Search Results (158)

The lower Yellow River is characterized by low water discharge and a high sediment load, resulting in a fragile aquatic ecosystem. It is important to develop a reasonable method of ecological flow calculation that can be applied to the water-scarce rivers like the Yellow River. In this paper, we selected the Huayuankou hydrological station in the lower Yellow River as our study site and assessed the ecological flow using several methodologies including the monthly frequency calculation method, the sediment transportation method, the habitat simulation method, and the improved annual distribution method. Based on the seasonal applicability of the four methods across months of the year, we established an ecological flow calculation method that considers the integrated ecological functions of the lower Yellow River. In this method, ecological flow in the lower Yellow River during the dry season (November to March) can be determined by using the improved annual distribution method, ecological flow in the fish spawning period (April to June) can be calculated using the habitat simulation method, and the ecological flow during the flood season (July to October) can be calculated using the sediment transportation method. The optimal ecological flow regime for the Huayuankou section was determined using the established method. The ecological flow regimes derived in our study ranged from 310 m³/s to 1532 m³/s. However, we also observed that the ecological flow has a relatively low assurance rate during the flood season in the lower Yellow River, with the assurance rate not exceeding 63%. This highlights the fact that more attention should be given in reservoir regulations to facilitating sediment transport downstream. Full article

Frequency analysis is essential for designing hydraulic structures and managing water resources, as it helps assess hydrological extremes. However, changes in river basins can impact their accuracy, complicating the link between discharge and return periods. This study aims to comprehensively assess the probability characteristics of long-term M-day maximum/minimum discharges in the Carpathian region of Slovakia. We analyze the long-term data from 26 gauging stations covering 90 years of observation. Slovak rivers show considerable intra-annual variability, especially between the summer–autumn (SA) and winter–spring (WS) seasons. To allow consistent comparisons, we apply a uniform methodology to estimate T-year daily maximum and minimum specific discharges over durations of 1 and 7 days for both seasons. Our findings indicate that 1-day maximum specific discharges are generally higher during the SA season compared to the WS season. The 7-day minimum specific discharges are lower during the WS season compared to the SA season. Slovakia’s diverse orographic and climatic conditions cause significant spatial variability in extreme discharges. However, the estimated T-year 7-day minimum and 1-day maximum specific discharges, based on the mean specific discharge and the altitude of the water gauge, exhibit certain nonlinear dependences. These relationships could support the indirect estimation of T-year M-day discharges in regions with similar runoff characteristics. Full article

Many effluents from human activities discharged into freshwater ecosystems cause chemical pollution. Chemical pollution in rivers is a serious threat to freshwater ecosystems due to the associated potential human health risks. This study determined the extent of chemical pollution, identified potential sources of pollution and assessed human health risk in the Moopetsi River, an intermittent river in the Limpopo Province of South Africa. Chemical analyses were conducted on water and sediment samples collected during high-flow, low-flow and intermittent-flow regimes. The findings showed seasonal variations in the chemical pollution levels in the sediments and the highest contamination was measured during intermittent flow. The enrichment factor and geoaccumulation index values identified chromium and nickel as major contributors to sediment contamination. The mean arsenic, chromium and nickel levels exceeded the established guideline values. An evaluation of human health risk was conducted using ingestion and dermal absorption pathways. The results showed that ingestion has greater non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risks than dermal exposure, especially for children during intermittent flow. The elements of great concern for non-carcinogenic risk were chromium, manganese and nickel and for carcinogenic risk, they were arsenic, chromium, nickel and lead. The outcome of this study is useful for waste management and conservation to reduce environmental degradation and human health risk. Full article

This paper presents the results of studies on intra-annual runoff changes in the Ile River basin based on data from gauging stations up to 2021. Changes in climatic characteristics that determine runoff formation in the mountainous and foothill areas of the river catchment have led to alterations in the water regime of the watercourses. The analysis of the temporal and spatial patterns of river flow formation in the basin, as well as its distribution by seasons and months, is essential for solving applied water management problems and assessing the risks of hazardous hydrological phenomena, such as high floods and low water levels. The statistical analysis of annual and monthly river runoff fluctuations enabled the identification of relatively homogeneous estimation periods during stationary observations under varying climatic conditions. The obtained characteristics of annual and intra-annual river runoff in the Ile River basin for the modern period provide insights into changes in average monthly water discharge and, more broadly, runoff volume during different phases of the water regime. In the future, these characteristics are expected to guide the design of hydraulic structures and the rational use of surface runoff in this intensively developing region of Kazakhstan. Full article

The water regime in Pakistan’s northern region has experienced significant changes regarding hydrological extremes like floods because of climate change. Coupling hydrological models with remote sensing data can be valuable for flow simulation in data-scarce regions. This study focused on simulating the snow- and glacier-melt runoff using the snowmelt runoff model (SRM) in the Gilgit and Kachura River Basins of the upper Indus basin (UIB). The SRM was applied by coupling it with in situ and improved cloud-free MODIS snow and glacier composite satellite data (MOYDGL06) to simulate the flow under current and future climate scenarios. The SRM showed significant results: the Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE) for the calibration and validation period was between 0.93 and 0.97, and the difference in volume (between the simulated and observed flow) was in the range of −1.5 to 2.8% for both catchments. The flow tends to increase by 0.3–10.8% for both regions (with a higher increase in Gilgit) under mid- and late-21st-century climate scenarios. The Gilgit Basin’s higher hydrological sensitivity to climate change, compared to the Kachura Basin, stems from its lower mean elevation, seasonal snow dominance, and greater temperature-induced melt exposure. This study concludes that the simple temperature-based models, such as the SRM, coupled with improved satellite snow cover data, are reliable in simulating the current and future flows from the data-scarce mountainous catchments of Pakistan. The outcomes are valuable and can be used to anticipate and lessen any threat of flooding to the local community and the environment under the changing climate. This study may support flood assessment and mapping models in future flood risk reduction plans. Full article

The Angat Reservoir serves as a major water source for Metro Manila, providing most of the region’s domestic, agricultural, and hydropower needs. However, its dependence on rainfall makes it sensitive to climate variability and future climate change. This study assesses potential long-term impacts of climate change on water availability in the Angat watershed using the Hydrologic Engineering Center–Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS). Historical rainfall data from 1994 to 2023 and projections under both RCP4.5 (moderate emissions) and RCP8.5 (high emissions) scenarios were analyzed to simulate future hydrologic responses. Results indicate projected reductions in wet-season rainfall and corresponding outflows, with declines of up to 18% under the high-emission scenario. Increased variability during dry-season flows suggests heightened risks of water scarcity. While these projections highlight possible changes in the watershed’s hydrologic regime, the study acknowledges limitations, including assumptions in rainfall downscaling and the absence of direct streamflow observations for model calibration. Overall, the findings underscore the need for further investigation and planning to manage potential climate-related impacts on water resources in Metro Manila. Full article

The study presents a scenario analysis of the long-term dynamics of the water level of Lake Balkhash, one of the largest closed lakes in Central Asia, taking into account climate change according to CMIP6 scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and socio-economic factors of water use. Based on historical data (1947–2021) and a water balance model, the contribution of surface runoff, precipitation and evaporation to the formation of the lake’s hydrological regime was assessed. It was established that the main source of water resources for the lake is the flow of the Ile River, which feeds the western part of the reservoir. The eastern part is characterized by extremely limited water inflow, while evaporation remains the main element of water consumption, having increased significantly in recent decades due to rising air temperatures. Increasing intra-seasonal and interannual fluctuations in water levels have been recorded: The amplitude of short-term fluctuations reached 0.7–0.8 m, which exceeds previously characteristic values. The results of water balance modeling up to 2050 show a trend towards a 30% reduction in surface inflow and an increase in evaporation by 25% compared to the 1981–2010 climate norm, which highlights the high sensitivity of the lake’s hydrological regime to climatic and anthropogenic influences. The results obtained justify the need for the comprehensive and adaptive management of water resources in the Balkhash Lake basin, taking into account the transboundary nature of water use and changing climatic conditions. Full article

This study examines hydrological alterations across thirteen sections of the Tagus River’s central axis, focusing on deviations from natural hydrological regimes. The goal is to assess the conservation status of aquatic ecosystems by analyzing how human activities have affected the river’s flow. The study investigates changes in flow regime as the river moves downstream, noting that alterations in monthly and extreme flows decrease downstream and have less impact in the lower basin. The inversion of seasonal high and low flows, a significant alteration in the upper reaches, becomes less pronounced further downstream, while the rate of flow change emerges as a key factor in the lower sections. By identifying which variables most influence these alterations, the study allows for more targeted hydrological corrections. As an application of a better definition of the alterations found, hydrological restoration measures are proposed that include a maximum flow limit in the upper part of the basin and a monthly ecological flow regime in the lower section to reduce the most relevant impacts found. Full article

This study investigates the temporal dynamics, sources, and photochemical behaviour of key volatile organic compounds (VOCs) along Marylebone Road, London (1 January 2015–1 January 2023), a heavily trafficked urban area. Hourly measurements of benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, ethene, propene, isoprene, propane, and ethyne, alongside ozone (O₃) and meteorological data, were analysed using correlation matrices, regression, cross-correlation, diurnal/seasonal analysis, wind-sector analysis, PCA (Principal Component Analysis), and clustering. Strong inter-VOC correlations (e.g., benzene–ethylbenzene: r = 0.86, R² = 0.75; ethene–propene: r = 0.68, R² = 0.53) highlighted dominant vehicular sources. Diurnal peaks of benzene, toluene, and ethylbenzene aligned with rush hours, while O₃ minima occurred in early mornings due to NO titration. VOCs peaked in winter under low mixing heights, whereas O₃ was highest in summer. Wind-sector analysis revealed dominant VOC emissions from SSW (south-southwest)–WSW (west-southwest) directions; ethyne peaked from the E (east)/ENE (east-northeast). O₃ concentrations were highest under SE (southeast)–SSE (south-southeast) flows. PCA showed 39.8% of variance linked to traffic-related VOCs (PC1) and 14.8% to biogenic/temperature-driven sources (PC2). K-means clustering (k = 3) identified three regimes: high VOCs/low O₃ in stagnant, cool air; mixed conditions; and low VOCs/high O₃ in warmer, aged air masses. Findings highlight complex VOC–O₃ interactions and stress the need for source-specific mitigation strategies in urban air quality management. Full article

This study presents a global assessment of the climatological seasonal variability of river discharge into the oceans, based on an expanded dataset comprising 958 gauging stations across 136 countries. Monthly discharges were compiled for 145 major rivers and tributaries, with a focus on improving the accuracy and spatial coverage of global freshwater flux estimates. Compared to previous datasets, this updated compilation includes a broader set of rivers, explicitly integrates tributary inflows, and quantifies both the absolute and relative seasonal amplitudes of discharge variability. The results reveal substantial differences among ocean basins. The Atlantic Ocean, although receiving the highest total runoff, shows relatively weak seasonal variability, with a coefficient of variation of CV = 12.6% due to asynchronous peak discharge from its major rivers (Amazon, Congo, Orinoco). In contrast, the Indian Ocean exhibits the most pronounced seasonal cycle (CV = 88.3%), driven by monsoonal rivers. The Pacific Ocean shows intermediate variability (CV = 62.1%), influenced by a combination of monsoon rains and snowmelt. At the river scale, Orinoco and Changjiang display high seasonal amplitudes, exceeding 89% of their mean flows, whereas more stable regimes are found in equatorial and temperate rivers like the Amazon and Saint Lawrence. In addition, the critical role of tributaries in altering discharge magnitude and seasonal variability is well established. This study provides high-resolution monthly discharge climatologies at global and basin scales, enhancing freshwater forcing in OGCMs. By improving the representation of land–ocean exchanges, it enables more accurate simulations of salinity, circulation, biogeochemical cycles, and climate-sensitive processes in coastal and open-ocean regions. Full article

Rapid suburbanization can alter catchment flow regime and increase stormwater runoff, posing threats to sensitive ecosystems. Applications of Nature-based Solutions (NbS) have increasingly been adopted as part of integrated water management efforts to tackle the hydrological impact of urbanization with co-benefits for improved urban resilience, sustainability, and community well-being. However, the implementation of NbS can be hindered by gaps in performance assessment. This paper introduces a physically based dynamic modeling approach to assess the performance of a nature-based storage facility designed to capture excess runoff from an urbanizing catchment (Armstrong Creek catchment) in Geelong, Australia. The study adopts a numerical modelling approach, supported by extensive field monitoring of water levels over a 2.5-year period. The model provides a decision support tool for Geelong local government in managing stormwater runoff to protect Lake Connewarre, a Ramsar-listed wetland under the Port Phillip Bay (Western Shoreline) and Bellarine Peninsula. Runoff is currently managed via a set of operating rules governing gate operations that prevents flows into the ecological sensitive downstream waterbody from December to April (drier periods in summer and most of autumn). Comparison with observed water level data at three monitoring stations for a continuous simulation period of May 2022 to October 2024 demonstrates satisfactory to excellent model performance (NSE: 0.55–0.79, R²: 0.80–0.89, ISE rating: excellent). Between 1670 × 10³ m³ and 2770 × 10³ m³ of runoff was intercepted by the nature-based storage facility, representing a 56–70% reduction in stormwater discharge into Lake Connewarre. Our model development underscores the importance of understanding and incorporating user interventions (gate operations and emergency pumping) from the standard operation plan to better manage catchment runoff. As revealed by the seasonal flow analysis for consecutive years, adaptive runoff management practices, capable of responding to rainfall variability, should be incorporated. Full article

This study assesses the functioning of the karst aquifer system located on the Croatian coast of the Adriatic Sea, where saltwater intrusion often presents a major problem for freshwater supply. We use two years of sensor data collected from two coastal springs to conduct a range of time-invariant and time-variant statistical analyses over various timescales. We perform separate analyses of the within-day and longer-term variation in the data as well as the interactions between the spring levels, salinity, rainfall, and sea levels. Such comprehensive analyses provide a greater understanding into the inner functioning of the intricate, heavily karstified aquifers. Time-invariant time-series analyses of the hourly data indicate that the spring levels and salinity are strongly controlled by sea levels. Furthermore, time-variant wavelet analyses demonstrate that the variation in spring levels in both springs has two modes defined by flow regime. Increases in the delay of the spring response to sea level indicate that aquifer diffusivity decreases in low flow conditions. Analyses facilitated the development of a conceptual model of the karst subsurface in the discharge zone. Using daily data, we constructed a linear mixed model of the spring levels. This model identified long-term sea level changes, rainfall from previous weeks, and seasonal recharge patterns as the primary factors influencing longer-term spring dynamics. Full article

This study quantitatively investigates monsoon-driven bedload sediment transport mechanisms in the Qiongzhou Strait using the SCHISM model, revealing three key findings: (1) Monsoon seasonality governs net sediment flux through contrasting hydrodynamic regimes, with the winter monsoon establishing spatially coherent westward transport pathways, while the summer monsoon induces counteracting flow patterns that suppress net transport. (2) Winter conditions exhibit opposing transport vectors between tidal and monsoon forcing at both strait entrances, with monsoon dominance at the western entrance contrasting tidal predominance in the eastern sector. (3) Summer monsoon–tide hydrodynamic decoupling results in transport magnitudes ≤ 10% of tidal-driven quantities across critical cross-sections. The research elucidates sediment budget partitioning mechanisms in monsoon-dominated shelf seas, particularly revealing a spatial reversal of dominant transport drivers between eastern and western gateways that mechanistically explains observed sedimentary architecture asymmetries. By innovatively quantifying spatiotemporal coupling effects of meteorological and tidal forcing, this work advances theoretical understanding of sediment flux allocation under monsoonal systems and provides scientific support for seabed resource management and geomorphological evolution predictions. Full article

Global and regional climate change and their water-related impacts are a key component in future development scenarios to guide sustainable water management. Climatic changes may lead to an undesirable redistribution of water supplies and potentially harmful extremities in river flows throughout the year. If we add to this the uneven spatial distribution of water resources in Kazakhstan, the importance of assessment of the intra-annual distribution of river flows under historical and present climatic conditions becomes evident. The presented scientific study analyzes decadal regional trends from 1985 to 2022 in the intra-annual distribution of river runoff in selected catchments in Kazakhstan, including Buktyrma River, Zhabay River, and Ulken-Kobda River. The river basins were selected to cover diverse regions in terms of geographical features and hydrological conditions, significantly affected by climate change. We applied statistical analysis methods using multiyear values of mean monthly and mean annual river flows, mean monthly air temperatures, and mean monthly precipitation. To analyze the intra-annual distribution of annual river flow in the context of climate change, a computational method was used, in which the actual current river flow (modern river flow taking into account non-stationarity of climatic changes) was compared with the conditionally natural flow obtained by modeling and corresponding to the natural regime of the river. The long-term dynamics of flow-forming factors and runoff parameters with regard to phases of different water content (25%, 50%, and 75%) were considered. Statistical analysis of seasonal changes in water content of modeled and actual river flow, taking into account climatic non-stationarity, allowed us to identify significant trends of flow redistribution within the year: indicating a decrease in the volume of spring floods, an increase in winter flow and increase in seasonal variability, especially for the Ulken Kobda River. It appears that atmospheric circulation significantly affects annual and seasonal variations of water availability. The shift in western circulation type (W) contributes to increased average annual river flow, while the shift in eastern circulation type (E) is associated with amplification of extreme flood-type events. The results obtained are important for adapting sustainable water management practices under a changing climate, helping to anticipate the availability of water resources and allowing pro-active measures to mitigate hydrological extremes. Full article

Accurate near-surface wind speed and direction measurements are crucial for validating atmospheric models, especially for the purpose of adequately assessing the interactions between the surface and wind, which in turn results in characteristic vertical profiles. Coastal regions pose unique challenges due to the discontinuity between land and sea and the complex interplay of atmospheric stability, topography, and boundary/layer dynamics. This study focuses on a unique database of wind profiles collected over several years at a World Meteorological Organization—Global Atmosphere Watch (WMO/GAW) coastal site in the southern Italian region of Calabria (Lamezia Terme, code: LMT). By leveraging remote sensing technologies, including wind lidar combined with in situ measurements, this work comprehensively analyzes wind circulation at low altitudes in the narrowest point of the entire Italian peninsula. Seasonal, daily, and hourly wind profiles at multiple heights are analyzed, highlighting the patterns and variations induced by land–sea interactions. A case study integrating Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite images and in situ observations demonstrates the importance of multi-sensor approaches in capturing wind dynamics and validating model simulations. Data analyses demonstrate the occurrence of extreme events during the winter and spring seasons, linked to synoptic flows; fall seasons have variable patterns, while during the summer, low-speed winds and breeze regimes tend to prevail. The prevailing circulation is of a westerly nature, in accordance with other studies on large-scale flows. Full article