Search Results (142)

This study presents a comprehensive coastal vulnerability assessment framework by integrating a range of physical, environmental, and climatic parameters. Key criteria include shoreline changes, coastal geomorphology, slope, elevation, bathymetry, tidal range, wave height, shoreline change rates, population density, land use and land cover (LULC), temperature, precipitation, and coastal inundation factors. By synthesizing these parameters with real-time coastal monitoring data, the framework enhances the accuracy of regional risk evaluations. The study employs Multi-Criteria Spatial Analysis (MCSA) to systematically assess and prioritize vulnerability indicators, enabling a data-driven and objective approach to coastal zone management. The findings aim to support coastal planners, policymakers, and stakeholders in designing effective, sustainable adaptation and mitigation strategies for regions most at risk. This integrative approach not only strengthens the scientific understanding of coastal vulnerabilities but also serves as a valuable tool for informed decision-making under changing climate and socioeconomic conditions. Full article

In the present study, dam site suitability mapping was carried out for the Purna sub-basin of the upper Tapi basin. Constructing dams in strategically chosen locations is a crucial water management approach to alleviate flood risks and water scarcity. Selecting appropriate dam sites requires considering criteria such as precipitation, elevation, soil properties, slope, geomorphology, geology, lithology, stream order, distance from a road, and fault tectonics. To address this complex problem, integrating Multiple-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) techniques with Geographic Information System (GIS) has become increasingly prevalent. Among these techniques, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is particularly effective for addressing water-related challenges. In this study, we developed a Dam Site Suitability Model (DSSM) by evaluating nine thematic layers: precipitation, stream order, geomorphology, geology, soil, elevation, slope, land use and land cover (LULC), and major fault tectonics. The AHP technique was employed to assign weights to these thematic layers, which were then used in an overlay analysis to create a suitability map with five classes ranging from high to low suitability. This study revealed that approximately 14% of the Purna sub-basin falls into the very high suitability category, while 27.2% is classified as highly suitable. This cost-effective approach not only simplifies the traditional method of dam site selection but also enhances decision-making accuracy. This methodology can be universally applied to identify potential dam sites, aiding flood mitigation and addressing water scarcity exacerbated by global and regional climate change. The DSSM, leveraging GIS and the AHP, can significantly improve dam management and promote sustainable, environmentally responsible water resource management practices worldwide. Full article

Water, often described as the elixir of life, is a critical resource that sustains life on Earth. The acute water scarcity in the major basins of the Arabian Peninsula has been further aggravated by rapid population growth, urbanization, and the impacts of climate change. This situation underscores the urgent need for a comprehensive analysis of the region’s morphometric characteristics. Such an analysis is essential for informed decision-making in water resource management, infrastructure development, and conservation efforts. This study provides a foundational basis for implementing sustainable water management strategies and preserving ecological systems by deepening the understanding of the unique hydrological processes within the Arabian Peninsula. Additionally, this research offers valuable insights to policymakers for developing effective flood mitigation strategies by identifying vulnerable areas. The study focuses on an extensive investigation and assessment of morphometric parameters in the primary basins of the Arabian Peninsula, emphasizing their critical role in addressing water scarcity and promoting sustainable water management practices. The findings reveal that the Arabian Peninsula comprises 12 major basins, collectively forming a seventh-order drainage system and covering a total land area of 3.24 million km². Statistical analysis demonstrates a strong correlation between stream order and cumulative stream length, as well as a negative correlation between stream order and stream number (R² = 99%). Further analysis indicates that many of these basins exhibit a high bifurcation ratio, suggesting the presence of impermeable rocks and steep slopes. The hypsometric integral (HI) of the Peninsula is calculated to be 60%, with an erosion integral (EI) of 40%, indicating that the basin is in a mature stage of geomorphological development. Importantly, the region is characterized by a predominantly coarse drainage texture, limited infiltration, significant surface runoff, and steep slopes, all of which have critical implications for water resource management. Full article

Floods and landslides are two distinct natural phenomena influenced by different conditioning factors, though some environmental triggers may overlap. This study applied eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) to develop susceptibility maps for both phenomena, using a unified approach based on the same geospatial predictors. The approach integrated topographical, geological, and remote sensing datasets. Flood event data were collected from institutional sources using multi-source and high-resolution remotely sensed data. The landslide inventory was compiled based on historical records and geomorphological analysis. Key conditioning factors such as elevation, slope, lithology, and land cover were analyzed to identify areas prone to floods and landslides. The methodology was applied to the Basento River basin in Southern Italy, a region frequently impacted by both hazards, to assess its vulnerability and inform risk management strategies. While flood susceptibility is primarily associated with low-lying areas near river networks, landslides are more influenced by steep slopes and geological instability. The XGBoost model achieved a classification accuracy close to 1 for flood-prone areas and 0.92 for landslide-prone areas. Results showed that flood susceptibility was primarily associated with low Elevation and Relative Elevation, and high Drainage Density, whereas landslide susceptibility was more influenced by a broader and balanced set of factors, including Elevation, Drainage Density, Relative Elevation, Distance and Lithology. The resulting susceptibility maps offered critical approaches for land use planning, emergency management, and risk mitigation. Overall, the results demonstrated the effectiveness of XGBoost in multi-hazard assessments, offering a scalable and transferable approach for similar at-risk regions worldwide. Full article

Soil erosion poses a significant global environmental challenge, causing land degradation, deforestation, river siltation, and reduced agricultural productivity. Although the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) has been widely applied in Brazil, its use in the tropical river basins of the Amazon remains limited. This study aimed to apply a GIS-integrated RUSLE model and compare its soil loss estimates with multiple linear regression (MLR) models based on terrain attributes, aiming to identify priority areas and key geomorphometric drivers of soil erosion in a tropical Amazonian river basin. A digital elevation model based on Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data, land use and land cover (LULC) maps, and rainfall and soil data were applied to the GIS-integrated RUSLE model; we then defined six risk classes—slight (0–2.5 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹), slight–moderate (2.5–5), moderate (5–10), moderate–high (10–15), high (15–25), and very high (>25)—and identified priority zones as those in the top two risk classes. The Caeté River Basin (CRB) was classified into six erosion risk categories: low (81.14%), low to moderate (2.97%), moderate (11.88%), moderate to high (0.93%), high (0.03%), and very high (3.05%). The CRB predominantly exhibited a low erosion risk, with higher erosion rates linked to intense rainfall, gentle slopes covered by Arenosols, and human activities. The average annual soil loss was estimated at 2.0 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹, with a total loss of 1005.44 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹. Additionally, geomorphological and multiple linear regression (MLR) analyses identified seven key variables influencing soil erosion: the convergence index, closed depressions, the topographic wetness index, the channel network distance, and the local curvature, upslope curvature, and local downslope curvature. These variables collectively explained 26% of the variability in soil loss (R² = 0.26), highlighting the significant role of terrain characteristics in erosion processes. These findings indicate that soil erosion control efforts should focus primarily on areas with Arenosols and regions experiencing increased anthropogenic activity, where the erosion risks are higher. The identification of priority erosion areas enables the development of targeted conservation strategies, particularly for Arenosols and regions under anthropogenic pressure, where the soil losses exceed the tolerance threshold of 10.48 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹. These findings directly support the formulation of local environmental policies aimed at mitigating soil degradation by stabilizing vulnerable soils, regulating high-impact land uses, and promoting sustainable practices in critical zones. The GIS-RUSLE framework is supported by consistent rainfall data, as verified by a double mass curve analysis (R² ranging from 0.64 to 0.77), and offers a replicable methodology for soil conservation planning in tropical basins with similar erosion drivers. This approach offers a science-based foundation to guide soil conservation planning in tropical basins. While effective in identifying erosion-prone areas, it should be complemented in future studies by dynamic models and temporal analyses to better capture the complex erosion processes and land use change impacts in the Amazon. Full article

The Pandameru River Basin, South India, is affected by high levels of contamination from human activities and the over-exploitation of groundwater for agriculture, both of which pose significant threats to water quality and its availability for drinking and irrigation. To explore sustainable groundwater management, this study presents a machine learning-driven approach to basin-scale groundwater potential zone (GWPZ) mapping by integrating remote sensing (RS), a geographic information system (GIS), and the random forest (RF) algorithm. The research leverages ten thematic layers—including lithology, geomorphology, soil type, lineament density, slope, drainage density, land use/land cover (LULC), NDVI, SAVI, and rainfall—to assess groundwater availability. The RF model, trained with well-distributed groundwater data, provides an optimized classification of GWPZs into five categories: very good (5.84%), good (15.21%), moderate (27.25%), poor (27.22%), and very poor (24.47%). The results indicate that excellent groundwater zones are predominantly located along highly permeable alluvial deposits, whereas low-potential zones coincide with impermeable geological formations and steep terrains. Field validation using piezometric readings and well data confirmed significant variations in water table depths, ranging from 5 m to over 150 m. The groundwater potential map achieved an accuracy of 86%, underscoring the effectiveness of the RF model in predicting groundwater availability. This high-precision mapping technique enhances decision-making for sustainable groundwater management, supporting long-term water conservation, equitable resource allocation, and climate-resilient water strategies. By providing reliable insights into groundwater distribution, this study contributes to the sustainable utilization of groundwater resources in semiarid regions, aiding policymakers and planners in mitigating water scarcity challenges and ensuring water security for future generations. Full article

Coastal areas are highly dynamic environments, vulnerable to natural processes and human interventions. This study presents the first application of the Integrated Coastal Vulnerability Index (ICVI) in Cyprus, focusing on two major tourism-dependent beaches, Fig Tree Bay and Vrysi Beach, located along the Protaras coastline. Despite their economic significance, these coastal areas face increasing vulnerability due to intensive tourism-driven modifications and natural coastal dynamics, necessitating a structured assessment framework. This research addresses this gap by integrating the ICVI with geographical information system (GIS) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) methodologies to evaluate the coastal risks in this tourism-dependent environment, providing a replicable approach for similar Mediterranean coastal settings. Ten key parameters were analysed, including coastal slope, rate of coastline erosion, geomorphology, elevation, tidal range, wave height, relative sea level rise, land cover, population density, and road network. The results revealed spatial variations in vulnerability, with 16% of the coastline classified as having very high vulnerability and another 16% as having high vulnerability. Fig Tree Bay, which is part of this coastline, emerged as a critical hotspot due to its geomorphological instability, low elevation, and intensive human interventions, including seasonal beach modifications and infrastructure development. This study underscores the need for sustainable coastal management practices, including dune preservation, controlled development, and the integration of the ICVI into planning frameworks to balance economic growth and environmental conservation. Full article

Expected climate change will impact the environmental suitability of different territories. This will be of particular importance for crop sustainability in agriculture, especially in territories that are currently marginal in the biogeographic distribution of cultivated crops; in some cases, the growing conditions may become more suitable due to the projected modified climatic conditions. This paper aims to reconstruct different scenarios of environmental suitability of olive trees under current and future climatic scenarios, considering for the first time a marginal area for this tree plant in Europe. This study represents a first attempt to assess the possible evolution of the suitability of one of the most important Mediterranean crop trees in a current marginal area. This area corresponds to a territory (Oltrepò Pavese, South Lombardy) located at northern edge of the typical geographical distribution. The results of the suitability scenarios, obtained by applying a data-driven method based on predictors representative of the main geological, geomorphological, climatic, and plant cover variables influencing olive tree presence in a territory, show that the future projections at different periods (short-term at 2050; medium-term at 2070; long-term at 2100) suggest an increase in the suitable areas for olive tree cultivation. The increased suitability in this geographical area is related to an increase in air temperature and a parallel decrease in the number of frost days projected for the future scenarios, guaranteeing an increase in suitable areas for olive trees especially in those sectors located at higher latitudes and altitudes than the ones currently more suitable to olive trees. This study could represent a useful basis to implement effective and sustainable strategies of land planning and of mitigation measures to limit the impacts of the climate change effects on cultivation, making the developed method a potential operational tool for the evaluation of the territories that are and will be more adapted to this cultivation according to actual and future climatic scenarios. Full article

The coypu (Myocastor coypus), a semi-aquatic rodent native to South America, has established invasive populations across North America, Asia, and Europe. In Greece, since its initial recording in 1965, the species has been rapidly expanding, forming sizable populations in northern continental regions. However, the extent of its invasion and the environmental drivers shaping its distribution and spatial patterns in western–central Greece remain poorly understood. Here, we address this knowledge gap, aiming to identify and map new coypu records, investigate the relationship between coypu presence and habitat characteristics, and analyze its spatial distribution. Between 2020 and 2023, we conducted 50 field surveys across the study area, documenting direct and indirect evidence of coypu presence. We integrated kernel density estimation, Getis-Ord Gi*, and Anselin local Moran’s I to identify spatial distribution patterns and hotspots of the coypu. Additionally, we analyzed environmental factors including land cover type, total productivity, and geomorphological features to determine their influence on habitat selection. Our findings reveal significant spatial clustering of coypus, with 12 identified hotspots primarily located in protected areas, and highlight tree cover density and productivity variability as key predictors of coypu presence. The suitability of western–central Greece for the coypu appears to be driven by extensive wetlands and interconnected hydrological systems, with hotspots concentrated in lowland agricultural landscapes, providing essential data to guide targeted management strategies for mitigating the ecological risks posed by this invasive species. Full article

This article presents the application of novel cartographic methods of vegetation mapping with a case study of the Rif Mountains, northern Morocco. The study area is notable for varied geomorphology and diverse landscapes. The methodology includes ML modules of GRASS GIS ‘r.learn.train’, ‘r.learn.predict’, and ‘r.random’ with algorithms of supervised classification implemented from the Scikit-Learn libraries of Python. This approach provides a platform for processing spatiotemporal data and satellite image analysis. The objective is to determine the robustness of the “DecisionTreeClassifier” and “ExtraTreesClassifier” classification algorithms. The time series of satellite images covering northern Morocco consists of six Landsat scenes for 2023 with a bimonthly time interval. Land cover maps are produced based on the processed, classified, and analyzed images. The results demonstrated seasonal changes in vegetation and land cover types. The validation was performed using a land cover dataset from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). This study contributes to environmental monitoring in North Africa using ML algorithms of satellite image processing. Using RS data combined with the powerful functionality of the GRASS GIS and FAO-derived datasets, the topographic variability, moderate-scale habitat heterogeneity, and bimonthly distribution of land cover types of northern Morocco in 2023 have been assessed for the first time. Full article

The effectiveness of data-driven landslide susceptibility mapping relies on data integrity and advanced geospatial analysis; however, selecting the most suitable method and identifying key regional factors remains a challenging task. To address this, this study assessed the performance of six machine learning models, including Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Random Forest (RF), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), their CNN-based hybrid models (CNN+RF and CNN+CatBoost), and a Stacking Ensemble (SE) combining CNN, RF, and CatBoost in mapping landslide susceptibility along the Karakoram Highway in northern Pakistan. Twelve geospatial factors were examined, categorized into Topography/Geomorphology, Land Cover/Vegetation, Geology, Hydrology, and Anthropogenic Influence. A detailed landslide inventory of 272 occurrences was compiled to train the models. The proposed stacking ensemble and hybrid models improve landslide susceptibility modeling, with the stacking ensemble achieving an AUC of 0.91. Hybrid modeling enhances accuracy, with CNN–RF boosting RF’s AUC from 0.85 to 0.89 and CNN–CatBoost increasing CatBoost’s AUC from 0.87 to 0.90. Chi-square (χ²) values (9.8–21.2) and p-values (<0.005) confirm statistical significance across models. This study identifies approximately 20.70% of the area as from high to very high risk, with the SE model excelling in detecting high-risk zones. Key factors influencing landslide susceptibility showed slight variations across the models, while multicollinearity among variables remained minimal. The proposed modeling approach reduces uncertainties, enhances prediction accuracy, and supports decision-makers in implementing effective landslide mitigation strategies. Full article

Gold mining is an activity that has developed in Colombia due to the great availability of mineral resources geographically distributed throughout the territory. The extraction techniques used are linked to the domain of illegality and to armed actors who have generated notable landscape impacts. This study, focused on the Municipality of Ayapel, Colombia, identifies the landscape units and analyzes the changes in land use and cover resulting from gold mining between the years 1987, 2002, and 2022, applying the CORINE Land Cover methodology, an adapted legend for Colombia, using Landsat satellite images. For this, the recognition of the physical geographical characteristics of the area was carried out in order to group homogeneous landscape units through a cartographic overlay of various layers of information, considering variables such as topography, geomorphology, and lithology. This research identifies a total of 16 landscape units, 8 of which were intervened in 1987, mainly associated with denudational hills. However, in 2022, 13 landscape units were intervened, with a considerable increase in the affected area. Particularly noteworthy is the occupation of landscape units associated with alluvial valleys, with an average of more than 30% of their total area. This demonstrates that they are the most attractive and vulnerable areas for mining exploitation, as they are the zones with the greatest potential for hosting mineral deposits. This impact has worsened over the last decade due to the introduction of other extraction techniques with machinery (dredges, dragon boats, backhoes, and bulldozers) that generate higher productive and economic yields but, at the same time, cause deep environmental liabilities due to the lack of administrative controls. The changes in extraction techniques, the increase in the international price of the commodity, and the absence of government attention have been the breeding ground that has driven gold mining activity. Full article

Identifying suitable sites for urban, industrial, and tourist development is important, especially in areas with increasing population and limited land availability. Kharga Oasis, Egypt, stands out as a promising area for such development, which can help reduce overcrowding in the Nile Valley and Delta. However, soil and various environmental factors can affect the suitability of civil engineering projects. This study used Geographic Information Systems (GISs) and a multi-criteria decision-making approach to assess the suitability of Kharga Oasis for construction activities. Geotechnical parameters were obtained from seismic velocity data, including Poisson’s ratio, stress ratio, concentration index, material index, N-value, and foundation-bearing capacity. A comprehensive analysis of in situ and laboratory-based geological and geotechnical data from 24 boreholes examined soil plasticity, water content, unconfined compressive strength, and consolidation parameters. By integrating geotechnical, geomorphological, geological, environmental, and field data, a detailed site suitability map was created using the analytic hierarchy process to develop a weighted GIS model that accounts for the numerous elements influencing civil project design and construction. The results highlight suitable sites within the study area, with high and very high suitability classes covering 56.87% of the land, moderate areas representing 27.61%, and unsuitable areas covering 15.53%. It should be noted that many settlements exist in highly vulnerable areas, emphasizing the importance of this study. This model identifies areas vulnerable to geotechnical and geoenvironmental hazards, allowing for early decision-making at the beginning of the planning process and reducing the waste of effort. The applied model does not only highlight suitable sites in the Kharga Oasis, Egypt, but, additionally, it provides a reproducible method for efficiently assessing land use suitability in other regions with similar geological and environmental conditions around the world. Full article

Unoccupied aerial systems (UASs) are increasingly being deployed in coastal environments to rapidly map and monitor changes to geomorphology, vegetation, and infrastructure, particularly in difficult to access areas. UAS data, relative to airplane or satellite data, typically have higher spatial resolution, sensor customization, and increased flexibility in temporal resolution, which benefits monitoring applications. UAS data have been used to map and monitor invasive species occurrence and expansion, such as Phragmites australis, a reed species in wetlands throughout the eastern United States. To date, the work on this species has been largely opportunistic or ad hoc. Here, we statistically and qualitatively compare results from several sensors and classification workflows to develop baseline understanding of the accuracy of different approaches used to map Phragmites. Two types of UAS imagery were collected in a Phragmites-invaded salt marsh setting—natural color red-green-blue (RGB) imagery and multispectral imagery spanning visible and near infrared wavelengths. We evaluated whether one imagery type provided significantly better classification results for mapping land cover than the other, also considering trade-offs like overall accuracy, financial costs, and effort. We tested the transferability of classification workflows that provided the highest thematic accuracy to another barrier island environment with known Phragmites stands. We showed that both UAS sensor types were effective in classifying Phragmites cover, with neither resulting in significantly better classification results than the other for Phragmites detection (overall accuracy up to 0.95, Phragmites recall up to 0.86 at the pilot study site). We also found the highest accuracy workflows were transferrable to sites in a barrier island setting, although the quality of results varied across these sites (overall accuracy up to 0.97, Phragmites recall up to 0.90 at the additional study sites). Full article

Disaster-prone mountainous regions face complex human–environment conflicts resulting from the combined influences of natural disaster threats, ecosystem conservation, and resource development. This study takes Mentougou District as the research area, leveraging landscape character identification methods to develop a multidimensional evaluation framework integrating safety, ecology, and landscape aspects, providing a foundation for zoning and management decisions. Four characteristic elements—elevation, geomorphology, vegetation type, and land cover type—were extracted during the landscape character identification phase. Two-step clustering and eCognition multi-scale segmentation were used to identify 12 landscape character types (LCTs) and delineate Landscape Character Areas (LCAs). The MaxEnt model was applied during the evaluation phase to assess debris flow susceptibility. At the same time, AHP and ArcGIS spatial overlay methods were used to evaluate ecological resilience and landscape resource quality. The three-dimensional evaluation results for the 12 LCAs were clustered and manually interpreted, resulting in four levels of protection and development areas. Management strategies were proposed from three perspectives: debris flow disaster prevention, ecosystem conservation, and landscape resource development. This method provides a pathway to balance human–environment conflicts in disaster-prone mountainous regions, promoting scientific zoning management and sustainable development in vast mountainous areas. Full article