Search Results (138)

Powdery mildew, caused by Erysiphe quercicola, is one of the primary diseases responsible for the reduction in natural rubber production in China. This disease is a typical airborne pathogen, characterized by its ability to spread via air currents and rapidly escalate into an epidemic under favorable environmental conditions. Accurate prediction and determination of the prevention and control period represent both a critical challenge and key focus area in managing rubber-tree powdery mildew. This study investigates the effects of spore concentration, environmental factors, and infection time on the progression of powdery mildew in rubber trees. By employing six distinct machine learning model construction methods, with the disease index of powdery mildew in rubber trees as the response variable and spore concentration, temperature, humidity, and infection time as predictive variables, a preliminary predictive model for the disease index of rubber-tree powdery mildew was developed. Results from indoor inoculation experiments indicate that spore concentration directly influences disease progression and severity. Higher spore concentrations lead to faster disease development and increased severity. The optimal relative humidity for powdery mildew development in rubber trees is 80% RH. At varying temperatures, the influence of humidity on the disease index differs across spore concentration, exhibiting distinct trends. Each model effectively simulates the progression of powdery mildew in rubber trees, with predicted values closely aligning with observed data. Among the models, the Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) model demonstrates the highest accuracy, the R² values for the training set and test set were 0.978 and 0.964, respectively, while the RMSE values were 4.037 and 4.926, respectively. This research provides a robust technical foundation for reducing the labor intensity of traditional prediction methods and offers valuable insights for forecasting airborne forest diseases. Full article

Small towns in mountainous regions face significant challenges in formulating effective landscape zoning strategies due to pronounced landscape fragmentation, which is driven by both the dominance of large-scale forest resources and the lack of coordination between administrative planning departments. To tackle this problem, this study focused on Yuqian, a quintessential small mountainous town in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province. The town’s layout was divided into a grid network measuring 70 m × 70 m. A two-step cluster process was employed using ArcGIS and SPSS software to analyze five landscape variables: altitude, slope, land use, heritage density, and visual visibility. Further, eCognition software’s semi-automated segmentation technique, complemented by manual adjustments, helped delineate landscape character types and areas. The overlay analysis integrated these areas with administrative village units, identifying four landscape character types across 35 character areas, which were recategorized into four planning and management zones: urban comprehensive service areas, agricultural and cultural tourism development areas, industrial development growth areas, and mountain forest ecological conservation areas. This result optimizes the current zoning types. These zones closely match governmental sustainable development zoning requirements. Based on these findings, we propose integrated landscape management and conservation strategies, including the cautious expansion of urban areas, leveraging agricultural and cultural tourism, ensuring industrial activities do not impact the natural and village environment adversely, and prioritizing ecological conservation in sensitive areas. This approach integrates spatial and administrative dimensions to enhance landscape connectivity and resource sustainability, providing key guidance for small town development in mountainous regions with unique environmental and cultural contexts. Full article

Accurate modeling of height–diameter (h–d) relationships is critical for forest inventory and management, particularly in complex forest ecosystems such as natural and pure Crimean juniper (Juniperus excelsa Bieb.) stands. This study evaluates both traditional parametric and modern machine learning (ML) approaches to develop reliable h–d models based on 2135 sample trees measured in southern Türkiye. The modeling approaches include fixed-effects (FE), mixed-effects (ME), three quantile regression (QR) models based on three, five, and nine quantile levels, and non-parametric ML methods: shallow multilayer perceptron (S_MLP), extreme gradient boost (XGBoost), and random forest (RF). According to the assessment metrics for the fitting and test datasets, the XGBoost modeling approach achieved the most accurate performance. For the fitting dataset, it achieved root mean square error values of 1.11 m and 1.21 m. For the test dataset, the corresponding error values were 1.16 m and 1.24 m, resulting in the highest accuracy among all models, closely followed by the RF and S_MLP models. A key practical advantage of ML approaches is that they do not depend on calibration scenarios, meaning they can operate without the need for preliminary parameter configuration. In contrast, the ME model showed the highest accuracy among the parametric methods when calibration was applied. In this case, when applying ME models, the study recommends calibrating the model by measuring four randomly selected trees per plot to balance prediction accuracy and field sampling effort. Full article

Intensive farming in urban suburbs often causes habitat loss, soil erosion, wastewater discharge, and agricultural productivity decline, threatening long-term benefits for the local community. We developed a nature-based solution for sustainable land restoration by establishing “Green Treasure Island” (GTI). The aim of this study is to evaluate the ecological restoration effectiveness of GTI and explore its feasibility and replicability for future applications. The core eco-functional zone of GTI—a 7 hm² forested wetland—embedded a closed-loop framework that integrates land consolidation, ecological restoration, and sustainable land utilization. The forested wetland efficiently removed 65% and 74% of dissolved inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus from agricultural runoff, raised flood control capacity by 22%, and attracted 48 bird species. Additionally, this biophilic recreational space attracted over 3400 visitors in 2022, created green jobs, and promoted local green agricultural product sales. Through adaptive management and nature education activities, GTI evolved into a landmark that represents local natural–social characteristics and serves as a publicly accessible natural park for both rural and urban residents. This study demonstrates the feasibility of creating GTI for improving ecosystem services, providing a practical, low-cost template that governments and local managers can replicate in metropolitan rural areas worldwide to meet both ecological and development goals. Full article

Two new endemic species from Bolivia, Gomphrena vallegrandensis T. Ortuño & S. Lozada-Gobilard and Gomphrena palmariensis T. Ortuño, J. Gutiérrez. & Montesinos, are described and illustrated. The former only occurs in the native open natural grassland close to the Tucuman forest (Prov. Vallegrande), and the latter is restricted to the areas with rock outcrops in the subpuna close to the inter-Andean dry forest in the El Palmar Integrated Management Natural Area. A full description of these two new species, notes on their distribution, and a key for their identification are provided. Full article

Acute Oak Decline (AOD) is a complex and rapidly progressing disease affecting several Quercus species across Europe. While previously reported in Quercus ilex in Italy, this study provides the first evidence of AOD symptoms and associated bacterial infection in Quercus coccifera (kermes oak). Symptomatic trees were identified in a Mediterranean forest in southern Italy, and bacterial isolation, qPCR detection, and 16S rRNA sequencing confirmed the presence of Brenneria goodwinii and Gibbsiella quercinecans. Phylogenetic analyses clustered the isolates closely with known AOD-related strains. Pathogenicity tests on excised Q. coccifera branches demonstrated that both bacteria induced wood necrosis and external exudates consistent with natural symptoms, confirming their virulence. These findings expand the known host range of AOD-related bacteria and highlight the potential threat to Mediterranean oak ecosystems. Early detection and monitoring of Q. coccifera decline are essential to inform conservation strategies and forest management practices aimed at mitigating AOD spread. Full article

Accurately monitoring forest canopy height is crucial for sustainable forest management, particularly in southeastern North Carolina, USA, where dense forests and limited accessibility pose substantial challenges. This study presents an explainable machine learning framework that integrates sparse GEDI LiDAR samples with multi-sensor remote sensing data to improve both the accuracy and interpretability of forest canopy height estimation. This framework incorporates multitemporal optical observations from Sentinel-2; C-band backscatter and InSAR coherence from Sentinel-1; quad-polarization L-Band backscatter and polarimetric decompositions from the Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Synthetic Aperture Radar (UAVSAR); texture features from the National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) aerial photography; and topographic data derived from an airborne LiDAR-based digital elevation model. We evaluated four machine learning algorithms, K-nearest neighbors (KNN), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGB), and found consistent accuracy across all models. Our evaluation highlights our method’s robustness, evidenced by closely matched R² and RMSE values across models: KNN (R² of 0.496, RMSE of 5.13 m), RF (R² of 0.510, RMSE of 5.06 m), SVM (R² of 0.544, RMSE of 4.88 m), and XGB (R² of 0.548, RMSE of 4.85 m). The integration of comprehensive feature sets, as opposed to subsets, yielded better results, underscoring the value of using multisource remotely sensed data. Crucially, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) revealed the multi-seasonal red-edge spectral bands of Sentinel-2 as dominant predictors across models, while volume scattering from UAVSAR emerged as a key driver in tree-based algorithms. This study underscores the complementary nature of multi-sensor data and highlights the interpretability of our models. By offering spatially continuous, high-quality canopy height estimates, this cost-effective, data-driven approach advances large-scale forest management and environmental monitoring, paving the way for improved decision-making and conservation strategies. Full article

Forest structural diversity, referring to the variety of physical structural traits, has been identified as a critical indicator of both plant species and environmental diversity. Mapping structural diversity serves as a cost-effective proxy for monitoring forest biodiversity and large-scale ecosystem functions like productivity. Light detection and ranging (LiDAR) carried by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can achieve precise quantification of structural parameters with a resolution of sub-meter at the stand scale, providing robust support for accurately depicting three-dimensional forest structural features. Since forest management influences biodiversity and ecological functions by shaping the physical structure of forests, this study investigates how different forest management strategies affect structural diversity in China’s red soil hilly region. Using point cloud data obtained by unmanned aerial vehicle laser scanning (UAV-LS), we derived structural metrics including canopy volume diversity (CVD), and tree height diversity (THD), which were then used as variables to calculate the Shannon diversity index (SDI) of forests. The study focused on three forest types: close-to-nature broadleaf forest (CNBF), coniferous mature plantations (CPM), and close-to-nature coniferous forest (CNCF). Results revealed that CNBF exhibited the highest structural diversity, with superior values for canopy volume (CVD = 2.09 ± 0.35), tree height (THD = 1.72 ± 0.53), and canopy projected area diversity (CAD = 2.13 ± 0.32), approaching the upper range of the theoretical maximum for SDI (theoretical maximum ≈ 2.3; typical range: 0.5–2.0). This was attributed to optimal understory vegetation and higher biomass. Despite exhibiting greater tree height, CPM demonstrated lower structural diversity, while CNCF recorded a CVD (1.81 ± 0.39) similar to that of CPM but lower than that of CNBF. These results indicate that close-to-nature forest management enhances forest structural diversity. It is implied that the forest structural diversity can serve as an effective tool for evaluating forests biodiversity under different forest management strategies. The study also suggests that improving understory vegetation is a direction in the future management of coniferous plantations. Full article

The plywood industry is one of the most significant sub-sectors of the forestry industry and serves as a cornerstone of sustainable construction within a bioeconomy framework. Plywood is a panel composed of multiple layers of wood sheets bonded together. While automation and process monitoring have played a crucial role in improving efficiency, data-driven decision-making remains underutilized in the industrial sector. Many industrial processes continue to rely heavily on the expertise of operators rather than on data analytics. However, advancements in data storage capabilities and the availability of high-speed computing have paved the way for data-driven algorithms that can support real-time decision-making. Due to the biological nature of wood and the numerous variables involved, managing manufacturing operations is inherently complex. The multitude of process variables, and the presence of non-linear physical phenomena make it challenging to develop accurate and robust analytical predictive models. As a result, data-driven approaches—particularly Artificial Intelligence (AI)—have emerged as highly promising modeling techniques. Leveraging industrial data and exploring the application of AI algorithms, particularly Machine Learning (ML), to predict key performance indicators (KPIs) in process plants represent a novel and expansive field of study. The processing of industrial data and the evaluation of AI algorithms best suited for plywood manufacturing remain key areas of research. This study explores the application of supervised Machine Learning (ML) algorithms in monitoring key process variables to enhance quality control in veneers and plywood production. The analysis included Random Forest, XGBoost, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Lasso, and Logistic Regression. An initial dataset comprising 49 variables related to the maceration, peeling, and drying processes was refined to 30 variables using correlation analysis and Lasso variable selection. The final dataset, encompassing 13,690 records, categorized into 9520 low-quality labels and 4170 high-quality labels. The evaluation of classification algorithms revealed significant performance differences; Random Forest reached the highest accuracy of 0.76, closely followed by XGBoost. K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) demonstrated notable precision, while Support Vector Machine (SVM) exhibited high precision but low recall. Lasso and Logistic Regression showed comparatively lower performance metrics. These results highlight the importance of selecting algorithms tailored to the specific characteristics of the dataset to optimize model effectiveness. The study highlights the critical role of AI-driven insights in improving operational efficiency and product quality in veneer and plywood manufacturing, paving the way for enhanced industrial competitiveness. Full article

Global challenges such as climate change, ecological imbalance, and resource scarcity are closely related with land-use change. Arid land, which is 41% of the global land area, has fragile ecology and limited water resources. To ensure food security, ecological resilience, and sustainable use of land resources, there is a need for multi-scenario analysis of land-use change in arid regions. To carry this out, multiple spatial analysis techniques and land change indicators were used to analyze spatial land-use change in a typical inland river basin in arid Northwest China—the Tailan River Basin (TRB). Then, the PLUS model was used to analyze, in a certain time period (1980–2060), land-use change in the same basin. The scenarios used included the Natural Increase Scenario (NIS), Food Security Scenario (FSS), Economic Development Scenario (EDS), Water Protection Scenario (WPS), Ecological Protection Scenario (EPS), and Balanced Eco-economy Scenario (BES). The results show that for the period of 1980–2020, land-use change in the TRB was mainly driven by changes in cultivated land, grassland, forest land, and built-up land. For this period, there was a substantial increase in cultivated land (865.56 km²) and a significant decrease in forest land (197.44 km²) and grassland (773.55 km²) in the study area. There was a notable spatial shift in land use in the period of 1990–2010. The overall accuracy (OA) of the PLUS model was more than 90%, with a Kappa value of 85% and a Figure of Merit (FOM) of 0.18. The most pronounced expansion in cultivated land area in the 2020–2060 period was for the FSS (661.49 km²). This led to an increase in grain production and agricultural productivity in the region. The most significant increase in built-up area was under the EDS (61.7 km²), contributing to economic development and population growth. While the conversion of grassland area into other forms of land use was the smallest under the BES (606.08 km²), built-up area increased by 55.82 km². This presented an ideal scenario under which ecological conservation was in balance with economic development. This was the most sustainable land management strategy with a harmonized balance across humans and the ecology in the TRB study area. This strategy may provide policymakers with a realistic land-use option with the potential to offer an acceptable policy solution to land use. Full article

Close-to-nature forest management is a sustainable forest management approach aimed at achieving a balance between ecological and economic benefits. The cultivation of future crop trees in the later successional stages following the removal of competitive trees is crucial for promoting positive development trajectories of succession. Understanding the dynamic process of growth investment strategies in future crop trees facilitates the rational planning of management cycles and scopes, ultimately enhancing the quality of tree cultivation. This study was conducted in a Pinus massoniana secondary forest with close-to-nature forest management in Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, using handheld mobile laser scanning technology to precisely reconstruct the structure of future crop trees. Over a period of 2–5 years following the initial implementation of close-to-nature forest management, 3D point cloud data were collected annually from both managed and reference (non-managed) plots. Using these multi-temporal data, we analyzed the dynamics of the investment strategies, structural growth components, and crown competition of future crop trees. A linear mixed-effect model was applied to compare the temporal variations in these indices between the managed and control plots. Our results revealed that the height-to-diameter ratio of the future crop trees gradually declined over time, while the crown-to-diameter ratio initially increased and then decreased in the managed plots. These trends were significantly different from those observed in the control plots. Additionally, the height growth rates of the future crop trees in the managed plots were consistently lower than those in the control plots, whereas the crown and diameter at breast height (DBH) growth rates were higher. Furthermore, the crown gap area between the future crop trees and their neighboring trees gradually diminished, and the crown overlap progressively increased. These results suggest that the investment in height growth, initially driven by crown competition, shifted toward crown and DBH growth following close-to-nature forest management. In the initial stage after the removal of competitive trees, future crop trees benefited from ample crown radial space and minimal crown competition. However, as the crown radial space became increasingly limited, the future crop trees shifted their growth investment toward DBH to enhance mechanical stability and achieve a balanced tree structure. Understanding these dynamic processes and the underlying mechanisms of growth investment strategies contributes to predicting future forest community development, improving forest productivity, maintaining structural diversity, and ensuring sustainable forest management. Full article

The recent success of emission reduction policies in China has significantly lowered sulfur dioxide (SO₂) levels. However, accurately forecasting these concentrations remains challenging due to their inherent non-stationary tendency. This study introduces an innovative hybrid deep learning model, RF-VMD-Seq2Seq, combining the Random Forest (RF) algorithm, Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), and the Sequence-to-Sequence (Seq2Seq) framework to improve SO₂ concentration forecasting in five coastal cities of northern China. Our results show that the predicted SO₂ concentrations closely align with observed values, effectively capturing fluctuations, outliers, and extreme events—such as sharp declines the Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia (COVID-19) pandemic in 2020—along with the upper 5% of SO₂ levels. The model achieved high coefficients of determination (>0.91) and Pearson’s correlation (>0.96), with low prediction errors (RMSE < 1.35 μg/m³, MAE < 0.94 μg/m³, MAPE < 15%). The low-frequency band decomposing from VMD showed a notable long-term decrease in SO₂ concentrations from 2013 to 2020, with a sharp decline since 2018 during heating seasons, probably due to the ‘Coal-to-Natural Gas’ policy in northern China. The input sequence length of seven steps was recommended for the prediction model, based on high-frequency periodicities extracted through VMD, which significantly improved our model performance. This highlights the critical role of weekly-cycle variations in SO₂ levels, driven by anthropogenic activities, in enhancing the accuracy of one-day-ahead SO₂ predictions across northern China’s coastal regions. The results of the RF model further reveal that CO and NO₂, sharing common anthropogenic sources with SO₂, contribute over 50% to predicting SO₂ concentrations, while meteorological factors—relative humidity (RH) and air temperature—contribute less than 20%. Additionally, the integration of VMD outperformed both the standard Seq2Seq and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD)-enhanced Seq2Seq models, showcasing the advantages of VMD in predicting SO₂ decline. This research highlights the potential of the RF-VMD-Seq2Seq model for non-stationary SO₂ prediction and its relevance for environmental protection and public health management. Full article

The harvesting period is determined by forest maturity. However, there are few studies on the continuity of assessing cultivation duration based on both growth and wood quality, especially for Eucalyptus plantations. This study measures growth traits, such as the diameter at breast height (DBH), oblateness, and other characteristics, as well as wood properties like density and crystallinity, and axial surface growth strain levels at four age stages (6, 10, 22, and 34 years) of Eucalyptus cloeziana (E. cloeziana). By analyzing these factors, particularly the changes in growth strain throughout the tree’s development, the study aims to determine the optimal cultivation period for using E. cloeziana as solid wood. The survey revealed a two-stage pattern in the annual change rate of DBH, tree height, and oblateness: a decrease from 6 to 22 years followed by an increase from 22 to 34 years. In E. cloeziana, heartwood percentage and density rapidly declined during the first 6–10 years, then stabilized between 10 and 34 years. This suggested differential rates of growth and maturation. By analyzing the growth strain, it was observed that the growth strain of E. cloeziana exhibited an initial increase followed by a subsequent decrease with age. It reached its peak at 22 years and then gradually declined. Remarkably, at 34 years, the growth strain was even lower than that of 10-year-old E. cloeziana, measuring only 2148 με. This reduction in growth strain is advantageous for minimizing defects such as brittle core formation, cracking, and warping during harvesting. In practical cultivation aimed at solid wood utilization, harvesting can be conducted between 22 and 34 years based on management strategies to reduce operating costs. However, with close-to-nature management practices and sufficient financial resources, extending the cultivation period to 34 years or beyond may result in superior wood quality. We aim to achieve the sustainable utilization of resources, foster the long-term development of the wood processing and solid wood utilization industries, and guide the entire sector towards the goal of sustainable development. Full article

Facing the severe global wildfire challenge and the need for advanced prediction, this study analysed the evolving research in forest fire prediction using an LDA-BERT similarity model. Due to climate change, human activities, and natural factors, forest fires threaten ecosystems, society, and the climate system. The vast existing literature on forest fire prediction makes it challenging to identify research themes manually. The proposed LDA-BERT model combines LDA and BERT. LDA was used for topic mining, determining the optimal number of topics by calculating the semantic consistency. BERT was employed in word vector training, using topic word probabilities as weights. The cosine similarity algorithm and normalisation were used to measure the topic similarity. Through empirical research on 13,552 publications from 1980–2023 retrieved from the Web of Science database, several key themes were identified, such as “wildfire risk management”, “vegetation and habitat changes”, and “climate change and forests”. Research trends show a shift from macro-level to micro-level studies, with modern technologies becoming a focus. Multidimensional scaling revealed a hierarchical theme distribution, with themes closely related to forest fires being dominant. This research offers valuable insights for the scientific community and policymakers, facilitating understanding these changes and contributing to wildfire mitigation. However, it has limitations like subjectivity in theme-representative word selection and needs further improvement in threshold setting and model performance evaluation. Future research can optimise these aspects and integrate emerging technologies to enhance forest fire prediction research. Full article

Consistent and accurate data on forest biomass and carbon dynamics are essential for optimizing carbon sequestration, advancing sustainable management, and developing natural climate solutions in various forest ecosystems. This study quantifies the forest biomass in designated forests based on GEDI LiDAR datasets with a unique compartment-level monitoring of unexplored hilly areas of Mansehra. The integration of multisource explanatory variables, employing machine learning models, adds further innovation to the study of reliable above ground biomass (AGB) estimation. Integrating Landsat-9 vegetation indices with ancillary datasets improved forest biomass estimation, with the random forest algorithm yielding the best performance (R² = 0.86, RMSE = 28.03 Mg/ha, and MAE = 19.54 Mg/ha). Validation with field data on a point-to-point basis estimated a mean above-ground biomass (AGB) of 224.61 Mg/ha, closely aligning with the mean ground measurement of 208.13 Mg/ha (R² = 0.71). The overall mean AGB model estimated a forest biomass of 189.42 Mg/ha in the designated moist temperate forests of the study area. A critical deficit in the carbon sequestration potential was analysed, with the estimated AGB in 2022, at 19.94 thousand tons, with a deficit of 0.83 thousand tons to nullify CO₂ emissions (20.77 thousand tons). This study proposes improved AGB estimation reliability and offers insights into the CO₂ sequestration potential, suggesting a policy shift for sustainable decision-making and climate change mitigation policies. Full article