Search Results (48)

With an abundance of data provided by satellite-based measurements, such as Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (InSAR) or the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), an interest has grown in training highly complex data-driven models for geophysical applications, including displacement modeling. These methods, including machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms, represent a new approach to forecasting ground surface displacements. Yet, the effectiveness of such methods, including their generalization capabilities and performance on non-linear data, remains underexplored. This paper examines the performance of various data-driven algorithms, including regression models and deep neural networks, in predicting mining-induced subsidence. Ground surface displacement data obtained from the Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) InSAR were used as time series samples for training and validation. ML and DL models were evaluated over varying forecast horizons. The results show that data-driven approaches can effectively model InSAR-derived ground subsidence in mining areas. Deep learning models outperform other ML-based models, indicating that increased model complexity can lead to better forecasting accuracy. Nevertheless, it is shown that careful examination of performance metrics and forecast errors in the spatial domain is essential for appropriate model evaluation. The findings demonstrate that combining SBAS-InSAR measurements with data-driven modeling offers a promising direction for developing automated systems for monitoring and forecasting mining-induced ground deformation. Full article

As one of the world’s primary energy sources, coal has driven economic development but has also led to severe surface subsidence. Currently, many regions around the world face significant ground deformation risks due to ongoing or legacy mining activities. Accurate monitoring and trend prediction are critical for enhancing subsidence early-warning capabilities and urban resilience. The northern region of Huainan City exhibits a spatial pattern characterized by the coexistence of mining areas, urban areas, and decommissioned mining sites, among which the mining areas show more pronounced surface deformation due to prolonged mining activities. To fully understand the subsidence evolution characteristics and differences across various regions, an LSTM–Transformer prediction model was constructed based on SBAS-InSAR monitoring technology to predict the surface subsidence processes in the three types of areas separately. The results indicated that the subsidence rate and cumulative subsidence in the mining areas were significantly greater than those in the urban and decommissioned areas, demonstrating more intense deformation activity. The average subsidence rates for the mining areas, urban areas, and decommissioned mining sites were −57.42 mm/yr, −5.37 mm/yr, and −3.21 mm/yr, respectively. The model’s prediction results demonstrated good accuracy across different regions, with the root mean square errors (RMSEs) for the mining areas, urban areas, and decommissioned mining sites being 2.16 mm, 1.03 mm, and 0.22 mm, respectively. The study shows that the constructed LSTM–Transformer hybrid model not only possesses strong capability in fitting subsidence trends but will also provide a scientific basis for future monitoring and early warning of surface subsidence hazards. Full article

With the progressive depletion of coal resources, the recovery of shaft pillars has become an important means of improving resource utilization and reducing waste. Taking the main shaft pillar recovery of the Longxiang Coal Mine at the stage of mine closure as the engineering background, this study systematically investigates ground subsidence prediction and shaft stability control under strip mining with symmetrical extraction. An improved subsidence prediction model was established by integrating the probability integral method with superposition theory, and its validity was verified through numerical simulations and field monitoring data. The results demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately capture the subsidence behavior under complex geological conditions, with prediction errors ranging from 6.4 mm to 399.1 mm. In fully subsided zones, the percentage error was as low as 1.1–3.5%, while larger deviations were observed in areas where subsidence was incomplete, confirming both the reliability and the practical limitations of the method under different conditions. Furthermore, the deformation mechanisms of the shaft during pillar recovery were analyzed. Monitoring results indicated that the maximum subsidence at the east and west sides of the shaft reached 7620.6 mm, accompanied by local cracks exceeding 1500 mm, which caused significant damage to surface structures. To address these risks, a safety control scheme based on an integrated “prediction–monitoring–control” framework is proposed, including shaft wall reinforcement, optimization of mining parameters, and continuous ground subsidence monitoring. By combining real-time monitoring with the superposition of small working face predictions, the scheme enables maximum recovery of shaft pillar coal while ensuring operational safety. This study provides a scientific basis and technical support for shaft pillar recovery in Longxiang Coal Mine and offers valuable theoretical guidance for similar mine closure projects, with significant implications for engineering practice. Full article

Ground deformation monitoring in mining areas is essential for hazard prevention and environmental protection. Although interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) provides detailed phase information for accurate deformation measurement, its performance is often compromised in regions experiencing rapid subsidence and strong noise, where phase aliasing and coherence loss lead to significant inaccuracies. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes JOTGLNet, a guided learning network with joint offset tracking, for multiscale deformation monitoring. This method integrates pixel offset tracking (OT), which robustly captures large-gradient displacements, with interferometric phase data that offers high sensitivity in coherent regions. A dual-path deep learning architecture was designed where the interferometric phase serves as the primary branch and OT features act as complementary information, enhancing the network’s ability to handle varying deformation rates and coherence conditions. Additionally, a novel shape perception loss combining morphological similarity measurement and error learning was introduced to improve geometric fidelity and reduce unbalanced errors across deformation regions. The model was trained on 4000 simulated samples reflecting diverse real-world scenarios and validated on 1100 test samples with a maximum deformation up to 12.6 m, achieving an average prediction error of less than 0.15 m—outperforming state-of-the-art methods whose errors exceeded 0.19 m. Additionally, experiments on five real monitoring datasets further confirmed the superiority and consistency of the proposed approach. Full article

Groundwater level monitoring is crucial for assessing hydrological responses to climate change and human activities, which pose significant threats to the sustainability of semi-arid aquifers and the cultural heritage they sustain. This study presents an integrated remote sensing and transformer-based deep learning framework that combines diverse geospatial datasets to predict spatiotemporal variations across the plain near the Persepolis and Naqsh-e Rustam archaeological complexes—UNESCO World Heritage Sites situated at the plain’s edge. We assemble 432 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) scenes (2015–2022) and derive vertical ground motion rates greater than −180 mm yr⁻¹, which are co-localized with multisource geoinformation, including hydrometeorological indices, biophysical parameters, and terrain attributes, to train transformer models with traditional deep learning methods. A sparse probabilistic transformer (ConvTransformer) trained on 95 gridded variables achieves an out-of-sample R² = 0.83 and RMSE = 6.15 m, outperforming bidirectional deep learning models by >40%. Scenario analysis indicates that, in the absence of intervention, subsidence may exceed 200 mm per year within a decade, threatening irreplaceable Achaemenid stone reliefs. Our results indicate that attention-based networks, when coupled to synergistic geodetic constraints, enable early-warning quantification of groundwater stress over heritage sites and provide a scalable template for sustainable aquifer governance worldwide. Full article

Ground subsidence is a critical factor affecting the structural integrity and operational safety of high-speed railways, especially in areas with widespread soft ground. This study applies Persistent Scatterer Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (PS-InSAR) techniques to monitor ground deformation along the Honam High-Speed Railway in South Korea. By processing a time series of 29 high-resolution SAR images from 2016 to 2019, the analysis yielded continuous, millimeter-level measurements of surface displacement. Maximum subsidence rates exceeding −12 mm/year were detected in embankment zones with soft subsoil conditions Validation using leveling data and corner reflectors showed strong agreement (R² > 0.93), confirming the accuracy and reliability of PS-InSAR-derived results. The study also revealed seasonal variation in settlement patterns, highlighting the influence of rainfall and pore water pressure. The findings underscore the utility of PS-InSAR as a sustainable and cost-effective tool for long-term infrastructure monitoring. This study further contributes to the development of predictive maintenance strategies and highlights the need for future research integrating PS-InSAR with geotechnical, hydrological, and construction-related variables to enhance monitoring precision and expand its practical applicability in infrastructure management. Full article

Underground coal mining induces surface subsidence, which in turn impacts the stability of slopes in mountainous regions. However, research that investigates the coupling relationship between surface subsidence in mountainous regions and the occurrence of multiple surface hazards is scarce. Taking a coal mine in southwestern China as a case study, a detailed catalog of the surface hazards in the study area was created based on multi-temporal satellite imagery interpretation and Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) surveys. Using interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technology and the logistic subsidence prediction method, this study investigated the evolution of surface subsidence induced by underground mining activities and its impact on the triggering of multiple surface hazards. We found that the study area experienced various types of surface hazards, including subsidence, landslides, debris flows, sinkholes, and ground fissures, due to the effects of underground mining activities. The InSAR monitoring results showed that the maximum subsidence at the back edge of the slope terrace was 98.2 mm, with the most severe deformation occurring at the mid-slope of the mountain, where the maximum subsidence reached 139.8 mm. The surface subsidence process followed an S-shaped curve, comprising the stages of initial subsidence, accelerated subsidence, and residual subsidence. Additionally, the subsidence continued even after coal mining operations concluded. Predictions derived from the logistic model indicate that the duration of residual surface subsidence in the study area is approximately 1 to 2 years. This study aimed to provide a scientific foundation for elucidating the temporal and spatial variation patterns of subsidence induced by underground coal mining in mountainous regions and its impact on the formation of multiple surface hazards. Full article

Mobile cranes are essential for transporting heavy materials at construction sites, but their operation carries significant safety risks, particularly due to the potential for overturning accidents. These accidents can be classified into two main categories: mechanical accidents, which are caused by factors such as outrigger failure, excessive load weight, and operator skill, and environmental accidents, which arise from ground subsidence due to groundwater and sinkholes. While numerous studies have addressed the causes and prevention of mechanical accidents, there has been a lack of research focusing on the prevention of environmental accidents. This study presents the development of an Electrical Resistivity Measurement System (ERMS) designed to prevent overturning accidents caused by ground subsidence at mobile crane work sites. The ERMS, mounted on a mobile crane, continuously monitors the ground conditions in real time and predicts the likelihood of ground subsidence to prevent accidents. Unlike typical buried electrode methods, the proposed system features a foldable electrode mechanism and a water supply device, thereby making installation and removal more efficient. Furthermore, it uses a ground stability determination algorithm that qualitatively assesses soft ground conditions, which are the primary cause of ground subsidence. The performance of the ERMS was validated through comparisons with commercial equipment, and its applicability was further confirmed through field tests conducted at mobile crane installations. The ERMS is expected to significantly reduce the risk of accidents caused by ground subsidence during mobile crane operations and to contribute to enhancing overall safety in construction environments. Full article

Assessing reservoir subsidence due to depletion involves understanding the geological and geophysical processes that lead to ground subsidence as a result of reservoir fluid extraction. Subsidence is a gradual sinking or settling of the Earth’s surface, and it can occur when hydrocarbons are extracted from underground reservoirs. In this study, a time-integrated 3D coupled geomechanical modeling incorporating the fourth dimension—time—into traditional 3D geomechanical models has been constructed utilizing seismic inversion volumes and a one-dimensional mechanical Earth model (1D MEM). The 3D geomechanical model was calibrated to the 1D MEM results. Geomechanical rock properties were derived from the density and sonic log data that was distributed with conditioning to the seismic inversion volumes obtained from running pre-stack inversion. The standard elastic parameter equations were used to generate estimates of the elastic moduli. These properties are dynamic but have been converted to static values using additional equations used in the 1D MEM study. This included estimating the Unconfined Compressive Strength. In situ stresses were matched using different minimum horizontal principal stress gradients and horizontal principal stress ratios. The match is good except where the weak carbonate faults are close to the wells, where the Shmin magnitudes tend to decrease. The SHmax orientations were assessed from image log data and indicated to be 110° in the reservoir section. A time-integrated 3D coupled simulation was created using the finite-element method (FEM). The effective stresses increase while there is depletion in all directions, especially in the Z direction. The predicted compaction in the reservoir and overburden was 350 mm. Most of the compaction occurs at the reservoir level and dissipates towards the surface (seabed). Furthermore, the case displayed no shear failure that might cause or fault reactivation in the reservoir interval (Kangan–Dalan Formations) located in the simulated area. In this study, we applied an integrated and comprehensive geomechanical approach to evaluate subsidence, fault reactivation and stress alteration, while reservoir depletion was assessed using seismic inversion, well logs, and experiment data. The deformation monitoring of geological reservoirs, whether for gas storage or hazardous gas disposal, is essential due to the economic value of the stored assets and the hazardous nature of the disposed materials. This monitoring is vital for ensuring the sustainability of the reservoir by maintaining operational success and detecting integrity issues. Full article

The movement and deformation of rock strata and the ground surface is a dynamic deformation process that occurs as underground mining progresses. Therefore, the dynamic prediction of three-dimensional surface deformation caused by underground mining is of great significance for assessing potential geological disasters. Synthetic aperture radar interferometry (InSAR) has been introduced into the field of mine deformation monitoring as a new mapping technology, but it is affected by many factors, and it cannot monitor the surface deformation value over the entire mining period, making it impossible to accurately predict the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the surface. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new dynamic prediction method (InSAR-DIB) based on a combination of InSAR and an improved Boltzmann (IB) function model. Theoretically, the InSAR-DIB model can use information on small dynamic deformation during mining to obtain surface prediction parameters and further realize a dynamic prediction of the surface. The method was applied to the 1613 (1) working face in the Huainan mining area. The results showed that the estimated mean error of the predicted surface deformation during mining was between 80.2 and 112.5 mm, and the estimated accuracy met the requirements for mining subsidence monitoring. The relevant research results are of great significance, and they support expanding the application of InSAR in mining areas with large deformation gradients. Full article

Coal mining inevitably causes damage to the surface ecological environment. In response to the characteristics of multiple factors, wide scope, and long time series of surface ecological environment damage in coal mining subsidence areas, how to integrate multiple data sources and monitoring methods to achieve monitoring and trend analysis of ecological damage throughout the entire mining cycle still needs to be studied. In addition, the 110 mining method provides an innovative method for underground coal mining to reduce its surface ecological damage, but the differences in surface damage between the two mining modes and the effectiveness of the 110 method in realizing surface ecological damage-reducing mining still need to be studied in depth. Therefore, this study takes the surface ecological damage in the mining area of Lvliang City, a typical resource city in Shanxi Province, China, as the object. It establishes a four-in-one “Satellite–UAV–Ground–Underground” information monitoring method, proposes a historical big data evolution analysis method, constructs three spatial scales of historical big databases, clarifies the current situation and development trend of damage in coal mining areas in Lvliang City and explores the differences in surface ecological environment damage characteristics in coal mining areas based on the 121 and 110 mining methods. The results show that: (1) The existing coal mining subsidence area in Lvliang City is as high as 92,191.47 hectares, and it is expected to continue to increase to 130,739.55 hectares in the future 2035, with a growth rate of 41.812%, which realizes the goals of mapping the current situation, retracing the history and predicting the future of the ecological damage of the surface in Lvliang City. (2) The surface NDVI of the 110 working face is restored to the average level of the mining area faster than that of the 121 working face. The surface crack width, step displacement, length, distribution density, and surface settlement height of the 110 working face are all smaller than those of the 121 working face. It has been verified that the unique top-cutting and swelling filling effect of the 110 methods can effectively reduce the ecological damage caused by coal mining subsidence. And its widespread application can effectively realize the ecological environmental protection of the coal mine area and contribute to the high-quality development of the coal industry in Lvliang City. Full article

The solid backfilling mining method is one of the methods used to solve problems arising from strata and ground subsidence in underground mines. Through 2D physical analog modeling, 3D numerical simulation, and field measurement, the effects of the solid backfilling method were analyzed, providing a better insight into optimizing the configurations of a working face beneath a city for safety, environmental problems, and its use in production. In the physical modeling, MatchID software was employed to capture the movement characteristics of overlying strata and ground subsidence during mining and backfilling. Key parameters such as vertical displacement, subsidence characteristics, and rock mass stress variations were monitored and analyzed. In the numerical simulation, FLAC3D was used to simulate and analyze the effect of the backfill body on strata and ground subsidence above the backfill working face. For the field measurements, the Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS) system was used to confirm the effective control of ground subsidence. With a filling ratio of 80%, the three methods are consistent and show a maximum subsidence value of 0.46 mm (physical simulation), 50.4 mm (numerical simulation), and 47 mm (experienced), significantly lower than the predicted subsidence, which is 281 mm. Therefore, this study demonstrates the reliability and scientific validity of both the physical analog modeling method and the field measurement method in measuring the efficiency of solid backfilling, providing valuable insights into strata and ground subsidence control in longwall coal mining. Full article

Surface subsidence hazards in mining areas are common geological disasters involving issues such as vegetation degradation and ground collapse during the mining process, which also raise safety concerns. To address the accuracy issues of traditional prediction models and study methods for predicting subsidence in open-pit mining areas, this study first employed 91 scenes of Sentinel-1A ascending and descending orbits images to monitor long-term deformations of a phosphate mine in Anning City, Yunnan Province, southwestern China. It obtained annual average subsidence rates and cumulative surface deformation values for the study area. Subsequently, a two-dimensional deformation decomposition was conducted using a time-series registration interpolation method to determine the distribution of vertical and east–west deformations. Finally, three prediction models were employed: Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), BPNN optimized by Genetic Algorithm (GA-BP), and BPNN optimized by Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm (ABC-BP). These models were used to forecast six selected time series points. The results indicate that the BPNN model had Mean Absolute Errors (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Errors (RMSE) within 7.6 mm, while the GA-BP model errors were within 3.5 mm, and the ABC-BP model errors were within 3.7 mm. Both optimized models demonstrated significantly improved accuracy and good predictive capabilities. Full article

Nonlinear deformation is a dynamically changing pattern of multiple surface deformations caused by groundwater overexploitation, underground coal mining, landslides, urban construction, etc., which are often accompanied by severe damage to surface structures or lead to major geological disasters; therefore, the high-precision monitoring and prediction of nonlinear surface deformation is significant. Traditional deep learning methods encounter challenges such as long-term dependencies or difficulty capturing complex spatiotemporal patterns when predicting nonlinear deformations. In this study, we developed a dual-attention-mechanism CNN-LSTM network model (DACLnet) to monitor and accurately predict nonlinear surface deformations precisely. Using advanced time series InSAR results as input, the DACLnet integrates the spatial feature extraction capability of a convolutional neural network (CNN), the advantages of the time series learning of a long short-term memory (LSTM) network, and the enhanced focusing effect of the dual-attention mechanism on crucial information, significantly improving the prediction accuracy of nonlinear surface deformations. The groundwater overexploitation area of the Turpan Basin, China, is selected to test the nonlinear deformation prediction effect of the proposed DACLnet. The results demonstrate that the DACLnet accurately captures developmental trends in historical surface deformations and effectively predicts surface deformations for the next two months in the study area. Compared to traditional LSTM and CNN-LSTM methods, the root mean square error (RMSE) of the DACLnet improved by 85.09% and 68.57%, respectively. These research results can provide crucial technical support for the early warning and prevention of geological disasters and can serve as an effective alternative tool for short-term ground subsidence prediction in areas lacking hydrogeological and other related data. Full article

Water-soluble mining was invariably associated with surface subsidence, which in some cases escalated to the movement, deformation, and even collapse of the overlying rock layers, triggering grave subsidence calamities. The caprock of the salt-bearing strata in the Longgui salt rock mining area was closely adjacent to the third aquifer, which mainly consisted of fractured, porous, high-permeability materials such as mudstone conglomerates, rendering the geological conditions highly complex. Years of water-soluble mining had led to significant surface subsidence in the mining area, with a trend toward accelerated subsidence. In this study, the geological conditions of the Longgui salt rock mining area were analyzed, and through simulated experiments of pillar dissolution mining, the mechanisms of surface subsidence in the area were examined. Over time, the dissolution gradually perforated the pillars and caprock, with the pillars ceasing to support the caprock, ultimately transforming small cavities into a large single cavity. Utilizing subsidence data, this research employed numerical simulation to inverse and predict subsidence patterns from 2019 to 2025, revealing that the maximum subsidence reached 1367.6 mm in mining area I and 1879.5 mm in mining area II, with subsidence rates of 12.05 mm/y and 44.78 mm/y, respectively. Moreover, the impact of ground subsidence on the construction of adjacent subways was assessed by establishing monitoring points and evaluating subsidence along subway cross-sections and longitudinal directions. The findings provided valuable insights for guiding the prevention and control of surface subsidence calamities in the Longgui salt rock mine and similar mining areas in Guangzhou, China. Full article