Search Results (18)

Especially NMC-LCO 18650 cells, lithium-ion batteries are essential parts of electric vehicles (EVs), where their dependability and performance directly affect operating efficiency and safety. Predictive maintenance, cost control, and increasing user confidence in electric vehicle technology depend on accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) forecasting of these batteries. Using advanced machine learning models, this research uses past usage data and essential performance characteristics to forecast the RUL of NMC-LCO 18650 batteries. The work creates a scalable and web-based application for RUL prediction by utilizing predictive models like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Linear Regression (LR), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Random Forest with Extra Trees Regressor (RF with ETR) with results in Mean Square Error (MSE) as accuracy as 96%, 97%, 98% and 99% respectively. This research also emphasizes the importance of algorithm design that can provide reliable RUL predictions even in cases when cycle count data is lacking by properly using alternative features. On further investigation, our findings highlighted that the introduction of cycle count as a feature is critical for significantly reducing the mean squared error (MSE) in all four models. When the cycle count is included as a feature, the MSE for LSTM decreases from 12,291.69 to 824.15, the MSE for LR decreases from 3363.20 to 51.86, the MSE for ANN decreases from 2456.65 to 1858.31, and finally, the RF with ETR decreases from 384.27 to 10.23, which makes it the best performing model considering these two crucial performance metrics. Apart from forecasting the remaining useful life of these lithium-ion batteries, the web application gives options for selecting a model amongst these models for prediction and further classifies battery condition and advises best use practices. Conventional approaches for battery life prediction, such as physical disassembly or electrochemical modeling, are resource-intensive, ecologically destructive, and unfeasible for general use. On the other hand, machine learning-based methods use extensive real-world data to generate scalable, accurate, and efficient forecasts. Full article

The development of ion-sensitive field-effect transistor (ISFET) sensors based on silicon nanowires (SiNW) has recently seen significant progress, due to their many advantages such as compact size, low cost, robustness and real-time portability. However, little work has been done to predict the performance of SiNW-ISFET sensors. The present study focuses on predicting the performance of the silicon nanowire (SiNW)-based ISFET sensor using four machine learning techniques, namely multilayer perceptron (MLP), nonlinear regression (NLR), support vector regression (SVR) and extra tree regression (ETR). The proposed ML algorithms are trained and validated using experimental measurements of the SiNW-ISFET sensor. The results obtained show a better predictive ability of extra tree regression (ETR) compared to other techniques, with a low RMSE of 1 × 10⁻³ mA and an R² value of 0.9999725. This prediction study corrects the problems associated with SiNW -ISFET sensors. Full article

Tropical cyclones (TC) are dynamic atmospheric phenomena featuring extreme low-pressure systems and powerful winds, known for their devastating impacts on weather and the environment. The main purpose of this paper is to consider the subtle involvement of TCs in the air quality index (AQI), focusing on aspects related to the air quality before, during and after cyclones. This research employs multimodal methods, which include meteorological data and different satellite observations. Deep learning approaches, i.e., ConvLSTM, CNN and Real-ESRGAN models, are combined with a regression model to analyze the temporal variability in the air quality associated with tropical cyclones. Deep learning models are deployed to uncover complex patterns and non-linear interdependencies between cyclones’ features and the AQI to give predictive insights into the air quality fluctuations throughout the different stages of tropical cyclones. Furthermore, this study explores the aftermaths of TCs in terms of the air quality with respect to post-cyclone recovery. The findings offer an enhanced view of the role of TCs in the regional or global air quality, which will be useful for policymakers, meteorologists and environmental researchers. Utilizing a CNN for tropical cyclone (TC) classification and the extra trees regressor (ETR) for AQI prediction results in accuracy of 92.02% for the CNN and an $R^2$ of 83.33% for the ETR. Hence, this work adds to our knowledge and enlightens us on the complex interactions between TCs and the air quality, highlighting wider public health concerns regarding climate adaptation and urban renewal. Full article

This study addresses the limitations of wireless local area networks in indoor localization by utilizing Extra-Trees Regression (ETR) to estimate locations based on received signal strength indicator (RSSI) values from a radio environment map (REM). We investigate how integrating numerous access points can enhance indoor localization accuracy. By constructing an extensive REM using RSSI data from various access points collected by a mobile robot in the intended interior setting, we evaluate several machine learning regression techniques. Our research pays special attention to an optimized ETR model, validated through 10-fold cross-validation and hyperparameter tuning. We quantitatively evaluate the efficiency of our suggested multi-access-point approach using root mean square error (RMSE) for REM evaluation and location error metrics for accurate localization. The results show that incorporating multiple access points significantly improves indoor localization accuracy, providing a substantial improvement over single-access-point systems when assessing interior radio frequency environments. Full article

Wastewater containing a mixture of heavy metals, a byproduct of chemical, petrochemical, and refinery activities driven by urbanization and industrial expansion, poses significant environmental threats. Analyzing such wastewater through adsorbate-adsorbent experiments yields extensive datasets. However, traditional methodologies like the Box–Behnken design (BBD) within the response surface methodology (RSM) struggle with managing large datasets and capturing the complex, nonlinear relationships inherent in such experimental data. To address these challenges, ML techniques have emerged as promising tools for accurately predicting the removal percentage of heavy metals from wastewater. In this study, we utilized tree-based regression models—specifically decision tree regression (DTR), random forest regression (RFR), and extra tree regression (ETR)—to forecast the efficiency of gooseberry seed powder in removing chromium (Cr(VI)) from wastewater. Additionally, we employed an ML-based Nelder–Mead optimization approach to identify the optimal values for key features (initial Cr(VI) concentration, pH, and Indian gooseberry powder dosage) which maximized the Cr(VI) removal percentage. Our experimental results reveal that the ETR model achieved an impressive $R^2$ score of 0.99, demonstrating a low error rate in predicting the Cr(VI) removal percentage. Furthermore, we used DTR-Nelder–Mead, RFR-Nelder–Mead, and ETR-Nelder–Mead optimization approaches on a synthesized dataset of 2000 instances while varying the initial Cr(VI) concentration, pH, and Indian gooseberry powder dosage. The analysis determined that the DTR-Nelder–Mead and RFR-Nelder–Mead approaches yielded the highest Cr(VI) removal percentages of 78.21% and 78.107% at an initial concentration of 95.55 mg/L, respectively, a pH level of four, and an adsorbent dosage of 8 g/L of gooseberry seed powder. Furthermore, the ETR-Nelder–Mead approach obtained the maximum Cr(VI) removal percentage of 85.11% at an initial concentration of 99.25 mg/L, a pH level of 4.97, and an adsorbent dosage of 9.62 g/L of gooseberry seed powder. These results reported an increase in the Cr(VI) removal percentage ranging from 4.66% to 11.56% more than the Cr(VI) removal percentage obtained by experimentation. These findings underscore the efficacy of tree-based regression models and ML-based Nelder–Mead optimization in elucidating chromium removal processes from wastewater, offering valuable insights into effective treatment strategies. Full article

This study presents a comprehensive multi-model machine learning (ML) approach to predict river bed load, addressing the challenge of quantifying predictive uncertainty in fluvial geomorphology. Six ML models—random forest (RF), categorical boosting (CAT), extra tree regression (ETR), gradient boosting machine (GBM), Bayesian regression model (BRM), and K-nearest neighbors (KNNs)—were thoroughly evaluated across several performance metrics like root mean square error (RMSE), and correlation coefficient (R). To enhance model training and optimize performance, particle swarm optimization (PSO) was employed for hyperparameter tuning across all the models, leveraging its capability to efficiently explore complex hyperparameter spaces. Our findings indicated that RF, GBM, CAT, and ETR demonstrate superior predictive performance (R score > 0.936), benefiting significantly from PSO. In contrast, BRM displayed lower performance (0.838), indicating challenges with Bayesian approaches. The feature importance analysis, including permutation feature and SHAP values, highlighted the non-linear interdependencies between the variables, with river discharge (Q), bed slope (S), and flow width (W) being the most influential. This study also examined the specific impact of individual variables on model performance by adding and excluding individual variables, which is particularly meaningful when choosing input variables for the model, especially in limited data conditions. Uncertainty quantification through Monte Carlo simulations highlighted the enhanced predictability and reliability of models with larger datasets. The correlation between increased training data and improved model precision was evident in the consistent rise in mean R scores and reduction in standard deviations as the sample size increased. This research underscored the potential of advanced ensemble methods and PSO to mitigate the limitations of single-predictor models and exploit collective model strengths, thereby improving the reliability of predictions in river bed load estimation. The insights from this study provide a valuable framework for future research directions focused on optimizing ensemble configurations for hydro-dynamic modeling. Full article

To address the problem of tribological failure in an aircraft piston pump valve plate pair, the friction and wear properties of the valve plate pair materials (W9Mo3Cr4V-HAl61-4-3-1) of an axial piston pump at a certain speed and load were studied using a disc-ring tester under lubrication with No. 15 aviation hydraulic oil. The results show that the friction coefficient (COF) fluctuated in the range of 0.019~0.120 when the load (L) increased from 30 N to 120 N, and the speed increased from 100 r/min to 500 r/min. With the increase in the rotational speed, the COF of the valve plate pair decreased first and then increased. When the rotation speed (V) was 300 r/min, the relative COF was the smallest. Under L lower than 60 N, abrasive wear was the main wear mechanism. Under L higher than 90 N, the main wear mechanism was adhesive wear but mild oxidation wear also occurred. In addition, based on the V, L, radius (R), and test duration (T), which affected COF, the random forest regression (RFR) algorithm, the bagging regression (BR) algorithm, and the extra trees regression (ETR) algorithm were used as machine learning methods to predict the COF of the valve plate pair. Mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of determination (R²) were used to evaluate its performance, with the results showing that the ETR prediction model was the best method for predicting COF. The results of the machine learning also showed that the contributions of V, L, R, and T were 43.56%, 36.76%, 13.13%, and 6.55%, respectively, indicating that V had the greatest influence on the COF of the W9Mo3Cr4V/HAl61-4-3-1 friction pair. This study is expected to provide support for the rapid development of new valve plate pair materials. Full article

Parameters such as the leaf area index (LAI), canopy chlorophyll content (CCH), and canopy carotenoid content (CCA) are important indicators for evaluating the ecological functions of forests. Currently, rapidly developing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) equipped with hyperspectral technology provide advanced technical means for the real-time dynamic acquisition of regional vegetation canopy parameters. In this study, a hyperspectral sensor mounted on a UAV was used to acquire the data in the study area, and the canopy parameter estimation model of moso bamboo forests (MBF) was developed by combining the PROSAIL radiative transfer model and the machine learning regression algorithm (MLRA), inverted the canopy parameters such as LAI, CCH, and CCA. The method first utilized the extended Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (EFAST) method to optimize the global sensitivity analysis and parameters of the PROSAIL model, and the successive projections algorithm (SPA) was used to screen the characteristic wavebands for the inversion of MBF canopy parameter inversion. Then, the optimized PROSAIL model was used to construct the ‘LAI-CCH-CCA-canopy reflectance’ simulation dataset for the MBF; multilayer perceptron regressor (MLPR), extra tree regressor (ETR), and extreme gradient boosting regressor (XGBR) employed used to construct PROSAIL_MLPR, PROSAIL_ETR, and PROSAIL_XGBR, respectively, as the three hybrid models. Finally, the best hybrid model was selected and used to invert the spatial distribution of the MBF canopy parameters. The following results were obtained: Waveband sensitivity analysis reveals 400–490 and 710–1000 nm as critical for LAI, 540–650 nm for chlorophyll, and 490–540 nm for carotenoids. SPA narrows down the feature bands to 43 for LAI, 19 for CCH, and 9 for CCA. The three constructed hybrid models were able to achieve high-precision inversion of the three parameters of the MBF, the model fitting accuracy of PROSAIL_MLRA reached more than 95%, with lower RMSE values, and the PROSAIL_XGBR model yielded the best fitting results. Our study provides a novel method for the inversion of forest canopy parameters based on UAV hyperspectral data. Full article

This study systematically explores and compares the performance of various artificial-intelligence (AI)-based models to predict the electrical and thermal efficiency of photovoltaic–thermal systems (PVTs) cooled by nanofluids. Employing extreme gradient boosting (XGB), extra tree regression (ETR), and k-nearest-neighbor (KNN) regression models, their accuracy is quantitatively evaluated, and their effectiveness measured. The results demonstrate that both XGB and ETR models consistently outperform KNN in accurately predicting both electrical and thermal efficiency. Specifically, the XGB model achieves remarkable correlation coefficient (R²) values of approximately 0.99999, signifying its superior predictive capabilities. Notably, the XGB model exhibits a slightly superior performance compared to ETR in estimating electrical efficiency. Furthermore, when predicting thermal efficiency, both XGB and ETR models demonstrate excellence, with the XGB model showing a slight edge based on R² values. Validation against new data points reveals outstanding predictive performance, with the XGB model attaining R² values of 0.99997 for electrical efficiency and 0.99995 for thermal efficiency. These quantitative findings underscore the accuracy and reliability of the XGB and ETR models in predicting the electrical and thermal efficiency of PVT systems when cooled by nanofluids. The study’s implications are significant for PVT system designers and industry professionals, as the incorporation of AI-based models offers improved accuracy, faster prediction times, and the ability to handle large datasets. The models presented in this study contribute to system optimization, performance evaluation, and decision-making in the field. Additionally, robust validation against new data enhances the credibility of these models, advancing the overall understanding and applicability of AI in PVT systems. Full article

The building sector, known for its high energy consumption, needs to reduce its energy use due to rising greenhouse gas emissions. To attain this goal, a projection for domestic energy usage is needed. This work optimizes short-term load forecasting (STLF) in the building sector while considering several variables (energy consumption/generation, weather information, etc.) that impact energy use. It performs a comparative analysis of various machine learning (ML) models based on different data resolutions and time steps ahead (15 min, 30 min, and 1 h with 4-step-, 2-step-, and 1-step-ahead, respectively) to identify the most accurate prediction method. Performance assessment showed that models like histogram gradient-boosting regression (HGBR), light gradient-boosting machine regression (LGBMR), extra trees regression (ETR), ridge regression (RR), Bayesian ridge regression (BRR), and categorical boosting regression (CBR) outperformed others, each for a specific resolution. Model performance was reported using $R^2$, root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of variation of RMSE (CVRMSE), normalized RMSE (NRMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and execution time. The best overall model performance indicated that the resampled 1 h 1-step-ahead prediction was more accurate than the 15 min 4-step-ahead and the 30 min 2-step-ahead predictions. Findings reveal that data preparation is vital for the accuracy of prediction models and should be model-adjusted. Full article

As a widely established and accessible infrastructure, wireless local area networks (WLANs) have emerged as a viable option for indoor localization for both mobile and stationary users. However, WLANs present several challenges that must be fulfilled to achieve localization based on Wi-Fi signals and to obtain proper coverage prediction maps. This paper presents a study based on the application of extra-trees regression (ETR) for indoor localization using coverage prediction maps. The aim of the proposed method is to accurately estimate a user’s position within a radio environment map (REM) area using collected signal strength indicator (RSSI) values collected by a mobile robot. Our methodology consists of utilizing the RSSI collected values to construct the REM, which is then leveraged to create a dataset for indoor localization. This process involves tracking a user’s movements within a specific area of interest while considering a single access point. The proposed scheme explores various machine learning (ML) regression algorithms, with hyperparameter tuning carried out to optimize their performance through 10-fold cross-validation. To assess the REM, we employed metrics, such as the root mean square error, absolute error, and R-squared error. Additionally, we evaluated the indoor localization accuracy using location error metrics. Among the ML techniques assessed, our proposed ETR-based approach demonstrates the highest performance based on these error metrics. The combination of generating coverage maps and utilizing regression techniques for localization presents a potent approach for analyzing the radio frequency environment in indoor spaces. Full article

Tacrolimus, characterized by a narrow therapeutic index, significant toxicity, adverse effects, and interindividual variability, necessitates frequent therapeutic drug monitoring and dose adjustments in renal transplant recipients. This study aimed to compare machine learning (ML) models utilizing pharmacokinetic data to predict tacrolimus blood concentration. This prediction underpins crucial dose adjustments, emphasizing patient safety. The investigation focuses on a pediatric cohort. A subset served as the derivation cohort, creating the dose-prediction algorithm, while the remaining data formed the validation cohort. The study employed various ML models, including artificial neural network, RandomForestRegressor, LGBMRegressor, XGBRegressor, AdaBoostRegressor, BaggingRegressor, ExtraTreesRegressor, KNeighborsRegressor, and support vector regression, and their performances were compared. Although all models yielded favorable fit outcomes, the ExtraTreesRegressor (ETR) exhibited superior performance. It achieved measures of $-0.161$ for MPE, $0.995$ for AFE, $1.063$ for AAFE, and $0.8$ for R², indicating accurate predictions and meeting regulatory standards. The findings underscore ML’s predictive potential, despite the limited number of samples available. To address this issue, resampling was utilized, offering a viable solution within medical datasets for developing this pioneering study to predict tacrolimus trough concentration in pediatric transplant recipients. Full article

In the realm of retail supply chain management, accurate forecasting is paramount for informed decision making, as it directly impacts business operations and profitability. This study delves into the application of tree-based ensemble forecasting, specifically using extra tree Regressors (ETRs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. Utilizing over six years of historical demand data from a prominent retail entity, the dataset encompasses daily demand metrics for more than 330 products, totaling 5.2 million records. Additionally, external variables, such as meteorological and COVID-19-related data, are integrated into the analysis. Our evaluation, spanning three perishable product categories, reveals that the ETR model outperforms LSTM in metrics including MAPE, MAE, RMSE, and R². This disparity in performance is particularly pronounced for fresh meat products, whereas it is marginal for fruit products. These ETR results were evaluated alongside three other tree-based ensemble methods, namely XGBoost, Random Forest Regression (RFR), and Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR). The comparable performance across these four tree-based ensemble techniques serves to reinforce their comparative analysis with LSTM-based deep learning models. Our findings pave the way for future studies to assess the comparative efficacy of tree-based ensembles and deep learning techniques across varying forecasting horizons, such as short-, medium-, and long-term predictions. Full article

In the face of mounting global challenges stemming from population growth and climate fluctuations, the sustainable management of water resources emerges as a paramount concern. This scientific endeavor casts its gaze upon the Upper Euphrates basin, homing in on the Tunceli Munzur water sub-basin and the Sakarya Basin’s Kütahya Porsuk Stream Beşdeğirmen rivers. The investigation unfolds through the intricate analysis of daily average flow data, total daily precipitation, and daily average air temperature values, with the objective of unraveling the complexities of future water potential estimation. Central to our exploration are a series of well-established techniques including linear regression (LR), support vector regression (SVR), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and extra trees regression (ETR). We employ these methodologies diligently to decipher patterns woven within the dataset, fostering an informed understanding of water dynamics. To ascend the pinnacle of estimation accuracy, we introduce a groundbreaking hybrid approach, wherein the enigmatic wavelet transform (WT) technique assumes a pivotal role. Through systematic stratification of our dataset into training, validation, and test sets, comprising roughly 65%, 15%, and 20% of the data, respectively, a comprehensive experiment takes shape. Our results unveil the formidable performance of the ETR method, achieving a striking 88% estimation accuracy for the Porsuk Stream Beşdeğirmen, while the RF method garners a commendable 85.2% success rate for the Munzur water Melekbahçe. The apex of innovation unfolds within our hybrid model, a harmonious fusion of methodologies that transcends their individual capacities. This composite entity elevates estimation success rates by a remarkable 20% for the Munzur water Melekbahçe and an appreciable 11% for the Porsuk Stream Beşdeğirmen. This amalgamation culminates in an extraordinary overall success rate of 97.7%. Our findings transcend mere insights, resonating as guiding beacons for navigating the intricate maze of water resource management in an era marked by uncertainties. This study underscores the indispensability of advanced mathematical paradigms and machine learning frontiers, fortifying the bedrock of sustainable water resource management for the generations to come. By harnessing the fusion of federated learning and a constellation of innovative techniques, we endeavor to illuminate the path towards deciphering the complex tapestry of water resource estimation and management, facilitating a resilient and enduring aquatic world. Full article

Soil moisture is a key parameter for the circulation of water and energy exchange between surface and the atmosphere, playing an important role in hydrology, agriculture, and meteorology. Traditional methods for monitoring soil moisture suffer from spatial discontinuity, time-consuming processes, and high costs. Remote sensing technology enables the non-destructive and efficient retrieval of land information, allowing rapid soil moisture monitoring to schedule crop irrigation and evaluate the irrigation efficiency. Satellite data with different resolutions provide different observation scales. Evaluating the accuracy of estimating soil moisture based on open and free satellite data, as well as exploring the comprehensiveness and adaptability of different satellites for soil moisture temporal and spatial observations, are important research contents of current soil moisture monitoring. The study utilized three types of satellite data, namely GF-1, Landsat-8, and GF-4, with respective temporal and spatial resolutions of 16 m (every 4 days), 30 m (every 16 days), and 50 m (daily). The gray relational analysis (GRA) was employed to identify vegetation indices that selected sensitivity to soil moisture at varying depths (3 cm, 10 cm, and 20 cm). Then, this study employed random forest (RF), Extra Tree (ETr), and linear regression (LR) algorithms to estimate soil moisture at different depths with optical satellite data sources. The results showed that the accuracy of soil moisture estimation was different at different growth stages. The model accuracy exhibited an upward trend during the middle and late growth stages, coinciding with higher vegetation coverage; however, it demonstrated a decline in accuracy during the early and late growth stages due to either the absence or limited presence of vegetation. Among the three satellite images, the vegetation indices derived from GF-1 exhibited were more sensitive to vegetation characteristics and demonstrated superior soil moisture estimation accuracy (with R² ranging 0.129–0.928, RMSE ranging 0.017–0.078), followed by Landsat-8 (with R² ranging 0.117–0.862, RMSE ranging 0.017–0.088). The soil moisture estimation accuracy of GF-4 was the worst (with R² ranging 0.070–0.921, RMSE ranging 0.020–0.140). Thus, GF-1 is suitable for vegetated areas. In addition, the ETr model outperformed the other models in both accuracy and stability (ETr model: R² ranging from 0.117 to 0.928, RMSE ranging from 0.021 to 0.091; RF model: R² ranging from 0.225 to 0.926, RMSE ranging from 0.019 to 0.085; LR model: R² ranging from 0.048 to 0.733, RMSE ranging from 0.030 to 0.144). Utilizing GF-1 is recommended to construct the ETr model for assessing soil moisture variations in the farming land of northern China. Therefore, in cases where there are limited ground sample data, it is advisable to utilize high-spatiotemporal-resolution remote sensing data, along with machine learning algorithms such as ETr and RF, which are suitable for small samples, for soil moisture estimation. Full article