Search Results (242)

The integrated assessment of watershed ecosystems is increasingly critical for sustainable water resource management amid global environmental change. Multi-source data integration—encompassing in situ monitoring, remote sensing, and model-based observations—has significantly expanded the spatial and temporal scales at which watershed processes can be analyzed. Concurrently, advances in model coupling strategies, ranging from loose to embedded architectures, have enabled more dynamic and holistic representations of interactions among hydrology, water quality, and ecological systems. However, a unifying operational framework that links multi-source data, cross-scale coupling, and rigorous uncertainty propagation to actionable, real-time decision support is still missing, largely due to gaps in interoperability and stakeholder engagement. Addressing these limitations demands the development of intelligent, adaptive modeling frameworks that leverage hybrid physics-informed machine learning, cross-scale process integration, and continuous real-time data assimilation. Open science practices and transparent model governance are essential for ensuring reproducibility, stakeholder trust, and policy relevance. The recent literature indicates that loose coupling predominates, physics-informed ML tends to generalize better in data-sparse settings, and uncertainty communication remains uneven. Building on these insights, this review synthesizes methods for data harmonization and cross-scale integration, compares coupling architectures and data assimilation schemes, evaluates uncertainty and interoperability practices, and introduces the Smart Integrated Watershed Eco-Assessment Framework (SIWEAF) to support adaptive, real-time, stakeholder-centered decision-making. Full article

Accurate real-time information about soil moisture (SM) at a large scale is essential for improving hydrological modeling, managing water resources, and monitoring extreme weather events. This study presents a framework using convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) network to produce short- (1, 3, and 7 days ahead) and mid-term (14 and 30 days ahead) forecasts of SM at surface (0–10 cm) and subsurface (10–40 and 40–100 cm) soil layers across the contiguous U.S. The model was trained with five-year period (2018–2022) datasets including Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) level 3 ancillary covariables, North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2 (NLDAS-2) SM product, shortwave infrared reflectance from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and terrain features (e.g., elevation, slope, curvature), as well as soil texture and bulk density maps from the Soil Landscape of the United States (SOLUS100) database. To develop and evaluate the model, the dataset was divided into three subsets: training (January 2018–January 2021), validation (2021), and testing (2022). The outputs were validated with observed in situ data from the Soil Climate Analysis Network (SCAN) and the United States Climate Reference Network (USCRN) soil moisture networks. The results indicated that the accuracy of SM forecasts decreased with increasing lead time, particularly in the surface (0–10 cm) and subsurface (10–40 cm) layers, where strong fluctuations driven by rainfall variability and evapotranspiration fluxes introduced greater uncertainty. Across all soil layers and lead times, the model achieved a median unbiased root mean square error (ubRMSE) of 0.04 cm³ cm⁻³ with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.61. Further, the performance of the model was evaluated with respect to both land cover and soil texture databases. Forecast accuracy was highest in coarse-textured soils, followed by medium- and fine-textured soils, likely because the greater penetration depth of microwave observations improves SM retrieval in sandy soils. Among land cover types, performance was strongest in grasslands and savannas and weakest in dense forests and shrublands, where dense vegetation attenuates the microwave signal and reduces SM estimation accuracy. These results demonstrate that the ConvLSTM framework provides skillful short- and mid-term forecasts of surface and subsurface soil moisture, offering valuable support for large-scale drought and flood monitoring. Full article

Geophysical and remote sensing observations offer powerful means to monitor large-scale hydrological changes, particularly in regions where in situ data are scarce. In this study, we integrate satellite-derived water storage from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) with land surface variables from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) to assess and forecast groundwater storage (GWS) dynamics across eight major regions in Sudan. Missing GRACE observations of terrestrial water storage (TWS) were first reconstructed using a Random Forest machine learning model, after which GWS anomalies were estimated by subtracting GLDAS-based surface and root-zone components from TWS. The resulting GWS time series was decomposed into trend, seasonal, and residual components, and the trend signals were used to train a bootstrapped Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) model. This framework generated probabilistic forecasts accompanied by confidence intervals, which were generally narrow and consistent with the historical range. The forecasted GWS anomalies indicate positive recovery across all regions, with Sen’s slope values ranging from 0.014 to 0.051 per month. The strongest recoveries are evident in the southern and southwestern regions, while northern and eastern areas display more modest gains. This work represents one of the first applications of deep learning with uncertainty quantification for GRACE-based groundwater analysis in Sudan, demonstrating the potential of such an integrated approach to support informed and sustainable groundwater management in data-limited environments. Full article

The satellite-derived climatic variables offer extensive spatial and temporal coverage for research; however, their inherent biases can subsequently reduce their accuracy for water balance estimate. This study evaluates the effectiveness of bias correction in improving the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall and the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) land surface temperature (LST) data and illustrates their long-term (2000–2019) hydrological assessment. The novelty lies in coupling the bias-corrected climate variables with the Thornthwaite–Mather water balance model as well as land use land cover (LULC) for improved predictive hydrological modeling. Bias correction significantly improved the agreement with ground observations, enhancing the R² value from 0.89 to 0.96 for temperature and from 0.73 to 0.80 for rainfall, making targeted inputs ready to predict hydrological dynamics. LULC mapping showed a predominance of agricultural land (64.5%) in the area followed by settlements (20.0%), forest (7.3%), barren land (6.5%), and water bodies (1.7%), with soils being silt loam, clay loam, and clay. With these improved datasets, the model found seasonal rise in potential evapotranspiration (PET), peaking at 120.7 mm in June, with actual evapotranspiration (AET) following a similar trend. The annual water balance showed a surplus of 523.8 mm and deficit of 121.2 mm, which proves that bias correction not only enhances the reliability of satellite data but also reinforces the credibility of hydrological indicators, with a direct, positive impact on evidence-based irrigation planning and flood mitigation and drought management, especially in data-scarce regions. Full article

This work aims at improving the accuracy of ensemble streamflow forecasts at short-to-medium ranges with the conditional bias-penalized regression (CBPR)-aided Meteorological Ensemble Forecast Processor (MEFP) and streamflow data assimilation (DA). To assess the potential impact of the CBPR-aided MEFP and streamflow DA, or CBPR-DA, 20-yr hindcast experiments were carried out using the Global Ensemble Forecast System version 12 reforecast dataset for 46 locations in the service areas of 11 River Forecast Centers of the US NWS. The results show that, relative to the current practice of using the MEFP and no DA, or MEFP-NoDA, CBPR-DA improves the accuracy of ensemble forecasts of 3-day flow over lead times of 0 to 3 days by over 40% for 4 RFCs and by over 20% for 9 of the 11 RFCs. The margin of improvement is larger where the predictability of precipitation is larger and the hydrologic memory is stronger. As the lead time increases, the margin of improvement decreases but still exceeds 10% for the prediction of 14-day flow over lead times of 0 to 14 days for all but 3 RFCs. Full article

Water masses are continuously redistributing across the Earth, so accurately estimating their availability is essential. Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSSs) have demonstrated potential for observing vertical deformations, which is partly driven by terrestrial water storage (TWS) variations. This capability has been used in hydrogeodesy to estimate TWS variations. However, GNSS data inversions are often ill-posed, requiring regularization for stable solutions. This study considers the Least Squares Collocation (LSC) statistical method as an alternative. LSC uses covariance functions to characterize observations, parameters, and their interdependence. By incorporating additional physical information into inverse models, LSC allows ill-posed problems stabilization. To assess LSC effectiveness, we apply it to observed and simulated GNSS vertical displacement on Haiti island. Hydrological signals are modeled using Global Land Data Assimilation (GLDAS) data. In sparse GNSS data regions, findings indicate poor agreement between TWS and hydrological input, with a Root-Mean-Square-Error (RMSE) of 115 kg/m², a correlation of 0.3, and a reduction of 73%. However, in dense simulated GNSS areas, TWS and hydrological input show strong agreement, with an RMSE of 41 kg/m², a correlation of 0.83, and a reduction of 92%. The results confirm LSC potentiality for assessing TWS changes and improving water quantification in dense GNSS station region. Full article

The objective of the study was to develop and validate a ground-based method using a depth image sensor equipped with depth, visible red, green, blue (RGB), and near-infrared bands to measure the leaf area index (LAI) based on the relative illuminance of foliage only. The method was applied in a Itajii chinkapin (Castanopsis sieboldii (Makino) Hatus. ex T.Yamaz. & Mashiba )forest in Aichi Prefecture, Japan, and validated by comparing estimates with conventional methods (LAI-2200 and fisheye photography). To apply the 5-band sensor to actual forests, a methodology is proposed for matching the color camera and near-infrared camera in units of pixels, along with a method for widening the exposure range through multi-step camera exposure. Based on these advancements, the RGB color band, near-infrared band, and depth band are converted into several physical properties. Employing these properties, each pixel of the canopy image is classified into upper foliage, lower foliage, sky, and non-assimilated parts (stems and branches). Subsequently, the LAI is calculated using the gap-fraction method, which is based on the relative illuminance of the foliage. In comparison with existing indirect LAI estimations, this technique enabled the distinction between upper and lower canopy layers and the exclusion of non-assimilated parts. The findings indicate that the plant area index (PAI) ranged from 2.23 to 3.68 m² m⁻², representing an increase from 33% to 34% compared to the LAI calculated after excluding non-assimilating parts. The findings of this study underscore the necessity of distinguishing non-assimilated components in the estimation of LAI. The PAI estimates derived from the depth image sensor exhibited moderate to strong agreement with the LAI-2200, contingent upon canopy rings (R² = 0.48–0.98), thereby substantiating the reliability of the system’s performance. The developed approaches also permit the evaluation of the distributions of leaves and branches at various heights from the ground surface to the top of the canopy. The novel LAI measurement method developed in this study has the potential to provide precise, reliable foundational data to support research in ecology and hydrology related to complex tree structures. Full article

The use of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model driven by China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets (CMADS) for runoff simulation research is of great significance for regional flood prevention and control. Therefore, from the perspective of production-living-ecological space, this article combined multi-source data such as DEM, soil texture and land use type, in order to construct scenarios of territorial spatial change (TSC) across distinct periods. Based on the CMADS-L40 data and the SWAT model, it simulated the runoff dynamics in the Xitiaoxi River Basin, and analyzed the hydrological response characteristics under different TSCs. The results showed that The SWAT model, driven by CMADS-L40 data, demonstrated robust performance in monthly runoff simulation. The coefficient of determination (R²), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), and the absolute value of percentage bias (|PBIAS|) during the calibration and validation period all met the accuracy requirements of the model, which validated the applicability of CMADS-L40 data and the SWAT model for runoff simulation at the watershed scale. Changes in territorial spatial patterns are closely correlated with runoff variation. Changes in agricultural production space and forest ecological space show statistically significant negative correlation with runoff change, while industrial production space change exhibits a significant positive correlation with runoff change. The expansion of production space, particularly industrial production space, leads to increased runoff, whereas the enlargement of agricultural production space and forest ecological space can reduce runoff. This article contributes to highlighting the role of land use policy in hydrological regulation, providing a scientific basis for optimizing territorial spatial planning to mitigate flood risks and protect water resources. Full article

Accurately monitoring terrestrial water storage (TWS) variations is essential due to global climate change and growing water demands. This study investigates TWS changes in Oregon, USA, using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data from the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory, Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) level-3 mascon data from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), and Noah model data from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) data. The results show that the GNSS inversion offers superior spatial resolution, clearly capturing a water storage gradient from 300 mm in the Cascades to 20 mm in the basin and accurately distinguishing between mountainous and basin areas. However, the GRACE data exhibit blurred spatial variability, with the equivalent water height amplitude ranging from approximately 100 mm to 145 mm across the study area, making it difficult to resolve terrestrial water storage gradients. Moreover, GLDAS exhibits limitations in mountainous regions. The GNSS can provide continuous dynamic monitoring, with results aligning well with seasonal trends seen in GRACE and GLDAS data, although with a 1–2 months phase lag compared to the precipitation data, reflecting hydrological complexity. Future work may incorporate geological constraints, region-specific elastic models, and regularization strategies to improve monitoring accuracy. This study demonstrates the strong potential of GNSS technology for monitoring TWS dynamics and supporting environmental assessment, disaster warning, and water resource management. Full article

A reliable precipitation dataset with high spatial resolution is essential for climate research in the Tarim Basin. This study evaluated the performances of four models, namely a random forest (RF), a long short-term memory network (LSTM), a support vector machine (SVM), and a feedforward neural network (FNN). FNN, which was found to be superior to the other models, was used to integrate eight precipitation datasets spanning from 1990 to 2022 across the Tarim Basin, resulting in a new monthly high-resolution (0.1°) precipitation dataset named MoHiPr-TB. This dataset was subsequently bias-corrected by the China Land Data Assimilation System version 2.0 (CLDAS2.0). Validation results indicate that the corrected MoHiPr-TB not only accurately reflects the spatial distribution of precipitation but also effectively simulates its intensity and interannual and seasonal variations. Moreover, MoHiPr-TB is capable of detecting the precipitation–elevation relationship in the Pamir Plateau, where precipitation initially increases and then decreases with elevation, as well as the synchronous variation of precipitation and elevation in the Tianshan region. Collectively, this study delivers a high-accuracy precipitation dataset for the Tarim Basin, which is anticipated to have extensive applications in meteorological, hydrological, and ecological research. Full article

The pronounced spatial heterogeneity of underlying surface characteristics within the parallel ridge–valley system of eastern Sichuan necessitated hydrological discretization of the watershed into nested subdomains comprising inter-ridge valley units and secondary slope cells. A distributed flood simulation framework specifically adapted to parallel ridge–valley topography was developed, coupled with a sequential intelligent parameter optimization algorithm. Model validation was conducted through the simulation of ninety flood events (2015–2023) in the Lishui watershed, a representative parallel ridge–valley basin. For parameter-calibrated sub-watersheds, mean relative errors of 13.8% (peak discharge) and 12.3% (runoff depth) were achieved, while non-calibrated watersheds exhibited marginally higher inaccuracies at 14.6% and 15.1%, respectively. Spatial parameter estimation was effectively implemented through the assimilation of limited hydrometeorological station data. The integrated modeling framework, incorporating terrain-adaptive parameterization and intelligent calibration protocols, demonstrated high-fidelity flood process simulation capabilities in complex parallel ridge–valley landscapes. Full article

Data-driven distributed hydrological models utilizing atmospheric assimilation are crucial for simulating hydrological processes, particularly in regions lacking historical observational data, and for managing and developing local water resources due to the impacts of climate change and human activities. The southern part of Yunnan is located at the southwestern border of China, and the small number of observation stations poses a major obstacle to local water-resource management and hydrological research. This paper carries out an evaluation of the accuracy of the China Atmospheric-Assimilation Dataset (CMADS) in southern Yunnan and uses CMADS data and measured data to drive the BTOPMC model to investigate hydrological processes in the Jinping River basin, a representative local sub-basin. The study shows that the probability density function statistic (SS) between CMADS data and the measured precipitation data is 0.941, and their probability density curves of precipitation are basically the same. The relative error of daily precipitation is −19%, with 90% of the daily precipitation error concentrated within ±10 mm/day, which increases as daily precipitation increases. This paper examines three precipitation scenarios to drive the hydrological model, resulting in Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) coefficients of 66.8%, 81.0%, and 83.9% for calibration, and 54.5%, 70.2%, and 74.5% for validation. These results indicate that CMADS data possesses a certain degree of applicable accuracy in southern Yunnan. Furthermore, the CMADS-driven BTOPMC model is suitable for simulating hydrological processes and conducting water-resource research in the region. The integration of CMADS data with actual measurement data can enhance the accuracy of hydrological simulations. Overall, the CMADS data have good applicability in southern Yunnan, and the CMADS-driven BTOPMC model can be used for hydrological modeling studies and water-resource management applications in southern Yunnan. Full article

Soil moisture (SM) estimates are essential for drought monitoring, hydrological modeling, and climate resilience planning applications. While satellite and model-derived SM products effectively capture SM dynamics, their coarse spatial resolutions (~10–36 km) hinder their ability to represent SM variability in heterogeneous landscapes influenced by local factors. This study proposes a novel downscaling framework that employs an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) on a cloud-computing platform to improve the spatial resolution and representation of multi-source SM datasets. A data analysis was conducted by integrating Google Earth Engine (GEE) with the computing capabilities of the python language through Google Colab. The framework downscaled Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis 5th Generation (ERA5-Land), and Famine Early Warning Systems Network Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) at 500 m for Kenya, East Africa. This was achieved by leveraging ten input variables comprising elevation, slope, surface albedo, vegetation, soil texture, land surface temperatures (day and night), evapotranspiration, and geolocations. The coarse SM datasets exhibited spatiotemporal consistency, with a standard deviation below 0.15 m³/m³, capturing over 95% of the variability in the original data. Validation against in situ SM data at the station confirmed the framework’s reliability, achieving an average UbRMSE of less than 0.04 m³/m³ and a correlation coefficient (r) over 0.52 for each downscaled dataset. Overall, the framework improved significantly in r values from 0.48 to 0.64 for SMAP, 0.47 to 0.63 for ERA5-Land, and 0.60 to 0.69 for FLDAS. Moreover, the performance of FLDAS and its downscaled version across all climate zone is consistent. Despite the uncertainties among the datasets, the framework effectively improved the representation of SM variability spatiotemporally. These results demonstrate the framework’s potential as a reliable tool for enhancing SM applications, particularly in regions with complex environmental conditions. Full article

Predictive uncertainty analysis focuses on defensible variability in model projected values after estimation of the posterior parameter distribution. Inverse-style parameter estimation selects posterior parameters through history matching where parameters are varied and resulting model simulation values are compared to observations, and parameters are selected balancing goodness-of-fit between simulated and observed values and expert knowledge. When inverse-style parameter estimation approaches are used, parameter sensitivity, which is the change in simulated outputs relative to the change in parameter values, is an important consideration. Variation in null space parameters has a limited impact on history matching skill; however, these parameters become important when they impact predictions. A new null space sensitivity analysis for ensemble methods of data assimilation (DA) using observation error models is developed and implemented for an integrated hydrological model. Empirical parameter sensitivity is estimated by comparing the spreads of prior and posterior parameter distributions. Sensitivity analysis is generated by an ensemble of models with insensitive parameters varying across the prior parameter distribution and sensitive parameters fixed to best-fit model values. The result is identification of insensitive aquifer storage parameters that change storage-related model predictions by as much as two times. This null space analysis describes uncertainty from data insufficiency. Ensemble methods using observation error models also describe predictive uncertainty from noisy measurements and imperfect models. Full article

The Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), a critical hydrological regulator for Asia through its extensive glacier systems, high-altitude lakes, and intricate network of rivers, exhibits amplified sensitivity to climate-driven alterations in precipitation regimes and ice mass balance. While the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its Follow-On (GRACE-FO) missions have revolutionized monitoring of terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSAs) across this hydrologically sensitive region, spatial resolution limitations (3°, equivalent to ~300 km) constrain process-scale analysis, compounded by mission temporal discontinuity (data gaps). In this study, we present a novel downscaling framework integrating temporal gap compensation and spatial refinement to a 0.25° resolution through Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural networks, an architecture optimized for univariate time series modeling. Through the assimilation of multi-source hydrological parameters (glacier mass flux, cryosphere–precipitation interactions, and land surface processes), the GRU-based result resolves nonlinear storage dynamics while bridging inter-mission observational gaps. Grid-level implementation preserves mass conservation principles across heterogeneous topographies, successfully reconstructing seasonal-to-interannual TWSA variability and also its long-term trends. Comparative validation against GRACE mascon solutions and process-based hydrological models demonstrates enhanced capacity in resolving sub-basin heterogeneity. This GRU-derived high-resolution TWSA is especially valuable for dissecting local variability in areas such as the Brahmaputra Basin, where complex water cycling can affect downstream water security. Our study provides transferable methodologies for mountainous hydrogeodesy analysis under evolving climate regimes. Future enhancements through physics-informed deep learning and next-generation climatology–hydrology–gravimetry synergy (e.g., observations and models) could further constrain uncertainties in extreme elevation zones, advancing the predictive understanding of Asia’s water tower sustainability. Full article