Search Results (201)

Urban flooding caused by short and high-intensity rainfall events presents increasing challenges for cities, threatening infrastructure, public safety and economic activity. Accurately representing infiltration processes in hydrodynamic models is critical, as oversimplifying infiltration can lead to significant errors in predicted flood extents and water depths. This study systematically compares two widely used infiltration models—Green-Ampt and Curve Number—implemented within two leading 2D hydraulic models, HEC-RAS and IBER, to assess their influence on urban flood predictions. Simulations were conducted for 26 rainfall events, including both observed and synthetic hyetographs, across two urban neighbourhoods in Pamplona metropolitan area, Spain. Model performance was evaluated using root mean square error, mean absolute error and confusion matrix-derived metrics such as precision, accuracy, specificity, sensitivity and negative predictive value. Results indicate that the choice of infiltration method significantly affects both water depths and inundation extents: while Green-Ampt yields more conservative water depth estimates, Curve Number tends to underestimate flood extents. The comparison between the two hydraulic models has shown that IBER simulates broader flood extents and lower water depth errors compared to HEC-RAS. The findings highlight the importance of selecting appropriate infiltration methods and hydraulic models for reliable urban flood risk assessment, as well as providing guidance for model selection in urban inundation studies. Full article

Computing the temporal variation in clearwater scour depth around abutments is important for bridge foundation design. To reach the equilibrium scour depth at bridge abutments takes a very long time. However, the corresponding times under prototype conditions can yield values significantly greater than the time to reach the design flood peak. Therefore, estimating the temporal variation in scour depth is necessary. This study evaluates multiple machine learning (ML) models to identify the most accurate method for predicting scour depth (Ds) over time using experimental data. The dataset of 3275 records, including flow depth (Y), abutment length (L), channel width (B), velocity (V), time (t), sediment size (d₅₀), and Ds, was used to train and test Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest Regressor (RFR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Gradient Boosting (GBR), XGBoost, LightGBM, and KNN models. Results demonstrated the superior performance of AI-based models over conventional regression. The RFR model achieved the highest accuracy (R² = 0.9956, Accuracy = 99.73%), followed by KNN and GBR. In contrast, the conventional LR model performed poorly (R² = 0.4547, Accuracy = 57.39%). This study confirms the significant potential of ML, particularly ensemble methods, to provide highly reliable scour predictions, offering a robust tool for enhancing bridge design and safety. Full article

Climate change is elevating temperatures, shifting weather patterns, and increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events. Despite the urgency with which solutions are needed, relatively few studies comprehensively investigate the effectiveness of alternative flood risk management options under different climate conditions. Specifically, we are interested in a comparison of the effectiveness of resistance, nature-based, and managed retreat strategies. Using an integrated 1D-2D PCSWMM model, this paper presents a comprehensive investigation into the effectiveness of alternative adaptation strategies in reducing flood risks in Eastwick, a community of Philadelphia, PA, subject to fluvial, pluvial, and coastal flood hazards. While addressing the urgent public need to develop local solutions to this community’s flood problems, the research also presents transferable insights into the limitations and opportunities of different flood risk reduction strategies, manifested here by a levee, watershed-scale green stormwater infrastructure (GSI) program, and a land swap. The effectiveness of these options is compared, respectively, under compound climate change conditions, with the spatiotemporal patterns of precipitation and Delaware river tidal conditions based on Tropical Storm Isaias (2020). The hypothesis was that the GSI and managed retreat approaches would be superior to the levee, due to their intrinsic ability to address the compound climate hazards faced by this community. Indeed, the findings illustrate significant differences in the predicted flood extents, depths, and duration of flooding of the various options under both current and future climate scenarios. However, the ideal remedy to flooding in Eastwick is more likely to require an integrated approach, based on more work to evaluate cost-effectiveness, stakeholder preferences, and various logistical factors. The paper concludes with a call for integrating multiple strategies into multifunctional flood risk management. Full article

Sewer systems are essential for sustainable infrastructure management, influencing environmental, social, and economic aspects. However, sewer network capacity is under significant pressure, with many systems overwhelmed by challenges such as climate change, ageing infrastructure, and increasing inflow and infiltration, particularly through groundwater infiltration (GWI). Current research in this area has primarily focused on general sewer performance, with limited attention to high-resolution, spatially explicit assessments of sewer exposure to GWI, highlighting a critical knowledge gap. This study responds to this gap by developing a high-resolution GWI assessment. This is achieved by integrating fuzzy-analytical hierarchy process (AHP) with geographic information systems (GISs) and machine learning (ML) to generate GWI probability maps across the Dawlish region, southwest United Kingdom, complemented by sensitivity analysis to identify the key drivers of sewer network vulnerability. To this end, 16 hydrological–hydrogeological thematic layers were incorporated: elevation, slope, topographic wetness index, rock, alluvium, soil, land cover, made ground, fault proximity, fault length, mass movement, river proximity, flood potential, drainage order, groundwater depth (GWD), and precipitation. A GWI probability index, ranging from 0 to 1, was developed for each 1 m × 1 m area per season. The model domain was then classified into high-, intermediate-, and low-GWI-risk zones using K-means clustering. A consistency ratio of 0.02 validated the AHP approach for pairwise comparisons, while locations of storm overflow (SO) discharges and model comparisons verified the final outputs. SOs predominantly coincided with areas of high GWI probability and high-risk zones. Comparison of AHP-weighted GIS output clustered via K-means with direct K-means clustering of AHP-weighted layers yielded a Kappa value of 0.70, with an 81.44% classification match. Sensitivity analysis identified five key factors influencing GWI scores: GWD, river proximity, flood potential, rock, and alluvium. The findings underscore that proxy-based geospatial and machine learning approaches offer an effective and scalable method for mapping sewer network exposure to GWI. By enabling high-resolution risk assessment, the proposed framework contributes a novel proxy and machine-learning-based screening tool for the management of smart cities. This supports predictive maintenance, optimised infrastructure investment, and proactive management of GWI in sewer networks, thereby reducing costs, mitigating environmental impacts, and protecting public health. In this way, the method contributes not only to improved sewer system performance but also to advancing the sustainability and resilience goals of smart cities. Full article

Disaster risk reduction requires efficient flood control in lowland and flood-prone areas, especially in agricultural areas like the Bang Rakam model area in Phitsanulok province, Thailand. In order to improve flood prediction and response, this study proposes the creation of a low-cost, real-time water-level monitoring integrated with spatial data analysis using Geographic Information System (GIS) technology. Ten ultrasonic sensor-equipped monitoring stations were installed thoughtfully around sub-catchment areas to provide highly accurate water-level readings. To define inundation zones and create flood depth maps, the sensors gather flood level data from each station, which is then processed using a 1-m Digital Elevation Model (DEM) and Python-based geospatial analysis. In order to create dynamic flood maps that offer information on flood extent, depth, and water volume within each sub-catchment, an automated method was created to use real-time water-level data. These results demonstrate the promise of low-cost IoT-based flood monitoring devices as an affordable and scalable remedy for communities that are at risk. This method improves knowledge of flood dynamics in the Bang Rakam model area by combining sensor technology and spatial data analysis. It also acts as a standard for flood management tactics in other lowland areas. The study emphasizes how crucial real-time data-driven flood monitoring is to enhancing early-warning systems, disaster preparedness, and water resource management. Full article

Most levees are composed of earthen materials, making their structural stability vulnerable under flood conditions, especially in the case of overtopping. This study aims to analyze the relationship between the channel Froude number and the flow behavior on the landward slope of a levee during overtopping, enabling the prediction of landward slope velocity (LSV) in advance. Accurate estimation of flow velocity on the landward slope is crucial for predicting the occurrence and intensity of erosion during overtopping events, and it serves as a critical criterion for designing protective armoring and assessing levee structural stability. Numerical simulations were conducted under various Froude numbers in the channel to estimate the corresponding LSV. Key variables, including channel discharge, velocity, levee height, and overtopping flow depth, were used to establish quantitative correlations between channel flow characteristics and LSV. The proposed model effectively predicts the LSV for channel Froude numbers approximately between 0.05 and 0.60. The findings allow for a simplified estimation of LSV based on changes in Froude number and overtopping flow depth, providing valuable baseline data for planning levee reinforcement and maintenance strategies. Full article

Urban flooding represents a growing global concern, especially in areas with rapid urbanization, unregulated urban sprawl and climate change conditions. Conventional flood modeling approaches do not effectively capture the complex dynamics between natural watershed behavior and urban infrastructure; they typically simulate these domains in isolation. This study introduces the Watershed-BIM methodology, a three-dimensional simulation framework that integrates Building and City Information Modeling (BIM/CIM), Geographic Information Systems (GIS), Flood Risk Assessment (FRA), and Flood Risk Management (FRM) into a single framework. Autodesk InfraWorks 2024, Civil 3D 2024, and RiverFlow2D v8.14 software are incorporated in the development. The methodology enhances interoperability and prediction accuracy by bridging hydrological processes with detailed urban-scale data. The framework was tested on a real-world flash flood event in Mandra, Greece, an area frequently exposed to extreme rainfall and runoff events. A specific comparison with observed flood characteristics indicates improved accuracy in comparison to other hydrological analyses (e.g., by HEC-RAS simulation). Beyond flood depth, the model offers additional insights into flow direction, duration, and localized water accumulation around buildings and infrastructure. In this context, integrated tools such as Watershed-BIM stand out as essential instruments for translating complex flood dynamics into actionable, city-scale resilience planning. Full article

Floods are among the most devastating natural disasters; predicting their depth and extent remains a global challenge. Machine Learning (ML) models have demonstrated improved accuracy over traditional probabilistic flood mapping approaches. While previous studies have developed ML-based models for specific local regions, this study aims to establish a methodology for estimating flood depth on a global scale using ML algorithms and freely available datasets—a challenging yet critical task. To support model generalization, 45 catchments from diverse geographic regions were selected based on elevation, land use, land cover, and soil type variations. The datasets were meticulously preprocessed, ensuring normality, eliminating outliers, and scaling. These preprocessed data were then split into subgroups: 75% for training and 25% for testing, with six additional unseen catchments from the USA reserved for validation. A sensitivity analysis was performed across several ML models (ANN, CNN, RNN, LSTM, Random Forest, XGBoost), leading to the selection of the Random Forest (RF) algorithm for both flood inundation classification and flood depth regression models. Three regression models were assessed for flood depth prediction. The pixel-based regression model achieved an R² of 91% for training and 69% for testing. Introducing a pixel clustering regression model improved the testing R² to 75%, with an overall validation (for unseen catchments) R² of 64%. The catchment-based clustering regression model yielded the most robust performance, with an R² of 83% for testing and 82% for validation. The developed ML model demonstrates breakthrough computational efficiency, generating complete flood depth predictions in just 6 min—a 225× speed improvement (90–95% time reduction) over conventional HEC-RAS 6.3 simulations. This rapid processing enables the practical implementation of flood early warning systems. Despite the dramatic speed gains, the solution maintains high predictive accuracy, evidenced by statistically robust 95% confidence intervals and strong spatial agreement with HEC-RAS benchmark maps. These findings highlight the critical role of the spatial variability of dependencies in enhancing model accuracy, representing a meaningful approach forward in scalable modeling frameworks with potential for global generalization of flood depth. Full article

This study presents a novel bivariate-output deep learning framework based on LeNet-5 for the simultaneous prediction of urban flood susceptibility and inundation depth in Seoul, South Korea. Unlike previous studies that relied on single-output models, the proposed approach jointly learns classification and regression targets through a shared feature extraction structure, enhancing consistency and generalization. Among six tested architectures, the Le5SD_CBAM model—integrating a Convolutional Block Attention Module (CBAM)—achieved the best performance, with 83% accuracy, an Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) of 0.91 for flood susceptibility classification, and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.12 m and root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.18 m for depth estimation. The model’s spatial predictions aligned well with hydrological principles and past flood records, accurately identifying low-lying flood-prone zones and capturing localized inundation patterns influenced by infrastructure and micro-topography. Importantly, it detected spatial mismatches between susceptibility and depth, demonstrating the benefit of joint modeling. Variable importance analysis highlighted elevation as the dominant predictor, while distances to roads, rivers, and drainage systems were also key contributors. In contrast, secondary terrain attributes had limited influence, indicating that urban infrastructure has significantly altered natural flood flow dynamics. Although the model lacks dynamic forcings such as rainfall and upstream inflows, it remains a valuable tool for flood risk mapping in data-scarce settings. The bivariate-output framework improves computational efficiency and internal coherence compared to separate single-task models, supporting its integration into urban flood management and planning systems. Full article

This study focuses on developing a climate-flood model to investigate and interpret the relationship and impact of climate on runoff/flooding at a sub-regional scale using multiple linear regression (MLR) with 30 years of hydro-climatic data for the Cross River Basin, Nigeria. Data were obtained from Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) for the following climatic parameters: annual average rainfall, maximum and minimum temperatures, humidity, duration of sunlight (sunshine hours), evaporation, wind speed, soil temperature, cloud cover, solar radiation, and atmospheric pressure. These hydro-meteorological data were analysed and used as parameters input to the climate-flood model. Results from multiple regression analyses were used to develop climate-flood models for all the gauge stations in the basin. The findings suggest that at 95% confidence, the climate-flood model was effective in forecasting the annual runoff at all the stations. The findings also identified the climatic parameters that were responsible for 100% of the runoff variability in Calabar (R² = 1.000), 100% the runoff in Uyo (R² = 1.000), 98.8% of the runoff in Ogoja (R² = 0.988), and 99.9% of the runoff in Eket (R² = 0.999). Based on the model, rainfall depth is the only climate parameter that significantly predicts runoff at 95% confidence intervals in Calabar, while in Ogoja, rainfall depth, temperature, and evaporation significantly predict runoff. In Eket, rainfall depth, relative humidity, solar radiation, and soil temperatures are significant predictors of runoff. The model also reveals that rainfall depth and evaporation are significant predictors of runoff in Uyo. The outcome of the study suggests that climate change has impacted runoff and flooding within the Cross River Basin. Full article

With global warming and accelerated urbanization, urban flooding became one of the top ten international natural disasters in 2024. In order to accurately and efficiently simulate the impact of upstream river water transport on downstream river inundation under heavy rainfall scenarios, this study proposes a river inundation water depth calculation model based on a deep ensemble learning approach. The model integrates flood inundation data from hydrodynamic models with machine learning techniques, introducing a matrix-based deep ensemble learning method. The results demonstrate superior prediction accuracy, with an RMSE of 0.04 and R² of 0.95. Validation using typical rainfall data from 6 July 2022 shows that the model achieves a prediction error of less than 0.15 m across 99.8% of the domain, outperforming standalone models. These findings confirm that the deep ensemble model effectively captures the complex relationships between rainfall, terrain, and flow dynamics, providing reliable water depth predictions in data-scarce regions through multi-coupling modeling based on river characteristics. Full article

Since farmers in the inland valley region of the Niger Delta mostly rely on experience rather than empirical evidence when it comes to irrigation, flood irrigation being the most popular technique, the region’s agricultural sector needs more efficient water management. In order to better understand the intricate hydrodynamics of water flow through the soil subsurface, this study aimed to develop a soil column laboratory experimental setup for soil water infiltration. The objective was to measure the soil water content and soil matric potential at 10 cm intervals to study the soil water characteristic curve as a relationship between the two hydraulic parameters, mimicking drip soil subsurface micro-irrigation. A specially designed cylindrical vertical soil column rig was built, and an EQ3 equitensiometer of Delta-T Devices was used in the laboratory as a precision sensor to measure the soil matric potential Ψ (kPa), and the volumetric soil water content θ (%) was measured using a WET150 sensor of Delta-T Devices. The relationship between the volumetric soil water content and the soil matric potential resulted in the generation of the soil water characteristic curve. Two separate monoliths of undisturbed soil samples from Ivrogbo and Oleh in the Nigerian inland valley of the Niger Delta, as well as a uniformly packed sample of soil from Aberdeen, UK, for comparison, were used in gravity-driven flow experiments. In each case, tests were performed once on the monoliths of undisturbed soil samples. In contrast, the packed sample was subjected to an experiment before being further agitated to simulate ploughing and then subjected to an infiltration experiment, resulting in a total of four samples. The Van Genuchten model of the soil water characteristic curve was used for the verification of the experimental results. Comparing the four samples’ volumetric soil water contents and soil matric potentials at various depths revealed a significant variation in their behaviour. However, compared to the predicted curve, the range of values was narrower. Compared to n = 2 in the Van Genuchten curve, the value of n at 200 mm depth was found to be 15, with θr of 0.046 and θs of 0.23 for the packed soil sample, resulting in a percentage difference of 86.7%. Additionally, n = 10 for the ploughed sample resulted in an 80% difference, yet θr = 0.03 and θs = 0.23. For the Ivrogbo sample and the Oleh sample, the range of the matric potential was relatively too small for the comparison. The pre-experiment moisture content of the soil samples was part of the cause of this, in addition to differences in the soil types. Furthermore, the data revealed a remarkable agreement between the measured behaviour and the projected technique of the soil water characteristic curve. Full article

As sea levels rise and extreme weather events become more frequent due to climate change, coastal urban areas are increasingly vulnerable to wave overtopping and flooding. Retrofitting existing vertical seawalls with retreated storm walls represents a key adaptive strategy, especially in the Mediterranean, where steep foreshores and limited public space constrain conventional coastal defenses. This study investigates the effectiveness of storm walls in reducing wave overtopping on vertical walls with steep foreshores (1:7 to 1:10) through high-fidelity numerical simulations using the SWASH model. A comprehensive parametric study, involving 450 test cases, was conducted using Latin Hypercube Sampling to explore the influence of geometric and hydrodynamic variables on overtopping rate. Model validation against Eurotop/CLASH physical data demonstrated strong agreement (r = 0.96), confirming the reliability of SWASH for such applications. Key findings indicate that longer promenades (Gc) and reduced impulsiveness of the wave conditions reduce overtopping. A new empirical reduction factor, calibrated for integration into the Eurotop overtopping equation for plain vertical walls, is proposed based on dimensionless promenade width and water depth. The modified empirical model shows strong predictive performance (r = 0.94) against SWASH-calculated overtopping rates. This work highlights the practical value of integrating storm walls into urban seawall design and offers engineers a validated tool for enhancing coastal resilience. Future research should extend the framework to other superstructure adaptations, such as parapets or stilling basins, to further improve flood protection in the face of climate change. Full article

Flash flood disasters occur frequently under the influence of climate change and human activities, with the characteristics of strong suddenness, a wide range of hazards, and difficult prediction. Obtaining high-spatial- and high-temporal-resolution and high-precision rainfall monitoring and forecasting data is of great significance for accurate early warnings for flash flood disasters. In order to evaluate the advantages of X-band radar inverted rainfall in flash flood simulations, two typical flood events (3 July 2024 and 13 July 2024) in the Guangrun River Basin were studied. A comparative study between X-band radar inversion-based rainfall and rainfall measured at rainfall stations in terms of the flooding process and inundation extent was carried out using the China Flash Flood Hydrological Model (CNFF) and the two-dimensional hydrodynamic model (FASFLOOD). The results indicated that the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of rainfall inversion by X-band radar were highly consistent with the measured rainfall at rainfall stations; in terms of simulating flood processes, rainfall based on X-band radar inversion performed better in key indicators such as the relative error of runoff depth, relative error of peak flow, error in time of peak occurrence, and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE). In terms of simulating flood inundation, the simulation results based on X-band radar inversion and the measured rainfall from rainfall stations were consistent in the trend of rising and falling water processes and inundation range changes, and X-band radar could more accurately capture the spatial heterogeneity of rainfall. This study can provide technical support for disaster prevention and reductions in mountain floods in small watersheds. Full article

This study evaluates the impact of precipitation ensembles on flood hazards in the Ouémé River Basin by coupling the hydrological HBV and hydrodynamic HEC–RAS model. Both models were calibrated and validated to simulate hydrological and hydraulic processes. Meteorological and hydrometric data from 1994 to 2016, along with flood maps and DEM are used. Evapotranspiration data are calculated using Hargreaves–Samani formula. The coupling HBV–HEC–RAS models enabled the generation of ensemble hydrographs, flood maps, flood probability maps and additional statistics in West Africa for the first time, offering a comprehensive understanding of flood dynamics under uncertainty. Ensemble hydrographs and maps obtained enhance decision-making by showing discharge scenarios, spatial flood variability, prediction reliability, and probabilities, supporting targeted flood management and resource planning under uncertainty. The findings underline the need for a comprehensive strategy to mitigate both common and rare flood events while accounting for spatial uncertainties inherent in hydrological and hydraulic modeling. Full article