Search Results (17)

Since dust aerosols are one of the major pollutants in Georgia, it is important to study the aeolian desert dust (ADD) invasion to Georgia from the neighboring deserts to find out its contribution to the dust pollution problem. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to investigate the history, frequency and routes of ADD invasions to the Caucasus (Georgia) using modern models and technologies for 1.5 years. Using WRF-Chem/dust, CAMS and HYSPLIT mathematical models; MODIS satellite images; and PM10 field data, 38 cases of not strong ADD invasions to Georgia were found, and two typical cases are presented and analyzed in this paper. The results of the modeling studies from 15 March 2023 to 15 September 2024 showed that the WRF-Chem/dust (GOCART) v.4.5.1 model simulated the ADD transport to Georgia from the surrounding deserts quite well. Daily monitoring of ADD migration routes showed that in the easternmost region of Georgia (the most vinicultural and agricultural region), the number of ADD invasions was approximately three times higher than in other regions of Georgia, which is a novelty of this study due to the lack of ground dust measurement stations in the easternmost region of Georgia. Full article

Having good replication of the soil moisture evolution is desirable to properly simulate the dust emissions and atmospheric dust load because soil moisture increases the cohesive forces of soil particles, modulating the wind erosion threshold above which emissions occur. To reduce errors, one can use soil moisture retrievals from space-borne microwave radiometers. Here, we explore the potential of inserting soil moisture retrievals from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite into the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to improve dust simulations. We focus our analysis on the contiguous U.S. due to the presence of important dust sources and good observational networks. Our analysis extends over the first year of SMAP retrievals (1 April 2015–31 March 2016) to cover the annual soil moisture variability and go beyond extreme events, such as dust storms, in order to provide a statistically robust characterization of the potential added value of the soil moisture retrievals. We focus on the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model from the Air Force Weather Agency (GOCART-AFWA) dust emission parameterization that represents soil moisture modulations of the wind erosion threshold with a parameterization developed by fitting observations. The dust emissions are overestimated by the GOCART-AFWA parameterization and result in an overestimation of the aerosol optical depth (AOD). Sensitivity experiments show that emissions reduced to 25% in the GOCART-AFWA simulations largely reduced the AOD bias over the Southwest and lead to better agreement with the standard WRF-Chem parameterization of dust emissions (GOCART) and with observations. Comparisons of GOCART-AFWA simulations with emissions reduced to 25% with and without SMAP soil moisture insertion show added value of the retrievals, albeit small, over the dust sources. These results highlight the importance of accurate dust emission parameterizations when evaluating the impact of remotely sensed soil moisture data on numerical weather prediction models. Full article

Dust is one of the most important problems of human societies in arid and semi-arid areas. This study analyzed the rising and propagation of the dust storm occurring from 21 to 23 May 2016 in Isfahan province (Central Iran) by using the WRF-Chem and HYSPLIT models. The dust storm was visualized using visible imagery and coarse-mode aerosol optical depth data from satellite sensor data, and dust emission and transport were simulated for Central Iran by using WRF-Chem with the AFWA and GOCART schemes. The results show that the dust concentration in Sistan and Baluchistan province and the Persian Gulf was as high as 2000 µg/m³, and both schemes estimate the highest amount of dust emissions from the central parts of Iran and the eastern part of Isfahan province. PM10 data of Yazd station was used to verify the model outputs, which showed that the AFWA dust scheme has a higher correlation coefficient with observations (0.62) than the GOCART dust scheme. This case study suggests that WRF-Chem dust schemes simulate dust rising and propagation in Central Iran with reasonably good reliability, though further determination and enhancement are still required for an accurate prediction of dust concentration and extents. Full article

We used WRF-Chem to simulate ash transport from eruptions of Chile’s Calbuco volcano on 22–23 April 2015. Massive ash and SO₂ ejections reached the upper troposphere, and particulates transported over South America were observed over Argentina, Uruguay, and Brazil via satellite and surface data. Numerical simulations with the coupled Weather Research and Forecasting–Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model from 22 to 27 April covered eruptions and particle propagation. Chemical and aerosol parameters utilized the GOCART (Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport) model, while the meteorological conditions came from NCEP-FNL reanalysis. In WRF-Chem, we implemented a more efficient methodology to determine the Eruption Source Parameters (ESP). This permitted each simulation to consider a sequence of eruptions and a time varying ESP, such as the eruption height and mass and the SO₂ eruption rate. We used two simulations (GCTS1 and GCTS2) differing in the ash mass fraction in the finest bins (0–15.6 µm) by 2.4% and 16.5%, respectively, to assess model efficiency in representing plume intensity and propagation. Analysis of the active synoptic components revealed their impact on particle transport and the Andes’ role as a natural barrier. We evaluated and compared the simulated Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) with VIIRS Deep Blue Level 3 data and SO₂ data from Ozone Mapper and Profiler Suite (OMPS) Limb Profiler (LP), both of which are sensors onboard the Suomi National Polar Partnership (NPP) spacecraft. The model successfully reproduced ash and SO₂ transport, effectively representing influencing synoptic systems. Both simulations showed similar propagation patterns, with GCTS1 yielding better results when compared with AOD retrievals. These results indicate the necessity of specifying lower mass fraction in the finest bins. Comparison with VIIRS Brightness Temperature Difference data confirmed the model’s efficiency in representing particle transport. Overestimation of SO₂ may stem from emission inputs. This study demonstrates the feasibility of our implementation of the WRF-Chem model to reproduce ash and SO₂ patterns after a multi-eruption event. This enables further studies into aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions and atmospheric behavior following volcanic eruptions. Full article

In West African cities, the impacts of the air quality on the health of the population is expected to increase significantly in the near future. For the first time to our knowledge, we conducted a high-resolution modeling study over Abidjan (Côte d’Ivoire) using the WRF-Chem model and the simplified GOCART model to simulate carbonaceous aerosols BC and OC, sulfate, dust, sea salt, PM_2.5, and PM₁₀. The simulations were carried out during January and February 2019, a period over which there are databases of observations available. The DACCIWA inventory provided anthropogenic emissions at the regional scale, whereas a new emission inventory has been developed for the city of Abidjan. In 2019, the emissions were 4986.8 Gg for BC, 14,731.4 Gg for OC, and 7751.6 Gg for SO₂. Domestic fires were the primary OC source (7719.5 Gg), while road traffic was the largest BC emitter (2198.8 Gg). Our modeling results generally overestimate urban particle concentrations, despite having a better agreement for those based on the inventory of the city of Abidjan. Modeled concentrations of BC are higher in administrative centers due to road traffic, while OC concentrations are significant in densely populated neighborhoods. Full article

The mineralogical composition of airborne dust particles is an important but often neglected parameter for several physiochemical processes, such as atmospheric radiative transfer and ocean biochemistry. We present the development of the METAL-WRF module for the simulation of the composition of desert dust minerals in atmospheric aerosols. The new development is based on the GOCART-AFWA dust module of WRF-Chem. A new wet deposition scheme has been implemented in the dust module alongside the existing dry deposition scheme. The new model includes separate prognostic fields for nine (9) minerals: illite, kaolinite, smectite, calcite, quartz, feldspar, hematite, gypsum, and phosphorus, derived from the GMINER30 database and also iron derived from the FERRUM30 database. Two regional model sensitivity studies are presented for dust events that occurred in August and December 2017, which include a comparison of the model versus elemental dust composition measurements performed in the North Atlantic (at Izaña Observatory, Tenerife Island) and in the eastern Mediterranean (at Agia Marina Xyliatos station, Cyprus Island). The results indicate the important role of dust minerals, as dominant aerosols, for the greater region of North Africa, South Europe, the North Atlantic, and the Middle East, including the dry and wet depositions away from desert sources. Overall, METAL-WRF was found to be capable of reproducing the relative abundances of the different dust minerals in the atmosphere. In particular, the concentration of iron (Fe), which is an important element for ocean biochemistry and solar absorption, was modeled in good agreement with the corresponding measurements at Izaña Observatory (22% overestimation) and at Agia Marina Xyliatos site (4% overestimation). Further model developments, including the implementation of newer surface mineralogical datasets, e.g., from the NASA-EMIT satellite mission, can be implemented in the model to improve its accuracy. Full article

In this study, we investigate a series of Saharan dust outbreaks toward the Mediterranean basin that occurred in late June 2021. In particular, we analyze the effect of mineral dust aerosols on radiation and cloud properties (direct, semi-direct and indirect effects), and in turn, on meteorological parameters. This is achieved by running the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) over a domain covering North Africa and the Central Mediterranean Basin. The simulations were configured using a gradual coupling strategy between the GOCART aerosol model and the Goddard radiation and microphysics schemes available in the WRF-Chem package. A preliminary evaluation of the model performances was conducted in order to verify its capability to correctly reproduce the amount of mineral dust loaded into the atmosphere within the spatial domain considered. To this purpose, we used a suite of experimental data from ground- and space-based remote sensing measurements. This comparison highlighted a model over-estimation of aerosol optical properties to the order of 20%. The evaluation of the desert dust impact on the radiation budget, achieved by comparing the uncoupled and the fully coupled (aerosol–radiation–clouds) simulation, shows that mineral dust induces a net (shortwave–longwave) cooling effect to the order of −10 W m⁻². If we consider the net dust radiative forcing, the presence of dust particles induces a small cooling effect at the top of the atmosphere (−1.2 W m⁻²) and a stronger cooling at the surface (−14.2 W m⁻²). At the same time, analysis of the perturbation on the surface energy budget yields a reduction of −7 W m⁻² when considering the FULL-coupled simulation, a positive perturbation of +3 W m⁻² when only considering microphysics coupling and −10.4 W m⁻² when only considering radiation coupling. This last result indicates a sort of “superposition” of direct, indirect and semi-direct effects of dust on the radiation budget. This study shows that the presence of dust aerosols significantly influences radiative and cloud properties and specifically the surface energy budget. This suggests (i) that dust effects should be considered in climate models in order to increase the accuracy of climate predictions over the Mediterranean region and (ii) the necessity of performing fully coupled simulations including aerosols and their effects on meteorology at a regional scale. Full article

Soil moisture is one of the most important parameters affecting dust emission flux. This study was conducted to investigate the effects of soil moisture on vertical dust flux in the central plateau region of Iran. In this study, the WRF-Chem (Weather Research and Forecast with Chemistry) model, with the GOCART (Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport) scheme, was used to estimate the dust emission flux during a major storm from 19 to 21 July 2015, and to discriminate between dust sources. The results showed that the Kyrgyz deserts in Turkmenistan, the Arabian deserts in Saudi Arabia, the deserts of Iraq, and the Helmand region in Afghanistan are sources of foreign dust. Additionally, the central desert plain was identified as an internal dust source, where the dust level reached 7000 µg m⁻² s⁻¹. The results of WRF-Chem simulation were verified with reanalysis data from MERRA2 and AERONET data from Natanz station, which showed good agreement with the simulation. Based on the GLDAS reanalysis, soil moisture content varied between 2.6% and 34%. Linear and nonlinear regression of vertical dust flux values and soil moisture showed nonlinear behavior following the exponential function, with a correlation coefficient of 0.8 and a strong negative association between soil moisture and vertical dust flux. Full article

A numerical investigation of the air quality in Southern California, USA in the year 2018 is presented using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). In July, a heat wave occurred, and in October, Santa Ana conditions prevailed; these conditions and their impact on air quality are the scope of the present numerical study.The high spatial resolution in the simulation includes two nested domains of 1 km and 3 km, respectively. Local climate zones land use categories are combined with the complex urban model building effect parameterization coupled with the building energy model (BEP+BEM) and the detailed MOZCART-T1 chemical reaction mechanism, which is the MOZART-T1 mechanism for trace gases with GOCART aerosols. Thus, the model is suitable to compare simulation results to in situ and satellite measurements of O₃, NO₂, CH₄, and CO. The meteorology is captured well by the model. Comparison of simulation results with observations shows a good agreement of NO${}_2$ and ozone, whereas CO mixing ratios are generally underestimated. This hints at missing emissions in the 2017 National Emissions Inventory (NEI) dataset. Both the heat wave and the Santa Ana winds increase the air pollution with gas-phase species in Los Angeles. In both cases, nighttime boundary layer heights are small, which causes emissions to reside near the ground. During Santa Ana winds, NOx removal on aerosols is reduced. Methane mixing ratios are modeled very well at most stations in Los Angeles, but predictions of low emissions near the University of California cause inaccuracies at that location. Modeled and observed PM2.5 agree well on low-pollution days, but high-pollution events are generally missed by the model. During the heat wave, both modeled and observed PM2.5 concentrations exceed the recommended NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standards value of 12.5 g/m${}^3$. The present modeling approach serves as a base for the study and prediction of special weather events and their impact on air pollution. Full article

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with online coupled chemistry (WRF-Chem) is applied to study an intense Saharan dust outbreak event affecting the Italian peninsula in 15 and 16 April 2018. According to the MODIS retrievals, this intrusion was characterized by an intense aerosol optical depth (AOD) peak value in the southern Mediterranean. Measurements within the Dry Deposition Network Across the Mediterranean (XMed-Dry) are compared with the output of the WRF-Chem model. XMed-Dry samples from Lecce (Italy), Athens (Greece) and San Lawrenz/Gozo (Malta) were analysed with respect to aerosol particle size distribution, relative dust contribution, and composition. The discrepancy between the model and measured deposition indicate the need to formulate in WRF-Chem more sophisticated deposition schemes, this will need to evaluate the sensitivity of the results to the precise particle size limits chosen for the aerosol model. Moreover, satellite retrievals from MODIS sensors elaborated with the MAIAC algorithm, Aeronet stations, and measurements of ${\mathrm{PM}}_{10}$ at the selected sites were also considered. In a numerical domain that spans the Mediterranean and the northern Saharan desert, two different dust emission schemes, namely Gocart-AFWA and the Shao-2001, were tested and compared with multiplatform observations for simulation period covering the dust outbreak. Actual results indicate that both emission schemes would benefit from replacing the static erodibility map and soil particle distribution with remote sensed and in-situ observational data. Full article

An algorithm for retrieving aerosol parameters by taking into account the uncertainty in aerosol model selection is applied to the retrieval of aerosol optical thickness and aerosol layer height from synthetic measurements from the EPIC sensor onboard the Deep Space Climate Observatory. The synthetic measurements are generated using aerosol models derived from AERONET measurements at different sites, while other commonly used aerosol models, such as OPAC, GOCART, OMI, and MODIS databases are used in the retrieval. The numerical analysis is focused on the estimation of retrieval errors when the true aerosol model is unknown. We found that the best aerosol model is the one with a value of the asymmetry parameter and an angular variation of the phase function around the viewing direction that is close to the values corresponding to the reference aerosol model. Full article

In this study, the performance and characteristics of the advanced cloud nucleation scheme of Fountoukis and Nenes, embedded in the fully coupled Weather Research and Forecasting/Chemistry (WRF/Chem) model, are investigated. Furthermore, the impact of dust particles on the distribution of the cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and the way they modify the pattern of the precipitation are also examined. For the simulation of dust particle concentration, the Georgia Tech Goddard Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport of Air Force Weather Agency (GOCART-AFWA) is used as it includes components for the representation of dust emission and transport. The aerosol activation parameterization scheme of Fountoukis and Nenes has been implemented in the six-class WRF double-moment (WDM6) microphysics scheme, which treats the CCN distribution as a prognostic variable, but does not take into account the concentration of dust aerosols. Additionally, the presence of dust particles that may facilitate the activation of CCN into cloud or rain droplets has also been incorporated in the cumulus scheme of Grell and Freitas. The embedded scheme is assessed through a case study of significant dust advection over the Western Mediterranean, characterized by severe rainfall. Inclusion of CCN based on prognostic dust particles leads to the suppression of precipitation over hazy areas. On the contrary, precipitation is enhanced over areas away from the dust event. The new prognostic CCN distribution improves in general the forecasting skill of the model as bias scores, the root mean square error (RMSE), false alarm ratio (FAR) and frequencies of missed forecasts (FOM) are limited when modelled data are compared against satellite, LIDAR and aircraft observations. Full article

Dust and sand storms are among the major threats to central Iran. These phenomena pose irreparable risks to natural ecosystems and human societies, including effects on health. In this study, the spatial and temporal pattern of vertical dust flux (VDF) was used to identify dust sources as well as areas with high potential for dust generation. To simulate VDF, two intense dust storms, from 21 February 2015 and 14 February 2018, were selected using synoptic data and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images. These dust storms were identified as responsible for a reduction of horizontal visibility to less than 1000 m, using remote sensing tools and Ackerman Dust Index. MODIS images show that these two storms covered most of Central Plateau of Iran. The Weather Research and Forecasting model with chemistry (WRF-Chem) was used to simulate the storms, with either the Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) or Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) scheme to calculate VDF. Modeled vertical dust fluxes in both events indicate that the Arabian deserts in Saudi Arabia and in southwestern Iran can be identified as main sources of the dust in the central Iranian plateau. The other source of dust is the Hirmand Basin, located in the country of Afghanistan and in the southeast of Iran. The results of VDF simulations indicate that central southeast Iran could be the main dust source of internal origin. Additionally, over seasonal wetlands in Iran, the amount of VDF was simulated to be sometimes over 4000 μg/(m²s), an indication that these areas are sensitive to wind erosion in dry conditions and can be a source of dust. The WRF-Chem results were compared with the horizontal visibility measured in synoptic stations in the area. The results showed that the coefficients of determination of GOCART results with the measured horizontal visibility on 21 February 2015 and 14 February 2018 were 0.72 and 0.76, respectively, while the coefficient values from the simulations with AFWA scheme on 21 February 2015 and 14 February 2018 with the measured horizontal visibility were lower, 0.44 and 0.50, respectively. Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA2) re-analysis data also showed timing of peak dust levels consistent with the GOCART scheme. Full article

Between 11 and 15 February 2019, a dust storm originating in Central Australia with persistent westerly and south westerly winds caused high particle concentrations at many sites in the state of New South Wales (NSW); both inland and along the coast. The dust continued to be transported to New Zealand and to Antarctica in the south east. This study uses observed data and the WRF-Chem Weather Research Forecast model based on GOCART-AFWA (Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport–Air Force and Weather Agency) dust scheme and GOCART aerosol and gas-phase MOZART (Model for Ozone And Related chemical Tracers) chemistry model to study the long-range transport of aerosols for the period 11 to 15 February 2019 across eastern Australia and onto New Zealand and Antarctica. Wildfires also happened in northern NSW at the same time, and their emissions are taken into account in the WRF-Chem model by using the Fire Inventory from NCAR (FINN) as the emission input. Modelling results using the WRF-Chem model show that for the Canterbury region of the South Island of New Zealand, peak concentration of PM₁₀ (and PM_2.5) as measured on 14 February 2019 at 05:00 UTC at the monitoring stations of Geraldine, Ashburton, Timaru and Woolston (Christchurch), and about 2 h later at Rangiora and Kaiapoi, correspond to the prediction of high PM₁₀ due to the intrusion of dust to ground level from the transported dust layer above. The Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) observation data from MODIS 3 km Terra/Aqua and CALIOP LiDAR measurements on board CALIPSO (Cloud-Aerosol LiDAR and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations) satellite also indicate that high-altitude dust ranging from 2 km to 6 km, originating from this dust storm event in Australia, was located above Antarctica. This study suggests that the present dust storms in Australia can transport dust from sources in Central Australia to the Tasman sea, New Zealand and Antarctica. Full article

The principal objective of this study is to present and evaluate an advanced dust wet deposition scheme in the Weather and Research Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). As far as the chemistry component is concerned, the Georgia Tech Goddard Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport of the Air Force Weather Agency (GOCART-AFWA) module is applied, as it supports a binary scheme for dust emissions and transport. However, the GOCART-AFWA aerosol module does not incorporate a wet scavenging scheme, nor does it interact with cloud processes. The integration of a dust wet deposition scheme following Seinfeld and Pandis into the WRF-Chem model is assessed through a case study of large-scale Saharan dust transport over the Eastern Mediterranean that is characterized by severe wet deposition over Greece. An acceptable agreement was found between the calculated and measured near surface PM₁₀ concentrations, as well as when model estimated atmospheric optical depth (AOD) was validated against the AERONET measurements, indicating the validity of our dust wet deposition scheme. Full article