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Keywords = hazard indices

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15 pages, 3235 KiB  
Article
Research on the Characteristics of the Aeolian Environment in the Coastal Sandy Land of Mulan Bay, Hainan Island
by Zhong Shuai, Qu Jianjun, Zhao Zhizhong and Qiu Penghua
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1506; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081506 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The coastal sandy land in northeast Hainan Province is typical for this land type, also exhibiting strong sand activity. This study is based on wind speed, wind direction, and sediment transport data obtained at a field meteorological station using an omnidirectional sand accumulation [...] Read more.
The coastal sandy land in northeast Hainan Province is typical for this land type, also exhibiting strong sand activity. This study is based on wind speed, wind direction, and sediment transport data obtained at a field meteorological station using an omnidirectional sand accumulation instrument from 2020 to 2024, studying the coastal aeolian environment and sediment transport distribution characteristics in the region. Its findings provide a theoretical basis for comprehensively analyzing the evolution of coastal aeolian landforms and the evaluation and control of coastal aeolian hazards. The research results show the following: (1) The annual average threshold wind velocity for sand movement in the study area is 6.84 m/s, and the wind speed frequency (frequency of occurrence) is 51.54%, dominated by easterly (NE, ENE) and southerly (S, SSE) winds. (2) The drift potential (DP) refers to the potential amount of sediment transported within a certain time and spatial range, and the annual drift potential (DP) and resultant drift potential (RDP) of Mulan Bay from 2020 to 2024 were 550.82 VU and 326.88 VU, respectively, indicating a high-energy wind environment. The yearly directional wind variability index (RDP/DP) was 0.59, classified as a medium ratio and indicating blunt bimodal wind conditions. The yearly resultant drift direction (RDD) was 249.45°, corresponding to a WSW direction, indicating that the sand in Mulan Bay is generally transported in the southwest direction. (3) When the measured data extracted from the sand accumulation instrument in the study area from 2020 to 2024 were used for statistical analysis, the results showed that the total sediment transport rate (the annual sediment transport of the observation section) in the study area was 110.87 kg/m·a, with the maximum sediment transport rate in the NE direction being 29.26 kg/m·a. These results suggest that when sand fixation systems are constructed for relevant infrastructure in the region, the construction direction of protective forests and other engineering measures should be perpendicular to the net direction of sand transport. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Coastal Engineering)
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13 pages, 1755 KiB  
Article
Early Intrableb Features on Anterior Segment Swept-Source Optical Coherence Tomography Predict Surgical Success After Trabeculectomy in Uveitic and Neovascular Glaucoma
by Sangwoo Moon, Seungmin Lee and Jiwoong Lee
J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14(15), 5499; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14155499 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Background: This study aimed to evaluate prognostic factors of early filtering blebs using anterior segment swept-source optical coherence tomography (AS SS-OCT) in patients with uveitic and neovascular glaucoma. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 22 eyes from 22 patients who underwent [...] Read more.
Background: This study aimed to evaluate prognostic factors of early filtering blebs using anterior segment swept-source optical coherence tomography (AS SS-OCT) in patients with uveitic and neovascular glaucoma. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 22 eyes from 22 patients who underwent trabeculectomy (11 eyes each with uveitic or neovascular glaucoma). Intrableb characteristics were assessed using AS SS-OCT at 1 month, postoperatively. Surgical success was defined as intraocular pressure (IOP) ≤ 18 mmHg and ≥30% IOP reduction without medication at 12 months. Logistic regression was used to identify the prognostic factors associated with IOP control. Results: Sixteen eyes (72.7%) achieved surgical success, while six (27.3%) were unsuccessful. Eyes with successful IOP control at 12 months showed thicker and less reflective bleb walls with microcysts compared with unsuccessful cases of IOP control, in the early postoperative phase (all p < 0.033). However, IOP at the time of OCT did not significantly differ between the groups (p = 0.083). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that higher bleb wall reflectivity at 1-month post-trabeculectomy was significantly associated with a higher surgical failure rate at 12 months after trabeculectomy (hazard ratio = 1.072, p = 0.032). Conclusions: Early intrableb assessment using AS SS-OCT may be beneficial for managing filtering blebs after trabeculectomy in uveitic and neovascular glaucoma. Higher bleb wall reflectivity in the early post-trabeculectomy phase may indicate poor features of the filtering bleb, suggesting the need for timely interventions for refractory cases. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Glaucoma Surgery: Current Challenges and Future Perspectives)
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14 pages, 5448 KiB  
Article
A Study of Climate-Sensitive Diseases in Climate-Stressed Areas of Bangladesh
by Ahammadul Kabir, Shahidul Alam, Nusrat Jahan Tarin, Shila Sarkar, Anthony Eshofonie, Mohammad Ferdous Rahman Sarker, Abul Kashem Shafiqur Rahman and Tahmina Shirin
Climate 2025, 13(8), 166; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13080166 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The National Adaptation Plan of Bangladesh identifies eleven climate-stressed zones, placing nearly 100 million people at high risk of climate-related hazards. Vulnerable groups such as the poor, floating populations, daily laborers, and slum dwellers are particularly affected. However, there is a lack of [...] Read more.
The National Adaptation Plan of Bangladesh identifies eleven climate-stressed zones, placing nearly 100 million people at high risk of climate-related hazards. Vulnerable groups such as the poor, floating populations, daily laborers, and slum dwellers are particularly affected. However, there is a lack of data on climate-sensitive diseases and related hospital visits in these areas. This study explored the prevalence of such diseases using the Delphi method through focus group discussions with 493 healthcare professionals from 153 hospitals in 156 upazilas across 21 districts and ten zones. Participants were selected by district Civil Surgeons. Key climate-sensitive diseases identified included malnutrition, diarrhea, pneumonia, respiratory infections, typhoid, skin diseases, hypertension, cholera, mental health disorders, hepatitis, heat stroke, and dengue. Seasonal surges in hospital visits were noted, influenced by factors like extreme heat, air pollution, floods, water contamination, poor sanitation, salinity, and disease vectors. Some diseases were zone-specific, while others were widespread. Regions with fewer hospital visits often had higher disease burdens, indicating under-reporting or lack of access. The findings highlight the need for area-specific adaptation strategies and updates to the Health National Adaptation Plan. Strengthening resilience through targeted investment and preventive measures is crucial to reducing health risks from climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Climate and Environment)
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29 pages, 14336 KiB  
Article
Geospatial Mudflow Risk Modeling: Integration of MCDA and RAMMS
by Ainur Mussina, Assel Abdullayeva, Victor Blagovechshenskiy, Sandugash Ranova, Zhixiong Zeng, Aidana Kamalbekova and Ulzhan Aldabergen
Water 2025, 17(15), 2316; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152316 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
This article presents a comprehensive assessment of mudflow risk in the Talgar River basin through the application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods and numerical modeling using the Rapid Mass Movement Simulation (RAMMS) environment. The first part of the study involves a spatial [...] Read more.
This article presents a comprehensive assessment of mudflow risk in the Talgar River basin through the application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods and numerical modeling using the Rapid Mass Movement Simulation (RAMMS) environment. The first part of the study involves a spatial assessment of mudflow hazard and susceptibility using GIS technologies and MCDA. The key condition for evaluating mudflow hazard is the identification of factors influencing the formation of mudflows. The susceptibility assessment was based on viewing the area as an object of spatial and functional analysis, enabling determination of its susceptibility to mudflow impacts across geomorphological zones: initiation, transformation, and accumulation. Relevant criteria were selected for analysis, each assigned weights based on expert judgment and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The results include maps of potential mudflow hazard and susceptibility, showing areas of hazard occurrence and risk impact zones within the Talgar River basin. According to the mudflow hazard map, more than 50% of the basin area is classified as having a moderate hazard level, while 28.4% is subject to high hazard, and only 1.8% falls under the very high hazard category. The remaining areas are categorized as very low (4.1%) and low (14.7%) hazard zones. In terms of susceptibility to mudflows, 40.1% of the territory is exposed to a high level of susceptibility, 35.6% to a moderate level, and 5.5% to a very high level. The remaining areas are classified as very low (1.8%) and low (15.6%) susceptibility zones. The predictive performance was evaluated through Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of the mudflow hazard assessment is 0.86, which indicates good adaptability and relatively high accuracy, while the AUC value for assessing the susceptibility of the territory is 0.71, which means that the accuracy of assessing the susceptibility of territories to mudflows is within the acceptable level of model accuracy. To refine the spatial risk assessment, mudflow modeling was conducted under three scenarios of glacial-moraine lake outburst using the RAMMS model. For each scenario, key flow parameters—height and velocity—were identified, forming the basis for classification of zones by impact intensity. The integration of MCDA and RAMMS results produced a final mudflow risk map reflecting both the likelihood of occurrence and the extent of potential damage. The presented approach demonstrates the effectiveness of combining GIS analysis, MCDA, and physically-based modeling for comprehensive natural hazard assessment and can be applied to other mountainous regions with high mudflow activity. Full article
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86 pages, 96041 KiB  
Article
Sustainable Risk Mapping of High-Speed Rail Networks Through PS-InSAR and Geospatial Analysis
by Seung-Jun Lee, Hong-Sik Yun and Sang-Woo Kwak
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7064; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157064 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study presents an integrated geospatial framework for assessing the risk to high-speed railway (HSR) infrastructure, combining a persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) analysis with multi-criteria decision-making in a geographic information system (GIS) environment. Focusing on the Honam HSR corridor in [...] Read more.
This study presents an integrated geospatial framework for assessing the risk to high-speed railway (HSR) infrastructure, combining a persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) analysis with multi-criteria decision-making in a geographic information system (GIS) environment. Focusing on the Honam HSR corridor in South Korea, the model incorporates both maximum ground deformation and subsidence velocity to construct a dynamic hazard index. Social vulnerability is quantified using five demographic and infrastructural indicators, and a two-stage analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is applied with dependency correction to mitigate inter-variable redundancy. The resulting high-resolution risk maps highlight spatial mismatches between geotechnical hazards and social exposure, revealing vulnerable segments in Gongju and Iksan that require prioritized maintenance and mitigation. The framework also addresses data limitations by interpolating groundwater levels and estimating train speed using spatial techniques. Designed to be scalable and transferable, this methodology offers a practical decision-support tool for infrastructure managers and policymakers aiming to enhance the resilience of linear transport systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hazards and Sustainability)
13 pages, 1476 KiB  
Article
Molecular Detection and Antibiogram of Bacteria and Fungi in Table Eggs Under Different Storage Durations with Organoleptic Properties
by Md Shahab Uddin, Md Ahosanul Haque Shahid, Saiduzzaman, Marzia Rahman and K. H. M. Nazmul Hussain Nazir
Bacteria 2025, 4(3), 40; https://doi.org/10.3390/bacteria4030040 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study was undertaken to identify foodborne bacteria and fungi from different parts of eggs depending on their storage duration, organoleptic properties, total viable count, and antibiotic resistance profile. Thirty-two samples were randomly collected from commercial layer farms in Mymensingh. Following the protocol [...] Read more.
This study was undertaken to identify foodborne bacteria and fungi from different parts of eggs depending on their storage duration, organoleptic properties, total viable count, and antibiotic resistance profile. Thirty-two samples were randomly collected from commercial layer farms in Mymensingh. Following the protocol of sample preparation, outer-surface and inner-content samples were streaked onto various selective media. Isolation and identification were carried out by observing Gram staining and biochemical properties. Molecular detection was confirmed through a PCR assay using specific primers for Salmonella spp., E. coli, Staphylococcus spp., and fungus (Simplicillium spp. and Saccharomyces spp.). To determine the antibiotic resistance profile, the disk diffusion method was followed against nine antibiotic disks. The isolation rate of E. coli, Salmonella spp., and Staphylococcus spp. was 53.13%, 40.63%, and 40.63%, respectively, in the outer eggshell and 15.63%, 25%, and 15.63%, respectively, in the inner content of the eggs. Regarding the fungus content (yeast and mold), 100% was obtained in the outer eggshell, whereas there was an absence of fungus in the inner content. It was observed that all the isolates of E. coli, Salmonella spp., and Staphylococcus spp. were highly sensitive to either Ciprofloxacin or Levofloxacin and extremely resistant to Amoxicillin or Azithromycin drug disks or both. The data also shows that storage duration had a proportional relationship with TVC and an inversely proportional relationship with organoleptic properties. This study indicates that eggs harbor multidrug-resistant foodborne bacteria, which might constitute a public health hazard if these antibiotic-resistant bacteria are transferred to humans. Full article
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42 pages, 5770 KiB  
Review
Echoes from Below: A Systematic Review of Cement Bond Log Innovations Through Global Patent Analysis
by Lim Shing Wang, Muhammad Haarith Firdaous and Pg Emeroylariffion Abas
Inventions 2025, 10(4), 67; https://doi.org/10.3390/inventions10040067 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 206
Abstract
Maintaining well integrity is essential in the oil and gas industry to prevent environmental hazards, operational risks, and economic losses. Cement bond log (CBL) tools are essential in evaluating cement bonding and ensuring wellbore stability. This study presents a patent landscape review of [...] Read more.
Maintaining well integrity is essential in the oil and gas industry to prevent environmental hazards, operational risks, and economic losses. Cement bond log (CBL) tools are essential in evaluating cement bonding and ensuring wellbore stability. This study presents a patent landscape review of CBL technologies, based on 3473 patent documents from the Lens.org database. After eliminating duplicates and irrelevant entries, 167 granted patents were selected for in-depth analysis. These were categorized by technology type (wave, electrical, radiation, neutron, and other tools) and by material focus (formation, casing, cement, and borehole fluid). The findings reveal a dominant focus on formation evaluation (59.9%) and a growing reliance on wave-based (22.2%) and other advanced tools (25.1%), indicating a shift toward high-precision diagnostics. Geographically, 75% of granted patents were filed through the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, and 97.6% were held by companies, underscoring the dominance of corporate innovation and the minimal presence of academia and individuals. The review also identifies notable patents that reflect significant technical innovations and discusses their role in advancing diagnostic capabilities. These insights emphasize the need for broader collaboration and targeted research to advance well integrity technologies in line with industry goals for operational performance and safety. Full article
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25 pages, 28131 KiB  
Article
Landslide Susceptibility Assessment in Ya’an Based on Coupling of GWR and TabNet
by Jiatian Li, Ruirui Wang, Wei Shi, Le Yang, Jiahao Wei, Fei Liu and Kaiwei Xiong
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2678; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152678 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 328
Abstract
Landslides are destructive geological hazards, making accurate landslide susceptibility assessment essential for disaster prevention and mitigation. However, existing studies often lack scientific rigor in negative sample construction and have unclear model applicability. This study focuses on Ya’an City, Sichuan Province, China, and proposes [...] Read more.
Landslides are destructive geological hazards, making accurate landslide susceptibility assessment essential for disaster prevention and mitigation. However, existing studies often lack scientific rigor in negative sample construction and have unclear model applicability. This study focuses on Ya’an City, Sichuan Province, China, and proposes an innovative approach to negative sample construction using Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), which is then integrated with Tabular Network (TabNet), a deep learning architecture tailored to structured tabular data, to assess landslide susceptibility. The performance of TabNet is compared against Random Forest, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, deep neural networks, and Residual Networks. The experimental results indicate that (1) the GWR-based sampling strategy substantially improves model performance across all tested models; (2) TabNet trained using the GWR-based negative samples achieves superior performance over all other evaluated models, with an average AUC of 0.9828, exhibiting both high accuracy and interpretability; and (3) elevation, land cover, and annual Normalized Difference Vegetation Index are identified as dominant predictors through TabNet’s feature importance analysis. The results demonstrate that combining GWR and TabNet substantially enhances landslide susceptibility modeling by improving both accuracy and interpretability, establishing a more scientifically grounded approach to negative sample construction, and providing an interpretable, high-performing modeling framework for geological hazard risk assessment. Full article
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19 pages, 2157 KiB  
Article
WEEE Glass as a Sustainable Supplementary Cementitious Material: Experimental Analysis on Strength, Durability and Ecotoxic Performance of Mortars
by Raphaele Malheiro, André Lemos, Aires Camões, Duarte Ferreira, Juliana Alves and Cristina Quintelas
Sci 2025, 7(3), 107; https://doi.org/10.3390/sci7030107 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 194
Abstract
This study investigates the use of waste glass powder derived from fluorescent lamps as a partial replacement for cement in mortar production, aiming to valorize this Waste from Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) and enhance sustainability in the construction sector. Mortars were formulated [...] Read more.
This study investigates the use of waste glass powder derived from fluorescent lamps as a partial replacement for cement in mortar production, aiming to valorize this Waste from Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) and enhance sustainability in the construction sector. Mortars were formulated by substituting 25% of cement by volume with glass powders from fluorescent lamp glass and green bottle glass. The experimental program evaluated mechanical strength, durability parameters and ecotoxicological performance. Results revealed that clean fluorescent lamp mortars showed the most promising mechanical behavior, exceeding the reference in long-term compressive (54.8 MPa) and flexural strength (10.0 MPa). All glass mortars exhibited significantly reduced chloride diffusion coefficients (85–89%) and increased electrical resistivity (almost 4 times higher), indicating improved durability. Leaching tests confirmed that the incorporation of fluorescent lamp waste did not lead to hazardous levels of heavy metals in the cured mortars, suggesting effective encapsulation. By addressing both technical (mechanical and durability) and ecotoxic performance, this research contributes in an original and relevant way to the development of more sustainable building materials. Full article
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20 pages, 489 KiB  
Article
Development of Preliminary Candidate Surface Guidelines for Air Force-Relevant Dermal Sensitizers Using New Approach Methodologies
by Andrew J. Keebaugh, Megan L. Steele, Argel Islas-Robles, Jakeb Phillips, Allison Hilberer, Kayla Cantrell, Yaroslav G. Chushak, David R. Mattie, Rebecca A. Clewell and Elaine A. Merrill
Toxics 2025, 13(8), 660; https://doi.org/10.3390/toxics13080660 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 153
Abstract
Allergic contact dermatitis (ACD) is an immunologic reaction to a dermal chemical exposure that, once triggered in an individual, will result in an allergic response following subsequent encounters with the allergen. Air Force epidemiological consultations have indicated that aircraft structural maintenance workers may [...] Read more.
Allergic contact dermatitis (ACD) is an immunologic reaction to a dermal chemical exposure that, once triggered in an individual, will result in an allergic response following subsequent encounters with the allergen. Air Force epidemiological consultations have indicated that aircraft structural maintenance workers may experience ACD at elevated rates compared to other occupations. We aimed to better understand the utility of non-animal testing methods in characterizing the sensitization potential of chemicals used during Air Force operations by evaluating the skin sensitization hazard of Air Force-relevant chemicals using new approach methodologies (NAMs) in a case study. We also evaluated the use of NAM data to develop preliminary candidate surface guidelines (PCSGs, maximum concentrations of chemicals on workplace surfaces to prevent induction of dermal sensitization) for chemicals identified as sensitizers. NAMs for assessing skin sensitization, including in silico models and experimental assays, were leveraged into an integrated approach to predict sensitization hazard for 19 chemicals. Local lymph node assay effective concentration values were predicted from NAM assay data via previously published quantitative models. The derived values were used to calculate PCSGs, which can be used to compare the presence of these chemicals on work surfaces to better understand the risk of Airmen developing ACD from occupational exposures. Full article
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32 pages, 2702 KiB  
Article
Research on Safety Vulnerability Assessment of Subway Station Construction Based on Evolutionary Resilience Perspective
by Leian Zhang, Junwu Wang, Miaomiao Zhang and Jingyi Guo
Buildings 2025, 15(15), 2732; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15152732 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 259
Abstract
With the continuous increase in urban population, the subway is the main way to alleviate traffic congestion. However, the construction environment of subway stations is complex, and the safety risks are extremely high. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to scientifically and [...] Read more.
With the continuous increase in urban population, the subway is the main way to alleviate traffic congestion. However, the construction environment of subway stations is complex, and the safety risks are extremely high. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to scientifically and systematically evaluate the safety vulnerability of subway station construction. This paper takes the Chengdu subway project as an example, and establishes a metro station construction safety vulnerability evaluation index system based on the driving forces–pressures–state–impacts–responses (DPSIR) theory with 5 first-level indexes and 23 second-level indexes, and adopts the fuzzy hierarchical analysis method (FAHP) to calculate the subjective weights, and the improved Harris Hawks optimization–projection pursuit method (HHO-PPM) to determine the objective weights, combined with game theory to calculate the comprehensive weights of the indicators, and finally uses the improved cloud model of Bayesian feedback to determine the vulnerability level of subway station construction safety. The study found that the combined empowerment–improvement cloud model assessment method is reliable, and the case study verifies that the vulnerability level of the project is “very low risk”, and the investigations of safety hazards and the pressure of surrounding traffic are the key influencing factors, allowing for the proposal of more scientific and effective management strategies for the construction of subway stations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Construction Management, and Computers & Digitization)
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27 pages, 6443 KiB  
Article
The Effects of the Choice of Liquefaction Criteria on Liquefaction in Soils with Plastic Fines
by Carmine Polito
J 2025, 8(3), 27; https://doi.org/10.3390/j8030027 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 87
Abstract
Cyclic triaxial tests are widely used in laboratory studies to assess the liquefaction susceptibility of soils. Although standardized procedures exist for conducting these tests, there is no universally accepted criterion for defining liquefaction. The choice of a liquefaction criterion significantly influences the interpretation [...] Read more.
Cyclic triaxial tests are widely used in laboratory studies to assess the liquefaction susceptibility of soils. Although standardized procedures exist for conducting these tests, there is no universally accepted criterion for defining liquefaction. The choice of a liquefaction criterion significantly influences the interpretation of test results and subsequent engineering analyses. This study evaluates the impact of different liquefaction criteria by analyzing 42 cyclic triaxial tests performed on soil mixtures containing plastic fines. Both stress-based and strain-based liquefaction criteria were applied to assess their influence on test outcomes. The analyses focused on two key parameters: the number of loading cycles required to initiate liquefaction and the normalized dissipated energy per unit volume needed for liquefaction to occur. Results indicate that for soils susceptible to liquefaction failures, these parameters remain relatively consistent across different failure criteria. However, for soils prone to cyclic mobility failures, the number of loading cycles and the dissipated energy required for liquefaction vary significantly depending on the selected failure criterion. These findings highlight the importance of carefully selecting a liquefaction criterion, as it directly affects the assessment of soil behavior under cyclic loading. A better understanding of these variations can improve the accuracy of liquefaction susceptibility evaluations and inform geotechnical design and hazard mitigation strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Engineering)
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26 pages, 3030 KiB  
Article
Predicting Landslide Susceptibility Using Cost Function in Low-Relief Areas: A Case Study of the Urban Municipality of Attecoube (Abidjan, Ivory Coast)
by Frédéric Lorng Gnagne, Serge Schmitz, Hélène Boyossoro Kouadio, Aurélia Hubert-Ferrari, Jean Biémi and Alain Demoulin
Earth 2025, 6(3), 84; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030084 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 192
Abstract
Landslides are among the most hazardous natural phenomena affecting Greater Abidjan, causing significant economic and social damage. Strategic planning supported by geographic information systems (GIS) can help mitigate potential losses and enhance disaster resilience. This study evaluates landslide susceptibility using logistic regression and [...] Read more.
Landslides are among the most hazardous natural phenomena affecting Greater Abidjan, causing significant economic and social damage. Strategic planning supported by geographic information systems (GIS) can help mitigate potential losses and enhance disaster resilience. This study evaluates landslide susceptibility using logistic regression and frequency ratio models. The analysis is based on a dataset comprising 54 mapped landslide scarps collected from June 2015 to July 2023, along with 16 thematic predictor variables, including altitude, slope, aspect, profile curvature, plan curvature, drainage area, distance to the drainage network, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and an urban-related layer. A high-resolution (5-m) digital elevation model (DEM), derived from multiple data sources, supports the spatial analysis. The landslide inventory was randomly divided into two subsets: 80% for model calibration and 20% for validation. After optimization and statistical testing, the selected thematic layers were integrated to produce a susceptibility map. The results indicate that 6.3% (0.7 km2) of the study area is classified as very highly susceptible. The proportion of the sample (61.2%) in this class had a frequency ratio estimated to be 20.2. Among the predictive indicators, altitude, slope, SE, S, NW, and NDVI were found to have a positive impact on landslide occurrence. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), demonstrating strong predictive capability. These findings can support informed land-use planning and risk reduction strategies in urban areas. Furthermore, the prediction model should be communicated to and understood by local authorities to facilitate disaster management. The cost function was adopted as a novel approach to delineate hazardous zones. Considering the landslide inventory period, the increasing hazard due to climate change, and the intensification of human activities, a reasoned choice of sample size was made. This informed decision enabled the production of an updated prediction map. Optimal thresholds were then derived to classify areas into high- and low-susceptibility categories. The prediction map will be useful to planners in helping them make decisions and implement protective measures. Full article
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25 pages, 3746 KiB  
Article
Empirical Modelling of Ice-Jam Flood Hazards Along the Mackenzie River in a Changing Climate
by Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt, Sergio Gomez, Jad Saade, Brian Perry and Apurba Das
Water 2025, 17(15), 2288; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152288 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 169
Abstract
This study introduces a novel methodology for assessing ice-jam flood hazards along river channels. It employs empirical equations that relate non-dimensional ice-jam stage to discharge, enabling the generation of an ensemble of longitudinal profiles of ice-jam backwater levels through Monte-Carlo simulations. These simulations [...] Read more.
This study introduces a novel methodology for assessing ice-jam flood hazards along river channels. It employs empirical equations that relate non-dimensional ice-jam stage to discharge, enabling the generation of an ensemble of longitudinal profiles of ice-jam backwater levels through Monte-Carlo simulations. These simulations produce non-exceedance probability profiles, which indicate the likelihood of various flood levels occurring due to ice jams. The flood levels associated with specific return periods were validated using historical gauge records. The empirical equations require input parameters such as channel width, slope, and thalweg elevation, which were obtained from bathymetric surveys. This approach is applied to assess ice-jam flood hazards by extrapolating data from a gauged reach at Fort Simpson to an ungauged reach at Jean Marie River along the Mackenzie River in Canada’s Northwest Territories. The analysis further suggests that climate change is likely to increase the severity of ice-jam flood hazards in both reaches by the end of the century. This methodology is applicable to other cold-region rivers in Canada and northern Europe, provided similar fluvial geomorphological and hydro-meteorological data are available, making it a valuable tool for ice-jam flood risk assessment in other ungauged areas. Full article
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23 pages, 511 KiB  
Article
Dietary Acrylamide Exposure and Its Correlation with Nutrition and Exercise Behaviours Among Turkish Adolescents
by Mehtap Metin Karaaslan and Burhan Basaran
Nutrients 2025, 17(15), 2534; https://doi.org/10.3390/nu17152534 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 264
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Acrylamide is a probably carcinogenic to humans that naturally forms during the thermal processing of foods. An individual’s lifestyle—especially dietary habits and physical activity—may influence the severity of acrylamide’s adverse health effects. This study aimed to examine the relationship between adolescents’ dietary [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Acrylamide is a probably carcinogenic to humans that naturally forms during the thermal processing of foods. An individual’s lifestyle—especially dietary habits and physical activity—may influence the severity of acrylamide’s adverse health effects. This study aimed to examine the relationship between adolescents’ dietary and exercise behaviors and their dietary acrylamide exposure and associated health risks. Methods: This descriptive and cross-sectional study was conducted with 370 high school students in Türkiye. Data were collected using the Nutrition Exercise Behavior Scale (NEBS) and a retrospective 24-h dietary recall questionnaire. Acrylamide exposure was calculated based on food intake to estimate carcinogenic (CR) and non-corcinogenic (target hazard quotient: THQ) health risks and analyzed in relation to NEBS scores. Results: Findings indicated that while adolescents are beginning to adopt healthy eating and exercise habits, these behaviors are not yet consistent. Emotional eating and unhealthy food choices still occur. Higher acrylamide exposure and risk values were observed in boys and underweight individuals. This can be explained mainly by the fact that boys consume more of certain foods—especially bread, which contains relatively higher levels of acrylamide—than girls do, and that underweight individuals have lower body weights despite consuming similar amounts of food as other groups. Bread products emerged as the primary source of daily acrylamide intake. Positive correlations were found between NEBS total and subscale scores and acrylamide exposure and health risk values. Conclusions: The study demonstrates a significant association between adolescents’ health behaviors and acrylamide exposure. These results underscore potential public health concerns regarding acrylamide intake during adolescence and emphasize the need for targeted nutritional interventions to reduce risk and promote sustainable healthy behaviors. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Nutrition Methodology & Assessment)
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