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Search Results (1,903)

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Keywords = extreme weather event

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18 pages, 1383 KB  
Article
Development of Low-Power Forest Fire Water Bucket Liquid Level and Fire Situation Monitoring Device
by Xiongwei Lou, Shihong Chen, Linhao Sun, Xinyu Zheng, Siqi Huang, Chen Dong, Dashen Wu, Hao Liang and Guangyu Jiang
Forests 2026, 17(1), 126; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17010126 - 16 Jan 2026
Viewed by 23
Abstract
A portable and integrated monitoring device was developed to digitally assess both water levels and surrounding fire-related conditions in forest firefighting water buckets using multi-sensor fusion. The system integrates a hydrostatic liquid-level sensor with temperature–humidity and smoke sensors. Validation was performed through field-oriented [...] Read more.
A portable and integrated monitoring device was developed to digitally assess both water levels and surrounding fire-related conditions in forest firefighting water buckets using multi-sensor fusion. The system integrates a hydrostatic liquid-level sensor with temperature–humidity and smoke sensors. Validation was performed through field-oriented experiments conducted under semi-controlled conditions. Water-level measurements were collected over a three-month period under simulated forest conditions and benchmarked against conventional steel-ruler readings. Early-stage fire monitoring experiments were carried out using dry wood and leaf litter under varying wind speeds, wind directions, and representative extreme weather conditions. The device achieved a mean water-level bias of −0.60%, a root-mean-square error of 0.64%, and an overall accuracy of 99.36%. Fire monitoring reached a maximum detection distance of 7.30 m under calm conditions and extended to 16.50 m under strong downwind conditions, with performance decreasing toward crosswind directions. Stable operation was observed during periods of strong winds associated with typhoon events, as well as prolonged high-temperature exposure. The primary novelty of this work lies in the conceptualization of a Collaborative Forest Resource–Hazard Monitoring Architecture. Unlike traditional isolated sensors, our proposed framework utilizes a dual-domain decision-making model that simultaneously assesses water-bucket storage stability and micro-scale fire threats. By implementing a robust ‘sensing–logic–alert’ framework tailored for rugged environments, this study offers a new methodological reference for the intelligent management of forest firefighting resources. Full article
24 pages, 3886 KB  
Article
Disentangling Complexity and Performance: A Comparative Study of Deep Learning and Random Forest Models for Cropland Vulnerability Assessment in Bangladesh
by Arnob Bormudoi and Masahiko Nagai
Land 2026, 15(1), 174; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15010174 - 16 Jan 2026
Viewed by 22
Abstract
Climate change increasingly threatens global food security through disrupted precipitation patterns and extreme weather events, requiring resilient systems for assessing agricultural vulnerability. This study developed and compared machine learning approaches for predicting cropland vulnerability using Earth Observation data, operationalized through NDVI anomalies as [...] Read more.
Climate change increasingly threatens global food security through disrupted precipitation patterns and extreme weather events, requiring resilient systems for assessing agricultural vulnerability. This study developed and compared machine learning approaches for predicting cropland vulnerability using Earth Observation data, operationalized through NDVI anomalies as a defensible biophysical metric. We employed both a dual-stream deep learning architecture and a Random Forest model to predict 2023 NDVI anomalies across Bangladesh croplands using a 22-year time series (2001–2023) of MODIS vegetation indices, ERA5 climate variables, and static environmental covariates. A spatially aware block cross-validation strategy ensured rigorous, independent performance evaluation. Results demonstrated that the Random Forest model (R2 = 0.70, RMSE = 197.03) substantially outperformed the deep learning architecture (R2 = 0.02, RMSE = 357.57), explaining 70% of cropland stress variance and enabling early detection of vulnerable areas three months before harvest. Feature importance analysis identified recent climate variables, March precipitation, February NDVI, and vapor pressure deficit as primary vulnerability drivers. Spatial analysis revealed distinct vulnerability patterns, with Natore and Magura districts exhibiting elevated stress consistent with 2023 drought conditions, threatening the productivity of the region’s critical irrigation-dependent rice cultivation. These findings demonstrate that simpler, interpretable models can sometimes outperform complex architectures while providing useful information for early warning systems and precision targeting of climate adaptation interventions. Full article
26 pages, 7374 KB  
Article
Anticipated Compound Flooding in Miami-Dade Under Extreme Hydrometeorological Events
by Alan E. Gumbs, Alemayehu Dula Shanko, Abiodun Tosin-Orimolade and Assefa M. Melesse
Hydrology 2026, 13(1), 34; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13010034 - 16 Jan 2026
Viewed by 76
Abstract
Climate change and the resulting projected rise in sea level put densely populated urban communities at risk of river flooding, storm surges, and subsurface flooding. Miami finds itself in an increasingly vulnerable position, as compound inundation seems to be a constant and unavoidable [...] Read more.
Climate change and the resulting projected rise in sea level put densely populated urban communities at risk of river flooding, storm surges, and subsurface flooding. Miami finds itself in an increasingly vulnerable position, as compound inundation seems to be a constant and unavoidable occurrence due to its low elevation and limestone geomorphology. Several recent studies on compound overflows have been conducted in Miami-Dade County. However, in-depth research has yet to be conducted on its economic epicenter. Owing to the lack of resilience to tidal surges and extreme precipitation events, Miami’s infrastructure and the well-being of its population may be at risk of flooding. This study applied HEC-RAS 2D to develop one- and two-dimensional water flow models to understand and estimate Miami’s vulnerability to extreme flood events, such as 50- and 100-year return storms. It used Hurricane Irma as a validation and calibration event for extreme event reproduction. The study also explores novel machine learning metamodels to produce a robust sensitivity analysis for the hydrologic model. This research is expected to provide insights into vulnerability thresholds and inform flood mitigation strategies, particularly in today’s unprecedented and intensified weather events. The study revealed that Miami’s inner bay coastline, particularly the downtown coastline, is severely impacted by extreme hydrometeorological events. Under extreme event circumstances, the 35.4 km2 area of Miami is at risk of flooding, with 38% of the areas classified as having medium to extreme risk by FEMA, indicating severe infrastructural and community vulnerability. Full article
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17 pages, 3431 KB  
Review
Conservation and Sustainable Development of Rice Landraces for Enhancing Resilience to Climate Change, with a Case Study of ‘Pantiange Heigu’ in China
by Shuyan Kou, Zhulamu Ci, Weihua Liu, Zhigang Wu, Huipin Peng, Pingrong Yuan, Cheng Jiang, Huahui Li, Elsayed Mansour and Ping Huang
Life 2026, 16(1), 143; https://doi.org/10.3390/life16010143 - 15 Jan 2026
Viewed by 82
Abstract
Climate change poses a threat to global rice production by increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. The widespread cultivation of genetically uniform modern varieties has narrowed the genetic base of rice, increasing its vulnerability to these increased pressures. Rice landraces [...] Read more.
Climate change poses a threat to global rice production by increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. The widespread cultivation of genetically uniform modern varieties has narrowed the genetic base of rice, increasing its vulnerability to these increased pressures. Rice landraces are traditional rice varieties that have been cultivated by farming communities for centuries and are considered crucial resources of genetic diversity. These landraces are adapted to a wide range of agro-ecological environments and exhibit valuable traits that provide tolerance to various biotic stresses, including drought, salinity, nutrient-deficient soils, and the increasing severity of climate-related temperature extremes. In addition, many landraces possess diverse alleles associated with resistance to biotic stresses, including pests and diseases. In addition, rice landraces exhibit great grain quality characters including high levels of essential amino acids, antioxidants, flavonoids, vitamins, and micronutrients. Hence, their preservation is vital for maintaining agricultural biodiversity and enhancing nutritional security, especially in vulnerable and resource-limited regions. However, rice landraces are increasingly threatened by genetic erosion due to widespread adoption of modern high-yielding varieties, habitat loss, and changing farming practices. This review discusses the roles of rice landraces in developing resilient and climate-smart rice cultivars. Moreover, the Pantiange Heigu landrace, cultivated at one of the highest altitudes globally in Yunnan Province, China, has been used as a case study for integrated conservation by demonstrating the successful combination of in situ and ex situ strategies, community engagement, policy support, and value-added development to sustainably preserve genetic diversity under challenging environmental and socio-economic challenges. Finally, this study explores the importance of employing advanced genomic technologies with supportive policies and economic encouragements to enhance conservation and sustainable development of rice landraces as a strategic imperative for global food security. By preserving and enhancing the utilization of rice landraces, the agricultural community can strengthen the genetic base of rice, improve crop resilience, and contribute substantially to global food security and sustainable agricultural development in the face of environmental and socio-economic challenges. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Plant Science)
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20 pages, 2787 KB  
Article
FWISD: Flood and Waterfront Infrastructure Segmentation Dataset with Model Evaluations
by Kaiwen Xue and Cheng-Jie Jin
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(2), 281; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18020281 - 15 Jan 2026
Viewed by 144
Abstract
The increasing severity of extreme weather events necessitates rapid methods for post-disaster damage assessment. Current remote sensing datasets often lack the spatial resolution required for a detailed evaluation of critical waterfront infrastructure, which is vulnerable during hurricanes. To address this limitation, we introduce [...] Read more.
The increasing severity of extreme weather events necessitates rapid methods for post-disaster damage assessment. Current remote sensing datasets often lack the spatial resolution required for a detailed evaluation of critical waterfront infrastructure, which is vulnerable during hurricanes. To address this limitation, we introduce the Flood and Waterfront Infrastructure Segmentation Dataset (FWISD), a new dataset constructed from high-resolution unmanned aerial vehicle imagery captured after a major hurricane, comprising 3750 annotated 1024 × 1024 pixel image patches. The dataset provides semantic labels for 11 classes, specifically designed to distinguish between intact and damaged structures. We conducted comprehensive experiments to evaluate the performance of both convolution and Transformer-based models. Our results indicate that hybrid models integrating Transformer encoders with convolutional decoders achieve a superior balance of contextual understanding and spatial precision. Regression analysis indicates that the distance to water has the maximum influence on the detection success rate, while comparative experiments emphasize the unique complexity of waterfront infrastructure compared to homogenous datasets. In summary, FWISD provides a valuable resource for developing and evaluating advanced models, establishing a foundation for automated systems that can improve the timeliness and precision of post-disaster response. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section AI Remote Sensing)
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25 pages, 5084 KB  
Review
The Impacts of Extreme Weather Events on Soil Contamination by Heavy Metals and Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons: An Integrative Review
by Traianos Minos, Alkiviadis Stamatakis, Evangelia E. Golia, Chrysovalantou Adamantidou, Pavlos Tziourrou, Marios-Efstathios Spiliotopoulos and Edoardo Barbieri
Land 2026, 15(1), 165; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15010165 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 202
Abstract
Floods and wildfires are two extreme environmental events with significant yet different impacts on soil health and on two particularly important soil pollutants, heavy metals (HMs) and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), which are directly associated with ishytoxic properties and their ability to enter [...] Read more.
Floods and wildfires are two extreme environmental events with significant yet different impacts on soil health and on two particularly important soil pollutants, heavy metals (HMs) and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), which are directly associated with ishytoxic properties and their ability to enter the food chain. The present study includes a methodological approach that was based on a literature review of published studies conducted worldwide regarding these two phenomena. The main forms of both pollutants, their possible sources and inevitable deposition onto the soil surface, along with their behavior–transport–mobility, and their residence time in soil were investigated. Furthermore, the changes that both HMs and PAHs induce in the physicochemical properties of post-flood and post-fire soils (in soil pH, Cation Exchange Capacity (CEC), organic matter content, porosity, mineralogical alterations, etc.), are investigated after a literature review of various case studies. Wildfires, in contrast to floods, can more easily remove large quantities of heavy metals into the soil ecosystem, most likely due to the intense erosion they cause. At the same time, floods appear to significantly burden soils with PAHs. In wildfires, the largest mean increases were observed for Mn (386%), Zn (300%), and Cu (202%). In floods, Pb showed the highest mean increase (534%), with Cd also rising substantially (236%). Regarding total PAHs, mean post-event concentrations reached 482.3 μg/kg after wildfires, compared to 4384 μg/kg after floods. Changes in the structure and chemical composition of flooded and burned soils may also affect the mobility and bioavailability of the pollutants under study. Overall, these two phenomena significantly alter soil quality, affecting both ecological processes and potential health impacts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Land Use, Impact Assessment and Sustainability)
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16 pages, 976 KB  
Article
Air Pollution in 88 US Metropolitan Areas: Trends and Persistence
by Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Nieves Carmona-González, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and María Fátima Romero-Rojo
Atmosphere 2026, 17(1), 78; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17010078 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 128
Abstract
This paper analyses trends and persistence in air pollution levels in 88 US metropolitan areas using fractional integration methods. The results indicate that the differencing parameter d is higher than 0 in 38 of the series, which supports the hypothesis of long-memory behavior [...] Read more.
This paper analyses trends and persistence in air pollution levels in 88 US metropolitan areas using fractional integration methods. The results indicate that the differencing parameter d is higher than 0 in 38 of the series, which supports the hypothesis of long-memory behavior and implies that, although the effects of shocks are long-lived, they eventually die out. The highest degrees of persistence are found in the Fresno, Bakersfield, Bradenton and San Diego areas. On the whole, the gathered evidence indicates that regional differences in pollution levels are significant, with factors such as industrialisation history and extreme weather events playing a crucial role in their degree of persistence. This suggests that, in order to tackle pollution more effectively, federal environmental policies, such as the Clean Air Act, should be complemented by more targeted ones taking into account local characteristics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Quality)
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24 pages, 7359 KB  
Article
Application of GIS-MCDA Methodology for Managed Aquifer Recharge Suitability Mapping in Poland
by Sławomir Sitek, Krzysztof Janik, Agnieszka Piechota, Hanna Rubin and Andrzej J. Witkowski
Water 2026, 18(2), 219; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020219 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 188
Abstract
Climate change and increasing groundwater demand underscore the urgency of sustainable water resource planning. Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) represents a promising strategy, yet its implementation depends on accurately identifying locations suited for specific MAR techniques. This study presents a GIS-based methodology developed under [...] Read more.
Climate change and increasing groundwater demand underscore the urgency of sustainable water resource planning. Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) represents a promising strategy, yet its implementation depends on accurately identifying locations suited for specific MAR techniques. This study presents a GIS-based methodology developed under the DEEPWATER-CE project for identifying suitable locations for six MAR techniques in Central Europe. The methodology integrates environmental, hydrological, and land use criteria in a two-stage approach: an initial screening to delineate potentially suitable areas, followed by a detailed classification of those areas into high, moderate, and low suitability categories. The approach was tested in the Polish part of the Dunajec River catchment (4835 km2), revealing that river or lake bank filtration, infiltration ditches, and underground dams are the most viable MAR options, suitable for 12.6%, 13%, and 15.6% of the catchment area, respectively. A focused analysis within the Tarnów agglomeration, identified as highly vulnerable to climate change and with intensive groundwater use, demonstrated that 83–87% of the area is moderately suitable for infiltration ditches and riverbank filtration techniques. This decision-support tool can inform water managers and planners regarding the best locations for implementing MAR to enhance aquifer resilience, ensure water availability, and mitigate the impacts of extreme weather events. The methodology is transferable to other regions facing similar hydroclimatic challenges. Full article
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17 pages, 1062 KB  
Review
The Role of Environmental and Climatic Factors in Accelerating Antibiotic Resistance in the Mediterranean Region
by Nikolaos P. Tzavellas, Natalia Atzemoglou, Petros Bozidis and Konstantina Gartzonika
Acta Microbiol. Hell. 2026, 71(1), 1; https://doi.org/10.3390/amh71010001 - 12 Jan 2026
Viewed by 134
Abstract
The emergence and dissemination of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) are driven by complex, interconnected mechanisms involving microbial communities, environmental factors, and human activities, with climate change playing a pivotal and accelerating role. Rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and other environmental disruptions caused by climate [...] Read more.
The emergence and dissemination of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) are driven by complex, interconnected mechanisms involving microbial communities, environmental factors, and human activities, with climate change playing a pivotal and accelerating role. Rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and other environmental disruptions caused by climate change create favorable conditions for bacterial growth and enhance the horizontal gene transfer (HGT) of antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs). Thermal stress and environmental pressures induce genetic mutations that promote resistance, while ecosystem disturbances facilitate the stabilization and spread of resistant pathogens. Moreover, climate change exacerbates public and animal health risks by expanding the range of infectious disease vectors and driving population displacement due to extreme weather events, further amplifying the transmission and evolution of resistant microbes. Livestock agriculture represents a critical nexus where excessive antibiotic use, environmental stressors, and climate-related challenges converge, fueling AMR escalation with profound public health and economic consequences. Environmental reservoirs, including soil and water sources, accumulate ARGs from agricultural runoff, wastewater, and pollution, enabling resistance spread. This review aims to demonstrate how the Mediterranean’s strategic position makes it an ideal living laboratory for the development of integrated “One Health” frameworks that address the mechanistic links between climate change and AMR. By highlighting these interconnections, the review underscores the need for a unified approach that incorporates sustainable agricultural practices, climate mitigation and adaptation within healthcare systems, and enhanced surveillance of zoonotic and resistant pathogens—ultimately offering a roadmap for tackling this multifaceted global health crisis. Full article
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25 pages, 13506 KB  
Article
Ultra-High Resolution Large-Eddy Simulation of Typhoon Yagi (2024) over Urban Haikou
by Jingying Xu, Jing Wu, Yihang Xing, Deshi Yang, Ming Shang, Chenxiao Shi, Chunxiang Shi and Lei Bai
Urban Sci. 2026, 10(1), 42; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10010042 - 11 Jan 2026
Viewed by 111
Abstract
About 16% of typhoons making landfall in China strike Hainan Island, where near-surface extreme winds in dense urban areas exhibit a strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity that is difficult to capture with current observations and mesoscale models. Focusing on Haikou during Super Typhoon Yagi (2024)—the [...] Read more.
About 16% of typhoons making landfall in China strike Hainan Island, where near-surface extreme winds in dense urban areas exhibit a strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity that is difficult to capture with current observations and mesoscale models. Focusing on Haikou during Super Typhoon Yagi (2024)—the strongest autumn typhoon to hit China since 1949—we developed a multiscale ERA5–WRF–PALM framework to conduct 30 m resolution large-eddy simulations. PALM results are in reasonable agreement with most of the five automatic weather stations, while performance is weaker at the most sheltered park site. Mean near-surface wind speeds increased by 20–50% relative to normal conditions, showing a coastal–urban gradient: maps of weighted cumulative exposure to strong winds (≥Beaufort force 8) show much longer and more intense events along open coasts than within built-up urban cores. Urban morphology exerted nonlinear effects: wind speeds followed a U-shaped relation with both the open-space ratio and mean building height, with suppression zones at ~0.5–0.7 openness and ~20–40 m height, while clusters of super-tall buildings induced Venturi-like acceleration of 2–3 m s−1. Spatiotemporal analysis revealed banded swaths of high winds, with open areas and islands sustaining longer, broader extremes, and dense street grids experiencing shorter, localized events. Methodologically, this study provides a rare, systematically evaluated application of a multiscale ERA5–WRF–PALM framework to a real typhoon case at 30 m resolution in a tropical coastal city. These findings clarify typhoon–city interactions, quantify morphological regulation of extreme winds, and support risk assessment, urban planning, and wind-resilient design in coastal megacities. Full article
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16 pages, 1441 KB  
Article
Optimized Evolving Fuzzy Inference System for Humidity Forecasting in Greenhouse Under Extreme Weather Conditions
by Sebastian-Camilo Vanegas-Ayala, Julio Barón-Velandia and Daniel-David Leal-Lara
AgriEngineering 2026, 8(1), 24; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering8010024 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 207
Abstract
Precision agriculture has increasingly adopted controlled agricultural microclimates, particularly smart greenhouses, as a strategy to enhance crop yields while maintaining environmental conditions within suitable ranges for each crop. Among the variables that govern the water balance in these systems, air humidity plays a [...] Read more.
Precision agriculture has increasingly adopted controlled agricultural microclimates, particularly smart greenhouses, as a strategy to enhance crop yields while maintaining environmental conditions within suitable ranges for each crop. Among the variables that govern the water balance in these systems, air humidity plays a critical role; therefore, accurate humidity forecasting is essential for implementing timely control actions that support productivity levels. However, greenhouse conditions are frequently perturbed by extreme weather events, which lead to nonlinear and non-stationary humidity dynamics. In this context, the aim of this study was to design an optimized evolving fuzzy inference system for humidity forecasting that can adapt to changing and unforeseen situations in agricultural microclimates. A prototyping-based methodology was followed, including phases of communication, quick planning, modeling and quick design, construction of the prototype, and deployment. A hybrid genetic algorithm was used to optimize the parameters of an evolving Mamdani-type fuzzy inference system, extended to handle missing values in online data streams. Thirty independent optimization runs were performed, and the best configuration achieved a mean squared error of 1.20 × 10−2 in humidity forecasting using one minute of data for three months. The resulting model showed high interpretability, with an average number of 1.35 rules, tolerance for missing values, imputing 2% of the data, and robustness to sudden changes in the data stream with a p-value of 0.01 for the Augmented Dickey–Fuller test at alpha = 0.05. In general, the optimized evolving fuzzy inference system obtained an effectiveness rate greater than 90% and demonstrated adaptability to extreme weather conditions, suggesting its applicability to other phenomena with similar characteristics. Full article
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20 pages, 2036 KB  
Article
An Architecture-Feature-Enhanced Decision Framework for Deep Learning-Based Prediction of Extreme and Imbalanced Precipitation
by Wenjiu Yu, Yingna Sun, Zhicheng Yue, Zhinan Li and Yujia Liu
Water 2026, 18(2), 176; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020176 - 8 Jan 2026
Viewed by 208
Abstract
Accurate precipitation forecasting is paramount for water security and disaster mitigation, yet it remains formidable due to atmospheric stochasticity and the inherent class imbalance in rainfall datasets. This study proposes an integrated “architecture-feature-augmentation” framework to circumvent these limitations. Through a systematic evaluation of [...] Read more.
Accurate precipitation forecasting is paramount for water security and disaster mitigation, yet it remains formidable due to atmospheric stochasticity and the inherent class imbalance in rainfall datasets. This study proposes an integrated “architecture-feature-augmentation” framework to circumvent these limitations. Through a systematic evaluation of CNN-LSTM and Transformer architectures, we delineate distinct performance profiles: The Transformer model, when coupled with feature engineering and physics-informed augmentation, yields a peak F1-score of 0.1429, marking the optimal configuration for harmonizing precision and recall. Conversely, CNN-LSTM demonstrates superior robustness in extreme event detection, consistently maintaining high recall rates (up to 0.90) across diverse scenarios. We identify feature engineering as a critical performance modulator, substantially bolstering CNN-LSTM’s baseline metrics while enabling the Transformer to realize its maximum predictive capacity. Although synthetic oversampling techniques—such as SMOTE and GAN—effectively extend the detection range for heavy precipitation, physics-informed augmentation provides the most consistent performance gains, particularly in multi-class contexts. We conclude that the Transformer, augmented by physical constraints, is the optimal candidate for high-precision requirements, whereas CNN-LSTM, integrated with synthetic augmentation, offers a more sensitive alternative for early warning systems prioritizing recall. These findings provide empirical guidance for advancing extreme weather preparedness and strategic water resource management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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22 pages, 5183 KB  
Article
Optimizing Drainage Design to Reduce Nitrogen Losses in Rice Field Under Extreme Rainfall: Coupling Log-Pearson Type III and DRAINMOD-N II
by Anis Ur Rehman Khalil, Fazli Hameed, Junzeng Xu, Muhammad Mannan Afzal, Khalil Ahmad, Shah Fahad Rahim, Raheel Osman, Peng Chen and Zhenyang Liu
Water 2026, 18(2), 175; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020175 - 8 Jan 2026
Viewed by 200
Abstract
The intensification of extreme rainfall events under changing climate regimes has heightened concerns over nutrient losses from paddy agriculture, particularly nitrogen (N), a primary contributor to non-point source pollution. Despite advances in drainage management, limited studies have integrated probabilistic rainfall modeling with N [...] Read more.
The intensification of extreme rainfall events under changing climate regimes has heightened concerns over nutrient losses from paddy agriculture, particularly nitrogen (N), a primary contributor to non-point source pollution. Despite advances in drainage management, limited studies have integrated probabilistic rainfall modeling with N transport simulation to evaluate mitigation strategies in rice-based systems. This study addresses this critical gap by coupling the Log-Pearson Type III (LP-III) distribution with the DRAINMOD-N II model to simulate N dynamics under varying rainfall exceedance probabilities and drainage design configurations in the Kunshan region of eastern China. The DRAINMOD-N II showed good performance, with R2 values of 0.70 and 0.69, AAD of 0.05 and 0.39 mg L−1, and RMSE of 0.14 and 0.91 mg L−1 for NO3-N and NH4+-N during calibration, and R2 values of 0.88 and 0.72, AAD of 0.06 and 0.21 mg L−1, and RMSE of 0.10 and 0.34 mg L−1 during validation. Using around 50 years of historical precipitation data, we developed intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves via LP-III to derive return-period rainfall scenarios (2%, 5%, 10%, and 20%). These scenarios were then input into a validated DRAINMOD-N II model to assess nitrate-nitrogen (NO3-N) and ammonium-nitrogen (NH4+-N) losses across multiple drain spacing (1000–2000 cm) and depth (80–120 cm) treatments. Results demonstrated that NO3-N and NH4+-N losses increase with rainfall intensity, with up to 57.9% and 45.1% greater leaching, respectively, under 2% exceedance events compared to 20%. However, wider drain spacing substantially mitigated N losses, reducing NO3-N and NH4+-N loads by up to 18% and 12%, respectively, across extreme rainfall scenarios. The integrated framework developed in this study highlights the efficacy of drainage design optimization in reducing nutrient losses while maintaining hydrological resilience under extreme weather conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water, Agriculture and Aquaculture)
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27 pages, 8666 KB  
Article
Green Innovation Ecosystem Drives Enhancement of Energy Resilience in China: Exploratory Study Based on Dynamic Qualitative Comparative Analysis
by Ru Fa and Yuli Liu
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 662; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18020662 - 8 Jan 2026
Viewed by 164
Abstract
In recent years, with the growing intensity of extreme weather events, imbalances in energy supply and demand, and frequent regional conflicts, the stability of our energy systems faces increasing challenges. Against this backdrop, the green innovation ecosystem can optimize the energy system’s structure [...] Read more.
In recent years, with the growing intensity of extreme weather events, imbalances in energy supply and demand, and frequent regional conflicts, the stability of our energy systems faces increasing challenges. Against this backdrop, the green innovation ecosystem can optimize the energy system’s structure and operational efficiency by promoting multi-actor interaction and multi-element synergy, thereby enhancing its resilience. Accordingly, this study aims to reveal how the green innovation ecosystem drives improvements in energy resilience (ER) through factor configurations and to identify the pathways leading to high-ER outcomes. To address this, this study constructs a research framework of the “core layer–environmental layer–supporting layer” for the green innovation ecosystem, and selects seven conditional variables, namely dual green innovation, multidimensional environmental regulation, green finance, and digital infrastructure. Based on official Chinese statistics, panel data from 30 provinces were compiled, and the dynamic qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) method was used to analyze how multiple factors interacted from 2016 to 2022 to achieve high ER from a spatiotemporal perspective. The results show that: (1) There is no single necessary condition for achieving high ER. (2) Dual green innovation and public participation in environmental regulation play a universal role in achieving high ER. They are combined with green finance, market-based environmental regulation, and digital infrastructure, forming three configuration pathways for achieving high ER. (3) No significant time effect is observed. (4) Pronounced spatial heterogeneity exists. The eastern region focuses on the green finance-enabled pathway, the central region has a high coverage of all three pathways, and the western region has relatively weak overall adaptability. Based on these findings, this study argues that enhancing ER depends on the coordinated allocation of multiple factors, and there is no single optimal pathway. Policymakers should adopt a configurational mindset and select appropriate combinations of elements in light of regional development conditions to enhance ER. Full article
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18 pages, 1245 KB  
Article
A Coordinated Planning Method for Flexible Distribution Networks Oriented Toward Power Supply Restoration and Resilience Enhancement
by Man Xia, Botao Peng, Bei Li, Lin Gan, Jiayan Liu and Gang Lin
Processes 2026, 14(2), 218; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14020218 - 8 Jan 2026
Viewed by 163
Abstract
In recent years, the increasing frequency of extreme weather events, the large-scale integration of distributed generation into distribution networks, and the widespread application of new power electronic devices have posed severe challenges to the security of power supply in distribution networks. To enhance [...] Read more.
In recent years, the increasing frequency of extreme weather events, the large-scale integration of distributed generation into distribution networks, and the widespread application of new power electronic devices have posed severe challenges to the security of power supply in distribution networks. To enhance the power supply reliability of the distribution network while considering its economic efficiency, this paper proposes a collaborative planning method for a flexible distribution network focused on power supply restoration and resilience enhancement In this method, a planning model for flexible distribution networks is established by optimally determining the siting and sizing of soft open point (SOP), with the objective of minimizing the annual comprehensive cost of the distribution network under multiple operational and planning constraints. Second-order cone programming (SOCP) relaxation and polyhedral approximation-based linearization techniques are employed to reformulate and solve the model, thereby obtaining the optimal siting and sizing Case for SOPs. Finally, simulations are conducted on a modified IEEE 33-bus test system to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that, through appropriate siting and sizing of SOPs, outage loss costs can be significantly reduced, nodal voltage profiles can be improved, and load support can be provided to de-energized areas, leading to a reduction of more than 70% in the annual comprehensive cost of the distribution network and an improvement in the system reliability index from 99% to 99.999%, thus effectively enhancing both the economic efficiency and reliability of the distribution system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
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