Future Transp., Volume 5, Issue 4 (December 2025) – 46 articles

Globally, the rise in car ownership and usage has intensified parking challenges, particularly within central business districts (CBDs) of many developed cities. Scarce parking infrastructure and escalating land values have further exacerbated these issues, leading to heightened competition among business owners, residents, shoppers, and clients for the limited available paid and free on-street parking spaces. Against this backdrop, the present study sought to model the determinants of motorists’ parking challenges using a recursive structural equation model (RSEM), drawing on empirical evidence from Greater Kumasi, Ghana. Primary data were collected through a structured survey involving 1000 drivers within the designated catchment area, employing cluster and systematic sampling techniques to ensure representativeness. The findings reveal that four out of five structural paths of the constructs exerted significant influences on the structural model components. Both time-related indices and parking costs demonstrated direct and indirect effects on parking challenges, with vehicle type serving as a mediating variable. Furthermore, most of the measurement models significantly impacted the latent factors, either positively or negatively, highlighting the complex interrelationships between parking behavior and underlying determinants. Overall, this study makes several contributions: it provides localized empirical evidence from a developing-country context, offers theoretical refinements to existing models, demonstrates methodological rigor through the application of RSEM, and proposes practical policy insights to address urban parking challenges in rapidly growing African cities such as Kumasi. Full article

There have been many attempts to model the flow of vehicular traffic in analogy to the flow of fluids. Given the evident change in distance between vehicles driving in platoons, the compressibility of traffic flow is inferred and, considering the reaction time-scales of the driver (human or autonomous), it is argued that this compressibility is increased as relative velocities increase—giving the lag in imposed redirection by the driver and the controller units a higher relative importance. Therefore, a supersonic compressible flow field has been opted for as the most analogous base flow. On this point, added to by the overall extreme similarities of the two above-mentioned flows, the non-dimensional group of the traffic Mach number M_T has been defined in the present research, providing the possibility of calculating a suggested flow field and its corresponding shockwave systems, for any given obstacle ahead of the traffic flow. This suggested flow field is then taken as the basis to obtain trajectories designed for avoiding collision with the obstacle, and in compliance with the physics of the underlying analogous fluid flow phenomena, namely the internal supersonic compressible flow around a double wedge. It should be noted that herein we do not model the traffic flow but propose these trajectories for more optimal collision avoidance, and therefore the above-mentioned similarities (explained in detail in the manuscript) suffice, without the need to rely on full analogies between the two flows. The manuscript further analyzes the applicability of the proposed analogy in the path-planning process for an autonomous passenger vehicle, through dynamics and control of a full-planar vehicle model with an autonomous path-tracking controller. Simulations are performed using realistic vehicle parameters and the results show that the fluid flow analogy is compatible with the vehicle dynamics, as it is able to follow the target path generated by fluid flow calculations with minor deviations. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method produces smooth and dynamically consistent trajectories that remain stable under varying traffic scenarios. The controller achieves accurate path tracking and rapid convergence, confirming the feasibility of the fluid-flow analogy for real-time vehicle control. Full article

As global urbanization accelerates, cities increasingly shape economic growth and environmental outcomes, making sustainable urban and transport planning critical. Sustainable city branding (SCB) is emerging as a strategic tool that not only enhances a city’s global competitiveness but actively drives urban sustainability by integrating environmental, social, and economic dimensions aligned with the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, the direct link between SCB and transport planning remains largely unexplored, limiting actionable policy. This study introduces a novel conceptual framework connecting SCB with transport planning, positioning public transportation as a key lever for sustainable urban development. It identifies core interactions between city branding and sustainable mobility, proposes methodologies to evaluate SCB effectiveness, and addresses potential risks, challenges, and research gaps. A policy roadmap for decision-makers based on the framework is outlined. This roadmap is structured into three phases spanning a five-year program. In Phase 1, cities should lay the foundation by integrating SCB into municipal transport and sustainability plans and establishing measurable indicators aligned with the SDGs. Phase 2 focuses on engagement and experimentation, encouraging the creation of participatory branding platforms and the implementation of pilot projects, such as green mobility corridors or climate-resilient transit hubs. Finally, Phase 3 emphasizes monitoring and scaling, utilizing digital technologies for real-time tracking, evaluating pilot outcomes, and expanding successful initiatives based on key performance indicators, including ridership growth, carbon reduction, and citizen engagement. By linking SCB explicitly to transport planning and providing a concrete roadmap, this study offers a unique contribution to both urban sustainability research and practical policy-making, enabling cities to simultaneously strengthen their brand, enhance mobility, and achieve measurable sustainability outcomes. Full article

Traffic incident management (TIM) practices have been widely demonstrated to reduce congestion and secondary crashes. TIM performance measures have evolved over the years and have been a critical tool for agencies to benchmark their operations and identify opportunity for improvement. This paper discusses how the deployment of incident resources can be tracked to improve the fidelity of those performance measures to help guide their TIM program management. Specifically, the paper focuses on integrating a new TIM reference point that identifies when all necessary recovery resources are on scene (T_4,ANRR)_. The value of this reference point is explained through four detailed case studies, and the ability to tabulate this value at scale is demonstrated for 128 incidents. Subsequently, statistics from 128 incidents are presented. Median recovery resource mobilization time for car crashes, semi crashes, car fires, and semi fires were 32, 42, 45, and 66 min, respectively. However, the upper quartile values for those same types of incidents increased to 55, 66, 69, and 105 min, respectively. Of particular note, the paper demonstrates the importance of careful proactive planning for response resources on incidents involving large vehicles that require significant recovery resources and how those response times extend incident clearance times. Tracking T_4,ANRR is a first step toward identifying training and perhaps incentive programs to mitigate delays in obtaining all of the needed recovery resources on scene. Full article

This study explores and evaluates different methodologies for designing the edge-of-traveled-way turning paths at right-angle at-grade intersections, with emphasis on low-speed maneuvers involving large design vehicles. Three geometric approaches are examined as follows: the standard AASHTO configuration, the German RAS-K-1 triple-radius method, and a clothoid-based transition curve design. Simulations using representative design vehicles, conducted under speeds ≤ 15 km/h, are used to assess each method’s performance in terms of spatial efficiency, steering continuity, and lateral clearance. The findings suggest that while the AASHTO asymmetric compound curve offers an effective balance between clearance and compactness, clothoid curves may improve transition smoothness and provide an alternative option for designing the edge-of-traveled-way turning paths at right-angle at-grade intersections. Full article

This study investigates Egyptian seafarers’ perceptions, barriers, and adoption intentions towards renewable and low-carbon energy technologies. Recognizing the maritime sector’s significant contribution to global emissions and Egypt’s strategic role via the Suez Canal, the authors conducted a cross-sectional survey of 120 seafarers covering masters, engineers, and cadets. A questionnaire gauged familiarity with renewable energy, perceived relevance to maritime work, preferred energy sources, and factors influencing choice and perceived enablers, and results were analyzed using descriptive statistics and Fisher–Freeman–Halton exact tests. Respondents showed moderate–high awareness of renewable energy. Climate change was primarily associated with sea level rise, rising temperatures, and flooding. Most participants considered renewable energy highly relevant to maritime operations, with stronger endorsement from masters and second mates than from first mates. Solar, wind, and hydrogen were viewed as having the greatest future potential, while availability and cost effectiveness were critical selection factors. Advanced technology and better training were the most valued enablers, whereas high investment costs, limited infrastructure, safety concerns, and training gaps were key barriers. The findings suggest that, although Egyptian seafarers recognize the importance of renewable energy, the main barriers consist of establishment cost, needed infrastructure, safety, and necessity for training. Full article

This study examines the modernization of the 61-4179 TVZ passenger coach for transporting light automobiles up to 3 tons, addressing the efficiency of multifunctional rail use. The objective was to assess how additional mass–dimensional loading influences strength, load distribution, and the dynamic stability of the vehicle–track system. Finite element simulations in ANSYS Workbench 2021 R2 determined stress distribution, deformations, and safety margins, while multibody dynamics modeling in Universal Mechanism evaluated wheel–rail contact forces, carbody accelerations, and stability coefficients. Field tests on curves with radii of 350 m and 300 m at 60 km/h validated the models. Carbody accelerations were 0.65–0.68 m/s², below the 0.7 m/s² regulatory limit; wheelset attack angles remained under 0.01 rad; and derailment safety coefficients were 1.6–1.8, all meeting international standards. Uniform load distribution maintained stability and suppressed oscillations. However, critical scenarios (wheel wear, extreme flange clearance, higher speeds) produced parameters approaching threshold values. To mitigate risks, clearance adjustment per δ₀ standards, a 1:20 guard-rail inclination, and optimized crossing profiles are proposed. These measures reduced lateral dynamic forces by 12–15% and raised the strength coefficient by 1.2–1.3. The results confirm technical feasibility, operational safety, and extended service life, supporting sustainable multimodal transport development. Full article

The transportation sector is responsible for over 20% of Europe’s CO₂ emissions, significantly worsening urban air quality and compromising public health. Electric vehicles (EVs)—namely BEVs and PHEVs—offer some relief by lowering noise and pollution in urban settings. Nevertheless, their effectiveness in benefiting the environment relies on the current electricity generation mix. In accordance with national energy goals, this study evaluates the environmental effects of EV adoption in Greece until 2035, utilizing a scenario-based approach grounded in the forecasts of the Greek National Energy and Climate Plan. Three different electrification pathways are examined to explore how varying levels of electric vehicle adoption and progress in decarbonizing the power sector could reduce air pollution, particularly in cities. By comparing the projected CO₂, CO, NO_x, PM₁₀, and SO₂ pollutant output from BEVs and PHEVs with those of internal combustion engine vehicles, the study highlights the significance of integrating renewable energy sources and assesses the potential for EVs to reduce emissions within Greece’s changing energy mix. Full article

The development of NVH (Noise, Vibration, and Harshness) characteristics in vehicles is facing new challenges with the widespread utilization of electric drivetrains. This shift introduces new requirements in several areas, such as reduced noise and vibration levels, the need for advanced nonlinear characterization methods, and tuning/masking the typically more prominent tonal noise components. More accurate simulation and measurement techniques are essential to meet these demands. This study focuses on the experimental frequency response function (FRF) testing of electric drivetrain components, specifically on potential phase errors caused by inappropriate measurement settings. The influencing parameters and their quantitative effects are analyzed theoretically and demonstrated using real measurement data. A novel numerical approach, termed Maximum Phase Error Analysis (MPEA), is introduced to systematically quantify the largest potential phase errors due to arbitrary alignment between resonance frequencies and discrete spectral lines. MPEA enhances the robustness of phase accuracy assessment, especially critical for lightly damped systems and closely spaced resonance peaks. Based on the findings, optimal testing parameters are proposed to ensure phase errors remain within a predefined limit. The results can be applied in various dynamic testing scenarios, including durability testing and rattling analysis. Full article

Automated, electric shuttles are expected to be key for the future of public transportation, providing a safe, efficient, and robust operation with a minimum carbon footprint. However, in complex, urban environments, their reliable operation is particularly challenging and shows a lack of performance and comfort. This study presents a quantitative benchmark of an automated shuttle compared to a conventional, human-operated bus on the same route. Speed and acceleration across geofenced segments are systematically analyzed based on over 12 million GNSS and IMU data points. The results show that the automated shuttle operates at about half the average speed of the bus. Furthermore, frequent abrupt decelerations are reducing passenger comfort, while the main distributions and mean values of the measured acceleration indicate a smooth operation of the automated shuttle; outliers reveal critical braking events. The presented methodology enables objective performance tracking and supports the iterative improvement of autonomous shuttles through datadriven optimization. Full article

Self-driving vehicle (SDV) safety and reliability are becoming critical design parameters as SDVs increase their market share. This paper examines public preferences for key SDV safety features (system reliability, sensor resilience, failure behavior, and driver alert methods) using a choice-based conjoint survey of 403 U.S. respondents. A novel integration of conjoint analysis with Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs) was applied to identify the most influential features and their demographic or behavioral predictors. Results show that multimodal driver alerts (i.e., audio + visual) were the most influential factor, accounting for nearly two-thirds of decision weight. System reliability (i.e., low human intervention rates) and sensor resilience (i.e., low tolerance for failures) were secondary, while failure behavior had minimal influence. Subgroup analyses revealed modest variations by willingness to pay for SDVs, income, race/ethnicity, marital status, education, driving frequency, and risk propensity, though the importance of alerts and reliability remained consistent across groups. This combined conjoint-LASSO-GLMM framework enhances the precision of preference estimation and offers actionable guidance for SDV manufacturers seeking to align safety feature design with consumer expectations. Full article

A well-performing road network is essential for modern society. But any road is nothing without its users—cyclists, drivers, pedestrians. Road network cannot be managed without knowing who the roads serve. The gaps in this knowledge lead to decisions that hinder efficiency, equality, and sustainability. This is why monitoring traffic is imperative for road management. However, traditional short-term traffic counting methods fail to provide full coverage at a reasonable cost. This study assessed the economic feasibility of drone-enabled traffic monitoring systems across Estonian urban environments through comparative spatial and economic analysis. Hexagonal tessellation was applied to 255 urban locations, identifying 47,530 monitoring points across 4077 grid cells. Economic modeling compared traditional counting costs with drone-based systems utilizing ultralight drones and nomadic 5G infrastructure. Monte Carlo simulation evaluated robustness under varying operational intensities from 30 to 180 days annually. Analysis identified an 8-point density threshold for economic viability, substantially lower than previously reported requirements. Operational intensity emerged as the critical determinant: minimal operations (30 days) proved viable for 9.0% of locations, while semi-continuous deployment (180 days) expanded viability to 81.6%. The findings demonstrate that drone-based monitoring achieves 60–80% cost reductions compared to traditional methods while maintaining equivalent accuracy (95–100% detection rates for vehicles, cyclists, and pedestrians), presenting an economically superior alternative for 67% of Estonian urban areas, with viability extending to lower-density locations through increased operational utilization. Full article

This study investigates the potential of Floating Car Data (FCD) collected from Volkswagen Group vehicles since 2022 for monitoring pavement conditions along two Italian road stretches. While such data are primarily gathered to analyze vehicle dynamics and mechanical behaviour, here, they are repurposed to support road network assessment through the estimation of the International Roughness Index (IRI). Daily aggregated datasets provided by NIRA Dynamics were analyzed to evaluate their reliability in detecting spatial and temporal variations in surface conditions. The results show that FCD can effectively identify critical sections requiring maintenance, track IRI variations over time, and assess the performance of surface rehabilitation, with high consistency on single-lane roads. On multi-lane roads, limitations emerged due to data aggregation across lanes, leading to reduced accuracy. Nevertheless, FCD proved to be a cost-efficient and continuously available source of information, particularly valuable for identifying temporal changes and supporting the evaluation of maintenance interventions. Further calibration is needed to enhance alignment with high-performance measurement systems, considering data density at the section level. Overall, the findings highlight the suitability of FCD as a scalable solution for real-time monitoring and long-term maintenance planning, contributing to more sustainable management of road infrastructure. Full article

Travel-time delays due to recurring congestion cause productivity loss, increase the likelihood of accidents, and lead to environmental pollution due to greenhouse gas emissions. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration in the United States has listed several driver assistance technologies that are now common in most newer vehicles. While these technologies can help reduce the likelihood of traffic-related accidents, they do little to reduce recurring congestion in urban areas. Recurring congestion during rush hours is prevalent, for example, along Interstate 95 and Capital Beltway 495 in the Baltimore-Washington area. Such congestion also enhances the likelihood of crashes. Previous approaches to hotspot identification are primarily theoretical, which limits their practical applicability. In this paper, we develop a Machine Learning (ML) approach that integrates geospatial data with artificial neural networks to predict traffic congestion hotspots during rush hour. The approach uses live traffic sensor data. A case study from Maryland is presented. The result shows top hotspot segments across Maryland. Using a snapshot of hotspots at eight different time periods, the likelihood of hotspot locations is predicted using an artificial neural network. The framework is validated using live loop detector data (speed and volume) from Maryland freeways, particularly I-495 and I-95. The research can serve as a valuable tool for traffic congestion hotspot identification and travel-time prediction. Full article

In principle, transit signal priority (TSP) should be able to reduce bus delays to near zero; however, in U.S. practice, bus delay reductions from TSP are often meager. This may be because, in the U.S., active TSP (green extension and early green) is often applied within an underlying traffic signal control framework that is not TSP-friendly. TSP-friendly signal control means control that minimizes the bus phase’s scheduled red period, offers flexibility to shift the bus phase’s green to match the bus arrival time, and includes compensation mechanisms that allow phases interrupted by priority actions to quickly recover, which in turn allows TSP to be more aggressive. Simulation tests at four sites in Boston find that applying active TSP together with TSP-friendly underlying control reduces bus delay 2 to 3 times as much as applying active TSP on top of existing traffic signal control without negatively impacting other vehicles or pedestrians. Aspects of TSP-friendly signal control demonstrated in the case studies include fully actuated control, reservice for minor bus phases, coordination that follows bus trajectories, phase rotation, and coordination following bus trajectories. Full article

Generating realistic and diverse driving scenarios is essential for effective scenario-based testing and validation in autonomous driving and the development of driver assistance systems. Traditionally, parametric models are used as standard approaches for scenario generation, but they require detailed domain expertise, suffer from scalability issues, and often introduce biases due to idealizations. Recent research has demonstrated that AI models can generate more realistic driving scenarios with reduced manual effort. However, these models typically focused on single scenario types, such as cut-in maneuvers, which limits their applicability to diverse real-world driving situations. This paper, therefore, proposes a unified generative framework that can simultaneously generate multiple types of driving scenarios, including cut-in, cut-out, and cut-through maneuvers from both directions, thus covering six distinct driving behaviors. The model not only learns to generate realistic trajectories but also reflects the same statistical properties as observed in real-world data, which is essential for risk assessment. Comprehensive evaluations, including quantitative metrics and visualizations from detailed latent and physical space analyses, demonstrate that the unified model achieves comparable performance to individually trained models. The shown approach reduces modeling complexity and offers a scalable solution for generating diverse, safety-relevant driving scenarios, supporting robust testing and validation. Full article

The paper studies and analyzes electric vehicle engines powered by hydrogen under the WLTP standard driving protocol. The driving range extension is estimated using a specific protocol developed for FCEV compared with the standard value for battery electric vehicles. The driving range is extended by 10 km, averaging over the four protocols, with a maximum of 11.6 km for the FTP-75 and a minimum of 7.7 km for the WLTP. This driving range extension represents a 1.8% driving range improvement, on average. Applying the FCEV current weight, the driving range is extended to 18.9 km and 20.4 km, on average, when using power source energy capacity standards for BEVs and FCEVs. Full article

Despite increasing interest in AI, IoT, and blockchain for sustainable transportation, existing reviews remain fragmented—focusing on single technologies, descriptive benefits, or narrow applications—without providing an integrated synthesis across domains. This study conducts a systematic literature review (SLR) following the PRISMA 2020 guidelines and a bibliometric analysis of 102 peer-reviewed papers to provide the concurrent integrative synthesis of AI, IoT, and blockchain in enabling sustainable transport. Data were drawn from Scopus, Web of Science, PubMed, Semantic Scholar, and Google Scholar, and analyzed using VOSviewer to identify research clusters, emerging themes, and knowledge gaps. The results reveal three thematic clusters: smart traffic systems for congestion management, sustainable logistics and supply chains, and data-driven urban governance. Across these clusters, AI is more mature in predictive modeling, IoT remains fragmented in interoperability, and blockchain is still at a pilot stage with governance and scalability issues. The analysis highlights synergies (e.g., AI–IoT integration for real-time optimization) and persistent challenges (e.g., standardization, data security). This review contributes a strategic research roadmap linking bibliometric hotspots with policy and practice implications. By explicitly identifying gaps in governance, interoperability, and cross-domain integration, the study offers actionable directions for both researchers and policymakers to accelerate digital transitions in transport. Full article

Demand-Responsive Transport (DRT) services ensure the implementation of more sustainable transport solutions and focuses on the creation of more flexible and personalised public transport systems. They help to reduce the use of cars, improve service efficiency, and reduce the environmental impact. The attractiveness of DRTs depends on the type of activities served (e.g., schools, hospitals, modal interchange hubs). The attractiveness of a specific stop depends not only on its location but also on proximity to essential services (such as schools). The aim of this study is to identify which categories of activities most influence users’ choice of stops. A conditional logit model is developed to analyse drop-off stop selection, based on the location and configuration of key stops and major attraction points in the monitored case study in Ragusa, Sicily (southern Italy). Accessibility to different attraction points from stops is considered as the main independent variable. The results show that proximity to sports facilities and schools strongly influence users’ choice of stops, along with nearby modal interchange stations and shopping-related activities. Conversely, stops near health centres tended to be less attractive in the study area. Furthermore, sports facilities exert the strongest attraction, while travel patterns to health services deviate from existing literature, likely reflecting the limited availability of complementary transport options. Full article

The increasing need to optimize efficiency in port container terminals has led to the transition of operations from manual to automated or semi-automated processes. Automation involves integrating or gradually adopting digital technologies and equipment that reduce human intervention, enhance productivity, safety and sustainability. This study investigates the impact of automation on port efficiency through a comparative analysis of 20 container ports in the wider Mediterranean region, using a two-stage modeling approach. In the first stage, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is applied under constant and variable returns to scale to estimate port efficiency using infrastructure, equipment, and container throughput data. The second stage employs Tobit regression to assess the effect of automated operations or systems on port efficiency, including variables such as the automation index, TEUs per employee, TEUs per ship (call) and revenue. A key contribution of this study is the development of a methodological framework for qualitatively classifying and evaluating these ports based on their level of automation, the introduction of digital technologies or equipment, and investments in new technologies. The results indicate that automation alone does not necessarily lead to higher efficiency unless it is effectively integrated into operations accompanied by adequate staff training and supported by gradual investment strategies. By contrast, cargo intensity (TEUs per call), highlights the importance of vessel size and cargo concentration in improving port performance. Full article

This paper introduces a detailed approach to boosting the functioning and finances of public transport in Greater Cairo. The research depends on multicriteria analysis, econometric forecasting, mathematical optimization, and comparison with other countries to judge how efficiently standard buses, minibuses, and special services make money, reduce costs, and fill seats. When ARIMA was boosted with Fourier terms, it forecasted revenue trends with an error of less than 5%. Both Monte Carlo simulations and Sobol sensitivity indices pointed out that changes in fuel prices had the highest impact on uncertainty. It was shown through optimization that a slight fare raise and adjustment in a few trips could increase net revenue by 6.2% while still respecting capacity and equity. The results encourage changing prices for special services, maintenance improvement based on forecasts, development of updated passenger information services, and better coordination between different types of transport. The research proposes a roadmap that can be applied to cities lacking data but with intense travel needs and boosts global focus on urban sustainability in developing countries. Full article

This study evaluates four developed external Human–Machine Interface (eHMI) concepts for automated shuttles, focusing on improving communication with other road users, mainly pedestrians and cyclists. Without a human driver to signal intentions, eHMI systems can play a crucial role in conveying the shuttle’s movements and future path, fostering safety and trust. The four eHMI systems’ purple light projections, emotional eyes, auditory alerts, and informative text were tested in a virtual reality (VR) environment. Participant evaluations were collected using an approach inspired by Kansei engineering and Likert scales. Results show that auditory alerts and informative text-eHMI are most appreciated, with participants finding them relatively clear and easy to understand. In contrast, purple light projections were hard to see in daylight, and emotional eyes were often misinterpreted. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) identified three key factors for eHMI success: predictability, endangerment, and practicality. The findings underscore the need for intuitive, simple, and predictable designs, particularly in the absence of a driver. This study highlights how eHMI systems can support the integration of automated shuttles into public transport. It offers insights into design features that improve road safety and user experience, recommending further research on long-term effectiveness in real-world traffic conditions. Full article

Effective and sustainable planning for future smart transportation systems is hindered by outdated traffic management models that fail to capture real-world dynamics, leading to congestion and significant environmental impact. To address this, advanced machine learning models are required to provide high-fidelity insights into urban mobility. In this work, we propose an adaptive machine learning approach to traffic pattern recognition that synergizes the HDBSCAN and k-means clustering algorithms. By employing a data-driven weighted voting mechanism, our solution provides a robust analytical foundation for sustainable planning, integrating structural analysis with precise cluster refinement. The crafted model was validated using a high-fidelity simulation of the Khmelnytskyi, Ukraine, transport network, where it demonstrated a superior ability to identify distinct traffic modes, achieving a V-measure of 0.79–0.82 and improving cluster compactness by 10–14% over standalone algorithms. It also attained a scenario identification accuracy of 92.8–95.0% with a temporal coherence of 0.94. These findings confirm that our adaptive approach is a foundational technology for intelligent transport systems, enabling the planning and deployment of more responsive, efficient, and sustainable urban mobility solutions. Full article

Pedestrian crashes remain a leading cause of road traffic fatalities in developing countries (DCs); yet reliable crash data are scarce, constraining the ability to model pedestrian safety risks and evaluate countermeasure effectiveness. This study developed a methodological process for estimating the influence of contextual factors on pedestrian crashes using artificial data. The process integrated literature-derived trend analysis, artificial data generation, external face validity checks, correlation analysis, stepwise negative binomial regression, sensitivity testing, and mapping of results against the International Road Assessment Programme (iRAP) framework. Of the 26 contextual factors considered, 20 were retained in the negative binomial (NB) models, while six were excluded due to weak or inconsistent trend data. Results showed that behavioural and institutional factors, including ad hoc countermeasure implementation, gender composition of pedestrian flows, and vehicle age or technology, exerted stronger influence on crash outcomes than several geometric variables typically emphasised in global models. External validity testing confirmed broad alignment of the artificial dataset with published values, while sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of factor influence values (Fi) across bootstrap resampling and scenario perturbations. The Fi values derived are illustrative rather than decision-ready, reflecting the artificial-data basis of this study. Nonetheless, the findings highlight methodological proof of concept that artificial-data modelling can provide credible and context-sensitive insights in data-scarce environments. Mapping results to the iRAP framework revealed complementarity, with opportunities to extend global models by incorporating behavioural and institutional variables more systematically. The approach provides a replicable pathway for improving pedestrian safety assessment in DCs and informs the development of an enhanced iRAP effectiveness model in subsequent research. Future applications should prioritise empirical calibration with real-world crash datasets and support policymakers in integrating behavioural and institutional factors into countermeasure prioritisation and safety planning. Full article

This paper proposes a method for assessing societal risk along a traffic link by integrating a stochastic formulation of the fundamental diagram. The approach accounts for uncertainty in vehicle speed due to user heterogeneity, vehicle characteristics, and environmental conditions. The risk index is decomposed into occurrence, vulnerability, and exposure components, with the occurrence probability modeled as a function of stochastic speed. The inverse gamma distribution is adopted to represent speed variability, enabling analytical tractability and control over dispersion. Numerical results show that urban and suburban environments exhibit distinct sensitivity to model parameters, particularly the gamma shape parameter η and the composite parameter c = β · v₀ obtained by the product of the occurrence parameter β and the free speed flow v₀. Graphical representations illustrate the impact of uncertainty on risk estimation. The proposed framework enhances existing deterministic methods by incorporating probabilistic elements, offering a foundation for future applications in traffic safety management and infrastructure design. Full article

Engine knock remains a critical limitation in spark-ignition engine design. Future hybrid powertrains employ downsized engines operating on Atkinson cycles, creating different knock conditions compared to modern naturally aspirated or turbocharged engines. At the same time, petroleum-based gasoline is increasingly being replaced by biofuels and electrofuels. This study evaluates knock behavior in projected hybrid engine architectures and examines the chemical composition of emerging fuel blends. The analysis shows that hybrid engines benefit from fuels with lower sensitivity, defined as the difference between the Research and Motor Octane Numbers. This is because the higher end-gas temperatures associated with the Atkinson cycle shift the value of K, which is an interpolation factor used to capture the relationship between fuel sensitivity and anti-knock performance. In conventional engines, K is negative, favoring fuels with higher sensitivity. In hybrid engines, the increased engine temperatures result in K becoming positive, favoring low-sensitivity fuels. Using low-sensitivity fuels allows hybrid engines to operate with higher geometric compression ratios and advanced thermodynamic cycles while reducing knock constraints. Biofuels and electrofuels can meet these requirements by producing paraffinic and naphthenic hydrocarbons with high octane quality and low sensitivity. These findings emphasize the need to align renewable fuel development with hybrid engine requirements to improve thermal efficiency, reduce emissions, and reduce reliance on energy-intensive refinery processes for octane enhancement. Full article

Traditional multi-modal dynamic transit assignment (DTA) models predominantly focus on bus and rail systems, overlooking the role of bike-sharing in passenger flow distribution. To bridge this gap, a multi-modal dynamic transit assignment model incorporating bike-sharing (MMDTA-BS) is proposed. This model integrates bike-sharing, buses, rail services, and walking into a unified framework. Represented by the variational inequality (VI), the MMDTA-BS model is proven to satisfy the multi-modal dynamic transit user equilibrium conditions. To solve the VI formulation, a projection-based approach with dynamic path costing (PA-DPC) is developed. This approach dynamically updates path costs to accelerate convergence. Experiments conducted on real-world networks demonstrate that the PA-DPC approach achieves rapid convergence and outperforms all compared algorithms. The results also reveal that bike-sharing can serve as an effective means for transferring passengers to rail modes and attracting short-haul passengers. Moreover, the model can quantify bike-sharing demand imbalances and offer actionable insights for optimizing bike deployment and urban transit planning. Full article

A sustainability appraisal framework helps to ensure the smooth sailing of various activities in transportation departments. A well-developed and flexible framework can serve as a primary tool for the evaluation of tasks in transportation departments. In this study, a framework for the sustainability appraisal of urban transportation is developed and its implementation is presented as a case study. As the transportation sector is placed within a wider context of sustainable development, the framework is based on a holistic approach considering transportation from a sustainable development perspective. The approach adopted for the implementation of the framework involves all stakeholders, including transportation departments and the community, in planning, decision-making, and bringing opportunities to guide the community and shape collective behaviors. By defining context-specific goals, objectives, inputs, and outcome variables, which inclusively represent sustainable development, the framework will be effectively utilized. The framework will also be useful to guide transportation departments to polish their vision, in addition to making policies, designing methodologies, and implementing measurement and monitoring systems for attaining the desired state of sustainability. Full article

Rainy weather conditions can have significant impact on the severity and frequency of traffic crashes. This study investigated factors that influence the severity of vehicle crashes during rainy weather in California. Data from 23,242 rain-related crashes in California were taken from the Highway Safety Information System (HSIS) database. The data was divided into 12 groups based on driver gender (male and female) and crash type (six categories: rear-end, hit object, sideswipe, overturned, head-on, and broadside). Each group was assigned a logistic regression model for crash severity (Property Damage Only (PDO) vs. injuries or fatalities (NotPDO)) yielding 12 models for various combinations of driver gender and crash types. Results indicate that factors such as the number of vehicles involved, vehicle manufacturing year, annual average daily traffic (AADT), road topography, season of crash, number of lanes, and driver age group all significantly influenced crash severity across various scenarios. These findings provide detailed insights into how various factors contribute to crash severity in different scenarios, allowing policymakers to develop targeted interventions. Policymakers can utilize the findings of this study to implement targeted measures in areas with high frequencies of specific crash types, particularly during adverse environmental conditions. Full article

The rapid growth of e-commerce and the pandemic-driven surge in deliveries have intensified the challenges last-mile logistics poses to urban areas. Road transport, the predominant delivery mode, is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions. Despite a downward trend since 2008, emissions rose in 2022, reflecting an increased mobility demand. Light commercial vehicles and trucks impact air and noise pollution due to their high emissions and noise levels. Innovative solutions, such as cargo bikes (CBs), have emerged as sustainable alternatives to mitigate these effects. This paper reports a brief literature review on CBs and evaluates their environmental, economic, and social benefits by comparing real-life data from a shipping company operating with CBs in central Rome to simulated data for motorized delivery vehicles. By analyzing their potential to reduce emissions, improve urban livability, and lower operational costs, this study seeks to raise awareness on CBs’ sustainability as a viable alternative for last-mile logistics. Highlighting these advantages can support policymakers, businesses, and urban planners in fostering a transition to more sustainable urban mobility solutions. Full article