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Article

Extremely Low Sample Size Allows Age and Growth Estimation in a Rare and Threatened Shark

by
Peter M. Kyne
1,*,†,
Jonathan J. Smart
2,3,4,5,*,† and
Grant J. Johnson
3,5,6
1
Research Institute for the Environment and Livelihoods, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, NT 0909, Australia
2
Smarter Fisheries Scientific Consulting, Townsville, QLD 4810, Australia
3
Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Fisheries Research Division, Darwin, NT 0828, Australia
4
Centre for Sustainable Tropical Fisheries and Aquaculture, College and Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia
5
College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA 5042, Australia
6
Australian Institute of Marine Science, Arafura Timor Research Facility, Darwin, NT 0810, Australia
*
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Submission received: 12 November 2025 / Revised: 12 December 2025 / Accepted: 18 December 2025 / Published: 24 December 2025
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Biology and Conservation of Elasmobranchs)

Abstract

Understanding life history parameters is key to assessing demography, biological productivity, and extinction risk of fishes. Age and growth analyses in chondrichthyan fishes (sharks, rays, and ghost sharks) is primarily undertaken through counting vertebral band pairs. For rare, threatened, and protected species such as river sharks (Carcharhinidae; Glyphis), obtaining sufficient vertebrae samples may not be possible. Here we use a very small sample size, selective size-class sampling, back-calculation techniques, and a Bayesian hierarchical model that accounts for repeated measures to provide age and growth information for the Speartooth Shark Glyphis glyphis from which comprehensive sampling is not possible. Ten individuals were selectively sampled from the Adelaide River, Northern Territory, Australia. Bayesian length-at-age models using a combination of informative and uninformative priors in a multi-model framework were applied to the observed and back-calculated data with the sexes combined. Band pair counts produced age estimates of 0–11 years and suggest that age at maturity is possibly >12 years. Most model parameter estimates for length-at-birth (L0) and asymptotic length (L) were biologically plausible. The Gompertz growth function, applied through a Bayesian hierarchical approach to back-calculated data, provided the best fitting and most biologically appropriate length-at-age parameters: L = 229.5 cm TL ± (14.6 SE), gGom = 0.16 yr−1 ± (0.01 SE), and L0 = 58.2 cm TL ± (1.4 SE). The results presented here are the first study to apply Bayesian methods to back-calculated length-at-age data while accounting for repeated measures.
Keywords: back-calculation; Bayesian hierarchical models; euryhaline species; Glyphis glyphis; life history; Speartooth Shark back-calculation; Bayesian hierarchical models; euryhaline species; Glyphis glyphis; life history; Speartooth Shark

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MDPI and ACS Style

Kyne, P.M.; Smart, J.J.; Johnson, G.J. Extremely Low Sample Size Allows Age and Growth Estimation in a Rare and Threatened Shark. Fishes 2026, 11, 7. https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes11010007

AMA Style

Kyne PM, Smart JJ, Johnson GJ. Extremely Low Sample Size Allows Age and Growth Estimation in a Rare and Threatened Shark. Fishes. 2026; 11(1):7. https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes11010007

Chicago/Turabian Style

Kyne, Peter M., Jonathan J. Smart, and Grant J. Johnson. 2026. "Extremely Low Sample Size Allows Age and Growth Estimation in a Rare and Threatened Shark" Fishes 11, no. 1: 7. https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes11010007

APA Style

Kyne, P. M., Smart, J. J., & Johnson, G. J. (2026). Extremely Low Sample Size Allows Age and Growth Estimation in a Rare and Threatened Shark. Fishes, 11(1), 7. https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes11010007

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