliable RF-estimated summertime intensities in SUHI zones that have an LST annual cycle similar to that of large cities in developing effective strategies for mitigating adverse SUHI effects. In addition, the selection of large cities might strongly affect the accuracy of identifying the SUHI zone, which is defined as the areas that have an LST annual cycle similar to large cities. Water bodies might reduce the RF performance in estimating the LST background over urban agglomerations. Full article

Based on data from the Gurbantunggut Desert, the largest fixed/semi-fixed desert in China, and ERA5-Land reanalysis data, the long-term variations and spatial surface heat source (SHS) differences in the Gurbantunggut Desert are discussed herein. The results show the following: (1) The hourly SHS at the Kelameili station during the 2013–2021 period was a weak heat source at night; contrastingly, it was a strong heat source during the day. The duration of the hourly SHS increased gradually from January to July, but it decreased gradually from July to December. The daily SHS showed obvious seasonal variation, reaching the maximum in summer and the minimum in winter. The ERA5-Land reanalysis can reproduce all the variation characteristics of the SHS well. (2) The climatology (i.e., multi-year mean) of the monthly SHS intensity was lower than 50 W/m² during the January–March and September–December periods in the Gurbantunggut Desert, indicating a weak heat source. On the other hand, the climatology recorded in April–August was higher than 50 W/m², with a strong heat source. From the perspective of spatial distribution, the eastern and western regions of the Gurbantunggut Desert show strong heat sources, while the central region shows weak heat sources. The spatial distribution of the first and second modes of the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) decomposition reflected the consistent spatial variability and a north–south (or east–west) polarity variation of the monthly SHS in the Gurbantunggut Desert, respectively. (3) The yearly SHS showed negative anomalies during the 1950–1954, 1964–1982 and 2004–2015 periods, and positive anomalies during the 1955–1963, 1983–2003 and 2016–2021 periods in the Gurbantunggut Desert. Additionally, the time series of the SHS anomalies was positively correlated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) index. During the negative IPO phase, the yearly SHS showed a negative anomaly in the Gurbantunggut Desert, while the yearly SHS showed a positive anomaly during the positive IPO phase in most regions of the Gurbantunggut Desert. Full article

Scientific progress in the context of seismic precursors reveals a systematic mechanism, namely lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (LAIC), to elaborate the underlying physical processes related to earthquake preparation phases. In this study, a comprehensive analysis was conducted for two earthquakes that occurred on the sea coast through tidal force fluctuation to investigate ocean–lithosphere–atmosphere–ionosphere coupling (OLAIC), based on oceanic parameters (i.e., sea potential temperature and seawater salinity), air temperature and electron density profiles. The interrupted enhancement and diffusion process of thermal anomalies indicate that the intensity of seismic anomalies in the atmosphere is affected by the extent of land near the epicenter. By observing the evolution of the ocean interior, we found that the deep water was lifted and formed upwelling, which then diffused along the direction of plate boundaries with an “intensification-peak-weakening” trend under the action of the accelerated subduction of tectonic plates. Furthermore, the analysis shows that the seismic anomalies have two propagation paths: (i) along active faults, with the surface temperature rising as the initial performance, then the air pressure gradient being generated, and finally the ionosphere being disturbed; (ii) along plate boundaries, upwelling, which is the initial manifestation, leading to changes in the parameters of the upper ocean. The results presented in this study can contribute to understanding the intrinsic characteristics of OLAIC. Full article

Heatwaves in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) occur frequently but have received little attention over the years. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of a long-duration, wide-ranging, and high-intensity heatwave event in South America spanning from 9 to 16 January 2022. Before the heatwave occurred, the meridional sea surface temperature (SST) in the SH intensified due to the warming of the South Pacific, while the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) exhibited a positive phase. As a result, the intensified wave activities in the westerlies led to high-pressure anomalies in South America, which played a dominant role in the generation of the heatwave. The diagnostic analysis of thermodynamic equations in South America indicates that the temperature increase during the heatwave was primarily caused by the vertical advection term. In contrast, horizontal advection had a negative impact on surface warming. Additionally, the diabatic heating term associated with surface land types serves as a significant factor that cannot be disregarded. This study aims to deepen our understanding of the mechanisms underlying heatwave generation in South America, enabling the improved prediction of heatwaves and enhanced assessment of potential risks in the future. Full article

The published 95% uncertainty of the global surface air-temperature anomaly (GSATA) record through 1980 is impossibly less than the 2σ = ±0.25 °C lower limit of laboratory resolution of 1 °C/division liquid-in-glass (LiG) thermometers. The ~0.7 °C/century Joule-drift of lead- and soft-glass thermometer bulbs renders unreliable the entire historical air-temperature record through the 19th century. A circa 1900 Baudin meteorological spirit thermometer bulb exhibited intense Pb X-ray emission lines (10.55, 12.66, and 14.76 keV). Uncorrected LiG thermometer non-linearity leaves 1σ = ±0.27 °C uncertainty in land-surface air temperatures prior to 1981. The 2σ = ±0.43 °C from LiG resolution and non-linearity obscures most of the 20th century GSATA trend. Systematic sensor-measurement errors are highly pair-wise correlated, possibly across hundreds of km. Non-normal distributions of bucket and engine-intake difference SSTs disconfirm the assumption of random measurement error. Semivariogram analysis of ship SST measurements yields half the error difference mean, ±½Δε_1,2, not the error mean. Transfer-function adjustment following a change of land station air-temperature sensor eliminates measurement independence and forward-propagates the antecedent uncertainty. LiG resolution limits, non-linearity, and sensor field calibrations yield GSATA mean ±2σ RMS uncertainties of, 1900–1945, ±1.7 °C; 1946–1980, ±2.1 °C; 1981–2004, ±2.0 °C; and 2005–2010, ±1.6 °C. Finally, the 20th century (1900–1999) GSATA, 0.74 ± 1.94 °C, does not convey any information about rate or magnitude of temperature change. Full article

Over the last five decades, Pakistan experienced its worst drought from 1998 to 2002 and its worst flood in 2010. This study determined the record-breaking impacts of the droughts (1998–2002) and the flood (2010) and analyzed the given 12-year period, especially the follow-on period when the winter wheat crop was grown. We identified the drought, flood, and warm and cold edges over the plain of Punjab Pakistan based on a 12-year time series (2003–2014), using the vegetation temperature condition index (VTCI) approach based on Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data products. During the year 2010, the Global Flood Monitoring System (GFMS) model applied to the real-time Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall incorporated data products into the TRMM Multi-Satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) for the flood detection/intensity, stream flow, and daily accumulative precipitation, and presented the plain provisions to wetlands. This study exhibits drought severity, warm and cold edges, and flood levels using the VTCI drought-monitoring approach, which utilizes a combination of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) with land surface temperature (LST) data products. It was found that during the years 2003–2014, the VTCI had a positive correlation coefficient (r) with the cumulative precipitation (r = 0.60) on the day of the year (D-073) in the winter. In the year 2010, at D-201, there was no proportionality (nonlinear), and at D-217, a negative correlation was established. This revealed the time, duration, and intensity of the flood at D-201 and D-217, and described the heavy rainfall, stream flow, and flood events. At D-233 and D-281 during 2010, a significant positive correlation was noticed in normal conditions (r = 0.95 in D-233 and r= 0.97 in D-281 during the fall of 2010), which showed the flood events and normality. Notably, our results suggest that VTCI can be used for drought and wet conditions in both rain-fed and irrigated regions. The results are consistent with anomalies in the GFMS model using the spatial and temporal observations of the MODIS, TRMM, and TMPA satellites, which describe the dry and wet conditions, as well as flood runoff stream flow and flood detection/intensity, in the region of Punjab during 2010. It should be noted that the flood (2010) affected the area, and the production of the winter wheat crop has consistently declined from 19.041 to 17.7389 million tons. Full article

The Punjab region of Pakistan faced significant losses from flash flooding in 2010 and experienced a multiyear drought during 1998–2002. The current study illustrates the drought and flood conditions using the multi-satellite data products derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) as well as the TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) satellites with high-quality resolution in the region of Punjab during 2010–2014. To determine the drought and flood events, we used the Vegetation Temperature Condition Index (VTCI) drought monitoring approach combined with the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) to identify the warm and cold edges (WACE) in the provision of soil moisture as well as the VTCI imagery using the MODIS-Aqua data products. We assessed the 2010 flood effect on the four years (2011–2014) of drought conditions during winter wheat crop seasons. The obtained VTCI imagery and precipitation data were utilized to validate the drought and flood conditions in the year 2010 and the drought conditions in the years 2011–2014 during the winter-wheat-crop season. It is worth mentioning that over the four years (2011–2014) of the Julian day~D-041 year, the VTCI shows a stronger link with the accumulative precipitation anomaly (r = 0.77). It was found that for D-201 during the 2010 flood was the relationship was nonlinear, and in D-217, there was a negative relationship which revealed the flood timing, duration, and intensity. For D-281, a correlation (r = 0.97) was noted during fall 2010, which showed the drought and flood extreme conditions for the winter-wheat-crop season in the year 2010–2014. In regard to 2010, the Global Flood Monitoring System (GFMS) model employs the TRMM and TMPA data products to display the study region during the 2010 flood events and validate the VTCI results. This study’s spatial and temporal observations based on the observed results of the MODIS, TRMM, and TMPA satellites are in good agreement with dry and wet conditions as well as the flood runoff stream flow and flood intensity. It demonstrates the flood events with high intensity compared with the normality of flood with the complete establishment of flood events and weather extremes during the year of 2011–2014, thereby highlighting the natural hazards impacts. Our findings show that the winter wheat harvest was affected by the 2010 monsoon’s summer high rain and floods in the plain of Punjab (Pakistan). Full article

The frequency and intensity of extreme hot events have increased worldwide, particularly over the past couple of decades. Europe has been affected by unprecedented mega heatwaves, namely the events that struck Western Europe in 2003 and Eastern Europe in 2010. The year 2018 was also reported as an unusually hot year, with record-breaking temperatures in many parts of Europe during spring and summer, associated with severe and unusual wildfires and significant crop losses in central and northern Europe. We show the ability of Land Surface Temperature (LST), retrieved from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) onboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) to monitor heat extremes, using the 2018 European event as a showcase. The monitoring approach relies on monthly anomalies performed as departures from the median and the monthly number of hot days (NHD), both computed for satellite LST derived from MSG and MODIS, and for 2 m air temperature (T2m) from ERA5 reanalysis, using as threshold the 90th percentiles. Results show strong monthly LST anomalies during the spring and summer of 2018 extending over central and north Europe. Over a vast region in Central and Northern Europe, LST reached the last 15 years high record. Moreover, those outstanding warm LSTs persisted for more than four months. Results obtained using MODIS LST and ERA5 T2m show similar patterns, which, although slightly less intense, corroborate the exceptionality of the heat extremes observed over central and northern Europe during 2018. The spatial pattern of the number of monthly record high anomalies over the MSG observations period clearly depicts the regions in Northern and Central Europe affected by the complex phenomena that occurred in 2018, which resulted from the combined effect of an extreme heatwave in spring and summer with extensive dry conditions. Therefore, the results highlighted the suitability of MSG LST to evaluate and monitor heat extremes alone or combined with dry and bright conditions and prompts the potential of other climate data records from geostationary satellites to characterize these climate extremes that could become the norm in the near future over central and northern Europe. Full article

Nowadays, there has been a growing interest in understanding earthquake forerunners, i.e., anomalous variations that are possibly associated with the complex process of earthquake evolution. In this context, the Robust Satellite Technique was coupled with 10 years (2012–2021) of daily night-time MODIS-Land Surface Temperature remote sensing data to detect thermal anomalies likely related to the 27 September 2021, strong onshore earthquake of magnitude Mw6.0 occurring near the Arkalochori village in Central Crete, Greece. Eight intense (signal-to-noise ratio > 3) and infrequent, quite extensive, and temporally persistent thermal signal transients were detected and characterized as pre-seismic anomalies, while one thermal signal transient was identified as a co-seismic effect on the day of the main tectonic event. The thermal anomalies dataset was combined with tectonic parameters of Central Crete, such as active faults and fault density, seismogenic zones and ground displacement maps produced using Sentinel-1 satellite imagery and the Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar technique. Regarding the thermal anomaly of 27 September, its greatest portion was observed over the footwall part of the fault where a significant subsidence up to 20 cm exists. We suggest that the thermal anomalies are possibly connected with gas release which happens due to stress changes and is controlled by the existence of tectonic lines and the density of the faults, even if alternative explanations could not be excluded. Full article