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12 pages, 3515 KB  
Article
Development and Application of a Composite Water-Retaining Agent for Ecological Restoration in Arid Mining Areas
by Liugen Zhang, Zhanwen Cao, Zhaojun Yang, Yi Zhang and Jia Guo
Polymers 2025, 17(17), 2268; https://doi.org/10.3390/polym17172268 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 832
Abstract
Ecological restoration in arid coal-mining regions faces extreme challenges due to soil infertility, salinization, and water scarcity. This study addresses these limitations in the Santanghu Shitoumei No. 1 open-pit mine (Xinjiang), where gypsum gray-brown desert soil, minimal rainfall (199 mm/yr), high evaporation (1716 [...] Read more.
Ecological restoration in arid coal-mining regions faces extreme challenges due to soil infertility, salinization, and water scarcity. This study addresses these limitations in the Santanghu Shitoumei No. 1 open-pit mine (Xinjiang), where gypsum gray-brown desert soil, minimal rainfall (199 mm/yr), high evaporation (1716 mm/yr), and persistent gale-force winds exacerbate revegetation efforts. To overcome the high cost, short lifespan, and poor practicality of commercial water-retaining agents, we developed a novel humic acid (HA) and sodium carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC) composite water-absorbing resin (HA-CMC). Optimal synthesis parameters—identified as acrylic acid (AA)–carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC)–humic acid (HA)–Acrylamide (AM)–N,N’-methylene diacrylamide (MBA)–Ammonium persulphate (APS) = 100%:15%:4.5%:25%:0.6%:0.8%—yielded effective crosslinking, confirmed via FTIR and SEM. Performance benchmarking against existing agents demonstrated superior attributes. Field application in the mine’s demonstration area significantly enhanced surface vegetation and soil fertility, confirming the resin’s potential for large-scale soil remediation and ecological restoration in arid mining environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Polymer Composites and Nanocomposites)
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24 pages, 4045 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Factors of Soil Wind Erosion in Inner Mongolia, China
by Yong Mei, Batunacun, Chunxing Hai, An Chang, Yueming Chang, Yaxin Wang and Yunfeng Hu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(14), 2365; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17142365 - 9 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1453
Abstract
Wind erosion poses a major threat to ecosystem stability and land productivity in arid and semi-arid regions. Accurate identification of its spatiotemporal dynamics and underlying driving mechanisms is a critical prerequisite for effective risk forecasting and targeted erosion control. This study applied the [...] Read more.
Wind erosion poses a major threat to ecosystem stability and land productivity in arid and semi-arid regions. Accurate identification of its spatiotemporal dynamics and underlying driving mechanisms is a critical prerequisite for effective risk forecasting and targeted erosion control. This study applied the Revised Wind Erosion Equation (RWEQ) model to assess the spatial distribution, interannual variation, and seasonal dynamics of the Soil Wind Erosion Modulus (SWEM) across Inner Mongolia from 1990 to 2022. The GeoDetector model was further employed to quantify dominant drivers, key interactions, and high-risk zones via factor, interaction, and risk detection. The results showed that the average SWEM across the study period was 35.65 t·ha−1·yr−1 and showed a decreasing trend over time. However, localised increases were observed in the Horqin and Hulun Buir sandy lands and central grasslands. Wind erosion was most intense in spring (17.64 t·ha−1·yr−1) and weakest in summer (5.57 t·ha−1·yr−1). Gale days, NDVI, precipitation, and wind speed were identified as dominant drivers. Interaction detection revealed non-linear synergies between gale days and temperature (q = 0.40) and wind speed and temperature (q = 0.36), alongside a two-factor interaction between NDVI and precipitation (q = 0.19). Risk detection indicated that areas with gale days > 58, wind speed > 3.01 m/s, NDVI < 0.2, precipitation of 30.17–135.59 mm, and temperatures of 3.01–4.23 °C are highly erosion-prone. Management should prioritise these sensitive and intensifying areas by implementing site-specific strategies to enhance ecosystem resilience. Full article
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15 pages, 6419 KB  
Article
Sediment Resuspension in the Yellow River Subaqueous Delta During Gale Events
by Jingjing Qi, Siyu Liu, Lulu Qiao, Xingyu Xu, Jianing Li, Haonan Li and Guangxue Li
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(5), 914; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13050914 - 6 May 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1025
Abstract
During winter, strong winds and waves significantly enhance sediment resuspension in the Yellow River Delta. Based on the continuous and high-resolution data on water levels, wave heights, current velocities, and echo intensities collected by the Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler at different depths (5 [...] Read more.
During winter, strong winds and waves significantly enhance sediment resuspension in the Yellow River Delta. Based on the continuous and high-resolution data on water levels, wave heights, current velocities, and echo intensities collected by the Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler at different depths (5 m and 12 m) in the northern Yellow River Delta simultaneously, this study investigated the sediment resuspension during gale events and tranquil conditions. In deeper waters (12 m), the suspended sediment volume concentration (SSVC) showed a strong correlation with current speed (r = 0.74), while in shallower waters (5 m), the SSVC correlated more closely with wave height (r = 0.72). The thorough analysis of gale events revealed that the maximum wave heights during northwest gales were 23.80% and 34.59% lower than that during northeast gales at deep and shallow stations, respectively, primarily due to the longer wind fetch associated with northeast gales. Conversely, the maximum current velocities during northwest gales were 10.34% and 37.31% higher than that during northeast gales at deep and shallow stations. In deeper waters, the maximum wave–current induced shear stress (τcw) and SSVC during northwest gales were 30.38% and 3.70% higher than those during northeast gales, highlighting current-driven resuspension. In contrast, in shallower waters, the maximum τcw and SSVC during northeast gales were 47.35% and 4.94% higher than those during northwest gales, underscoring the dominance of wave-induced resuspension. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Coastal Engineering)
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22 pages, 13935 KB  
Article
A Diagnostic Analysis of the 2024 Beijing May 30 Gale Simulation Based on Satellite Observation Products
by Xiaoying Xu, Zhuoya Ni, Qifeng Lu, Ruixia Liu, Chunqiang Wu, Fu Wang and Jianglin Hu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(8), 1378; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17081378 - 12 Apr 2025
Viewed by 737
Abstract
A gale occurred in Beijing on 30 May 2024, which led to fallen trees and damaged infrastructure. This event was primarily driven by surface divergent winds induced by strong convective downdrafts. During the occurrence and development of this gale, solar shortwave radiation and [...] Read more.
A gale occurred in Beijing on 30 May 2024, which led to fallen trees and damaged infrastructure. This event was primarily driven by surface divergent winds induced by strong convective downdrafts. During the occurrence and development of this gale, solar shortwave radiation and cloud-related variables played a crucial role in triggering, sustaining, and organizing convection. This study proposes a new diagnostic analysis approach for this gale focusing on shortwave radiation and cloud-related variables involved in the physical processes of gale development, based on the FY-4B L2 products and simulations from the Mesoscale Weather Numerical Forecast System of the China Meteorological Administration (CMA-MESO). The diagnostic analysis results of this case show that before cloud formation, the CMA-MESO simulates stronger shortwave radiation heating in the initial stages, leading to an overestimation of surface temperature rise. Additionally, the simulated cloud formation occurs slightly later than observed, with reduced cloud coverage, shorter cloud duration, and lower cloud top heights, resulting in a weaker convective intensity compared to observations. Furthermore, the CMA-MESO underestimates the temperature gradient between the middle and lower troposphere and predicts lower convective instability, which leads to weaker forecasts of convection organization. Ultimately, this study provides a theoretical basis and technical support for enhancing the ability of the CMA-MESO to simulate this gale by using the FY-4B L2 data products for diagnostic analysis. Full article
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18 pages, 17888 KB  
Article
Morphological Features of Severe Ionospheric Weather Associated with Typhoon Doksuri in 2023
by Wang Li, Fangsong Yang, Jiayi Yang, Renzhong Zhang, Juan Lin, Dongsheng Zhao and Craig M. Hancock
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(18), 3375; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16183375 - 11 Sep 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1802
Abstract
The atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) generated by severe typhoons can facilitate the transfer of energy from the troposphere to the ionosphere, resulting in medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbances (MSTIDs). However, the complex three-dimensional nature of MSTIDs over oceanic regions presents challenges for detection using [...] Read more.
The atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) generated by severe typhoons can facilitate the transfer of energy from the troposphere to the ionosphere, resulting in medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbances (MSTIDs). However, the complex three-dimensional nature of MSTIDs over oceanic regions presents challenges for detection using ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks. This study employs a hybrid approach combining space-based and ground-based techniques to investigate the spatiotemporal characteristics of ionospheric perturbations during Typhoon Doksuri. Plane maps depict significant plasma fluctuations extending outward from the typhoon’s gale wind zone on 24 July, reaching distances of up to 1800 km from the typhoon’s center, while space weather conditions remained relatively calm. These ionospheric perturbations propagated at velocities between 173 m/s and 337 m/s, consistent with AGW features and associated propagation speeds. Vertical mapping reveals that energy originating from Typhoon Doksuri propagated upward through a 500 km layer, resulting in substantial enhancements of plasma density and temperature in the topside ionosphere. Notably, the topside horizontal density gradient was 1.5 to 2 times greater than that observed in the bottom-side ionosphere. Both modeling and observational data convincingly demonstrate that the weak background winds favored the generation of AGWs associated with Typhoon Doksuri, influencing the development of distinct MSTIDs. Full article
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18 pages, 9930 KB  
Article
A Comparative Study of Cloud Microphysics Schemes in Simulating a Quasi-Linear Convective Thunderstorm Case
by Juan Huo, Yongheng Bi, Hui Wang, Zhan Zhang, Qingping Song, Minzheng Duan and Congzheng Han
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(17), 3259; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16173259 - 2 Sep 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2162
Abstract
An investigation is undertaken to explore a sudden quasi-linear precipitation and gale event that transpired in the afternoon of 30 May 2024 over Beijing. It was situated at the southwestern periphery of a double-center low-vortex system, where a moisture-rich belt efficiently channeled abundant [...] Read more.
An investigation is undertaken to explore a sudden quasi-linear precipitation and gale event that transpired in the afternoon of 30 May 2024 over Beijing. It was situated at the southwestern periphery of a double-center low-vortex system, where a moisture-rich belt efficiently channeled abundant warm, humid air northward from the south. The interplay between dynamical lifting, convergent airflow-induced uplift, and the amplifying effects of the northern mountainous terrain’s topography creates favorable conditions that support the development and persistence of quasi-linear convective precipitation, accompanied by gale-force winds at the surface. The study also analyzes the impacts of five microphysics schemes (Lin, WSM6, Goddard, Morrison, and WDM6) employed in a weather research and forecasting (WRF) numerical model, with which the simulated rainfall and radar reflectivity are compared against ground-based rain gauge network and weather radar observations, respectively. Simulations with the five microphysics schemes demonstrate commendable skills in replicating the macroscopic quasi-linear pattern of the event. Among the schemes assessed, the WSM6 scheme exhibits its superior agreement with radar observations. The Morrison scheme demonstrates superior performance in predicting cumulative rainfall. Nevertheless, five microphysics schemes exhibit limitations in predicting the rainfall amount, the rainfall duration, and the rainfall area, with a discernible lag of approximately 30 min in predicting precipitation onset, indicating a tendency to forecast peak rainfall events slightly posterior to their true occurrence. Furthermore, substantial disparities emerge in the simulation of the vertical distribution of hydrometeors, underscoring the intricacies of microphysical processes. Full article
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17 pages, 6805 KB  
Article
Characteristics and Driving Mechanisms of Coastal Wind Speed during the Typhoon Season: A Case Study of Typhoon Lekima
by Lingzi Wang, Aodi Fu, Bashar Bashir, Jinjun Gu, Haibo Sheng, Liyuan Deng, Weisi Deng and Karam Alsafadi
Atmosphere 2024, 15(8), 880; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15080880 - 24 Jul 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2113
Abstract
The development and utilization of wind energy is of great significance to the sustainable development of China’s economy and the realization of the “dual carbon” goal. Under typhoon conditions, the randomness and volatility of wind speed significantly impact the energy efficiency and design [...] Read more.
The development and utilization of wind energy is of great significance to the sustainable development of China’s economy and the realization of the “dual carbon” goal. Under typhoon conditions, the randomness and volatility of wind speed significantly impact the energy efficiency and design of wind turbines. This paper analyzed the changes in wind speed and direction using the BFAST method and Hurst index based on data collected at 10 m, 30 m, 50 m, and 70 m heights from a wind power tower in Yancheng, Jiangsu Province. Furthermore, the paper examined the causes of wind speed and direction changes using wind speed near the typhoon center, distance from the typhoon center to the wind tower, topographic data, and mesoscale system wind direction data. The conclusions drawn are as follows: (i) Using the BEAST method, change points were identified at 10 m, 30 m, 50 m, and 70 m heights, with 5, 5, 6, and 6 change points respectively. The change points at 10 m, 30 m, and 50 m occurred around node 325, while the change time at 70 m was inconsistent with other heights. Hurst index results indicated stronger inconsistency at 70 m altitude compared to other altitudes. (ii) By analyzing the wind direction sequence at 10 m, 30 m, 50 m, and 70 m, it was found that the wind direction changes follow the sequence Southeast (SE)—East (E)—Southeast (SE)—Southwest (SW)—West (W)—Northwest (NW). Notably, the trend of wind direction at 70 m significantly differed from other altitudes during the wind speed strengthening and weakening stages. (iii) Wind speed at 10 m and 70 m altitudes responded differently to the distance from the typhoon center and the wind near the typhoon center. The correlation between wind speed and the distance to the typhoon center was stronger at 10 m than at 70 m. The surface type and the mesoscale system’s wind direction also influenced the wind speed and direction. This study provides methods and theoretical support for analyzing short-term wind speed changes during typhoons, offering reliable support for selecting wind power forecast indicators and designing wind turbines under extreme gale weather conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue High-Impact Weather Events: Dynamics, Variability and Predictability)
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15 pages, 8036 KB  
Article
Global Warming Impacts on Southeast Australian Coastally Trapped Southerly Wind Changes
by Lance M. Leslie, Milton Speer and Shuang Wang
Climate 2024, 12(7), 96; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli12070096 - 1 Jul 2024
Viewed by 2752
Abstract
Coastally trapped southerly wind changes are prominent during southeast Australia’s warm season (spring and summer). These abrupt, often gale force, wind changes are known locally as Southerly Busters (SBs) when their wind speeds reach 15 m/s. They move northwards along the coast, often [...] Read more.
Coastally trapped southerly wind changes are prominent during southeast Australia’s warm season (spring and summer). These abrupt, often gale force, wind changes are known locally as Southerly Busters (SBs) when their wind speeds reach 15 m/s. They move northwards along the coast, often producing very large temperature drops. SBs exceeding 21 m/s are severe SBs (SSBs). SBs have both positive and negative impacts. They bring relief from oppressively hot days but can cause destructive wind damage, worsen existing bushfires, and endanger aviation and marine activities. This study assesses the impacts of global warming (GW) and associated climate change on SBs and SSBs, using observational data from 1970 to 2022. Statistical analyses determine significant trends in annual frequency counts of SBs and SSBs, particularly during the accelerated GW period from the early–mid-1990s. It was found that the annual combined count of SBs and SSBs had increased, with SSBs dominating from 1970 to 1995, but SB frequencies exceeded SSBs from 1996 to 2023. The ascendency of SB frequencies over SSBs since 1996 is explained by the impact of GW on changes in global and local circulation patterns. Case studies exemplify how these circulation changes have increased annual frequencies of SBs, SSBs, and their combined total. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Coastal Hazards under Climate Change)
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19 pages, 10155 KB  
Article
Comparison of Cold Pool Characteristics of Two Distinct Gust Fronts over Bohai Sea Bay in China
by Changyi Xu and Xian Xiao
Atmosphere 2024, 15(3), 247; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15030247 - 20 Feb 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2183
Abstract
Previous studies have demonstrated that cold pools play a pivotal role in the initiation and organization of convection, yet their influence on the evolution of gust fronts (GFs) remains inadequately understood. A destructive wind event associated with a rearward gust front (RGF; 8 [...] Read more.
Previous studies have demonstrated that cold pools play a pivotal role in the initiation and organization of convection, yet their influence on the evolution of gust fronts (GFs) remains inadequately understood. A destructive wind event associated with a rearward gust front (RGF; 8 grade gale after passing GF) and a prior gust front (PGF; 10 grade gale before passing GF) over the north coast of China on 10 June 2016 was analyzed. Using multiple forms of observation data, as well as the four-dimensional Variational Doppler Radar Data Assimilation System (VDRAS), we found that the depth and intensity of the cold pool in RGF are relatively shallower and weaker, leading to a correspondingly reduced strength in both outflow and convergence. In contrast, the enhanced vertical shear and boundary northeaster inflow of PGF generate intensified and more organized downdrafts, resulting in a deeper cold pool, robust outflow, and convergence. Two schematic models were proposed to explain the discrepancy between GFs and associated cold pools. We further show that there is an internal correlation between meso-γ-scale vortices (MVs) and cold pools, the collision of MVs strengthened low-level convergence and updraft between these two GFs. Moreover, the consolidation of the two cold pools exacerbates low-layer instability and rotation, generating an intense horizontal vorticity that leads to rapid convective storm intensification. These findings offer novel insights into the diversity of GFs and associated cold pools. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)
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15 pages, 13233 KB  
Communication
Challenges in the Forecasting of Severe Typhoon Koinu in 2023
by Yu-Heng He and Pak-Wai Chan
Atmosphere 2024, 15(1), 31; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15010031 - 27 Dec 2023
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 3453
Abstract
Hong Kong was under the direct hit of Severe Typhoon Koinu (2314) on 8 and 9 October 2023, necessitating the issuance of the Increasing Gale or Storm Signal, No. 9. Koinu was a very challenging case for TC forecasting and warning services due [...] Read more.
Hong Kong was under the direct hit of Severe Typhoon Koinu (2314) on 8 and 9 October 2023, necessitating the issuance of the Increasing Gale or Storm Signal, No. 9. Koinu was a very challenging case for TC forecasting and warning services due to its compact size and erratic movement over the northern part of the South China Sea. This paper reviews the difficulties and challenges of the forecasting aspect of the severe typhoon. The predicted tropical cyclone track and intensity from both conventional models and emerging artificial intelligence models are examined, as well as local wind and rainfall forecast. Experience in this case study showed that while deterministic global models only performed moderately and were not able to adequately support early warning, a regional model and AI models could more effectively support decision making for an operational tropical cyclone warning service. Full article
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9 pages, 3080 KB  
Communication
Investigating the Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Size in the Western North Pacific from 1981 to 2009
by Qing Cao, Xiaoqin Lu and Guomin Chen
Atmosphere 2023, 14(9), 1468; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14091468 - 21 Sep 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2389
Abstract
Tropical cyclone (TC) size is an important parameter for estimating TC risks, such as precipitation distribution, gale-force wind damage, and storm surge. This paper uses the TC size dataset compiled by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of China Meteorological Administration (STI/CMA) to investigate the [...] Read more.
Tropical cyclone (TC) size is an important parameter for estimating TC risks, such as precipitation distribution, gale-force wind damage, and storm surge. This paper uses the TC size dataset compiled by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of China Meteorological Administration (STI/CMA) to investigate the interannual, monthly variation in TC size, and the relationships between TC size and intensity in the WNP basin from 1981 to 2009. The results show that the annual mean TC size oscillated within the range of 175–210 km from 1981 to 2002, then decreased following 2003. For the monthly average TC size, there are two peaks in September and October. The TC size, overall, becomes larger with increasing intensity; the samples with an unusually large size are mainly concentrated near a 40 m s−1 intensity. After the TC intensity exceeds 40 m s−1, the number of unusually large size samples gradually decreases. About 60% of the TCs reach their maximum size after reaching the peak intensity, and the average lag time is 8.3 h. Full article
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5 pages, 1214 KB  
Proceeding Paper
HNMS Marine Forecasts in Cases of Weather Warnings: Verification against Satellite Measurements
by Spyridoula Oikonomou, Dimitra Deli, Dionysia Kotta, Ioannis Matsangouras and Michail Myrsilidis
Environ. Sci. Proc. 2023, 26(1), 4; https://doi.org/10.3390/environsciproc2023026004 - 22 Aug 2023
Viewed by 2709
Abstract
The Hellenic National Meteorological Service (HNMS) issues marine weather bulletins for the Mediterranean and the Black Seas as part of the Global Maritime Distress and Safety System, with wind forecasts being of high importance. This study evaluates the accuracy of HNMS marine forecasts [...] Read more.
The Hellenic National Meteorological Service (HNMS) issues marine weather bulletins for the Mediterranean and the Black Seas as part of the Global Maritime Distress and Safety System, with wind forecasts being of high importance. This study evaluates the accuracy of HNMS marine forecasts during Wind Warning (WW) events when weather warnings were also issued for Greece. The analysis focuses on events that occurred over the Ionian and the Aegean Seas from September 2019 to February 2023. Remote sensing data are used to objectively verify the forecasted wind speed and sea state. An evaluation of the accuracy of numerical weather prediction products against satellite data during the weather system ‘Barbara’ (February 2023), that was also a WW event, is included. Full article
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15 pages, 5532 KB  
Article
Characteristics and Establishment of Objective Identification Criteria and Predictors for Foehn Winds in Urumqi, China
by Maoling Ayitikan, Xia Li, Qing He, Yusufu Musha, Hao Tang, Shuting Li, Yuting Zhong and Gang Ren
Atmosphere 2023, 14(8), 1206; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14081206 - 27 Jul 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1695
Abstract
The special terrain of Urumqi (in the valley area) often triggers strong foehn winds, causing huge losses to local people’s lives and social economies. By using the surface observation data of the hourly temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind from the downwind Urumqi Meteorological [...] Read more.
The special terrain of Urumqi (in the valley area) often triggers strong foehn winds, causing huge losses to local people’s lives and social economies. By using the surface observation data of the hourly temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind from the downwind Urumqi Meteorological Station and the upwind Dabancheng Meteorological Station in the Middle Tianshan Canyon and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data during 2008–2022, this paper establishes the dataset of foehn processes at Urumqi Station in the past 15 years and analyzes the variation rules of the associated meteorological variables during the foehn processes. In addition, based on the physical mechanism of the occurrence of foehn, a three-element identification criterion (i.e., 94° ≤ 2 min average wind direction ≤ 168°, 2 min average wind speed ≥ 2.0 m/s, and Δθ between Urumqi station and Dabancheng station ≥ 0.29 K) for foehn in Urumqi is established by comparing and analyzing the variations of wind direction (WD), wind speed (WS), and the potential temperature difference (Δθ) between the two weather stations during the periods of foehn and non-foehn winds from 2013 to 2022. In addition, the performance of the three-element identification criterion is verified, and the results suggest that this criterion has an accuracy of 82.96% and a hit rate of 89.50% for the 2008–2012 foehn events in Urumqi. Moreover, the hit rate of this criterion for foehn wind of gale or above level (i.e., a 2 min wind ≥ 10.8 m/s on average) is 100%. In addition, combined with two predictors of sea-level pressure difference (ΔP) and Δθ between downwind stations and upwind stations, the foehn forecast can be more accurate than that provided by a single predictor. With ΔP ≤ −12 hPa and Δθ ≥ 5 K, the chances for foehn to occur are over 90%. This finding would have some reference and application values for the foehn forecasting. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Wind Forecasting over Complex Terrain)
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15 pages, 3124 KB  
Article
Study of Landfalling Typhoon Potential Maximum Gale Forecasting in South China
by Zhizhong Su, Lifang Li, Fumin Ren, Jing Zhu, Chunxia Liu, Qilin Wan, Qiongbo Sun and Li Jia
Atmosphere 2023, 14(5), 888; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14050888 - 19 May 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2647
Abstract
Based on historical tropical cyclone (TC) tracking data and wind data from observation stations, four comparison experiments were designed that considered TC translation speed similarity and five new ensemble schemes in an improved Dynamical-Statistical-Analog Ensemble Forecast (DSAEF) model for Landfalling Typhoon Gale (LTG), [...] Read more.
Based on historical tropical cyclone (TC) tracking data and wind data from observation stations, four comparison experiments were designed that considered TC translation speed similarity and five new ensemble schemes in an improved Dynamical-Statistical-Analog Ensemble Forecast (DSAEF) model for Landfalling Typhoon Gale (LTG), which was tested in terms of forecast capability in South China. The results showed that the improved DSAEF_LTG model with the incorporation of TC translation speed and a new ensemble scheme could improve the forecast threat score (TS) and reduce both the false alarm ratio and the missing ratio in comparison with corresponding values attained before the improvement. The TS of the new ensemble scheme model (DLTG_3) was 0.34 at threshold above Beaufort Scale 7, which was 31% better than that of the unimproved model (DLTG_1). At a threshold above Beaufort Scale 10, the TS of DLTG_3 indicated even greater improvement, reaching 0.25, i.e., 127% higher than that of DLTG_1. The results of the experiments illustrated the marked improvement achievable when using the new ensemble scheme. The reasons for the differences in the DSAEF_LTG model forecasts before and after the introduction of TC translation speed and the new ensemble scheme were analyzed for the cases of Typhoon Haima and Typhoon Hato. Full article
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17 pages, 8307 KB  
Article
Application of a Three-Dimensional Wind Field from a Phased-Array Weather Radar Network in Severe Convection Weather
by Cailing Li, Haobo Tan, Guorong Wang, Pakwai Chan, Jincan Huang and Yun Luo
Atmosphere 2023, 14(5), 781; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14050781 - 26 Apr 2023
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 3169
Abstract
In 2019–2020, an array weather radar (AWR) network consisting of seven X-band phased-array radars (PARs), with a detection spatial resolution of 30 m and a temporal resolution of 30 s, was built in the city of Foshan in China’s Guangdong Province. The detection [...] Read more.
In 2019–2020, an array weather radar (AWR) network consisting of seven X-band phased-array radars (PARs), with a detection spatial resolution of 30 m and a temporal resolution of 30 s, was built in the city of Foshan in China’s Guangdong Province. The detection time deviation in the same space is within 5 s. Through variational data assimilation, the three-dimensional wind field inside the storm can be obtained. This study selected instances of hail, thunderstorms, strong winds, and short-duration heavy precipitation in 2020 to conduct a detailed analysis. The results show the following: (1) The fine detection ability enables phased-array radars to detect the complete evolution process of convective storms, including development, strengthening, and weakening, providing a useful reference for judging the future variation trends of convective storms. (2) Through evolutionary analysis of the three-dimensional wind field, the dynamic mechanisms of storm strengthening and weakening could be obtained, which could serve as a reference to predict the development of storms. The gust wind index and convection index calculated based on the three-dimensional wind field could provide advanced warning for nowcasting. When the gust wind index was greater than 263, the probability of gale-force wind (above 17.0 m/s) was determined to be high. Moreover, the warning could be provided 10–20 min in advance. A convection index greater than 35 and the presence of concentrated contour lines were found to be conducive to the strengthening and formation of a convection, and the warning could be provided 20 min in advance. These results show that the application of PAR can provide important technical support for nowcasting severe convective weather. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)
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