Search Results (5,160)

Traditional Pavement Condition Index (PCI) assessments are highly resource-intensive, demanding substantial time and labor while generating significant carbon emissions through extensive field operations. To address these sustainability challenges, this research presents an innovative methodology utilizing Gene Expression Programming (GEP) to determine PCI values based on International Roughness Index (IRI) measurements from Iraqi road networks, offering an environmentally conscious and resource-efficient approach to pavement management. The study incorporated 401 samples of IRI and PCI data through comprehensive visual inspection procedures. The developed GEP model exhibited exceptional predictive performance, with coefficient of determination (R²) values achieving 0.821 for training, 0.858 for validation, and 0.8233 overall, successfully accounting for approximately 82–85% of PCI variance. Prediction accuracy remained robust with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) values of 12–13 units and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values of 11.209 and 11.00 for training and validation sets, respectively. The lower validation RMSE suggests effective generalization without overfitting. Strong correlations between predicted and measured values exceeded 0.90, with acceptable relative absolute error values ranging from 0.403 to 0.387, confirming model effectiveness. Comparative analysis reveals GEP outperforms alternative regression methods in generalization capacity, particularly in real-world applications. This sustainable methodology represents a cost-effective alternative to conventional PCI evaluation, significantly reducing environmental impact through decreased field operations, lower fuel consumption, and minimized traffic disruption. By streamlining pavement management while maintaining assessment reliability and accuracy, this approach supports environmentally responsible transportation systems and aligns contemporary sustainability goals in infrastructure management. Full article

With the increasing uncertainty introduced by the large-scale integration of renewable energy sources, traditional power dispatching methods face significant challenges, including severe frequency fluctuations, substantial forecasting deviations, and the difficulty of balancing economic efficiency with system stability. To address these issues, a deep learning-based dispatching framework is proposed, which integrates spatiotemporal feature extraction with a stability-aware mechanism. A joint forecasting model is constructed using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to handle multi-source inputs, while a reinforcement learning-based stability-aware scheduler is developed to manage dynamic system responses. In addition, an uncertainty modeling mechanism combining Dropout and Bayesian networks is incorporated to enhance dispatch robustness. Experiments conducted on real-world power grid and renewable generation datasets demonstrate that the proposed forecasting module achieves approximately a 2.1% improvement in accuracy compared with Autoformer and reduces Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by 18.1% and 14.1%, respectively, compared with traditional LSTM models. The achieved Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 5.82% outperforms all baseline models. In terms of scheduling performance, the proposed method reduces the total operating cost by 5.8% relative to Autoformer, decreases the frequency deviation from 0.158 Hz to 0.129 Hz, and increases the Critical Clearing Time (CCT) to 2.74 s, significantly enhancing dynamic system stability. Ablation studies reveal that removing the uncertainty modeling module increases the frequency deviation to 0.153 Hz and raises operational costs by approximately 6.9%, confirming the critical role of this module in maintaining robustness. Furthermore, under diverse load profiles and meteorological disturbances, the proposed method maintains stable forecasting accuracy and scheduling policy outputs, demonstrating strong generalization capabilities. Overall, the proposed approach achieves a well-balanced performance in terms of forecasting precision, system stability, and economic efficiency in power grids with high renewable energy penetration, indicating substantial potential for practical deployment and further research. Full article

The optimization of high-frequency circuits remains a computationally intensive task due to the need for repeated high-fidelity electromagnetic (EM) simulations. To address this challenge, we propose a novel integration of machine learning-generated inverse maps within the space mapping (SM) optimization framework to significantly accelerate circuit optimization while maintaining high accuracy. The proposed approach leverages Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and surrogate modeling techniques to construct an inverse mapping function that directly predicts design parameters from target performance metrics, bypassing iterative forward simulations. The methodology was validated using a low-pass filter optimization scenario, where the inverse surrogate model was trained using electromagnetic simulations from COMSOL Multiphysics 2024 r6.3 and optimized using MATLAB R2024b r24.2 trust region algorithm. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach reduces the number of high-fidelity simulations by over 80% compared to conventional SM techniques while achieving high accuracy with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0262 (0.47%). Additionally, convergence efficiency was significantly improved, with the inverse surrogate model requiring only 31 coarse model simulations, compared to 580 in traditional SM. These findings demonstrate that machine learning-driven inverse surrogate modeling significantly reduces computational overhead, accelerates optimization, and enhances the accuracy of high-frequency circuit design. This approach offers a promising alternative to traditional SM methods, paving the way for more efficient RF and microwave circuit design workflows. Full article

To address the limitations of the existing cotton seedling growth prediction methods in field environments, specifically, poor representation of spatiotemporal features and low visual fidelity in texture rendering, this paper proposes an algorithm for the prediction of cotton seedling growth from images based on FCA-STNet. The model leverages historical sequences of cotton seedling RGB images to generate an image of the predicted growth at time t + 1 and extracts 37 phenotypic traits from the predicted image. A novel STNet structure is designed to enhance the representation of spatiotemporal dependencies, while an Adaptive Fine-Grained Channel Attention (FCA) module is integrated to capture both global and local feature information. This attention mechanism focuses on individual cotton plants and their textural characteristics, effectively reducing the interference from common field-related challenges such as insufficient lighting, leaf fluttering, and wind disturbances. The experimental results demonstrate that the predicted images achieved an MSE of 0.0086, MAE of 0.0321, SSIM of 0.8339, and PSNR of 20.7011 on the test set, representing improvements of 2.27%, 0.31%, 4.73%, and 11.20%, respectively, over the baseline STNet. The method outperforms several mainstream spatiotemporal prediction models. Furthermore, the majority of the predicted phenotypic traits exhibited correlations with actual measurements with coefficients above 0.8, indicating high prediction accuracy. The proposed FCA-STNet model enables visually realistic prediction of cotton seedling growth in open-field conditions, offering a new perspective for research in growth prediction. Full article

In this work, Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF), an additive manufacturing (AM) process, was optimised to produce pure magnesium components. The focus of the presented work is on the prediction of the relative product density using the machine learning model XGBoost to improve the production process and thus the usability of the material for practical use. Experimental tests with different parameters, laser power, scanning speed and layer thickness, and fixed parameters, track overlapping and hatching distance, were analysed and resulted in relative material densities between 89.29% and 99.975%. The XGBoost model showed high predictive power, achieving an R² test result of 0.835, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.728 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.982. Feature importance analysis showed that the interaction of laser power and scanning speed had the largest influence on the predictions at 35.9%, followed by laser power × layer thickness at 29.0%. The individual contributions were laser power (11.8%), scanning speed (10.7%), scanning speed × layer thickness (9.0%) and layer thickness (3.6%). These results provide a data-based method for LPBF parameter settings that improve manufacturing efficiency and component performance in the aerospace, automotive and biomedical industries and identify optimal parameter regions for a high density, serving as a pre-optimisation stage. Full article

Accurate melt pool geometry prediction is essential for ensuring quality and reliability in Laser Powder Bed Fusion (L-PBF). However, small experimental datasets and limited physical interpretability often restrict the effectiveness of traditional machine learning (ML) models. This study proposes a hybrid framework that integrates an explicit thermal model with ML algorithms to improve prediction under sparse data conditions. The explicit model—calibrated for variable penetration depth and absorptivity—generates synthetic melt pool data, augmenting 36 experimental samples across conduction, transition, and keyhole regimes for 316 L stainless steel. Three ML methods—Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest, and XGBoost—are trained using fivefold cross-validation. The hybrid approach significantly improves prediction accuracy, especially in unstable transition regions (D/W ≈ 0.5–1.2), where morphological fluctuations hinder experimental sampling. The best-performing model (MLP) achieves R² > 0.98, with notable reductions in MAE and RMSE. The results highlight the benefit of incorporating physically consistent, nonlinearly distributed synthetic data to enhance generalization and robustness. This physics-augmented learning strategy not only demonstrates scientific novelty by integrating mechanistic modeling into data-driven learning, but also provides a scalable solution for intelligent process optimization, in situ monitoring, and digital twin development in metal additive manufacturing. Full article

Large, high-quality patient datasets are essential for applications like economic modeling and patient simulation. However, real-world data is often inaccessible or incomplete. Synthetic patient data offers an alternative, and current methods often fail to preserve clinical plausibility, real-world correlations, and logical consistency. This study presents a patient cohort generator designed to produce realistic, statistically valid synthetic datasets. The generator uses predefined probability distributions and Cholesky decomposition to reflect real-world correlations. A dependency matrix handles variable relationships in the right order. Hard limits block unrealistic values, and binary variables are set using percentiles to match expected rates. Validation used two datasets, NHANES (2021–2023) and the Framingham Heart Study, evaluating cohort diversity (general, cardiac, low-dimensional), data sparsity (five correlation scenarios), and model performance (MSE, RMSE, R², SSE, correlation plots). Results demonstrated strong alignment with real-world data in central tendency, dispersion, and correlation structures. Scenario A (empirical correlations) performed best (R² = 86.8–99.6%, lowest SSE and MAE). Scenario B (physician-estimated correlations) also performed well, especially in a low-dimensions population (R² = 80.7%). Scenario E (no correlation) performed worst. Overall, the proposed model provides a scalable, customizable solution for generating synthetic patient cohorts, supporting reliable simulations and research when real-world data is limited. While deep learning approaches have been proposed for this task, they require access to large-scale real datasets and offer limited control over statistical dependencies or clinical logic. Our approach addresses this gap. Full article

Main roads are usually equipped with traffic flow monitoring devices in the road network to record the traffic flow data of the main roads in real time. Three complex scenarios, i.e., Y-junctions, multi-lane merging, and signalized intersections, are considered in this paper by developing a novel modeling system that leverages only historical main-road data to reconstruct branch-road volumes and identify pivotal time points where instantaneous observations enable robust inference of period-aggregate traffic volumes. Four mathematical models (I–IV) are built using the data given in appendix, with performance quantified via error metrics (RMSE, MAE, MAPE) and stability indices (perturbation sensitivity index, structure similarity score). Finally, the significant traffic flow change points are further identified by the PELT algorithm. Full article

Multimodal review helpfulness prediction (MRHP) aims to identify the most helpful reviews by leveraging both textual and visual information. However, prior studies have primarily focused on modeling interactions between these modalities, often overlooking the consistency between review content and ratings, which is a key indicator of review credibility. To address this limitation, we propose CRCNet (Content–Rating Consistency Network), a novel MRHP model that jointly captures the semantic consistency between review content and ratings while modeling the complementary characteristics of text and image modalities. CRCNet employs RoBERTa and VGG-16 to extract semantic and visual features, respectively. A co-attention mechanism is applied to capture the consistency between content and rating, and a Gated Multimodal Unit (GMU) is adopted to integrate consistency-aware representations. Experimental results on two large-scale Amazon review datasets demonstrate that CRCNet outperforms both unimodal and multimodal baselines in terms of MAE, MSE, RMSE, and MAPE. Further analysis confirms the effectiveness of content–rating consistency modeling and the superiority of the proposed fusion strategy. These findings suggest that incorporating semantic consistency into multimodal architectures can substantially improve the accuracy and trustworthiness of review helpfulness prediction. Full article

The unique characteristics of desert vegetation, such as different leaf morphology, discrete canopy structures, sparse and uneven distribution, etc., pose significant challenges for remote sensing-based estimation of fractional vegetation cover (FVC). The Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) system can accurately distinguish vegetation patches, extract weak vegetation signals, and navigate through complex terrain, making it suitable for applications in small-scale FVC extraction. In this study, we selected the floodplain fan with Caragana korshinskii Kom as the constructive species in Hatengtaohai National Nature Reserve, Bayannur, Inner Mongolia, China, as our study area. We investigated the remote sensing extraction method of desert sparse vegetation cover by placing samples across three gradients: the top, middle, and edge of the fan. We then acquired UAV multispectral images; evaluated the applicability of various vegetation indices (VIs) using methods such as supervised classification, linear regression models, and machine learning; and explored the feasibility and stability of multiple machine learning models in this region. Our results indicate the following: (1) We discovered that the multispectral vegetation index is superior to the visible vegetation index and more suitable for FVC extraction in vegetation-sparse desert regions. (2) By comparing five machine learning regression models, it was found that the XGBoost and KNN models exhibited relatively lower estimation performance in the study area. The spatial distribution of plots appeared to influence the stability of the SVM model when estimating fractional vegetation cover (FVC). In contrast, the RF and LASSO models demonstrated robust stability across both training and testing datasets. Notably, the RF model achieved the best inversion performance (R² = 0.876, RMSE = 0.020, MAE = 0.016), indicating that RF is one of the most suitable models for retrieving FVC in naturally sparse desert vegetation. This study provides a valuable contribution to the limited existing research on remote sensing-based estimation of FVC and characterization of spatial heterogeneity in small-scale desert sparse vegetation ecosystems dominated by a single species. Full article

Many commercial wearable sensor systems typically rely on a single continuous cardiorespiratory sensing modality, photoplethysmography (PPG), which suffers from inherent biases (i.e., differences in skin tone) and noise (e.g., motion and pressure artifacts). In this research, we present a wearable device that provides robust estimates of cardiorespiratory variables by combining three physiological signals from the upper arm: multiwavelength PPG, single-sided electrocardiography (SS-ECG), and bioimpedance plethysmography (BioZ), along with an inertial measurement unit (IMU) providing 3-axis accelerometry and gyroscope information. We evaluated the multimodal device on 16 subjects by its ability to estimate heart rate (HR) and breathing rate (BR) in the presence of various static and dynamic noise sources (e.g., skin tone and motion). We proposed a hierarchical approach that considers the subject’s skin tone and signal quality to select the optimal sensing modality for estimating HR and BR. Our results indicate that, when estimating HR, there is a trade-off between accuracy and robustness, with SS-ECG providing the highest accuracy (low mean absolute error; MAE) but low reliability (higher rates of sensor failure), and PPG/BioZ having lower accuracy but higher reliability. When estimating BR, we find that fusing estimates from multiple modalities via ensemble bagged tree regression outperforms single-modality estimates. These results indicate that multimodal approaches to cardiorespiratory monitoring can overcome the accuracy–robustness trade-off that occurs when using single-modality approaches. Full article

Cardiorespiratory fitness is a predictor of long-term health, traditionally assessed through structured exercise protocols that require maximal effort and controlled laboratory conditions. These protocols, while clinically validated, are often inaccessible, physically demanding, and unsuitable for unsupervised monitoring. This study proposes a non-invasive, unsupervised alternative—predicting the heart rate a person would reach after completing the step test, using wearable data collected during natural daily activities. Ground truth post-exercise heart rate was obtained through the Queens College Step Test, which is a submaximal protocol widely used in fitness settings. Separately, wearable sensors recorded heart rate (HR), blood oxygen saturation, and motion data during a protocol of lifestyle tasks spanning a range of intensities. Two machine learning models were developed—a Human Activity Recognition (HAR) model that classified daily activities from inertial data with 96.93% accuracy, and a regression model that estimated post step test HR using motion features, physiological trends, and demographic context. The regression model achieved an average root mean squared error (RMSE) of 5.13 beats per minute (bpm) and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37 bpm. These findings demonstrate the potential of test-free methods to estimate standardized test outcomes from daily activity data, offering an accessible pathway to infer cardiorespiratory fitness. Full article

Buckwheat, a gluten-free pseudocereal, is rich in dietary fiber, minerals, high-quality proteins, vitamins, and essential amino acids. Buckwheat husk, a by-product of dehulling, contains high levels of bioactive compounds such as polyphenols and dietary fibers. This study compares green extraction methods (ultrasound-assisted extraction, UAE; and microwave-assisted extraction, MAE) for recovering polyphenols from buckwheat husk. MAE improved polyphenol yield by 43.6% compared to conventional acidified methanol extraction. Structural and chemical analyses of the residual husk material using SEM, FTIR, and fiber analysis revealed that MAE alters husk properties, enhancing polyphenol accessibility. Thus, MAE appears an efficient and sustainable alternative to acid- and solvent-based extraction techniques. Extracts obtained via “green” methods retained strong antioxidant activity and showed significant modulation of inflammatory markers in human Caco-2 cells, highlighting the potential use of “green” buckwheat husk extracts for food and pharma applications. This work supports the valorization of buckwheat husk within a circular economy framework, promoting buckwheat husk as a valuable raw material for bioactive compound recovery in diverse applications. Full article

The diffusion coefficient (DC) of CO₂ in brine is a key parameter in geological carbon sequestration and CO₂-Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR), as it governs mass transfer efficiency and storage capacity. This study employs three machine learning (ML) models—Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boost Regressor (GBR), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)—to predict DC based on pressure, temperature, and salinity. The dataset, comprising 176 data points, spans pressures from 0.10 to 30.00 MPa, temperatures from 286.15 to 398.00 K, salinities from 0.00 to 6.76 mol/L, and DC values from 0.13 to 4.50 × 10⁻⁹ m²/s. The data was split into 80% for training and 20% for testing to ensure reliable model evaluation. Model performance was assessed using R², RMSE, and MAE. The RF model demonstrated the best performance, with an R² of 0.95, an RMSE of 0.03, and an MAE of 0.11 on the test set, indicating high predictive accuracy and generalization capability. In comparison, GBR achieved an R² of 0.925, and XGBoost achieved an R² of 0.91 on the test set. Feature importance analysis consistently identified temperature as the most influential factor, followed by salinity and pressure. This study highlights the potential of ML models for predicting CO₂ diffusion in brine, providing a robust, data-driven framework for optimizing CO₂-EOR processes and carbon storage strategies. The findings underscore the critical role of temperature in diffusion behavior, offering valuable insights for future modeling and operational applications. Full article

Forestry carbon sinks play a crucial role in mitigating climate change and protecting ecosystems, significantly contributing to the development of carbon trading systems. Remote sensing technology has become increasingly important for monitoring carbon sinks, as it allows for precise measurement of carbon storage and ecological changes, which are vital for forecasting carbon prices. Carbon prices fluctuate due to the interaction of various factors, exhibiting non-stationary characteristics and inherent uncertainties, making accurate predictions particularly challenging. To address these complexities, this study proposes a method for predicting carbon trading prices influenced by multiple factors. We introduce a Decomposition (DECOMP) module that separates carbon price data and its influencing factors into trend and cyclical components. To manage non-stationarity, we propose the KAN with Multi-Domain Diffusion (KAN-MD) module, which efficiently extracts relevant features. Furthermore, a Wave-MH attention module, based on wavelet transformation, is introduced to minimize interference from uncertainties, thereby enhancing the robustness of the model. Empirical research using data from the Hubei carbon trading market demonstrates that our model achieves superior predictive accuracy and resilience to fluctuations compared to other benchmark methods, with an MSE of 0.204% and an MAE of 0.0277. These results provide reliable support for pricing carbon financial derivatives and managing associated risks. Full article